JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 107, NO. A11, 1391, doi:10.1029/2002JA009313, 2002 Comparing a spherical harmonic model of the global electric field distribution with Astrid-2 observations S. Eriksson1 and L. G. Blomberg Alfvén Laboratory, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden D. R. Weimer Mission Research Corporation, Nashua, New Hampshire, USA Received 5 February 2002; revised 13 June 2002; accepted 9 August 2002; published 21 November 2002. [1] Electric field measurements provided by the double probe instrument on the Astrid-2 satellite are compared with the empirical Weimer electric field model for all magnetic local times, except between 11 and 13 MLT, and poleward of 55 corrected geomagnetic latitude (CGLat). We focus the model evaluation on its ability to predict the latitudinal locations of the convection reversal boundaries for two-cell convection patterns and to estimate the magnitude of the electric field above 55 CGLat. A total number of 780 polar cap passes are employed from the Northern Hemisphere between January and July 1999. The measured average electric field magnitude in the dawn-dusk meridian plane above 55 CGLat is generally 25% larger than the predicted field independent of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) direction. The model shows a better correspondence with the observed electric field for southward IMF than for northward IMF, with most cases centered around Bz = 1.5 nT and r = 0.88. However, the agreement for northward IMF is promising, and a few examples are shown to corroborate this fact. The observed and predicted convection reversal boundary locations along the satellite track for southward IMF are on the average found 2–3 CGLat apart in the dawn-dusk meridian plane but may be as far apart as 9 CGLat. An initial investigation of the relative timing of a 20-min averaging window for the IMF along the 20–25 min polar cap crossing suggests that a time-dependent transfer function may be found that applies a higher weight to the input solar wind data early in the pass and a lower weight later in the pass for an IMF window that corresponds to the first half of the crossing and the opposite weight versus time INDEX dependence for an IMF window corresponding to the last half of the crossing. TERMS: 2447 Ionosphere: Modeling and forecasting; 2463 Ionosphere: Plasma convection; 2475 Ionosphere: Polar cap ionosphere; 2411 Ionosphere: Electric fields (2712); 2784 Magnetospheric Physics: Solar wind/ magnetosphere interactions; KEYWORDS: global electric field modeling, ionospheric convection Citation: Eriksson, S., L. G. Blomberg, and D. R. Weimer, Comparing a spherical harmonic model of the global electric field distribution with Astrid-2 observations, J. Geophys. Res., 107(A11), 1391, doi:10.1029/2002JA009313, 2002. 1. Introduction [2] Most studies of high-latitude ionospheric convection rely on measurements either from single satellites or from radars. These methods share the common disadvantage of not measuring the global instantaneous two-dimensional potential distribution, which is important in studying the solar wind-magnetosphere coupling such as the relative contributions of dayside and nightside driving mechanisms [Lockwood et al., 1990] to magnetospheric convection. Several empirical models have been developed in the past to provide analytical tools for the global potential distri1 Now at Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USA. Copyright 2002 by the American Geophysical Union. 0148-0227/02/2002JA009313$09.00 SMP bution, such as those by Heppner and Maynard [1987], the data-derived model by Rich and Hairston [1994], and the IZMEM model by Papitashvili et al. [1994], to mention but a few examples. The technique of least error fits of spherical harmonic coefficients to data from multiple satellite passes or from radar measurements was used by Weimer [1995, 1996] and by Ruohoniemi and Greenwald [1996], respectively, to provide an analytical expression of the global potential distribution. The coefficients are assumed to depend on the IMF, the solar wind velocity and the Earth’s magnetic dipole tilt angle. The Weimer model was recently improved [Weimer, 2001] to incorporate a dependence on the solar wind electric field and the dynamic pressure, as well as an optional dependence on the AL index. This is the first empirical model to include the assumed effects of substorms on nightside convection. 27 - 1 SMP 27 - 2 ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION [3] The motivation for this study is to evaluate the empirical satellite-based Weimer model [Weimer, 2001] against an independent set of electric field observations by examining the model’s ability to predict two-cell convection reversal boundary (CRB) locations in latitude and the level of correspondence for electric field magnitudes poleward of 55 CGLat. The results from such a comparative study have implications for its successful application in, e.g., space weather modeling. The independent set of measurements from the double probe electric field instrument on the Astrid-2 satellite is well suited for this study, since the satellite is in a circular polar orbit at a nearly constant altitude of 1000 km. [4] The study is divided into four sections. First, we compare the relative location of the convection reversal boundaries (CRBs) as observed by Astrid-2 with that predicted by the model along the satellite track (section 3). Second, we compare the average electric field magnitudes (section 4) in the dawn-dusk meridian plane, which E ~ B gives a rough measure of the strength of the ~ convection velocity. This is followed by a study of how the IMF Bz influences