UCL ‘Decisional Tools’ for the design of cost-effective and robust bioprocesses Suzanne S. Farid PhD CEng FIChemE Professor in Biochemical Engineering University College London s.farid@ucl.ac.uk © UCL SF 2014 Workshop: Vaccine process development – better tools for better vaccines, London, UK, 5 Nov 2014 Acknowledgements UCL Decisional Tools researchers (past & present) include: Adam Stonier Daria Popova Janice Lim Alma Antemie Anuradha Rajapakse Sofia Simaria James Pollock Allen Joseph Mustafa Mustafa Wenhao Nie Michael Jenkins Edmund George Cyrus Siganporia Tania Chilima Kais Lakhdar Richard Allmendinger Christos Stamatis Paige Ashouri Sally Hassan Yang Yang Inass Hassan UCL Academic Collaborators include: Prof Nigel Titchener-Hooker, Dr Yuhong Zhou Dr Lazaros Papageorgiou Industrial collaborators in Decisional Tools research include: Thomas Dazskowski (Bayer) Richard Turner, Ray Field (MedImmune) Martin Smith, Dave Pain, Ashley Westlake (Lonza Biologics) Sa Ho (Pfizer) Roger Scott, Stephen Flanagan (Eli Lilly) Morten Munk (CMC) Richard Francis (ex-BTG) Dave Smith, Kim Warren , Jon Rowley (Lonza Walkersville) Tim Allsopp (Neusentis) Thierry Bovy, Matthieu Egloff, Jose Castillo (ATMI / Pall) (Reprinted with permission from Lonza Ltd) Funding: EPSRC, BRIC BBSRC, TSB © UCL SF 2014 2 Biotech Drug Development Cycle Challenges & Opportunities for SUT p(success) 66% 40% 72% 97% = 17% # candidates 5.5 3.6 1.4 1.0 = 1 cost/launch = $1.8bn non-clinical cost per candidate = ~$65M FIH = First in human, FED = First efficacy dose, DP= Decision point DiMasi al. Clin Pharmaco Therap 2010;87:272-277. Reichert MAbs. 2009; 1(4):387-9. Paul et al. 2010. Nat Rev Drug Discov 9(3):203-214. 3 © UCL SF et2014 Bioprocess Decisional Tools – Domain Biotech Drug Development Cycle Decisions Uncertainties Portfolio selection? Process design? Clinical (e.g. doses, transition probabilities) Capacity Sourcing? Build single / multi-product facility? Technical (e.g. titres, equipment failure) Commercial (e.g. sales forecasts) Constraints Time Capacity Budget Regulatory Skilled labour Metrics Speed Ease of scale-up Cost of goods Fit to facility Robustness © UCL SF 2014 Farid, 2012, In Biopharmaceutical Production Technology, pp717-74 4 Scope of UCL Decisional Tools Typical questions addressed: Process synthesis & facility design Which manufacturing strategy is the most cost-effective? How do the rankings of manufacturing strategies change with scale? Or from clinical to commercial production? Key economic drivers? Economies of scale? Probability of failing to meet cost/demand targets? Robustness? Portfolio management & capacity planning Portfolio selection - Which candidate therapies to select? Capacity sourcing - In-house v CMO production? Impact of company size and phase transition probabilities on choices? © UCL SF 2014 5 UCL Decisional Tools - Approaches Base Case Analysis MultiVariate Analysis Sensitivity Analysis Process Economics MultiObjective Optimis’n Risk Analysis MultiCriteria DecisionMaking © UCL SF 2014 6 Benchmarking Costs - Capital Investment Manufacturing facility Capital investment (US $M) Area (sq ft) 250 310,000 53 80,000 30,000 Biogen – LSM, RTP, NC, USA (2001) 175 245,000 90,000 Boehringer Ingelheim expansion -Biberach, Germany (2003) 315 - 90,000 Lonza Biologics expansion -Portsmouth, NH, USA (2004) 207 270,000 60,000 Amgen – BioNext, West Greenwich, RI, USA (2005) 500 500,000 180,000 Genentech NIMO** - Oceanside, CA, USA (2005) 380 470,000 90,000 Imclone - Branchburg BB50, NJ, USA (2005) 260 250,000 