MOVING ON: FROM ENTERPRISE POLICY TO INNOVATION POLICY IN THE WESTERN BALKANS Working Paper No. 108 May 2010 Stephen Roper Warwick Business School’s Small and Medium Sized Enterprise Centre Working Papers are produced in order to make available to a wider public, research results obtained by its research staff. The Director of the CSME, Professor Stephen Roper, is the Editor of the Series. Any enquiries concerning the research undertaken within the Centre should be addressed to: The Director CSME Warwick Business School University of Warwick Coventry CV4 7AL e-mail stephen.roper@wbs.ac.uk Tel. 02476 522501 ISSN 0964-9328 – CSME WORKING PAPERS Details of papers in this series may be requested from: The Publications Secretary CSME Warwick Business School University of Warwick Coventry CV4 7AL e-mail sharon.west@wbs.ac.uk Tel. 02476 523741 1 Moving on: From enterprise policy to innovation policy in the Western Balkans Stephen Roper Centre for Small and Medium Enterprises, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK Email: Stephen.Roper@wbs.ac.uk Abstract: Significant progress has been made in recent years in the development of enterprise policy in the Western Balkans. Issues remain, however, in the support provided for innovative enterprises. In this paper we use data from the 2005 Business Environment and Enterprise Performance Survey to identify the determinants of innovation in locally-owned firms in the Western Balkans and compare these to the other CEEE countries and the CIS. Based on an econometric examination of the innovation production function in each area we observe marked differences in the determinants of innovation. First, in the Western Balkan countries (WBCs) R&D and higher-level skills have little impact on firms’ innovation outputs, a result which contrasts strongly with results for the CEEE, CIS and other more developed economies. Second, we find no evidence of innovation benefits from urban locations in innovation in the WBCs or that public support is having any positive effect on innovation outcomes. Again, this experience is at odds with evidence from other regions. Third, innovation outputs in the WBCs are being negatively influenced by aspects of the business environment. These results suggest a need for an active and rather interventionist innovation policy in the WBCs to address these system failures. A range of policy options are developed. Key words: Innovation, Western Balkans, innovation policy, innovation system, transition Acknowledgements: I am grateful to David Storey who suggested the idea for the analysis reported in this paper. Helpful comments were also received from the editors of this special issue and two anonymous referees. Interpretations and mistakes are all my own work. 2 Moving on: From enterprise policy to innovation policy in the Western Balkans 1. Introduction Since the adoption of the European Charter for Small Enterprises in 2003 the Western Balkans Countries (WBCs) have made substantial progress in the development of enterprise policy. As of 2010, all of the WBCs have in place the basic legal and regulatory frameworks necessary for entrepreneurship and business development. In terms of company registration, for example, almost all of the WBCs have made significant progress in simplifying registration processes, and reducing the costs and time taken to register new firms. The development of more targeted enterprise support measures – for start-ups, export oriented firms or those led by women – remains more uneven across the WBCs, however. And, even where such measures have been implemented they often remain under-resourced compared to those in the new EU Member States (OECD 2009, pp. 14-15). The ‘geography’ of enterprise policy across the Western Balkans divides countries into three groups at different stages of development: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) and Kosovo have established institutional and legal frameworks for enterprise policy but active policy intervention remains limited to ad hoc and pilot projects; Macedonia, Montenegro and Serbia have progressed further towards more comprehensive and nation-wide enterprise policy implementation; while Croatia is most advanced in terms of enterprise policy with policy implementation close to that of the new EU Member States1(OECD 2009, pp. 15-16.). Alongside these developments in enterprise policy, recent studies also provide evidence of positive attitudes to enterprise in the more economically advanced WBCs. Comparing public attitudes to enterprise in Croatia, Serbia and Macedonia to EU and US benchmarks suggests a positive picture with relatively high proportions of adults in the Western Balkans seeing opportunities for entrepreneurship and feeling that they have the necessary skill base for business start-up. For example, 53 per cent of Croatian adults, 56 per cent of those in Serbia and 47 per cent of those in Macedonia perceived good opportunities for start-up in the next six months in 2008 compared to 1 This is reflected in the recent establishment (January 2009) in Croatia of the South East European Centre for Entrepreneurial learning (SEECEL) supported by the Croatian government and EU IPA Programme. See http://www.seecel.hr. 3 48 per cent in the USA2. This is also reflected in reported levels of new business activity which in all three countries are high by EU standards. In 2008, for example, 7.6 per cent of adults in Croatia were engaged in early stage entrepreneurial activity in Croatia (Serbia, 7.6 per cent, Macedonia 14.5 per cent) compared to around 10.8 per cent in the US3. These developments in enterprise policy and positive attitudes to enterprise in the WBCs cannot be seen, however, in isolation from the broader economic and policy context. The most immediate concern is clearly the impact of the current global recession which led to a sharp collapse in GDP growth rates in 2009 across the WBCs accompanied by rapid increases in trade deficits and government borrowing (Gligorov 2009). Longer-term, however, if the WBCs are to correct their structural trade deficits, there is a need to develop more innovative industries which can increase productivity (Crepon et al. 1998) and compete internationally (Bleaney and Wakelin 2002). In this paper we consider the challenges which the WBCs face in moving on from the 2003 to 2009 period of enterprise policy development to focus on innovation policy. As a recent study by Krammer (2009) of the drivers of patenting in Eastern Europe suggests this may require more public support for R&D and stronger collaboration between universities and firms. The recent social and economic history of the WBCs also suggests, however, that increasing innovation in the WBCs may involve different challenges to those in other transition economies. Svarc (2006) for example, emphasises the specific socio-political conditions within which innovation policy in Croatia has developed, while Plenakovik and Pinto (2009) stress the institutional and structural weaknesses in the Macedonian innovation system. Both studies also stress the weakness of the innovation capability of many locally-owned companies in the WBCs, and therefore the need to address this as a policy priority. This suggests two key questions: First, what currently determines innovation in locally-owned firms in the WBCs, and how does this differ from other transition and developed economies? Second, what measures could then be adopted in order to improve innovation capability in locally-owned firms across the Western Balkans? Addressing these questions suggests the need for an active and interventionist 2 . Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report, Tables 1 and 2. Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report, Tables 1 and 2. 3 4 innovation policy to improve corporate innovation capabilities as well as upgrading nations’ innovation systems across the WBCs. The remainder of the paper is organised as follows. In Section 2 we provide a conceptual overview of the rationale for public intervention to support corporate innovation (Asheim et al. 2007). This highlights the central role of firms’ innovation capabilities in implementing innovation, and the potential for government intervention to support such developments. Sections 3 and 4 address our main empirical question investigating what currently determines innovation in the WBCs. Section 5 concludes and identifies some potential policy options developed from best practice elsewhere. 2. Public policy and innovation development Innovation occurs where firms apply new or pre-existing knowledge to introduce new products, services or business models. This creates competitive advantage giving innovating firms the opportunity to earn higher profits, gain new sales and potentially enter new markets. At a fundamental level, the process of innovation or technological development can be seen as part of an evolutionary dynamic in which products, processes and services are steadily refined - and occasionally transformed – and through which firms upgrade their innovation capabilities through organisational learning (Nelson and Winter 1982). Current thinking also emphasises the social and interactive nature of the innovation process reflecting the role of innovation partnerships and networks and the importance of inter-organisational knowledge flows (Chesborough 2003, 2006). This emphasises the importance of absorptive capacity, and firms’ ability to identify and absorb external knowledge which can complement internal knowledge resources (Zahra and George 2002; Roper and Love 2006). It also suggests the notion of an innovation system, i.e. ‘that set of distinct institutions which jointly and individually contribute to the development and diffusion of new technologies and which provide the framework within which governments form and implement policies to influence the innovation process. As such it is a system of interconnected institutions to create, store and transfer the knowledge, skills and artefacts which define new technology’ (Metcalfe 1997, pp 461-462). Innovation systems have been said to comprise three main elements (Autio, 1998): the knowledge generation sub-system, the knowledge application and exploitation sub5 system, and the linkages between these two sub-systems. The first of these, the knowledge generation and diffusion sub-system, comprises those organizations whose corporate objectives relate either to knowledge creation (i.e. researching organizations), knowledge sourcing, knowledge or technology transfer or regional or national economic development (e.g. universities, third-level colleges, government and industry research organisations, and technology transfer and technology mediating institutions). Here, the position of the different WBCs is rather uneven with Croatia and Serbia (and to some extent Macedonia and Albania) retaining significant public sector and higher education R&D capabilities which are weaker elsewhere (Svarc 2006; Machacova and Elke 2008). More positive perhaps are recent developments in knowledge transfer and intermediary organisations such as business centres, innovation and technology centres and inter-firm clusters (OECD 2009, pp. 124-132), although again these remain concentrated in Croatia, Serbia and Macedonia. The second key element of a national innovation system highlighted by Autio (1998) is the innovation capability of firms. Filatotchev (2003), for example, argues that the experience of a command economy might leave firms poorly equipped to cope with the rigors of a market environment suggesting, in particular, that managers’ expertise, flexibility and willingness to take risky decisions may be limited (Uhlenbruck, Meyer, and Hitt 2003). Kriauciunas and Kale (2006) discuss essentially similar issues of ‘socialist imprinting’ in their study of firms in Lithuania and argue that privatisation may be one route through which firms may acquire additional innovation capabilities: ‘Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) privatisations are likely to be associated with interfirm networks outside traditional networks, raising absorptive capacity’ (Filatotchev et al. 2003, p. 341). Jensen (2004) in a study of Polish food producers also emphasizes the more extensive international networks of externally-owned firms and the more localized networks of locally-owned firms. Other aspects of firms’ resource base will also shape their innovation capabilities. In-house R&D, for example, has a direct role on knowledge creation and innovation {Crepon et al. 1998) and also a complementary role in strengthening firms’ absorptive capacity (Griffith, Redding, and Van Reenan 2003). Likewise, workforce skills can play an important role in both contributing to innovation capability (Freel 2005) and absorptive capacity (Roper and Love 2006). 