R A N D C O R P O R A T I O N 2 0 07 A N N UA L R E P O R T C O N T E N T S 2 Ahead of the Curve MESSAGE FROM THE CHAIRMAN AND THE PRESIDENT 18 Outreach 22 Staff 24 Pardee RAND Graduate School 26 Donors 34 Advisory Boards 43 Clients and Grantors 46 Financial Report What It Takes to Stay Ahead of the Curve MESSAGE FROM THE CHAIRMAN AND THE PRESIDENT conditions cannot be reliably identified or agreed upon, our recent work on issues of climate change and terrorism risk suggests we can build upon RAND’s more traditional methodologies to give policymakers options even in uncertain times. To celebrate the 60th anniversary of the RAND Corporation, we train the spotlight on several ways in which RAND has worked to explore ideas and challenges that place us “ahead of the curve.” At the same time, we look ahead to how RAND will continue in that tradition. The world does not proceed directly from Point A to Point B to Point C—which makes research on social, national, or global progress more challenging and interesting for RAND. For us, staying ahead of the curve means deepening and broadening our knowledge of progressively more complex problems around the world so that we can help leaders of all kinds rise to their own unforeseen and shifting challenges. In the pages that follow, we highlight several of our research activities of 2007 and take a glimpse of RAND’s earlier work shaping the debate in these same fields. RAND is at the center of a proud analytical tradition of recommending policy options based on the most probable future conditions. Over the past year, we have begun using new tools to offer options even in the face of indeterminate future conditions. Although future RAND researchers spent 2007 helping global health officials confront the threat of a human influenza pandemic in the Mekong Basin. Building upon work for local and state agencies within the United States, RAND researchers created exercises to stimulate cooperation among six nations in the Mekong region who together face a heightened risk of pandemic—an important step toward exposing and addressing the weaknesses of existing global surveillance and response systems. And in the United States—where we have created the most professional military services in the history of the world and RAND researchers have contributed expertise on manpower issues for decades—RAND’s latest work takes on whether and how we should be reorganizing those services for a world where instability anywhere has become a potential global security threat. As we reflect upon the latest in our 60 years as a nonprofit organization helping to improve policy and decisionmaking, we also rededicate ourselves to staying ahead of the curve. We intend to do that by sticking with what’s worked so well over the past six decades. Asking the important questions. Looking to data and evidence for answers. Rejecting partisan ideologies. Developing innovative methodologies and tools. Applying the lessons of the past. Strengthening our grasp of the present. And facing the new challenges of the future. To do this, we rely upon the trust and support of those who value what RAND offers to policymakers and decisionmakers. We thank you for helping us stay “Ahead of the Curve.” Ann McLaughlin Korologos Chairman, RAND Board of Trustees James A. Thomson President and Chief Executive Officer 4 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Focusing on Quality in Children’s Health Care In recent years, the policy debate over children’s health care has focused on expanding access to insurance coverage, either through government-sponsored programs or other mechanisms. After undertaking previous research that showed U.S. adults receive recommended medical care only about half of the time, a group of RAND Health researchers led by RAND Health Associate Director Elizabeth McGlynn set out to determine whether the quality of pediatric care in the United States was as good as it should be. No large-scale study evaluating the quality of medical services delivered to children had ever been conducted in the United States. AHEAD OF THE CURVE Defining Health Quality The RAND Health Insurance Experiment (HIE), conducted in the 1970s, remains the largest health policy study in U.S. history and the only experimental study of how various cost-sharing arrangements affected people’s use of health services, the quality of care they received, and their health status. More than any other study, the HIE shaped the evolution of health services research in the United States and influenced policies for health care financing. In conducting the HIE, RAND developed basic measures of health care quality that are used around the world to determine whether adequate medical care is actually being delivered. To address this information gap, RAND researchers collaborated with pediatricians from the Seattle Children’s Hospital Research Institute and researchers at the University of Washington School of Medicine to conduct a comprehensive examination of the quality of pediatric care, based on medical records of more than 1,500 children randomly selected from 12 metropolitan areas. The results, released in 2007, shocked the medical community. Finding that U.S. children fare even worse than adults when it comes to getting quality care, the study revealed that, on average, children receive care consistent with recommended guidelines only 46 percent of the time. The study also found that quality varied widely according to type of care. Children received 68 percent of recommended care for acute medical problems, but only 53 percent of recommended care for chronic medical conditions, and 41 percent of recommended preventive care. This means children are not receiving recommended preventive care and screening services, such as regular weight and measurement checks to ensure that they are growing properly and are not at risk for obesity; nor are they receiving standard care for prevalent, serious conditions, such as asthma and diarrhea. Moreover, most of the children studied had insurance—suggesting that the results may be even worse if data included the legions of uninsured and underinsured American children. RAND’s earlier study illustrating the poor state of adult care provided a wake-up call to improve health care quality for individuals over age 18. Study author McGlynn says this latest study is similarly refocusing attention on the quality of services delivered to children: “Up until now, most people in the medical community assumed that quality medical treatment was not a problem for children. Our study tells us that’s not true. We need to get health care right for children—and we need to do it now.” Poor quality care is also likely to impose even greater financial burden on an already overburdened system. Chronic conditions such as diabetes and hypertension are on the rise in children, in part due to an increase in obesity levels. Failure to effectively intervene in childhood results in poorer adult health and increased medical spending to address the wideranging health problems caused by unmanaged conditions. But why does such a gap exist between the care medical care professionals know is needed for children and that which is actually provided to young patients? Researchers posit that systemic barriers such as insurance compensation systems, which effectively limit the amount of time doctors spend with child patients, likely play a role, but more research is needed to clarify specific causes and craft effective solutions. In the meantime, study authors note that a critical first step to closing the quality gap is addressing the information gap. With the problem now illuminated, researchers recommend that next steps include a greater investment in health information technology systems, as well as increased attention to documenting and measuring quality of care for children. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 5 6 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 7 A New Division of Labor for Meeting New Security Challenges For six decades, RAND has helped the Department of Defense (DoD) better understand and respond to a wide range of threats and adversaries. Since the commencement of Operation Iraqi Freedom in 2003, much RAND analysis has focused on helping DoD meet the current demands of war. Still another set of projects has drawn on RAND’s unique analytical strength in taking the long view and looks beyond Iraq to ensure that the United States is prepared to handle a range of additional, emerging security threats posed by terrorist groups, nuclear-armed adversaries, and enemy forces equipped to conduct sophisticated anti-access operations. In 2007, a team of RAND researchers led by Andrew R. Hoehn, a RAND vice president and director of RAND Project AIR FORCE, proposed that the divergent nature of new security challenges faced by the United States will require all four military services to rethink the way they are manned, equipped, and deployed. Hoehn, a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy who has participated in all major reviews of defense policy and strategy since the end of the Cold War, says, “Today’s global security landscape presents a new paradigm. U.S. forces are being called upon to perform new missions far outside their normal repertoire, from confronting terrorism spawned by radical Islam to the possibility of fighting new nuclear powers.” The RAND report contends that U.S. strategy for sizing military forces must (a) account for long-term, day-to-day demands of countering terrorism and insurgency and (b) preserve the ability to project sizeable military forces to more than one geographic region at a time. Both requirements are necessary to support long-term U.S. national security goals, but distinctly different patterns of cooperation among the military services must be developed. The report goes on to note that U.S. military forces will need to remain engaged in remote areas of the world, particularly along the periphery of Asia. “The era is gone when strategists could divide the planet into regions where the nation has important interests at stake . . . and where it does not,” the report notes. “In terms of classic geopolitics, Afghanistan and Sudan were beyond the strategic purview of the United States, yet they were the breeding grounds of al Qaeda.” The report recommends recasting U.S. defense strategy to bring America’s defense capabilities into better alignment with the nation’s broader goals. This includes significantly increasing the emphasis on helping to create or enhance stability in key areas abroad. To do this, DoD should consider focusing a much larger proportion of U.S. ground forces on direct and indirect stability operations and accept the risk of shifting some of the burden for deterring and defeating large-scale aggression to air and naval forces. This decision would permit the Army and Marine Corps, in conjunction with Special Operations Forces, to improve AHEAD OF THE CURVE Military Manpower In the 1960s, RAND recommended that the U.S. Department of Defense end the draft and move to an all-volunteer force (AVF) in order to improve morale, retention, and fighting strength. The proposal was contentious and raised concerns about relying on volunteers to maintain a professional military at required quality levels. However, consistent with RAND’s initial analysis, the quality of the force has dramatically improved in the three decades since establishment of the AVF: IQ scores are higher, the percentage of new recruits with high school diplomas has increased, and there are more career personnel, bringing increased proficiency and professionalism to the force. Moreover, the AVF is more broadly representative of the American public, minimizing concerns of prior generations that conscription was implemented unfairly and the burden of military service fell disproportionately on underprivileged groups. their stability-operations capabilities by relieving them of the requirement to provide forces for more than one major “conventional” war. The Navy and Air Force would retain their primary focus on large-scale power-projection operations and would continue to provide essential enabling capabilities for direct and indirect stability operations. Finally, the report cautions that while striving to fix what is broken, DoD should be careful not to break what is fixed. Continued, selective investment in areas in which the United States currently excels will be needed alongside the new initiatives required to address the nation’s emerging security problems. 8 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Smart Rebuilding for a New, Better Gulf Coast In the two years since Hurricane Katrina devastated the Gulf States region of the United States, recovery efforts have proceeded along multiple dimensions: restoring infrastructure, reviving economies, treating emotional trauma. The RAND Gulf States Policy Institute has been a valuable partner in the recovery process, conducting careful analyses of these issues and many others to provide regional decisionmakers with evidence-based strategies for rebuilding communities in ways that will satisfy current and future needs. A AH HE EA AD D O OF F T TH HE E C CU UR RV VE E Affordable Housing RAND’s Housing Assistance Supply Experiment, conducted in the early 1970s and one of the largest single social experiments ever undertaken, contributed to changes in the U.S. housing code that made cash subsidies available to low-income groups. It showed that cash housing allowances benefit the most needy families more and cost less than constructing housing projects. It also debunked concerns that cash allowances would inflate housing costs and showed instead that allowances improve housing quality for recipients while also putting pressure on the overall market to raise quality more generally. A central challenge at the core of broader recovery plans has been restoration of the region’s badly damaged housing stock. Businesses can return, and school and government institutions can reopen, but the impact will be minimal unless workers, customers, and students have a safe and affordable place to live. A 2007 report by Kevin McCarthy and Mark Hanson examined the status of residential rebuilding efforts in Mississippi’s three coastal counties of Hancock, Harrison, and Jackson. These areas were the hardest hit by Katrina, with 60 percent of residences damaged or destroyed. The report provides a comprehensive quantitative assessment of the extent and nature of the damage as well as the progress made toward recovery, and makes recommendations to refocus strategies on specific policy levers likely to have the broadest beneficial effects. “What we found,” notes McCarthy, “is that while a fair amount of residential rebuilding is occurring across the region, construction of affordable housing is seriously lagging.” The study contends that failure to replenish affordable housing has likely slowed the overall pace of regional economic recovery, as it makes it difficult to attract the construction laborers and other workers needed to make infrastructure improvements. While findings indicate that replacement of all housing types is expected to take at least three more years at a cost of more than $4 billion, the study notes the near-term imperative of implementing a balanced growth plan that provides housing for people at every income level. Access to financing appears to be the single biggest obstacle to the residential rebuilding effort. Despite the availability of numerous financial resources—including insurance proceeds, Mississippi Homeowner Assistance Grants, and government loans—gaps in financing remain. These gaps are experienced most prominently by landlords of multifamily rental properties as well as uninsured and underinsured households that suffered major damage. Filling these gaps, the study reveals, would do more to expedite recovery than any other policy action. The report has been well-received and is focusing needed attention on developing policies to ensure that housing is rebuilt both quickly and equitably. But the study’s authors also caution that additional steps are needed to mitigate against damage from future storms. “Rebuilding efforts following the damage caused by Hurricane Camille in 1969 put speed over mitigation measures,” McCarthy notes. “The legacy of that decision can be seen in much of the widespread destruction wrought by Katrina.” Acknowledging that Hurricane Katrina is not the first hurricane to devastate the region, nor is it likely to be the last, the report recommends that reconstruction policies be balanced with stricter zoning regulations and other “smart growth” principles to protect against damage from future storms. Some progress has been made in this regard, and the study points to the Mississippi Homeowners Grant Program, which requires grant recipients to comply with new and stricter building codes, including elevation requirements, and the purchase of floodplain insurance. But such mitigation measures tend to increase the cost of rebuilding, which increases political pressure to dispense with such measures in favor of more rapid and inexpensive construction. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 9 10 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Confronting an Uncertain Future Tackling exceptionally complex problems requires new ways of thinking. Since the 1950s, RAND has led the way in developing many now-famous analytical methods such as dynamic programming, assumption-based planning, and multiple applications of game theory, now used by public and private decisionmakers worldwide. In 2007, RAND researchers used a new analytical method called robust decisionmaking (RDM) to help decisionmakers address a range of complex and uncertain issues, from climate change to terrorism, and craft current policies that are likely to hold up against a wide range of plausible futures. RDM works by using computer simulations to create thousands of possible future scenarios for a given issue, and then using search algorithms, interactive visualization, and statistical analyses to identify current policy options that will be the most “robust” in addressing a problem over the long term—that is, those options that achieve their objectives regardless of whether future conditions turn out as expected. For issues involving deep uncertainty, the approach represents a significant advance over traditional decision analytics typically relied on by policy analysts. Notes RAND researcher Rob Lempert, who has been involved in numerous applications of RDM in recent years, “Traditional decision analytics involve developing policy options based on the most probable future conditions. But when decisions involve deep uncertainty, the most likely future scenario can’t be reliably identified or agreed upon. In such cases, traditional approaches can cause decisionmakers to severely underestimate problems or face surprises down the road.” RDM, on the other hand, embraces uncertainty and allows policymakers to make better decisions by answering a fundamentally different question: “What actions today can best usher in desirable outcomes regardless of what future we face?” In 2007, RAND researchers used RDM to help water resource managers in Southern California tailor their long-range investment plans to better address the potential impacts of climate change. These decisionmakers have to confront the possibility that in coming decades Southern California may face more and more lengthy droughts. But even the best scientific projections about the impacts of climate change and the probability, length, and frequency of droughts contain many uncertainties. RAND’s application of RDM to demonstrate the impact of various management strategies taken today across large numbers of potential computer-generated future scenarios is helping these managers make better decisions to ensure a reliable and high-quality water supply for the future. RDM was also used to help federal lawmakers evaluate the implications of renewing and/or revising the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA), the law passed after 9/11 to provide a temporary federal backstop for property and casualty claims resulting from the massive damages incurred in the attacks. The challenge Congress faced was how to effectively and fairly allocate financial risk for terrorist events which, by their nature, are fraught with deep uncertainties. For example, there are uncertainties about the frequency and types of terrorist attack—conventional, nuclear, biological, chemical, or radiological—and there are uncertainties about the rate at which businesses would “take up” insurance coverage for policy losses under different government interventions in the terrorism market. There is also uncertainty about whether and how much the government will compensate businesses without insurance after any terrorist attack. Using an RDM approach, RAND researchers were able to show how different legislative strategies would perform under thousands of possible futures. The results showed benefits to leaving TRIA intact, but suggested additional consideration be given to planning for unconventional terrorist attacks. AHEAD OF THE CURVE Better Decisionmaking In the 1950s and ’60s, RAND developed the Delphi method, a systematic interactive method for eliciting the intuitive judgments of experts and for building a group consensus. The technique has proven useful in extrapolating informed opinion in the absence of exact knowledge. Its aim initially was to assess the direction of long-range trends, with special emphasis on science and technology, and their probable effects on society. “RDM can help prevent policymakers from preparing for a ‘best guess’ scenario that ends up being a bad guess,” concludes Lempert. “When the future is most ill-defined and unpredictable, an RDM approach can help policymakers take actions today that can positively shape our long-term future.” 