the correspondence between the model and the measured electric field (sections 4 and 5) and an examination of the importance of timing the response of ionospheric convection to the IMF and the solar wind (section 6). The Sun-pointing E3msp spin axis component is not measured, while the roughly Earthward E1msp component completes the system. The corotation electric field ~ E = (~ w ~ r) v~ B and the induced ~ B motional electric field are both ~ subtracted from the measured field prior to analysis, where ~ w is the Earth’s rotation, ~ r is the satellite location, ~ B is the v is the satellite velocity in an model magnetic field, and ~ inertial frame of reference. The remaining Earth-fixed convection electric field in the dawn-dusk direction E2msp is used for the comparison with the corresponding dawndusk component of the Weimer model electric field [Weimer, 2001], which is derived from the model twodimensional potential distribution in the CGLat and MLT coordinate system and scaled up to 1000 km altitude E ~ B = 0. assuming ~ 2.2. Weimer Model of Ionospheric Convection [8] The Weimer model is based on a least error fit of spherical harmonic coefficients using electric field data from 2645 polar cap passes of the Dynamics Explorer 2 satellite [Maynard et al., 1981] and IMF and solar wind data from the IMP 8 and ISEE 3 spacecraft. The ionospheric model electric potential is expressed as a function of MLT (f) and corrected geomagnetic colatitude (q) as ðq; fÞ ¼ ðl;3Þ 4 min X X l¼0 2. Methodology 2.1. Astrid-2 Electric Field [5] The Swedish Astrid-2 microsatellite was launched on 10 December 1998 into an 83 inclination circular polar orbit at 1000 km altitude. The spin-stabilized satellite, with a roughly Sun-pointing spin axis, was in operation until the end of July 1999 [Blomberg et al., 1999; Marklund et al., 2001]. A final set of 780 orbits in the Northern Hemisphere is selected that covers all magnetic local times (MLT) between January and July 1999, except for an approximately 2-hour window between 11 and 13 MLT. The main selection criteria was that the maximum CGLat reached for each orbit must be larger than 80 and that ACE solar wind data are available for each case. [6] The corrected geomagnetic (CGM) latitude, CGLat, and longitude of a point in space is defined by tracing the IGRF magnetic field line through the specified point to the dipole geomagnetic equator, then returning to the same altitude along the dipole field line and assigning the obtained dipole latitude and longitude as the CGM coordinates to the starting point. The magnetic local time (MLT) is defined as follows. Assume that a geographic coordinate is located at local midnight; that is, at some UT instance the local geographic meridian is at 0000 LT and the coordinate is directly antisunward of the geographic pole. If the Earth rotates through an angle (measured in UT hours and minutes) so that the coordinate’s local CGM meridian is moved to 0000 MLT, then the station is directly antisunward of the CGM pole. This UT instance (in hours and minutes) would be ‘‘at local MLT midnight in UT.’’ [7] The measured electric field is transformed into a coordinate system based on the IGRF 1998 model magnetic B and the spin plane, where E2msp is the spin plane field ~ B and positive toward dusk. component, perpendicular to ~ ðAlm cos mf þ Blm sin mfÞPlm ðcos qÞ; ð1Þ m¼0 where Plm is the associated Legendre function. The coefficients Alm and Blm for each of 16 IMF clock angle intervals are functions of IMF magnitude in the GSM yzplane (BT), solar wind velocity (Vsw), proton number density (np), and dipole tilt angle (m) on the form 2 Alm ¼ Rlm;0 þ Rlm;1 BaT Vsw þ Rlm;2 sin m þ Rlm;3 np Vsw : ð2Þ The exponent a of BT in the solar wind electric field term is taken as 2/3 and Rlm are the regression coefficients found from the data. Since there are no final AL indices available for 1999, it is not possible to study the optional substorm influence of the model with the observed convection electric field at this time. 2.3. Solar Wind Propagation From ACE [9] The ACE solar wind monitor is located at the L1 point during the Astrid-2 mission. Following the method adopted by Weimer [2001], the corresponding state of the solar wind for each polar cap crossing is determined by first delaying the IMF and solar wind measurements by the solar wind propagation delay to an assumed steady magnetopause location at xGSE = 10 RE, using the xGSE component of Vsw. Another 10 min delay is added to account for the average propagation time along magnetic field lines from the magnetopause to the ionosphere. The final IMF averaging time window is started 20 min before the first encounter with the ionospheric convection electric field and ends at the opposite convection electric field boundary. These two boundaries are taken as the time when Astrid-2 passes 55 CGLat moving poleward and equatorward, respectively. It is assumed that the IMF 20 min prior to any measurement affects that measurement owing to the global ionospheric ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION SMP 27 - 3 Figure 1. The latitudinal position of all 139 morningside (top row) and eveningside (bottom row) convection reversal boundary (CRB) events for passes that enters and exits within the dawn 4 < MLT < 8 and dusk 16 < MLT < 20 sectors at 55 CGLat for IMF Bz < 0. The measured CRB positions are marked by a circle, while the predicted CRB positions are located at the end of the vertical bars. The left column examines the CRB dependence on IMF Bz, while the right column examines the IMF By dependence. Two data points for IMF Bz < 10 nT are excluded from the figure to obtain a better resolution for the majority of events. convection reconfiguration time [Weimer, 2001, and references therein]. The Astrid-2 satellite is observed to cross the high-latitude ionosphere poleward of 55 CGLat in 20– 24 min which translates into an IMF averaging window length of 40– 44 min. The resolution of the ‘‘Level 2’’ ACE data prior to averaging is 4 min, and model input parameters are in GSM coordinates. 