6 The third key element of any innovation system highlighted by Autio (1998) is the level of cooperation or association between the knowledge generating and knowledge implementing elements of the system (Cooke and Morgan 1998). The value of such co-operation in innovation is well established (Simonen and McCann 2008), although science-industry co-operation often remains weak in transition economies (Svarc 2006; Leskovar-Spacapan and Bastic 2007). In terms of Croatia, at least, Svarc (2006) attributes this in part to ‘socialist-style science policy’ in which R&D performing and innovating organisations are separate, and in which innovation itself is technology driven rather than market-led. Weaknesses in any of these three aspects of an innovation system may generate system failure leading to under-performance in innovation (Woolthuis, Lankhuizen, and Gilsing 2005). This suggests a role for public policy to ‘address systemic failures that block the functioning of innovation systems or hinder the flow of knowledge and technology … Such systemic failures can emerge from mismatches between the different components of an innovation system, such as conflicting incentives for market and non-market institutions (e.g. enterprises and the public research sector), or from institutional rigidities based on narrow specialisations or asymmetric information’ (OECD 1999). More positively, recent thinking in the innovation systems tradition suggests that national competitive advantage may be ‘consciously and pro-actively constructed’ as a result of public sector intervention in an innovation system (Asheim et al. 2007; Cooke and Leydesdorff 2006). There is substantial evidence, for example, that public support for private sector R&D and innovation activity can have a positive impact on firms’ innovation outputs in both developed (Griliches 1995; Mamuneas and Nadiri 1996; Hewitt-Dundas and Roper 2009) and transition economies (Czarnitzki and Licht 2006). To evaluate the way in which these different factors come together to influence the innovation capabilities of locally-owned firms in the WBCs we focus our empirical analysis on the notion of an innovation or knowledge production function (Griliches 1992; Love and Roper 1999). This relates firms’ innovation outputs to the different factors which might influence the innovation process both from within and outside the firm. For firm i this can be written as: 7 I i 0 1 FCi 2 LM i 3 PS i 4ODi i (1) Where Ii is an innovation output indicator, FCi is a set of firm-specific characteristics, LMi is a set of location and market indictors, PSi indicates public support, ODi are operating difficulties identified by the firm and εi is a random error term. 3. Data and methods Our analysis of the determinants of innovation in locally-owned firms in the WBCs is based on data taken from the 2005 Business Environment and Enterprise Performance Survey (BEEPS). Financed jointly by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development and the World Bank this survey was undertaken between 10th March and 20th April 2005 and included 28 countries including all of the WBCs with the exception of Kosovo4. The survey objective was to be broadly representative of the market-driven sectors of each country reflecting the mix of manufacturing and services activity, but excluding those sectors of each economy subject to government price regulation and prudential supervision (i.e. banking, electric power, rail transport, and water and waste water)5. The target population comprised enterprises which were established prior to 2002, and had between 2 and 10,000 employees6. The survey achieved an overall response rate of 36.8 per cent with significantly higher response rates achieved in each of the WBCs (Synovate 2005)7. In each country sampling frames were constructed from official government company registers, Chamber of Commerce membership lists and commercial sources such as the Yellow Pages. To date the main use of the BEEPS data has been to profile aspects of the business environment in each country and to examine the impact of criminal activity and corruption on business development. Krkoska and Robeck (2006), for example, demonstrate the deterrent impact of crime on FDI inflows and job creation. The 4 The 2005 BEEPS covered: Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech, Estonia, Serbia and Montenegro, Macedonia, Georgia, Hungary, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Tajikistan, Turkey, Ukraine and Uzbekistan. 5 Some other quota restrictions relating to size, ownership, exporting and location were also imposed but probably limited in effect (Synovate 2005, p. 4). 6 This figure reflects the overall response rate to all three elements of the BEEPS 2005 survey (i.e. the random sample, panel sample and manufacturing overlay). Overall, 26249 firms were contacted with 9655 completed interviews (36.8 per cent). 7 For the Western Balkan countries there was no manufacturing uplift and response rates were: Albania 48.1 per cent; BiH, 46.0 per cent; 50.6 per cent; Croatia, 45.8 per cent; Serbia and Montenegro, 45.8 per cent. (Synovate 2005). 8 BEEPS survey, however, also includes variables reflecting whether firms have ‘developed successfully a major new (or upgraded) product line or service over the last 3 years’. Around 39 per cent of locally-owned firms in the WBCs reported developing new products, slightly above the 37 per cent in the CIS countries (Table 1). More significant, however, was the difference in the level of more incremental product/service upgrading in the WBCs undertaken by a further 29 per cent of firms (CEEE 22 per cent, CIS 21 per cent). The extent of process innovation among firms in the WBCs was also marginally above that in the CIS countries (39 per cent of firms compared to 34 per cent) and significantly greater than that in the CEEE countries (28 per cent). In broad terms these comparisons suggest that the extent of new product/service and process innovation in the WBCs is broadly in line with the CIS countries (and above that in CEEE) with an emphasis on more incremental product/service change. In addition to these innovation indicators the BEEPS dataset also contains a rich set of other variables which give an indication of firms’ internal resources and operating environment. Firm vintage, for example, may reflect the potential for the cumulative accumulation of knowledge capital by older establishments (Klette and Johansen 1998). Firm size (employment), in-house R&D capability and skill levels also reflect aspects of absorptive capacity and would be expected to be positively related to firms’ innovation outputs. The BEEPS data suggests that locally-owned firms in the WBCs were generally larger (average 108 employees) than those in either the CIS or CEEE countries with higher levels of intermediate (high school qualifications) but generally had lower levels of graduate employment (Table 1). In terms of their effects on innovation outputs these factors suggest offsetting positive (firm size) and negative (skills) effects. The BEEPS dataset also provides details of the ownership profile of each firm, its privatisation history and group membership, each of which may also impact on innovation outputs. Locally-owned firms in the WBCs were also more likely to be single proprietorships (53.1 per cent) than those in CIS or CEEE countries (Table 1). In terms of their privatisation history, firms in the WBCs were more likely to be a privatised firm than in the CIS but less likely to be a private start-up (Table 1). 