The Impact of Enterprise Size on Employment Tribunal Incidence and Outcomes: Evidence from Britain George Saridakis* Sukanya Sen-Gupta** Paul Edwards** & David J. Storey* * Centre for Small and Medium Sized Enterprises University of Warwick ** Industrial Relations Research Unit University of Warwick Address for correspondence: George Saridakis, CSME, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, Coventry. CV4 7AL Tel.: +44 (0)24 7652 2074 Fax: +44 (0)24 7652 3747 George.Saridakis@wbs.ac.uk CSME Working Paper 89 First version: June 2006 Revised version: November 2006 1 Abstract: Employment Tribunals are the formal means of adjudicating disputes over individual employment rights in the UK. This paper hypothesises that because small firms favour informality over formality that they are (1) more likely to experience employee claims than large firms; (2) to be subject to different types of claims; (3) to be more likely to settle prior to reaching a formal Tribunal; and (4) be more likely to lose at a Tribunal. Data from the 2003 Survey of Employment Tribunal Applications (SETA) are used to examine these hypotheses. They are generally supported, though in relation to the third there was no size effect, and at Tribunal stage having and using (formal) disciplinary procedures overrides the effect of firm size. The most likely explanation is that day-to-day practice in small firms is not consistent with the standards of evidence and the audit trail expected by Tribunals. JEL Classification: J5 Key words: enterprise size, employment tribunal Acknowledgement: We would like to thank Ben Knight and Alan Neal for useful comments and discussions. The research was supported by the UK Department of Trade and Industry and the Advanced Institute of Management Research. 2 1. Introduction Edith Penrose (1959 [1995:19]) famously argued that “differences in the administrative structure of the very small and very large firms are so great that in many ways it is hard to see that the two species are of the same genus”. Despite this wide recognition, at least amongst small firm researchers, the influence of firm size on employment relations has been inadequately theorised. To address this, we develop a distinction initially drawn by Storey and Sykes (1996). They argue that the nature of uncertainty differs between small and large firms. Large firms suffer primarily from internal uncertainty, whereas small firms suffer primarily from external uncertainty. The response of small and large firms to these different forms of uncertainty is then reflected in the nature of employment relations. This paper argues that, in order to confront internal uncertainty, the large firm is required to impose formality in its relations with employees, even if this imposes an “unhappiness cost” upon them. In small firms, however, there is no such requirement for formality to achieve employee commitment. Indeed formality is viewed as generally undesirable. Such theories are examined using one measure of employment relations - cases brought before Employment Tribunals (ETs). Tribunals provide a relevant test because the legalism and formality of their practice contrast with the original intention that they should provide rapid and informal means to settle disputes (Dickens et al., 1985). They thus provide a measure of how well small firms deal with an external system that requires formality and documented procedures. Their role is to handle cases brought by employees over individual employment rights. The great bulk of their work used to relate to claims for unfair dismissal; this still comprises their largest part of their work, but new responsibilities have included discrimination cases and cases brought under the Wages Act. 1 In this paper we found that small firms experience more claims than large ones, and are subject to particular types of claim. We found some weak evidence that small firms are less likely to settle prior to reaching a Tribunal. However, when reaching a Tribunal small firms are more likely to lose those cases. Our interpretation of these results is that the formality of ETs runs against the informality of small firms. We contend that this result has not been identified previously and that it matters for both employers and employees. It matters for small employers who may feel they are 1 The number of registered applications peaked at over 130,000 in 2000 (Hayward et al., 2004). 3 discriminated against by the operation of ETs, if not by the legislation. It matters to employees who may choose to avoid small firms on the grounds that they appear to be bad employers. The paper is organised as follows: Section 2 by reviews the theory of small and large firms. This section develops both the Penrose analogy and the distinction drawn by Storey and Sykes (1996) between internal and external uncertainty. Section 3 uses this theory to derive hypotheses relating to Employment Tribunal cases. Section 4 outlines the statistical framework. Section 5 provides a brief description of the SETA 2003 data set. The findings are presented in Section 6. The final section offers an explanation based on the nature of small firms’ employment practices. 2. Small and Large Firms: The Theory External Uncertainty Smaller firms are significantly more likely to fail than larger businesses2 , primarily because they do not control their external environment. They lack the market power to influence prices and they are more likely to be dependent on a single or small number of customers 3 . Small firm success is therefore more likely to be influenced by their skill in responding to, rather than shaping of, their marketplace. To address this external uncertainty the small firm places more emphasis on short term survival than the larger firm. This is reflected most clearly in its investment decisions. Small firms favour projects which have a short, rather than a medium, term payback 4 . They favour projects which enable them to switch in the event of unexpected changes in their marketplace 5 . In contrast, larger firms have more market control and are more likely to be able to absorb and adjust to changes by rescheduling their activities. They therefore place a smaller premium on flexibility. This clearly influences the nature of employment relations in the workplace. Favouring short term returns means that formal training, where there is a clear front2 Hart and Oulton (1996) show that, in very broad terms, for each doubling of company size, death rates fall by 5% for companies with up to 1,000 employees. 3 Kitson and Wilkinson (2000) report that 37% of SMEs relied on one customer for more than one quarter of their sales. Perhaps even more strikingly, 20% of “micro” firms obtained at least half their customers from a single source, compared with only 4% of medium-sized firms. 4 Hankinson (1984). 5 Cosh and Hughes (1994: 33) show that small companies rely more on carrying “excess” liquid assets to meet discontinuities in investment programmes. 