A Review of Advice Models and the Demographic Determinants of Using Financial Advisors and Counselors J. Michael Collins Prepared for presentation at the Financial Literacy Research Consortium Financial Literacy Research Consortium SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 1 The research reported herein was performed pursuant p p f p to a grant from the U.S. Social Security Administration (SSA) funded as part of the Financial Literacy Research Consortium. Consortium The opinions and conclusions expressed are solely those The opinions and conclusions expressed are solely those of the author(s) and do not represent the opinions or policy of SSA or any agency of the Federal Government or of the of the University of Wisconsin System, including Center for Financial Security. SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 2 1. Overview 2. Research Question 3. Data 4. Findings Overview • • • • • • What are advice models? What are advice models? Who are advice providers? For whom? What role does advice play? h l d d i l ? What kinds of advice exist? Does advice make a difference? Who takes up advice? Who takes up advice? SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 3 Research Approach Research Approach • • • • Literature Review Literature Review Developing a Framework S h i Synthesis Modeling take up of advice – Address conflicting evidence SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 4 Framework SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 5 Technical Experts Technical Experts • • • • Experts on narrow topic Experts on narrow topic Objective advisors – unbiased ‘pure’ advice C d i l d Credentialed Costly SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 6 Technical Experts • Theory: Economics of Information – Stigler (1961): Consumers stop gathering information when marginal benefit of additional search equals the marginal cost • Theory: Behavioral De‐biasing – Bluethgen et al. (2008): Financial advisors add value to g ( ) client’s portfolios by identifying and correcting the client’s cognitive mistakes • Theory: Psychology / Affective Th P h l / Aff i – Engelmann et al. (2009): Financial advice aides client’s decision‐making decision making processes and decisions are less taxing to processes and decisions are less taxing to brain if client received advice SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 7 Rationale 1 the 1. the cost of obtaining financial information cost of obtaining financial information may be lower for individuals who work with advisors, advisors 2. advisors can help individuals avoid making cognitive mistakes and cognitive mistakes, and 3. advisors’ services may simply be a less costly substitute when clients’ own time and effort b i h li ’ i d ff are more valuable than the total costs of using advisor. i d i SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 8 Empirical Evidence Empirical Evidence Mixed at best • Endogeneity between clients’ selection into advice and their financial capability • Horn et al. (2009)‐ ( ) change in German tax laws as natural experiment… g p financial advice helps clients avoid tax mistakes. • Hackethal et al. (2010): Clients who use financial advisors had lower returns and were more likely to incur substantial losses; advisors do not y ; lead to better market timing or diversification – used IV • Hung and Yoong (2010) – voluntary vs. mandatory advice • Haslem (2010) matched broker accounts to advisor accounts: brokers Haslem (2010) matched broker accounts to advisor accounts: brokers better • Several others show no or negative effects (see Jansen et al. 2008; Kramer and Lensink 2009; Kramer 2009) and Lensink 2009; Kramer 2009). SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 9 Transactional Agents Transactional Agents • Focused on a specific transaction Focused on a specific transaction • Many examples – Sales, broker, real estate agent, insurance agent, S l b k l t t t i t etc.. • • • • Weaker Credentials W k C d ti l Self‐regulation Costly? Biased…at least potentially Biased…at least potentially SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 10 Transactional Agents • Theory: Conflict of Interest – Potential: Darby and Karni (1973), Demski and Sappington (1987), Krausz and Paroush (2002), Inderst and Ottaviani (2009), and Hung and Yoong dP h (2002) I d t d Ott i i (2009) d H dY (2010) – But also repeated game / reputation risk – Fiduciary duty • Empirical Evidence: Weak p – Very few ‘fee‐only” advisors ‐ compensated in a variety of ways – Finke et al. (2009): Clients with financial planners more likely to have appropriate life insurance holdings than clients with insurance brokers appropriate life insurance holdings than clients with insurance brokers – Robinson (2007): Fee‐only pricing can cause advisors to overbill clients and do minimal work SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 11 Financial Counselors Financial Counselors • • • • • • Acute problem solving Acute problem solving Basic financial management Intervention model Strong nonprofit role Public subsidies Not (generally) compensated by pushing Not (generally) compensated by pushing particular financial products SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 12 Counselors • Theory: Little – Directing Directing, instructing and motivating clients (Kerkmann, instructing and motivating clients (Kerkmann 