9 Other factors are included in our estimates of the innovation production function to reflect differences in firms’ operating environments. To reflect potential differences in the availability of external knowledge resources – university or research institutes, skilled labour, specialist support services – for example, we identify whether firms are located in large city or capital or medium-sized city (Asheim and Isaksen 1996). Firms in the WBCs seem less concentrated in large cities or the capital than in the CIS but more strongly concentrated in urban locations than in the other CEEE countries (Table 1). Firms in the WBCs also seem less likely to have received government support than those in the CEE countries (Table 1). Finally, the BEEPS dataset also includes a number of subjective indicators of the general operating difficulties which firms perceive relating to finance, skills, regulation and corruption (Table 2). Finance, customs and trade regulation and regulatory and judicial uncertainty were more commonly reported as important operating difficulties in the WBCs than in the sample as a whole and may be barriers to innovation (Roper et al. 2008). 4. Empirical results Bivariate probit models of the innovation production function, reflecting the probability that locally-owned firms undertook either (new or upgrading) product or service innovation during the 2002 to 2005 period, are reported in Table 3. The table includes three models, one each relating to locally-owned firms in the WBCs, the other CEEE countries excluding the WBCs, and the CIS countries. In each case, the estimated models included a series of dummy variables designed to capture industry differences. Statistically significant variables are highlighted. Of primary interest here are the contrasts between the determinants of innovation in the WBCs and the other groups of transition economies which might suggest a focus for innovation policy in the WBCs. In terms of the impact of firm characteristics on the probability of innovating we see some key contracts between the WBCs and both the CEEE and CIS countries. Inhouse R&D, in particular, has no significant role in shaping the probability of innovation in the WBCs, while it increases the probability of innovating by 3.4 per cent in the CEEE countries and 5.9 per cent in CIS (Table 3). A positive relationship between in-house R&D is also generally found in more developed economies (Harris and Trainor 1995; Love and Mansury 2007; Santarelli and Sterlacchini 1990; 10 Simonen and McCann 2008) emphasising the uniqueness of this result for the WBCs. Similarly, neither high-school level or graduate level skills play any significant part in shaping the probability of innovation in the WBCs. Again, this result contrasts strongly with evidence from other developed economies (Freel 2005; Leiponen 2005; Mutula and Van Brakel 2007) and also the other CEEE economies (Table 3)8. Another striking difference between the determinants of innovation in the WBCs and the CEEE and CIS countries is that of the legal status of the firm. While limited company status has previously been linked to business growth (Storey 1994) it is also strongly and positively linked to the probability of innovating in both the CEEE and CIS countries, increasing the probability of innovating by 19-21 per cent (Table 3). No such impact is evident in the WBCs suggesting that the innovation advantages – and potentially also the growth advantages – of limited liability status are less evident in the WBCs than elsewhere. For example, a lack of availability of risk capital in the WBCs may mean that limited liability status is of less value to business owners than in situations where external finance is more easily available. Two important commonalities are also evident in the determinants of innovation across the areas considered here. In common with CEEE and CIS countries, locallyowned firms in the WBCs which are exporting or which are part of a multi-plant group are significantly more likely to be innovating than other firms (Filatotchev et al. 2003; Jensen 2004). Moreover, both effects are of similar size with exporting increasing the probability of product or service innovation by 7.9 per cent and being part of a multi-plant group increasing the probability of innovation by 9.8 per cent (Table 3). Both suggest the importance of the inter-relationship between export activity and innovation (Bleaney and Wakelin 2002; Lachenmaier and Wobmann 2006; Roper and Love 2002; Wakelin 1998) as well as the potential importance of intra-firm sharing of knowledge or resources. These results provide support for the arguments made by Filatotchev (2003) suggesting that export market exposure is more important in shaping firms’ innovation activity than external-ownership. In summary, although we see commonalities between the firm-level determinants of innovation in the WBC and other CEEE and CIS economies – around exporting and 8 Interestingly, here for firms in the CIS countries, where graduate skills are more common than in the WBCs (Table 1), we also find little skills effect on innovation. 11 organisational structure – it is perhaps the differences with are more striking. In particular, the lack of significance of the R&D and graduate skills variables in the innovation production function for the WBCs suggests the weakness of the internal technological capabilities and absorptive capacity of many locally-owned firms’ (Filatotchev et al. 2003). The lack of any firm age or size effect on the probability of innovating is also somewhat unexpected suggesting the weakness of organisational learning and lack of any cumulated advantage for innovation (Table 3). As the innovation systems literature suggests, however, firms’ innovation outputs can also be strongly influenced by locational factors and their operating environment. In the innovation production functions we therefore include locational dummies to capture the potential innovation (agglomeration) advantages of more urbanised locations (Chai and Huang 2007). For the WBCs in common with the other CEEE countries the results are disappointing with no evidence of any innovation advantage from either a large city or medium-sized city location (Table 3). By contrast, being in a large city or capital in the CIS countries increases the probability of product or service innovation by around 7 per cent. Other potential environmental effects on the probability of innovating are reflected in a series of variables reflecting the difficulties firms perceive in their business environment (Table 2). Perhaps most notable here is the negative impact of customs and trade regulations on innovation in the WBCs (-10 per cent) with no such effect in either the CEEE or CIS countries. Other operating difficulties are common across the regions with difficulties related to ‘skills and education’ having an unexpected positive effect on innovation in each of the three regions9. Finally, our analysis suggests that in the WBCs (as in the CIS countries) public support from national, regional or EU sources is having no effect on the probability of product or service innovation. This is a marked contrast with the other CEEE countries where regional and EU support are increasing the probability of innovation (by 13.1 and 17.1 per cent respectively). Our comparisons suggest that there is little in the business environment in the WBCs which can compensate for the weaknesses in the internal innovation capabilities of 9 This result is not uncommon in other innovation studies based on cross-sectional data and probably reflects reverse causality with those firms which are innovating also more likely to be those for which skill constraints are binding. 