4 end cost and returns only in the medium term, is less likely to be undertaken in small firms. A second reason why small firms will place less emphasis upon training is that there is unlikely to be an internal labour market, so that trainees can ‘move onwards and upwards’. Instead the small employer will recognise that the trained employee is more likely to move out, thus reinforcing the unwillingness to provide training (Storey, 1997). Such a reaction is a rational response from the small employer, in the same way that training provision is a rational response from large employer. It reflects the different types of uncertainty facing firms of different size. Internal Uncertainty In contrast, it is the internal environment in large firms which is uncertain. The distance between the key decision makers in a large organisation and those either implementing or responding to these decisions means the decision-takers cannot be certain their decisions are being implemented. In a small organisation, in contrast, the boss can see immediately if there are difficulties. To address this internal uncertainty large firms respond by enhancing formality - a concept which is alien to the small firm owner. Three very different illustrations of this uncertainty are now discussed. The first type of uncertainty is that workers are unaware of decisions that have been made. In this respect large firms are much more likely than small firms to experience communication problems in communicating decisions made by top managers to the remainder of their workforce. The traditional response to this uncertainty by large firms is to enhance formality. Greater communication formality is reflected in the more extensive use of newsletters, or by formal meetings between managers and workforce representatives. It is less likely to be addressed, as it would be in a small firm, by a face to face yet informal meeting with the person making the decision explaining, and justifying, that decision to those affected by it. Such a response is not possible in a large firm so it has to address this communication problem through formality. A second dimension of internal uncertainty is that of employee commitment. Ideally, all sizes of firm seek to ensure that workers, at all levels, comprehend the significance of their own actions. But, for example, whilst workers in all sizes of firm accept that absenteeism causes problems for co-workers, workers in small firms are 5 much more likely to understand the impact this may have upon the viability of the whole enterprise. Similarly, middle managers in large organisations, partly because there are so many of them, may feel that their personal contribution to the overall success of the business is difficult to identify. “People no longer know everyone else and . . . there is a need to develop formal procedures and practices” (Cully et al., 1999: 273). This, in turn, may reduce the commitment and effort of that individual. The owner-manager of a small firm, however, is much more likely to be able to link clearly their personal contribution to either the downside consequences of financial loss or even bankruptcy or the upside gains in wealth. To address this uncertainty, larger firms again respond by seeking to raise formality. Team spirit, which is more likely to occur naturally in small firms, is promoted by formal communication channels and in seeking to standardise, rather than to tailor the managementworkforce relationships to local circumstances. A third uncertainty is in managing diversity. In small firms diversity is more likely to be managed by the decision taker having an informed understanding of the specific circumstances of the specific worker. In the large firm this same diversity is managed by formality and the central theme is to ensure that individuals are treated fairly. This is interpreted as meaning that no individual is seen to be advantageously or disadvantageously treated, compared with the comparable co-workers. Parity and fairness are synonyms in large firms. To achieve this, the HRM function is administered by professionals who seek to ensure to ensure delivery of equality and fairness though formality. Because the small firm is more likely to fail than the large firm, and because the larger firm is more likely to utilise formal procedures, it is either explicitly or implicitly asserted that formality is desirable, even among small firms. One example of this is that the Workplace Employment Relations Surveys (WERS), even in 2004, examined only formal training in enterprises. Since the ratio of formal to informal training is clearly lower in small than large firms (Kitching and Blackburn, 2002), omitting informal training implies that small firms either “don’t train” or “fail to engage in good practice” (Hoque, 2003). However a key finding from WERS 2004 is that workers in smaller firms are considerably more likely to report higher levels of job satisfaction and happiness with virtually all aspects of their work environment than workers in larger firms (Forth et al., 2006). In short, formality therefore appears to be associated with dissatisfaction and, if a happy workforce is a productive 6 workforce, then it suggests there are negative returns associated with increasing formality. 3. Employment Tribunals and Hypothesis Derivation The above theories can be tested against evidence from cases brought to ETs. Previous research on ETs has been of two kinds. Case studies have examined their operations and links with firms’ disciplinary practices (Earnshaw et al., 1998). Some quantitative studies have used surveys, notably the 1998 WERS (Knight and Latreille, 2000a); such surveys are strong on identifying what sorts of firm are likely to have an ET case but the number of such cases is small (4 per cent of the WERS sample reported an unfair dismissal claim going to an ET) and thus data on the characteristics of firms with cases are limited. A small number of studies have used the series of SETA which are deployed here, but have not specifically addressed the issue of firm size (Knight and Latreille, 2000b). The existing evidence on the effect of size on the incidence of Tribunal cases is limited. Most studies find that a disproportionately large number of employment Tribunal claims, particularly those related to unfair dismissal cases, are brought against small firms (Earnshaw et al., 1998; Atkinson and Curtis, 2004). WERS 1998, however, identified only a small difference between what it identified as small businesses and larger organisations (Cully et al., 1999). Furthermore, existing explanations of a size relationship are mixed and unsatisfactory. Perhaps the most common industrial relations argument is that small firms tend to be bad employers; the “Bleak House” or “autocracy” image is well-established (see Scase, 2003, for a review). Yet the overall evidence from WERS is that indices of worker satisfaction tend to be high in small organisations (Forth et al., 2006). An alternative argument might say that small firm workers bring ET cases against small firms because they expect to win them against an amateur employer. But this would be to attribute far more knowledge about ETs than workers are likely to possess, and it ignores the substantial risks and personal costs that bringing cases typically entails (Aston et al., 2006). Such explanations entail a long chain of reasoning, for ET cases are, as we show below, unusual, and they reflect particular circumstances, notably the breakdown of an employment relationship and a desire to seek redress. They are 7 unlikely to reflect directly the underlying features of firms. The most parsimonious argument is that small firms will favour informality and will tend to lack formal procedures that could deal with an issue prior to its development into a case. That is, informality may in general permit the resolution of disagreements by face-to-face means. But where such means fail there is a gap, and there are weak structures to handle disagreements that develop into more substantial disputes. This is the downside of informality. Thus: H1: Smaller enterprises are more likely than larger enterprises to have Tribunal cases brought against them. The evidence to date is provided by Hayward et al. (2004). Using the SETA data they find the highest rate of ET cases among firms in the 50-249 size band, with smaller firms having ET cases in about the same proportion as their share of all employees. Other