99,000 Biogen Idec – Hillerød, Denmark (2007*) 350 366,000 90,000 Lonza Biologics- Tuas, Singapore (2009*) 250 - 80,000 Genentech expansion – Vacaville, CA, USA (2009*) 600 380,000 200,000 Genentech – Vacaville, CA, USA (2000) Imclone -Branchburg BB36, NJ, USA (2001) Total Production Bioreactor Capacity (L) 96,000 * Expected completion date ** Originally built by Biogen Idec and sold to Genentech in 2005 Benchmark: $10’s of millions for 1,000 - 5,000L facilities $100’s of millions for 90,000 - 200,000L facilities © UCL SF 2014 Farid (2007) J Chrom B 848: 8-18 7 Benchmarking Costs - COG Cost of Goods (COG) Emphasis on improving costs has triggered a drive to reduce commercial manufacturing costs from $1000’s/g to $100’s/g or even $10’s/g. Challenges with deriving benchmark COG/g values: – Data has little value unless the • annual production rate and • either titre or fermentation capacity are stated with the cost. – Basis for cost calculations is not always specified. Hidden costs – ancillary activities (e.g. media/buffer preparation, CIP, QCQA) – process development costs (e.g. cleaning validation studies) – batch failure, risk – environmental monitoring (e.g. HVAC systems), change-over time – learning curve effects © UCL SF 2014 Farid (2009) In Process Scale Purification of Antibodies, U Gottschalk (Ed), Ch 12, pp239-261 8 Scope of UCL Decisional Tools Manufacturing Economics Examples: Fed-batch versus perfusion processes for commercial mAbs Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation for mAbs Single-use planar versus microcarriers for cell therapies © UCL SF 2014 9 Fed-batch versus perfusion culture (New build) Fed-batch versus perfusion systems (Pollock et al, 2013a) Scenario: New build for commercial mAb prodn Impact of scale on cost Impact of titre variability and failures rates on robustness Pollock, Ho & Farid, 2013, Biotech Bioeng, 110(1): 206–219 10 Fed-batch versus perfusion culture (New build) Commercial products using perfusion cell culture technologies Pollock, Ho & Farid, 2013, Biotech Bioeng, 110(1): 206–219 11 Fed-batch versus perfusion culture (New build) Scenario trade-offs: FB v SPIN v ATF ATF Perfusion Spin-filter Perfusion LEVEL CONTROL LEVEL CONTROL QUICK CONNECT FLUID IN LET FLUID INLET AD DIT ION PUMP ADDITION PUMP VALVE FILTRATE PUMP LIQUID LEVEL SPIN FILTER FIL TRAT E 0.2 MICRON HOLLOW FIBRE FILTER CASSETTE HOUSING L IQUID LEVEL CONT RO LLER EXH AUST PR OCESS VESSEL DIAPH RAGM AI R IN LET ON OFF ATF PU MP STAND FILTER PRO: Investment DSP consumable cost Steady state cell densities Failure rates CON: Equipment failure rate USP consumable cost Scale limitations Validation burden Compare the cost-effectiveness and robustness of fed-batch and perfusion cell culture strategies across a range of titres and production scales for new build Pollock, Ho & Farid, 2013, Biotech Bioeng, 110(1): 206–219 12 Fed-batch versus perfusion culture (New build) Key assumptions Suites Cell Culture Suite FB SPIN ATF Seed #1 Seed #1 Seed #1 Reactor type Seed #2 Seed #2 Seed #2 CC CC CC Cent DF DF Variable FB SPIN ATF SS/SUB SS SUB Cell culture time (days) 12 60 60 Max VCD (106 cells/ml) 10 15 50 Max bioreactor vol. (L) 20,000 2000 1500 Max perf. rate (vv/day) – 1 1.5 65% 68% 69% 22 5 5 2 – 10 20% FB 45% FB 170-850 2 x FB 6.5 x FB Process yield UF Annual # batches Product conc. (g/L) DSP Suite Viral Secure Suite ProA ProA ProA VI VI VI Pool Pool CEX CEX CEX UFDF UFDF UFDF VRF VRF VRF AEX AEX AEX UFDF UFDF UFDF Productivity (mg/L/day) Pollock, Ho & Farid, 2013, Biotech Bioeng, 