Earth - The Water Planet Bob Cahalan NASA/Goddard/913, Greenbelt, MD 20771 301-614-5390; cahalan@gsfc.nasa.gov Water Cycle Atmosphere & Ocean Energy Flows Ice & Fresh Water ENSO Family Water Cycle Oceans - 70% of Earth’s surface – Evaporation powers weather – Heat capacity controls climate – El Nino - Southern Oscillation Vapor - Atmospheric Greenhouse Clouds - control energy flows, rain 1 m/yr Ice & Snow - store 90% of fresh water Amazing H20 molecule, 2/3 cell volume – Polar – Cohesive – Heat storage – Ice floats – Solvent Earth climate Sun driven, water controlled. Our Atmospheric Shield Sea water is “tuned” to transmit visible light. Sunlight IN TSun ~ 6000 K Visible Earthlight OUT TEarth ~ 300 K H20 Window Earth’s Energy Budget H20 clouds = climate control Earth = only inner planet with liquid & ice & vapor H20. Venus Earth 374 °C = 647 K Mars 100 °C = 373 K 0 °C = 273 K Arctic Sea Ice 66 km ~ 40 miles 20 May 1998, Modis Airborne Simulator Arctic Sea Ice New Zealand April Antarctic Melt-down ? Area - 13,600,000 km2 > US + Mexico Ronne & Ross Ice Shelves ~ ea 500,000 km2; Larsen Ice Shelves – 2000, 3250 km2 Highest peak – 5 km (16,000 feet); Maximum Ice Thickness – 5 km Sea Ice Area – 4 X 10 6 km 2 (March); 19 X 10 6 km 2 (September) Antarctic Melt-down ? 11,800 ± 3,900 km2/yr Fresh Water: Rivers, Lakes, Aquifers T. Oki & Y.Sud, Earth Interactions, Vol 2, paper 1, 1998. Fresh Water: Rivers, Lakes, Aquifers Private Fresh Water, E. C. Pielou, U. Chicago Press, c1998, 275 pp. Chesapeake Watershed Chesapeake Watershed Susquehanna (107) Factors affecting nutrient trends in major rivers Of the Chesapeake Bay Watershed, USGS Water Resources Investigations Report 00-4218. http://water.usgs.gov Potomac (106) Patuxent (105) Water Monitoring from Space Water Monitoring from Space AQUA: http://www.aqua.nasa.gov • Collects information on Earth’s water cycle, including ocean evaporation, atmospheric water vapor and clouds, precipitation, soil moisture, sea and land ice, and snow cover on land and ice. AQUA successfully launched on May 4, 2002. GRACE: http://essp.gsfc.nasa.gov/grace/ • Unravels global climatic issues by measuring changes in sea-floor pressure, watching the mass of the oceans change, and monitoring changes in the storage of water and snow on the continents. GRACE successfully launched on March 17, 2002. ICESAT: http://icesat.gsfc.nasa.gov • Will measure the ice sheet mass balance, cloud and aerosol heights, optical densities, vegetation and land topography. ICESAT is scheduled to launch in December, 2002. Intrinsic Modes of Climate Variability • Anthropogenic vs. Natural • Climate modes: - coherent space-time structures - interactions among atmosphere, ocean, land, biosphere & cryosphere - climate predictability Global Change and Natural Climate Modes North Atlantic Oscillation /Arctic Oscillation Asian-North America Teleconnection Natural Modes of Climate Variability Seasonal-toInterannual El Nino/ Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Synoptic Weather Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Pacific North /South Quasi-biennial America Pattern (PNA, PSA) Oscillations Asian –North America Pattern (ANA) Indian Ocean Zonal Mode (IOZM)…. Annular Modes : Arctic/ Antarctic Oscillations DecadalInterdecadal Cold-OceanWarm-Land (COWL) Pacific Decadal Oscillations (PDO) Atlantic DecCen Variability Indian Ocean Warming >100 yrs GLOBAL WARMING cle y ual C n l n a a ycle n C r i l u Di Sem Annua A climate wave is arriving. Will we wipe out … … or ride the wave? Little Drops … Little drops of water, little grains of sand, Make the mighty ocean and the pleasant land. So the little minutes, humble though they be, Make the mighty ages of eternity. Thus our little errors make a mighty sin; Drop by drop the evil floods the heart within. Little deeds of kindness little words of love Make our Earth an Eden like the heaven above. Julia A. Fletcher Carney (1824-1908)