3. Comparison of the Dawn and Dusk Convection Reversal Boundaries [10] We examine the model performance in predicting the CRBs for IMF Bz < 0 conditions and the relatively simple two-cell convection pattern as observed by Astrid-2 polar cap passes in the Northern Hemisphere. A CRB is defined here as the location of zero electric field in the dawn-dusk direction. The analysis is limited to passes that enters and exits the dawn 4 < MLT < 8 sector and the dusk 16 < MLT < 20 sector at 55 CGLat. A total number of 139 orbits satisfy the Bz < 0 condition of all 312 orbits that pass within these sectors. [11] Separating each pass in its pair of a morningside and eveningside CRB location for both the measured and the predicted data sets, we note that there is a characteristic IMF dependence of their absolute latitudinal CRB positions. Figure 1 illustrates the morningside and eveningside position in CGLat versus IMF Bz (left column) and IMF By (right column) as measured by Astrid-2 (circle) and pre- dicted by the Weimer model. The predicted CRB positions are found at the end of the vertical bars. Note that the CRBs shift from a duskward offset to a dawnward offset as By changes sign from negative to positive. This is an expected result [e.g., Shue and Weimer, 1994] that may be explained by an IMF By-dependent magnetotail rotation about the Sun-Earth line [e.g., Siscoe and Sanchez, 1987]. We also observe the expected trend that the CRB locations expand equatorward as the IMF Bz component becomes increasingly more negative. As we separate the eveningside Bydependent CRB distributions by a horizontal line at CGLat = 79, we note the apparent separation of the Bz-dependent distributions in two subsets, each indicating the same IMF Bz-dependence. Figure 1 shows, moreover, that where there are more extreme differences between the observed and model CRB locations, the model is most often in the middle. The bars point down (equatorward) where the observed locations are high, and the bars point up (poleward) where the observed locations are low. [12] We shall hereby examine whether there is any systematic behavior in the magnitude or the direction of the relative CRB differences (length of the vertical bars in Figure 1) to the solar wind input. The model performance in predicting the CRBs is quantified by the latitudinal difference between the location of the observed and predicted CRB, where m and e denote the dawnside (morning) and duskside (evening) differences, respectively. A negative value signifies that the observed CRB lies equatorward of SMP 27 - 4 ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION Figure 2. Measured (black and red) and model electric field (green) versus time above 55 CGLat for four examples of the relative positions of the measured (red) and the model (green) CRBs (see text for type definitions). The red curve is a 60-sec running average of the measured 1-sec resolution electric field (black curve). The blue curve shows the Weimer potential (in kV) along the Astrid-2 orbit. Entry and exit locations in CGLat and MLT are shown in the lower left and right corners, respectively. A vertical dotted line marks the instance of maximum CGLat. Model input parameters from ACE are shown in the upper right corners for the propagation time in the top left of each plot. The correlation coefficient (r) and the standard deviation of the magnitude of the differences (sdev) are calculated between the red and green smoothed electric fields. The time in UT (top right) refers to the start point at 55 CGLat. See color version of this figure at back of this issue. the model CRB. We may therefore define four types of situations according to the relative latitudinal positions of the model and the observed CRB. Type ‘‘A’’ denotes that both the morning and evening model cells are shifted duskward relative to the observed ones. Type ‘‘B’’ denotes that both model cells are found poleward of the observed cells. Types ‘‘C’’ and ‘‘D’’ correspond to a dawnward and equatorward model shift, respectively. [13] Figure 2 illustrates an example of the observed and predicted electric fields of each type for which a maximum correlation is found between the Weimer model and the Astrid-2 convection electric fields. The dawnside and duskside CRB latitudinal differences for these cases are found in the upper left corner of each plot together with the estimated propagation time (tp) from ACE. The black curve shows the 1-sec resolution Astrid-2 duskward electric field component, while the red curve is the approximately 60-sec running average of the same. The duskward component of the derived Weimer model electric field along the Astrid-2 orbit is shown as a green curve, while the blue curve is the along-track Weimer electric potential (kV). The solar wind input parameters to the model as well as the start time (UT) at the point of entry are shown explicitly in the upper right corners. The correlation coefficient and standard deviation between the 60-sec running average Astrid-2 electric field (red curve) and the Weimer electric field (green curve) are found at the bottom. [14] The total number of cases for each type and the resulting mean, maximum, minimum, and standard deviation of the dawnside and duskside CRB latitudinal differences, m and e, are displayed in Table 1. No apparent dependence on IMF, solar wind density, or solar wind electric field could be found for any one of these types as might be expected when comparing type B with type D, or types A and C, such as a stronger southward Bz for type B than for type D, with type B two-cell convection patterns Table 1. Statistical Information on the Relative Locations of the Two CRBs for a Measured and Modeled Two-Cell Convection Patterna Type Number hmi hei max(jmj) max(jej) min(jmj) min(jej) std(jmj) std(jej) A B C D 27 57 30 25 1.83 2.08 1.64 1.95 1.96 2.54 2.22 2.26 5.42 6.88 4.03 5.89 5.47 7.80 6.26 8.97 0.17 0.11 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.17 0.10 0.03 1.24 1.52 1.16 1.63 1.67 1.73 1.75 2.47 a m and e refer to the morningside and eveningside CRBs, respectively. 