From Physical to Human Capital Accumulation: Inequality in the Process of Development Oded Galor and Omer Moav Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 1 / 55 Objectives Objectives Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 2 / 55 Objectives Objectives A uni…ed theory of inequality and economic development: Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 2 / 55 Objectives Objectives A uni…ed theory of inequality and economic development: Captures the changing role of inequality in the growth process Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 2 / 55 Objectives Objectives A uni…ed theory of inequality and economic development: Captures the changing role of inequality in the growth process Uni…es the Classical and the Modern Paradigms Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 2 / 55 Objectives Objectives A uni…ed theory of inequality and economic development: Captures the changing role of inequality in the growth process Uni…es the Classical and the Modern Paradigms Provides an intertemporal reconciliation between con‡icting viewpoints about the e¤ect of inequality on economic growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 2 / 55 Objectives Objectives A uni…ed theory of inequality and economic development: Captures the changing role of inequality in the growth process Uni…es the Classical and the Modern Paradigms Provides an intertemporal reconciliation between con‡icting viewpoints about the e¤ect of inequality on economic growth Generates novel testable predictions that may resolve empirical disputes about the relationship between inequality and growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 2 / 55 Objectives The Classical Approach The Classical Approach Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 3 / 55 Objectives The Classical Approach The Classical Approach Inequality is bene…cial for growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 3 / 55 Objectives The Classical Approach The Classical Approach Inequality is bene…cial for growth The marginal propensity to save increases with income Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 3 / 55 Objectives The Classical Approach The Classical Approach Inequality is bene…cial for growth The marginal propensity to save increases with income Inequality channels resources towards individuals whose marginal propensity to save is higher Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 3 / 55 Objectives The Classical Approach The Classical Approach Inequality is bene…cial for growth The marginal propensity to save increases with income Inequality channels resources towards individuals whose marginal propensity to save is higher =) increases aggregate savings & capital accumulation Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 3 / 55 Objectives The Classical Approach The Classical Approach Inequality is bene…cial for growth The marginal propensity to save increases with income Inequality channels resources towards individuals whose marginal propensity to save is higher =) increases aggregate savings & capital accumulation =) enhances the development process Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 3 / 55 Objectives The Modern Approach The Credit Market Imperfections Approach: Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 4 / 55 Objectives The Modern Approach The Credit Market Imperfections Approach: Inequality is harmful for growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 4 / 55 Objectives The Modern Approach The Credit Market Imperfections Approach: Inequality is harmful for growth CMI increases the cost of investment in human capital for less endowed individuals Inequality increases the fraction of society for which investment in human capital is suboptimal =) reduces human capital accumulation Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 4 / 55 Objectives The Modern Approach The Credit Market Imperfections Approach: Inequality is harmful for growth CMI increases the cost of investment in human capital for less endowed individuals Inequality increases the fraction of society for which investment in human capital is suboptimal =) reduces human capital accumulation =) slows down the development process Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 4 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory A Uni…ed Theory of Inequality and Development Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 5 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory A Uni…ed Theory of Inequality and Development A uni…ed theory of the dynamic implications of inequality on the growth process Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 5 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory A Uni…ed Theory of Inequality and Development A uni…ed theory of the dynamic implications of inequality on the growth process Places the dominating modern theories within a broader uni…ed structure Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 5 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory A Uni…ed Theory of Inequality and Development A uni…ed theory of the dynamic implications of inequality on the growth process Places the dominating modern theories within a broader uni…ed structure Provides an intertemporal reconciliation between the Classical viewpoint and the Modern perspective Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 5 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Main Hypothesis Main Hypothesis Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 6 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Main Hypothesis Main Hypothesis The replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth has changed the qualitative impact of inequality on the process of development Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 