Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines Summary • Approaches which undervalue new treatments can impede innovation, distort therapeutic decision making and undermine global welfare. This report considers the public policy implications of the use of unlicensed, low cost, comparators in appraisals of the cost effectiveness of new (and repositioned) medicines by health technology assessment (HTA) agencies such as NICE. It also critically examines other aspects of current health technology evaluation methods which threaten incremental innovation and discourage ‘high risk’ research investment. • At the ‘coal face’ of health care there are strong pressures to use the cheapest version of any medicine thought to be more or less equivalent to more expensive presentations, regardless of whether or not it is licensed for the indication concerned. When people are facing life threatening conditions there are also occasions when they legitimately wish to try unlicensed medicines. However, the rigorous safety testing and drug licensing requirements that have been developed since the thalidomide tragedy exist to protect the public’s interests in medicines development and their appropriate use. They should not be bypassed simply to save money. • European law requires that medicines licensed for the condition being treated should be used whenever possible. Unlicensed medicines use is legitimate only when it is likely to give a patient extra clinical benefit. In such circumstances prescribers ought to inform patients of their situation, and must accept personal legal liability for their actions. No form of unlicensed prescribing can be justified on grounds of cost saving alone. c This report was researched and written by David Taylor, Tina Craig and Jennifer Gill. It was commissioned by the European Medicines Group (EMG), which has 17 research-based European pharmaceutical sector company members. EMG members Bayer and Novartis provided the majority of the funding to support the development of the publication. The research methods used were determined by the authors and editorial control was exercised by Professor Taylor, who is accountable for all aspects of this document’s content. c • NICE has many positive achievements to its credit. Neither its demands for the use of unlicensed medicines as comparators in cost effectiveness analyses (which may make new medicines seem unaffordable) nor its implicit and explicit recommendations to prescribe treatments for unlicensed indications in areas like, say, the care of teenagers with severe mental illness are likely to have significantly harmed public health. Yet they challenge the integrity of medicines licensing, and may threaten overall public interests in sustained innovation. Continuing NHS ‘austerity’ and an increased emphasis on saving cash could lead to more serious future problems stemming from the use of unlicensed comparators, unless abuses are checked. NICE should not become a serial instigator of new forms of unlicensed medicines use. • In the short term a more precise definition of what is considered ‘established health service practice’ could help avoid such problems. Ideally, independent policy makers will prevent NICE from requesting the use of unlicensed comparators in cost effectiveness analyses, or from (implicitly or explicitly) recommending unlicensed medicines prescribing when licensed options exist. NICE is no longer an NHS authority. It would therefore also be appropriate for it to be required to take full account of the benefits of biopharmaceutical and other innovations to the whole of society, not just isolated health technology users or NHS budget holders. • In cancer care, some NICE judgements seem out of line with expressed public preferences. Major ‘intangible’ costs in terms of reduced NHS user confidence in their ability to access good care may have resulted. In England (but not Wales) the Cancer Drug Fund currently facilitates the supply of anti-cancer medicines judged non-cost effective by NICE. In Scotland different cost-effectiveness conclusions have often been drawn. Such phenomena – together with other ‘rare disease’ linked concerns – raise questions as to the validity of the ‘cost per incremental QALY’ and relatively narrowly defined affordability threshold based methodology currently used by NICE, over and above those related to the use of unlicensed and other arguably unsuitable ‘commodity cost’ comparators in ‘value based’ innovation assessments. • Recent changes to the Pharmaceutical Price Regulation Scheme, which cap total NHS medicines spending regardless of the total volume and mix of products used, also suggest a need for modifications in NICE’s approaches to restricting therapeutic choice. The variable ‘marginal’ costs of manufacturing safe and effective medicines are typically small compared with those ‘sunk’ before they are marketed. Investors in high risk medicines research need confidence in their ability to fund what might appear small incremental advances, but which in the long term are integral parts of a process that should lead to transformative human benefit. If HTAs fail to reflect the full current and probable future social and economic benefits of biopharmaceutical and associated medical innovation they could in the final analysis impose costs which far outweigh the short term, local rather than national, monetary savings they may generate. 2 Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines Introduction Since the end of the 1940s world-wide average life expectancy at birth has risen from under 50 to approaching 70 years. This for each person on the planet represents a gain of three additional years for every decade lived. Much of this historically unique progress can be attributed to falling infant and child mortality in poorer countries. Yet it is also the case that in richer settings men and women who survive childhood can now expect to live to over 80 years. Around a half of this improvement has been due to modern health care developments and improved health in later adult life. Key drivers include the contributions of medicines and vaccines in protecting populations against infections and reducing the risks of dying from events such as strokes or myocardial infarctions. In age standardised terms, cancer death rates are now starting to fall in the more prosperous nations (Stuart and Wild, 2014). In addition to reducing mortality, modern pharmaceuticals are also playing important roles – alongside other forms of medical innovation and social and economic progress – in reducing the disabling impacts of ‘non-communicable’ (albeit often socially mediated) illnesses ranging from depression and Parkinson’s disease through to diabetes and asthma. Yet notwithstanding their value to humanity, the safety of modern medicines has throughout the last century been a matter of recurrent public concern. Thalidomide was developed in West Germany and initially marketed there in 1957 as Contergan. It quickly became seen as a ‘safe’ alternative to barbiturate use (Emanual et al, 2012). By 1960 it was in widespread use outside the US, and was available for purchase in Germany without medical prescription. Yet when about a year later its teratogenic (embryo and foetus damaging) effects had been identified and the product withdrawn in Germany and later elsewhere, some 10,000 infants with significant physical disabilities had been born. An uncertain, probably greater, number of foetuses had in addition died before birth. The thalidomide tragedy, which was followed by the practolol1 ‘scandal’ of the 1970s (see Abraham and Davis, 2006) and subsequent concerns about the on some occasions fatal consequences of taking the nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug benoxaprofen (Opren), led on over the course of the last few decades to an international tightening of pharmaceutical licensing requirements. The idea of achieving absolute safety in any area of human activity can be a potentially harmful chimera. But regulatory progress has helped to protect 1 A beta blocker most widely known as Eraldin. Medicines in this class have generated large benefits, albeit that practolol – which is chemically very similar to drugs such as propanolol – was uniquely associated with a destructive form of conjunctivitis and other unwanted side effects. Benoxaprofen was an effective antiinflammatory agent (Dawson, 2014). But it caused problems such as skin hyper-sensitivity to light and liver damage in older patients with an impaired ability to clear the drug. It was not tested in this last patient group before marketing because at that time neither regulations nor established practices demanded it. the global public from avoidable harm caused by inadequately tested medicines. In the United States, for example, where the Food and Drug Administration (the US FDA) had developed a relatively robust approach to medicines licensing before the start of World War II, the 1962 Kefauver-Harris Amendment introduced new requirements for both unwanted event reporting and evidence of efficacy before the granting of a new marketing authorisation – Box 1. In the UK the Committee on Safety of Drugs, a forerunner of today’s Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency (MHRA), was established in 1963. Some 30 years later, in 1995, the European Medicines Evaluation Agency (now the European Medicines Agency) came into being. There remain areas of controversy relating to, for instance, the publication of unsuccessful trial results.2 But in general such developments have been associated with the evolution of a licensing system and wider set of controls which effectively prevent new medicines being marketed for indications that have not been approved by public agencies charged with balancing their potential risks against their demonstrable benefits. In the US, pharmaceutical companies have since 2000 been fined a cumulative total over $10 billion, for in part promoting medicines for unauthorised uses. These in some circumstances (such as neurological pain management and in a proportion of diabetes cases) have ultimately been proven beneficial to patients. Yet in others more harm than good may have been caused. The legal and public interest arguments surrounding such issues are more complex and finely balanced than is often assumed. Nevertheless, such high profile legal actions and penalties illustrate how much the regulatory control of the pharmaceutical market has tightened over the course of the last 50 years. Alongside the evolution of progressively more rigorous marketing authorisation systems for medicines, a number of other fundamental pharmaceutical sector changes have recently occurred. One has been the establishment in Europe of bodies such as IQWiG (the German Institute for Quality and Efficiency in Health Care) and the French HAS (the Haute Autorité de Santé/National Authority for Health). Like NICE (now 2 Over 30 years ago Skegg and Doll (1977) argued in favour of recording all adverse events (rather than just those immediately attributable to the treatments being tested) and reporting them to central agencies during clinical trials. They correctly believed this would have permitted the early identification of practolol’s ocular toxicity. More recently, some observers have claimed that the open publication of all successful and unsuccessful clinical trial results would prevent large numbers of avoidable deaths (Goldacre, 2012). Others argue that this is an exaggeration (Johnston et al, 2013). Provided the trials used to justify licensing and recommended clinical practice demonstrate with robust statistical validity safe and productive ways of using given products, then it is reasonable to suggest that the value of publishing material relating to their unsuccessful application is likely to be only marginal. In some circumstances it could prove confusing. However, this does not apply when knowledge of the outcomes of failed approaches could protect against further hazardous experimentation, or help better inform off-label/ unlicensed prescribing. Minimising the need for the latter is one way forward. But obligatory reporting of all adverse events occurring during clinical trials to responsible central agencies is also needed. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines 3 Box 1 The origins of modern pharmaceutical sector regulation In the late 1930s American attempts to produce the German and French pioneered antibiotic sulphanilamide led to the sale of an elixir (mixture) containing diethylene glycol, a sweet tasting but toxic solvent more appropriately used in anti-freeze products. It killed about a hundred people. The consequent public and medical outrage led in 1938 to the passing of the Food, Drug and Cosmetics (FDC) Act. This strengthened the FDA and demanded pre-market safety testing by drug manufacturers. The FDCA put the US regulatory approach ahead of Europe’s controls on medicines safety. Progress with the latter was in part delayed by the impacts of the 1914-18 and 1939-46 wars. In addition, European pharmaceutical sector was more capable than its American equivalent and so not so clearly in need of extended regulation. However, despite this action another 300 deaths occurred in the US in 1941 because of the sale of another early antibiotic, sulfathiazole. Some batches of this medicine were adulterated with a barbiturate sedative in sufficient quantities to suppress respiration. This manufacturing error led the FDA to introduce pioneering production quality checks. These overtime evolved into today’s Good Manufacturing Practice (GMP) standards. the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence) in England and Wales and the Swedish Council on Health Technology Assessment (the SBU), these organisations are concerned with promoting the cost effective use of medicines and other health technologies. As such their interventions can complement, and also on occasions challenge, those of pharmaceutical licensing (and also purchasing) authorities. Other, more fundamental, shifts have taken place in relation to the research challenges facing pharmaceutical innovators in both the public and private sectors. The main focus of their work can be seen as having moved from seeking small molecule ‘chemistry based’ treatments for common diseases to developing relatively large molecule ‘biologicals’ that target specific (and often comparatively rare) mechanisms underpinning given disease processes. At the same time there have also been reforms in areas such as the reimbursement systems used to determine payments for publicly purchased pharmaceuticals. In the UK, for instance, recently announced amendments to the Pharmaceutical Price Regulation Scheme (the PPRS) will serve to cap overall NHS spending on medicines. This should in the main ensure that over a given consumption level the marginal public cost of any drug supplied via the health service is, whatever its apparent price, in effect zero. Against this background, the primary goal of this UCL School of Pharmacy report is to consider the public policy implications of the use of unlicensed (typically relatively low cost) comparators in appraisals of the cost effectiveness of newly licensed medicines by government 4 In the 70 years following these ground breaking interventions similar forms of safety and quality related regulation have been introduced on a global scale, although not before events similar to the elixir of sulphanilamide disaster had occurred on a larger scale in countries such as India and Nigeria. As described in the main text, the thalidomide tragedy also served to extend drug safety legislation. Today, all aspects of pharmaceutical industry activity, from research to marketing, are subject to extensive scrutiny and control in all OECD nations. This is increasingly so in emergent nations as well, as recent events in China illustrate. The establishment of NICE in 1999 can be seen as a further important step forward in the history of pharmaceutical and wider health sector regulation. However, earlier safety and quality interventions were aimed at protecting individual patients. By contrast, the pursuit of increased cost effectiveness is in a number of important respects more relevant to protecting taxpayers’ interests and population health. ‘Products’ such as NICE guidelines can also challenge medical authority and judgements, rather than just directing pharmaceutical producers’ and suppliers’ activities in contexts such as pricing and marketing. funded or other health technology assessment agencies. It begins with a brief overview of the key issues at stake, and the particular economic nature of medicines and of pharmaceutical innovation and supply. The advantages and drawbacks of activities such as what is popularly termed ‘off-label’ prescribing (the use by doctors of licensed medicines for purposes which have not been authorised by regulators) and ‘compassionate’ drug provision (the regulator permitted supply and use by doctors of entirely unlicensed treatments for the care of patients with special needs, such as individuals whose lives are threatened by currently incurable diseases) are also analysed. This study then considers data relating to the use by NICE of unlicensed comparators in single technology appraisals (STAs) undertaken in the period between 2008 and 2013. Alongside this, and in the light of a series of ten qualitative interviews with stakeholders undertaken at the end of 2013 and in early 2014, it considers questions such as the extent to which such practices represent an endorsement of the use of unlicensed products for cost cutting as opposed to health improvement purposes. As and when cost saving (even when illusory, because of factors such as PPRS variables) is the primary reason for using medicines for unlicensed indications the legality of the latter is doubtful throughout the European Union. So is its wider social desirability from a long term health care improvement perspective. The degree to which harm to public and professional interests in safe and appropriate pharmaceutical care delivery has so far been caused in Britain or elsewhere as a result of such practices (which Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines can stem from clashes between regulators seeking to promote drug safety and ongoing therapeutic innovation on the one hand, and agencies pursuing financial efficiency on the other) should not be exaggerated. There is little or no evidence of significant direct health impacts to date, albeit effects such as a reduced trust in the NHS are hard to monitor. However, in future – especially if research costs continue to rise while health services come under increasing financial pressure – more serious consequences could arise. In such circumstances it will be increasingly important for policy makers, together with groups such as patients’ representatives, to recognise the value associated with the use of appropriately licensed medicines whenever these are available. At the same time they should seek a sympathetic understanding of the pressures on day-today service providers who are trying to optimise service efficiency and health outcomes despite what are often perceived to be increasing budgetary restraints. To people working at the ‘coal face’ of health care it may seem only common sense to use a cheaper version of a medicine rather than a similar but more expensive one. Communicating why this is not necessarily in the public’s interest is a difficult challenge. Yet it is not one that should be avoided by any individual or agency that is seeking to maximise global social returns and to promote better health in the longer term. Defining the issues Clashes between patient and public interests in providing robust incentives for innovation in the future as against maximising treatment affordability in the present can be illustrated in contexts such as that preventing sight loss caused by ‘wet’ age related macular degeneration – see Box 2. In this atypical instance significant health gains have been associated with the successful introduction of ranibizumab (Lucentis), a ‘humanised’ monoclonal antibody fragment which inhibits the effects of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF). When injected into the Box 2 Macular degeneration Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a type of retinal damage that results in loss of sight in the macula, the 2 per cent or so of the eye’s light sensitive inner surface responsible for central vision. It occurs in both ‘dry’ (non-exudative) and ‘wet’ disease forms, normally in people aged over 50. Although peripheral vision is retained, untreated wet macular degeneration (which is associated with a destructive proliferation of blood vessels in the affected part of the retina) is a common and distressing cause of partial blindness. There are in the order of 25,000 new UK cases annually. Fortunately, modern medicine can transform the outlook for people with AMD and other retinal disorders. But they need to be able to access effective and appropriately delivered treatment in a timely and affordable manner. eye in small amounts (0.5 milligram doses) on a once a month basis for an initial three months (subsequent treatment needs vary) it prevents the abnormal growth of blood vessels characteristic of this common cause of sight loss. However, this medicine has to date (during its period of intellectual property protection) been relatively costly, typically involving NHS outlays of about £10,000 per eye treatment (NICE, 2008). (For reference, this is broadly comparable to the overall cost of an NHS hip replacement operation – Pennington et al, 2013.) A desire to minimise costs has on occasions led to aggressive rationing being proposed. In addition to denying some older people access, suggestions have in the past included providing patients with treatment in one eye only after central vision has been lost in the other. Late stage mono-ocular treatment does not maximise the benefits potentially available, and is not today NHS policy or practice. Bevacizumab, a much larger ‘anti-VEGF’ molecule to which ranibizumab is related, is marketed as Avastin for the treatment, in combination with other drugs, of a number of cancers.3 Used in higher and much longer lasting systemic doses, bevacizumab benefits patients by stopping tumours stimulating the formation of new blood vessels that they need to sustain their growth. This medicine is also generally regarded as a costly product. Yet the fact that it is employed in relatively large