27 - 5 SMP ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION Figure 3. The relative latitude separation between the measured (circle in Figure 1) and the predicted CRB locations for the pair of morningside and eveningside CRBs. Type A is defined as those cases where the morningside measured to predicted difference in CRB latitude is negative and the eveningside difference is positive. The latitude measure is derived as the sum of the magnitude of these two differences. See text for the complete set of type definitions. located at lower latitudes for Astrid-2 as compared with the model. This is further illustrated in Figure 3. However, it seems that the offsets are minimized as IMF becomes increasingly more negative (left column). [15] There are a total of 14 ‘‘perfect matches’’ of all 139 passes, which is arbitrarily defined as the case when the relative latitudinal differences between the observed and model CRB locations at dawn and dusk are both <1 CGLat. Extending the limit to within 2 CGLat results in 49 ‘‘perfect matches.’’ As we move the limit up by increments of 1 CGLat, we get the distribution of the number of ‘‘perfect matches’’ as is displayed in Table 2. In 79% of the cases the agreement is within 4 CGLat. This corresponds to an 515 km distance at 1000 km altitude. Caution should therefore be employed when applying the present model to the study of convection reversal boundary locations at spatial scales <500 km. 4. Comparing Observed and Model Electric Field Magnitudes [16] To what degree can the model provide a realistic convection flow velocity in the high-latitude ionosphere? One way to approach the subject is to compare the smoothed (red curves) electric field observations and the predicted model mean values (green curves) of the absolute magnitude of the electric field above 55 CGLat. The data set is separated into three categories; Bz > 1, Bz < 1, and 1 < Bz < 1 nT, respectively. [17] Figure 4 illustrates the average of the absolute electric field magnitude for the observed and modeled data in each pass for these categories as well as a plot including all the data. The optimum linear fits are shown in the upper left corner of each plot using a least squares fit technique. The solid line is the best linear fit, whereas the dotted line corresponds to y = x. We observe that the measured average electric field is larger in general than the predicted value by 25% for all data (r = 0.79) or by 31% for Bz < 1 nT (r = 0.69), while the best correspondence is found for the two Bz > 1 nT categories illustrated in the right column of Figure 4. It should be noted, however, that the correlation coefficient is lower for this category with r 0.60. As we instead examine the actual electric fields (red and green curves in Figure 2) point-by-point at 10-sec resolution for all 780 passes, we find that the observed field is on the average only 10% larger than the model field (see Figure 5). In dividing the data set in two subgroups after IMF Bz, we also observe a higher correlation for southward IMF than for northward IMF, although the measured field is now 14% larger than the predicted field for Bz < 0. [18] The reason(s) for the deviation from the one-to-one relationship between the observed and the predicted electric fields is most likely found as a combination of the following: (1) The measured electric field may experience nonzero offsets at lower latitudes owing to inexact spin axis Table 2. Number of Cases for Each 1 Bin With Both the Dawnside and Duskside Model to Observation CRB Latitudinal Relative Distance Being Less Than the Indicated Numbera < 1 <2 <3 <4 <5 <6 <7 <8 <9 14 49 80 110 120 129 136 137 139 a The total number of examined cases is 139. SMP 27 - 6 ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION Figure 4. The averages taken over the complete passages above 55 CGLat of the absolute electric field magnitudes for Astrid-2 versus the derived Weimer model electric field. The data set is divided in three subgroups after IMF Bz. Optimum linear fits and correlation coefficients are shown as well as the number of cases in each group. information, (2) the Weimer model field is unable [Weimer, 2001] to predict the large electric fields at the CRBs, or (3) the measured field poleward of the CRBs may de facto be larger than the predicted field. The second explanation is probably the most important one, since the electric potentials at the CRBs do not have as sharp gradients or electric fields as the actual fields owing to the resulting smoothing of the spherical harmonic fitting process. This is, e.g., observed in Figure 2 on the dawnside for orbit 1127, where the observed electric field is almost twice as large as the predicted field. The same effect is e.g. seen in Figure 5b for electric field magnitudes larger than, say 50 mV/m, with higher densities of data points below (above) y = x for negative ( positive) electric fields. [19] The