11 12 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Strengthening Surveillance and Response The threat of a human influenza pandemic is a top concern for global health officials. During the last five years, more than 300 human cases of an avian flu virus known as H5N1 have been confirmed in 14 countries. Should the virus mutate to permit easy human-to-human transmission, the implications would be grave: In the United States alone, it is estimated that as much as 30 percent of the population could become infected, at a cost between $71 billion and $167 billion. AHEAD OF THE CURVE Public Health Preparedness For more than a decade, RAND has provided technical assistance to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services to improve the readiness of local and state health departments to respond to public health emergencies, developing proficiency benchmarks, performance measurement tools, and preparedness exercises that have helped shape Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidance for enhancing state preparedness plans. In July 2005, RAND conducted a series of public health exercises for the state of Georgia to help officials from a range of agencies refine and strengthen collaborative processes for responding to a public health emergency. Weeks later, Hurricanes Katrina and Rita hit the Gulf States region of the United States, causing thousands of fleeing victims to seek safety within Georgia’s borders. Georgia health officials cited the RAND-led exercises as a significant contributor to successful management and care of 70,000 evacuees who fled to Georgia for safety. In response to this threat, a substantial body of RAND research has focused on strategies for strengthening public health response systems both at home and abroad to prepare for a possible human influenza pandemic. In 2007, RAND researchers published a practical framework for improving the United States’ global influenza surveillance system, a key first line of defense against a pandemic, and conducted simulation exercises for a consortium of six Asian nations uniquely vulnerable to an outbreak and another consortium of three Middle Eastern countries (Israel, Jordan, and Palestine) to test the effectiveness of their existing detection, monitoring, and containment plans. Effective pandemic preparedness requires a comprehensive and reliable early detection system. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) plays an important role in human influenza surveillance both domestically and worldwide. To strengthen HHS surveillance policy and better manage resource allocation, a multidisciplinary RAND team conducted a yearlong investigation into best methods for detecting early cases of influenza illness that have the propensity to become pandemic. The study examined disease surveillance in a much broader and more systematic way than has been done before, with particular emphasis on identifying new strategies for surveillance that are unconstrained by traditional public health approaches. The findings set forth 16 specific strategies for improving surveillance that range from using new sources of disease information (e.g., the community, the electronic media, and nongovernmental organizations) to seeking new surveillance signals (e.g., disease events among persons who do not or cannot seek clinical services). The study also recommends the formation of strategic partnerships—with other U.S. government agencies, international organizations, foreign laboratory networks, foreign development agencies, and a range of nongovernmental organizations—as a key approach to improving global surveillance. Through strategic partnerships, HHS can extend its reach, potentially at little or no additional cost, and thus optimally direct its own resources while leveraging partners to help produce even greater improvements in surveillance globally. The RAND team combined these findings into a unique interactive tool to be used by surveillance agencies in evaluating which combination of strategies will help to improve the chances that a case of disease is accurately detected and confirmed by a reference laboratory, and to reduce the time it takes to do so. Benefits of the interactive tool include more effective policymaking and also more efficient resource allocation. In 2007, RAND researchers also contributed to non-U.S. pandemic preparedness efforts by conducting a series of simulation exercises for members of the Mekong Basin Disease Surveillance Network (MBDS)—the Kingdom of Cambodia, the People’s Republic of China, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, the Union of Myanmar, the Socialist Republic of Vietnam, and the Kingdom of Thailand. With large numbers of people and animals crossing shared borders each day, these countries face heightened risks of an outbreak. The RAND-developed tabletop exercise, the first of its kind, tested MBDS systems for responding to a plausible pandemic threat. The exercise helped to expose gaps and weaknesses in existing surveillance and response systems and helped foster collaboration among health officials in each nation. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 13 14 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 15 The Impact and Promise of No Child Left Behind Under the No Child Left Behind Act of 2001 (NCLB), schools are held accountable for ensuring that all students reach proficiency on state assessments by 2013–14. In 2007, RAND released a series of studies evaluating various aspects of NCLB including implementation of its many requirements, effects on student achievement and teacher quality, and the impact of options afforded parents of children attending low-performing schools. The results give NCLB mixed reviews and are helping educators and federal policymakers better understand NCLB’s impact and limitations and chart a course for revision and improvement of the law. In one study, researchers looked at schools’ progress in implementing NCLB’s accountability provisions. They found that most states, districts, and schools had met accountability requirements and 75 percent of schools were making adequate yearly progress toward proficiency in math and reading. However, because NCLB allows states to define “proficiency” differently, a student deemed to be proficient in one state might be considered not proficient in another. The same is true for schools and districts. Without national proficiency standards, children in states that have lower standards are at risk of being left behind, even as NCLB’s provisions are being implemented and adhered to. Moreover, many schools report needing greater assistance in fulfilling NCLB’s requirements when it comes to serving students with special needs, such as those with disabilities and limited English proficiency. Researchers also aimed to identify factors that enhance the implementation of its standards-based accountability systems, encourage positive changes in teaching practices, and improve student achievement. Researchers learned that educators found implementation of the law difficult: Superintendents cited inadequate funding; principals cited insufficient staff time to meet administrative responsibilities; teachers reported insufficient time for instruction and planning. And large majorities of teachers reported being hindered by the wide range of student abilities in their classes, students’ lack of basic skills, inadequate parental support, and absenteeism and tardiness. NCLB implicitly challenges teachers to promote high achievement despite these conditions, but most teachers considered the expectation unrealistic. Teachers also cite as unfair the fact that “adequate yearly progress” in test scores is defined in terms of grade-level proficiency rates rather than individual-level progress over time, thus failing to give credit for learning gains promoted by teachers at all points along the scoring spectrum. To address such concerns, researchers recommend improving alignment among standards, tests, and curriculum; providing educators with professional development assistance; and exploring more accurate ways to measure performance. They also recommend the federal government explore different types of metrics that take improvement into account across the distribution of achievement. AHEAD OF THE CURVE Gauging Educational Reform RAND Education innovated the practice of rigorous, independent evaluations of school reform programs. In one early study in the 1970s, RAND examined nearly 300 reform efforts in 18 states and found that most reform programs had no lasting effect. Lasting change depended not so much on a program’s content but on its implementation, particularly on the active commitment of district leaders, including the superintendent and school principals. The Change Agent study, as it came to be called, is credited with introducing the “implementation perspective” into the public policy debate on education. RAND also evaluated whether NCLB’s two options for parents whose children attend schools making inadequate progress work to improve achievement. Option 1 is the opportunity to transfer a child to a higher-performing school. Option 2 is the opportunity for low-income parents to enroll the child in supplemental educational services, such as tutoring, remediation, or other academic instruction. Researchers found that Option 2 did have a significant positive effect on reading and math achievement scores in the district studied, and they recommend ways to support this option and make it more available to students. They did not find an achievement effect associated with Option 1, but the number of participants in most districts was quite small, making it difficult to conclusively assess its effects. 16 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Counterinsurgency for a New Era For five decades, RAND analysts have studied insurgencies and counterinsurgency (COIN) operations to create a detailed body of expert knowledge on the patterns and techniques of counterinsurgency, the effective organizational and operational approaches for successful campaigns, and the unique political and psychological tactics involved in COIN operations. As insurgent threats evolve and assume new forms, the United States must also evolve in its ability to counter potentially prolonged threats in several parts of the world. New RAND analyses on COIN published in 2007 are helping policymakers at the highest level of government better understand and craft responses to the insurgencies currently faced by the United States in Iraq and Afghanistan, as well as those it is likely to face in the future. AHEAD OF THE CURVE Countering Insurgencies In 1962, RAND convened the Symposium on Counterinsurgency in Washington, D.C., to bring together those with firsthand experience of guerrilla and counterguerrilla warfare to build a comprehensive body of expert knowledge. The subjects discussed included patterns and techniques of counterinsurgency, effective organizational and operational approaches, political action, psychological warfare, intelligence and counterintelligence, and requirements for victory. One year later, RAND consultant David Galula published his groundbreaking treatise, Pacification in Algeria, which reconstructs the French response to Algeria’s nationalist uprising. Galula’s theories on counterinsurgency and pacification, and his observations on the political, psychological, and military aspects of the Algerian war, challenged conventional COIN theories of the day and present approaches for predicting, managing, and resolving insurgent conflict that bear especial relevance for present-day COIN operations. In one report, researchers examine six historical COIN campaigns from the 19th and 20th centuries and draw lessons learned to help current and future leaders avoid repeating prior mistakes and to build a foundation for developing contemporary COIN strategy. The historical operations studied were selected for their varied characteristics relating to geography, historical era, outcome, type of insurgency, and the level of U.S. or foreign involvement, and include the Philippines (1899–1902), Algeria (1954–1962), Vietnam (1959–1972), El Salvador (1980–1992), Jammu and Kashmir (1947– present), and Colombia (1963–present). Within each case study, researchers focused on specific issues such as the counterinsurgents’ ability to innovate and adapt, the need to develop an approach for recognizing threats, and the tactics employed for confronting the insurgencies. From this, they identify which tactics, techniques, and procedures led to success and which to failure. In another comparative analysis, RAND takes a closer look at the recently successful stability operations led by Australia in the Solomon Islands. When crime, corruption, and escalating militia violence in the small island nation threatened to topple government control, Australia organized the Regional Assistance Mission to Solomon Islands (RAMSI) to provide support in reestablishing order and to help rebuild the violencetorn civil society. With only several weeks to prepare, RAMSI personnel arrived to the Solomon Islands armed for conflict but equally ready to restore peace without using force. The RAND study reviews the successes, and the shortcomings, of RAMSI operations through the lens of broader application to current and future counterinsurgency efforts. It highlights as the primary hallmarks of RAMSI’s success the effective orchestrating of intragency capabilities, the ability to capitalize on multinational resources, and gaining the moral and operational high ground in the conflict. A third study looks at current U.S. COIN strategy, which relies heavily on the employment of American military force to deal with radical Islamic insurgents, and recommends an alternative approach that places cognitive abilities and indigenous capabilities at the center of U.S. efforts. The author argues that traditional COIN tactics used by the United States and its allies today are, and will continue to be, ineffective against modern insurgencies that are increasingly decentralized, geographically dispersed, and located within an urban landscape that includes innocent civilians as well as militants. Gaining the upper hand against globalized insurgencies calls for greater investment in brain power, decisionmaking, and better utilization of the tools of the information age. With a two-part plan that focuses on developing institutional conditions conducive to smarter COIN and implementing measures designed to develop key cognitive abilities in soldiers, police, diplomats, aid providers, and others engaged in COIN, the author proposes a future where COIN and stability operations succeed with brains, not just brawn. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 17 18 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T OUTREACH Improving the Quality of the Policy Debate RAND’s commitment to making a difference means that the scholarly objectives of expanding knowledge, illuminating issues, and developing new ideas are important means rather than ends. Communicating our research findings to decisionmakers who can use them is an essential part of RAND’s mission. In 2007, our dissemination activities were impressively broad, yet effectively targeted to influential decisionmakers capable of using our findings to inform their decisions and influence positive change. Advising Senior Executive Branch Officials. RAND researchers conducted numerous briefings for top military and civilian leadership on issues of geopolitics and global security; intelligence policy; military force structure; logistics and infrastructure; personnel, training, and health; and acquisitions and technology. In addition, RAND researchers • briefed White House leadership on findings from a study on counterinsurgency efforts in Afghanistan; • helped senior staff from the State Department, the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and other offices and agencies assess the strategic and operational challenges posed by Iran and evaluate options for meeting those challenges; • briefed senior officials in the Department of Homeland Security on issues including passenger rail security; • briefed Department of Veterans Affairs officials on issues related to post-traumatic stress disorder; • made presentations to the Secretary of Education, other U.S. Department of Education officials, and numerous state education officials on the impacts of No Child Left Behind. 1946 The First Satellite Design > More than 11 years before Sputnik, RAND released its first report while still at Douglas Aircraft, Preliminary Design of an Experimental WorldCircling Spaceship. At the time, it was the most comprehensive engineering study of the nutsand-bolts realities of a satellite spacecraft. Informing Congress. RAND delivers research findings and lends analytical expertise to Congress to help legislators make better-informed decisions about the nation’s many challenges. • RAND researchers testified before Congress on 28 occasions, contributing objective analysis to debates on issues such as the federal role in supporting alternative energy investment, renewal of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act, and understanding terrorist ideology. • RAND convened dozens of bipartisan briefings to discuss findings on issues at the top of the legislative agenda, including challenges facing the global supply chain, the impact of the State Children’s Health Insurance Program on children’s quality of life, and challenges for U.S.–China relations. • Electronic newsletters customized for a congressional audience are delivered monthly to present research findings relevant to timely policy debates on Capitol Hill. 2 0 0 7 Supporting State and Local Decisionmaking. RAND research was also presented to a significant number of senior officials at state and local levels. • • • • Research from the RAND Gulf States Policy Institute on Hurricane Katrina’s impact on school attendance and test scores was briefed to Louisiana state officials, as were findings from a separate analysis of Louisiana’s hurricane protection and coastal restoration planning. Findings that exposed the lagging pace at which affordable housing is being rebuilt in the most damaged coastal counties in Mississippi were also briefed widely among regional public and private stakeholders in Mississippi. In California, researchers briefed lawmakers and other senior state officials on a range of top issues, including improving the seismic safety of hospitals and the adequacy and efficiency of preschool education. In Pennsylvania, researchers provided senior state and county officials with the first data available about the fiscal impact and cost savings of an innovative mental health courts program. Findings about the impact on academic performance of afterschool tutoring programs in Pittsburgh’s public school system reached the district superintendent, local foundations, and supplemental services providers. Findings from several 2007 RAND Health studies were requested by a number of state legislatures and state and local public health agencies to help inform policy debate about enhancing vaccination coverage among adults and promoting evidencebased falls prevention strategies. Briefing International Decisionmakers. In addition to the outreach conducted by RAND Europe and the RAND-Qatar Policy Institute to brief their respective policy communities on issues of regional importance, RAND staff regularly engage with senior policymakers outside the United States to lend insights on matters of international interest. 1948 The JOHNNIAC > When the need for solutions to complex analytic studies outstripped the computing power of the time, RAND decided to build its own computer. Named after mathematician John von Neumann, the JOHNNIAC was one of the first mainframe computers with stored memory. R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T • RAND’s acclaimed research on strategies to help a Palestinian state succeed once a final status accord is reached was briefed to former U.K. Prime Minister Tony Blair, now Special Envoy for the Quartet on the Middle East. • Findings from The Beginner’s Guide to NationBuilding were briefed to the World Bank and the entire staff of the United Nations’ Department of Peacekeeping Operations, and NATO distributed copies of the report to 50 top staff members on the ground in Afghanistan. • RAND Europe’s research on detecting fraud and error in the U.K. social security system formed the basis of a World Bank distance-learning module that is being used to train Bank clients and staff worldwide on social security fraud issues. Reaching Private-Sector Decisionmakers. Increasingly, RAND findings are being discussed with senior executives in the corporate world. Notable examples in 2007 include • numerous briefings by researchers to senior insurance industry leaders on matters related to public–private risk allocation for catastrophes; • presentations to major shopping mall owners on strategies for safeguarding their properties against terrorism; • a conference for commercial logistics professionals to discuss issues confronting the global supply chain; • a meeting among Silicon Valley information technology executives to explore the impact of cyber crime on U.S. businesses; • recent work by the RAND Gulf States Policy Institute on economic revitalization and organizing public–private partnerships, which was briefed extensively to business interests in New Orleans. 1950 Seminal Study of the Soviet Union > RAND pioneered the field of Soviet studies, beginning in 1950 with The Operational Code of the Politburo by Nathan Leites, which probed the political strategy of Bolshevism and aided the United Nations’ armistice-negotiating team in Korea. 19 20 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T OUTREACH Enriching the Public Debate An important part of RAND’s public service mission is to enrich the quality of public debate on top policy issues. We strive to disseminate the findings from our objective, high-quality analyses to as broad an audience as possible through coverage by news outlets around the world; through commentary by RAND researchers; and via our Web site, which provides a portal for exploring RAND’s library of knowledge. A Public Resource Sharing Findings Through Media In 2007, findings from RAND research were made publicly available in more than 1,000 published reports and documents. The majority of these materials, along with over 10,000 other RAND documents published since 1946, are available on RAND’s Web site for free download. Altogether, more than four million copies of RAND publications were downloaded from www.rand. org in 2007. RAND also introduced 67 RSS feeds to deliver RAND content from across five categories—featured research, featured projects, news and events, hot topics, and bookstore releases—to policy observers desiring the latest updates on RAND findings. This expands RAND’s current offerings of subscription services, which include the RAND News Bulletin, a monthly electronic newsletter of broad public interest that delivers news of the latest RAND findings and analyses, and the quarterly RAND Review, RAND’s flagship periodical, which covers big policy issues with an eye for the important details. In 2007, more than 2,700 individual media reports featuring RAND research or researchers were published or broadcast by newspapers, magazines, news services, and television and radio networks around the world. Studies published in 2007 that received the heaviest news coverage included analyses of (1) the poor quality of pediatric health care; (2) the safety risks posed by senior drivers; (3) racial patterns among pedestrian stops made by New York City police officers; (4) the academic achievement of students enrolled in privately run public schools in Philadelphia; and (5) the ability of California hospitals to meet deadlines for new seismic safety standards. 