110(1): 206–219 13 Fed-batch versus perfusion culture (New build) Results: Impact of scale on COG = Indirect = Material = Labour Comparison of the cost of goods per gram for an equivalent fed-batch titre of 5 g/L Critical cell density difference for ATF to compete with FB - x3 fold. Pollock, Ho & Farid, 2013, Biotech Bioeng, 110(1): 206–219 14 Fed-batch versus perfusion culture (New build) Uncertainties and failure rates Process event p(Failure) Consequence Fed-batch culture contamination 1% Spin-filter culture contamination 6% Spin-filter filter failure 4% ATF culture contamination 6% ATF filter failure 2% In process filtration failure – general 5% 4 hour delay & 2% yield loss 20 % 4 hour delay & 2% yield loss In process filtration failure– post viral inactivation Batch loss Batch loss & discard two pooled perfusate volumes Batch loss & no pooled volumes are discarded Batch loss & discard two pooled perfusate volumes Replace filter & discard next 24 hours of perfusate Pollock, Ho & Farid, 2013, Biotech Bioeng, 110(1): 206–219 15 Fed-batch versus perfusion culture (New build) Results: Impact of variability on robustness Annual throughput and COG distributions under uncertainty 500kg demand, 5g/L titre Pollock, Ho & Farid, 2013, Biotech Bioeng, 110(1): 206–219 16 Fed-batch versus perfusion culture (New build) Results: Impact of variability on robustness Annual throughput and COG distributions under uncertainty 500kg demand, 5g/L titre Pollock, Ho & Farid, 2013, Biotech Bioeng, 110(1): 206–219 17 Fed-batch versus perfusion culture (New build) Results: Reconciling operational and economic benefits Operational benefits dominate 1. FB 2. ATF 3. SPIN 1. FB = ATF 2. SPIN 1. ATF 2. FB 3. SPIN Economic benefits dominate ─ fed-batch, -- spin-filter, ··· ATF Pollock, Ho & Farid, 2013, Biotech Bioeng, 110(1): 206–219 18 Fed-batch versus perfusion culture (New build) Summary Process economics case study insights: • Economic competitiveness of perfusion depends on – – – – – – – Cell density increase achievable Media perfusion rates Failure rate Pooling strategy Qualitative concerns e.g. operational complexity Scale of production Titre • For a fair economic comparison it is important to capture the impact on downstream processing © UCL SF 2014 19 Scope of UCL Decisional Tools Manufacturing Economics Examples: Fed-batch versus perfusion processes for commercial mAbs Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation for mAbs Single-use planar versus microcarriers for cell therapies © UCL SF 2014 20 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation © UCL SF 2014 Simaria, Turner & Farid, 2012, Biochem Eng J, 69, 144-154 21 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation Scenario: • • • Large biotech company with projected portfolio of mAbs for late phase/launch New build Candidates have different doses, patient numbers, titres, impurity loads, etc Questions: Determine optimal facility configuration in terms of: Fermentation scale and number of DSP trains Purification sequence Equipment sizing So as to minimise COG and late product deliveries whilst satisfying yield and purity targets © UCL SF 2014 Simaria, Turner & Farid, 2012, Biochem Eng J, 69, 144-154 22 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation Decision Levels LEVELS Facility DECISION VARIABLES USP:DSP trains 1:1 | 2:1 | 4:1 | 6:1 Product Challenge: Multiple levels of decisions (e.g. sequence & sizing) & trade-offs (e.g. cost v time) & uncertainties (e.g. titre) Purification sequence SEQ1 | SEQ2 | SEQ3 | SEQ4 