studies, such as those by Burgess et al. (2001) and Knight and Latreille (2000a) used size of workplace rather than of the whole organisation as their measure, thus neglecting firm size comparisons. Existing research also focuses primarily on unfair dismissal cases (e.g., Dickens et al., 1984). It is therefore unclear whether small firms are more likely to have other types of cases brought against them, such as redundancy, sex discrimination and breach of contract (Burgess et al., 2001). Since small firms are more likely to pay low wages and to have informal arrangements for the setting of pay (Cully et al., 1999; Gilman et al., 2002; Rainnie, 1989), we hypothesise that: H2: Small firms are likely to have a higher incidence of wage related and breach of contract cases than large firms. Of the Tribunal claims made, only a small proportion ultimately result in a hearing (Knight and Latrielle, 2000a; Burgess et al., 2001). Instead they are dismissed, withdrawn, or settled privately or though intervention by the Advisory, Conciliation and Arbitration Service (ACAS). Cost considerations and expectations relating to case outcome influence whether or not a case reaches a Tribunal. It is widely argued that small firms are more likely to settle out of court in order to reduce legal expenses (Atkinson and Curtis, 2004). A study with the closest parallels with the present one used the 1992 SETA data to investigate at what stage Tribunal cases are 8 resolved (Knight and Latreille, 2000b). It found that settlement before the Tribunal stage was more likely in companies between 100 and 10,000 employees than in companies with less 100 employees. The reason suggested was that the cost of agreeing is high in small and in very large firms. The study did not look more closely at size effects or at other issues. We therefore hypothesise that: H3: Cases against small firms are least likely to end up at Tribunals. In addition, to win a case if it does get to a Tribunal, the business owner has to demonstrate that he or she has complied fully with the requirements of the law. To do this requires, as a minimum, some knowledge of the law. This is more likely to be found amongst human resource professionals who staff medium to large size firms, rather than the ‘jack of all trades’ who own and manage small firms. WERS 1998 found that personnel professionals were much rarer in small stand-alone workplaces than in similarly sized workplaces owned by larger organisations (Cully et al., 1999). A second requirement for a successful outcome is for the business owner to be able to show, through accurate record keeping, that all procedures required by the law are fully complied with. Arrowsmith et al. (2003) and Bacon and Hoque (2005) show that record keeping is likely to be much more informal in small than in larger enterprises. It also seems more likely that an individual small firm will be appearing for the first time, and so may be less expert in presenting a case. For all these reasons, we might expect small firms to be more likely to lose cases than larger firms. Previous studies such as those by Tremlett and Banerji (1994) and Wilkinson (1998) confirm such arguments, though without detailed empirical testing of the kind reported below. Therefore, it can be hypothesised that: H4: Small firms that go to Tribunal have a higher likelihood of losing a case than large firms. Nevertheless the question remains as to whether size is in fact a proxy for the presence or absence of procedures. Some studies find that the presence of formal procedures exerts no influence on whether unfair dismissal claims are brought to an ET (Knight and Latreille, 2000a). Earnshaw et al. (1998) pointed out that such mechanisms were frequently put in place following a claim. However, there was a general consensus that the presence of formal procedures increased the likelihood of a 9 judgement’s being passed in favour of the employer. A strongly emergent theme is that it is the implementation rather than the existence of formal procedures that is the crucial factor in determining whether a firm will be the subject of an employment Tribunal claim (Earnshaw et al., 1998). Scott et al. (1989) argued that formal procedures, if followed, could be highly beneficial to the small firm, leading to a lower incidence of cases and a greater chance of winning at an ET. 4. The Statistical Framework This section identifies the procedures used for testing the (H2)-(H4). Multinomial logistic regression is used to assess the factors associated with the type of jurisdiction (H2). There are four types of jurisdiction and the labelling of the type is arbitrary in the sense that the outcomes are not “ordered”. The dependent variable and the model are given as follows: ⎧1 Unfair dismissal ⎪2 Breach of contract ⎪ Yi = ⎨ ⎪3 Wages act ⎪⎩4 Others (base category) Pr (Y i) = e 4 β ′ jxi ∑e , j = 1,..,4 (1) (2) β ′hx i h =1 where j denotes the j + 1 possible unordered choices with characteristics x i and where β 4 is normalised at zero. The coefficients in this model are difficult to interpret and therefore, marginal effects are calculated (see Greene, 2000). The effect of dichotomous variables represents a discrete change from zero to one. The probability of the discrete event of a case going to an ET (H3) as well as an employer losing the case (H4) is more appropriately modelled as a probit relationship. For example, we assume that employees have an underlying propensity to bring a case, denoted by the response variable d *i . This unobserved propensity is defined by the regression relationship: 10 d i* = β ′x i + μ i (3) where x i is a vector of covariates, β is the corresponding vector of parameters to be estimated and μ i is a normally distributed error term which is independent of x i and has mean zero and variance one. The latent variable d *i drives the observed outcome, d i through the measurement equation: ⎧1 if d *i > 0 d i= ⎨ * ⎩0 if d i ≤ 0 (4) Estimation of model (3) is straightforward and provides us with direct measures of the effect of various explanatory variables on the likelihood of bringing the case to ET. 5. Data Our analysis is based upon a large, UK, nationally-representative sample of ET cases. 6 The 2003 SETA is the most recent survey, in a series of four ET surveys conducted by the Department of Trade and Industry. It captures a random selection of ET cases that were completed between March 2002 and March 2003, obtaining a response rate of 66%. The survey consists of an applicant and an employer survey and the fieldwork was conducted by the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) between October 2003 and January 2004. The survey captures responses from 2,281 employers and 2,236 applicants involved in ET cases. All the variables that are used for analysis in this paper are based on the employer questionnaire and descried in Table A1 in Appendix. The data set has a high degree of representativeness thereby contributing to the generalisability of results (Hayward et al., 2004). Moreover, our data are appropriate for testing the key hypotheses identified earlier because they contain information on a large number of ET cases and where they were settled. 6 However, to examine H1 we also use the Small Business Survey (SBS) and ET Statistics data. The latter includes all enterprises registered for VAT in England and Wales in 2003 and is the basis for official estimates of enterprise numbers in the UK. We are aware that this is not a perfect measure of enterprise numbers since only business with annual sales of £58,000 are required to be registered and there are also some exempt sectors, but this is the best available. 