1952 Cost Analysis and Logistics > RAND produced the first program-based budget for the Air Force and developed the basic concepts of total force cost analysis. RAND researchers also inform public debate via published op-ed commentaries. In 2007, more than 70 op-eds were published in influential media outlets including the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, Financial Times, The Guardian, and the International Herald Tribune. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T These commentaries provided timely, reasoned assessments of issues ranging from mounting ethnic tensions in Turkey’s and Afghanistan’s increasing civil strife to strategies for easing urban traffic congestion and planning for the consequences of our aging population. Providing a Forum for Public Engagement RAND hosted a variety of events in 2007 to inform the public debate on a broad spectrum of top policy problems. Policy Forums in Los Angeles, Washington, D.C., and Pittsburgh brought together RAND experts with prominent local policymakers and preeminent thinkers to discuss and debate nation-building in Iraq and beyond; the impact and promise of the No Child Left Behind Act; strategies for helping youth exposed to violence; America’s obesity epidemic; efforts to sustain the nonprofit arts sector in U.S. urban centers; new responses to homelessness; challenges in funding public transportation; and more. RAND also hosted lectures by visiting dignitaries including Admiral Thad W. Allen, Commandant of the U.S. Coast Guard, who addressed concerns regarding port security and how the service is preparing to deliver effective emergency response in the wake of natural disasters like Hurricane Katrina. 1954 Selection and Use of Strategic Air Bases > The report by a team led by Albert Wohlstetter shook the foundation of nuclear deterrence policy by shifting the United States from a first-strike to a secondstrike posture. It suggested placing air bases closer to the United States and relying on long-range bombers and aerial refueling aircraft, eventually saving the Air Force billions of dollars. 73735 737 35 02965 98859 33666 81666 45963 45963 58303 23851 62570 26440 78134 78134 90708 27965 64775 20422 63873 63873 20025 62394 78428 05720 15838 89793 78155 16381 75002 47174 34378 22466 66207 80827 76866 08730 81978 11698 53867 14330 56522 57323 99314 37797 99982 84543 77757 80871 30500 27601 87442 54043 32792 28220 62686 50033 46176 87989 12444 44711 14021 42391 72248 71840 1955 A Million Random Digits with 100,000 Normal Deviates > The book is still the largest source of random digits and normal deviates used by statisticians, physicists, poll takers, lottery administrators, and quality control engineers. 21 22 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T RAND Staff Approximately 1,600 people from more than 45 countries work at RAND, representing diversity in work experience; political and ideological outlook; race, gender, and ethnicity; and academic training. This diversity reinforces RAND’s core values of quality and objectivity by promoting creativity, deepening understanding of the practical effects of policy, and ensuring multiple viewpoints and perspectives. Most staff work at RAND’s three principal U.S. locations: Santa Monica, California; Arlington, Virginia; and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Others operate from the RAND Gulf States Policy Institute located in Jackson, Mississippi and New Orleans, Louisiana; RAND Europe in Cambridge, UK; and the RAND-Qatar Policy Institute in Doha, Qatar. To provide the comprehensive expertise needed to fully address public policy issues, RAND hires staff from a variety of disciplines. Our researchers represent nearly every academic field and profession, from engineering and behavioral science to medicine and economics. Management March 2008 James A. Thomson President and Chief Executive Officer Michael D. Rich Executive Vice President Vivian J. Arterbery Corporate Secretary Barry Balmat Director, Pittsburgh Office Susan Bodilly Director, RAND Education Robert H. Brook Vice President and Director, RAND Health Lynn Davis Director, Washington Office Richard Fallon Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Jonathan Grant President, RAND Europe Eugene C. Gritton Vice President, RAND National Security Research Division Director, RAND National Defense Research Institute Political science and international relations 13% Social sciences 7% Andrew Hoehn Arts and letters 5% Vice President and Director, RAND Project AIR FORCE Patrick Horrigan Policy analysis 7% Behavioral sciences 11% Physical sciences 4% No degree 1% Vice President and Director, Office of Services Jeff Isaacson Vice President, Army Research Division Director, RAND Arroyo Center Arie Kapteyn Director, RAND Labor and Population Law and business 11% Math operations research, and statistics 9% Fred Kipperman Acting Director, RAND Institute for Civil Justice Debra Knopman Computer sciences 3% Life sciences 7% Vice President and Director, RAND Infrastructure, Safety, and Environment Lindsey C. Kozberg Vice President for External Affairs Engineering 10% Economics 12% Adele R. Palmer Vice President, Staff Development and Management Office Chair, Research Staff Management Department Karen Treverton Special Assistant to the President 1957 Artificial Intelligence > The first successful Artificial Intelligence program that used Information Processing Languages (IPLs) was developed in RAND’s Systems Research Laboratory. IPLs were the precursors of popular contemporary languages such as LISP. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T President’s Awards President’s Awards recognize individuals whose work exemplifies RAND’s two core values of quality and objectivity and who have also recently made exemplary contributions to the RAND community, through new business development or fund-raising initiatives, outstanding outreach and dissemination efforts, or effective participation in internal activities aimed at improving the efficiency of our research environment. Made possible by the generosity of donors to the RAND Policy Circle, the awards provide staff with research time and support to pursue activities related to career development or exploratory research. ALLISON ELDER, director of Human Resources, for her excellent general leadership of the Human Resources department, which has facilitated the growth and diversification of RAND, and in particular her contributions to the design and execution of the yearlong review of RAND’s benefits program. GEOFFREY JOYCE, senior economist and Pardee RAND Graduate School Professor of Economics, for his broad and influential research on such issues as prescription drug coverage design and the cost and management of chronic diseases, as well as his effectiveness in disseminating the findings of his research. SUSAN GATES, senior economist, quality assurance coordinator for the RAND Institute for Civil Justice, and Pardee RAND Graduate School Professor of Economics, for her creative leadership of the Kauffman-RAND Institute for Entrepreneurship Public Policy, her numerous contributions to the Pardee RAND Graduate School, and her notable efforts to strengthen quality assurance at RAND. SHERRILL LINGEL, engineer, for her multiple analytical contributions on a wide range of defense issues, ranging from strengthening intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities to improving aircraft survivability; and for her research on the role of homeland security in protecting U.S. coastal waters. JENNIFER GOULD, director of Outreach, for designing and implementing strategies to increase RAND’s visibility as a nonprofit organization, and expanding the reach of RAND’s research and expertise to philanthropic and other important audiences by reconceiving and making substantial strategic improvements to the RAND Policy Forum and Distinguished Speaker event series. MARK LORELL, senior political scientist, for his significant collection of research on strategies and processes for acquiring complex defense systems, both in the United States and other countries; and for his production of numerous reports that are now standard military-history reference sources. STIJN HOORENS, senior analyst, for his serial entrepreneurship in attracting new clients to RAND; for his wide-ranging and insightful research, notably on the effect of low fertility rates and population aging in Europe; and for stimulating collaborations between RAND Europe and other parts of RAND. FRANCISCO (PACO) MARTORELL, associate economist and Pardee RAND Graduate School Professor of Econometrics, for his outstanding service to PRGS as an instructor and a mentor, as well as for his broad research portfolio, which has addressed a variety of education-policy issues in the United States, postsecondary education in Qatar, and military manpower policies. SETH JONES, political scientist, for his internationally recognized research on counterinsurgency operations, especially in Afghanistan; his commitment to extensive fieldwork; and his effectiveness in conveying the findings and recommendations of his research to senior policymakers and in the media. STUART OLMSTED, natural scientist and group manager for the Policy Sciences Group, for his efforts to expand and strengthen the Pittsburgh Office, his research on topics ranging from military health care to regional development, and his role in developing the skills and capabilities of a diverse mix of policy analysts. 1958 Reconnaissance Satellite Systems > Mert Davies and Amrom Katz designed components of the first successful U.S. satellite imagery reconnaissance system. At their recommendation, CORONA satellites took pictures of military targets and returned the exposed film back to Earth in reinforced capsules. By eliminating the guesswork regarding military arsenals of nations around the world, the CORONA satellite program served as a deterrent against the outbreak of war. 23 24 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T The Frederick S. Pardee RAND Graduate School Since 1970, RAND has operated an innovative and respected graduate school specializing in public policy analysis. In 2003, the school received a generous $10 million pledge from RAND alumnus Frederick S. Pardee and was renamed the Pardee RAND Graduate School (PRGS). Today, PRGS is the world’s leading producer of Ph.D.’s in public policy analysis. PRGS takes advantage of its unique location at RAND’s headquarters campus in Santa Monica, California, by combining advanced course work in economics, quantitative methods, and social science methods, including fields RAND helped pioneer (such as operations research and cost-benefit analysis), with on-the-job training that provides students an opportunity to work with RAND researchers and clients on interdisciplinary teams. The program is designed to train creative 1961 thinkers to play important roles in solving major problems facing the nation and the world. In addition to engaging in rigorous course work, students work alongside top RAND researchers on a broad range of projects as part of their training. This powerful synergy of theory and practice is unique in American education. PRGS currently enrolls approximately 100 Ph.D. students from more than 20 countries around the world: Almost 30 percent are from outside the United States. Our students’ prior fields of study represent a broad range of disciplines, including economics, social science, physical and natural science, engineering, law, and medicine. The following select student profiles and their 2007 research projects provide a snapshot of the graduate school’s diversity and global perspective. The RAND Tablet > The tablet was one of the first devices permitting the input of handwritten text and freehand drawings into a computer. While limited in its capabilities and far too expensive for commercial use, the RAND Tablet nonetheless showed the way for the PalmPilots and Tablet PCs of today. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Before coming to PRGS, Brooke Stearns was a program officer with Relief International and completed a master’s degree at the Institut d’Études Politiques de Paris (Sciences Po), where she was a Rotary World Peace Scholar. Two of her recent projects include developing and conducting a simulation exercise on failed states for the World Bank and doing a cost analysis on providing antiretroviral therapy treatment in Uganda and South Africa. Brooke coauthored the 2007 RAND monograph Making Liberia Safe: Transformation of the National Security Sector. Sara Hajiamiri completed an M.Sc. in engineering and policy analysis at Delft University of Technology, where her thesis dealt with integrated water management. Her projects at RAND are wide-ranging, including U.S. fuel economy standards and automobile pricing, water efficiency in Colorado, Iran’s energy sector, Mexican immigration and assimilation, and economic development in the areas affected by Hurricane Katrina. She coauthored the 2008 technical report Estimating the Value of Water-Use Efficiency in the Intermountain West. Arkadipta Ghosh is a fifth-year PRGS fellow from India. He recently completed an M.Phil. in economics from the Centre for Economic Studies and Planning at Jawaharlal Nehru University, where he also received his M.A. in economics. One of his recent RAND projects examines the consequences of India’s extensive land reforms. Arka is looking at the impact of land reforms on women’s height, a long-term measurement of health, and also on women’s schooling in rural India. He has learned that land reforms lead to significant improvements in health and well-being for those who experience the benefits of such reforms during childhood and adolescence. Jianhui Hu completed her M.P.P. at Pepperdine University while working full-time as program research coordinator in a health care center for the elderly. She worked for five years in the tax bureau for Yunnan Province in China, where she was named an advanced public servant in the field of policy research. On one of her recent RAND projects, Jianhui helped develop pandemic influenza tabletop exercises in Southeast Asia. She coauthored the 2007 Health Affairs article “The Risk-Benefit Balance in the United States: Who Decides?” Emre Erkut’s interest in the economics and governance of organizations is fed by his decade-long career in investment banking, securities research, and management consulting, and formalized by master’s-level training in business administration at Purdue. Emre is a graduate of Bogazici University in Turkey. One of his recent projects is on mass litigation. The project analyzes dozens of mass litigation episodes in the United States using economics and social science perspectives and methods. The goal is to develop an empirically grounded scholarly understanding of how mass litigations arise, develop, and conclude. The project not only covers personal injury litigations (mass tort) but also emphasizes the concept of “mass litigation” to include environmental, securities, and other litigations of mass nature. 1962 Packet Switching: Seed of the Internet > Paul Baran developed a plan for a communication network that would withstand a nuclear attack. This notion of distributed communications, or packet switching, eventually became the foundation of the Internet. Stephen (Jamie) Gayton earned his M.B.A. from the MIT Sloan School of Management. He is a lieutenant colonel in the United States Army. Jamie recently completed a 12-month tour of duty in Iraq, where he served as a battalion commander in the 3rd Infantry Division, which is responsible for reconstruction and essential services operations. Jamie and his battalion oversaw $300 million in reconstruction activities including sewer, water, electricity, sanitation, security, health, and education projects. Jamie also pioneered a media engagement strategy and an information campaign for neighborhood and district leaders. His innovations significantly improved the life for millions of Iraqis and helped increase security within eastern Baghdad. To learn more about RAND’s other educational opportunities and fellowships, please visit http:// www.rand.org/about/edu_op/ 1964 NATO Force Planning > RAND research starting in the 1960s led to formation of the NATO Defense Planning Working Group, the first NATO contingency studies, the preparation of NATO Planning Guidance, and the NATO Flexible Response defense strategy. 25 26 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Donor Support Helps RAND Stay Ahead of the Curve For 60 years, the RAND Corporation has helped shape sound public policy by staying ahead of the curve—identifying emerging policy challenges early on and formulating effective, practical solutions of enduring value. Philanthropic support is vital to RAND’s ability to best serve the public interest. Through generous contributions of financial resources and the volunteer leadership of distinguished advisors, RAND is able to • support research inquiries into critical policy issues that are too complex, too controversial, or too little understood for conventional client-sponsored research; and • compete in the bustling marketplace for talent to attract the world’s top minds and emerging stars to help us address complex matters for the public good. RAND is grateful to the many individuals, corporations, and foundations that make gifts of financial support and lend us their time, wisdom, and expertise as members of RAND advisory boards and the RAND Policy Circle. The confidence and generosity of philanthropic supporters affords RAND invaluable flexibility as we pursue our mission to make a difference and stay ahead of the curve on the most pressing issues of our time and beyond. 1966 Viet Cong Motivation and Morale > In the mid-1960s, RAND research teams studied the “motivation and morale” among cadres of Viet Cong, the force opposed to the South Vietnam government. Some 2,000 interviews were conducted with Viet Cong prisoners and defectors. The resulting studies identified repression as a vital part of the overall enemy effort to erode South Vietnam government strength. 2 0 0 7 1969 The Future of Cable Television > A RAND study concluded that prospects were bright for the cable television industry under liberalized FCC rules and would not have a detrimental effect on the markets for commercial and noncommercial broadcasting. The work had an important effect on subsequent FCC rulings and permitted the expansion of the cable industry as we know it today. R A N D A N N U A L 1970 R E P O R T Mapping the Planets > Mert Davies became part of the Imaging Science Experimenter Team that specified the image-making equipment and strategies used on the Mars-Orbiter, VenusMercury, and Jupiter-Saturn-Uranus-Neptune space missions. 27 28 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Contributions at Work Supporting Talent President’s Awards. Philanthropic support funds exploratory research and professional development activities of outstanding RAND staff who have made important sustained contributions to RAND and have gone beyond the call of duty in their efforts. (See page 23 for the list of 2007 President’s Award recipients.) Distinguished Chairs. Chairs are held by outstanding researchers recognized as world-class among peers. The research and leadership activities of chair holders are made possible by philanthropic support. Center for Asia Pacific Policy Chair in Asia Policy Research Bill Overholt Distinguished Chair in Health Economics Dana Goldman Center for Russia and Eurasia Chair Jeremy Azrael Distinguished Chair in Health Quality Elizabeth McGlynn Distinguished Chair in European Security Steve Larrabee Distinguished Chair in International Economics Charles Wolf, Jr. Distinguished Chair in Health Care Services Robert H. Brook Distinguished Chair in Labor Markets and Demographic Studies James P. Smith Paul O’Neill Alcoa Professorship in Policy Analysis Nicole Lurie PNC Chair in Policy Analysis Dan McCaffrey Distinguished Chair in Policy Analysis John Graham Investing in Innovation RAND President’s Fund. Unrestricted donations to RAND, combined with fees earned from project work, provide seed money for promising areas of policy research that are often too complex or too little understood to garner support from conventional clients. Some of RAND’s most visionary research has been made possible as a result of private donations supporting the RAND President’s Fund. In 2007, donor-supported research • helped state and local officials in post-Katrina Louisiana and Mississippi plan for the return of evacuees, in areas such as housing and education; • informed decisionmakers about choices affecting America’s volunteer armed forces; • supported the development of innovative research methods, and the application of those methods to health care markets; and • improved the ability of responders to protect the public against terrorist threats, and helped the public better understand those threats. 1972 Pioneering Work on Terrorism > After the massacres at the Munich Olympics and Lydda Airport, RAND proposed a research agenda on international terrorism that placed RAND at the forefront of a new and increasingly important area of research. RAND led the creation of an international network of scholars and government officials responsible for dealing with terrorism. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Major Gifts in 2007 Improving U.S.-China Relations. In 2007, RAND established the Tang Institute for U.S.