Unit operation Equipment sizing strategy (h,d,nCYC,nCOL)1,a | (h,d,nCYC,nCOL)1,b Approach: Genetic algorithms linked to bioprocess cost of goods (COG) models h=bed height, d=diameter, nCYC=nr cycles, nCOL=nr columns © UCL SF 2014 Simaria, Turner & Farid, 2012, Biochem Eng J, 69, 144-154 23 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation Problem definition - Examples of possible configurations Alternative I Protein A BH=20 DIAM=100 NRCYC=3 NRCOL=1 Alternative II Protein A BH=18 DIAM=70 NRCYC=2 NRCOL=2 Alternative III CEX BH=18 DIAM=100 NRCYC=4 NRCOL=1 © UCL SF 2014 CEX BH=15 DIAM=60 NRCYC=5 NRCOL=2 CEX BH=20 DIAM=80 NRCYC=3 NRCOL=2 Membrane AEX capsule size AEX BH=20 DIAM=50 NRCYC=2 NRCOL=1 AEX BH=22 DIAM=60 NRCYC=1 NRCOL=1 Range of variation: • Bed height: 15-25 cm • Diameter: 50-200 cm • Nr cycles: 1-10 • Nr columns: 1-4 HIC BH=20 DIAM=80 NRCYC=4 NRCOL=1 24 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation Results: Decision making: which sequence should be selected? = Sequence with lowest COG/g Impurity targets • Host cell proteins (HCP) Sequences that meet HCP target Scenario: 6USP:1DSP (tight DSP window) Product: mAb3 Titre: 5g/L. Bioreactor scale: 6 x 2,500L © UCL SF 2014 Simaria, Turner & Farid, 2012, Biochem Eng J, 69, 144-154 >10% reduction 5-10% reduction similar 5-10% increase >10% increase %change in COG/g rel. to platform 25 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation Results: Decision making: which sequence should be selected? = Sequence with lowest COG/g that meets HCP target Impurity targets • Host cell proteins (HCP) Sequences that meet HCP target Scenario: 6USP:1DSP (tight DSP window) Product: mAb3 Titre: 5g/L. Bioreactor scale: 6 x 2,500L © UCL SF 2014 Simaria, Turner & Farid, 2012, Biochem Eng J, 69, 144-154 >10% reduction 5-10% reduction similar 5-10% increase >10% increase %change in COG/g rel. to platform 26 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation Results: Decision making: which sequence should be selected? = Sequence with lowest COG/g that meets HCP target and aggregates target Impurity targets • Host cell proteins (HCP) Sequences that meet aggregates target • Aggregates Scenario: 6USP:1DSP (tight DSP window) Product: mAb3 Titre: 5g/L. Bioreactor scale: 6 x 2,500L © UCL SF 2014 Simaria, Turner & Farid, 2012, Biochem Eng J, 69, 144-154 >10% reduction 5-10% reduction similar 5-10% increase >10% increase %change in COG/g rel. to platform 27 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation Decision making: equipment sizing strategies in a multi-product facility EAs provide a set of alternative ‘optimal’ strategies with similar COG/g values mAb 1 mAb 2 mAb 3 Bubble size proportional to diameter Selection according to decision-maker’s preferences: © UCL SF 2014 Simaria, Turner & Farid, 2012, Biochem Eng J, 69, 144-154 28 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation Decision making: equipment sizing strategies in a multi-product facility EAs provide a set of alternative ‘optimal’ strategies with similar COG/g values mAb 1 mAb 2 mAb 3 Bubble size proportional to diameter Selection according to decision-maker’s preferences: • Maximum column diameter in facility = 1 m (red bubbles: strategies that do not meet) © UCL SF 2014 Simaria, Turner & Farid, 2012, Biochem Eng J, 69, 144-154 29 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation Decision making: equipment sizing strategies in a multi-product facility EAs provide a set of alternative ‘optimal’ strategies with similar COG/g values mAb 1 mAb 