DISABILITY AND POVERTY IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES D a n i el M o n t Le o n a rd Ch e shire D i s abilit y a n d In c l usive D eve lopment Ce n t re UCL Ja n ua r y 17 , 2 01 3 WHAT ARE DISABILIT Y AND POVERT Y? DISABILITY POVERTY ? ? DISABILITY POVERTY The ability to be a full member of society HOW DO WE MEASURE THESE? DISABILITY ? POVERTY ? OFTEN DISABILIT Y MEASUREMENT IS POOR AND/OR NOT STANDARDIZED Country United States Canada Brazil Ethiopia Chile India Census Rate of Disability 19.4 18.5 14.5 3.8 2.2 2.1 HOW SHOULD WE MEASURE DISABILIT Y? DISABILITY Impairments Difficulties in undertaking basic activities – e.g., walking, seeing, hearing, remembering, communicating Environment OVERALL PREVALENCE Region World High Income Countries Percent with moderate or severe disability 15.3 15.4 Africa Americas South East Asia European Eastern Mediterranean Western Pacific 15.3 14.1 16.0 16.4 14.0 15.0 Source: WHO/World Bank World Report on Disability 2011 AS INCOME RISES… Factors decreasing disability Better nutrition Better health care Safer living and working conditions More accessible environments Better access to rehabilitation Factors increasing disability Increased life expectancy People surviving previously fatal injuries and diseases “We are in transition to a world where disability is the dominant concern as opposed to premature death” Christopher Murray, Global Burden of Disease Study 2012 MEASURING POVERT Y Consumption expenditures associated with minimum standard of living Income a poor measure in developing countries because of home production, bartering, and lack of records Asset indices Easier to measure, harder to hide Multidimensional measures Degree of deprivation in key areas, such as education, health, living arrangements, sanitation, etc. EMPIRICAL RELATION BET WEEN DISABILIT Y AND POVERT Y Study of 15 developing countries using the World Health Survey (Mitra, Posarac, and Vick 2011) High quality data on disability based on functionality Data on poverty indicators Often sources do not have both types of data. DISABILIT Y AND POVERT Y Asset Indicators Disability higher in the bottom quintile in 11 countries (statistical significance in 5) Consumption (excluding health expenditures) Poverty significantly higher among disabled people in 4 countries Multi-Dimensional Indicators Average deprivations higher among disabled people in 11 of 14 countries Number of deprivations – Employment, Education, Per Capita Expenditures, Health Ratio, Electricity, Water, Toilet, Floor, Cooking, Assets DISABILITY AND EXCLUSION Education Employment Less likely to start or complete education Bigger correlation than socio-economic status or gender (Filmer Less likely to be employed More likely to be selfemployed Employment ratio in low income countries is .82 for males, .64 for females (WHO/World 2008) 51 Country study – ratio of completed primary school is .83 for males, .79 for females. (WHO/World Bank 2011) Bank 2011) PROBLEMS WITH SIMPLE CORRELATION OF DISABILIT Y AND POVERT Y MEASURES Extra costs of disability Medical expenditures, transportation, housing, assistive devices, rehabilitation services, etc. Date of onset Does disability occur in post-earning years, or at least late enough for assets or skills to have been accumulated? Family formation Are disabled people more likely to be living with extended family? Important because poverty is usually a household measure. Link between income and self-reporting of difficulties Higher income more likely to report more mild functional difficulties (Scott and Mete 2008) VIETNAM CASE STUDY 2006 VHLSS has data on functional difficulties Six domains: Vision, Hearing, Mobility, Cognition, Communication, Self-Care Scaled responses: No Difficulty, A Little Difficulty, A Lot of Difficulty, Unable to Do High quality data on consumption Mont and Cuong, WBER 2011 PREVALENCE 15.7% had difficulty in at least one functional domain For technical reasons having to do with vision questions, the definition of disability was changed to exclude people with mild vision problems but no other difficulties Using low threshold – 7.6% prevalence Using high threshold – 3.6% prevalence DISABILIT Y PREVALENCE BY EXPENDITURE QUINTILE Quintile Poorest Near Poorest Middle Near Richest Richest Low Threshold 8.13 7.87 7.53 7.01 7.28 High Threshold 4.19 3.75 3.71 3.10 3.30 ACCOUNTING FOR EXTRA COSTS OF DISABILIT Y Zaidi/Burchardt Methodology (2005) Create Asset Index Regress asset index on income, disability, other explanatory variables Dif ference in assets because of dif ference in costs of disability EXTRA COSTS OF DISABILIT Y Poverty line should be adjusted 11 .5% higher These are estimates of the actual extra expenditures. Expenditures could rise as more services and devices become available. Though presumably there will be extra benefits to those expenditures. POVERT Y RATES BY DISABILIT Y STATUS Characteristic Non-Disabled People Disabled People Adjusted Poverty Line - Disabled People All 15.09 17.16 22.31 Male 14.60 17.46 22.55 Female 15.57 16.94 22.13 Age 5-18 19.29 31.08 36.24 Age 19-40 15.14 24.72 31.42 Age 41-62 9.93 11.90 15.28 Older than 62 14.45 17.01 22.82 Urban 3.61 5.53 6.63 Rural 19.32 21.44 28.09 REGRESSION ANALYSIS Age of Onset Low vs. High Threshold Explanatory Variables – rural/urban, family structure, region of residence, household head’s age and education District Level fixed effects Controls for things like epidemics and natural disasters that can impact both poverty and disability COEFFICIENTS ON DISABILIT Y VARIABLE IN CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE REGRESSION Coefficient Low Threshold Onset before age 18 Onset after age 18 High Threshold Onset before age 18 Onset after age 18 * 99% confidence level -.13* -.04* -.13* -.01 EDUCATION AND EMPLOYMENT Disabled children 41% to 47% less likely to attend school Disabled people work less – especially if disabled prior to age 18 Disabled adults in a household significantly reduce non-disabled children’s school attendance (Cuong and Mont, for thcoming) SUMMARY OF RESULTS Care must be taken in measuring disability Extra costs of disability must be taken into account when examining poverty Age of onset is very important when looking at the impacts of disability Overall, disabled people are poorer and face significant barriers to employment and education