Spyros Terovitis Department of Economics University of Warwick Coventry, CV4 7AL United Kingdom Office: S2.94 (Social Studies Building) Email: s.terovitis@warwick.ac.uk Education 2011-present, PhD Candidate in Economics, Department of Economics, University of Warwick, UK. 2010-2011, MSc in Economics and Industrial Organization, Department of Economics, University of Warwick, UK (distinction) 2009-2010, MPhil in Economics, Department of Economics, University of Athens, Greece (distinction) 2005-2009, BSc in Economics, Department of Economics, University of Athens, Greece (distinction) Professional Experience Teaching Teaching Fellow, University of Warwick, Department of Economics, October 2015–present. Teaching Assistant, University of Warwick, Department of Economics, October 2012–present. Modules: Topics in Economic Theory: Spring 2016 Micro-Economic Analysis: Fall 2015 (graduate module - Evaluation: 4.5/5 ) Topics in Public Economics: Fall 2015 (under-graduate module - Evaluation: 4.4/5) Micro-Economic Analysis: Fall 2014 (graduate module - Evaluation: 4.4/5 ) Economics of Strategy: Spring 2014 (under-graduate module - Evaluation: N/A) Micro-Economic Analysis: Fall 2013 (graduate module - Evaluation: 4.7/5 ) EC202 Microeconomics II: Fall 2012, Spring 2013 (under-graduate module - Evaluation: 4.6/5) Research Research Assistant of Prof Ilan Kremer, University of Warwick, Department of Economics, July 2013– present. Research Assistant, “Center for Research in Economic Theory and its Applications (CRETA)”, University of Warwick, Department of Economics, January 2016–present. Fields of Research Interest Financial Economics, Information Acquisition, Information Intermediation, Contract Theory, Corporate Finance Scientific Software MS Office - Excellent command Stata - Very good command Spyros Terovitis 2 Mathematica - Very good command LATEX- Excellent command Conference - Workshops Presented Annual Conference of the Midwest Finance Association, March 2016 Annual Conference of the Royal Economic Society, April 2015 European Winter Meeting of the Econometric Society, December 2014 UECE Lisbon Meetings 2014, “Game Theory and Applications”, November 2014 Presented by Co-authors 20th International Conference of the Society of Computational Economics, May 2014 Tinbergen Institute Seminar Series, October 2014 Organized Royal Economic Society PhD Conference, April 2015 3rd Warwick Economics PhD Conference, February 2015 2nd Warwick Economics PhD Conference, March 2014 Warwick Micro Theory Work in Progress, 2013–present Summer Schools The 23rd Jerusalem School in Economic Theory - Intertemporal Public Economics, Institute for Advance Studies, Hebrew University, June 18-27, 2012 The 24th Jerusalem School in Economic Theory - Decision Theory, Institute for Advance Studies, Hebrew University, June 10-19, 2013 Honors, Awards, & Fellowships Junior Fellowship Award, Royal Economic Society, 2014 PhD Scholarship award, ”Warwick Postgraduate Fellow in Economics (WPFE), 2011 - 2014” PhD Scholarship award, ”State Scholarships Foundation (IKY)”, 2011 - 2014 AFA Travel Grant, “American Finance Association”, 2014 Prize for the ”Best Dissertation”, Department of Economics, University of Warwick, 2012 MSc Scholarship award, ”Alexander S. Onassis Public Benefit Foundation”, 2010 MSc Scholarship award, ”Papadakis Foundation” (not received), 2010 Prize for the ”Best Performance”, The University of Athens Doctoral Program in Economics, 2010 MPhil Scholarship award, The University of Athens Doctoral Program in Economics, 2009 Prize for the ”Best Performance” from the ”State Scholarships Foundation (IKY)”, 2009 Prize for the ”Top Performance” from the ”State Scholarships Foundation (IKY)”, ac. year 2008 - 2009 Prize for the ”Top Performance” from the ”State Scholarships Foundation (IKY)”, ac. year 2007 - 2008 Spyros Terovitis Reference Prof M. Perry, perrymotty49@gmail.com Department of Economics, University of Warwick Prof I. Kremer, ikremer@huji.ac.il Department of Economics, University of Warwick 3 Spyros Terovitis 4 Working Papers The Impact of CRA on Capital Markets In this paper I argue that the reason for potential problems emerging from Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) is more pathological than the literature recognizes; even in the absence of conflict of interest or a other distortions resulting from players’ behavior, the market structure itself can be a source of inefficiency. I develop a model in which, by assumption, the CRA is capable of perfect monitoring and reveals its private information truthfully and costlessly. I explore the impact