6 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Main Hypothesis Main Hypothesis The replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth has changed the qualitative impact of inequality on the process of development Early stages of industrialization: physical capital accumulation is a main engine of growth =) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 6 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Main Hypothesis Main Hypothesis The replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth has changed the qualitative impact of inequality on the process of development Early stages of industrialization: physical capital accumulation is a main engine of growth =) Inequality enhanced development by channeling resources towards individuals whose marginal propensity to save is higher Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 6 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Main Hypothesis Main Hypothesis The replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth has changed the qualitative impact of inequality on the process of development Early stages of industrialization: physical capital accumulation is a main engine of growth =) Inequality enhanced development by channeling resources towards individuals whose marginal propensity to save is higher Later stages of development: the return to human capital increases due to capital-skill complementarity and human capital became the prime engine of growth =) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 6 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Main Hypothesis Main Hypothesis The replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth has changed the qualitative impact of inequality on the process of development Early stages of industrialization: physical capital accumulation is a main engine of growth =) Inequality enhanced development by channeling resources towards individuals whose marginal propensity to save is higher Later stages of development: the return to human capital increases due to capital-skill complementarity and human capital became the prime engine of growth =) Inequality, due to credit constraints, is harmful for growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 6 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Central Argument Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 7 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Central Argument Fundamental asymmetry between: Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 7 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Central Argument Fundamental asymmetry between: Human capital accumulation Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 7 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Central Argument Fundamental asymmetry between: Human capital accumulation Physical capital accumulation Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 7 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Human Capital vs. Physical Capital Accumulation Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 8 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Human Capital vs. Physical Capital Accumulation Human capital is embodied in humans =) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 8 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Human Capital vs. Physical Capital Accumulation Human capital is embodied in humans =) Physiological constraints subjects its accumulation at the individual level to diminishing returns Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 8 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Human Capital vs. Physical Capital Accumulation Human capital is embodied in humans =) Physiological constraints subjects its accumulation at the individual level to diminishing returns The accumulation of human capital would be larger if it would be widely distributed among individuals in society Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 8 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Human Capital vs. Physical Capital Accumulation Human capital is embodied in humans =) Physiological constraints subjects its accumulation at the individual level to diminishing returns The accumulation of human capital would be larger if it would be widely distributed among individuals in society Physical capital accumulation may bene…t from the concentration of wealth among individuals whose marginal propensity to save is larger Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 8 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Inequality and Physical and Human Capital Accumulation Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 9 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Inequality and Physical and Human Capital Accumulation Inequality is conducive for physical capital accumulation, as long as the marginal propensity to save rises with income Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 9 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Inequality and Physical and Human Capital Accumulation Inequality is conducive for physical capital accumulation, as long as the marginal propensity to save rises with income Inequality is harmful for human capital accumulation, as long as credit constraints are binding Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 9 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Inequality and Growth in Di¤erent Stages of Development Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 10 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Inequality and Growth in Di¤erent Stages of Development Inequality stimulates economic growth in stages of development in which physical capital accumulation is the prime engine of growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 10 