amounts (which on a monthly basis are up to 1000 times greater than the dose needed for a single eye injection) to treat oncology patients in part explains why its price per milligram is only 5-10 per cent of that of ranibizumab. There are expenses and some risks involved in breaking vials of bevacizumab formulated for intravenous injection and re-presenting their contents for unlicensed optical use. Nevertheless, the price difference that exists has led to calls for ‘cheap’ bevacizumab to be supplied in place of the licensed drug for the treatment of retinal disease. Given the pressures on health service resources in Europe and elsewhere, such thinking is understandable. But the issues involved are complex. In relation to the savings possible, for instance, it is commonly assumed that if a manufacturer of bevacizumab were in future to to obtain a licence for a presentation for treating retinal disorders it would be automatically supplied as a low unit dose cost alternative treatment for AMD and other indications such as Diabetic Macular Oedema (DMO). However, commercial logic suggests that a producer enjoying intellectual property rights might not in fact adopt such a strategy, and opt for a price close to that of existing treatments. More detailed aspects of this unique debate are not relevant to the subject of this paper, and there are in any 3 Bevacizumab is also ‘humanised’ in that a murine (mouse) antibody is ‘encased’ in human proteins. But some of its properties differ markedly from those of ranibizumab. For example, the systemic half life of the former is only about two hours, while that of bevacuzimab is twenty days. This difference is related to that fact that bevacuzimab was designed to treat cancers, while ranibizumab was structured to have an optimal effect within the environment of the eye while carrying a minimal risk of causing unwanted vascular or other events. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines 5 Box 3 Medicines re-purposing The terms drug re-purposing and medicines repositioning both refer to identifying and developing new uses for existing drugs (Ashburn and Thor, 2004). Because virtually all pharmacologically active agents have a number of potentially useful therapeutic applications this may be a valuable activity in areas ranging from cancer care (Gupta et al, 2013) through to cardiovascular disease prevention (Russell, 2011). Nevertheless, gaining new indications for ‘mature’ molecules in a financially as well as clinically viable manner can present innovators with a number of significant challenges (Novac, 2013). However, in both these cases the drugs in question were not being marketed immediately before the change in use. Achieving such a switch while a low cost generic version is commonly available, as might be the case if for instance an innovator were to seek to licence a new indication for a drug such as a bisphosphonate, would be very much more difficult. This is in part because professionals such as pharmacists and doctors might elect to supply the low cost product for the new use, and in part because agencies like NICE might also employ the generic version as a comparator in cost effectiveness studies. One well known example of repositioning is that of thalidomide. This drug is today marketed under the trade name Thalomid and used to treat multiple myeloma, as well as for the relief of complications resulting from leprosy. Another successful illustration of re-purposing is that of buproprion. Originally developed as an anti-depressant, it is now marketed under the brand name Wellbutrin for the support of smoking cessation (Boguski et al, 2009). In such circumstances innovators would be unlikely to be able to offer the new presentation at a financially viable price, given the challenges and risks involved in developing established drugs for new therapeutic applications. For example, contrary to what is occasionally suggested, primary safety trials need to be repeated when agents are employed in ‘fresh’ disease contexts. case further innovations being developed which will limit its future significance. One new treatment, aflibercept (Eylea), has already been licensed. But this unusual case highlights the fact that medicines with similar or even identical active ingredients can be very differently priced. The various reasons for this appear legitimate to their producers and (at least in principle) to public agencies seeking to maximise safety and incentivise the research needed for continued innovation and evidence based indication licensing. Yet major price variations can seem exploitive to other observers. With regard to the future use of unlicensed comparators in health technology appraisals, tensions and disputes are particularly likely to occur in instances where older mature medicines are re-purposed for new indications (Box 3). They may also occur when new molecular entities are developed and licensed for use in contexts where established generic products can subsequently be shown to work with varying degrees of positive effect. The economics of pharmaceutical research and production Understanding why innovative medicines (which for the purposes of this analysis can be taken to include both new medicinal/molecular entities and treatments containing mature active ingredients that have been re-formulated and licensed for new indications) may be priced at levels much higher than those at which similar generic medicines can be obtained requires insight into the economics of pharmaceutical research investment and licensed drug manufacturing. A key point to stress is that in the case of traditional ‘chemistry based’ medicines the marginal costs of their production are typically very low compared to the amounts of money sunk in their 6 research and development, including the clinical trials now required across the world. Biological products such as monoclonal antibodies are inherently more difficult to produce to a consistent standard. Yet even so, their average supply cost during the period of exclusive supply awarded by governments to innovators to encourage further investment in high risk research is likely to be multiples of the marginal cost of their production. This is especially so when innovation costs are taken to include not only the outlays made on discovering, testing and marketing successful medicines, but also the resources spent on the numerous drug candidates that fail along the development pathway. When new medicines are said to on average cost £1 billion or more to develop, such figures include failure costs as well as those of the ‘risk capital’ needed to sustain prolonged research programmes. The pricing of new medicines is inherently controversial, not least because of the uncertainties involved in attempting to answer questions such as ‘what proportion of its resources should a society invest in research on innovations for the future as opposed to current consumption?’ and ‘what level of anticipated premium do private investors need to induce them to risk spending in areas where research is more likely to fail than to lead to a marketable medicine?’ (LundebyGrepstad et al, 2014). There are also important but frequently ignored issues to be considered with regard to the balance between the pricing of pharmaceutical innovations and the duration of the intellectual property rights4 available to innovators, and the extent to which in environments like that of the EU and the US public 4 IPRs include patents, periods of regulatory data exclusivity, copyrights, brand names and trademarks. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines investments in fundamental and translational research on medicines and other therapeutic innovations are driven by long term expectations of private sector income generation.5 For example, extended pharmaceutical IPR durations could permit reduced entry prices for new products, albeit that this would be against the interests of generic medicine producers and in some (but not all) circumstances the potential users of low cost unbranded drugs. Likewise, although professional and public opinion may sometimes assume that public investment in areas related to the development of new treatments would be likely to increase if private sector research and development were to decline, it appears that the two tend to be positively correlated. This implies that private R&D investment falls could in time be followed by reduced rather than increased public spending on University and other publicly supported biomedical and related research. This topic is not pursued further here. But with regard to the use of unlicensed comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals the most important point to stress is that the economics of pharmaceutical research and production mean that the cost per dose of an unbranded generic version of a medicine sold for established uses is always likely to be much lower than that of the same or a new molecular entity that has been formulated and licensed for use for a new indication, at least during the limited period during which IPRs apply. Unlike rare substances such as gold, the value of any new medicine lies essentially in the knowledge and cognitive skills that permit its use in ways that cause more benefit than harm, rather than in the physical materials of which it is made. If agencies responsible for HTAs and the measurement of ‘cost effectiveness’ were to fail to adequately recognise this reality they could undermine the structures needed to support ongoing innovation. In such circumstances short term savings would be gained at the expense of very much greater long term societal costs. ‘Off-label’ prescribing In popular usage the term ‘off-label’ prescribing denotes, as previously observed, the use by doctors of licensed medicines for unlicensed purposes. It is therefore in legal terms a subset of unlicensed drug prescribing, albeit ‘off-label’ prescribing is – rightly or wrongly – often taken to have less hazardous connotations. In the past pharmaceutical companies have sometimes been accused of stimulating ‘off-label’ product use in order, with or without good clinical reason, to increase sales levels. But the prescribing of medicines for unlicensed indications is important in the context of this UCL School of Pharmacy analysis because it is through the direct or 5 Governments can tax their domestic populations to fund home expenditures on politically viable activities such as University based fundamental research. But they are often dependent on privately owned or at least semi-privatised ‘arms length’ enterprises for foreign earnings generation, and for supporting activities that are necessary but politically ‘risky’. indirect encouragement of such drug use that some health care funders may today be seeking to reduce pharmaceutical costs. When the US FDA was first established in 1906 it was against the background of a still unsophisticated and often corrupted pharmaceutical sector. In the nineteenth century practicing pharmacists in America generally lacked the education and expertise of their counterparts in European countries like Germany, France and Britain. Regulation was also minimal. The term ‘snake oil salesmen’ originally referred to the often fraudulent makers and purveyors of ‘patent’ medicines. These often modified versions of traditional herbal treatments frequently contained ingredients such as morphine, cocaine and alcohol. Beyond the immediate relief of pain and distress they on many occasions did more harm than good (Thum Bonnano et al, 2012). The American medical profession, by contrast, had already achieved a relatively high level of public trust and social standing by the start of the 1900s. The pioneering legislation facilitating the formation and subsequent development of the FDA was therefore framed in a way that made it clear that it was not intended to interfere in doctors’ treatments of ‘their’ patients. It was focused rather on regulating the manufacturing and supply of medicines. Despite modern challenges to concepts such as ‘clinical freedom’ and the emergence of hierarchical control systems within and around the medical profession in the UK and other settings, the intention of controlling drug quality and the behaviours of drug makers and vendors without impinging on informed medical practice has lived on for over a century in the US and globally. The continued existence of ‘off-label’ prescribing should be understood in this light, and the fact that until the last two to three decades much medicines use developed incrementally. That is, product prescribing patterns evolved ‘on the market’. When a medicine had been authorised for use for one purpose it was often regarded as ‘safe’ in an absolute sense. This explains why ‘offlabel’ prescribing is frequently taken to be less risky than using drugs which have no licensed indications whatsoever. Hence it is the term preferred by advocates of unlicensed drug applications. Traditionally, once a first drug use was registered this allowed other usages to be established informally, by ‘trial and (on occasions continued) error’. One contributor to the research undertaken for this report likened the process to a rock being thrown into a pool, with an increasing number of ‘drug use ripples’ spreading out over the surface of established practice after the initial splash of a new marketing authorisation. The medically sanctioned supply of drugs for unlicensed indications continues to be widespread in fields ranging from paediatric medicine to pain management, psychiatric care and cancer treatment (Box 4). The inherent complexities of health care, coupled with factors such as ongoing discoveries about how to employ treatments to best effect and individual patient variations in need and response, help explain why this is so. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines 7 As a result, few commentators say that there is no justifiable place for off-label prescribing in medical practice – see, for example, Figure 1. The licensed indications for a medicine are not necessarily its most desirable ones, particularly when considered from any one individual’s perspective (Healy and Nutt, 1998; Sugarman et al, 2013). However, there are concerns that the use of medicines for unlicensed purposes on occasions not only lacks an evidence base, but sometimes appears to be actively hazardous and unlikely to confer net benefit on consumers. The inappropriate use of anti-psychotics in the care of people with dementia falls into this latter category. In addition, there are uncertainties and variations relating to issues such as the extent to which physicians in the UK and elsewhere in the EU are legally liable for misadventures which may happen as a result of unlicensed drug usage. Problems are particularly likely to occur when doctors have either not informed patients Figure 1: Patient group views on ‘off-label’ prescribing • 64% of patient groups across Europe believe that off-label prescription is valuable and legitimate when patients with life-threatening conditions have no other therapy available to them. • 63% of patient groups across Europe believe that off-label prescription is valuable and legitimate for patients (such as children, or people with rare diseases) who have only limited treatments available to them. Percentage of respondent patient groups commenting on whether the prescription of off-label medication is valuable for patients 64% 63% 28% 27% 7% 10% As a last resort, when patients with life-threatening conditions have no other therapy available to them For patients (such as children, or people with rare diseases) who have only limited treatments available to them Yes, this is legitimate and valuable for patients No, it is not I do not know Source: Irish Patients Association, 2012 Note: The IPA surveyed 150 European Patient Groups Box 4 The extent of unlicensed medicines prescribing Unlicensed medicines prescribing involving licensed drugs employed for ‘off-label’ applications is on occasions a result of historical lags. Sometimes drugs have been in common usage for so long that extended uses have emerged ‘naturally’, without any individual or agency having a viable opportunity (or sufficient motivation) to organise and fund formal authorisation for all the indications for which it is in practice used. Tricyclic antidepressants, for instance, have long been widely employed as not only a therapy for depression but also for treating conditions ranging from irritable bowel syndrome to neuropathic pain. Although now often seen as being too hazardous for ‘every-day’ licensed use in mental health care, such medicines are nevertheless widely valued as a low cost agent in the treatment of neuropathic pain. However, despite NICE’s recognition of this established practice (NICE, 2013), it is an unlicensed application. This opens up the possibility that were harm to befall a patient – and had the practitioner involved not explained the situation to the individual in his or her care – they might be subject to legal or professional action, albeit in this instance an effective defence might be available unless additional poor practice issues were to be involved. Typically, unlicensed prescribing has been most frequently found in fields where those in need of treatment have therapeutic requirements which differ from those of the mainstream adult population, and/ or where current remedies prove inadequate. Relevant areas include paediatric medicine (see, for instance, Hill, 2005), psychiatry (Baldwin and Kosky, 2007; Haw and Stubbs, 2007) and the care of people with life threatening illnesses such as cancers. Logically, it is in this last context where the pressure for access to as yet entirely unlicensed treatments is likely to be greatest – see main text. 8 The available evidence indicates that the majority of doctors have prescribed licensed drugs for unlicensed indications. In some instances such behaviour is commonplace. For example, one survey of the ‘offlabel’ use of mood stabilisers in a large psychiatric hospital found that of 250 patients studied in a given period 30 per cent were receiving such medicines, 95 per cent of which were being used for unlicensed purposes (Haw and Stubbs, 2005). In other contexts observed rates of unlicensed medicines prescribing are much lower, but are nevertheless significant and in some instances concerning. A relatively recent study of GP’s attitudes towards and experiences of prescribing for children (whose physical immaturity means that they frequently require atypical drug doses and presentations) found that 40 per cent had knowingly used medicines ‘off-label’ (Elkins-Daukes, 2005). Other research undertaken in Germany found that parents frequently have a poor understanding of this area. On questioning, about one in five of those with healthy children and one in ten of those with a child with a long term illness said they would always reject the use of an unlicensed medicine, were they informed about its prescription (Lenk et al, 2009). In the last five to ten years unlicensed medicines prescribing rates may have decreased, except in oncology. Further, the scale of the harm caused by unlicensed medicines use relative to the benefits generated via clinicians exercising informed personal judgement in the care of patients should not be overstated. Yet there is nevertheless a need for caution, especially when vulnerable service users are involved or where prescribers are under pressure to save money. In general, increasing the percentage of pharmaceutical products supplied for licensed indications is a desirable goal, provided it is pursued in ways which consistently put patient wellbeing first. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines that they are prescribing ‘off-label’, or have failed to obtain an adequate record of consent to treatment. At the regional and international policy levels there are also as yet unresolved questions as to the extent to which it is (or should be) legally possible for pharmaceutical manufacturers to inform prescribers and other individuals and groups about the likely costs and benefits of unlicensed medicines uses, as and when off-label use is known to be taking place or new evidence of significant positive or negative impacts is available. This last to a degree touches on issues such as the desirability and viability of conditional or adaptive medicines licensing in areas such as, say, cancer care (Eichler et al, 2012; Eichler et al, 2009). Key questions here relate to the extent to which future approaches to granting marketing authorisations will allow for the regulated evolution of clinical practice in ways which are practicable and desirable from the perspectives of all the stakeholders involved in health and health care improvement. Once again, it is not possible here to explore such issues in depth. But two main points are worth stressing. The first is that events ranging from the recent experiences of the General Medical Council (GMC) in relation to issuing prescribing guidance through to that of (what were at the time) Dorset PCTs seeking to prevent the use of a costly but licensed presentation of amifampridine phosphate (Firdapse) demonstrate that seeking to promote unauthorised medicines prescribing on grounds other than enhancing individual patient wellbeing is at best problematic. Indeed, the EU Court of Justice’s recent ruling on Polish government attempts to promote unlicensed drug use (see Box 5) indicate that it should be regarded as unlawful throughout Europe. ‘The core principle of EU pharmaceutical legislation is that the interests of public health and the medical needs of the patient take precedence [over cost cutting]’ (Bogaert and Schabl, 2012). Following on from this, a second point to emphasise is that medical practitioners would be in a potentially vulnerable legal position if they were, regardless of any third party advice given to them, to recommend an unlicensed treatment primarily to save money and an untoward event were to occur. Throughout the OECD and increasingly the emergent economies the direction of regulatory policy is to promote authorised – appropriately licensed – medicines use whenever possible. This does not, of course, mean to say that responsible clinicians should shy from actions that they genuinely believe could enhance health outcomes for their patients. Nor ought it be taken as a denial of the fact that the transition to a situation in which appropriately licensed medicines are used whenever possible may on occasions impose financial costs