11 Sample analysis SETA 2003 identifies four main types of jurisdiction cases: unfair dismissal, wages act, breach of contract and others. The last group include, for example, redundancy payments and sex discrimination cases. Table 1 shows the type of jurisdictions by enterprise size. Our measure of enterprise size is consistent with standard definitions that treat firms with up to 249 employees as SMEs and further distinguishes those with fewer than 50 as “small”; within the SETA data, it is not possible to separate out “micro” (0-9 employees) firms. The most striking result is that, of the total cases brought by employees in small enterprises, about 27% are wage related compared with only 22% and 17% for medium and large size enterprise. Similarly, small firms have a higher incidence of breach of contract cases than medium and large firms. A large proportion of cases brought against large and medium sized firms are for unfair dismissal. Figure A1 in the Appendix is a “flow chart” of case outcomes. On the left hand side we show that virtually 82% of cases are never hearing by a Tribunal and “drop out” for a variety of reasons shown in the chart. For example, about 15% of the cases were withdrawn without receiving any money or anything else such as an apology or reference. We suspect that this category represents mainly inexperienced applicants. The bulk, just under two thirds, was settled through conciliation by the formal ACAS. A small proportion was dismissed from the Employment Tribunal Service (ETS). Table 2 then shows how these outcomes vary according to firm size. It shows that large firms are less likely to proceed to a Tribunal than small and medium sized firms, thus confirming the earlier findings of Knight and Latreille (2000b). Table 1: Association between enterprise size and type of jurisdiction (n=2,251; weighted estimates %) Type of jurisdiction: Enterprise size Less than 49 50-249 250+ Observations Unfair Dismissal 38.26 41.95 45.64 1,089 Breach of Contract Wages Act Others % within enterprise size 16.59 27.47 17.68 13.57 22.17 22.31 11.95 16.84 25.56 278 453 431 Total 912 467 872 2,251 Note: We test the hypotheses that the proportions are equal between and within groups. The Wald test rejects the null hypothesis in both cases. 12 Table 2: Outcomes of all jurisdictions by enterprise size (n=2,198; weighted estimates %) Outcomes: Small (less than 49) All Each claims stage Medium (50-249) All Each claims stage Large (250+) All Each claims stage Case not Heard Withdrawn Settled Privately Settled through ACAS Dismissed by ETS 13.90 18.09 43.94 4.59 18.01 23.42 56.90 1.67 14.97 15.72 44.64 3.63 19.49 20.48 58.13 1.90 16.43 16.64 46.40 4.66 20.28 20.54 57.27 1.91 Subtotal 80.52 100 78.96 100 84.13 100 Case Heard by Tribunal Dismissed at Hearing Claimant Lost Claimant Win 1.29 7.69 10.50 20.13 33.77 46.10 1.46 10.81 8.77 15.64 46.58 37.78 1.55 10.40 3.92 24.57 54.76 20.67 Subtotal 19.48 100 21.04 100 15.87 100 Total 100 100 100 Notes: Statistically significant differences between the two stages of resolution were found when small or medium sized enterprises were compared with large sized enterprises. 6. Results H1: Smaller enterprises are more likely than larger enterprises to have Tribunal cases brought against them. The 2003 SETA by itself does not allow us to examine whether smaller enterprises are more likely than larger enterprises to have Tribunal cases brought against them (H1). However, we attempt to examine this hypothesis by making use of data form the SBS and ET Statistics. Figure 1 below shows that in the UK in 2003, 4,097,097 enterprises employed a total of 24,337,000 employees. About 30% of these enterprises have salaried employees and company directors while the remainders are sole proprietorship or partnerships. The latter, however, comprises only 1.4% of the total employees. The 2003 ET Statistics annual report identifies 98,617 cases registered from March 2002-2003, some of which are multiple applications. We are informed the numbers of multiple applications are tiny but we cannot adjust for them. Since the ET statistics and SETA provide information on the number of cases registered, rather than the number of employees registering the cases, this requires 13 two assumptions to be made: first, the cases are registered by waged or salaried employees and company directors. This is a valid assumption since the SETA shows that vast majority of the cases are registered by regular employees. Second, we assume each employee registers one case. In practice this is not always the case and therefore, we make a distinction between cases that are brought against an enterprise with and without prior ET experience. Figure 1 shows that of the 97,039 enterprises having cases brought by regular employees, just half of them have no prior experience of ETs. Based on these assumptions, the likelihood of a case being brought against an enterprise in any one year is one in fifty. Most of the cases (82%) were brought against private sector enterprises with private sector employees being twice as likely to register a Tribunal cases compared with public sector employees. More interestingly, of all the cases brought by regular employees working in the private sector, about 42% were against small enterprises, and 21% were against medium enterprises. Our findings therefore support H1. More specifically, we found that the probability of a case being brought by a SME firm employee is almost twice as higher as for a large firm employee. This is in line with previous findings reported by Hayward et al. (2004). H2: Small firms are likely to have a higher incidence of wage related and breach of contract cases than large firms. To examine the effect of enterprise size on type of jurisdiction (H2) a multinomial logistic regression is estimated. Table 3 shows the marginal effects estimates of each type of jurisdiction, and the predicted probabilities of each alternative is given at the bottom of the Table. We begin in Column (I) by including only the enterprise size as an explanatory variable. We then, in Column (II), examine whether these findings vary when other variables are included in the equation. These other variables are controls such as sector and type of firm, but also variables that reflect the characteristics of the individual bringing the case - age, gender, pay, hours of work. Finally specific characteristics of the firm are included such as whether it has a Human Resources Department (HRD) and whether it provided written documentation - which can be taken as an index of formality. 14 Figure 1. The 2003 SETA Pipeline * Enterprises and Employees from SBS: 4,097,095 and 24,337,000 Enterprise with Employees: 1,226,915 Enterprise without Employees: 2,870,180 Employees: 24,000,000 Employees: 337,000 2003 SETA brought and disposed: 142,336 Cases brought from ET Statistics: 2000/03: 341,252 and 2002/03: 98,617 Cases brought by regular employees from SETA: 97,039 Cases brought once from SETA: 48,520 Likelihood of case registered first time: 0.2% Cases disposed 2000/03 from ET Statistics: 95,554 Likelihood of case disposed in 1 year from SETA: 94% SETA sample: 2,281 Regular employees’ cases: 2,245 Private: 1,870 Regular employees cases: 1,840 [920] Employees: 17,695,000 Business No: 1,115,210 Likelihood of case brought: 0.01% [0.005%] Likelihood disposed in 1 year: 96% Small Regular employees cases: 777 [389] Employees: 6,056,000 Business No: 1,123,260 Likelihood: 0.013% [0.006%] Likelihood disposed in 1 year: 98% Public: 265 Regular employees cases: 261 [131] Employees: 4,799,000 Business No: 3,925 Likelihood of case brought: 0.005% [0.003%] Likelihood in disposed in 1 year: 88% Medium Regular employees cases: 393 [197] Employees: 2,598,000 Business No: 25,875 Likelihood: 0.015% [0.007%] Likelihood disposed in 1 year: 96% * Large Regular employee cases: 649 [325] Employees: 9,041,000 Business No: 6,075 Likelihood: 0.007% [0.004%] Likelihood disposed in 1 year: 93% The figures in the square brackets refer to those regular employee cases brought against firms that have no prior employment tribunal experience. 