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Central Argument Inequality and Growth in Di¤erent Stages of Development Inequality stimulates economic growth in stages of development in which physical capital accumulation is the prime engine of growth Inequality is harmful for economic growth in stages of development in which human capital accumulation is the prime engine of economic growth and credit constraints are still binding Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 10 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Early Stages of Industrialization Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 11 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Early Stages of Industrialization Labor (and thus human capital) is abundant and physical capital is scarce Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 11 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Early Stages of Industrialization Labor (and thus human capital) is abundant and physical capital is scarce The return to physical capital is higher than the return to human capital Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 11 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Early Stages of Industrialization Labor (and thus human capital) is abundant and physical capital is scarce The return to physical capital is higher than the return to human capital Physical capital accumulation is the main engine of growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 11 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Early Stages of Industrialization Labor (and thus human capital) is abundant and physical capital is scarce The return to physical capital is higher than the return to human capital Physical capital accumulation is the main engine of growth =) Inequality is conducive for growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 11 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Later Stages of Development Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 12 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Later Stages of Development Physical capital accumulation complements human capital Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 12 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Later Stages of Development Physical capital accumulation complements human capital The return to human capital increases su¢ ciently so as to induce human capital accumulation (Nelson and Phelps (1966), Shultz (1975), Foster and Rosenzweig (1996)) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 12 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Later Stages of Development Physical capital accumulation complements human capital The return to human capital increases su¢ ciently so as to induce human capital accumulation (Nelson and Phelps (1966), Shultz (1975), Foster and Rosenzweig (1996)) Investment in human capital is sub-optimal due to CMI ) the return to human capital is higher than on physical capital Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 12 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Later Stages of Development Physical capital accumulation complements human capital The return to human capital increases su¢ ciently so as to induce human capital accumulation (Nelson and Phelps (1966), Shultz (1975), Foster and Rosenzweig (1996)) Investment in human capital is sub-optimal due to CMI ) the return to human capital is higher than on physical capital Human capital accumulation is the main engine of growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 12 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Mechanism Later Stages of Development Physical capital accumulation complements human capital The return to human capital increases su¢ ciently so as to induce human capital accumulation (Nelson and Phelps (1966), Shultz (1975), Foster and Rosenzweig (1996)) Investment in human capital is sub-optimal due to CMI ) the return to human capital is higher than on physical capital Human capital accumulation is the main engine of growth =) Inequality is harmful for growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 12 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Reconciliation between Various Approaches Reconciliation: The Classical and Modern Approaches Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 13 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Reconciliation between Various Approaches Reconciliation: The Classical and Modern Approaches A positive e¤ect of inequality on growth underlined by the Classical Approach re‡ects early stages of industrialization when physical capital accumulation was the prime engine of growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 13 / 55 A Uni…ed Theory Reconciliation between Various Approaches Reconciliation: The Classical and Modern Approaches A positive e¤ect of inequality on growth underlined by the Classical Approach re‡ects early stages of industrialization when physical capital accumulation was the prime engine of growth A negative e¤ect of inequality on growth underlined by the Modern Approach re‡ects later stages of development when human capital accumulation becomes a prime engine of growth, and credit constraints are still binding Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 13 / 55 The Model Production The Basic Structure of the Model Overlapping-Generations economy Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 14 / 55 The Model Production The Basic Structure of the Model Overlapping-Generations economy t = 0, 1, 2, 3, ... Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 14 / 55 The Model Production The Basic Structure of the Model Overlapping-Generations economy t = 0, 1, 2, 3, ... One good Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 14 / 55 The Model Production The Basic Structure of the Model Overlapping-Generations economy t = 0, 1, 2, 3, ... One good Two factors: Physical capital (PC) Human Capital (HC) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 14 / 55 The Model Production The Basic Structure of the Model Output per-capita grows over time due to the accumulation of factors of production. Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 15 / 55 The Model Production The Basic Structure of the Model Output per-capita grows over time due to the accumulation of factors of production. The stock of physical capital: Output produced in the preceding period net of consumption and HC investment Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 15 / 55 The Model Production The Basic Structure of the Model Output per-capita grows over time due to the accumulation of factors of production. The stock of physical capital: Output produced in the preceding period net of consumption and HC investment The level of HC: Outcome of education decisions, subject to borrowing constraint Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 15 / 55 The Model Production Production of Final Output The output produced at time t : Yt = F (Kt , Ht ) Galor-Moav Ht f (kt ) Inequality and Growth 16 / 55 The Model Production Production of Final Output The output produced at time t : Yt = F (Kt , Ht ) Ht f (kt ) Kt - PC Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 16 / 55 The Model Production Production of Final Output The output produced at time t : Yt = F (Kt , Ht ) Ht f (kt ) Kt - PC Ht - HC (e¢ ciency units) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 16 / 55 The Model Production Production of Final Output The output produced at time t : Yt = F (Kt , Ht ) Ht f (kt ) Kt - PC Ht - HC (e¢ ciency units) kt Galor-Moav Kt /Ht Inequality and Growth 16 / 55 The Model Production Factor Prices Demand for factors of production at time t Galor-Moav rt = f 0 (kt ) r (kt ) wt = f (kt ) f 0 (kt )kt Inequality and Growth w (kt ) 17 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 18 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals Continuum of measure 1 Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 18 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals Continuum of measure 1 Individuals have 1 parent and 1 child Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 18 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals Continuum of measure 1 Individuals have 1 parent and 1 child Identical in: Preferences Innate abilities Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 18 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals Continuum of measure 1 Individuals have 1 parent and 1 child Identical in: Preferences Innate abilities Di¤er in: Parental income ) Inv’t in HC Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 18 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals of Generation t Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 19 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals of Generation t First period of life (Period t ): Human capital formation Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 19 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals of Generation t First period of life (Period t ): Human capital formation Second period of life (Period t + 1): Supply their e¢ ciency units of labor Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 19 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals of Generation t First period of life (Period t ): Human capital formation Second period of life (Period t + 1): Supply their e¢ ciency units of labor Allocate income & inheritance to: (a) Consumption (b) Transfers to children Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 19 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals of Generation t First period of life (Period t ): Human capital formation Second period of life (Period t + 1): Supply their e¢ ciency units of labor Allocate income & inheritance to: (a) Consumption (b) Transfers to children Transfers are allocated to: Finance of o¤spring’s education Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 19 / 55 The Model Individuals Individuals of Generation t First period of life (Period t ): Human capital formation Second period of life (Period t + 1): Supply their e¢ ciency units of labor Allocate income & inheritance to: (a) Consumption (b) Transfers to children Transfers are allocated to: Finance of o¤spring’s education Saving for o¤spring’s future wealth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 19 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Wealth Second period wealth: Iti +1 = wt +1 hti +1 + xti +1 Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 20 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Wealth Second period wealth: Iti +1 = wt +1 hti +1 + xti +1 wt +1 – wage Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 20 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Wealth Second period wealth: Iti +1 = wt +1 hti +1 + xti +1 wt +1 – wage hti +1 – e¢ ciency units of labor Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 20 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Wealth Second period wealth: Iti +1 = wt +1 hti +1 + xti +1 wt +1 – wage hti +1 – e¢ ciency units of labor xti +1 – inheritance Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 20 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Budget Constraint Second Period budget constraint: cti +1 + bti +1 Galor-Moav Iti +1 Inequality and Growth 21 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Budget Constraint Second Period budget constraint: cti +1 + bti +1 cti +1 Galor-Moav Iti +1 consumption Inequality and Growth 21 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Budget Constraint Second Period budget constraint: cti +1 + bti +1 Iti +1 cti +1 consumption bti +1 transfers to the o¤spring Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 21 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Intergenerational Transfers Transfer to o¤spring, bti +1 , is allocated between: Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 22 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Intergenerational Transfers Transfer to o¤spring, bti +1 , is allocated between: Finance of o¤spring’s education - eti +1 Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 22 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Intergenerational Transfers Transfer to o¤spring, bti +1 , is allocated between: Finance of o¤spring’s education - eti +1 Saving for o¤spring’s future wealth sti +1 = bti +1 Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth eti +1 22 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Intergenerational Transfers Transfer to o¤spring, bti +1 , is allocated between: Finance of o¤spring’s education - eti +1 Saving for o¤spring’s future wealth sti +1 = bti +1 eti +1 Inheritance xti +1 = sti Rt +1 = (bti Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth eti )Rt +1 22 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Human capital formation E¢ ciency units of labor in period t + 1 hti +1 = h (eti ) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 23 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Human capital formation E¢ ciency units of labor in period t + 1 hti +1 = h (eti ) eti Galor-Moav expenditure on education Inequality and Growth 23 / 55 The Model Individuals Individual i of Generation t: Human capital formation ht+1 h(et) 1 et Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 24 / 55 The Model Individuals Optimal Inv’t in Education of Member i of Generation t In the absence of borrowing constraints: eti = arg max[wt +1 h (eti ) + (bti Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth eti )Rt +1 ] 25 / 55 The Model Individuals Optimal Inv’t in Education of Member i of Generation t In the absence of borrowing constraints: eti = arg max[wt +1 h (eti ) + (bti eti )Rt +1 ] et is unique and identical across members of generation t Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 25 / 55 The Model Individuals Optimal Inv’t in Education of Member i of Generation t et = 0 if Rt +1 > wt +1 h0 (0) wt+1h(et) Rt+1 wt+1 et et= 0 Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 26 / 55 The Model Individuals Optimal Inv’t in Education of Member i of Generation t et > 0 if wt +1 h0 (et ) = Rt +1 wt+1h(et) Rt+1 wt+1 et Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth et 27 / 55 The Model Individuals Optimal Inv’t in Education of Member i of Generation t ~ R(k) ~ w(k)h(et) ~ w(k) et et= 0 Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 28 / 55 The Model Individuals Optimal Inv’t in Education of Member i of Generation t et = e (kt +1 ) Galor-Moav 8 < = 0 if : > 0 if Inequality and Growth kt + 1 ke kt +1 > ke 29 / 55 The Model Individuals Optimal Inv’t in Education of Member i of Generation t et = e (kt +1 ) where 8 < = 0 if : e 0 (kt +1 ) > 0 Galor-Moav kt + 1 kt +1 > ke > 0 if if ke kt +1 > ke Inequality and Growth 29 / 55 The Model Individuals Borrowing Constraint of Member i of Generation t Individuals cannot borrow to …nance the education expenditure of their o¤spring: Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 30 / 55 The Model Individuals Borrowing Constraint of Member i of Generation t Individuals cannot borrow to …nance the education expenditure of their o¤spring: eti = min[e (kt +1 ), bti ] Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 30 / 55 The Model Individuals Preferences and Transfers of Member i of Generation t Preferences: uti = (1 Galor-Moav β) log cti +1 + β log(θ + bti +1 ) Inequality and Growth 31 / 55 The Model Individuals Preferences and Transfers of Member i of Generation t Preferences: uti = (1 β) log cti +1 + β log(θ + bti +1 ) Optimal transfer to o¤spring: 8 < β(Iti +1 i i bt +1 = b (It +1 ) : 0 where θ θ (1 Galor-Moav θ ) if Iti +1 θ if Iti +1 θ β)/β Inequality and Growth 31 / 55 The Model Individuals Optimal transfer of a member i of generation t bit+1 bit+1(Iit+1) β θ Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth Iit+1 32 / 55 The Model Individuals Saving of Member i of Generation t sti = Galor-Moav 8 < bti : bti eti ke if kt + 1 if kt +1 > ke Inequality and Growth 33 / 55 The Model Individuals Saving of Member i of Generation t sti = 8 < bti : bti eti ke if kt + 1 if kt +1 > ke Saving rate sti +1 / Iti +1 is increasing in Iti +1 Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 33 / 55 The Model Dynamics Initial Wealth Distribution The economy consists of two groups in period 0: Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 34 / 55 The Model Dynamics Initial Wealth Distribution The economy consists of two groups in period 0: Capitalists (R) Fraction λ of all adult individuals Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 34 / 55 The Model Dynamics Initial Wealth Distribution The economy consists of two groups in period 0: Capitalists (R) Fraction λ of all adult individuals Equally own the initial capital stock Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 34 / 55 The Model Dynamics Initial Wealth Distribution The economy consists of two groups in period 0: Capitalists (R) Fraction λ of all adult individuals Equally own the initial capital stock Workers (P) Fraction 1 Galor-Moav λ of all adult individuals Inequality and Growth 34 / 55 The Model Dynamics Initial Wealth Distribution The economy consists of two groups in period 0: Capitalists (R) Fraction λ of all adult individuals Equally own the initial capital stock Workers (P) Fraction 1 λ of all adult individuals No ownership over the initial capital