perhaps somewhat unexpected result, that the 10sec resolution data comparison yields better correlations with the model electric field than was shown for the averaged fields, may be explained using the same reasoning. The total number of points at or near the CRBs are far less than the number of points both poleward and equatorward of the CRB regions. At the same time we expect optimal correlations in the regions away from the CRBs. Thus when using the 10-sec resolution data and binning the data from many orbits together (see Figure 5), we expect a majority of data points to be in the regions away from the CRB. However, when first averaging the data from each pass for all passes (see Figure 4) and then calculating the correlation coefficient and regression parameters, it seems that the small deviation in each pass is accumulated and overrated. The result is that the 10-sec electric field comparison show improved correlations over the averaged data set. [20] In studying the distribution of the correlation coefficient between the observed and predicted electric fields for the different solar wind input parameters, we note that the model performs generally better for IMF Bz < 0 than for Bz > 0. This is illustrated in Figure 6 that shows the square of the correlation coefficient for all 780 orbits versus IMF Bz, IMF By , the xGSM component of the solar wind velocity, and the proton solar wind dynamic pressure. The vertical lines mark the median value for each solar wind parameter, while the horizontal line marks the median correlation coefficient value of r = 0.79. It is seen that 72% of all 390 cases above r = 0.79 are found on the lefthand side of the median at about Bz = 0.0 nT, while only 28% are found on the opposite side for IMF Bz > 0. The opposite is true for the other half below r = 0.79. The corresponding analysis for the remaining three solar wind parameters do not indicate such a clear offset as the Bz distribution does. The Bz distribution average for the entire set is located at Bz = 1.5 nT and r = 0.88. It thus seems that the model works better for Bz < 0 conditions than for Bz > 0 conditions. This is not entirely unexpected, owing to the limited ability of the parameterization of the model potential to account for smaller scale structures in the polar cap which are more frequent during positive IMF Bz. 5. Northward IMF [21] Although the model works better for southward IMF conditions, there are still some nice examples of good correspondence between the model predictions and observations for northward IMF. Owing to the inherent dynamics involved during northward IMF, we restrict the analysis to ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION SMP 27 - 7 Figure 5. (a) Astrid-2 electric field versus Weimer electric field (red and green curves of Figure 2) for all 431 northward IMF cases. Data resolution is one point every 10 seconds along each orbit. The optimized linear fits and correlation coefficients are shown in the upper left corner. (b) Same format as Figure 5a but for all 349 southward IMF cases. (c) Same format as Figure 5a but for the complete set of all 780 cases. describing a few cases rather than presenting a statistical survey. [22] There are 18 orbits of all 312 that pass through the dawn-dusk MLT sectors defined previously that also satisfy Bz > 3.0 nT and jBz/Byj > 2.0. Figure 7a shows three cases which display a clear four-cell electric field signature and one case (orbit 2173) of a distorted two-cell convection pattern, as indicated by the Weimer potential curve (blue) and the electric fields (red and green curves). The observed electric field (black) is highly fluctuating as is expected for these IMF conditions. Despite the rather poor mathematical correlation, we note that there is a decent fit with four cells, although the locations and magnitudes are not in qualitative agreement. [23] Figure 7b illustrates four additional events taken from the set of 18 orbits. Note that only one case (orbit 881) displays a clear four-cell convection pattern which also corresponds to the event of highest solar wind speed (Vx = 536 km/s). All four cases have a similar jBz/Byj ratio of 2.4 and a similar solar wind proton density of 5 cm3 but a solar wind speed Vx that steadily increases from 380 km/s (orbit 2240) to 536 km/s (orbit 881), clockwise in Figure 7b. Moreover, the observed electric field for orbit 2397 is suggestive of a combined lower latitude viscous cell and a higher latitude lobe cell convection signature [e.g., Burch et al., 1985; Crooker et al., 1998; Eriksson et al., 2002, and references therein] that the model fails to predict on the duskside, with a positive electric field embedded in a wider region of negative electric field. 6. On the Importance of Individual Timing [24] The Astrid-2 satellite crosses the region poleward of 55 CGLat in 20– 24 min, its maximum latitude located above 80. It is most likely then that the IMF and solar wind affecting the electric field measured early in the pass is different from that affecting the electric field towards the end of the polar cap crossing. [25] Assume that it takes 25 min for the satellite to traverse the polar region above 55 CGLat. The IMF data are therefore averaged over a 20 + 25 = 45 min long interval, adding 20 min prior to the point of entry, since it is assumed that the IMF 20 min prior to any measurement affects that particular measurement. We then take the 20 min SMP 27 - 8 ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION Figure 6. The square of the correlation coefficient versus IMF Bz (top left), IMF By (top right), xGSM component of the solar wind velocity (bottom left) and the solar wind dynamic pressure (bottom