1998) – Counselors assist clients when emotional stress is distorting their financial decision‐making • Empirical Evidence: Some (mostly credit/loans) – Collins (2007): Each additional hour of counseling reduced the probability of foreclosure outcomes – Agarwal et al. (2009): Combining educational classes and Agarwal et al (2009): Combining educational classes and one‐on‐one counseling significantly decreased mortgage default rates – Endogeniety; Experiments lacking SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 13 Financial Coaching Financial Coaching • • • • • • Performance improvement Performance improvement Goal‐based Cli Client directed di d Coach may not be an expert Focus on self‐control & monitoring Self actualization Self‐actualization – Implementation / Adherence SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 14 Coaching In General Coaching In General • Theory – mostly recent (and outside U.S.) – Biswas‐Diener and Dean (2007): Coaching is a subset of positive ( ) g p psychology as it focuses on utilizing personal and social strengths to attain goals and achieve happiness – Grant (2008): Coaching is solution or outcome focused and clients ( ) g must not suffer from serious mental health issues • Empirical Evidence: Too new – Tidwell Tidwell et al. (2004): Coaching for individuals with chronic health care et al (2004): Coaching for individuals with chronic health care conditions resulted in better adherence to treatment – Whittemore et al. (2004): Health coaching for diabetic women resulted in higher treatment satisfaction higher attendance and lower resulted in higher treatment satisfaction, higher attendance and lower attrition rates – Ariely and Wertenbroch (2002): Coaching can be more effective than self monitoring and help clients stick to their goals self‐monitoring and help clients stick to their goals SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 15 Summary of Literature • Seems to be a rationale for technical expert, but few exist in market – Not clear what value is in practice; babysitter? • Most advisors are transactional Most advisors are transactional – Fiduciary weak – may undercut value • Counsel on basic financial management Counsel on basic financial management – Crisis focused; subsidized • Coaching – new ‐ adds adherence – Self‐ control and executive attention SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 16 Lot we don’t know Ex: Take Up of Advice SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 17 1. Overview 2. Research Question 3. Data 4. Findings Data / Methods Data / Methods • Who Who takes up advice? People with financial takes up advice? People with financial literacy deficits or high capacity? • Data source Data source • FINRA National Financial Capability Survey • Telephone survey of 1,488 individuals • Respondents asked if they sought p y g advice, from what kind of advisor, and how they felt about financial advisors y SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 18 Who received advice? Who received advice? Source: Tabulations of FINRA National Financial Capability Survey SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 19 Who received advice? Who received advice? Source: Tabulations of FINRA National Financial Capability Survey SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 20 Findings—Take Up of Advisors Factor Debt Advisor Investment Advisor Loan Advisor Insurance Advisor Tax Advisor Gender ‐‐ Male ↓ Male ↓ Male ↓ Male ↓ Male ↓ Male ↓ ‐‐ Income ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ Education ‐‐ ↑ ‐‐ ↑ ‐‐ Race ‐‐ Asian ↓ ‐‐ African American ↑ Hispanic ↓ Financial Literacy Score ‐‐ ↑ ‐‐ ↑ ↑ Income Drop ↑ ↑ ‐‐ ↑ ↑ Homeowner ↓ ‐‐ ↑ ‐‐ ‐‐ Source: Tabulations of FINRA National Financial Capability Survey SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 21 Attitudes Toward Financial Advisors Factor Trust advisor Advisor too expensive Met multiple advisors Gender Male ↓ ‐‐ Male ↑ Income ‐‐ ↓ as income ↓ as income increases ↑ as income ↑ as income increases Education ↑ ‐‐ ‐‐ Race ‐‐ Asian ↑ ‐‐ Income Drop Income Drop ↓ ‐‐ ‐‐ Homeowner ↓ ‐‐ ‐‐ Source: Tabulations of FINRA National Financial Capability Survey SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 22 1. Overview 2. Research Question 3. Data 4. Findings Conclusions • • • • • Advice models have potential Advice models have potential Proposed general framework of complements C Compensation schemes matter i h Little empirical evidence Advice going to those with most capability – y babysitter model? – Context may matter – planning vs. trigger event SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 23 1. Overview 2. Research Question 3. Data 4. Findings Implications / Next steps Implications / Next steps • Understanding psychology of advice Understanding psychology of advice • Examine Fiduciary Duty under CFPB/Dodd Act • Field experiments needed i ld i d d – Beyond portfolio measures • Better understanding of counseling needed • Coaching has emerging potential to support g g gp pp self control; again need empirical work SSA FLFC 19-F-10003-5-01, University of Wisconsin 24 J. Michael Collins Faculty Director, Center for Financial Security University of Wisconsin‐Madison University of Wisconsin Madison 7401 Social Science, 1180 Observatory Drive Madison, WI 53706 608‐616‐0369 jmcollins@wisc.edu For More Information: cfs.wisc.edu