12 locally-owned firms. Neither the potential innovation advantages of more urbanised areas which are evident in the CIS countries, or public supports evident in the CEEE countries are effective in the WBCs (Table 3). Moreover, environmental factors seem to be undermining the potential innovation advantages of limited liability status as well as creating difficulties with customs and trade regulations. 5. Conclusions and Discussion The proportion of firms reporting the introduction of new products or services in the WBCs is broadly in line with that in the CIS countries, and above that in the other CEEE economies. Our empirical analysis, however, suggests some unique features of innovative activity in the Western Balkans both in contrast to the CEEE and CIS countries considered here as well as more advanced economies. First, the weakness of firms’ R&D and higher-level skills as drivers of innovation contrasts strongly with both the other CEEE and CIS countries and more developed economies. Second, we find no evidence of innovation benefits from urban locations in innovation in the WBCs or effective public support. Again, this experience is at odds with that in the CEEE and CIS countries reported here and other studies which report similar analyses for more advanced economies. Third, innovation outputs in the WBCs are being negatively influenced by the business environment which is both undermining the innovation advantages of limited liability status and creating difficulties with customs and trade regulations. Neither the internal weaknesses of firms identified here nor the more systemic weaknesses are unanticipated, however. Svarc (2006) in her review of innovation policy in Croatia emphasises similar concerns emphasising ‘low technological capabilities of companies’ and the ‘lack of a stimulating environment’ for innovation. Addressing either issue will require an acceptance that the development of national innovation capability is a valid area for policy intervention alongside more traditional concerns about macro-economic stability, public finance etc (Asheim et al. 2007). This is something which Svarc (2006) argues may be particularly difficult in transition economies where there is a danger that ‘innovation policy was perceived not only as irrelevant but also as a relic of state interventionism inherited from socialistic times’ (p. 157). However, the experience of Europe’s most successful innovating economies suggests the value of an active and focussed approach to 13 innovation policy which addresses systemic failures in the innovation system (Woolthuis, Lankhuizen, and Gilsing 2005), and potentially new institutional models focussed on innovation system development (Fargerberg and Srholec 2008). Perhaps the best developed example here is Vinnova - the Swedish Governmental Agency for Innovation Systems. Established as an arms-length government body in 2001, Vinnova has focused on developing a detailed understanding of the capabilities of the Swedish innovation system, identifying system failures and then investing to support collaborative innovation projects on either a network, sectoral or geographical basis10. Recent discussion led by Serbia of establishing a collaborative innovation centre for the Western Balkans (as a counterpart to the South East European Centre for Entrepreneurial Learning) is potentially a positive first step in this direction. More broadly, recent developments in enterprise policy in the WBCs since 2003, reflected in the EU SME Charter process, have started to address some of the issues in the business environment highlighted by our empirical analysis (OECD 2009). In particular all of WBCs have made substantial progress in supporting export development since the 2005 BEEPS survey was undertaken. AOFI, the export credit and insurance agency for Serbia, for example, was formed in 2005. Such measures may help to address the negative impact on innovation in the WBCs of customs and trade regulation. As (OECD 2009) also notes, however, ‘most of the Western Balkan governments are at a relatively early stage in introducing targeted policies for relevant types of SMEs … For instance, few governments have introduced measures targeting start-ups, targeting innovative enterprises, or supporting technological or nontechnological innovation’ (p. 15). Addressing the weaknesses in the innovation capability of individual firms identified here – particularly the links between skills, R&D and innovation – is likely to require policy development to support both technological and non-technological (or hidden) innovation (NESTA 2007). The benefits of support measures for technological innovation have been widely discussed (Buiseret, Cameron, and Georgiou 1995; Hewitt-Dundas and Roper 2009; Martin and Scott 2000) with a range of support mechanisms being discussed in the literature including grants (Czarnitzki and Licht 2006), personnel subsidies, R&D tax credits 10 See Vinnova website www.vinnova.se, and review of activities in 2007 ‘Innovation and Leading Research’ – Vinnova 2007. 