PA C I F I C Quarterly N O R T H W E S T Forest Inventory & Analysis Issue 5 / Winter 2005 Inside: A Message From the Program Manager................ 1 FIA’s Ownership Survey...........2 Studying Oregon Land Use Change.......................3 Employee Profiles.......................3 Recent PNW-FIA Publications..................................4 Forest Inventory and Analysis Pacific Northwest Research Station P.O. Box 3890 Portland, OR 97208-3890 http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/fia/ A Message From the Program Manager It’s a cold sunny day here in Portland as we head into the winter phase of forest inventory. I’ve learned after 8 years that there really is no “downtime” for the inventory—just a changing of emphasis from intensive field work to intensive office work and preparation for the next field season. We completed the majority of the field season work on schedule this year (before Thanksgiving) and already have most of the data cleaned through the edit process. We are still waiting on some of the contractors who got a late start because of changing Forest Service processes. We are very optimistic that we will have the data released this year within the 6-month timeframe from the end of data collection. Along with streamlining the processing and compilation of the national core inventory data, we have also been working on procedures to compile the understory vegetation, down woody material, and insect and disease information. We are looking forward to using this valuable information to produce more analyses. We have several key recent publications including an update on our western juniper resource in Oregon; juniper is currently found on over 6 million acres (up from about 1.5 million acres in the 1930s), and all indications are that the area of juniper forest will keep expanding. Also available is a publication highlighting the results from the last periodic Pacific Forest Inventory and Analysis (PNW-FIA) inventory in south-central Alaska; it describes the forest resource across the 18.5 million acres of south-central Alaska, including the Chugach National Forest and Kenai National Wildlife Refuge. On the national scene, the FIA received an increase in funding, but overall administrative costs within the Forest Service also increased, so we were fortunate to stay close to last year’s funding level. The new FIA Strategic Plan was signed, with the highest priority being to implement the base FIA Program in all 50 states, so over the next several months, the FIA Management team will be working on options to accomplish this with limited resources. — Sue Willits, PNW-FIA Program Manager P A C I F I C N O R T H W E S T Forest Inventory & Analysis Quarterly Issue 5 / Winter 2005 2 FIA’s Ownership Survey Thomas Jefferson believed that land ownership promotes citizen responsibility and social harmony. Today, private forest-land owners make important decisions about amounts and kinds of goods and services that come off their land; how to protect valuable resources such as trees, water, and wildlife; and the availability of forest recreation opportunities. Therefore, it’s crucial to understand and appreciate the opportunities, intentions, and limitations faced by private forest owners. For this reason, the National Woodland Owner Survey (NWOS) was implemented by the USDA Forest Service FIA Program to collect information on forest-land ownership in the United States. Begun in 2001, the NWOS fulfills an important component of the Forest Service’s mandate to carry out a comprehensive inventory and analysis of the Nation’s forests. The NWOS, one of the three components to FIA (besides the field inventory and the timber product output studies), represents the social counterpart to the program’s biologic inventory. Every year, a randomly selected set (10 to 20 percent) of the full sample of private forest-land owners in the United States are asked to participate in the survey. The survey asks for information on (1) forest land characteristics, (2) owner’s objectives, (3) forest use, (4) forest management, (5) sources of information owners use, (6) forest health concerns and regulatory issues, (7) future intentions, and (8) demographics. The information is intended to help policymakers and resource managers better understand the social context of forests and formulate more informed opinions and decisions. The results from the first 2 years of the survey, 2002 and 2003, have already pointed out some changes and challenges that lie ahead for the forestry community. According to Brett Butler, a research forester with the FIA Program and national leader of the NWOS, one of the fundamental challenges concerns the