right) for all 780 cases. The vertical lines mark the median value for each parameter. The horizontal line marks the median correlation coefficent, r = 0.79, i.e. r2 = 0.63. The distributions are thus separated in two halves with 390 data points on each side of the median lines. The number of data points in each sector are shown explicitly. interval and shift it by incremental steps of 5 min within the 45 min period, starting at the point of entry. The resulting five 20-min averaged intervals of the IMF within the 45 min period thus correspond to five evenly distributed measurements along the satellite track. [26] Since the Bz component of the IMF is expected to have the greatest impact on the solar wind-magnetosphere coupling, we limit the study to the following two cases. IMF turns southward: Bz > 2.0 nT when Astrid-2 moves poleward at 55 CGLat and Bz < 2.0 nT when the satellite passes 55 CGLat moving equatorward. There are six orbits of all 780 that satisfy this criterion irrespective of local time. Another seven orbits meet the opposite criterion of IMF turning northward during the polar cap pass, Bz < 2.0 nT at the 55 entry point and Bz > 2.0 nT at the exit point, respectively. [27] Figure 8a shows four examples of all six southward turning events. The set of five Weimer electric fields, one for each 5-min delayed 20 min averaging window, are plotted on top of the smoothed Astrid-2 electric field (black), as if each single set of IMF and solar wind data results in a model potential distribution that would correspond to the entire polar cap crossing. The color code of red, orange, green, light blue, and dark blue corresponds to the sequence of five 20-min long windows separated by 5 min along the Astrid-2 orbit. The local times of the entry and exit points are shown in the top left and right corners of the plots, while the sequence of IMF Bz (nT), correlation coefficient, and standard deviation of the differences (mV/ m) between the observed and predicted electric fields are shown in the bottom half of the plots. We observe that the red curve for the dusk-to-dawn orbits (2174 and 2418) corresponds best with the measured field in the first half of the pass, while the blue curves do a better job in the second half. The optimum over the complete pass above 55 CGLat is given by the green curve. The midnight-to-noon orbit 1687 suggests that the blue curve does the best job across the whole pass. The smoothed electric field of the dawn-to-dusk orbit 482 seems to fluctuate between the red and blue curves. It is possible that the strong northward IMF early in the pass affects the global state of convection more than the southward IMF. [28] Figure 8b illustrates a few examples for the opposite case of a northward turning IMF. The electric field magnitudes of the dawn-to-dusk orbits 565 and 1025 are best predicted by the red curves, whereas the CRB location seems to correlate best for the blue curves. A maximum correlation and minimum standard deviation are obtained for the green curve of orbit 1931. The midnight-to-noon orbit 1796 suggests that an optimized correspondence is obtained for the red curve, rather than the blue curve, across the whole pass. Note that this is just the opposite situation to that of orbit 1687 for a southward turning IMF (see Figure 8a). [29] From studying Figure 8 it seems that a southward IMF turning during the pass does have an improving effect on the correlation and that a weighting scheme of the individually delayed Weimer potentials could be found from studying comparisons such as those described above. The northward turning events are not as clear in this respect. The ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION SMP 27 - 9 Figure 7. (a) Three examples of a clear four-cell convection pattern and one example (2173) of a distored two-cell convection pattern of those 18 dawn-dusk sector events that satisfy jBz/Byj > 2.0 and Bz > 3.0 nT. Same format as in Figure 2. (b) Another four northward IMF cases of all 18 events. See color version of this figure at back of this issue. two dusk-to-dawn orbits (2174 and 2418) and the midnightto-noon orbit (1687) are consistent with the residual AMIE potential patterns for negative changes in IMF Bz that grow in magnitude and time but being fixed in location [Ridley et al., 1997, 1998]. By comparing the two midnight-to-noon orbits (1687 and 1796) it seems that a southward turning of the IMF is a faster process than the northward turning, as was noted by Hairston and Heelis [1995]. Here, we have been using a ‘‘patched approximation’’ of a few different potentials calculated from the solar wind parameters at a few different times. This approach is computationally simple, yet it exemplifies the importance of properly accounting for time variations. Eventually, for the purpose of comparing satellite electric field data with the Weimer model a ‘‘transfer function’’ should be used which relates the local potential (and electric field) at the position of the satellite to SMP 27 - 10 ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION Figure 8. (a) Smoothed Astrid-2 electric field (black) and five Weimer electric field curves (colored) corresponding to five 20-min long solar wind averaging intervals, each separated by 5 min along the orbit, as the IMF turns southward during the crossing. The sequence of five 20-min averaged IMF Bz values at the bottom of each plot (left to right) was used as input to the Weimer model producing the red, orange, green, light blue, and dark blue curves, respectively. The other solar wind input parameters have been omitted in the figure. (b) Same format as for Figure 8a but corresponding to a northward turning IMF during the crossing. See color version of this figure at back of this issue. the solar wind parameters during some prior time interval. Functionally, this can be expressed as ðq; f; tÞ ¼ ðq; f; hF ð½t Tdel Tint ; t Tdel ÞiÞ; ð3Þ where hF([t Tdel Tint, t Tdel])i is the average of the solar wind input parameters during the time interval [t Tdel Tint, t Tdel] or equivalently, the time interval of length Tint ending at t Tdel, where Tdel accounts for the ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION (minimum) propagation delay time between the solar wind passing the monitoring spacecraft and the time when it starts affecting the ionosphere. 