14 (Mansfield 1986), innovation vouchers (Cornet, van der Steeg, and Vroomen 2007; Cornet, Vroomen, and van der Steeg 2006) and credit guarantee schemes. A key theme to emerge from the evaluation literature on these measures is the need to structure such initiatives to increase innovative collaboration, something which Svarc (2006) highlights as another key weakness of Croatian innovation system (LeskovarSpacapan and Bastic 2007). Collaboration between firms and the research-base might also be usefully encouraged by developing Competence Research Centres (CRCs) in the WBCs. Typically CRCs bring together enterprises and university-based research centres in long-term collaborative relationship aimed at a particular technology. The best established of these programmes (in Sweden) has provided overwhelming evidence of the value of this type of initiative, a result echoed in early evaluation results from Hungary and Estonia (Vinnova 2004). CRCs have also been seen as contributing to internationalisation by acting as a focus for international R&D collaboration which might also help WBC firms to overcome the barriers to trade discussed earlier. Public support for non-technological innovation is also likely to be important in the future development of the WBCs both in the service and manufacturing sectors (Czarnitzki and Spielkamp 2003; de Jong et al. 2003). Internationally, policy has developed rapidly in this area in recent years although best practice remains less clear. One potential policy model which might be considered by the WBCs to support the development of non-technical innovation capacity is the Finnish ‘Serve’ scheme. Operated by the Tekes agency this aims to encourage the development of innovative service concepts and service business models in companies; strengthen and diversify service related innovation activities, especially in SMEs; improve productivity and quality of service activities in various industries; and boost academic research in the area of service development. It does this by providing grant support to innovating enterprises supporting a proportion of the cost of innovation projects. Combining such targeted measures with more broadly based policies aimed at improving the environment for innovation will both be necessary if the WBCs are to maximise the potential economic benefits of innovation. Policy development for innovation will also be important, however, as the WBCs work to move their policy 15 regimes closer to those operating within the EU, particularly as Europe steadily implements the 2008 Small Business Act with its emphasis on innovation capability in SMEs. Moving on from enterprise policy to innovation policy will therefore help to advance both economic and political agendas for the WBCs and also mark another phase in the transition from state socialism towards the free market. 16 Table 1: Descriptive Data: Locally-owned firms Western Balkans Countries (WBC) N=1019 Mean St. D. CEEE (excluding WBC) N=4012 Mean St. D. CIS Countries N=3644 Mean St. D. Innovation Indicators New product or service Improved product or service Process innovation 39.3 29.1 39.0 48.8 45.5 48.8 29.4 22.3 27.4 49.9 41.6 44.6 37.2 21.0 34.1 48.3 40.7 47.4 15.5 107.5 51.1 51.2 22.2 53.1 18.1 1.1 15.8 28.9 35.8 15.9 14.4 71.6 1.3 0.5 21.9 330.3 50.0 32.7 24.3 49.9 38.5 10.3 36.5 45.3 48.0 36.6 35.2 45.1 11.2 7.0 12.5 82.8 47.2 41.2 20.4 32.8 29.4 1.8 27.2 25.1 24.3 23.0 8.8 79.3 1.3 0.6 17.4 348.6 49.9 32.0 26.2 46.9 45.6 13.2 44.5 43.4 42.9 42.1 28.3 40.5 11.3 7.7 10.0 95.3 56.0 27.4 35.0 43.0 21.9 2.8 22.1 12.8 18.2 20.9 18.4 67.8 1.9 0.9 15.9 405.8 49.6 28.6 30.5 49.5 41.3 16.6 41.5 33.5 38.6 40.7 38.7 46.7 13.7 9.6 Location and Markets Large city or capital Medium-sized city 39.1 37.4 48.8 48.4 28.0 42.9 44.9 49.5 43.4 37.1 49.6 48.3 Public support Subsidies from state Subsides from region Subsidies from the EU 5.7 2.4 0.4 23.2 15.2 6.3 6.0 3.4 3.1 23.7 18.0 17.4 1.2 1.1 0.3 10.9 10.3 5.7 Firm characteristics Plant age in 2005 Employment (2003) Research and development Workforce with high school quals (%) Workforce with graduate quals (%) Single proprietor Partnership Cooperative Limited company Exporting firm Part of multi-plant group Women-led enterprises Privatised state company Private start-up Private subsidiary of former state co. Joint venture with external partner Note: See data annex for variable definitions Source: BEEPS 2005 17 Table 2: Descriptives: Operating Difficulties Access to finance Tax rates Tax administration Customs and trade regulations Skills and education Western Balkans Countries (WBC) N=1019 Mean St. D. 22.6 41.8 23.5 42.4 15.3 36.0 12.2 32.7 7.4 26.1 CEEE (excluding WBC) N=4012 Mean St. D. 20.2 40.1 39.8 49.0 26.8 44.3 8.8 28.4 12.4 32.9 CIS Countries N=3644 Mean St. D. 16.0 36.6 28.5 45.1 22.3 41.6 10.6 30.8 9.5 29.4 32.6 46.9 28.5 45.2 20.1 25.6 43.7 14.5 35.2 9.6 Notes: Figures are the percentage of firms highlighting each factor as either a ‘very important’ or ‘fairly important’ operating difficulty. Variable definitions are in Annex 1. Source: BEEPS 2005 Uncertainty about regulation Functioning of judiciary 40.1 29.5 18 Table 3: Probit models for the probability of undertaking new or improved product/service innovation in locally-owned firms Western Balkans Countries (WBC) N=1019 dy/dx CIS Countries N=3644 CEEE (excluding WBC) N=4012 z dy/dx z dy/dx z Firm Characteristics Plant age in 2005 Employment (2003) Research and development Workforce with high school quals (%) -0.002 -1.520 -0.001 -1.220 0.001 0.000 1.440 0.000 1.610 0.000 -0.017 -0.550 0.034 0.000 -0.550 0.000 Workforce with graduate quals (%) 0.000 -0.380 0.002 Single proprietor 0.984 0.400 0.093 Partnership 0.659 0.090 0.139 Cooperative 0.314 0.980 0.143 2.080 0.089 * ** * ** * ** * 0.059 0.920 -0.001 5.140 0.000 1.090 0.151 1.670 0.168 1.580 0.035 2.660 0.192 4.420 0.149 3.350 -3.330 0.750 1.390 * 1.660 0.310 0.608 Exporting firm 0.079 Part of multi-plant group 0.098 2.830 0.069 3.460 Women-led enterprises 0.016 0.390 -0.027 -1.310 Privatised state company -0.870 -0.240 0.022 0.270 -0.118 -1.070 Private start-up -0.776 -0.080 0.000 0.000 -0.052 -0.490 Private subsidiary of former state co. -0.721 -1.150 0.047 0.450 -0.183 -1.490 Joint venture with external partner -0.710 -2.140 0.181 1.520 -0.044 -0.300 ** 0.211 ** * 2.020 1.430 ** * ** * Limited company ** ** * 0.090 ** 0.760 1.960 0.121 ** ** * ** * -0.047 ** -2.120 5.680 5.560 Location and Markets ** * Large city or capital -0.020 -0.490 0.023 1.010 0.070 Medium-sized city 0.055 1.340 0.000 0.020 0.038 2.870 1.570 -0.022 -0.310 0.052 1.390 0.055 0.640 2.750 -0.054 -0.630 3.560 -0.010 -0.060 Public Support Subsidies from state ** * ** * Subsides from region 0.089 0.960 0.131 Subsidies from the EU -0.150 -0.600 0.171 Access to finance -0.004 -0.100 0.017 0.780 -0.041 * -1.670 Tax rates -0.076 -1.550 -0.003 -0.140 0.060 ** 2.530 0.021 0.390 0.008 0.370 0.023 -1.680 0.033 1.050 0.029 Operating Difficulties Tax administration Customs and trade regulations -0.100 * Skills and education 0.099 * 1.750 0.097 Uncertainty about regulation 0.090 ** 2.340 Functioning of judiciary 0.077 * 1.950 Number of observations Equation χ2 Log Likelihood Pseudo R2 ** * 0.870 0.920 ** * 3.820 0.137 0.004 0.200 0.028 1.170 0.022 0.870 0.024 0.750 979 3886 3560 112.91 367.59 383.71 -557.791 -2507.6 -2228.6 0.0919 0.0683 0.0793 4.700 Notes and sources: Values reported are marginal values. All models include industry dummy variables (not reported) and constant terms. Reference groups - rural enterprises, state-owned firms, other services. See Annex 1 for variable definitions. * denotes significance at the 10 per cent level; ** at 5 per cent and *** at the 1 per cent