15 We examine first the relationship between enterprise size and type of jurisdiction. Column (I) confirms that small and medium size enterprises are less likely to have cases related to unfair dismissal and sex discrimination (compared with large enterprises). In contrast, being small means the enterprise increases its probability of having wages and breach of contract related cases brought against them. We then investigate whether the estimation results in column (I) change when we control for industry, type of sector, employee characteristics, workforce composition, employment status, tenure, working time, pay levels, procedural controls and membership of a trade union or staff association. The results are given in column (II). With the exception of unfair dismissal and Wages Act cases, the coefficient of the enterprise size variable remains statistically significant even after the introduction of the new variables. The new variables themselves, of course, provide valuable additional insights into the factors influencing the nature of cases brought. The characteristics of the individual bringing the case also appears to strongly influence the nature of the case. For example, Unfair Dismissal cases are more likely to be brought by older, male workers employed on a full time basis. Such individuals have generally worked at the firm for a number of years in a supervisory role, but are not well paid. This contrasts starkly with Wage cases which are more likely to be brought by male, temporary workers who have worked for the business only a short period of time. Amongst the ‘other’ cases - where discrimination is a major issue - those most likely to bring such cases are relatively well paid females who have been with the business for only a short period of time. Finally it is very interesting that none of the “policy” variables are significant, other than trade union membership which reduces the likelihood of an unfair dismissal case being brought. 7 7 We also found strong evidence that the outcome categories of the models have the property of independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA) by performing the Hausman specification test for both. Under the IIA assumption, we would expect no systematic change in the coefficients if we excluded one of the outcomes from the model. The test values suggest that the assumption of independence of the various alternatives is satisfied for all omitted categories. Omitted category 1: χ2=-15.08; Omitted category 2: χ2=0.81; Omitted category 3: χ2=1.14. In the case where the χ2 is negative, we interpret this as a strong evidence that we cannot reject the null hypothesis of no systematic differences in coefficients. 16 Outcomes: Specification: Variable Number of employees (250+) Less than 49 50-249 Firm type (private) Public Other Sector (other service) Manufacturing Construction Wholesale and retail Hotels and restaurants Transport and communication Finance Refused to respond Age of employee (45+) Under 25 25 to 44 Sex of employee (male) Female Employment status (full-time) Part-time Contract Managerial duties (no managerial) Manager Supervisor Years of work (less than 1) 1-3 4-7 8+ Table 3: Multinomoal logit estimates for the type of jurisdiction Unfair dismissal Breach of contract Wages act I II I II I II ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. -0.093** 0.025 -0.058* 0.030 -0.042 -0.032 0.038 0.036 0.047** 0.024 0.018 0.023 0.062** 0.019 0.024 0.025 0.114** 0.068** 0.022 0.028 0.035 0.029 Others I ME Std. err. ME II Std. err. 0.028 -0.069** 0.019 -0.054** 0.027 0.029 -0.034 0.021 -0.016 0.025 - - 0.012 -0.020 0.045 0.059 - - -0.021 -0.021 0.025 0.030 - - -0.013 0.033 -0.069** 0.034 - - 0.023 0.110** 0.033 0.052 - - 0.065* -0.091* 0.086* -0.032 -0.034 0.092 -0.028 0.039 0.054 0.045 0.062 0.049 0.057 0.046 - - -0.006 -0.034 -0.023 -0.013 -0.029 0.005 -0.007 0.023 0.026 0.024 0.033 0.025 0.035 0.027 - - -0.068** 0.078* -0.040 0.036 -0.020 -0.032 0.030 0.025 0.044 0.029 0.048 0.032 0.039 0.037 - - 0.009 0.046 -0.022 0.009 0.084* -0.065* 0.004 0.030 0.047 0.033 0.048 0.044 0.036 0.034 - - -0.020 -0.052* 0.047 0.029 - - -0.001 0.010 0.028 0.018 - - -0.028 0.019 0.030 0.022 - - 0.049 0.024 0.040 0.022 - - -0.068** 0.029 - - -0.037** 0.017 - - -0.041** 0.021 - - 0.146** 0.024 - - -0.232** 0.095 -0.195** 0.092 - - -0.015 -0.050 0.059 0.039 - - 0.101 0.079 - - 0.087 0.096 0.089 0.083 - - 0.050 0.102** 0.039 0.039 - - 0.043 -0.022 0.027 0.024 - - -0.058** 0.026 -0.055** 0.027 - - -0.035 -0.025 0.027 0.028 - - 0.280** 0.317** 0.289** 0.029 0.033 0.036 - - -0.071** 0.016 -0.102** 0.013 -0.080** 0.016 - - -0.159** 0.019 -0.163** 0.016 -0.180** 0.017 - - 17 0.161 0.149* -0.049** 0.022 -0.052** 0.026 -0.029 0.029 Outcomes: Specification: Variable Hours per week (50+) 1-15 16-29 30-39 40-49 Gross pay (25,000+) Under 10,000 10,000-14,999 15,000-19,000 20,000-24,999 Refused to respond Human resources department (no HRD) Human resources department Procedures (no procedures) Disciplinary and grievance procedures Written communication (no written comm.) Written communication Trade union membership (no membership) Trade union membership Predicted Probability Observations Notes: *Significant at the 10% level **Significant at the 5% level Unfair dismissal I II ME Std. err. ME Std. err. Table 3 (continued) Breach of contract I II ME Std. err. ME Std. err. Wages act I ME Std. err. Others II ME Std. err. I ME Std. err. ME II Std. err. - - 0.167 0.153 0.131** 0.102* 0.118 0.114 0.055 0.054 - - -0.019 0.004 -0.056* -0.031 0.068 0.076 0.030 0.028 - - -0.148** -0.115** -0.096** -0.076** 0.026 0.041 0.034 0.032 - - -0.001 -0.042 0.020 0.004 0.092 0.073 0.044 0.043 - - 0.115** 0.062 0.090** 0.145** -0.007 0.051 0.040 0.040 0.044 0.064 - - -0.012 -0.0703** -0.050** -0.051** -0.045* 0.027 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.027 - - 0.005 0.026 0.007 -0.058* 0.050 0.038 0.031 0.032 0.030 0.052 - - -0.108** -0.018 -0.048* -0.036 0.002 0.026 0.028 0.027 0.031 0.044 - - -0.023 0.032 - - 0.021 0.018 - - -0.022 0.023 - - 0.024 0.024 - - 0.033 0.040 - - 0.014 0.021 - - -0.001 0.027 - - -0.046 0.034 - - 0.005 0.026 - - 0.025 0.016 - - -0.013 0.019 - - -0.017 0.020 -0.050* 0.027 0.521 1,857 - - 0.015 0.017 0.117 1,857 - - 0.018 0.020 0.179 1,857 - - 0.016 0.021 0.183 1,857 - 0.492 1,997 0.122 1,997 18 0.196 1,997 0.190 1,997 H3: Cases against small firms are least likely to end up at Tribunals. As we saw earlier in Table 2 a number of outcomes are possible. Some reach a Tribunal and our key interest is to determine whether enterprise size has an influence upon the decision of the Tribunal, when account is taken of all of the other variables included in Table 3. However four out of every five cases never reach a Tribunal. They may be withdrawn; some are dismissed from the ETS and some are privately settled. Others are settled through ACAS. Knight and Latreille (2000b) defined three stages of resolution: the first stage includes cases which were resolved at the conciliation stage; the second stage consists of cases which were resolved at the preTribunal stage; and the final stage comprises cases proceed to a Full Tribunal Hearing (FTH). In practice, the first two stages are difficult to be established accurately within our data set. Therefore, we constructed a dichotomous variable taking value “1” if an ET claim is resolved at the Tribunal. Alternatively