stock Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 34 / 55 The Model Dynamics Factor Accumulation Kt +1 = Z 1 0 sti di = λ(btR etR ) + (1 λ)(btP etP ) = K (btR , btp , kt +1 ) Ht +1 = Z 1 0 hti +1 di = λh (etR ) + (1 λ)h (etP ) = H (btR , btP , kt +1 ) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 35 / 55 The Model Dynamics The Capital-Labor Ratio kt +1 = Kt +1 K (btR , btP , kt +1 ) = Ht + 1 H (btR , btP , kt +1 ) =) kt +1 = κ (btR , btP ) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 36 / 55 The Model Dynamics The Evolution of Transfers within group i = R,P bti +1 = maxf β[wt +1 h (eti ) + (bti Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth eti )Rt +1 θ ], 0g 37 / 55 The Model Dynamics The Evolution of Transfers within group i = R,P bti +1 = maxf β[wt +1 h (eti ) + (bti eti )Rt +1 θ ], 0g =) bti +1 = φ(bti , kt +1 ) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 37 / 55 The Model Dynamics The Evolution of Transfers within group i = R,P bti +1 = maxf β[wt +1 h (eti ) + (bti eti )Rt +1 θ ], 0g =) bti +1 = φ(bti , kt +1 ) b, a critical level of k below which individuals who do not receive There exists k parental transfers (i.e., bti = eti = 0) do not transfer income to their o¤spring: w (kb) = θ Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 37 / 55 The Model Dynamics The Evolution of Transfers within group i = R,P bti +1 = maxf β[wt +1 h (eti ) + (bti eti )Rt +1 θ ], 0g =) bti +1 = φ(bti , kt +1 ) b, a critical level of k below which individuals who do not receive There exists k parental transfers (i.e., bti = eti = 0) do not transfer income to their o¤spring: w (kb) = θ Galor-Moav bti +1 = φ(0, kt +1 ) 8 < = 0 if : > 0 if Inequality and Growth kt + 1 kb kt +1 > kb 37 / 55 The Model Dynamics The Evolution of Transfers within Group i =R,P bti +1 = φ(bti , kt +1 ) = φ(bti , κ (btR , btP )) ψi (btR , btP ) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 38 / 55 The Model Dynamics The dynamical system fbtP , btR gt∞=0 such that: Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 39 / 55 The Model Dynamics The dynamical system fbtP , btR gt∞=0 such that: btP+1 = ψP (btR , btP ) btR+1 = ψR (btR , btP ) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 39 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development The Process of Development Regime I: PC Accumulation (k Galor-Moav ke) Inequality and Growth 40 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development The Process of Development Regime I: PC Accumulation (k ke) Regime II: HC Accumulation (k > ke) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 40 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development The Process of Development Regime I: PC Accumulation (k ke) Regime II: HC Accumulation (k > ke) Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K Galor-Moav K̂ ) Inequality and Growth 40 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development The Process of Development Regime I: PC Accumulation (k ke) Regime II: HC Accumulation (k > ke) Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K K̂ ) Stage II of Regime II (K̂ < K < K ) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 40 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development The Process of Development ke) Regime I: PC Accumulation (k Regime II: HC Accumulation (k > ke) Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K K̂ ) Stage II of Regime II (K̂ < K < K ) Stage III of Regime II (K > K ) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 40 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: Physical Capital Accumulation Early stages of development (k Galor-Moav ke) Inequality and Growth 41 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: Physical Capital Accumulation Early stages of development (k ke) K is the main engine of growth: ρHC < ρK Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 41 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: Physical Capital Accumulation Early stages of development (k ke) K is the main engine of growth: ρHC < ρK No investment in education Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 41 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: Physical Capital Accumulation Early stages of development (k ke) K is the main engine of growth: ρHC < ρK No investment in education No Transfers within Group P Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 41 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: Physical Capital Accumulation Early stages of development (k ke) K is the main engine of growth: ρHC < ρK No investment in education No Transfers within Group P Transfers within Group R " Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 41 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: Physical Capital Accumulation Early stages of development (k ke) K is the main engine of growth: ρHC < ρK No investment in education No Transfers within Group P Transfers within Group R " Wages " Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 41 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: Physical Capital Accumulation Early stages of development (k ke) K is the main engine of growth: ρHC < ρK No investment in education No Transfers within Group P Transfers within Group R " Wages " Income inequality " Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 41 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development The Conditional Dynamical System: Regime I bit+1 φ(bit ;k) 450 Group P Group R Poverty Trap Galor-Moav b(k) Inequality and Growth bit 42 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: E¤ect of Inequality Inequality enhances the process development Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 43 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: E¤ect of Inequality Inequality enhances the process development A