increasing age of family forest owners. “Owners 65 years or older control 44 percent of family forest land; 20 percent is owned by people 75 years or older,” he says. “The average age of these forestland owners portends a large increase in the transfer of forestland in the near future.” The transfer of lands could have a minimal impact . . . or it could lead to dramatic change. It will depend on the personal goals of the new owner. Survey results also indicate that the reasons for owning forest land may be shifting. Butler explains, “Although most forestland owners say they own forestland for its aesthetic value or for the privacy it affords them, a significant number said they owned forest land as an investment—the opportunity to sell the land in the future—not for timber production.” In revealing key information about family forest ownership, the NWOS also points out how little is actually known about the people whose decisions shape such a large portion of the country’s forests. But as the NWOS continues, this knowledge will improve, and will hopefully continue to provide meaningful assistance to the stewardship of forest resources. (continued on page 3) Facts About Family Forest Owners of California, Oregon, and Washington (Source: 2004 National Woodland Owner Survey. Unpublished data. On file with: B.J. Butler, Northern Research Station) Acres and Percentage of Forest Land Held by Family Owners Acres Percentage of total State (thousands) forest land in state California Oregon Washington Total 12,122 4,461 3,303 19,886 30 15 15 22 Source: Smith et al. 2004. Forest resources of the United States, 2002. Gen Tech. Rep. NC-241. St. Paul, MN: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, North Central Research Station 137 p. Size Distribution of Landholdings Size Acres Owners (acres) (thousands) (thousands) 1–9 10–49 50–99 100–499 500–999 1,000–4,999 5,000+ Total 1,616 4,271 2,113 4,952 1,900 3,643 1,391 19,886 458 221 31 27 3 2 <1 722 Percentage of landowners over 75 years of age: 33 Education (at least some college): 40.6% of family forest owners who own 23% of the family forest land. Written management plans: 5.4% of family forest owners who own 14.5% of family forest land. Have sought management advice in the past 5 years: 28.9% of family forest owners who own 36.5% of family forest land. Top six landowner concerns: 1. Endangered species 2. Property taxes 3. Family legacy 4. Lawsuits 5. Harvesting regulations 6. Land development P A C I F I C N O R T H W E S T Forest Inventory & Analysis Quarterly Studying Oregon Land Use Change One of the top 10 concerns Oregonians have about forestry issues is the thought of losing forest land to development. And, as rural areas in the Pacific Northwest continue to attract newcomers, this threat to the ecological and socioeconomic values of forests grows. Because of this, the need to understand land use changes becomes more and more important. The Oregon Department of Forestry (ODF), desiring to stay on top of these trends, approached the PNW-FIA Program with questions about how fast forest lands are being developed, and whether population growth is having any impact on private forests and forestry. To answer these questions, Gary Lettman (ODF economist) and his staff, in partnership with Dave Azuma (PNW-FIA research forester) and Erica Hanson (PNW-FIA forestry technician), have been working on an analysis of land use change in Oregon over the past 5 years. They use aerial photos and ground data from privately owned land to characterize the status of the forest and gain detailed information about land use at different stages by using data from 1973, 1982, 1994, and 2000. During this time, the population in Oregon increased by more than 50 percent. As of 2000–2001, the majority of Oregon’s nonfederal land is still in forest, range, or agricultural use: 89 percent in western Oregon, and 97 percent in eastern Oregon. However, between the early 1970s and now, considerable shifts in dominant land uses toward more developed categories have occurred. In western Oregon, over 80 percent of the changes in land use were from agriculture or wildland forests to low-density residential or urban-areas. Interestingly, despite increasing population and personal income, the rate of conversion of forest and farm lands declined (continued on page 4) (continued from page 2) For more information see: The NWOS Web site at http://www.fs.fed.us/woodlandowners/ Butler, B.J.; Leatherberry, E.C. 2004. America’s family forest owners. Journal of Forestry. 102(7): 4–9. Butler, B.J.; Leatherberry, E.C.; Williams, M.S. 2005. Design, implementation, and analysis methods for the National Woodland Owner Survey. Gen. Tech. Rep. GTR-NE-336. Newton Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station. 