-China Relations with a $2 million gift from the Cyrus Chung Ying Tang Foundation matched by RAND to create a permanently endowed fund for excellence. The aim of the Tang Institute is to improve policy discussions that shape relations between the United States and China; it will support research and intellectual exchange on a range of critical issues such as currency, labor and trade, direct foreign investment, and the perceptions that each national holds about the other. Cyrus Tang was born in China and came to America in 1950, where he founded and currently leads an international manufacturing and distribution company. Tang has served on the board of advisors of the RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy for nearly a decade and has contributed significant philanthropic support to RAND, culminating in the most recent 2007 gift. Exploring the Benefits of Alternative Medicine. A $2 million gift from the Samueli Institute will help RAND deepen the policy community’s understanding of alternative medicine’s benefits. The gift—together with a match by RAND—will create a permanently endowed fund for excellence to support independent policy research regarding integrative medicine and complementary and alternative medicine (CAM). The Samueli Institute Fund for Policy Studies in Integrative Medicine will support RAND’s capacity to deliver empirical research that can shape the health care system by identifying and evaluating CAM and integrative medicine programs and policies and their contribution to health and healing. Investing in Ideas. In 2007, Anne and James F. Rothenberg donated more than $2 million to the President’s Fund and in support of scholarships to the Pardee RAND Graduate School. Mr. Rothenberg, Chairman and Principal Executive Officer of Capital Research and Management Company, is a RAND trustee, former member of the PRGS Board of Governors, and a leading figure in the investment world. The Rothenbergs’ generous support will foster innovative research inquiries into pressing policy challenges and help graduate fellows in their research pursuits. Mr. Rothenberg asserts, “I support RAND because I believe the institution is situated to address the long-term challenges we face as a nation and in the global community.” 1973 Getting Firefighters to Emergencies Faster > To help New York City firefighters make the most of their limited resources, RAND developed a groundbreaking computer simulation model that showed how to improve fire coverage. The method has subsequently been used around the world for locating critical facilities and led to the development of standards in use internationally regarding appropriate response times for fire incidents. 1974 Improving Computer Security > RAND’s expertise in defense-related computer security issues was extended to the private sector during the 1970s. Willis Ware chaired a government committee that studied the problems arising from the application of computer technology to record keeping about people. This work guided the DoD computer configurations and eventually became the foundation of the Federal Privacy Act of 1974. 29 30 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Policy Circle RAND gratefully acknowledges gifts made by the following donors during calendar year 2007. RAND CORPORATE POLICY CIRCLE Leadership Circle $100,000+ Alcoa Inc. Allstate Insurance Company American International Group, Inc. BlueCross BlueShield of Massachusetts The Dow Chemical Company ExxonMobil Corporation Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Electric Power Research Institute Samueli Institute Farmers Insurance Group/Zurich U.S. State Farm Insurance The Goldman Sachs Foundation Swiss Re America Holding Corporation Hartford Financial Services Group Chung Ying Tang Foundation International Council of Shopping Centers, Inc. United Health Foundation LRN Westfield Corporation, Inc. MassMutual Financial Group Zenith Insurance Company Merck & Co., Inc. The NAREIT Foundation ExxonMobil Foundation Breakthrough Circle $50,000–$99,999 General Motors Corporation AARP GMAC Insurance ACE USA Johnson & Johnson Family of Companies Association of Trial Lawyers of America Liberty Mutual Insurance Companies BP Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company Port of Los Angeles Munich Re America Building Owners and Managers Association International National Association of Realtors The Chubb Corporation Pfizer, Inc The Doctors Company The Real Estate Roundtable The SahanDaywi Foundation TAP Pharmaceutical Products Inc. U.S. Chamber of Commerce Union Pacific Corporation Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Edison Electric Institute 1975 Racial Difference in Income > In a series of studies starting in the mid-1970s, James P. Smith and Finis Welch examined the main drivers of the changing economic status of black Americans from the end of the American Civil War to contemporary America. They report a slowing and unevenly narrowing of the racial gap in incomes. The principal factor that produced the periods of advancement were linked to periods where the schooling gaps between black and white Americans closed and the relative quality of black schools improved. These remain among the most cited references on the economics of race in America. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L Frontier Circle $25,000–$49,999 Capital Research and Management Company Hasan Shirazi Alcan, Inc. CERA Patrick Soon-Shiong Chevron Corporation Civil Justice Reform Group James A. Thomas The Family Connection Partnership, Inc. Cooley Godward LLP Daniel Yun Fortum Corporation Hilb Rogal and Hobbs Freehills Leonie Industries LLC GE Fund Los Angeles Times General Motors Corporation Mortgage Bankers Association Goldman Sachs Horizon Initiative National Association of Industrial and Office Properties John B. Collins Associates, Inc. Piper Jaffray Kansas Action for Children Property Casualty Insurers Association of America KidsOhio.org Lazare Kaplan International, Inc. Liz Claiborne, Inc. Locke Lord Bissell & Liddell LLP New York State Office of Children and Family Services OTEKO (United Transport and Forwarding Company) Thomas Epley and Linnae Anderson Paul and Evelyn Baran Donna C. Boehme The Harold and Colene Brown Family Foundation John M. Cazier Robert A. Clifford Janet Crown Irvin Stern Foundation Mary Kay and James D. Farley Verizon Robert Ferguson Rob Deutschman Arnie Fishman RAND POLICY CIRCLE Rockefeller Brothers Fund Anonymous Siguler Guff & Company William F. Benter State of Missouri Department of Social Services Peter S. Bing Mong Joon Chung Jacques E. Dubois Charles M. and Mary D. Grant Foundation Kip and Mary Ann Hagopian Karen Elliott House Ming Hsieh Jen-Hsun and Lori Huang Susan Hullin Karen L. Katen Spencer H. Kim Discovery Circle $10,000–$24,999 Joseph and Mirit Konowiecki American Chemistry Council The Martin Foundation Bank of Japan Younes Nazarian Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation Anthony N. Pritzker California Hospital Association Tom and Laura Rockwell Californians Allied for Patient Protection Anne and James F. Rothenberg CAP-MPT Explorer $30,000–$99,999 Sonnenschein Nath & Rosenthal LLP Visionary $100,000+ Warburg Pincus LLC Douglas J. Smith DuPont Pacific Business Group on Health Vital Projects Fund Inc. R E P O R T N. Jay Liang Donald B. and Susan F. Rice Maxine and Eugene S. Rosenfeld Leonard Sands Leonard D. Schaeffer 1976 Family Life in Developing Countries > Beginning with the Malaysian Family Life Survey, RAND designed, fielded, and analyzed a series of household surveys in developing countries: in Malaysia, Indonesia, Guatemala, and Bangladesh. Unique for developing countries, the rich databases—which are placed in the public domain—track demographic, social, health, and economic information at the individual, household, and community levels. 1978 The World’s Largest Permeable Dam > A five-year joint effort between RAND and the Dutch government led to the creation of the world’s largest permeable dam—a storm-surge barrier with large movable gates—which balanced the environmental, economic, and safety concerns of the Netherlands. 31 32 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Policy Circle Paul O’Neill, Jr. Paul M. Pohl Paul D. Rheingold James E. and Sharon C. Rohr John J. Rydzewski David Singer Enzo Viscusi The Gail and Lois Warden Fund Jason Weiss David C. Wright Groundbreaker $5,000–$9,999 Anonymous Odeh F. Aburdene Neal Baer Louis L. Borick Gregory Keever Lynn and Douglas A. Brengel Margery A. Colloff Nelly and Jim Kilroy Brad Brian Robert and Patricia H. Curvin Bud Knapp Joseph C. Canizaro Palmer G. Jackson Ann and Tom Korologos Frank C. Carlucci Lindsey C. Kozberg Arthur and Marylin Levitt George N. Chammas John H. O. La Gatta James B. Lovelace Kelly Day Marie-Anne and Malcolm A. Palmatier Santiago Morales Frederick and Linda Gluck Michael K. Powell Hassan Nemazee The Golden Family Foundation Carl Pridonoff Patricia Salas Pineda James A. Greer Jack Riley and Karen Yuhas Lawrence J. Ramer The Hauser Foundation Stanley M. Rumbough Michael J. Shockro Ken Senjong Hsui Gerald J. Sullivan Lucille Ellis Simon Foundation Benny T. Hu Donald Tang Kenin M. Spivak Fred C. Ikle James Q. Wilson Joseph P. and Carol Z. Sullivan Ray R. Irani Charles J. Zwick Suzanne S. and Michael E. Tennenbaum The Robert and Ardis James Foundation Lawrence Zicklin Suzanne Nora Johnson Innovator $1,000–$4,999 Paul G. Kaminski Anonymous Michael B. Kim Mark and Kathe Albrecht Arnold Kopelson Phyllis and David Armstrong Sherry Lansing Charles L. Bennett Woong-Yeul Lee Maurine Bernstein Paul S. Miller Sheila L. Birnbaum Trailblazer $10,000–$29,999 Anonymous Richard A. Abdoo Gale and Jane Bensussen Linda and Brent D. Bradley Jane and Ronald L. Olson 1979 Determining Characteristics of Career Criminals > Multiple RAND studies changed the way people think about “career criminals.” Researchers confirmed that a small proportion of offenders commit a large percentage of crime, making career criminals a national priority, fostering new legislation and focusing resources. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Robert H. Brandow John Lu Thomas R. Brown Raymond E. Mabus, Jr. J. Kevin and Kathleen Buchi Sue Mallett Waldo and Jean Burnside Joseph D. and Jean W. Mandel California Casualty Management Co. Andrew and Jacqueline Caster McCrory & McDowell Louis M. and Jane Castruccio G. G. Michelson The Capital Group Companies Charitable Foundation Mrs. Fred W. Catterall III Joel R. Mogy Alan and Laura Charles Lloyd and Mary Morrisett Gordon B. Crary Tom Murrin Richard J. and Mildred M. Cross Ms. Noël M. Newell Rich and Carole DiClaudio John Edward Porter Jim and Mary Jane Digby Mr. and Mrs. C. J. Queenan Alison and Geoffrey Edelstein William J. Recker Helen and Bill Elliott Vicki Reynolds Pepper and Murray Pepper Eugene J. Ellis Glenn and Jack Ellis Sigo Falk Kenneth R. Feinberg Paul G. Flynn James C. Gaither Lucille M. Goldsen Janet Green Gene and Gwen Gritton John Handy Doris and Ralph E. Hansmann George H. Heilborn Philip and Katie Holthouse Rory Hume Richard Hundley Vicki Huth Elizabeth and Jeffrey Isaacson Stephen A. Kanter, M.D. Tamara Turoff Keough Ann Zwicker Kerr Fred Kipperman and Hien Nguyen Susan Fiske Koehler David M. Konheim Kenneth Krug and Andrea Scharf Philip Lader 1982 Ballistic Missile Basing Alternatives > Project AIR FORCE research on the comparative utility of active defenses and various basing options for the proposed MX ballistic missile provided major input to the President’s Commission on Strategic Force Modernization (the Scowcroft Commission). Debra Granfield and Michael D. Rich RAND would like to acknowledge the following companies for providing matching gifts Greater Kansas City Community Foundation & Affiliated Trusts Hullin Metz & Co. LLC Thomas Lord Charitable Trust Munger, Tolles & Olson LLP Philip Morris Companies, Inc./Altria Siguler Guff & Company State Farm Companies Foundation Voices for Children, Inc. Daniel Rose Gifts were given in memory of the following Louis N. Rowell Jan Butler Henry and Beverly Rowen Irv Cohen Charles A. Schliebs Jim Digby Margaret Schumacher Rosalie Fonoroff Dorothy R. Sherwood Robert Kalaba The Sikand Foundation, Inc. John E. Koehler The H. Russell Smith Foundation Charles Lachlan McKinnon Lucile W. Smith Nancy Nimitz Elizabeth S. Stacey Robert Perry Curtis S. Tamkin, Jr. Hy Shulman Roger S. Taylor Eleanor Wainstein Robert and Marjorie Templeton Susan Way-Smith Darlene and James A. Thomson Albert P. Williams Michael Traynor John K. and Andrea Van de Kamp Helen and Martin Wachs Tracy and Hui Wang Willis H. Ware Faye Wattleton Barbara and Milton G. Weiner Theresa and Charles Wolf, Jr. Gifts were given in honor of the following Karen Jenkins Ray and Lynne Mabus Louise Martin Charles Wolf Linda Tsao Yang 1984 Strategic Defense and Deterrence > Shortly after President Reagan announced the Strategic Defense Initiative, RAND was asked to provide the first comprehensive assessment of how a technically successful defense against ballistic missiles would affect deterrence and strategic ability, the security interests of our allies, and arms control. 33 34 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Advisory Boards Members of advisory boards provide important philanthropic contributions for cutting-edge research and to support and nurture top research talent. The volunteer leadership of advisory board members helps RAND research centers and units frame the research agenda and disseminate findings to influential decisionmakers. Boards include leaders in the public and private sectors who have demonstrated personal distinction, practical experience, leadership, and a commitment to transcending partisan conflicts and political ideologies. LRN-RAND Center for Corporate Ethics, Law, and Governance Advisory Board Robert Deutschman Mary Schapiro President, Cappello Partners, LLC Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, NASD Regulation Inc. Stuart Reese (Chair) General Counsel and Executive Vice President of Corporate Reputation and Governance, Capital One Financial Corporation Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, MassMutual Financial Group Steve Kerr Larry Zicklin (Vice Chair) Clinical Professor of Business Ethics, New York University Leonard N. Stern School of Business Principal, Compliance Strategists LLC Kim M. Brunner Executive Vice President and General Counsel, State Farm Insurance Vice President of Corporate People Administration, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Managing Director and Chief Learning Officer, Goldman Sachs Eric Landau Donna Boehme Ann Cato John Finneran Dov L. Seidman Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, LRN Margaret Sperry Senior Vice President and Chief Compliance Officer, MassMutual Financial Group Kenin Spivak Partner, McDermott Will & Emery Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Telemac Corporation Arthur Levitt Richard Thornburgh Former Chairman, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Former Attorney General and Governor, State of Pennsylvania; General Counsel, Kirkpatrick & Lockhart LLP John Lynch Group Compliance & Ethics, BP plc L. Stephan Vincze John Reed Vice President, Ethics and Compliance, TAP Pharmaceutical Products Inc. Retired Chair, New York Stock Exchange; Retired Chair and Co-CEO, Citigroup, Inc. Allen Waxman Senior Vice President and General Counsel, Pfizer Inc 1985 Costs of Asbestos Litigation > RAND published findings from the first-ever study to examine the costs and compensation paid for asbestos personal injury claims. The study showed that claimants received only 37 cents of every dollar spent on asbestos litigation, with the rest going to defense and plaintiff attorneys’ fees and other expenses. 2 0 0 7 Pardee RAND Graduate School Board of Governors Donald B. Rice (Chair) President, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer, Agensys, Inc.; Former Secretary of the U.S. Air Force; Trustee, RAND Corporation A N N U A L R E P O R T Robert Spinrad Stephanie McGencey-Washington Retired Vice President, Technology Strategy, Xerox Corporation Executive Director, Grantmakers for Children, Youth and Families James A. Thomson Susan Mitchell-Herzfeld President and Chief Executive Officer, RAND Corporation Director, Bureau of Evaluation and Research, New York State Office of Children and Family Services (OCFS) Gurminder S. Bedi Marta Tienda Vice President (Retired), Ford North America Truck Maurice P. During ’22 Professor in Demographic Studies and Professor of Sociology and Public Affairs, Princeton University; Trustee, RAND Corporation Don R. Conlan R A N D Mark Real President and Chief Executive Officer, KidsOhio.org Ken Seeley Retired President, The Capital Group Companies Paul A. Volcker Thomas E. Epley Former Chairman, Federal Reserve System President and Chief Executive Officer, The Colorado Foundation for Families and Children Operating Partner, Francisco Partners David I. J. Wang Gaye Morris Smith Francis Fukuyama Senior Operating Partner, Atlas Holdings, LLC Bernard L. Schwartz Professor of International Political Economy, Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University Faye Wattleton Executive Director, Family Connection Partnership John Gage James Q. Wilson Chief Researcher, Sun Microsystems Ronald Reagan Professor of Public Policy, Pepperdine University Dominic Chan Promising Practices Network on Children, Families and Communities Board of Advisors Mong-Joon Chung James A. Thomson (Chair) Roy Doumani President, Center for the Advancement of Women RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy Advisory Board Chief Executive Officer, Univessence Digital Studios Russell Goldsmith Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, City National Bank Robert E. Grady Managing Director, The Carlyle Group; Member, Board of Directors, AuthenTec, Inc. Pedro José Greer, Jr. Assistant Dean of Academic Affairs, Florida International University, College of Medicine Member of the National Assembly, Republic of Korea Professor of Molecular and Medical Pharmacology, University of California, Los Angeles President and Chief Executive Officer, RAND Corporation Douglas A. Brengel Robert Ferguson Managing Director, Apple Oaks Partners, LLC Chairman and Managing Director, Citigroup Global Markets’ Global Technology Group Lydia H. Kennard Gary Brunk Former Executive Director, Los Angeles World Airports; Trustee, RAND Corporation President and Chief Executive Officer, Kansas Action for Children Chair, ICICI Venture Funds Management Co. Ltd. James B. Lovelace, Sr. Shannon Cotsoradis Ming Hsieh Vice President and Director, Capital Research and Management Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Kansas Action for Children Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent, Inc. Santiago Morales Bill Dent Ken Senjong Hsui President, Maxiforce Inc. Manager, Missouri Community Partnerships; Staff Director, The Family and Community Trust President and Chief Executive Officer, Prince Motors Group Chairman, Mapleton Investments William H. Isler Benny T. Hu Frederick S. Pardee Executive Director, Fred Rogers Center for Early Learning and Children’s Media Chairman, CDIB BioScience Venture Management, Inc. Nancy Martinez Wyatt R. Hume B. Kipling Hagopian Marc Nathanson Investor Eugene S. Rosenfeld President, ForestLane Group Director, Strategic Planning and Policy Development, New York State Office of Children and Family Services (OCFS) Deputy Chairman, The Sydney Institute; Chairman, IMF Australia Limited Lalita D. Gupte Provost and Executive Vice President, University of California Greg Keever Partner, Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP 1987 Chlorofluorocarbons > RAND performed the economic analysis that, when coupled with a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) chemical model of the atmosphere, ultimately provided the policy-analytic basis for the global ban on the production of substances that deplete stratospheric ozone—mainly chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and Halons. 1988 Preventing Teenage Smoking and Drug Use > The most widely used science-based drug prevention program in the country, reaching more than 1.5 million middle school children a year, was developed at RAND. Project ALERT (Adolescent Experiences in Resistance Training) is a nationally recognized substance abuse program that gives students insight, understanding, and actual skills for resisting substance abuse. 35 36 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Advisory Boards Spencer H. Kim Donald Tang Henry A. Kissinger Chairman, CBOL Corporation Vice Chairman, Bear, Stearns & Company, Inc.; Chairman and President, Bear, Stearns International; Trustee, RAND Corporation Former Secretary of State Peter Kwok Chairman, CITIC Resources Holdings Limited Woong-Yeul Lee Chairman, Kolon Group N. Jay Liang President and Chief Executive Officer, Etech Securities, Inc. Robert Oehler President and Chief Executive Officer, Pacific Alliance Bank Michael Tang Cleon “Bud” T. Knapp Chief Executive Officer and President, Talwood Corporation Chief Executive Officer, National Material L.P. Michael Tennenbaum Senior Managing Partner, Tennenbaum Capital Partners, LLC Linda Tsao Yang Chairman, Asian Corporate Governance Association Marsha Vande Berg Anthony N. Pritzker Chief Executive Officer, Pacific Pension Institute President and Chief Executive Officer, The Pritzker Company Daniel Yun Managing Partner & Founder, Belstar Group RAND Center for Middle East Public Policy Advisory Board Zbigniew Brzezinski (Chair) Counselor, Center for Strategic & International Studies Frank C. Carlucci (Vice Chair) Chairman Emeritus, The Carlyle Group; Former U.S. Secretary of Defense; Trustee, RAND Corporation Richard A. Abdoo President, R. A. Abdoo & Co., LLC Ex Officio James A. Thomson President and Chief Executive Officer, RAND Corporation Susan Everingham Director, International Programs, RAND Corporation William H. Overholt Director, RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy Nicholas Rockefeller International Attorney and Advisor to the RockVest Group of Investors & Rockefeller Pacific Ventures RAND Center for Global Risk and Security Advisory Board Odeh F. Aburdene President, OAI Advisors William F. Benter Chairman and International Chief Executive Officer, Acusis L. Paul Bremer Former Presidential Envoy to Iraq Alexander L. Cappello Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cappello Group Inc. George N. Chammas Co-President and Chief Financial Officer, NavLink Inc. Harold Brown (Chair) Kelly Day Counselor, Center for Strategic & International Studies; Former U.S. Secretary of Defense; Trustee Emeritus, RAND Corporation Chairman, The Kelly Day Foundation Founding Partner and Chairman, Alchemy Worldwide Elliott Broidy Chairman and Managing Director, Voltaix, Inc. Chairman, Markstone Capital Group LLC Arnie Fishman Michael J. Shockro Carl Covitz Partner, Latham & Watkins LLP President and Chief Executive Officer, Landmark Capital Chairman and Founder, Lieberman Research Worldwide Eugene S. Rosenfeld President, ForestLane Group Leonard Sands George Siguler Managing Director, Siguler Guff & Company Jacques Dubois Patrick Soon-Shiong Former Chairman, Swiss Re America Holding Corporation Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer, Abraxis BioScience, Inc. Peter B. DeNeufville Guilford Glazer Chairman, Guilford Glazer Associated Companies Tone N. Grant Private Investor Ray R. Irani Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Occidental Petroleum Corporation 1989 Monitoring the Results of Medical Care > The Medical Outcomes Study (MOS) was the first large-scale attempt to measure medical outcomes in terms of how patients feel, function, and perform in their natural environment. In conducting the study, RAND developed a number of brief screening instruments, including the RAND 36-Item Health Survey. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 37 Ann Kerr Fulbright Coordinator, UCLA International Institute Arnold Kopelson Chairperson and Producer, Kopelson Entertainment Ray Mabus Former U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia Paul S. Miller Special Counsel, Kaye Scholer Younes Nazarian President, The Nazarian Companies Hassan Nemazee Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Nemazee Capital Corporation Edward R. Pope Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, DexM Corporation Lawrence J. Ramer Chairman, Ramer Equities, Inc. David K. Richards RAND Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy Advisory Board Private Investor Hasan Shirazi Director, Citi Private Bank Jeffrey DeBoer (Cochair) Donald Ellis Simon President and Chief Executive Officer, Real Estate Roundtable President, The Lucille Ellis Simon Foundation Enzo Viscusi Group Senior Vice President, ENI Americas Ex Officio James A. Thomson President and Chief Executive Officer, RAND Corporation Susan Everingham Director, International Programs, RAND Corporation David L. Aaron Director, RAND Center for Middle East Public Policy Kathleen Nelson Immediate Past Chair, International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) Art Raschbaum President, GMAC RE Pierre L. Ozendo (Cochair) Kevin Scroggin Member of the Executive Board, Head of Americas Property & Casualty, Swiss Re America Holding Corporation General Director, Corporate Risk Management and Insurance, General Motors Jack Armstrong President and Chief Executive Officer, Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Assistant Vice President and Senior Regulatory Counsel, Liberty Mutual Insurance Company Brian Boyden Hemant H. Shah Cosette Simon Executive Vice President, State Farm Insurance Senior Vice President, Swiss Re Life & Health America Inc. Andrew Coburn Richard Thomas Vice President of Catastrophe Research and Director of Terrorism Research, Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Senior Vice President and Chief Underwriting Officer, American International Group Kenneth R. Feinberg President and Chief Executive Officer, NAREIT Managing Partner, The Feinberg Group, LLP Steven Wechsler Ken Jenkins Senior Vice President and Chief Underwriting Officer, Munich Re America Peter Lowy Chief Executive Officer, Westfield, LLC; Trustee, RAND Corporation 1993 Sex Sexual Orientation and U.S. Military Policy > At the request of the Secretary of Defense, RAND conducted research to help formulate an executive order ending the ban on military service of homosexuals. The study found that a policy that ends discrimination based on sexual orientation could be implemented in a practical and realistic manner. 1994 Controlling Cocaine > The RAND study on controlling cocaine provided a powerful argument for increasing U.S. drug treatment programs. It is often cited in the debate on the effectiveness of the “drug war”. 38 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Advisory Boards Donna Saurage Civic Leader, Baton Rouge, Louisiana Vera B. Triplett Assistant Professor, Clinical Director, Our Lady of Holy Cross College Ex Officio James A. Thomson President and Chief Executive Officer, RAND Corporation George Penick Director, RAND Gulf States Policy Institute RAND Health Board of Advisors Joseph P. Sullivan (Chair) Private Investor RAND Europe Board of Trustees James A. Thomson (Chairman) President and Chief Executive Officer, RAND Corporation United States Sir John Boyd Retired Master, Churchill College, University of Cambridge United Kingdom RAND Gulf States Policy Institute Advisory Board Neal A. Baer, MD Kim M. Boyle Robert H. Brook, MD, ScD, FACP Partner, Phelps Dunbar LLP Vice President, RAND Corporation; Director, RAND Health Joseph C. Canizaro Executive Producer, Law & Order: Special Victims Unit Chairman of the Board, First Bank and Trust and First Trust Corporation Ronald I. Dozoretz, MD Chairman, ValueOptions Oliver H. Delchamps, Jr. Mary Kay Farley Professor Sir Lawrence Freedman Retired Chairman Emeritus, Delchamps, Inc. Professor of War Studies and Vice Principal (Research), King’s College London United Kingdom James A. Joseph Trustee, Hospital for Special Surgery, New York; Northern Michigan Hospital Foundation Jonathan Grant President, RAND Europe United Kingdom Philip Lader Chairman, The WPP Group; Former U.S. Ambassador to the Court of St. James; Trustee, RAND Corporation United Kingdom Lord Renwick of Clifton Vice Chairman, Investment Banking, JP Morgan Europe United Kingdom Chairman of the Board, Louisiana Disaster Recovery Foundation John J. Kallenborn President New Orleans Region, JP Morgan Chase Bank, NA Diana Lewis Robert G. Funari Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Crescent Healthcare Frederick W. Gluck Former Managing Director, McKinsey & Company, Inc. Civic Leader, New Orleans, Louisiana Pedro José Greer, Jr., MD Ricky Mathews President and Publisher, The Sun Herald Assistant Dean of Academic Affairs, Florida International University, College of Medicine Alden J. McDonald, Jr. Karen Hein, MD President and Chief Executive Officer, Liberty Bank and Trust Company Immediate Past President, William T. Grant Foundation R. King Milling Vice Chairman, Whitney National Bank John N. Palmer Chairman, GulfSouth Capital, Inc. 1995 The Number of Troops Needed to Stabilize a Country > The most well-known study on the arithmetic of stability operations is the RAND paper Force Requirements in Stability Operations. RAND calculated the troop levels required to stabilize both entire countries and individual cities, and explored the implications of those numbers for deployment, rotation, readiness, and personnel retention. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Susan Hullin Leonard D. Schaeffer Frank Holder Managing Partner, Hullin Metz & Co. LLC Senior Advisor, TPG Capital, LP President, Ferrell Schultz International Suzanne Nora Johnson Sir Maurice Shock Patricia Salas Pineda Senior Director/Former Vice Chairman, Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Retired Chairman, The Nuffield Trust Group Vice President, Corporate Communications and General Counsel, Toyota Motor North America, Inc. Karen L. Katen Chair, Pfizer Foundation Cleon “Bud” T. Knapp Chief Executive Officer and President, Talwood Corporation Paul Koegel, PhD David B. Singer Principal, Maverick Capital, Ltd. Vice President, Liz Claiborne, Inc. Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer, Abraxis BioScience, Inc. Rodney E. Slater James A. Thomson, PhD Associate Director, RAND Health President and Chief Executive Officer, RAND Corporation Joseph S. Konowiecki Gail L. Warden Managing Partners, Moriah Partners, LLC President Emeritus, Henry Ford Health System Sherry Lansing RAND Infrastructure, Safety, and Environment Advisory Board David M. Lawrence, MD Gerald Greenwald (Chair) Steven Lazarus Managing Director Emeritus, ARCH Venture Partners Frank Litvack, MD, FACC Interventional Cardiologist, Cedars-Sinai Heart Center Sir Michael Marmot, MD, PhD Director, International Institute for Society and Health, University College London James A. Thomas Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Thomas Properties Group John K. Van de Kamp Jason Weiss Partner, Terrapin Partners, LLC Managing Partner, Greenbriar Equity Group LLC Harold Brown Counselor, Center for Strategic & International Studies; Former U.S. Secretary of Defense; Trustee Emeritus, RAND Corporation Lovida H. Coleman, Jr. Partner, Sutherland, Asbill & Brennan LLP; Trustee, RAND Corporation Margery Colloff Counsel, White and Case LLP Janet Crown Charles N. Martin, Jr. Managing Partner, JMK Productions Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Vanguard Health Systems William R. Colvin Elizabeth A. McGlynn, PhD Partner, Patton Boggs, LLP Former Attorney General, State of California; Of Counsel, Dewey Ballantine LLP Founder–Chief Executive Officer, The Sherry Lansing Foundation Retired Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Kaiser Foundation Health Plan, Inc. and Kaiser Foundation Hospitals Jane Randel Patrick Soon-Shiong, MD President and Chief Executive Officer, Core Realty Holdings RAND Institute for Civil Justice Board of Overseers Kenneth R. Feinberg (Chair) Associate Director, RAND Health Robert Curvin Managing Partner, The Feinberg Group, LLP Paul H. O’Neill Retired President, Greentree Foundation; Visiting Scholar, Rutgers University Richard E. Anderson Former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury; Trustee, RAND Corporation Ian C. Read President, WW Pharmaceutical Operations, Pfizer Inc David K. Richards Private Investor John J. Rydzewski Managing Director, Christofferson, Robb & Company, LLC 1996 Diverting Children from a Life of Crime > This study measures for the first time the costeffectiveness of intervention strategies for youth at risk of pursuing criminal careers. Three types of interventions—cash and other graduation incentives, parent training, and supervision of delinquent teens—appear more cost-effective in reducing crime than California’s “three-strikes” law. Scott M. Gordon Superior Court Commissioner, Los Angeles County Superior Court Janet Green Investment Advisor Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, The Doctors Company Sheila L. Birnbaum Partner, Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom Brad D. Brian Partner, Munger, Tolles & Olson LLP James L. Brown Director, Center for Consumer Affairs, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1997 Immigration > James P. Smith led the National Academy of Sciences panel, whose report, The New Americans, remains the most cited source in the immigration debate. That report showed the impact of immigration over the next 50 years on the demographic, economic, and fiscal well-being of the United States. 39 40 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Advisory Boards Kim M. Brunner Michael J. McCabe Executive Vice President and General Counsel, State Farm Insurance Vice President and General Counsel, The Allstate Corporation Robert A. Clifford M. Margaret McKeown Partner, Clifford Law Offices, P.C. Circuit Judge, U.S. Court of Appeals, Ninth Circuit John J. Degnan Vice Chairman and Chief Administrative Officer, The Chubb Corporation Michael G. Mills Partner, Freehills Markus U. Diethelm Robert S. Peck Member of the Executive Board, Group Chief Legal Officer, Swiss Reinsurance Company President, Center for Constitutional Litigation, AAJ James A. Greer II Kathleen Flynn Peterson Partner, Robins, Kaplan, Miller & Ciresi LLP Patricia R. Hatler Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary, Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company Sandra L. Phillips Vice President, Assistant General Counsel and Section Leader for Products Litigation, Pfizer, Inc Terry J. Hatter Jr. Paul M. Pohl Chief U.S. District Judge, United States Courthouse Partner, Jones Day Patricia A. Henry Executive Vice President, Government Affairs and Legal, ACE INA Deborah R. Hensler Judge John W. Ford Professor of Dispute Resolution, Stanford Law School Patrick E. Higginbotham Executive Vice President and General Counsel, Farmers Insurance Group of Companies Bruce N. Kuhlik Executive Vice President, RAND Corporation Paul D. Rheingold Director, RAND Center for Middle East Public Policy Partner, Rheingold, Valet, Rheingold, Shkolnik, & McCartney LLP Hamad Abdulaziz Al-Kawari Lee H. Rosenthal Member of the Consultative Authority for the High Council of GCC; Member of the National Council for Culture, Arts, and Heritage Senior Vice President-Worldwide, American International Group, Inc. Dan I. Schlessinger Partner, Locke Lord Bissell & Liddell LLP Senior Vice President and General Counsel, Merck & Co., Inc. Michael Rich (Cochair) David L. Aaron Charles R. Schader Jason L. Katz Her Highness Sheikha Mozah Bint Nasser Al Missned (Cochair) Retired President, California Labor Federation, AFL-CIO United States District Judge, Southern District of Texas, Houston Division Circuit Judge, U.S. Court of Appeals, Fifth Circuit Dov L. Seidman Sheikh Hamad Bin Faisal Bin Thani Al-Thani Deputy Chairman, Qatar National Bank Karen Elliott House Former Publisher, The Wall Street Journal; Former Senior Vice President, Dow Jones and Company, Inc.; Trustee, RAND Corporation Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, LRN Christian Lahnstein Head of the Department, Risk, Liability & Insurance, Munich Re Joseph D. Mandel Vice Chancellor, Legal Affairs (retired), University of California, Los Angeles Christopher C. Mansfield Senior Vice President and General Counsel, Liberty Mutual Insurance Company Charles W. Matthews, Jr. Thomas E. Rankin RAND-Qatar Policy Institute Board of Overseers Hemant H. Shah Independent Member President and Chief Executive Officer, Risk Management Solutions, Inc. Farouk El-Baz Georgene M. Vairo Director, Center for Remote Sensing, Boston University Professor of Law and William M. Rains Fellow, Loyola Law School Neal S. Wolin Ex Officio President and Chief Operating Officer, Property and Casualty Operations, The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. Rashid Al Naimi Vice President and General Counsel, ExxonMobil Corporation Vice President for Administration, Qatar Foundation Richard E. Darilek Director, RAND-Qatar Policy Institute 1998 NATO Expansion > RAND experts on Europe and the Soviet Union recommended expanding NATO to include, initially, Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary. Their strategy involved a gradual expansion, in addition to confidence-building measures and assurances for Russia and other Eastern European countries who were not initial members. RAND’s ideas and analyses were taken up within the State Department and became the foundation for the decision to move ahead with NATO expansion. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T These are the advisory boards for RAND’s federally funded research and development centers (FFRDCs). Air Force Steering Group Arroyo Center Policy Committee Gen Duncan J. McNabb (Chairman) GEN Richard A. Cody (Cochair) Vice Chief of Staff Lt Gen David A. Deptula Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance Lt Gen Frank G. Klotz Assistant Vice Chief of Staff and Director, Air Force Staff Lt Gen Donald J. Hoffman Military Deputy, Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Acquisition Lt Gen Michael W. Peterson Chief of Warfighting Integration and Chief Information Officer RAND National Defense Research Institute Advisory Board Vice Chief of Staff, U.S. Army Ken Krieg (Chair) Claude M. Bolton, Jr. (Cochair) Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics Assistant Secretary of the Army (Acquisition, Logistics, and Technology) John Grimes Daniel Denning Assistant Secretary of Defense for Networks and Information Integration (Acting) Assistant Secretary of the Army (Manpower and Reserve Affairs) Art “Trip” Barber GEN William S. Wallace Director, Assessment Division, Office of the Deputy Chief of Naval Operations Commanding General, U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command Thomas Behling GEN Benjamin S. Griffin Commanding General, U.S. Army Materiel Command GEN Charles C. Campbell Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Preparation and Warning, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence Jeanne Fites Surgeon General of the Air Force Commanding General, U.S. Army Forces Command Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Program Integration, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness Lt Gen Raymond E. Johns Jr. Lt Gen James G. Roudebush LTG Robert W. Wagner Ryan Henry Deputy Chief of Staff for Strategic Plans and Programs Commanding General, U.S. Army Special Operations Command Principal Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Lt Gen Kevin J. Sullivan MG Gale S. Pollock MG Michael Vane, USA Deputy, Surgeon General for Force Management/Chief United States Army Nurse Corps, U.S. Army Vice Director, Force Structure, Resources and Assessment Directorate (J-8), Joint Staff Deputy Chief of Staff for Logistics, Installations, and Mission Support Lt Gen Daniel J. Darnell Deputy Chief of Staff for Operations, Plans and Requirements LTG Michael D. Rochelle Brad Berkson Deputy Chief of Staff, G-1, U.S. Army Director, Program Analysis and Evaluation, Office of the Secretary of Defense LTG James J. Lovelace Mark Schaeffer Deputy Chief of Staff, Personnel Deputy Chief of Staff, G-3, U.S. Army Maj Gen Paul J. Selva (Executive Agent) LTG Ann E. Dunwoody Director, Systems and Software Engineering, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics Director, Air Force Strategic Planning; Deputy Chief of Staff for Strategic Plans and Programs LTG Jeffrey A. Sorenson Jacqueline R. Henningsen LTG Stephen M. Speakes Lt Gen Richard Y. Newton III Director for Studies and Analyses, Assessments and Lessons Learned Deputy Chief of Staff, G-4, U.S. Army Chief Information Officer, G-6, U.S. Army Deputy Chief of Staff, G-8, U.S. Army LTG Robert Wilson Assistant Chief of Staff for Installation Management, U.S. Army LTG John F. Kimmons Deputy Chief of Staff, G-2, U.S. Army MG William T. Grisoli (Executive Agent) Director, Program Analysis and Evaluation, G-8, U.S. Army Benjamin Riley Director, Rapid Reaction Technology Office, Office of the Director for Defense Research and Engineering Nancy Spruill (Executive Agent) Director, Acquisition Resources and Analysis, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics Anthony Tether Director, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency Philip Rodgers Principal Deputy Director, Acquisition Resources and Analysis, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics Gary Bliss Deputy Director, OSD Studies and FFRDC Programs, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics 1999 HIV Cost and Services Utilization Study (HCSUS) > HCSUS is the first comprehensive U.S. survey of health care use among a nationally representative sample of persons in care for HIV. The study provided unique information on the costs of HIV care, barriers to access, and effects of HIV on quality of life, productivity, and family life. 2000 The Societal Promise of Improving Care for Depression > RAND evaluated how two modest, practical programs in typical managed care settings could improve the quality of depression care that patients received and increase the amount of time that patients worked. No other quality-improvement program for any health condition in primary care has shown that kind of positive effect on employment. The programs also reduced ethnic disparities in health outcomes, even five years after the programs ended. 41 42 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Advisory Trustees Peter S. Bing Walter E. Massey Patricia Salas Pineda Gustave H. Shubert 1988–1998; 1999–2002* 1983–1991; 1993 1995–2005 1973–1989 Lewis M. Branscomb Michael M. May John Edward Porter Dennis Stanfill 1972–1982 1972–1982; 1983–1993 2001–2006 1978–1988 William T. Coleman, Jr. G. G. Michelson John S. Reed Charles H. Townes 1972–1975; 1977–1987 1984–1994; 1995–1998 1987–1997; 2001–2006 1965–1970 Michael Collins Newton N. Minow Paul G. Rogers George H. Weyerhaeuser 1979–1989 1965–1975; 1976–1986; 1987–1997 1979–1989 1975–1985 Walter F. Mondale Henry S. Rowen John White 1967–1972 1973–1977 Brent Scowcroft James Q. Wilson 1984–1988; 1993–1997 1994–2004 Donald W. Seldin, M.D. Charles Zwick 1975–1985; 1986–1993 1969–1979; 1980–1990; 1991–1999 Richard P. Cooley 1971–1981; 1982–1992 1991–1993 Harold J. Haynes 1988–1989 Lloyd N. Morrisett Walter Humann 1973–1984; 1985–1995; 1997–2007 1979–1989; 1990–2000 J. Richard Munro Arthur Levitt 1984–1994 2002–2007 Eleanor B. Sheldon 1972–1982 Former Trustees Frederick L. Anderson ‡ Sam Ginn Alfred L. Loomis ‡ Donald H. Rumsfeld 1959–1969 * 1997–1999 1948–1957 1977–1987; 1988–1998; 1999–2000 J. Paul Austin ‡ T. Keith Glennan ‡ Edwin M. McMillan ‡ David A. Shephard ‡ 1971–1981 1963–1974 1959–1969 1959–1963; 1965–1973 Robert F. Bacher ‡ J. Richard Goldstein ‡ Soia Mentschikoff ‡ Kenneth I. Shine 1950–1960 1951–1973 1972–1982 1993–2002 Carl Bildt W. Richard Goodwin ‡ Philip M. Morse ‡ Frank Stanton ‡ 2002–2006 1972–1982 1948–1949; 1950–1962 1957–1967; 1968–1978 Solomon J. Buchsbaum ‡ Philip L. Graham ‡ Philip E. Mosely ‡ Frederick F. Stephan ‡ 1982–1992 1961–1963 1951–1961; 1963–1972 1948–1961 Frank R. Collbohm ‡ Alan Greenspan Harvey S. Mudd ‡ George D. Stoddard ‡ 1948–1967 1986–1987 1949–1955 1948–1963 Mark W. Cresap, Jr. Caryl P. Haskins ‡ Lauris A. Norstad ‡ Julius A. Stratton ‡ 1960–1963 1955–1965; 1966–1976 1963–1973 1955–1965 Robert Curvin Lawrence J. Henderson, Jr. ‡ Amy B. Pascal George K. Tanham ‡ 2001–2006 1948–1971 2000–2005 1971–1982 Charles Dollard ‡ William R. Hewlett ‡ James A. Perkins ‡ Ratan N. Tata 1948–1961 1962–1972 1961–1971 2006–2007 Lee A. DuBridge ‡ Carla A. Hills Samuel R. Pierce, Jr. ‡ Charles Allen Thomas ‡ 1948–1961 1983–1987 1976–1981 1959–1969 Michael Ference, Jr. ‡ Edwin E. Huddleson, Jr. ‡ Thomas P. Pike ‡ Paul A. Volcker 1963–1973 1955–1965; 1966–1976; 1977–1984 1971–1976 1993–2000 John A. Hutcheson ‡ Kenneth S. Pitzer ‡ William Webster ‡ 1962–1972 1950–1960; 1961–1971 Ann F. Friedlaender ‡ 1988–1992 H. Rowan Gaither, Jr. ‡ 1948–1959; 1960–1961 James C. Gaither 1984–1994; 1995–2000 Christopher B. Galvin 1994–2000 1948–1959 Bruce Karatz 1995–2005; 2006 Charles F. Knight 1981–1986 Ernest O. Lawrence ‡ Wesley W. Posvar ‡ John F. Welch, Jr. 1973–1983 1991–1992 Don K. Price ‡ Albert D. Wheelon 1961–1971 1993-2001 Condoleezza Rice Clyde E. Williams ‡ 1991–1997 1948–1963 1956–1958 Walter B. Wriston ‡ 1973–1983 * dates indicate service as a RAND trustee ‡ deceased 2001 Education Vouchers and Charter Schools > Researchers in RAND Education conducted the most comprehensive analysis of the effects of vouchers and charter schools on academic achievement, school choice, access, integration, and civic socialization. Their report, Rhetoric Versus Reality: What We Know and What We Need to Know About Vouchers and Charter Schools, earned respect from all sides of the debate. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Clients and Grantors U.S. Government Department of Agriculture Agricultural Research Service Economic Research Service Department of Defense Counterdrug Technology Development Program Department of the Air Force Department of the Army Biometrics Management Office Department of the Navy Marine Corps Joint Staff Office of the Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense (Networks and Information Integration) Deputy Secretary of Defense Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics Department of Health and Human Services Administration for Children and Families Executive Office for U.S. Trustees Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Federal Emergency Management Agency Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation U.S. Coast Guard Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Centers for Disease Control and Prevention National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Director, Net Assessment Unified Commands Department of Education Department of Energy National Energy Technology Laboratory National Renewable Energy Laboratory Oak Ridge National Laboratory Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 2003 India, Ministry of Defence Defence Research & Development Organisation National Institute of Justice Office of Justice Programs Department of Labor Italian Ministry of Defense Department of State Mexico Secretary of Public Education Department of the Treasury National Institutes of Health Intelligence Community Medicare Payment Advisory Commission Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP) National Aeronautics and Space Administration Ministry of Defence National Cancer Institute National Center for Complementary and Alternative Medicine National Institute on Aging TRICARE Management Activity Federal Bureau of Investigation Adviesdienst Verkeer & Vervoer (Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management) Defense Threat Reduction Agency Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness German Ministry of Defense Department of Justice Director of National Intelligence National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Director, Program Analysis and Evaluation Régie autnome des transports parisiens Maternal and Child Health Bureau Defense Research and Engineering Defense Finance and Accounting Service France Department of Veterans Affairs Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller) Directorate-General for Transport Health Resources and Services Administration National Center on Minority Health and Health Disparities Missile Defense Agency Directorate-General for Justice, Freedom, and Security Department of Homeland Security National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases National Institute of Child Health and Human Development National Institute for Dental and Craniofacial Research National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Disease National Institute on Drug Abuse National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences National Institute of Mental Health National Institute of Nursing Research National Library of Medicine Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration Nation-Building in Iraq > As Operation Iraqi Freedom transitioned into the U.S. occupation of Iraq, RAND began a new line of inquiry on lessons learned from previous nation-building experiences. The first volume in the series, America’s Role in Nation-Building, informed the Senate debate in September during the discussion on President Bush’s emergency supplemental request for Iraq, though few of the book’s recommendations were heeded. Netherlands Sepulveda VA Medical Center Ministry of Education, Culture, and Science National Institute for Literacy Ministry of the Interior and Kingdom Relations (BZK) National Reconnaissance Office National Science Foundation Office of Science and Technology Policy Securities and Exchange Commission National Library of the Netherlands Small Business Administration United Kingdom Social Security Administration Buckingham County Council United States Senate Cornwall County Council United States Treasury Crown Agents Department of Health Foreign Governments, Agencies, and Ministries National Coordinating Centre for NHS Service Delivery and Organisation R&D, UK National Health Service Department for International Development Australian Government Royal Australian Air Force Department for Transport European Commission Health Foundation Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs, and Equal Opportunities Home Office Directorate-General for Health and Consumer Protection Directorate-General for Information Society and Media Ministry of Transport, Public Works, and Water Management House of Commons Science & Technology Committee Ministry of Defence National Audit Office National Infrastructure Security Coordination Centre 2004 Workers’ Compensation > The RAND Institute for Civil Justice’s body of work on workers’ compensation provided a new understanding of the relationship between benefits and wage loss that permits better assessments of the adequacy and equity of compensation systems. The research led to significant changes in the California workers’ compensation system that were adopted with specific reference to ICJ in the legislation. 43 44 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Clients and Grantors National Lottery Commission National Museum Directors’ Conference State and Local Governments State of Massachusetts Federal Reserve Bank of Boston State of New York State of California University of California, Davis University of California, Los Angeles Royal Mail Air Resources Board Federal Reserve Bank of New York University of California, San Diego Transport of London California Children & Families Commission New York City University College, Dublin UK Clinical Research Collaboration Republic of Korea Army State of Qatar Armed Forces Kahramaa (Qatar General Electricity and Water Corporation) National Health Authority Qatar Petroleum Qatar PWA Road Affairs Supreme Council for Family Affairs Supreme Education Council International Organizations Andrew T. Huang Medical Education Promotion Fund Center for European and International Studies California Commission on the Fair Administration of Justice California Legislative Analyst’s Office California Policy Research Center Commission on Health and Safety and Worker’s Compensation Department of Industrial Relations Department of Social Services Welfare Policy Research Projects California City and County Offices City of Los Angeles Los Angeles City Council Los Angeles County Los Angeles County Probation Department Department of Education State of North Carolina Board of Education, CharlotteMecklenburg Schools State of Tennessee Advisory Committee on Intergovernmental Relations State of Texas Department of Transportation University of Florida University of Illinois at Chicago University of Manchester, UK University of Maryland University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey University of Michigan University of North Carolina University of Pennsylvania University of Pittsburgh Colleges and Universities American College of Physicians Brandeis University Brunel University Health Economics Research Group University of Rochester University of Singapore University of Southern California University of Texas System University of Washington Vanderbilt University California Policy Research Center, University of California Foundations Carnegie Mellon University Amgen Foundation College Voor Zorgbervekeringen Annenberg Foundation Columbia University Medical Center Arthritis Research Campaign China Foundation for International and Strategic Studies Los Angeles Unified School District Information Assurance Advisory Council City of San Diego Dana Farber Cancer Institute County of San Mateo, Aging and Adult Services Drew University California Community Foundation Santa Barbara High School District Georgetown University Korean Institute of Science and Technology Evaluation and Planning (KISTEP) California Endowment Harvard University California HealthCare Foundation Medical Research Council Western Riverside County Regional Conservation Authority King’s Fund National Centre for Social Research Mental Health Services Ventura County National Projects Holding Co. City of Cincinnati SIKA (Swedish Institute for Transport and Communications Analysis) Commonwealth of Pennsylvania STIF (Syndicat des Transports d’Ile-de-France) Tatweer Dubai, LLC Vienna International Airport ZonMw—Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development Allegheny County Department of Human Services Allegheny Intermediate Unit Carnegie Library of Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Public Schools District of Columbia Department of Health Executive Office of the Mayor State of Louisiana Louisiana Recovery Authority The Johns Hopkins University BEST Foundation Louisiana State University Agricultural and Mechanical College Carnegie Corporation of New York Makene University, Uganda Casey Family Programs National University of Singapore Commonwealth Fund Northwestern University Ohio State University Communities Foundation of Texas Oregon Health and Science University Community Foundation, National Capital Region Peking University Dartmouth Institute for Security Technology Studies Pennsylvania State Education Association Annie E. Casey Foundation Nelson B. Delavan Foundation Pennsylvania State University John E. Fetzer Institute, Inc. Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey Flora Family Foundation Tilburg University, CentERdata University of California, Berkeley 2005 Cost and Quality Effects of Computerizing Medical Records > RAND conducted the first comprehensive study to quantify the costs and potential health and cost benefits of health information technology. The analysis identified dramatic efficiency savings, greatly increased safety, and identified health benefits. Findings from the study have been cited in congressional legislation and are playing a prominent role in national health care reform proposals. The Ford Foundation 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Foundation of Research and Education of AHIMA Industry Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Accent The Grable Foundation AFEAS Consortium Hartford Foundation Amgen Science Applications International Corporation Howard Heinz Endowment Analytical Services, Inc. Sepulveda Research Corporation District of Columbia Primary Care Association Vira I. Heinz Endowment Bell Canada Stichting Pensioenfonds ABP Energy Future Coalition The William and Flora Hewlett Foundation Berkeley Policy Associates STRATEC Growth & Justice Stratus Consulting, Inc. Highmark, Inc. Conrad N. Hilton Foundation BioReliance Invitrogen Bioservices Jewish Healthcare Foundation of Pittsburgh Blue Cross & Blue Shield of Rhode Island Telomer Consortium Tetraplan A/S Institute for Health Policy Solutions The Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Blue Cross Blue Shield Plus of Minnesota Joyce Foundation Blue Cross of California Aetna Kaiser Foundation Health Plan of Georgia British Telecom Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation CSSI, Inc. W. K. Kellogg Foundation Los Alamos National Laboratory Foundation Cerner Corporation Deloitte & Touche LLP Edison Schools, Inc. Ferring, Inc. PNC Financial Services Group Center for Health Care Strategies Risk Management Solutions College Board Sanofi Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Council for Aid to Education Save the World Air, Inc. District of Columbia Asthma Coalition Transportation Economics & Management Systems Institute of Medicine Japan Marine Sciences Inc. U MAP Consortium Jet Propulsion Laboratory United Health Group Kaiser Permanente United Healthcare Services, Inc. League of Women Voters Wellpoint Health Networks, Inc. Learning Point Associates Westfield Corporation Magee–Women’s Research Institute Zenith Insurance Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center Henry Luce Foundation FMQAI The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation Genentech, Inc. Professional Associations General Electric Company American Fertility Association Richard King Mellon Foundation GlaxoSmithKline American Medical Association Nellie Mae Education Foundation Halcrow Group Ltd. Hallmark, Inc. Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association Health Services Advisory Group Council of State Governments Honda R&D North America, Inc. Gas Technology Institute National Institute for Early Education Research Hugh Gunn Associates, LTD Integrated Healthcare Association National Military Family Association National Electrical Manufacturers Association National Products Holding Company Ohio Association of Chiefs of Police New England Medical Center Hospitals New York City Police Foundation Open Society Institute Oxfam America David and Lucile Packard Foundation Pew Charitable Trusts Pew Memorial Trust Humana, Inc. Industrial Economics, Incorporated (IEc) Pittsburgh Foundation Institute for Healthcare Improvement William Penn Foundation Intel Qatar Foundation International Business Machines Rockefeller Foundation Johnson & Johnson Eugene and Maxine Rosenfeld Family Foundation Ethicon Endo-Surgery Inc. Spencer Foundation Kaiser Permanente Health Plan Ohio Stone Foundation Stranahan Foundation Merck Childhood Asthma Network, Inc. Motion Picture Association National Bureau of Economic Research National Hospice and Palliative Care Organization New Leaders for New Schools Other Nonprofit Organizations Nuclear Threat Initiative AED National Institute for Work and Learning Oklahoma City National Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism Altarum Primary Care Coalition of Montgomery County KRA Corporation American Institutes for Research Qualistar Early Learning American Society of Clinical Oncology Research Triangle Institute Stupski Foundation Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Surdna Foundation Mott MacDonald Group United Way of America National Pharmaceutical Council Arkansas Tobacco Settlement Commission Wallace Foundation Native American Industrial Distributors Walton Family Foundation, Inc. World Bank 2006 Arts Education Collaborative Shelter Partnership, Inc. Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Bipartisan Policy Center Technical Assistance Collaborative, Inc. Organon Brookings Institution UPMC for You Pepsi Bottling Group, Inc. California Children and Families Commission Urban Institute Pfizer Inc Replacing Aerial Refueling Tankers: An Analysis of Alternatives (AoA) > Aerial refueling tankers (so-called “gas stations in the sky”) play a critical role in U.S. military and national security strategy, enabling the United States to effectively deploy air power in worldwide operations, such as over Iraq and Afghanistan, and to operate effective homeland defense air patrols. 45 2007 Crafting a Complex Relationship with China > Several publications added new insights to inform policymakers’ understanding of the evolving superpower. One study examined broad historical trends in Asian geopolitics focused on seizing opportunities offered by China’s growing economy, and warned against taking a Cold War–era approach that overemphasizes military competition. Several other studies examined the most probable flashpoint for conflict between the U.S. and China—the relationship between mainland China and Taiwan. 46 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L Financial Report R E P O R T 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T The RAND Corporation CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION with summarized financial information for the year ended September 24, 2006 (in thousands) ASSETS Current assets Cash and cash equivalents Receivables, net Billed and unbilled costs and fees Other receivables September 30, 2007 September 24, 2006 $ $ 37,555 4,424 Prepaid expenses and other current assets Total current assets Property and equipment Land Buildings and improvements Leasehold improvements Equipment Construction in progress Less: Accumulated depreciation and amortization Net property and equipment Long-term investments Building project fund investments Other assets Total assets LIABILITIES AND NET ASSETS Current liabilities Accounts payable and other liabilities Unexpended portion of grants and contracts received Accrued compensation and vacation Current portion of long-term debt 36,174 27,080 40,968 5,755 4,387 4,729 82,540 78,532 1,334 106,655 15,007 1,334 105,965 14,592 44,626 2,077 169,699 (38,514) 42,982 1,143 166,016 (31,887) 131,185 134,129 205,621 3,600 186,261 5,759 7,475 6,215 $ 430,421 $ 410,896 $ 20,892 20,152 14,352 1,870 $ 27,839 14,724 14,574 1,785 57,266 58,922 Deferred rent Accrued postretirement benefit liability Other long-term liabilities Long-term debt, less current portion 12,776 13,541 3,625 127,105 12,951 12,736 — 125,971 Total liabilities Commitments and contingencies (Note 8) Net assets Unrestricted Operations Designated for investment Designated for special use 214,313 210,580 — 142,893 11,411 — 134,079 9,375 154,304 143,454 23,638 38,166 21,670 35,192 216,108 200,316 Total current liabilities Total unrestricted Temporarily restricted Permanently restricted Total net assets Total liabilities and net assets $ 430,421 $ The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements. 410,896 47 48 The RAND Corporation 2 0 0 7 CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF ACTIVITIES AND CHANGES IN NET ASSETS with summarized financial information for the year ended September 24, 2006 (in thousands) For the Years Ended September 24, 2006 Unrestricted Net Assets Total Unrestricted Designated Temporarily Restricted Permanently Restricted Total Total REVENUE, GAINS, AND OTHER SUPPORT Contracts and grants $ 223,290 $ — $ 223,290 $ — $ — $ 223,290 $ 215,528 8,414 — 8,414 — — 8,414 11,187 Income on investments, net — 6,086 6,086 1,316 — 7,402 5,210 Net realized gains on investments — 6,194 6,194 1,315 — 7,509 8,219 Net unrealized gains on investments — 6,788 6,788 634 810 8,232 2,329 Contributions 7,816 — 7,816 5,687 2,164 15,667 14,683 Other investment income 320 — — 320 486 320 — Transfer of designated net assets to operations 5,820 (5,820) — — — — — Net assets released from restrictions 6,984 — 6,984 (6,984) — — — Total revenues, gains, and other support 252,644 13,248 265,892 1,968 2,974 270,834 257,642 194,605 — 194,605 — — 194,605 185,520 Management and general 56,432 — 56,432 — — 56,432 57,398 Total expenses 251,037 — 251,037 — — 251,037 242,918 Change in net assets before other items 1,607 13,248 14,855 1,968 2,974 19,797 14,724 (3,625) — (3,625) — — (3,625) — — EXPENSES Research Other items: Change in fair value of derivative instruments (Note 7) Adjustment to Postretirement Benefit Liability (other than net periodic postretirement benefit cost) (Note 6) (380) — (380) — — (380) Noncash net asset transfer (Note 2) 2,398 (2,398) — — — — — Remediation related to land sale (Note 8) — — — — — — (5,551) Change in net assets Net assets at beginning of year Adjustment to beginning net assets (Note 2) Net assets at end of year — 10,850 10,850 1,968 2,974 15,792 9,173 — 143,454 143,454 21,670 35,192 200,316 196,599 — $ — — $ 154,304 — $ 154,304 — $ 23,638 — $ The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements. 38,166 — $ 216,108 (5,456) $ 200,316 R E P O R T Fees A N N U A L Operations R A N D September 30, 2007 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T The RAND Corporation CONSOLID ATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS with summarized financial information for the year ended September 24, 2006 (in thousands) For the Year Ended September 30, 2007 For the Year Ended September 24, 2006 $ $ Cash flows from operating activities: Change in net assets 15,792 9,173 Adjustments to reconcile change in net assets to net cash provided by operating activities: Depreciation and amortization 7,327 Loss on debt extinguishment 2,077 — — 1,536 Noncash termination benefits Foreign exchange gain Loss on disposition of property and equipment Permanently restricted contribution revenue 8,237 (249) (188) 136 268 (2,164) (1,629) (15,741) (10,548) 3,413 (1,898) Decrease (increase) in other receivables 923 (2,342) Decrease (increase) in prepaid and other current assets 342 (824) Net realized/unrealized gains Changes in assets and liabilities: Decrease (increase) in billed and unbilled costs and fees (Increase) decrease in other long-term assets (1,148) 3,686 Decrease in accounts payable and other liabilities (6,486) (4,031) 5,428 (3,312) Increase (decrease) in unexpended portion of grants and contracts received (Decrease) increase in accrued compensation and vacation (222) 1,287 (Decrease) increase in deferred rent (175) 3,057 Increase in postretirement benefit liability Increase in other long-term liabilities Net cash provided by operating activities 805 623 3,625 — 13,683 3,095 Cash flows from investing activities: Purchases of investments Sales of investments Proceeds from sales of project fund investments (54,835) (40,570) 51,192 37,790 2,159 16,485 Purchases of property and equipment (4,892) (17,313) Net cash used in investing activities (6,376) (3,608) (33,241) — 34,975 — Cash flows from financing activities: Deposits to bond escrow Proceeds from bond issuance Payments of bond issuance costs Principal payments on long-term debt Contributions restricted for purchase of property and equipment Permanently restricted contributions received in cash Net cash provided by financing activities Effect of currency exchange rate changes on cash Net increase in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year Cash and cash equivalents at end of year $ (826) — (1,785) (2,415) 50 73 2,522 3,629 1,695 1,287 92 116 9,094 890 27,080 26,190 36,174 $ The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements. 27,080 49 50 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T The RAND Corporation NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANC IAL STATEMENTS 1. Corporate Organization: RAND Corporation (RAND) is a nonprofit, tax-exempt corporation performing research and analysis funded by contracts, grants, and contributions. In addition, RAND conducts educational programs that provide graduate training. The consolidated financial statements of RAND include the accounts of a controlled affiliate: RAND Europe, a foundation domiciled in The Netherlands (see also Note 11). All intercompany balances and transactions have been eliminated in consolidation. 