that, when considered in isolation from wider policy concerns, seem hard if not impossible to justify. (See, for instance, Ferner and Hughes, 2010; Godlee, 2010.) But it does call into question conducting cost effectiveness appraisals in ways that, intentionally or not, can cause practitioners to think that using cheaper unlicensed drugs when fully authorised alternatives exist is an inherently ethical choice. It also underlines the fact Box 5 Poland’s pursuit of low cost unlicensed pharmaceutical supplies In the UK the General Medical Council (which regulates doctors’ conduct) recently prepared revised guidance that would have encouraged doctors to prescribe medicines for unlicensed indications for cost saving purposes. The motivations underpinning this initiative included both perceived ethical and political positioning elements (Davies, 2013). Yet following challenges from both industry and regulatory sources, the advice received by the GMC about the desirability of this approach eventually led to a reversal of the proposed changes. Likewise, PCTs seeking to save money by forbidding the prescribing of Firdapse, a costly but uniquely licensed presentation of amifampridine for the treatment of a condition called Lambert-Eaton Myasthenic Syndrome (LEMS), withdrew their instructions to doctors when its legality was questioned. At the European level, Directive 2001/83/EC on the Community code relating to medicinal products for human use says that no medicine should be on the market of a Member State unless it has a European Commission marketing authorisation or one issued by the State concerned. But there are special needs criteria which allow unlicensed drugs to be supplied when needed to meet individuals’ particular medical requirements. Calling on the principle of exception, Polish legislation introduced in 2007 sought to permit low cost pharmaceuticals with the same specified make-up as products already available locally to be imported from abroad, even though they were lacking either EU or local marketing authorisations (Killick and Kritikos, 2012). Although Poland is a low overall spender on pharmaceuticals and health care more broadly, poor access to treatments and relatively high consumer costs have been a cause of political concern. This action was intended to help reduce such problems. However, the European Court of Justice subsequently found that Poland had failed to fulfil its obligations under European Law (Court of Justice of the European Union, 2012). Seeking to save money on medicines (or any other type of product or service, including doctors’ and lawyers’ fees) is an entirely reasonable goal. But there are also public interests in maintaining safety and quality through rigorous approaches to licensing, just as there are in incentivising innovation through granting IPRs. This judgement against Poland not only confirms the fact that it is inconsistent with European law to promote unlicensed medicine uses for purely cost saving purposes, but also illustrates the fact that no form of expenditure reduction is desirable at any price. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines 9 that in the 21st century there should not be one law for the research based pharmaceutical industry and another, laxer and less coherently enforced, one elsewhere in health care. Compassionate drug supply The ‘compassionate’ provision of medicines differs from ‘off-label’ use as defined here in that products employed for this purpose are typically in active development and are so not as yet licensed for any indication. In the 1990s in the US the FDA introduced a ‘compassionate use policy’. This meant that unlicensed drugs could be employed to treat life-threatening diseases when no alternatives existed and when trials of the former were under way, or the manufacturer had formally applied for FDA approval (Jacobson and Parmet, 2007). Following this, the Abigail Alliance for Better Access to Developmental Drugs was founded in 2001 by Frank Burroughs, the father of a nineteen year named Abigail Burroughs. She had died of a form of neck cancer earlier in that year. Acting on the advice of a Johns Hopkins Hospital based oncologist, her family had tried to obtain an (at that time) unlicensed drug in an attempt to save her life. But they were unable to do so. In understanding this situation it should be born in mind that at present advanced anti-cancer medicines may extend lives, yet are rarely curative. In addition, they can themselves have unpleasant and life threatening side effects. However, it is entirely understandable that some individuals may, when facing the prospect of an untimely death for themselves or a loved one, wish to risk taking experimental treatments. Some might do so in order to make their lives and deaths more meaningful, by adding to the stock of therapeutic knowledge available for the future. In the UK the proponents of the Medical Innovation Bill (including Lord Maurice Saatchi, whose wife Josephine Hart died from ovarian cancer in 2011) have pursued aims similar to those of the Abigail Alliance. Yet recent legal action has established that in the US today no patient has an unqualified right to access unlicensed medicines for which there is no evidence of therapeutic effectiveness. An empathetic concern for everyone facing life limiting or life changing illness is clearly desirable, and there is good reason to be as flexible as possible in designing research approaches in areas such as cancer care. But several of the respondents who took part in the qualitative research summarised in this report stressed that the overall public has interests in maintaining a disciplined approach to developing new drugs that guards against what could at worse represent ‘a return to anarchic quackery’. (See also Pollack, 2007; Caplan, 2007.) A recent article in the New York Times by a paediatric cardiologist summed up from a North American perspective the problems inherent in both ‘compassionate use’ and the prescribing of licensed medicines for unlicensed indications. The author and his medically qualified sister had campaigned for their father, who was dying from a condition involving pulmonary fibrosis (lung 10 scaring), to have access to an unlicensed medicine. They succeeded, but in the event the drug not only failed to alleviate his distress but sadly caused fevers and severe pain. On the other hand, the author also described his experience of helping a young mother extend her life by what were to her and her family four valuable years through the use of an unlicensed treatment (Sanghavi, 2013). In the European context Regulation 726/2004/EC allows for the supply of experimental medicinal therapies in some circumstances. It permits ‘groups of patients with a chronic, seriously debilitating or life-threatening disease, without a satisfactory authorised treatment available, and who cannot take part in a clinical trial, access to an unlicensed medical product’ (Whitfield et al., 2010). Yet there is evidence of considerable variation in the interpretation of this provision. A number of EU countries have no formal system in place to facilitate and manage ‘compassionate’ prescribing and supply. In practice, responsibility rests solely with the doctor concerned. It is also of note that in the UK patients involved in clinical trials can continue to use the drug(s) concerned after the trial is over and before a license has been awarded under the ‘expanded access’ policy, and that the MHRA has issued a guideline on providing unlicensed medicinal products for individual patients (MHRA, 2013). There is no doubt that unlicensed drug use sometimes improves outcomes, although observers such as Whitfield and her colleagues are critical of the term compassionate prescribing. They argue that acting with compassion is ‘a fundamental principle throughout healthcare’ and that allowing access to ‘medicinal products with little knowledge of their benefit or harm should not be labelled as the most compassionate strategy’. These authors (Whitfield et al., 2010) refer instead to ‘expanded access’. The latter concept is beginning to be more widely used to refer to the structured development of flexible regulatory approaches to cases such as that of Abigail Burroughs (FDA, 2010). The utility of ICERs A final issue to consider before turning directly to NICE’s record in requesting the use of relatively low cost unlicensed comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals relates to the role of incremental cost effective ratios (ICERs). The development of health economics methodologies since the 1960s, led most notably by economists working in the University of York, has underpinned the creation of institutions such as the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence in England, as well as bodies like the Scottish Medicines Consortium (SMC) and IQWiG in Germany. Such thinking appears to have also influenced US organisations such as the Federal Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), albeit that the PatientCentered Outcomes Research Institute (PCORI) recently established via President Obama’s Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act is specifically precluded from using an ICER based approach. US political decision makers appear to fear (despite America’s chequered Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines record with regard to health inequalities) its potentially negative impacts on the provision of health and welfare services and in particular the Constitutional ideal of respecting all individuals’ rights equally, regardless of factors such as their age and health status. A key step forward in the evolution of health technology assessments was, from the 1980s onwards, the introduction of the Quality Adjusted Life Year (QALY). Although in practice quality of life is very difficult to assess with accuracy and sensitivity, ‘cost per QALY’ estimates can compare the relative utility of interventions between differing fields. They hence permit ‘value for money’ comparisons across the health arena as a whole. A QALY is the sum of any life extension period that a treatment may offer and its impact on the projected quality of life for the individual receiving the intervention. As such, QALYs involve a pragmatic combination of factors which as a single measure of worth/value can be useful but may be flawed in its implications. For instance, although two people may agree that the quality of their lives is different, they may not accept that the overall amount of money available to save either of their lives at any given point should differ because one is younger and healthier than the other. Others, by contrast, may wish to value ‘different’ QALY’s at markedly varying levels of affordability, depending on their social and clinical contexts. ICERs contribute to health economic evaluations by in essence highlighting the extra cost per additional QALY gained from delivering a new treatment as opposed to the best established alternative (the comparator) available at any one point in time. But an important observation to make is that although a new treatment may, for a proportion of individuals, be significantly better than any other available, and its absolute cost no more than other medicines readily supplied by the health