it takes the value “0” if the case is not fully heard at Tribunal 8 . We then estimated Eq. (3) as a probit model. Probit estimates (reported as marginal effects) of the probability of bringing a case to ET are given in Table 4. The results are consistent across models (I-III and V) suggesting that enterprise size does not affect the likelihood of going to a FTH. 9 In model (IV) we include interactions between enterprise size and human resources department. Only the interaction between medium size enterprises and having no human resources department was found to increase the probability of a case reaching a Tribunal when compared to large size enterprises with human resources department. We tested the hypothesis that the coefficients of the interaction terms are jointly zero and found that we cannot reject it at a significance level below 20%. In short, there was no size effect on settling at the pre-Tribunal stage. As for medium-sized firms, it must be recalled that Knight and Latreille (2000b) found that settling early was most likely among 8 Cases that were dismissed at hearing are also included into this category. However, they represent less than 4% of the case outcomes. 9 We test that the coefficients of enterprise size are jointly zero in models (I-III). The results suggest that the null hypothesis of zero coefficients cannot be rejected (χ2=0.29, χ2=1.64, χ2=1.07 and χ2=1.35 respectively). For completeness we also examine the factors that are associated with each alternative. The results are not presented here but they are available upon request. Focusing on our variables of interest, we find no evidence that enterprise size affects the probability of ACAS settled, privately settled and withdrawn. However, there is some evidence that medium size enterprises decrease the likelihood of having cases dismissed. 19 firms in the size range of 100 to 10,000, but we find no evidence that more conventionally defined medium-sized (50-249 employees) firms displayed this tendency. However, this may be also explained due to a different methodological approach that adopted by Knight and Latreille (2000b). Furthermore, we find enterprises in manufacturing are less likely to have cases that progress to a full Tribunal distance. Amongst the personal characteristics of those bringing the case we find that those aged less than 25 have a lower probability of taking a case than workers aged 45 and over. Similarly, employees who work less than 50 hours per week are less likely to drop out of the pipeline. We find little effect of type of jurisdiction on progress to the Tribunal, other than cases dealing with breach of contract, were more likely to proceed. We highlighted above the emphasis that has been placed on proper procedures for the handling of discipline and dismissal, and the effective use of these procedures. SETA has valuable data on the existence and use of procedures, including questions on whether a procedure was followed and whether some kind of meeting was held with an applicant prior to the lodging of a claim. Overall, under half (46 per cent) of employers stated that there was a procedure which had been followed, while 37 per cent could identify some kind of meeting (Edwards, 2005). 10 If small firms rarely have procedures, or implement them weakly, this may affect their chances of dropping out of the pipeline. We found, in fact, that small and large firms, if they had procedures, were equally likely to implement them. As for procedures themselves, Table 4 has some mixed results. The presence of procedures had no effect on settling at pre-Tribunal stage. But a telephone discussion without a following meeting increased the chance of taking the case to a Tribunal, as did the following of procedures where they existed. This is consistent with the results of Knight and Latreille (2000b). The substantive conclusion is that firms of whatever size that take discipline cases through their procedures are the least likely to drop the case before it goes all the way to a Tribunal. 10 Estimates by applicants were notably lower. 20 Specification: Variable Number of employees (250+) Less than 49 50-249 Firm type (private) Public Other Sector (other service) Manufacturing Construction Wholesale and Retail Hotels and restaurants Transport and communication Finance Refused to respond Age of employee (45+) Under 25 25 to 44 Sex of employee (male) Female Employment status (full-time) Part-time Contract Managerial duties (no managerial) Manager Supervisor Years of work (less than 1) 1-3 4-7 8+ Hours per week (50+) 1-15 16-29 30-39 40-49 Table 4: Probit estimates (1: Bring the case to the court; 0: otherwise) I II III ME ME ME Std. err. Std. err. Std. err. V IV ME Std. err. ME Std. err. 0.026 0.032 0.020 0.024 0.018 0.029 0.020 0.025 0.015 0.027 0.027 0.027 - - 0.027 0.029 0.029 0.027 - - -0.018 0.071* 0.028 0.043 -0.019 0.077* 0.030 0.046 -0.020 0.079* 0.030 0.046 -0.021 0.077* 0.030 0.047 - - -0.043* -0.023 -0.014 -0.009 -0.015 -0.046 -0.068** 0.023 0.032 0.029 0.039 0.030 0.034 0.025 -0.043* -0.034 -0.015 -0.009 -0.030 -0.051 -0.061** 0.024 0.033 0.030 0.041 0.030 0.034 0.026 -0.042* -0.037 -0.014 -0.013 -0.032 -0.051 -0.062** 0.024 0.032 0.030 0.040 0.030 0.034 0.026 -0.045* -0.034 -0.016 -0.015 -0.033 -0.054 -0.066** 0.024 0.033 0.030 0.041 0.030 0.033 0.026 - - - - -0.078** -0.015 0.025 0.020 -0.078** -0.015 0.025 0.020 -0.078** -0.013 0.026 0.020 - - - - 0.010 0.021 0.009 0.021 0.005 0.021 - - - - -0.047 0.023 0.061 0.066 -0.043 0.025 0.062 0.066 -0.045 0.051 0.062 0.073 - - - - -0.014 0.004 0.026 0.027 -0.016 0.004 0.026 0.027 -0.011 0.010 0.026 0.028 - - - - 0.027 0.034 0.016 0.023 0.033 0.032 0.025 0.028 0.012 0.023 0.032 0.032 0.034 0.050 0.030 0.024 0.034 0.034 - - - - -0.054 -0.025 -0.105** -0.087** 0.066 0.073 0.033 0.031 -0.058 -0.027 -0.104** -0.086** 0.065 0.073 0.033 0.031 -0.038 -0.019 -0.101** -0.087** 0.073 0.076 0.033 0.031 21 I Specification: Variable Under 10,000 10,000-14,999 15,000-19,000 20,000-24,999 Refused to respond Human resources department (no HRD) Human resources department Interaction between HRD and size (250+ with HRD) Less than 49 with HRD Less than 49 with no HRD 50-249 with HRD 50-249 with no HRD 250+ with no HRD Formal meetings (no discussion) Telephone but no meeting Visual and meeting Visual and no meeting Procedures (no procedures) Disciplinary and grievance procedures Procedures (no procedures) Procedures but do not know if they followed Procedures and they followed Procedures but they do not followed Written communication (no written communication.) Written communication Trade union membership (no membership) Trade union membership Type of Jurisdiction (others) Unfair dismissal Breach of contract Wages act Past tribunal experience (no experience) Employer has past experience Log likelihood ? 