2 mAb 3 Bubble size proportional to diameter Selection according to decision-maker’s preferences: • Maximum column diameter in facility = 1 m (red bubbles: strategies that do not meet) • Bed height between 18 and 22 cm (purple bubbles: strategies that do not meet) © UCL SF 2014 Simaria, Turner & Farid, 2012, Biochem Eng J, 69, 144-154 30 Searching large decision spaces Example: Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation Decision making: equipment sizing strategies in a multi-product facility EAs provide a set of alternative ‘optimal’ strategies with similar COG/g values mAb 1 mAb 2 mAb 3 Bubble size proportional to diameter Selection according to decision-maker’s preferences: • Maximum column diameter in facility = 1 m (red bubbles: strategies that do not meet) • Bed height between 18 and 22 cm (purple bubbles: strategies that do not meet) • Minimise nr of columns to purchase (grey bubbles: strategies that do not meet) Yellow bubbles: strategies that meet all criteria © UCL SF 2014 Simaria, Turner & Farid, 2012, Biochem Eng J, 69, 144-154 31 Scope of UCL Decisional Tools Manufacturing Economics Examples: Fed-batch versus perfusion processes for commercial mAbs Chromatography sequence and sizing optimisation for mAbs Single-use planar versus microcarriers for cell therapies © UCL SF 2014 32 Cell Therapy Bioprocess Economics 33 Cell Therapy v. mAbs: Manufacturing Differences • Several CT failures attributed to manufacturing*: - High cost of goods (COG), process variability, loss of clinical efficacy upon scale-up, inadequate characterisation How can cell therapies achieve the manufacturing success of biopharmaceuticals? • ‘Allo’ CTs: Similar product-driven business models • CT v. mAbs manufacturing & supply chain issues: – – – – – – – – Image source: Lonza Limited large-scale bioprocessing options Adherent culture, cells from healthy donors Serum-containing cell culture media Single-use technologies essential Poorly automated, labour-intensive, open Fresh /cryo products Costly cold-chain transportation Point-of-use care *Source: Brandenberger et al, Bioprocess Intnl, March 2011 Supplement 34 Cell Therapy - Cell Culture Challenges mAbs Cell therapies (MSCs) Technologies used in clinical / commercial batches Bioreactors 10-layer vessels Dose per admin 100-2000 mg 100 K – 1 B cells Annual demand 100-1000 kg 1 B – 100 T cells Cell culture yield 1-5 g/L 25,000 cells / cm2 Scale required @ max. demand 6 x 10,000 L SS 6 x 2,000 L SUB 100,000 (!) x 10-layer vessels But can only handle 50-100 x 10-layer vessels / batch 35 © UCL SF 2014 Case study: Allogeneic cell expansion decisions Technology S-curve for cell therapy manufacture TARGET: 10,000 BILLION CELLS PER LOT (eg lot size=10,000 doses, dose=109 cells) . Technology gaps: • S-curve illustrates performance limits of each technology • Microcarrier-SUBs require x2 increase in performance for high demand scenarios (10,000 billion cells/lot) © UCL SF 2014 Simaria et al., Biotech Bioeng (2014) 36 Case study: Allogeneic cell expansion decisions Future performance targets for microcarrier applications Billion cells/lot Production target Base case: 0.5M cells/ml Performance targets Production target can be achieved with different combinations of cells/ml and #SUBs: - Point A: 2.6M cells/ml with 3 SUBs per lot - Point B: 1.3M cells/ml with 6 SUBs per lot © UCL SF 2014 Simaria et al., Biotech Bioeng (2014) 37 Case study: Allogeneic cell expansion decisions Future performance targets for microcarrier applications Characteristics of point X: Billion cells/lot Cell harvest density 20,000 cells/cm2 Microcarrier surface area 8000 cm2/g Microcarrier density 16 g/L But currently: 360-5500 cm2/g (literature) Production target Million cells/ml Base case: 0.5M cells/ml Performance targets Production target can be achieved with different combinations of cells/ml and #SUBs: - Point A: 2.6M cells/ml with 3 SUBs per lot - Point B: 1.3M cells/ml with 6 SUBs per lot © UCL SF 2014 Windows of operation The desired M cells/ml can be achieved with different combinations of microcarrier density, surface area and harvest density. Simaria et al., Biotech Bioeng (2014) 38 Case study: Allogeneic process decisions Cost of goods as %sales • Typical biologics COG = 15% sales • Assumption: cell therapies will have similar gross margins to biologics? *Assumption: reimbursement value of $40K/dose @dose=109cells, 50 doses/lot, demand = 10,000 doses/y © UCL SF 2014 Simaria et al., Biotech Bioeng (2014); Hassan et al. (submitted) 39 UCL Decisional Tools Summary Cell therapy / biotech company Candidate in early phase development with: Early clinical data - eg.product type, dose estimate, patient numbers Early process data - e.g. yields UCL Decisional Tools researchers UCL Decisional Tools outputs can be used to help with decision-making: Compare the cost-effectiveness of alternative manufacturing processes / supply chains Identify the most cost-effective and GMP-ready process for current scale of operation future scales for late phase / commercial manufacture Predict and manage the risk of process changes throughout development pathway Identify most promising technologies and targets to reach for future R&D investment Address capacity sourcing and portfolio management decisions © UCL SF 2014 40 UCL Decisional Tools Summary Our research aims to provide systematic approaches to make better decisions in a sector inherent with uncertainties We achieve this by creating integrated models that capture: bioprocess economics manufacturing logistics stochastic behaviour and risk multiple conflicting objectives combinatorial decisions multivariate statistical analysis We apply the tools to tackle industrially-relevant investment decisions at both a manufacturing & drug development level © UCL SF 2014 41 www.ucl.ac.uk/epsrccim Academic Centre Team Academic Network Partners User Network Selected UCL Publications • Process economics overviews – – • • Farid, S. S. 2013. Cost-effectiveness and robustness evaluation for biopharmaceutical manufacture. Bioprocess International 11(11):2-8. Farid, S.S. 2012. Evaluating and visualising the cost-effectiveness and robustness of biopharmaceutical manufacturing strategies. in Subramanian, G. (ed.) Biopharmaceutical Production Technology. Wiley VCH, Ch 22, pp 717-742. – Farid,S.S. 2009. Process economic drivers in industrial monoclonal antibody manufacture. in Gottschalk,U. (ed.) Process Scale Purification of Antibodies. New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Ch 12, pp239-261. – Farid,S.S. 2009. Economic drivers and trade-offs in antibody purification processes. Biopharm International Supplement, March: 37-42. – Farid, S.S. 2007. Process economics of industrial monoclonal antibody manufacture. J. Chrom. B, 848, 8-18. Disposables / Single-use – Farid, S.S., Washbrook, J., Titchener-Hooker, N.J. 2005. Combining Multiple Quantitative and Qualitative Goals When Assessing Biomanufacturing Strategies under Uncertainty. Biotechnol. Prog. 21(4):1183–1191. – Farid, S.S., Washbrook, J., Titchener-Hooker, N.J. 2005. Decision-Support Tool for Assessing Bio-Manufacturing Strategies under Uncertainty: Stainless steel versus Disposable Equipment for Clinical Trial Material Preparation. Biotechnol. Prog., 21(2): 486-497. Cell therapy process economics – Simaria AS, Hassan S, Varadaraju H, Rowley J, Warren K, Vanek P, Farid SS. 2014. Allogeneic cell therapy bioprocess economics and optimization: single-use cell expansion technologies. Biotechnol. Bioeng., 111(1) 69-83. 