7. Summary and Conclusions [30] This is the first time that an electrodynamic model has been thoroughly compared with an independent set of electric field observations, resulting in an improved understanding of the model ability to predict CRB locations for IMF Bz < 0 and the level of correspondence for electric field amplitudes above 55 CGLat. The Weimer 2000 [Weimer, 2001] electric field model is evaluated by comparing its electric field predictions with the measured convection electric field using the Astrid-2 satellite at a near constant altitude of 1000 km. [31] The Weimer potentials are obtained by applying ACE solar wind data. We derive an electric field in the dawn-dusk direction from the predicted potential distribution along each Astrid-2 orbit and scale it to the satellite altitude, rather than using the potential. The integration of the measured electric field would result in larger relative deviations from the model potential than the electric field comparison. This stems from an integration of electric field uncertainties on the order of 1 mV/m that would result in electric potential offsets on the order of 20 kV at the low-latitude end of the pass. The substorm AL index option is not employed since there are no final AL indices available for 1999. Comparisons are performed with 780 Astrid-2 passes in the Northern Hemisphere above 55 CGLat. The following conclusions can be drawn from the analysis. 1. The morningside and eveningside latitudinal offsets between the observed and the predicted CRB positions are both <3 CGLat for 58% of all 139 examined orbits in the dawn-to-dusk meridian plane for IMF Bz < 0 and the prevailing two-cell convection pattern. A total number of 14 out of all 139 orbits are considered as perfect CRB matches with model to measurement discrepancies at dawn and dusk being <1 CGLat. The observed maximum offset was <9 (see Table 2). However, the relative model to observed locations of morningside and eveningside CRBs as defined by the four types A, B, C, and D do not clearly depend on the input solar wind parameters, such as the magnitude of IMF Bz or the direction of IMF By . 2. The measured mean magnitude of the electric field above 55 CGLat is in general larger than the predicted Weimer field by 25% independent of IMF and by 31% for IMF Bz < 1.0 nT and a correlation coefficient r = 0.69. The corresponding difference for northward IMF is on the order of 10% but exhibits a lower correlation coefficient (r = 0.60). By examining the actual 10-sec resolution electric fields in a point-by-point comparison, we found that this difference decreased to 14% for southward IMF (r = 0.81) and to an almost perfect match for northward IMF that showed a lower correlation coefficient of r = 0.67 though. The apparent improvement seen, e.g., for IMF Bz < 0 from 31% to 14% is an expected result that reflects the two methods employed, since the use of the actual electric fields provide a much larger set of data points with a majority of points located away from the CRBs in regions where the correlation is expected to be much better. SMP 27 - 11 3. The Weimer electric field model generally works better in predicting the electric field magnitude for IMF Bz < 0 than for Bz > 0, with a majority of events centered around Bz = 1.5 nT and r = 0.88. We did not find any significant trends or offsets, however, when examining the possible influences from IMF By, solar wind velocity, or the solar wind dynamic pressure. We note that a general four-cell convection pattern is present in both data and model prediction for several events in the dawn-dusk meridian plane when Bz > 3.0 nT and jBz/Byj > 2.0 are satisfied. However, there are not enough events to draw any final conclusions as to the capability of the model to fully reproduce these convection patterns for this data set, such as the position of CRBs. 4. A clear southward turning of the IMF during the polar cap passes suggests that an improved model prediction is obtained at the end of the pass if a correspondingly delayed set of IMF and solar wind is used as input. These results show that for comparing satellite electric field data with the Weimer model, ideally a ‘‘transfer function’’ should be used which relates the local potential (and electric field) at the position of the satellite to the solar wind parameters during some prior time interval. [32] Acknowledgments. This work was performed at the Alfvén Laboratory, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden. [33] Arthur Richmond thanks Marc R. Hairston and Volodya Papitashvili for their assistance in evaluating this paper. References Blomberg, L. G., G. T. Marklund, P.