2 (degrees of freedom) Predicted Probability Observations Notes: *Significant at the 10% level **Significant at the 5% level ME - Table 4 (continued) II ME Std. err. Std. err. - III V IV ME -0.017 -0.015 0.003 -0.035 0.043 Std. err. 0.034 0.027 0.028 0.029 0.047 ME -0.017 -0.015 0.004 -0.036 0.040 Std. err. 0.034 0.027 0.028 0.029 0.047 ME -0.018 -0.021 0.002 -0.036 0.037 Std. err. 0.034 0.027 0.028 0.029 0.047 - - - - -0.022 0.022 - - -0.026 0.023 - - - - - - 0.010 0.029 -0.002 0.070** -0.058 0.034 0.025 0.030 0.038 0.044 - - - - - - - - - - 0.062* -0.023 -0.025 0.039 0.021 0.033 - - - - -0.002 0.027 -0.002 0.027 - - - - - - - - - - 0.001 0.056* -0.003 0.043 0.032 0.036 - - - - 0.009 0.018 0.009 0.018 0.005 0.019 - - - - 0.024 0.019 0.025 0.019 0.025 0.019 - - - - 0.016 0.058* -0.027 0.025 0.038 0.028 0.015 0.054 -0.029 0.025 0.037 0.028 0.011 0.060* -0.036 0.025 0.038 0.028 - - - - - - - -916.277 2.49(2) 0.172 1,997 -882.107 14.58 (11) 0.168 1,948 22 -825.955 51.71(37) 0.165 1,857 -824.015 55.59(39) 0.164 1,857 0.008 0.021 -799.931 72.17(43) 0.162 1,815 H4: Small firms that go to Tribunal have a higher likelihood of losing a case than large firms. For the cases that reach a FTH there are two outcomes. First, “the applicant is successful at hearing”, meaning the employer loses the case. Second, “the applicant is unsuccessful at hearing” meaning the employer wins the case. Constructing the case outcome variable taking the value “1” when the employer loses a case and the value “0” when the employer wins the case, we examine the determinants associated with a Tribunal judgment. Table 5 reports the marginal effects of the probit estimates. Specifications I and II clearly show that small enterprises are more likely to lose, but that medium sized enterprises and large enterprises do not differ. However, the conclusions drawn from model I and II are less robust when we control for employee and firm characteristics (columns III and IV). The coefficients of enterprise size for both models III and IV were found to be individually and jointly (χ2=0.88 and χ2=1.05, respectively) statistically insignificant. Particularly notable is the effect of the measure of having procedures and following them: firms doing this were much less likely to lose than were others. Simply having procedures, however, had no effect. We also considered whether there is anything distinctive about small firms that also have HR departments. In column (V) we estimate the model by inserting interactions between enterprise size and human resources department. The results from this model suggest that small size enterprises with human resources departments, and medium size enterprises with no human resources department, are more likely to have a judgment against them compared with large size enterprises with human resources department. This may be because small firms with HR departments are prone to take un-winnable cases to Tribunals, or that Tribunals expect more procedural rectitude from such firms than they find. Alternatively, it may be that HR departments “import” greater formality on small firm employee relations and this alienates employees who favour informality (Storey et al., 2007). As for mediumsized firms, they have reached a size where they may need some bureaucracy, and in its absence they seem likely to lose. 23 Table 5: Probit estimates (1: Case lost by employer ; 0: otherwise) I Specification: Variable Number of employees (250+) Less than 49 50-249 Firm type (private) Public Other Sector (other service) Manufacturing Construction Wholesale and Retail Hotels and restaurants Transport and communication Finance Refused to respond Age of employee (45+) Under 25 25 to 44 Sex of employee (male) Female Employment status (full-time) Part-time Contract Managerial duties (no managerial) Manager Supervisor Years of work (less than 1) 1-3 4-7 8+ Hours per week (50+) 1-15 16-29 30-39 40-49 II III IV 1 V VI ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. 0.203** 0.094 0.061 0.073 0.178** 0.066 0.064 0.077 0.068 -0.007 0.096 0.093 0.097 0.022 0.104 0.099 - - - - - - -0.067 0.095 0.094 0.107 0.103 0.175 0.114 0.120 0.070 0.214* 0.121 0.118 0.111 0.188 0.114 0.119 0.132* 0.216 0.126 0.131 - - 0.015 0.282** -0.051 0.105 0.129 0.226* 0.015 0.083 0.101 0.095 0.126 0.100 0.125 0.111 -0.039 0.187 0.008 -0.052 0.084 0.235 -0.034 0.094 0.130 0.112 0.143 0.114 0.139 0.121 -0.064 0.149 -0.008 -0.137 0.089 0.251* -0.083 0.095 0.139 0.115 0.143 0.119 0.139 0.125 -0.037 0.191 0.006 -0.069 0.064 0.246* -0.023 0.094 0.131 0.113 0.142 0.116 0.138 0.123 -0.034 0.213 0.019 -0.058 0.038 0.265* -0.014 0.093 0.142 0.119 0.136 0.123 0.152 0.120 - - - - 0.015 -0.129* 0.129 0.069 0.045 -0.109 0.135 0.072 0.029 -0.117** 0.130 0.070 0.028 -0.113 0.126 0.071 - - - - -0.136* 0.074 -0.150* 0.076 -0.138** 0.074 -0.125* 0.075 - - - - 0.255 0.426* 0.273 0.147 0.208 0.417* 0.292 0.154 0.248 0.389* 0.278 0.172 0.233 0.360* 0.312 0.200 - - - - 0.054 0.048 0.096 0.096 0.067 0.072 0.100 0.099 0.067 0.052 0.097 0.096 0.074 0.049 0.102 0.100 - - - - 0.063 -0.081 -0.319** 0.078 0.100 0.084 0.078 -0.047 -0.288** 0.082 0.106 0.092 0.082 -0.063 -0.307** 0.080 0.103 0.087 0.081 -0.039 -0.296** 0.078 0.103 0.082 - - - - -0.303 -0.265 0.053 -0.086 0.200 0.238 0.115 0.108 -0.288 -0.228 0.091 -0.027 0.205 0.259 0.117 0.114 -0.274 -0.263 0.051 -0.095 0.221 0.242 0.116 0.110 -0.224 -0.241 0.013 -0.132 0.190 0.195 0.114 0.104 24 Table 5 (continued) Specification: Variable Gross pay (25,000+) Under 10,000 10,000-14,999 15,000-19,000 20,000-24,999 Refused to respond Human resources department (no HRD) Human resources department Interaction betwwen HRD and size (250+ with HRD) Less than 49 with HRD Less than 49 with no HRD 50-249 with HRD 50-249 with no HRD 250+ with no HRD Formal meetings (no discussion) Telephone but no meeting Visual and meeting Visual and no meeting Procedures (no procedures) Disciplinary and grievance procedures Procedures (no procedures) Procedures but do not know if they followed Procedures and they followed Procedures but they do not followed Written communication (no written comm.) Written communication Trade union membership (no membership) Trade union membership Past tribunal experience (no experience) Employer has past experience Type of Jurisdiction (others) Unfair dismissal Breach of contract Wages act Log likelihood 2 χ (degrees of freedom) Predicted Probability Observations I III II 1 V IV VI ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. ME Std. err. - - - - -0.149 -0.012 -0.088 0.055 -0.079 0.111 0.095 0.092 0.126 0.138 -0.081 0.029 -0.063 0.099 -0.074 0.121 0.099 0.097 0.128 0.144 -0.149 -0.008 -0.085 0.044 -0.063 0.112 0.096 0.093 0.128 0.140 -0.148 0.007 -0.083 0.053 -0.088 0.106 0.099 0.088 0.129 0.125 - - - - -0.103 0.079 -0.071 0.083 - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.213* 0.137 -0.090 0.175* 0.235 0.115 0.089 0.109 0.102 0.202 0.249* 0.149 -0.091 0.132 0.254 0.130 0.094 0.111 0.122 0.230 - - - - - - 0.227** -0.040 -0.054 0.104 0.080 0.137 - - - - - - - - -0.137 0.097 - - -0.163 0.097 -0.114 0.112 - - - - - - -0.229 -0.250** -0.069 0.140 0.122 0.135 - - - - - - - - -0.086 0.065 -0.098 0.068 -0.086 0.065 -0.084 0.066 - - - - -0.061 0.065 -0.057 0.067 -0.060 0.065 -0.058 0.066 - - - - - - 0.012 0.076 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -231.343 10.83(2) 0.449 -217.112 23.31(11) 0.454 -187.705 64.53(34) 0.450 -177.205 78.39(40) 0.440 -185.426 69.09(36) 0.450 344 332 319 314 319 Notes: 1 Heckman probit model with selection. The reported figures are the ME given the dependent variable being observed. *Significant at the 10% level **Significant at the 5% level 25 0.040 0.051 -0.009 0.068 0.172* 0.098 -1047.041 18.89(36) 0.434 1,616 (censored) 319 (unsensored) Finally we also estimate a model using a Heckman probit model with selection taking account of the fact that we observe whether the case lost by employer only if the case goes to a Tribunal. 11 The results presented in column VI, however, support findings reported in column (V). 