level. Source: BEEPS 2005 19 Annex 1: Variable definitions Innovation Indicators New product or service Process innovation Firm characteristics Plant age in 2005 Employment (2003) Research and development Workforce with high school quals. (%) Workforce with graduate quals. (%) Single proprietor Partnership Cooperative Limited company Majority externally owned Exporting firm Part of multi-plant group Women-led enterprises Privatised state company Private start-up Private subsidiaries of former state Company Joint venture with external partner Firm ‘developed successfully or upgraded a major new product line or service over the last 3 years’ (items 1312 and 1313) Firm has ‘acquired new production technology over the last 36 months’ (item 1328) Years since firm first began operations in this country (item 129) How many full-time employees does your business have now – and how many did it have three years ago (2003) (item 1355-1359) Positive spending on R&D including wages and salaries of R&D personnel, R&D materials, R&D education and R&D related training (item 1257-1263) What percentage of the workforce of your firm has education levels up to secondary school (item 1444-1446) What percentage of the workforce of your firm has education levels up to university level (item 1447-1449) Legal status of firm: single proprietorship (items 134-135) Legal status of firm: partnership (items 134-135) Legal status of firm: cooperative (items 134-135) Legal status of firm: corporation, privately held or listed on stock exchange (items 134-135) What percentage of the firm is owned by private foreign individuals/companies/organisations (> 50 per cent ) (item151-153). Does your firm currently sell its products or services directly to customers outside the country (item 168) How many establishments (separate operating facilities) does your firm have in this country (item 173-174) Is the principle owner (or one of the principle owners) female? (item 249) How was your firm established: Privatisation of a state-owned firm (item 250) How was your firm established: Originally private from the time of start-up (item 250) How was your firm established: Private subsidiary of a former state owned firm (item 250) How was your firm established: Joint venture with foreign partners; (item 250) Location and Markets EU plus region Western Balkans location Large city or capital Medium-sized city Mining Construction Manufacturing Transport, storage and communication Wholesale and Retail trade; repair of vehicles and household goods Real Estate, renting and business services Hotels and Restaurants Other services Includes: Turkey, Slovenia, Poland, Hungary, Czech Rep., Slovakia, Romania, Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia Includes: Macedonia, Serbia, Montenegro, Albania, Croatia, BosniaHerzegovina Located in capital city or other city with population greater than one million (item city) Located in city with population greater than 50,000 (item city) Firm is in ISIC Section C: 10-14 (item ISIC DIVISION) Firm is in ISIC Section F: 45 (item ISIC DIVISION) Firm is in ISIC Section D: 15-37 (item ISIC DIVISION) Firm is in ISIC Section I: 60-64 (item ISIC DIVISION) Firm is in ISIC Section G: 50-52 (item ISIC DIVISION) Firm is in ISIC Section K: 70-74 (item ISIC DIVISION) Firm is in ISIC Section H: 55 (item ISIC DIVISION) Firm is in ISIC Section O: includes motion picture and video activities, other entertainment activities, news agency activities, washing and dry cleaning, hairdressing, funeral and related activities, other service activities (item ISIC 20 DIVISION) Public support Subsidies from state Subsides from region Subsidies from the EU Operating difficulties Access to finance Cost of finance Access to land Title or leasing of land Tax rates Tax administration Customs and trade regulations Skills and education Uncertainty about regulation Macro instability Functioning of judiciary Corruption Over the last 36 months has your firm received any subsidies from the national government? (item 1060) Over the last 36 months has your firm received any subsidies from the regional/local government? (item 1061) Over the last 36 months has your firm received any subsidies from EU sources? (item 1062) Access to finance (e.g. collateral required or financing not available from banks) either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1108) Cost of financing (e.g. interest rates and charges) either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1109) Access to land either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1113) Title or leasing of land either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1114) Tax rates either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1115) Tax administration either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1116) Customs and trade regulations either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1117) Skills and education of available workers either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1120) Uncertainty about regulatory policies either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1121) Macro instability (inflation, exchange rates) either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1122) Functioning of judiciary either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1123) Corruption either ‘moderate’ or ‘major’ obstacle to the operation and growth of the business (item 1124) 21 References Asheim, B , L Coenen, J Moodysson, and J Vang. 2007. Constructing knowledgebased regional advantage: implications for regional innovation policy. International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Innovation Management, 7 (25):140-155. Asheim, B T, and A Isaksen. 1996. Location, agglomeration and innovation: Towards regional innovation systems in Norway? In Studies in technology, innovation and economic policy, Report 13. Oslo. Bleaney, M, and K Wakelin. 2002. Efficiency, innovation and exports. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 64:3-15. Buiseret, T, H M Cameron, and L Georgiou. 1995. What differences does it make? Additionality in the public support of R&D in large firms. International Journal Of Technology Management 10 (4-6):587-600. Chai, Z. X., and Z. H. Huang. 2007. Agglomeration, knowledge spillover and provincial innovation - Evidences from Mainland China. Proceeding of China Private Economy Innovation International Forum:119-128. Cooke, P, and L Leydesdorff. 2006. Regional development in the knowledge-based economy: the construction of advantage. Journal of Technology Transfer 31:515. Cooke, P, and K Morgan. 1998. The associational economy: Firms, regions and innovation. Oxford University Press. Cornet, M, M van der Steeg, and B Vroomen. 