-A. Lindqvist, and L. Bylander, Astrid2: An advanced auroral microprobe, in Microsatellites as Research Tools, COSPAR Colloquia Ser., vol. 10, pp. 57 – 65, Elsevier Sci., New York, 1999. Burch, J. L., P. H. Reiff, J. D. Menietti, R. A. Heelis, W. B. Hanson, S. D. Shawhan, E. G. Shelley, M. Sugiura, D. R. Weimer, and J. D. Winningham, IMF By-dependent plasma flow and Birkeland currents in the dayside magnetosphere, 1, Dynamics Explorer observations, J. Geophys. Res., 90, 1577, 1985. Crooker, N. U., J. G. Lyon, and J. A. Fedder, MHD model merging with IMF By: Lobe cells, sunward polar cap convection, and overdraped lobes, J. Geophys. Res., 103, 9143, 1998. Eriksson, S., J. W. Bonnell, L. G. Blomberg, R. E. Ergun, G. T. Marklund, and C. W. Carlson, Lobe cell convection and field-aligned currents poleward of the region 1 current system, J. Geophys. Res., 107(A8), 1185, doi:10.1029/2001JA005041, 2002. Hairston, M. R., and R. A. Heelis, Response time of the polar ionospheric convection pattern to changes in the north-south direction of the IMF, Geophys. Res. Lett., 22, 631, 1995. Heppner, J. P., and N. C. Maynard, Empirical high-latitude electric field models, J. Geophys. Res., 92, 4467, 1987. Lockwood, M., S. W. H. Cowley, and M. P. Freeman, The excitation of plasma convection in the high-latitude ionosphere, J. Geophys. Res., 95, 7961, 1990. Marklund, G. T., L. G. Blomberg, and S. Persson, Astrid-2, an advanced microsatellite for auroral research, Ann. Geophys., 19, 589, 2001. Maynard, N. C., E. A. Bielecki, and H. F. Burdick, Instrumentation for vector electric field measurements from DE-B, Space Sci. Instrum., 5, 523, 1981. Papitashvili, V. O., B. A. Belov, D. S. Faermark, Y. I. Feldstein, S. A. Golyshev, L. I. Gromova, and A. E. Levitin, Electric potential patterns in the northern and southern polar regions parameterized by the interplanetary magnetic field, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 13,251, 1994. Rich, F. J., and M. Hairston, Large-scale convection patterns observed by DMSP, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 3827, 1994. Ridley, A. J., G. Lu, C. R. Clauer, and V. O. Papitashvili, Ionospheric convection during nonsteady interplanetary magnetic field conditions, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 14,563, 1997. Ridley, A. J., G. Lu, C. R. Clauer, and V. O. Papitashvili, A statistical study of the ionospheric convection response to changing interplanetary mag- SMP 27 - 12 ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION netic field conditions using the assimilative mapping of ionospheric electrodynamics technique, J. Geophys. Res., 103, 4023, 1998. Ruohoniemi, J. M., and R. A. Greenwald, Statistical patterns of high-latitude convection obtained from Goose Bay HF radar observations, J. Geophys. Res., 101, 21,743, 1996. Shue, J.-H., and D. R. Weimer, The relationship between ionospheric convection and magnetic activity, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 401, 1994. Siscoe, G. L., and E. Sanchez, An MHD model for the complete open magnetotail boundary, J. Geophys. Res., 92, 7405, 1987. Weimer, D. R., Models of high-latitude electric potentials derived with a least error fit of spherical harmonic coefficients, J. Geophys. Res., 100, 19,595, 1995. Weimer, D. R., A flexible IMF dependent model of high-latitude electric potentials having ‘‘space weather’’ applications, Geophys. Res. Lett, 23, 2549, 1996. Weimer, D. R., An improved model of ionospheric electric potentials including substorm perturbations and application to the Geospace Environment Modeling November 24, 1996, event, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 407, 2001. L. G. Blomberg, Alfvén Laboratory, Royal Institute of Technology, SE10044 Stockholm, Sweden. (blomberg@plasma.kth.se) S. Eriksson, Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Colorado, 1234 Innovation Drive, Boulder, CO 80303, USA. (eriksson@lasp.colorado.edu) D. R. Weimer, Mission Research Corporation, 589 West Hollis Street, Suite 201, Nashua, NH 03062, USA. (dweimer@mrcnh.com) ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION Figure 2. Measured (black and red) and model electric field (green) versus time above 55 CGLat for four examples of the relative positions of the measured (red) and the model (green) CRBs (see text for type definitions). The red curve is a 60-sec running average of the measured 1-sec resolution electric field (black curve). The blue curve shows the Weimer potential (in kV) along the Astrid-2 orbit. Entry and exit locations in CGLat and MLT are shown in the lower left and right corners, respectively. A vertical dotted line marks the instance of maximum CGLat. Model input parameters from ACE are shown in the upper right corners for the propagation time in the top left of each plot. The correlation coefficient (r) and the standard deviation of the magnitude of the differences (sdev) are calculated between the red and green smoothed electric fields. The time in UT (top right) refers to the start point at 55 CGLat. SMP 27 - 4 ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION Figure 7. (a) Three examples of a clear four-cell convection pattern and one example (2173) of a distored two-cell convection pattern of those 18 dawn-dusk sector events that satisfy jBz/Byj > 2.0 and Bz > 3.0 nT. Same format as in Figure 2. (b) Another four northward IMF cases of all 18 events. SMP 27 - 9 ERIKSSON ET AL.: GLOBAL ELECTRIC FIELD MODEL EVALUATION Figure 8. (a) Smoothed Astrid-2 electric field (black) and five Weimer electric field curves (colored) corresponding to five 20-min long solar wind averaging intervals, each separated by 5 min along the orbit, as the IMF turns southward during the crossing. The sequence of five 20-min averaged IMF Bz values at the bottom of each plot (left to right) was used as input to the Weimer model producing the red, orange, green, light blue, and dark blue curves, respectively. The other solar wind input parameters have been omitted in the figure. (b) Same format as for Figure 8a but corresponding to a northward turning IMF during the crossing. SMP 27 - 10