7. Conclusions This paper has examined one dimension of HRM in small firms - experience of the ET system. It hypothesised that enterprise size might be expected to play a significant role in both the incidence of cases being brought and the way in which they were resolved. The analysis provides evidence that enterprise size matters. We find that SMEs were more likely to have cases brought against them than larger firms, but that among SMEs it was medium sized firms that were marginally more likely to be taken to a Tribunal. We also find that small firms were more likely to have cases related to breach of contract and less likely to have “other” - discrimination-based - cases brought against them. However, enterprise size did not influence whether the case reached a Full Tribunal Hearing. However, and most importantly, once the case reached court, small firms were more likely to lose than medium sized firm who, in turn, were more likely to lose than large firms. The econometric analysis inevitably muddied the waters somewhat. It was clear that the characteristics of the workers themselves, as well as those of the firm, influenced strongly the nature of the case brought and its outcome. In particular, the pure firm size variable was no longer significant in influencing Tribunal outcome, although when interacted with presence of an HR department it reappeared. Ultimately it does seem that, if the case reaches court , the smaller firms are more likely to lose, certainly in comparison with a large firm with an HR Department. What is less clear is the extent to which formality and procedure influence these outcomes. It is striking that our measures of these - written communications, grievance procedures - rarely appear as significant in any of the equations. Possessing procedures does not make firms more likely to settle prior to the Tribunal stage. The key exception is that following written disciplinary procedures is more likely to be 11 The selection equation includes dummies for the type of jurisdiction. 26 associated with a successful outcome at a Tribunal. Moreover, in the relevant specification (IV in Table 5) the size variable was not significant. In other words, procedures make a difference, and being small in itself does not make a firm likely to lose a case. Overall, therefore, informality influences the number and character of cases faced by small firms, but once cases are “in the system” this characteristic of firms has a weaker influence. This result confirms the many arguments about the importance of following procedures when cases reach Tribunals. In contrast, a verbal agreement may be hard to spell out in legal terms. This position contrasts notably with that in the USA, where the doctrine of employment at will continues to hold sway. It is true that in some states this has been qualified if a written statement of terms and conditions exists. The inference drawn by Katz and Kochan (2002) is that US employers seeking to avoid the involvement of the courts should eschew formal written statements and rely on employment-at-will. The opposite is the case in Britain: not only are written statements of employment terms required, but further informality is likely to cut across the expectations of ETs. On the basis of Earnshaw et al.’s (1998) work, our own case study work within small firms, and informal discussions with legal experts, we can offer the following thoughts on why very small firms tend to lose at the Tribunal hearing. One argument could be that small firm cases are more difficult than the large firm cases. In fact, the big and complex cases of principle tend to involve large firms and, as we have seen, size of firm does not affect the likelihood of settling before the Tribunal stage. A better argument is that “procedures” mean one thing in a small firm and another in the legalistic environment of a Tribunal. We have, for example, studied one firm with about 30 employees. It is in many ways an innovative firm and a good employer. It used to have no personnel manager but claimed to have proper procedures in place. It subsequently appointed a personnel specialist, who reported that the procedures were in fact out of date and lacked proper audit trails. Had this firm ended at a Tribunal, therefore, its procedures might well have been found wanting. Our results in Table 5 show that the small firms are more likely to lose (compared to large firms) even if they have an HR department. It could also be that the presence of an HR department does not mean that the firm implements the policies that exist: it is the application rather than the presence of procedures that makes the 27 difference between winning or losing a case. Our results show that firms that have procedures and follow them are more likely to win than those firms that do not have any procedures (Columns V and VI of Table 5). A study of Tribunal experience and disciplinary practice in 33 small firms by Earnshaw et al. (1998) and other studies of a similar kind (Edwards et al., 2004), underline the fact that formality may not run very deep and that small firms’ perception of formality differs from that of the Tribunals. Therefore, even if small firms may have formal procedures in place, they may not implement the procedures and are therefore more likely to lose a case at the Tribunal hearing. In short, before they reach a Tribunal, small firms do not differ much from large ones as is evident from our results which show that firm size does not influence the likelihood of going to a FTH (Table 4). But, once there, they are likely to find that their interpretation of procedural propriety differs from that of the Tribunal, and that what is reasonable in their own terms, for example having the same manager dismiss a worker and hear an appeal, may not stand up to scrutiny. Informality means that small firms are unlikely to have procedures, and, despite over 30 years of unfair dismissal legislation, proceduralisation has not advanced very far (Earnshaw et al., 1998). But if they really do follow procedures, they are not disadvantaged at the ET stage. Recognising the benefits of informality while also ensuring that small firms follow proper standards of procedural fairness is a policy dilemma that has yet to be resolved. Our research highlights the need for further investigation of what it in fact it means to “follow” procedures. For example to what extent do line managers actually follow HR best practice or is there merely lip service being paid to the issue? It would also be interesting to see whether there is an association between firm size and procedural rectitude. 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Employment relations in SMEs, Employee Relations, 21, 206217. 31 Variable Number of employees (250+) Less than 49 50-249 Firm type (private) Public Other Sector (other service) Manufacturing Construction Wholesale and Retail Hotels and restaurants Transport and communication Finance Refused to respond Age of employee (45+) Under 25 25 to 44 Sex of employee (male) Female Employment status (full-time) Part-time Contract Managerial duties (no managerial) Manager Supervisor Years of work (less than 1) 1-3 4-7 8+ Table A1: Description of Main Covariates (n=1,857) Sample % Variable Hours per week (50+) 41.95 1-15 21.76 16-29 30-39 10.61 40-49 5.60 Gross pay (25,000+) Under 10,000 21.92 10,000-14,999 8.24 15,000-19,000 11.58 20,000-24,999 5.12 Refused to respond 9.80 Human resources department (no HRD) 5.60 Human resources department 10.61 Procedures (no procedures) Disciplinary and grievance procedures 12.06 Written communication (no written comm.) 54.98 Written communication Trade union membership (no membership) 35.92 Trade union membership Type of Jurisdiction (others) 8.67 Unfair dismissal 2.85 Breach of contract Wages act 14.70 Past tribunal experience (no experience) 12.17 Employer has past experience 39.31 14.54 16.59 32 Sample % 3.23 6.41 43.78 39.42 15.78 27.09 20.09 11.74 5.39 55.52 85.03 55.47 34.57 49.87 12.01 20.14 50.40 Figure A1: Outcomes of all jurisdictions Cases Against Employer N=2,198 Case not Heard Case Heard by Tribunal 18.44% 81.56% Withdrawn 15.08% Settled Privately 17.05% Settled ACAS 45.02% Dismissed by ETS 4.41% Full Tribunal Hearing 17.02% Claimant Lost 9.37% 33 Dismissed at Hearing 1.42% Claimant Win 7.65%