2. Summary of Significant Accounting Policies: Fiscal Year. RAND’s fiscal reporting for both financial statement and tax purposes is based on a 52- or 53-week year ending on the Sunday closest to September 30. The fiscal years include operations for a 53-week period in 2007 and a 52-week period in 2006. Basis of Presentation. The accompanying financial statements have been prepared on the accrual basis of accounting in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America and in accordance with the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Audit and Accounting Guide, “Not-forProfit Organizations.” Net assets are classified into three categories according to donor-imposed restrictions, as follows: Permanently restricted—Net assets subject to donor-imposed stipulations that neither expire by passage of time nor can be fulfilled or otherwise removed by actions of RAND. Generally, the donors of these assets permit RAND to use all or part of the investment return on these assets. Temporarily restricted—Net assets whose use by RAND is subject to donor-imposed stipulations that either expire by passage of time or can be fulfilled and removed by actions of RAND. Unrestricted—Net assets that are not subject to donor-imposed stipulations. Unrestricted assets may be designated for specific purposes by action of the Board of Trustees. The financial statements include certain prior-year summarized comparative information in total but not by net asset category. Such prior-year information does not include sufficient detail to constitute a presentation in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. Accordingly, such information should be read in conjunction with RAND’s financial statements for the year ended September 24, 2006, from which the summarized financial information was derived. Use of Estimates. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements. Estimates also affect the reported amount of revenues, expenses, or other changes in net assets during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from these estimates. Revenue and Expense Recognition. Contract and grant revenues are recognized as the related services are performed in accordance with the terms of the contract or grant or using the percentage of completion method. Contributions, including unconditional promises to give, are recognized as revenue in the period received and are reported as increases in the appropriate category of net assets. Donor-restricted contributions that are received and either spent or deemed spent within the same fiscal year are reported as unrestricted revenue. Expenses are generally reported as decreases in unrestricted net assets. Expirations of donor-imposed stipulations or of board designations that simultaneously increase one class of net assets and decrease another are reported as transfers between the applicable classes of net assets. Concentrations of Risk. Cash and cash equivalents are maintained with several financial institutions. Deposits held with banks may exceed the amount of insurance provided on such deposits. Generally, these deposits may be redeemed upon demand and are maintained with financial institutions of reputable credit and therefore bear minimal credit risk. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T RAND derived 77 percent and 79 percent of its research revenues in fiscal years 2007 and 2006, respectively, from contracts, grants, and fees with agencies of the federal government. Cash and Cash Equivalents. RAND considers all highly liquid instruments purchased with a maturity of three months or less, whose purpose is not restricted, to be cash equivalents. Property and Equipment. Property and equipment is stated at cost. Depreciation is computed by the straightline method over the following estimated useful lives of the assets: 5 to 40 years for building and improvements and 3 to 20 years for equipment. Leasehold improvements are amortized by the straight-line method over the shorter of the estimated useful lives of the assets or the term of the lease. Construction in progress will be amortized over the estimated useful lives of the respective assets when they are ready for their intended use. Certain computer systems and software are internally developed. Costs associated with the application development stage are capitalized and depreciated over the useful life of the system or software. All other costs are expensed as incurred. Included in Equipment on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position was $7,000,000 and $6,800,000 of computer systems and software at September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. When assets are retired, the assets and related allowances for depreciation and amortization are eliminated from the accounts and any resulting gain or loss is reflected in operations. As of September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, approximately $14,154,000 and $11,593,000, respectively, of fully depreciated assets were in use. Investments. All investments of permanently restricted net assets and unrestricted net assets board designated for investment are pooled in a long-term investment fund. Income on pooled investments is allocated to the general use or individual special use funds based on the average balance for each fund (see Note 9). The percentage of board-designated funds distributed for unrestricted use was 4.5 percent and 4.0 percent in fiscal years 2007 and 2006, respectively, based on the average of the trailing twelve-quarter market values of the unrestricted funds. The total distribution was $5,820,000 and $4,754,000 for fiscal years 2007 and 2006, respectively. Gains and losses on investments and investment income are reported as increases or decreases in unrestricted net assets unless their use is restricted by explicit donor stipulation. Noncash Net Asset Transfers. Primarily due to RAND’s adoption of SAB 108 (see New Accounting Pronouncements in Note 2), a transfer of board-designated net assets (noncash) to operations totaling $3,500,000 was required for fiscal year 2006 to bring ending unrestricted net assets from operations to zero. An additional noncash transfer of $2,398,000 was required in fiscal year 2007 due to the change in value of derivative instruments (see Note 7) and the adoption of FASB 158 (see New Accounting Pronouncements in Note 2). These transfers will be reversed in future years as unrestricted net assets from operations become available. Building Project Fund Investments. The net proceeds from the tax-exempt bond issuance (see Note 7) were invested under a collateralized flexible draw investment agent that expired on October 1, 2005. The balance has since been invested in short-term AAA-rated 30-day commercial paper and/or a money market fund. These proceeds are subject to arbitrage rebate and yield restriction rules under the Internal Revenue Code in which excess earnings on tax-exempt bond proceeds must be rebated to the federal government if the yield on the investments exceeds the effective yield on the related tax-exempt bonds. The liability, if any, is accrued on an annual basis and must be remitted to the Internal Revenue Service after the end of every fifth bond year and upon full retirement of the bonds. A yield reduction liability of $37,000 and $115,000 was included in Accounts payable and other liabilities in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position as of September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. Other investment income includes interest earned on these investments, including the change in the yield restriction liability, totaling $320,000 and $472,000 for fiscal years ended September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. 51 52 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Bond Issuance Costs. Bond issue costs represent expenses incurred in connection with issuing RAND’s revenue bonds (see Note 7) and are amortized over the term of the related bond issue on a straight-line basis, which approximates the effective interest method. Unamortized costs were $3,149,000 and $3,088,000 at September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively, and are included in Other assets on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. Income Tax Status. RAND is exempt from income tax under Section 501(c)(3) of the U.S. Internal Revenue Code and corresponding California provisions and has qualified for the 50 percent charitable contributions limitation. RAND has been classified as an organization that is not a private foundation under Section 509(a)(1) and has been designated a “publicly supported” organization under Section 170(b)(1)(A)(vi) of the Internal Revenue Code. Foreign Currency Translation. The assets and liabilities of RAND Europe are translated at year-end exchange rates; transactions are translated at the average exchange rates during the year. The effects from the translation of foreign currencies in the current and prior year are cumulatively immaterial to the consolidated financial statements. Supplemental Cash Flow Information. Cash paid for interest was $5,805,000 in fiscal year 2007 and $4,211,000 in fiscal year 2006. New Accounting Pronouncements. In September 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued FASB Statement No. 158, Employers’ Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans, an amendment of FASB Statements No. 87, 88, 106, and 132(R) (FASB 158). For not-for-profit employers, FASB 158 requires an entity to (i) recognize a defined benefit postretirement plan’s funded status—measured as the difference between the fair value of plan assets and the benefit obligation—in its statement of financial position and (ii) recognize as a separate line item within changes in unrestricted net assets—apart from expenses—prior service costs or credits and actuarial gains and losses that arise during the period but are not recognized as components of net periodic benefit cost pursuant to FASB Statement Nos. 87 and 106. In addition, as FASB 158 does not permit retrospective application, the cumulative unrecognized prior service costs or credits and actuarial gains and losses as of the end of the year are recognized as a transition adjustment in the year of adoption. RAND adopted FASB 158 as of its fiscal year ended 2007. See also Note 6. In September 2006, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission staff issued Staff Accounting Bulletin (SAB) No. 108, Considering the Effects of Prior Year Misstatements when Quantifying Misstatements in Current Year Financial Statements (SAB 108), which provides interpretative guidance on the consideration of the effects of prior-year misstatements in quantifying current-year misstatements for the purpose of a materiality assessment. SAB 108 requires companies to apply its provisions either by (i) restating prior financial statements or (ii) recording the cumulative effect as adjustments to the carrying values of assets and liabilities as of the beginning of the year of adoption with an offsetting adjustment recorded to the opening balance of Unrestricted Net Assets. The cumulative effect method of initially applying SAB 108 is permitted if the amount of the adjustment would have been material to the annual financial statements for the year preceding the adoption of SAB 108 or if the effect of recording the adjustment in the year of adoption would be material to those financial statements. RAND had misstatements in periods prior to fiscal year 2006 related to lease accounting and deferred compensation. These misstatements were not material to any individual prior period, but the correction of such errors during fiscal year 2006 on a cumulative basis would have been material to the RAND fiscal year 2006 consolidated financial statements. As such, RAND adopted SAB 108 during fiscal year 2006 in accordance with (ii) above using the cumulative effect method and adjusted the carrying values of its assets and liabilities with an offsetting adjustment to Unrestricted Net Assets as of September 26, 2005. Rent, depreciation, and compensation expenses were understated by $5,456,000 (cumulatively) in years prior to fiscal year 2006 so, as of September 26, 2005, RAND recorded a $6,962,000 increase in leasehold improvements, a $2,024,000 increase in accumulated depreciation, a $9,894,000 increase in deferred rent, a $500,000 increase in deferred compensation, and a $5,456,000 decrease to unrestricted net assets to correct these misstatements. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 3. Billed and Unbilled Costs and Fees: The following table summarizes the components of billed and unbilled contract and grant costs and fees (in thousands): September 30, 2007 U.S. government agencies Billed Unbilled $ State, local, and private sponsors Billed Unbilled Allowance for bad debt 10,607 15,509 26,116 September 24, 2006 $ 7,592 4,348 6,816 5,771 11,940 12,587 (501) $ 13,977 14,905 28,882 37,555 (501) $ 40,968 Unbilled amounts principally represent recoverable costs and accrued fees billed in the first quarter of fiscal year 2008 and fiscal year 2007, respectively. No significant contract terminations are anticipated at present, and past contract terminations have not resulted in significant unreimbursed costs. 4. Contributions Receivable: Unconditional promises to give were $7,109,000 and $7,242,000 at September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. The receivables are recorded net of the discount for future cash flows, using the riskfree rate of return appropriate for the expected term of the promise to give determined at the time the unconditional promise to give is initially recognized (5%). Receivables expected in one year or less are included in Other receivables and receivables expected after one year are included in Other assets on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. The carrying amount of Contributions Receivable is deemed a reasonable estimate of their fair value. Realization of the pledges is expected in the following periods (in thousands): In one year or less Between one year and five years September 30, 2007 September 24, 2006 $ $ 4,424 2,939 7,363 Less discount 7,405 (254) $ 7,109 5,173 2,232 (163) $ 7,242 As more fully described in Note 9, contributions receivable are primarily intended for the following uses (in thousands): Temporarily restricted Permanently restricted September 30, 2007 September 24, 2006 $ 6,854 255 $ 6,637 605 $ 7,109 $ 7,242 During the fiscal year ended September 30, 2007, RAND received payments of prior-year pledges in the amount of $4,217,000. No allowance for uncollectible pledges was deemed necessary at September 30, 2007, or September 24, 2006. Donors have made conditional promises to give of $2,896,000 and $2,999,000 as of September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. These conditional pledges, which include revocable deferred gifts, are not recorded in these consolidated financial statements. 53 54 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 5. Long-Term Investments: Cash and cash equivalents included in long-term investments consist of commercial paper, money market funds, and other short-term investments and are carried at cost, which approximates fair value. Long-term investments are presented at fair value and all related transactions are recorded on the trade date. The investments consist of funds in both domestic and foreign equity securities and bonds. Approximately 34 percent of the long-term assets consist of foreign stocks and bonds. Bond funds and equity funds include funds that are traded in public markets or that are available exclusively to institutional investors. For funds that are available exclusively to institutional investors, the underlying assets of the funds are traded in public markets. Alternative investments include RAND’s share of private equity funds and limited partnership arrangements for which there is no readily available market value. Alternative investments are carried at RAND’s net contribution and allocated share of undistributed profits and losses. The underlying value of the alternative investments may include assets for which the fair value is provided by the investment manager in good faith. Some of these investments have restrictions that limit RAND’s ability to withdraw funds as specified in the arrangements. RAND believes the carrying amount of these investments is a reasonable estimate of fair value. For those investments that are not traded on a ready market, the estimates of their fair value may differ from the value that would have been used had a ready market for those investments existed. The cost of securities sold is determined by the specific identification method. As of September 30, 2007, RAND had commitments outstanding to purchase alternative investments of $4,838,000; of these commitments, approximately $1,048,000 is due within one year. Investment income is shown net of related expenses of $455,000 and $208,000, for the fiscal years ended September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. Long-term investments consist of the following (in thousands): September 30, 2007 Cash and cash equivalents $ 4,045 September 24, 2006 $ 8,836 Shares of bond funds, at fair value (cost, 2007—$77,031, and 2006—$74,095) 75,260 72,384 Shares of equity funds, at fair value (cost, 2007—$52,750, and 2006—$46,943) 81,049 71,263 Alternative investments (cost, 2006—$30,696, and 2006—$23,520) 45,267 $ 205,621 33,778 $ 186,261 6. Postretirement Benefits Other Than Pensions: In addition to providing certain retirement benefits, RAND provides health care benefits to certain employees who retire having met the required age and years of service with RAND. This coverage also applies to their dependents. Retirees may elect coverage under the Preferred Provider Organization, various HMOs, or reimbursement of individually purchased Medigap policies. Medicare becomes the primary coverage for retirees when they reach age 65. Retirees and dependents share substantially in the cost of coverage. RAND retains the right, subject to existing agreements, to change or eliminate these benefits. During 2003, the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003 (the “Act”) was signed into law. The Act expanded Medicare to include, for the first time, coverage for prescription drugs (Medicare Part D). This new coverage was generally effective January 1, 2006. Medicare Part D subsidies are reflected with respect to RAND’s postretirement benefit liabilities. RAND’s retiree medical program already provides prescription drug coverage for retirees over age 65 that equals or exceeds the benefit to be provided under Medicare. As long as the retirees remain in the Company medical plan rather than enrolling in the new Medicare prescription drug coverage, Medicare will share the cost of the plan with the Company and the employees. This legislation has therefore reduced RAND’s share of the obligations for future retiree medical benefits. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T The following table sets forth the plan’s funded status reconciled with the amount shown in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position (in thousands): September 30, 2007 September 24, 2006 $ $ Change in benefit obligation Benefit obligation at beginning of year Service cost 20,169 20,292 664 655 Increase due to passage of time 1,189 1,146 Plan participants’ contributions 480 386 Actuarial gain (793) (1,422) Benefits paid (1,017) (888) Benefit obligation at end of year 20,692 20,169 6,090 5,365 Actual return on plan assets 684 285 Employer contributions 914 942 Change in plan assets Fair value of plan assets at beginning of year Plan participants’ contributions 480 Benefits paid 386 (1,017) Fair value of plan assets at end of year Unfunded obligation (888) 7,151 6,090 13,541 14,079 Unrecognized net actuarial loss — (1,338) Unrecognized prior service cost — (5) Net amount recognized $ 13,541 $ 12,736 The following table provides the relevant weighted-average assumptions used: September 30, 2007 September 24, 2006 Discount rate used to determine benefit obligation 6.50% 6.00% Discount rate used to determine net periodic postretirement benefit cost 6.00% 5.75% Long-term rate of return on plan assets 8.00% 8.00% Assumed health care cost trend rates are as follows: September 30, 2007 September 24, 2006 Health care cost trend rate assumed for next year 9.50% 9.50% Rate to which the cost trend rate is assumed to decline 5.00% 5.00% 2014 2013 Year that the rate reaches the ultimate trend rate The health care cost trend rate assumption has a significant effect on the amounts reported. Increasing the assumed health care cost trend rates by one percentage point in each year would increase the service cost and increase due to passage-of-time components of the fiscal year 2007 expense by $350,000 and the accumulated postretirement benefit obligation as of September 30, 2007, by $2,948,000. Decreasing the assumed health care cost trend rates by one percentage point in each year would decrease the service cost and decrease due to passage-of-time components of the fiscal year 2007 expense by $281,000 and the accumulated postretirement benefit obligation as of September 30, 2007, by $2,443,000. 55 56 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T The net periodic postretirement benefit cost for fiscal years ended September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, included the following components (in thousands): 2007 Service cost-benefits attributed to service during the period $ Increase in the accumulated postretirement benefit obligation to recognize the effects of the passage of time 2006 664 $ 1,189 Expected return on plan assets 655 1,146 (489) Recognition of loss Recognition of prior service cost Net periodic postretirement benefit cost $ (333) — 190 (26) (93) 1,338 $ 1,565 The following benefit payments, which reflect expected future service and Medicare Part D subsidies, as appropriate, are expected to be paid (in thousands): 2008 Gross Benefit Payments Medicare Part D Subsidies $ $ 839 55 Net Benefit Payments $ 784 2009 975 66 909 2010 1,083 79 1,004 2011 1,183 92 1,091 2012 1,252 106 1,146 Next five years 7,609 772 6,837 Asset allocations at September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, by asset category are as follows: 2007 2006 Cash and short term 10% 27% Shares of bond funds, at fair value 34 29 Shares of equity funds, at fair value 36 26 Alternative investments 20 18 100% 100% Adjustment to Postretirement Benefit Liability (other than net periodic postretirement benefit cost) on the Consolidated Statements of Activities and Changes in Net Assets for the period ended September 30, 2007, is the required FASB 158 transition adjustment comprised of an actuarial loss of $349,000 and prior service costs of $31,000 and represents the cumulative amounts previously unrecognized in net periodic benefit cost as of September 30, 2007. Estimated prior service costs and actuarial net losses that are expected to be recognized in net periodic postretirement benefit cost during fiscal year 2008 are $7,600 and $0, respectively. RAND contributes to a Voluntary Employee Benefit Association irrevocable trust that is used to partially fund health care benefits for future retirees. In general, retiree health benefits are paid as covered expenses are incurred. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L 57 R E P O R T 7. Borrowing Arrangements: Revenue Bonds. In 2002, RAND issued $130,000,000 of tax-exempt revenue bonds to finance the construction of its new Santa Monica headquarters facility ($32,500,000 Series 2002A fixed rate and $97,500,000 Series 2002B variable rate). During fiscal year 2007, RAND initiated an allowed-for one-time advanced refunding of its 2002A fixed rate bonds resulting in the issuance of $34,975,000 Series 2007 additional variable rate tax-exempt revenue bonds and the defeasance of the original Series 2002A as part of a plan of refinancing. The proceeds from the Series 2007 bonds, net of issuance costs of $1,006,000, were irrevocably deposited into an escrow fund and invested in U.S. Treasury Securities in an amount sufficient to service the principal and interest payments on the Series 2002A bonds through the redemption date of April 1, 2012. Included in management and general expenses on the Consolidated Statements of Activities and Changes in Net Assets is $2,077,000, recognized as a loss on the extinguishment of the Series 2002A fixed rate bonds. In anticipation of the issuance of the Series 2007 variable rate bonds, RAND entered into an interest swap agreement with a counterparty (the 2007 Swap) whereby RAND agrees to pay the counterparty a fixed rate of interest of 3.955% and the counterparty agrees to pay RAND the Series 2007 variable rate until April 1, 2012, and 67% of one-month LIBOR thereafter. The 2007 Swap terminates on April 1, 2042, the maturity date of the Series 2007 variable rate bonds. In addition, RAND entered into an interest rate swap agreement with a counterparty for $42,350,000 of its existing Series 2002B variable rate bonds (the 2002 Swap) whereby RAND agrees to pay the counterparty a fixed rate of interest of 3.955% and the counterparty agrees to pay RAND 67% of one-month LIBOR. The 2002 Swap terminates on April 1, 2042, the maturity date of the Series 2002B variable rate bonds. Included in Other items on the Consolidated Statements of Activities and Changes in Net Assets and in Other long-term liabilities on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position is $3,625,000, recognized as the change in fair value of these derivative instruments. The payment of principal and interest on the bonds is insured by a third party. Long-term debt is as follows (in thousands): September 30, 2007 California Infrastructure and Economic Development Bank Variable Rate Revenue Bonds, Series 2007, issued in the original principal amount of $34,975,000, in connection with an advanced refunding of the Series 2002A bonds, in September 2007; average interest rate of 3.65% for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2007; annual principal payments ranging from $400,000 to $1,825,000, beginning April 1, 2008, and ending April 1, 2042 $ 34,975 September 24, 2006 $ — California Infrastructure and Economic Development Bank Fixed Rate Revenue Bonds, Series 2002A, issued in the original principal amount of $32,500,000, in connection with the construction of a new facility in Santa Monica, California, in July 2002; interest rates ranging from 3.50% to 5.50%; defeased in September 2007; balance as of September 24, 2006, includes unamortized bond premium of $171,000 — 32,326 California Infrastructure and Economic Development Bank Variable Rate Revenue Bonds, Series 2002B, issued in the original principal amount of $97,500,000, in connection with the construction of a new facility in Santa Monica, California, in July 2002; average interest rate of 3.5% and 3.1% for fiscal years ending September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively; annual principal payments ranging from $1,470,000 to $4,400,000, beginning April 1, 2008, and ending April 1, 2042 94,000 95,430 128,975 (1,870) 127,756 (1,785) Less current portion $ 127,105 Annual bond principal payments are required in the following fiscal years (in thousands): 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Thereafter $ 1,870 1,980 2,050 2,130 2,200 118,745 $ 128,975 $ 125,971 58 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Accrued interest payable relating to the bonds was $298,000 and $1,035,000 as of September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. The estimated fair value of RAND’s revenue bonds, including the current portion, was $128,975,000 and $129,139,000 as of September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. Line of Credit. RAND has an uncollateralized line of credit in the principal amount of $18,000,000 at September 30, 2007, which expires in May 2008. The line of credit contains covenants that require RAND to maintain a minimum amount of liquid assets and tangible net worth. There were no amounts outstanding at September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006. Under the terms of the credit agreement, interest is payable monthly at either the prime rate less .75 percent or the LIBOR rate plus 1.5 percent, as selected by RAND. No amounts were drawn on the line of credit agreement in fiscal years 2007 or 2006. RAND’s total interest expense was $5,093,000 and $4,718,000 for the fiscal years ended September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. 8. Commitments and Contingencies: Lease Commitments. Operating lease commitments, net of $4,836,000 representing subleases, are as follows (in thousands): 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Thereafter $ 7,850 8,701 8,836 9,000 8,912 24,303 $ 67,602 Future minimum rentals are primarily comprised of office, equipment, and warehouse space leases. Certain of RAND’s office leases contain rent escalation clauses and fair-market renewal options. All property leases generally require RAND to pay for utilities, insurance, taxes, and maintenance. RAND’s net rental expense was $7,440,000 and $8,285,000 for the fiscal years ended September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. Other Commitments. Contract costs billed to government clients are subject to audit by the Defense Contract Audit Agency (“DCAA”). Resulting indirect cost adjustments, if any, are prorated to all contracts. Contract costs billed prior to September 24, 2006, have been audited and accepted. To date, there have been no significant cost disallowances. In the opinion of management, contract costs billed subsequent to September 24, 2006, are allowable, and any potential cost disallowance would not materially affect RAND’s consolidated financial position, results of operations, or cash flows. RAND has certain contingent liabilities with respect to claims arising from the ordinary course of business. In the opinion of management, such contingent liabilities will not result in any loss that would materially affect RAND’s financial position, results of operations, or cash flows. Environmental Remediation. Under the terms of an agreement with the City of Santa Monica (the “City”) for the sale of land owned by RAND, RAND is responsible for the demolition of existing buildings on the site and environmental remediation with respect to the underlying land. During 2006, RAND reevaluated its estimate of costs related to the demolition and remediation. Based on the most current information available, RAND accrued an additional $5,551,000, which is included in Remediation related to land sale on the Consolidated Statements of Activities and Changes in Net Assets for fiscal year 2006. The estimated outstanding liability associated with the demolition and environmental remediation is $0 and $3,497,000 as of September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. In accordance with the terms of the agreement, an escrow account has been established to ensure performance of these matters. Also, under the terms of the agreement with the City, RAND must indemnify the City for claims related to the presence of hazardous materials at the site for a period until ten years after the demolition of the old buildings and completion of soil and groundwater remediation. There can be no assurance that future claims for indemnity will not have a material adverse effect on RAND’s consolidated results of operations or cash flows. In December 2006, the City advised RAND that all demolition and remediation requirements under the terms of the agreement had been fulfilled and authorized release of the remaining funds from the escrow account. RAND received $1,058,000 in January 2007. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T 9. Net Assets: Board-Designated Net Assets. Board-designated net assets are available for the following purposes (in thousands): September 30, 2007 Designated for investment $ 142,893 September 24, 2006 $ 134,079 Designated for special use: RAND Education 3,640 3,150 National Security Research and Training 2,879 2,350 RAND Institute for Civil Justice 2,673 2,355 President’s Fund 747 514 Bing Center for Health Economics 390 369 Pardee RAND Graduate School 385 207 Other 697 430 11,411 $ 154,304 9,375 $ 143,454 Temporarily Restricted Net Assets. Temporarily restricted net assets are available for the following purposes (in thousands): September 30, 2007 Pardee RAND Graduate School $ 3,697 September 24, 2006 $ 3,326 RAND Center for Middle East Public Policy 2,720 2,756 National Security Research and Training 2,092 1,809 Bing Center for Health Economics 1,670 1,818 President’s Fund 1,626 101 RAND Health 1,591 2,180 1,372 1,391 117 228 RAND Institute for Civil Justice 1,225 1,209 RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy 1,118 766 RAND Headquarters RAND Center for Russia and Eurasia RAND Business Leaders Forum General support 1,005 900 RAND Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy 954 671 Paul O’Neill Alcoa Professorship in Policy Analysis 817 617 RAND Infrastructure, Safety, and Environment 631 307 RAND Center for Domestic and International Health Security 511 815 RAND Child Policy 458 483 LRN-RAND Center for Corporate Ethics, Law, and Governance 443 911 1,591 1,382 Other $ 23,638 $ 21,670 59 60 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Permanently Restricted Net Assets. Permanently restricted assets are shown below by the purpose designated by the donor. The assets are invested in perpetuity and the income is available to support the restricted activities (in thousands): September 30, 2007 September 24, 2006 Pardee RAND Graduate School General support $ Awards and scholarships 12,427 $ 11,711 3,120 2,862 National Security Research and Training 4,500 4,500 RAND Institute for Civil Justice 4,134 4,134 RAND Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy 3,670 3,670 RAND—general support 3,565 3,565 Paul O’Neill Alcoa Professorship in Policy Analysis 2,479 2,479 Tang Institute for U.S.–China Relations 2,000 — Research Position Endowment 1,500 1,500 771 771 Other $ 38,166 $ 35,192 10. Employee Retirement Plans: RAND has four defined contribution employee plans: a Qualified Retirement Plan (“QRP”), a Supplemental Retirement Annuity Plan (“SRAP”), a Nonqualified Deferred Compensation Plan (“NDCP”), and a Nonqualified Supplementary Plan (“NSP”). Most full-time, regular employees are eligible to participate in the QRP and SRAP. Certain employees are eligible to participate in the NSP and NDCP. RAND has reserved the right to terminate the plans at any time, but in such an event, the benefits already purchased by the participant and contributions already made by RAND would not be affected. The QRP and the NSP are entirely RAND-financed. RAND’s contributions to the Plans for eligible employees range from 5 percent to 14 percent of salaries, depending on the level of wages and age of the participating employee. RAND’s contributions to the QRP vest at the earlier of retirement or four years of service. Vesting begins after two years of service and increases weekly to 100 percent at the end of four years of service. The NSP and NDCP vest under various conditions specified in the plan. All contributions made by RAND are charged to operations. RAND’s contributions were $10,081,000 and $9,490,000 for the fiscal years ended September 30, 2007, and September 24, 2006, respectively. The SRAP and NDCP only require employee contributions and RAND does not contribute to these plans. 11. Termination Benefits: FASB Statement No. 146, Accounting for Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities (FAS 146), includes a provision that a liability for one-time termination benefits provided to current employees that are involuntarily terminated under the terms of a benefit arrangement must be recognized in the period(s) in which the liability is incurred. During fiscal year 2006, RAND initiated the centralization of the operations of RAND Europe to its Cambridge office. This centralization includes closure of its offices in Berlin, Germany (completed in fiscal year 2006) and Leiden, The Netherlands (completed in fiscal year 2007) and wind down of the associated legal entities (to be completed in fiscal year 2008). For fiscal year 2006, included in management and general expenses on the Consolidated Statements of Activities and Changes in Net Assets and in Accounts payable and other liabilities on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position is $1,536,000 in one-time termination benefits for certain employees of RAND Europe who were involuntarily terminated. These benefits were paid during fiscal year 2007. An additional $491,000 of benefits were incurred during fiscal year 2007 and paid prior to September 30, 2007. No additional payments are expected during fiscal year 2008. 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T Photo Credits COVER IMAGES GETTY IMAGES: John-Francis Bourke, schoolgirl (5–7) balancing books on head, portrait; Anthony Correia (two images), attack on New York City; Derek Croucher, traffic on street, elevated view; Ed Darack, a CH-47 chinook roars through cold mountain air; Ed Darack, driving an M1A1 Abrams Tank; Bill Gallery–Doctor Stock, the power of touch; Justin Guariglia, Ijen plateau, Bali, Indonesia; Justin Guariglia, Shaolin, Henan Province, People’s Republic of China, students at the Ta Gou Academy hold up copies of World magazine; Karen Kamauski, banana plantation; Karen Kasmauski (two images), measles initiative launches its largest mass vaccination campaign in Kenya; John Lee, a statue of Chairman Mao among advertisements in Zhengzhou, China; Ryan McVay, boy and girl writing on blackboard in school classroom; Michael Melford, nuclear submarine in ocean, dawn; Kevin R. Morris, U.S. Navy nuclear submarine resurfacing, Alaska, USA; Paul Nicklen, Canada Basin, Arctic Ocean, global explorer, an ROV capable of diving 9,400 feet, works off ship; Charles Ommanney, U.S. military personnel depart for overseas operations; Panoramic Images, pedestrians in front of tram, Hong Kong, China; Christopher Pillitz, Mexico, Mexico City, women and children in slum next to train tracks; Richard Ross, USA, California, Santa Barbara, dry lake bed at Gibraltar Dam; Phil Schermeister, U.S., young girl dresses up in her mother’s glasses; Frank Schwere, steel skeleton of building north of Ground Zero, sunset; Frank Schwere, truck and dozer moving debris at Ground Zero, night; Uriel Sinai/stringer, Israeli tanks prepare to roll into Gaza for continued offensive; Hugh Sitton, China, Beijing, Tiananmen Square, gateway to the Forbidden City; Keren Su, China, Gansu Province, Dunhuang, woman with camel in desert; Mario Tama, evacuees begin to return to New Orleans’ devastated Lower 9th Ward; Pete Turner, road in barren landscape, dusk; Erik Von Weber, cement bridge over river leading to mountain range; Steve Winter, near Pyay, Irrawaddy River Delta, Myanmar, a man harvests rice in the Irrawaddy River Delta. AP IMAGES: Girl listening to her own heart; Iraq; Kansas Schools Bilingual; Katrina New Orleans; teaching to the test; Petar Petrov, Bulgaria, U.S. Army exercise; John Stanmeyer/VII, bird flu Indonesia. U.S. NAVY PHOTO: Photographer’s Mate 3rd Class Jordon R. Beesley, Stealth Bomber. TIMELINE PHOTOS RAND archives: pages 16, 17, 18, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24; AP IMAGES, briefmarken (page 25); AP IMAGES/Horst Faas, Vietnam War, captured Viet Cong (page 26); AP IMAGES, Mars face (page 27); AP IMAGES/Kurt Strumpf, Munich Terrorism 1972; GETTY IMAGES, Flying Colours Ltd. (page 28); GETTY IMAGES/Retrofile, family watching television (page 30); Permeable dam, public domain (page 31); Media Bakery, handcuffed person (page 32); DoD, MX intercontinental ballistic missile reentry vehicle, Kwajalein missile range, Marshall Islands (page 33); AP IMAGES, Ronald Reagan (page 33); AP IMAGES, xray (page 34); AP IMAGES, ozone layer (page 34); GETTY IMAGES/Roy McMahon, boy rolling joints outside (page 35); AP IMAGES/Jeff Chiu, nurse (page 36); DoD/LcPl Justin Mason, USMC, oath of reenlistment (page 36); AP IMAGES/Eugene Richards, cocaine true, cocaine blue (page 37); AP IMAGES/Karsten Thielker, Hungary NATO (page 38); AP IMAGES/Las Vegas Sun, Steve Marcus, 311 Boyz (page 38); AP IMAGES, GOP Convention, immigration (page 39); AP IMAGES, NATO expansion (page 40); AP IMAGES, AIDS failure (page 40); AP IMAGES, report on depression (page 41); AP IMAGES/Nam Y. Huh, social studies shutout (page 42); AP IMAGES/Jerome Delay, Iraq anniversary (p. 42); AP IMAGES, workers’ comp (page 43); GETTY IMAGES/Thomas Barwick (page 44); AP IMAGES, war aerial refueling (page 44); AP IMAGES, China Asia Paulson (page 45) The RAND research referred to in the opening essays is listed below “The Quality of Ambulatory Care Delivered to Children in the United States,” R. Mangione-Smith, A. H. DeCristofaro, C. M. Setodji, J. Keesey, D. J. Klein, J. L. Adams, M. A. Schuster, E. A. McGlynn, The New England Journal of Medicine, Vol. 357, No. 15, October 2007 A New Division of Labor: Meeting America’s Security Challenges Beyond Iraq, Andrew R. Hoehn, Adam Grissom, David A. Ochmanek, David A. Shlapak, Alan J. Vick, MG-499-AF Post-Katrina Recovery of the Housing Market Along the Mississippi Gulf Coast, Kevin F. McCarthy, Mark Hanson, TR-511-OA/MAR/NAR INTERIOR IMAGES AP IMAGES, IS651-064 (page 4); AP IMAGES, girl listening to her own heart (page 5); AP IMAGES/Petar Petrov, Bulgaria, U.S. Army exercise (page 6); AP IMAGES, U.S. antiwar demonstration (page 7); AP IMAGES/Levittown Public Library, looking for Levittown (page 8); AP IMAGES, Katrina New Orleans (page 9); GETTY IMAGES/Richard Ross, USA, California, Santa Barbara, dry lake bed at Gibraltar Dam (page 10); GETTY IMAGES/ PhotosIndia, interiors of an empty conference room (page 11); FEMA/Win Henderson, volunteer workers help homeless (page 12); AP IMAGES/John Stanmeyer/VII, bird flu Indonesia (page 13); GETTY IMAGES/Ryan McVay, boy and girl writing on blackboard in school classroom (page 14); AP IMAGES/Charles E. Knoblock, first-graders publish book (page 15); AP IMAGES, Morocco–Algeria border conflict (page 16); AP IMAGES, Iraq (page 17); GETTY IMAGES/Mario Tama, NY police increase vigilance after possible terror threat (Page 27); GETTY IMAGES/Mario Tama, evacuees begin to return to New Orleans’ devastated Lower 9th Ward (page 27); GETTY IMAGES/Charles Ommanney, U.S. military personnel depart for overseas operations (page 27); GETTY IMAGES/Teh Eng Koon, a worker climbs up a ladder (page 29); GETTY IMAGES/William A. Plowman, hospital gives patient pet therapy (page 29); GETTY IMAGES/Christopher Pillitz, Mexico, Mexico City, women and children in slum next to train tracks (page 29). DIANE BALDWIN: Jim Thomson and Ann McLaughlin Korologos (page 2); Iao Katagiri (page 18); Policy Forum (page 20); Brian Stecher and Ramon Cortines (page 21); Beth McGlynn (page 21); Paul Koegel (page 21); President’s Award winners (page 23); Richard Bowman (page 24); PRGS students (page 25); Fred Pardee and others (page 30); Donald Tang and Michael Tennenbaum (page 31); Malcolm Palmatier and Jim Thomson (page 32); Sherry Lansing, J. Q. Wilson, Santiago Morales, Robert Spinrad, James Lovelace (page 34); Don Rice and Jim Thomson (page 36); Sheikha Mozah Bint Nassar Al Missned (page 37); Robert H. Brook, Jeffrey Wasserman, Leonard Schaffer, Gail Warden (page 38); Sharon Baradaran, Elizabeth Stacey, Lalita Gupta (page 39); RAND board meeting (page 40) “A New Analytic Method for Finding Policy-Relevant Scenarios,” David G. Groves, Robert J. Lempert, Global Environmental Change, Vol. 17, No. 1, February 2007 The Federal Role in Terrorism Insurance: Evaluating Alternatives in an Uncertain World, Lloyd Dixon, Robert J. Lempert, Tom LaTourrette, Robert T. Reville, MG-679-CTRMP Improving Global Influenza Surveillance: Strategies for the U. S. Government, Melinda Moore, Edward W. Chan, Nicole Lurie, Agnes Gereben Schaefer, Danielle M. Vogenbeck, John A. Zambrano, WR-470-DHHS Heads We Win: The Cognitive Side of Counterinsurgency (COIN), David C. Gompert, OP-168-OSD Money in the Bank: Lessons Learned from Past Counterinsurgency (COIN) Operations, Angel Rabasa, Lesley Anne Warner, Peter Chalk, Ivan Khilko, Paraag Shukla, OP-185-OSD Counterinsurgency in a Test Tube: Analyzing the Success of the Regional Assistance Mission to Solomon Islands (RAMSI), Russell W. Glenn, MG-551-JFCOM Standards-Based Accountability Under No Child Left Behind: Experiences of Teachers and Administrators in Three States, Laura S. Hamilton, Brian M. Stecher, Julie A. Marsh, Jennifer Sloan McCombs, Abby Eisenshtat Robyn, Jennifer Lin Russell, Scott Naftel, Heather Barney, MG-589-NSF State and Local Implementation of the No Child Left Behind Act: Volume I—Title I School Choice, Supplemental Educational Services, and Student Achievement, Ron Zimmer, Brian Gill, Paula Razquin, Kevin Booker, J.R. Lockwood III, et al., RP-1265 State and Local Implementation of the No Child Left Behind Act: Volume II—Teacher Quality Under NCLB: Interim Report, U.S. Department of Education, RP-1283 61 For more information about RAND Call Write 310.393.0411 x8040 The RAND Corporation Lindsey Kozberg, Vice President Office of External Affairs 1776 Main Street P.O. Box 2138 Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138 Email lindsey_kozberg@rand.org To order RAND publications Call 310.451.7002 or toll free 877.584.8642 Email order@rand.org Web www.rand.org 2007 Annual Report Team MARGARET SCHUMACHER Deputy Director, Office of External Affairs JENNIFER GOULD Director of Outreach PETER SORIANO Design and Production STEVE BAECK Editor RON MILLER Art Director JOHN GODGES Communications Analyst 2 0 0 7 R A N D A N N U A L R E P O R T RAND Board of Trustees D e c e m b e r 20 07 Ann McLaughlin Korologos (Chairman) Paul H. O’Neill Former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Chairman Emeritus, The Aspen Institute; Former U.S. Secretary of Labor Michael K. Powell Frank C. Carlucci (Vice Chairman) Former Chairman, Federal Communications Commission; Senior Advisor, Providence Equity Capital; Chairman, MK Powell Group Chairman Emeritus, The Carlyle Group; Former U.S. Secretary of Defense Lovida H. Coleman, Jr. Partner, Sutherland, Asbill & Brennan LLP Timothy F. 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