service, ICER based calculations could make it seem unaffordable. The factors that can contribute to this include the uncritical use of aggregated data sets and the employment of what some critics see as unrealistically low (commodity) cost comparators in a proportion of cost effectiveness calculations.6 In such circumstances an innovation may cost an affordable amount – say £10,000 per person successfully treated – but have an ICER based ‘cost per marginal QALY’ of, say, £50,000 or more. At a political and managerial level the significance of this distinction does not seem to be widely understood, despite its 6 One possible line of argument is that – if providing incentives to innovate is accepted as a key priority – licensed and IP protected treatments should only be compared with similar products in any given market environment. In Japan, for instance, it is not normal practice to compare new medicines with generic presentations. It might also be suggested that when suitable comparators are not available then the average cost per QALY generated by a treatment could be a more useful indicator of its value and affordability than its ICER value calculated against the baseline of a commodity cost comparator. However, this contradicts deeply held beliefs underlying York school ‘value based pricing’ theory. A perhaps more acceptable alternative might be to use model comparators, based on overall or selected sub-market experience. potential impacts on patient and public interests in long term innovation. Further, were the cost of a comparator treatment to fall (as happens when a product loses intellectual property protection) a medicine could move from being cost effective to non-cost effective, despite its actual price and value to patients remaining constant. Uncertainties linked to the possibility of such shifts may block privately funded incremental (step by step) innovation, even when the eventual returns for society from continuing a development process might be many orders of magnitude greater than the total research and drug supply costs involved. Such concerns suggest that – in circumstances where it is agreed that continuing therapeutic improvements are required because current generic (or newer) medicines are only partially satisfactory – the use of ICER based cost per QALY data to judge when treatments are above or below a set affordability threshold can carry with it considerable (albeit difficult to quantify) unanticipated costs. This raises questions about, for instance, the acceptability or otherwise of regarding people aged over 70 or 80 years as having had ‘a fair innings’(Williams, 1997) and hence no longer being eligible for life extending and/or improving treatments afforded to younger and healthier people With regard to medicines pricing it may also be argued that the most important purpose of the activities undertaken by modern economic regulators in the pharmaceutical sector is not to ‘fairly’ reward past research expenditures, but rather to appropriately incentivise future investment in innovation. If this is so, then ICER based cost effectiveness data may have much less value than is often assumed. In partially planned, managed, markets dominated by public or neo-public sector monopsonists (that is, large single purchasers) the most important ‘price signals’ to give could well relate more to equitable risk sharing than to underwriting exceptional good fortune. If this view is accepted it has a number of important implications. It could, for instance, be regarded as a reason for permitting affordability thresholds for rare indication treatments that are many times greater than those for common conditions therapies, independent of ‘Rawlsian’ calls for justice for minority groups (see Rawlins, 2012). For the purposes of this analysis, however, the fundamental point to stress is that it is critically important for agencies responsible for conducting cost effectiveness analyses to select comparator medicines carefully and with sensitive insight into overall public policy ends. If cost minimisation is the highest priority goal, then choosing the cheapest comparator, licensed or otherwise, might be judged appropriate. But if sustainable, long term, welfare improvement is desired, then selecting more expensive ‘best existing licensed treatment’ comparators may well be the best choice. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines 11 NICE policies and practices: is there evidence of direct or indirect endorsement of unlicensed medicines use for cost saving purposes? NICE was first established in 1999, following the publication of a White Paper entitled ‘The New NHS: modern, dependable’ by the then ‘new Labour’ government led by Tony Blair. As touched on above, its creation took place after some 40 years of cumulative health economics research funded both by public grants and private companies. The latter were in part seeking to encourage the NHS to accept cost saving and/or welfare enhancing therapeutic innovations which would require structural adjustments to release their full benefits. Because NICE was able to build on this intellectual heritage it has proved in many respects one of the most – if not the most – successful of all the health service reforms made since the initial major re-organisation of 1974. The Secretary of State responsible for producing The New NHS , Frank Dobson, placed strong emphasis on the role he wanted NICE to play in reducing inequities associated with so-called ‘post-code prescribing’ (BBC, 1999). But in addition to contributing to the reduction of geographical variations in access to treatments resulting from uncoordinated local rationing decisions, NICE has since the start of the present century also made important, and in the main high quality, inputs to medical practice and public health improvement through the development of evidence based guidelines. In the area of health technology assessment NICE has provided insights into the cost effectiveness of existing and new treatments as evaluated on a cost per QALY basis. Whereas before its establishment medicines were, once licensed, introduced into NHS use via an amalgam of national interventions, supply side promotional activities and disseminated demand side decision making, they should now be universally available in England and Wales within months of when NICE has pronounced them cost effective for use for given licensed indications. (The organisations’ leaders have repeatedly explained that, as for example with the early stage use of the breast cancer treatment Herceptin, it is not in a position to recommend unlicensed uses of innovative treatments, even when there is good reason to believe that they would enhance welfare in ways not previously possible – Rawlins et al, 2010). At the strategic policy level, NICE has to a degree served as an instrument for extending the regulation of medicines supply via imposing indirect limits on individual product prices and/or NHS treatment access. In parallel with this, it also acts as a mechanism for shaping the ways in which doctors and institutions care for patients. NICE’s established remit includes comparing the ‘value for money’ offered by new products against the comparators that ‘may not have a marketing authorisation for the indication defined in 12 the scope but that are used routinely for the indication in the NHS.’ (NICE, 2013). As such, the organisation is in a position to actively influence present and future attitudes and behaviours as to the extent to which unlicensed medicines are used in the health service for cost saving purposes, alongside its overt role in supporting the use of innovative products for their duly licensed indications. In order to understand this field further, Kusel and her colleagues in the Cambridge based company Costello Medical Consulting published in 2013 the results of an analysis of 91 Single Technology Appraisals (STAs) conducted between 2008 and the end of 2012. Their goals included measuring the frequency with which the NICE has requested companies that have sought to establish the cost-effectiveness of their products to provide data on off-label comparator applications, and assessing the consequences of complying with or refusing such requests. With support from the UCL School of Pharmacy, this work was updated at the end of 2013 to include all the scopes (initial information requests) for STAs published between 1st January 2008 and 18th December 20137 (Kusel et al, 2013). In all there were 31 instances in which at least one offlabel comparator was requested out of a total of 111 STAs undertaken. This represented 28 per cent of the global number of Single Technology Appraisals found – see Figure 2. Initially, NICE in 8 of those 31 instances (that is, about a quarter of the cases where a nonlicensed comparator was suggested, or 7 per cent of all STAs) appeared to have rejected the new product in favour of the unlicensed drug, or because the requested ‘off-label’ comparison data was not supplied by the innovator. However, in 2 of these cases the rejection decision has since been changed. Figures 3, 4 and 5 show that the proportion of scopes with an unlicensed comparator request was higher in 2013 than it was in any previous year. However, when seen in the round NICE has only rejected new technologies in favour of unlicensed alternatives in a comparatively few instances. It has on more occasions recommended NHS use even manufacturers have decided not to comply with requests for ‘off-label’/ unlicensed comparator data. With regard to the latter, the Costello analysis indicates that since it was ruled in September 2012 that the makers of belimubab (Benlysta) were not responsible for producing information on using the monoclonal antibody rituximab (MabThera) for the treatment of the occasionally fatal (and frequently 7 In cases where STAs had been updated only the most recent versions were included in the data offered here. Offlabel comparators were identified as being used outside the licensed indications as reported by the EMA and/or in the Electronic Medicines Compendium. In cases where off-label comparators were requested by NICE in the initial STA scope, the Manufacturers’ Submission (MS), the Evidence Review Group report (ERGs are independent groups charge by NICE with evaluating MSs – see Kaltenthaler et al 2012) and the Final Guidance Determinations (FADs) were reviewed in order to ascertain the impacts of compliance and non-compliance on application outcomes. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines Figure 2: Proportion of all TAs where an off-label comparator was requested by NICE 2008-2013 Figure 3: Number of off-label comparators requested in the period 2008-2013 Source: Kusel et al, 2013 Source: Kusel et al, 2013 Figure 4: Outcome of cases where the manufacturer performed the requested unlicensed comparator drug evaluation Figure 5: Outcome of cases where the manufacturer did not perform the comparison requested Source: Kusel et al, 2013 Source: Kusel et al, 2013 disabling) auto-immune disease Serum Lupus Erythematosus (SLE), there has been less willingness on the part of manufacturers to comply with what may be seen as potentially costly and inappropriate NICE requests for data relating to unlicensed comparators (Kusel,2013). equity perspective it is also hard to comprehend why the innovative company responsible for developing belimumab should have been expected to fund further research on the effectiveness of rituximab for the treatment of an unlicensed indication, and appropriate that NICE’s request was eventually judged incorrect. In this particular instance, SLE is most prevalent in women of non-European descent. White men are relatively rarely affected. Rituximab was first introduced in the US in the late 1990s, initially for the treatment of a form of lymphoma. It has subsequently been licensed for modifying the course of rheumatoid arthritis. Its authorised use in Europe is somewhat more restricted than it is in the United States, but (notwithstanding some clinical studies) in neither America nor the EU has rituximab been licensed for the treatment of people who have developed SLE. The motivation underlying the initial NICE request therefore appears difficult to understand from a patient interest perspective. Like rituximab, belimumab acts on B lymphocytes. Yet it does so via a distinct mode of action that is less toxic to such cells and has been specifically researched in the SLE context. From an Public interests in safe and sustainable innovation In overview, NICE has to date frequently requested comparisons with non-licensed medicines. In some cases new interventions have been rejected in favour of unlicensed comparators, although it should not be assumed that this was only because of a desire for cost savings. The available data indicates that NICE has normally been prepared to accept manufacturers’ decisions not to provide data on unlicensed comparators. Yet delays in providing treatment to NHS patients have been caused, and when data on the relative efficacy of unlicensed comparators has been provided it has sometimes been used as evidence of non-cost effectiveness. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines 13 Box 6 Supporting unlicensed drug use? Part of the background to recent debate surrounding issues such as NICE’s apparent support for the unlicensed prescription of risperidone for health service users aged under 18 is that US law was changed in the late 1990s to permit companies to inform doctors about potential ‘off-label’ product uses by, for instance, supplying articles discussing such applications. The American legislation was, however, changed back again about a decade later. Events such as research based pharmaceutical companies being fined for inappropriate promotion should be understood in the light of this process, and the complex legal and public interest debates that attended it. One-sided views that misleadingly stereotype pharmaceutical companies as being motivated by antisocial objectives or regulators as being insensitive to individual needs on the one hand or blind to the wider social benefits of pharmaceutical innovation on the other should be avoided. The position taken here is that licensed medicines use should be facilitated whenever possible, but that that there will be exceptions to this rule. Neither pharmaceutical company nor health care funder and provider based critics of a rigid adherence to it should be automatically dismissed as lacking ethical motivation. The treatment with psychotropic medicines of children and ‘adolescents’ who have mental health problems is often controversial. Accepted US psychiatric practice differs markedly from European approaches, and it is always the case that ‘pills are not skills’. Interventions made with pharmacologically active agents may, for example, have beneficial (direct and/or epigenetically As Box 6 describes, there have also been occasions when NICE guidelines appear implicitly or explicitly to be promoting the use of low cost alternatives to licensed therapies, even though the latter have been accepted as sufficiently cost effective for NHS use. A recent example of this has been the suggestion that patients aged under 18 who have been diagnosed with schizophrenia should in the first instance be offered risperidone – which is now available as a low cost generic medicine – rather than aripiprizole (Abilify) (NICE 2011a). Aripiprizole is licensed for use in patients aged under 18 while risperidone is not. The licensed product may as discussed in Box 6 have some limited clinical advantages relevant to younger people. But at present it costs more than risperidone because it still enjoys intellectual property protection. In the past, when risperidone was still under patent and only available under the brand name Risperdal, its producers were fined in the US for promoting it for unlicensed – if not necessarily clinically inappropriate – uses. Attitudes towards such issues are variable. One individual with a robust understanding of national policy and NICE’s remit and practices indicated that in his view it is not a matter of concern to the Institute whether 14 mediated) impacts in instances where individuals have been exposed to unusually stressful experiences. Yet they can never substitute for enabling people to gain the social and psychological competencies they need to cope with their lives. In the case of aripiprizole ‘versus’ risperidone it is certainly the case that both drugs have similar effects on brain chemistry, and that promoting the wellbeing and protecting the interests of young people suffering schizophreniform illnesses (or indeed states such as depression) depends on more than the ‘correct’ drug selection. Even so, it is important that aripiprizole is licensed for use in people aged under 18. It may also be relevant to record that the available literature indicates that aripiprizole may be less likely to be associated with unwanted weight gain than some other anti-psychotics (Murray, 2014). Weight gains amongst people living with schizophrenia can lead on to later life problems such as type 2 diabetes. Another relatively recent example of NICE guiding prescribers towards unlicensed medicines use despite an apparent awareness of current European law can be taken from the updated guidance on the treatment of generalised anxiety disorder (GAD – NICE, 2011b). This at one point recommends: ‘Consider offering sertraline first because it is the most cost-effective drug, but note that at the time of publication (January 2011) sertraline did not have UK marketing authorisation.’ Once again, it would be misleading to suggest that such advice is likely to have significant impacts on patient safety or health outcomes at the personal level. But from an overall policy perspective it is highly questionable. or not a medicine is licensed for an indication (‘that is not [NICE’s] problem’). The implicit attitude underlying responses of this type appears to be that NICE can and should unilaterally judge whether or not there is satisfactory evidence of unlicensed medicine uses being safe, effective and cost saving. This respondent also believed that health service users should do more to question the high prices of new medicines, regardless of the impacts of the Pharmaceutical Price Regulation Scheme and national and global public interests in maintaining the viability of private and public investment in biopharmaceutical research. A senior NHS pharmacist with extensive hospital experience offered a very similar view. This individual indicated an implicit belief that a competent pharmacist would be failing in his or her duty to their organisation if a cheaper medicine that could in all known probability be used safely was not substituted for a more costly presentation, regardless of its formal licensing. By contrast, a NICE staff member acknowledged the existence of ethical and legal problems in relation to directly or indirectly recommending unlicensed drug use when licensed products are available. So too did some other senior NHS pharmacists and medicines Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines regulators. Yet some other individuals approached were very reluctant to discuss this area. There appear in certain settings to be fears, valid or otherwise, of disciplinary interventions and/or institutional damage that are influencing the willingness of public servants and individuals with regulatory responsibilities to contribute to public debate on this topic. One professional respondent suggested that such restraints are stronger in Britain than in some other European countries. At the same time others noted that the employees of privately owned research based companies, and also people working in organisations providing them with services or receiving grants, may on occasion also feel unable to express honestly their personal views in public. Amongst patient representatives interviewed there was a general acceptance of the desirability of using licensed medicines whenever available, alongside a belief that ‘the health service needs to make money go as far as possible’. Similarly, respondents in this group recognised the desirability of high risk research investments, but also thought that pharmaceutical companies should be prepared to lower their prices and profits in order to benefit patients. Over and above such apparent conflicts, a number of the topics that this brief UCL School of Pharmacy report touches on were outside the interests and experiences of many of the (well informed) individuals who agreed to contribute to the research undertaken. But with regard to issues such as the paediatric medicines reforms introduced in Europe to encourage clinical trials in child populations together with appropriate medicines licensing and use, there were again commonly expressed ambiguities. All respondents supported the principle of ensuring effective dosing and supplying paediatric medicines in well-designed formulations. Yet a proportion questioned whether or not the same drug should cost more in one context than another. As in the ‘ranibizumab versus bevacizumab’ debate on the treatment of conditions like age related ‘wet’ macular degeneration, some individuals appear to be unable or unwilling to differentiate between the value of a medicine as represented by its impacts on clinical outcomes and the levels of financial risk incurred during its development, as opposed to the manufacturing cost of the substances it contains. Likewise, neither patient representatives nor NHS interviewees articulated without prompting an awareness of the fact that although health care interventions demanding human labour are always likely to cost about the same amount, the supply cost of innovative medicines normally falls dramatically within 1015 years of their initial marketing because of IPR expiries. On the basis of the qualitative interview findings conducted for this study, industry linked observers (including people based in academia) are by contrast much more aware of the significance of such factors. One individual with unique experience of developing a children’s medicine containing a mature active pharmaceutical ingredient previously only licensed for adult use commented ‘the real problem is not that [repurposed and other] medicines are too expensive, its that the incentives to develop them are still too weak. With regulatory data exclusivity all a competitor has to do is copy your work so unless there is a special step why bother?’