The Source of Illinois Unfunded Liability At more than five times the national average, Illinois has the largest unfunded pension liability in the nation. Why? Debt ($ in billions) Figure 1 Illinois Retirement Debt $50 $40.7 $40 $30 $20 $7.2 $10 $Illinois National Average Not due to overly generous benefits. Illinois benefits are just 3.7 percent more than the national average. Figure 2 Average State & Local Government Employee Annual Retirement Benefits AverageAnnual Paym ents $20,000 $19,000 $18,000 $17,000 $17,112 $16,488 $16,000 $15,000 $14,000 $13,000 $12,000 $11,000 $10,000 National Average Illinois © 2007, Center for Tax and Budget Accountability Not due to costs. Illinois costs are far below national averages. Normal Cost (percentage of active members' payroll) Figure 3 Comparison of Pension Systems Normal Costs 14.00% 12.5% 12.00% 9.13% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% Illinois National Average Why then? Illinois' fiscal problems can be traced to one very simple phenomenon: while the cost of providing public services grows normally with the economy over time, the state’s poorly designed tax system does not grow with the economy, and hence generates less revenue than needed to maintain current public service levels and make the required pension payments from year to year, adjusting solely for inflation. Because Illinois tax revenues haven’t grown with the economy for decades, Illinois has repeatedly underfunded its retirement systems, just to maintain basic services. The harsh reality is the state has not gone into debt to fund public employee benefits. Quite the opposite. Illinois has borrowed against the pension contributions it owes to maintain public services. What Illinois suffers from is a structural deficit, the inability of a tax system to generate enough revenue to maintain funding the same level of public services from year to year. Figure 4 The Illinois Structural Deficit (How Revenue Growth Will Not Keep Pace With The Cost of Current Services) $49 Billion Revenue Expenditures $44 Billion $39 Billion $34 Billion $29 Billion © 2007 Center for Tax and Budget Accountability $24 Billion 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 12 13 11 10 09 08 07 06 For more information, contact Jourlande Gabriel, IRSI Director, (312) 332-1103 or jgabriel@ctbaonline.org. © 2007, Center for Tax and Budget Accountability