of such a “sincere” CRA on the interest rate and the probabilities of project financing and default. I find that even under thesenear-utopian-, conditions the introduction of a CRA may not be beneficial. Specifically, a CRA may lead to under-financing of projects with positive net present value that would otherwise be financed; a higher expected interest rate; and a higher expected probability of default. These findings arise from the feedback effect inherent in capital markets, and the asymmetric impact the effect has on firms of different quality. I argue that restricting CRAs to provide hard evidence with their ratings might have a negative effect on the probabilities of project financing and default. Motivating Information Acquisition Under Delegation This paper explores the case where equity-holders delegate to a fund manager an investment decision where the return of each strategy depends on the unknown state of the world. We the characterize optimal compensation contract which incentivizes the agent to acquire costly information, and then to take the “right” decision based on all available information. We find that the optimal compensation contract promises a positive payment only if the right action is chosen, i.e. when the manager goes long and the future price increases or when he goes short and the future price decreases. In addition, we show that under the optimal contract the payment is higher when the manager takes an action which goes against the publicly available information. We show that the premium for going against the flow leads to a more contrarian investment decision compared to the first best. Also, we find that both the direction and the extent of the distortion relates to the market beliefs. Finally, we explore how the informational role of the investment varies depending on market beliefs. Security Design with Endogenous Implementation Choice We study an economy where an entrepreneur with informational advantage over potential investors sells securities in order to finance an investment project. We characterize the optimal security when the entrepreneur is not committed to implement the project, which consists of three elements: a payment scheme similar to standard debt if the project is implemented, a fixed payment in case of non-implementation, and the conditions determining when the entrepreneur implements the project in equilibrium. We show that relaxing the assumption that the entrepreneur is committed to project’s implementation, and allowing the entrepreneur to choose whether to implement the project prevents market breakdown and it leads to a more efficient allocation of resources. We argue that some of the key features of the policy interventions which aim to restore market functioning can be captured by the optimal security. Heterogeneity and Clustering of Defaults (with Galanis G., Karlis A., & Turner M.) This paper provides a theoretical model which highlights the role of heterogeneity of information in the emergence of temporal aggregation (clustering) of defaults in a leveraged economy. We show that the degree of heterogeneity plays a critical role in the persistence of the correlation between defaults in time. Specifically, a high degree of heterogeneity leads to an autocorrelation of the time sequence of defaults characterised by a hyperbolic decay rate, such that the autocorrelation function is not summable (infinite memory) and defaults are clustered. Conversely, if the degree of heterogeneity is reduced the autocorrelation function decays exponentially fast, and thus, correlation between defaults is only transient (short memory). Our model is also able to reproduce stylized facts, such as clustered volatility and non-Normal Spyros Terovitis 5 returns. Our findings suggest that future regulations might be directed at improving publicly available information, reducing the relative heterogeneity. Hedging against Risk in a Heterogeneous Leveraged Market (with Galanis G., Karlis A., & Turner M.) This paper focuses on the use of interest rates as a tool for hedging against the default risk of heterogeneous hedge funds (HFs) in a leveraged market. We assume that the banks study the HFs survival statistics in order to compute default risk and hence the correct interest rate. The emergent non-trivial (heavy-tailed) statistics observed on the aggregate level, prevents the accurate estimation of risk in a leveraged market with heterogeneous agents. Moreover, we show that heterogeneity leads to the clustering of default events and constitutes thus a source of systemic risk. Last updated: March 19, 2016