. The importance of this observation is highlighted by evidence that when medicines such as midazolam (now available as Buccolam) are reformulated and licensed for specialised paediatric use there can be significant advantages for the children being treated (Tomlin, 2011). In general, industry based interviewees saw NICE’s requests for unlicensed comparator information as unfair and a future threat to the viability of the research based pharmaceutical industry and the patient and public benefits it generates. In contexts such as that of cancer treatment some questioned this and the wider approach adopted in England and Wales as compared to that believed to be favoured by the SMC (Box 7). One interviewee said ‘it may not be that much of a problem now, but it could be soon. The use of generics as comparators is already blocking progress in a lot of areas and this [the use of unlicensed comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals] could make things a lot worse. They are stealing the meaning of value.’ Another commented ‘the Scottish Medicines Consortium seems to have a more reasonable approach, without pushing unlicensed medicines uses. We need to be clear about whether NICE is supposed to be taking into account the importance of licensed use when companies have to play by the rules. What will happen if we lose more [research based industry]?’ However, other sources denied that SMC has a consistent policy against the use of unlicensed comparators in cost effectiveness assessments. Conclusions and recommendations The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence has many positive achievements to its credit, and exercises a growing world-wide influence on the ways medicines and other treatments are valued and used. It is therefore important that the approaches it adopts are as far as is possible in line with national and international public interests. The pursuit of narrowly defined health care provider ‘value’ may or may not be consistent with the legislation that today underpins the existence of the National Institute as an ‘executive non-departmental body.’8 But it clearly does not encompass the full range of benefits many patients and members of the public consider relevant to comprehensively determining the worth of modern medicines and ongoing biomedical research. 8 Until April 2013 NICE was a Special Health Authority within the NHS. Some commentators argue that if NICE is not now mandated to take fully into account the extra-NHS/health sector benefits of therapeutic innovation, this can and should be remedied by other government departments. Special Treasury support for research investors and patent holders may be taken as an example. However, in a global market the use of what could be regarded as distorting subsidies in atypical settings like the UK might in overall terms impact very negatively on research funding and the improvement of public health, and hence on wider British public interests. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines 15 Box 7 The Scottish Medicines Consortium (SMC) and public concerns about cancer care The SMC was first established in 2001, approaching two years after NICE. Its remit is ‘to provide advice to NHS Boards and their Area Drug and Therapeutics Committees (ADTCs) across Scotland about the status of all newly licensed medicines, all new formulations of existing medicines and new indications for products licensed from January 2002.’ Quality Improvement Scotland (QIS) reviews all NICE Multiple Technology Assessments (MTAs) and decides whether or not they should apply in Scotland. If so, the NICE guidance supersedes SMC advice. However, NICE Single Technology Appraisals (STAs) have no status in Scotland Some observers regard the SMC’s approach as being superior to that of NICE in areas like assessing the value of new anti-cancer treatments. One clinician with relevant experience commented ‘I think their [the SMC’s] technical advice is better’. Others privately suggest that English advisory committees can be dominated by agency staff members with fixed attitudes towards how ‘health economics’ based assessments should properly be conducted, and who may rule information thought important by clinical and other experts to be irrelevant. Such evidence is essentially anecdotal. But it is of note that in the context of cancer treatment there is no equivalent to the Cancer Drug Fund that covers England. This is also true in Wales, which is subject to NICE judgments but has no CDF equivalent. Access to The record to date of NICE in requiring ‘off-label’ (and so in indication specific terms unlicensed) medicines to be employed as comparators in cost effectiveness studies, and in subsequently recommending that low cost unlicensed products be used in preference to licensed alternatives, cannot to date reasonably be said to have significantly undermined public health. But without a commitment to unequivocally supporting licensed medicinal product use whenever this is consistent with patients’ best clinically defined needs, and to calculating cost effectiveness in ways which optimally reflect public interests in both safety and the ongoing development of better therapies, NICE HTAs might nevertheless in future cause more overall harm rather than benefit. A more precise definition of what is considered ‘established health service practice’ than that currently in the literature about the National Institute Health and Care Excellence’s remit might help to minimise such risks. Failures to develop an intellectually robust framework for judging when – if ever – it is correct for unlicensed uses of IP protected or generic treatments to be accepted as ‘established’ rather than undesirable could lead agencies such as NICE to undermine the work of bodies such as the MHRA and the EMA. At worst, the Institute will become a serial instigator of new unlicensed medical interventions. This might on occasions permit the pursuit of financial savings to 16 anti-cancer medicines there may as a result be more restricted than in other parts of Britain. In England, the CDF currently spends in the order of £250 million per annum funding anti-cancer treatments that NICE has not judged cost effective. The total cost of all (NICE and CDF ‘approved’ plus other) pharmaceutical products for patients with cancer in England is in the order of £1.2 billion per annum, which is about 1 per cent of all NHS spending and 0.1 per cent of GDP. These last figures have stayed broadly constant for well over a decade. The existence of the CDF has helped to reduce, but not eliminate, English public fears that NHS patient access to anti-cancer treatments is inadequate, and so to limit associated political problems. But in the context of this paper it also raises implicit public and political concerns about the ways cancer treatments are evaluated by NICE, and the underlying integrity and social acceptability of its methodologies in areas such as comparator selection in cost effectiveness appraisals. From a public health perspective, the most effective ways forward in reducing cancer related harm must of course focus on primary prevention and ensuring optimal early stage detection and cure rates. Yet it is also a demonstrable social fact the British public highly values research into treatments for established cancers. The existence of the Cancer Drug Fund raises questions as to whether or not this reality has been fully respected by NICE. distort awareness of patients’ and the wider public’s best interests. Seen from this last perspective, it may be concluded that in future NICE should avoid proposing the use of unlicensed medicines as comparators to licensed products in cost effectiveness appraisals.9 However, it is also realistic to conclude that there will be continuing political and managerial demands for NICE and similar bodies to provide estimates of the value of medicines on a product by product basis, despite the fact that interventions such as ‘drug budget capping’ suggest that the utility of such data is less than commonly believed. If this is the case then NICE and its external stakeholders may wish to consider anew the extent to which its current approach to determining ‘incremental QALY’ based cost effectiveness ratios, combined with relatively inflexible affordability criteria, are a logically or ethically acceptable guide to the evaluation and pricing of innovative therapies. The need for open and informed public debate is at its greatest in circumstances where it is not genuinely possible to identify suitably licensed comparators. It is also pressing in contexts where the further improvement of existing therapies is a recognised social priority, even 9 If products have not been rigorously trialled they may, ‘established uses’ or not, be a source of inadequately quantified harm. This was arguably illustrated by the recent withdrawal of the weightloss drug benfluorex (Mediator) in France. Licensed to Cure? Public and patient interests relating to the use of unlicensed products as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed medicines though substantive progress may demand decades of sustained high risk private and public investment. Investigating disease states or scientifically important biological phenomena underlying them is likely to be especially difficult in contexts where even when they have been understood they require only relatively infrequent clinical interventions, and so offer only limited overall commercial and national income generation opportunities. There are significant technical and political hurdles to be overcome in addressing the various challenges touched on in this report. Yet changes such as those presently involving the UK PPRS suggest that it should be possible to find ways of simplifying and reducing the costs of current treatment affordability calculations. Such progress might also help reduce needless patient fears that they will not be able to obtain ‘cutting-edge’ treatments, without abandoning the useful work of HTA agencies in areas like evidence based clinical guideline development and multiple technology assessments. Further progress in fields such as characterising ‘model’ or proxy comparators for use in cost effectiveness assessments might help to resolve controversies about assuring timely access to anti-cancer medicines, providing new treatments for rare disorders, and equitably pursuing ‘healthy ageing’. In the final analysis, the purpose of conducting health technology assessments is to enable individuals to access treatments they want and can benefit from, and at the same time to help societies move towards the futures the people in them collectively judge desirable in an efficient and affordable manner. Superficially, questions relating to the unlicensed use of low cost medicines as comparators in cost effectiveness appraisals of licensed pharmaceutical products may seem to have little bearing on the achievement of such fundamentally important human goals. 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The research methods used were determined by the authors and editorial control was exercised by Professor Taylor, who is accountable for all aspects of this document’s content. Copyright UCL School of Pharmacy, March 2014 ISBN 978-0-902936-30-0 Price £7.50 Design & print: www.intertype.co.uk