transfer of wealth from Group R to P =) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 43 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: E¤ect of Inequality Inequality enhances the process development A transfer of wealth from Group R to P =) Aggregate consumption " Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 43 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: E¤ect of Inequality Inequality enhances the process development A transfer of wealth from Group R to P =) Aggregate consumption " Aggregate intergenerational transfers # Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 43 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime I: E¤ect of Inequality Inequality enhances the process development A transfer of wealth from Group R to P =) Aggregate consumption " Aggregate intergenerational transfers # Rate of capital accumulation # Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 43 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime II: Human Capital Accumulation Mature stages of development: (k > ke) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 44 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Regime II: Human Capital Accumulation Mature stages of development: (k > ke) HC is the engine of growth: ρHC Galor-Moav ρK Inequality and Growth 44 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage I of Regime II: HC Accumulation by group R Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K Galor-Moav K̂ ) Inequality and Growth 45 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage I of Regime II: HC Accumulation by group R Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K K̂ ) Members of group P Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 45 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage I of Regime II: HC Accumulation by group R Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K K̂ ) Members of group P No intergenerational transfers Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 45 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage I of Regime II: HC Accumulation by group R Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K K̂ ) Members of group P No intergenerational transfers No investment in education Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 45 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage I of Regime II: HC Accumulation by group R Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K K̂ ) Members of group P No intergenerational transfers No investment in education Members of group R Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 45 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage I of Regime II: HC Accumulation by group R Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K K̂ ) Members of group P No intergenerational transfers No investment in education Members of group R Transfers " Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 45 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage I of Regime II: HC Accumulation by group R Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K K̂ ) Members of group P No intergenerational transfers No investment in education Members of group R Transfers " Expenditure on education " Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 45 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage I of Regime II: HC Accumulation by group R Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K K̂ ) Members of group P No intergenerational transfers No investment in education Members of group R Transfers " Expenditure on education " Wages " Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 45 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage I of Regime II: HC Accumulation by group R Stage I of Regime II (K̃ < K K̂ ) Members of group P No intergenerational transfers No investment in education Members of group R Transfers " Expenditure on education " Wages " Income inequality " Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 45 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development The Conditional Dynamical System: Stage I of Regime II bit+1 φ(bit ;k) 450 Group P Group R Poverty b(k) Trap Galor-Moav bit Inequality and Growth 46 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage II of Regime II : HC Accumulation by the Poor Stage II of Regime II (K̂ < K < K ) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 47 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage II of Regime II : HC Accumulation by the Poor Stage II of Regime II (K̂ < K < K ) Members of group P (credit constrained): ρHC > ρK Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 47 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage II of Regime II : HC Accumulation by the Poor Stage II of Regime II (K̂ < K < K ) Members of group P (credit constrained): ρHC > ρK Start to transfers Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 47 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage II of Regime II : HC Accumulation by the Poor Stage II of Regime II (K̂ < K < K ) Members of group P (credit constrained): ρHC > ρK Start to transfers Start to acquire education Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 47 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage II of Regime II : HC Accumulation by the Poor Stage II of Regime II (K̂ < K < K ) Members of group P (credit constrained): ρHC > ρK Start to transfers Start to acquire education Members of group R (not credit constrained): ρHC = ρK Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 47 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage II of Regime II : HC Accumulation by the Poor Stage II of Regime II (K̂ < K < K ) Members of group P (credit constrained): ρHC > ρK Start to transfers Start to acquire education Members of group R (not credit constrained): ρHC = ρK Invest optimally in human and physical capital Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 47 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Conditional Dynamical System: Stage II-III of Regime II bit+1 450 φ(bit ;k) bit Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 48 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage II of Regime II: E¤ect of Inequality More equality is bene…cial for the process development Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 49 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage II of Regime II: E¤ect of Inequality More equality is bene…cial for the process development A transfer of wealth from group R to group P allows (due to credit constraint) a more e¢ cient allocation of aggregate investment between HC and PC Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 49 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage III of Regime II : Credit Constraints are not Binding All individuals are not credit constrained: R HC = R K Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 50 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development Stage III of Regime II : Credit Constraints are not Binding All individuals are not credit constrained: R HC = R K Inequality has no e¤ect on the process of development Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 50 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development The changing Role of Inequality in the Development Process 0_____________k̃_______________ Regime I Regime II ρK > ρH Galor-Moav ρK ρH K only engine HC main engine Inequality (+) Inequality (-) Inequality and Growth 51 / 55 Inequality and Development The Process of Development E¤ect of Inequality in Regime II k̃ _____________k̂ __________k ____________ Stage I Stage II Stage III ρK < ρH p ρK = ρH R ρK < ρH P ρK = ρH R ρK = ρH 2 engines HC main engine 2 engines Inequality (-) Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 52 / 55 Inequality and Development Testable implications Testable Implications Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 53 / 55 Inequality and Development Testable implications Testable Implications The CMI approach The e¤ect on inequality depends on the country’s level of income. Inequality is bene…cial for poor economies and harmful for rich ones Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 53 / 55 Inequality and Development Testable implications Testable Implications The CMI approach The e¤ect on inequality depends on the country’s level of income. Inequality is bene…cial for poor economies and harmful for rich ones The Uni…ed Approach The e¤ect of inequality on growth depends on the relative return to human and physical capital. The higher is the relative return to human capital the more harmful is inequality for economic growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 53 / 55 Inequality and Development Implications for DC and LDCs Implications for DC and LDCS Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 54 / 55 Inequality and Development Implications for DC and LDCs Implications for DC and LDCS The replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth has changed the impact of inequality on the process of development Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 54 / 55 Inequality and Development Implications for DC and LDCs Implications for DC and LDCS The replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth has changed the impact of inequality on the process of development Inequality stimulates economic growth in stages of development in which physical capital accumulation is the prime engine of growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 54 / 55 Inequality and Development Implications for DC and LDCs Implications for DC and LDCS The replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth has changed the impact of inequality on the process of development Inequality stimulates economic growth in stages of development in which physical capital accumulation is the prime engine of growth Inequality is harmful for economic growth in stages of development in which human capital accumulation is the prime engine of economic growth Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 54 / 55 Inequality and Development Implications for DC and LDCs Implications for DC and LDCS The replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth has changed the impact of inequality on the process of development Inequality stimulates economic growth in stages of development in which physical capital accumulation is the prime engine of growth Inequality is harmful for economic growth in stages of development in which human capital accumulation is the prime engine of economic growth Int’l capital in‡ow to LDCs and the adoption of skilled-biased technologies may place economies directly in the second stage in which inequality is harmful Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 54 / 55 Inequality and Development References References Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 55 / 55 Inequality and Development References References Main Source: Galor, Oded and Omer Moav, 2004, "From Physical to Human Capital Accumulation: Inequality and the Process of Development," Review of Economic Studies, 71(4), 1001-1026. Related Papers: Galor, Oded and Omer Moav, 2006, "Das Human-Kapital: A Theory of the Demise of the Class Structure," Review of Economic Studies, 73(1), 85-117. Galor, Oded and Joseph Zeira, 1993, "Income Distribution and Macroeconomics," Review of Economic Studies, 60(1), 35-52. Galor, Oded and Omer Moav, and Dietrich Vollrath, 2009, "Inequality in Landownership, Human Capital Promoting Institutions and the Great Divergence" Review of Economic Studies, 76(1), 143-179. Galor-Moav Inequality and Growth 55 / 55