43 p. Issue 5 / Winter 2005 Employee Profiles In each issue of our newsletter we profile some of our employees and their roles and responsibilities in the PNW-FIA program. Dave Azuma, research forester, Portland Forestry Science Laboratory (e-mail: dazuma@fs.fed.us, phone (503) 808-2047) Dave, a 30-year Forest Service employee, has been with the Pacific Northwest Research Station 10 years. After receiving a bachelor’s degrees in math and forestry, Dave received a master’s degree in statistics from California State University at Hayward. He is currently a research forester on the PNW-FIA Envrionmental Analysis and Research team, where he uses FIA data for analysis of spruce budworm effects, fuel loading and fire behavior and effects, and land use change and its impacts on forest resources. Since the inception of the ODFs land use change study in 1998, Dave has worked on quality control of the data collection, analyzing data, and presenting results. In his free time, Dave plays golf, gardens, cooks, and follows a passion for racquetball, as both a player (having earned 14 National Doubles titles) and a coach. Erica Hanson, forestry technician, Portland Forestry Science Laboratory (e-mail ehanson@fs.fed.us, phone (503) 808-2086) Erica began working for the Forest Service in 1980 on the Detroit, Oregon, fire crew, and later joined the Portland Forestry Sciences Lab in 1989 as a member of the western Washington field crew. She is currently a member of the PNW-FIA Reporting team. The main focus of her work involves dealing with historical inventory data, scanning plot cards, documentation, and photointerpretation. She has been closely involved in the ODFs land use study, which relied heavily on comparing information in aerial photographs. For the study covering eastern Oregon, Erica was the lead aerial photointerpreter. She is currently helping the project through training, quality assurance, and coordination of photos and data between ODF and PNW-FIA. When not at work, Erica enjoys reading and gardening. 3 Jovan, S.; McCune, B. 2005. Air-quality bioindication in the greater central valley of California, with epiphytic macrolichen communities. Ecological Applications. 15(5): 1712–1726. Laurent, E.J.; Shi, H.; Gatziolis, D.; LeBouton, J.P.; Walters, M.B.; Liu, J. 2005. Using the spatial and spectral precision of satellite imagery to predict wildlife occurrence patterns. Remote Sensing of Environment. 97: 249–262. News for Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forest Inventory and Analysis Clients, Employees, and Retirees Please visit our Web page at: http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/fia/ Published by the Pacific Northwest Research Station P.O. Box 3890 Portland, OR 97208-3890 Sally Campbell, Managing Editor scampbell01@fs.fed.us (503) 808-2034 Pilar Reichlein, Layout preichlein@fs.fed.us (503) 808-2114 Rachel White, Writer rachelwhite@fs.fed.us (503) 808-2082 The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, or marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA’s TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 14th and Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, DC 20250-9410 or call (202) 720-5964 (voice and TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. PACIFIC NORTHWEST Campbell, S.; van Hees, W.W.S.; Mead, B. 2005. South-central Alaska forests: inventory highlights. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNWGTR-652. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 28 p. Forest Service Quarterly Because land use planning and development have such large environmental and economic consequences, it’s important to continue to track their effects. Population growth projections suggest that the impacts of rural development could be greater in the future. For more information see: Azuma, D.L.; Birch, K.R.; Herstrom, A.A.; Kline, J.D.; Lettman, G. 2002. Forests, farms, and people: land use change on nonfederal land in western Oregon, 1973–2000. Salem, OR: Oregon Department of Forestry. 48 p. Azuma, D.L.; Hiserote, B.A.; Dunham, P.A. 2005. The western juniper resource of eastern Oregon, 1999. Resour. Bull. PNWRB-249. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 18 p. United States Department of Agriculture Forest Inventory & Analysis dramatically from the 1973–82 period to the 1982–94 period as comprehensive land use planning slowed development. Recent PNW-FIA Publications U.S. Department of Agriculture Pacific Northwest Research Station Forestry Sciences Laboratory 620 SW Main, Suite 400 P.O. Box 3890 Portland, OR 97208-3890 (continued from page 3)