43 Selected UCL Publications • • Fed-batch v perfusion, Continuous chromatography – Pollock, J., Bolton, G., Coffman, J., Ho, S.V., Bracewell, D. G., Farid, S.S. 2013. Optimising the design and operation of semi-continuous affinity chromatography for clinical and commercial manufacture, Journal of Chromatography A, 1284, 17-27. – Pollock, J., Ho, S. V., Farid, S. S. 2013. Fed-batch and perfusion culture processes: economic, environmental, and operational feasibility under uncertainty. Biotechnol Bioeng 110(1):206-219 – Lim, A. C., Washbrook, J., Titchener-Hooker, N. J., Farid, S. S. 2006. A Computer-Aided Approach to Compare the Production Economics of Fed-Batch versus Perfusion Culture. Biotechnol. Bioeng., 93(4): 687-697. – Lim, A. C., Zhou, Y., Washbrook, J., Sinclair, A., Fish, B., Francis, R., Titchener-Hooker, N. J., Farid, S. S. 2005. Application of A Decision-Support Tool to Assess Pooling Strategies in Perfusion Culture Processes under Uncertainty. Biotechnol. Prog. 21(4):1231-1242. Chromatography optimisation – Allmendinger, R., Simaria, A.S, Turner, R. and Farid, S.S. 2014. Closed-Loop Optimization of Chromatography Column Sizing Strategies in Biopharmaceutical Manufacture. J Chem Tech Biotechnol 89 (10):1481–1490. – Simaria, AS,, Turner, R,, Farid, S. S. (2012). A multi-level meta-heuristic algorithm for the optimisation of antibody purification processes. Biochem. Eng. J. 69:144-154 – Stonier, A., Simaria, A. S., Smith, M., Farid, S. S. (2012). Decisional tool to assess current and future process robustness in an antibody purification facility. Biotechnol Prog 28(4): 1019-1028. 44 Selected UCL Publications • • Facility fit prediction – Yang, Y., Farid, S.S., Thornhill, N.F. (2014) Data mining for rapid prediction of facility fit and debottlenecking of biomanufacturing facilities. J Biotechnol ,179:17-25. – Stonier, A., Pain, D., Westlake, A., Hutchinson, N., Thornhill, N. F., Farid, S. S. (2013). Integration of stochastic simulation with multivariate analysis: Short term facility fit prediction. Biotechnol Prog 29: 368–377. Portfolio management & capacity planning – – George, E.D., Farid, S.S. 2008. Strategic Biopharmaceutical Portfolio Development: An Analysis of Constraint-Induced Implications. Biotechnol. Prog., 24 (3): 698 -713. DOI 10.1021/bp070410s George, E., Titchener-Hooker, N.J., Farid, S.S. 2007. A multi-criteria decision-making framework for the selection of strategies for acquiring biopharmaceutical manufacturing capacity. Comput. Chem. Eng., 31, 889-901. – Lakhdar, K., Savery, J., Papageorgiou, L.G., Farid, S.S. 2007. Multiobjective long term planning of biopharmaceutical manufacturing facilities. Biotechnol. Prog., 23 (6): 1383 -1393. – Rajapakse, A., Titchener-Hooker, N. J., Farid, S.S. 2006. Integrated Approach to Improving the Value Potential of Biopharmaceutical R&D Portfolios while Mitigating Risk. J. Chem. Tech. Biotechnol. 81:1705–1714. – Rajapakse, A., Titchener-Hooker, N. J., Farid, S. S. 2005. Modelling of the biopharmaceutical drug development pathway and portfolio management. Comput. Chem. Eng., 29 (6): 1355-1366. 45