2007. De effectiviteit van de innovatievoucher 2004 en 2005 Effect op innovatieve input en innovatieve output van bedrijven, edited by C. D. P. N. 140. Cornet, M, B Vroomen, and M van der Steeg. 2006. Do innovation vouchers help SMEs to cross the bridge towards science? In No 58 CBP Discussion Paper Crepon, AD , A Hughes, P Lee, and J Mairesse. 1998. Research, Innovation and Productivity: An econometric analysis at the firm level. Economics of Innovation and New Technology 7:115-158. Czarnitzki, D , and A Spielkamp. 2003. Business services in Germany: Bridges for innovation. The Service Industries Journal 23 (2):1-30. Czarnitzki, D., and G. Licht. 2006. Additionality of public R&D grants in a transition economy. Economics of Transition 14 (1):101-131. de Jong, J P, J Bruins, A Dolfsma, and J Meijaard. 2003. Innovation in service firms explored: what how and why? In Strategic Study B200205. the Netherlands.: EIM Business and Policy Research. Fargerberg, J, and M. Srholec. 2008. National innovation systems, capabilities and economic development Research Policy 37:1417-1435. Filatotchev, I., M. Wright, K. Uhlenbruck, L. Tihanyi, and R. E. Hoskisson. 2003. Governance, organizational capabilities, and restructuring in transition economies. Journal of World Business 38 (4):331-347. Freel, M S. 2005. Patterns of innovation and skills in small firms. Technovation 25 (2):123-134. ———. 2005. Patterns of Innovation and skills in small firms. Technovation 25:123134. Gligorov, V. 2009. The Balkans: Problems and Prospects. In The Western Balkans: Overcoming the economic crisis - from regional cooperation to EU membership. Brussels. 22 Griffith, R, S Redding, and J Van Reenan. 2003. R&D and Absorptive Capacity: Theory and Empirical Evidence. Scandinavian Journal of Economics 105 (1):99-118. Griliches, Z. 1992. The Search for Research-And-Development Spillovers. Scandinavian Journal of Economics 94:S29-S47. ———. 1995. R&D and Productivity: Econometric Results and Measurement Issues. Edited by P. Stoneman, Handbook of the Economics of Innovation and Technological Change. Oxford: Blackwell. Harris, R I D, and M Trainor. 1995. Innovation and R&D in Northern Ireland Manufacturing: A Schumpeterian Approach. Regional Studies 29:593-604. Hewitt-Dundas, N , and S Roper. 2009. Output Additionality of Public Support for Innovation: Evidence for Irish Manufacturing Plants. European Planning Studies forthcoming. Jensen, C. 2004. Localized spillovers in the Polish food industry: The role of FDI in the development process? Regional Studies 38 (5):535-550. Klette, T. J, and F Johansen. 1998. Accumulation of R&D Capital and Dynamic Firm Performance: a not-so-Fixed Effect Model. Annales de Economie et de Statistique 49-50:389-419. Krammer, Sorin M. S. 2009. Drivers of national innovation in transition: Evidence from a panel of Eastern European countries. Research Policy 38:845-860. Krkoska, L , and K. Robeck. 2006. The impact of crime on the enterprise sector: Transition versus non-transition countries. In EBRD Working paper No. 97. London. Lachenmaier, and Wobmann. 2006. Does innovation causes exports? Evidence from exogenous innovation impulses and obstacles using German micro data. Oxford Economic Papers 58:317-350. Leiponen, Aija. 2005. Skills and innovation. International Journal of Industrial Organization 23 (5-6):303-323. Leskovar-Spacapan, G., and M. Bastic. 2007. Differences in organisations' innovation capability in transition economy: Internal aspects of the organizations' strategic orientation. Technovation 27:533-546. Love, J H , and M A Mansury. 2007. External Linkages, R&D and Innovation Performance in US Business Services. Industry and Innovation forthcoming. Love, J H, and S Roper. 1999. The determinants of innovation: R&D, technology transfer and networking effects. Review of Industrial Organisation 15 (1):4364. Machacova, J , and Dall Elke. 2008. Innovation Infrastructures in the Western Balkan countries. Information office of the steering platform on research for the Western Balkan countries (see-science.eu). Mamuneas, T P, and M I Nadiri. 1996. Public R&D policies and cost behaviour of the US manufacturing industries. Journal of Public Economics 63:57-81. Mansfield, E. 1986. The R&D tax credit and other technology policy issues. American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings) 76 (2):1190-1194. Martin, S, and J T Scott. 2000. The nature of innovation market failure and the design of public support for private innovation. Research Policy 29:437-47. Metcalfe, S. 1997. Technology Systems and Technology Policy in an Evolutionary Framework. Edited by D. Archibugi, Michie, J, Technology, Globalisation and Economic Performance: Cambridge University Press. 23 Mutula, S. M., and P. Van Brakel. 2007. ICT skills readiness for the emerging global digital economy among small businesses in developing countries: case study of Botswana. Library Hi Tech 25 (2):231-245. NESTA. 2007. Hidden Innovation – How innovation happens in six ‘low innovation’ sectors. London. OECD. 1999. Managing National Innovation Systems Paris. ———. 2009. Progress in the implementation of the European Charter for Small Enterprises in the Western Balkans. Paris: OECD/European Commission/ European Training Foundation/European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Polenakovik, R, and TR Pinto. 2009. The National Innovation System and Its relation to small enterprises – the Case of the Republic of Macedonia. World Review of Science Technology and Sustainable Development forthcoming Roper, S, and J H Love. 2002. Innovation and Export Performance: Evidence from UK and German Manufacturing Plants. Research Policy 31:1087-1102. ———. 2006. Innovation and Regional Absorptive Capacity: the Labour Market Dimension. Annals of Regional Science 40 (2):437-447. Santarelli, E, and A Sterlacchini. 1990. Innovation, formal vs informal R&D and firm size: some evidence from Italian manufacturing firms. Small Business Economics 2:223-228. Simonen, Jaakko, and Philip McCann. 2008. Firm innovation: The influence of R&D cooperation and the geography of human capital inputs. Journal of Urban Economics 64 (1):146-154. Storey, D J 1994. Understanding the Small Business Sector. London: Routledge Svarc, J. 2006. Socio-political factors and the failure of innovation policy in Croatia as a country in transition Research Policy 35:144-159. Uhlenbruck, K., K. E. Meyer, and M. A. Hitt. 2003. Organizational transformation in transition economies: Resource-based and organizational learning perspectives. Journal of Management Studies 40 (2):257-282. Vinnova. 2004. Impacts of the Swedish Competence Centres Programme 1995-2003: Summary Report. Wakelin, K. 1998. Innovation and Export Behaviour at the Firm Level. Research Policy 26:829-841. Woolthuis, R K, M Lankhuizen, and V Gilsing. 2005. A system failure framework for innovation policy design Technovation 25:609-619. 24