Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 Introduction Hydro Quebec’s proposal to the Régie de l’énergie, titled “Modalités d’établissement et d’implantation des tarifs de fourniture” and dated February 20, 1998, is in response to Article 167 of the “Loi sur la Régie de l’énergie” (subsequently referred to in this text as the “Law”), which was made effective by Government of Québec on February 11, 1998. The above article orders the Régie to provide a notice to the Government, upon receipt of a proposal by Hydro Québec, on the modalities of establishing and implementing tariffs for the provision of electricity to a customer or a category of customers. This order is further subject to Article 52 of the same Law which essentially states that the tariff must reflect the real costs incurred by a producer of acquiring the electricity and providing it to distributors, as well as considering the consumption of the customer or category of customers. In addition, Hydro Québec has interpreted the provision of power, as set out in the Law (“fourniture”), to mean the component of electricity supply related only to production, which is only one functional area of electricity supply, the two other main functions being transmission and distribution. Given the above, Hydro Québec has then proceeded in its proposal to develop a formula for deriving a production tariff for each different type of consumer based on Hydro Québec’s present high voltage supply tariff (known as Tariff L) less transmission costs and then adjusted for load factor and voltage level of supply which is intended to reflect the usage differences between the various types of customers. The purpose of this critique is to first explain why the methodology used in Hydro Québec’s proposal is flawed and to then present the proper method of developing a production tariff as required by the Law. Deficiencies of Hydro Quebec’s proposal The two most apparent flaws in Hydro Québec’s proposal include the following: 1. The whole process of generation (supply) tariff determination is not directly and explicitly based on cost as stipulated in Article 52 of the Law. Indeed, the derivation of the tariff begins with an existing tariff that has no explicit relationship to the cost of production. Tariff L, by definition, is not a cost. Thus, the requirements of the Law are not addressed. 2. The development of the tariff does not follow a very basic tenet normally 1 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 employed by most, if not all, electric utilities involved in tariff development; that is, to first estimate the cost of the service provided before considering other possible factors to actually set the tariff. In this particular instance, however, the Law is quite clear in stating that the production tariff must reflect the real cost (of production). Conformance with usual tariff setting practices With respect to second item above and, specifically, “normal” tariff setting principles employed in the electric power industry, it would be useful to evaluate Hydro Québec’s proposed tariff against the ten attributes of a sound tariff structure first identified by Bonbright 1 in what is judged by many tariff practitioners to be a classic text on the subject. Although the context of the ten attributes is best understood within a retail tariff structure, each attribute can also be used to examine the merits of a single tariff. These ten attributes are summarized on Exhibit 1. Below is an evaluation of Hydro Québec’s proposed production tariff with reference to each of the above attributes, followed by a judgement as to whether the tariff possesses that attribute. 1. Effectiveness in yielding total revenue requirements. In the context of a deregulated transmission and generation market, as confirmed in the Hydro Québec proposal, this attribute should be understood as a supply side (generation) revenue requirement. Because the revenue requirement of Hydro Québec’s production function is not even known, no appraisal of its effectiveness in yielding total revenue requirements can possibly be made. NO 2. Revenue stability and predictability. This depends largely on the stability and predictability of a number of inputs, including Tariff L, the load factor of Tariff L customers, the revenue requirement of the transmission function, the kW carried by the transmission company and the load factor of the distributor. Without an analysis showing that the resulting “production revenues” are, indeed, stable and predictable, the number of inputs to the equation appear too numerous for one to say that the tariff is stable and predictable. NO 1 Bonbright, James C., 1961. Principles of Public Utility Rates, New York, Columbia University Press (this text was subsequently updated in 1988 by Bonbright, Danielson and Kamerschen and published by Public Utilities Reports Inc., Arlington, VA) 2 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 3. Stability and predictability of the rates themselves. Using the same argument as above, how can one say that the rates are predictable and stable when subject to changes in other various inputs? NO 4. Static efficiency of the rate classes and rate blocks in discouraging wasteful use of service while promoting all justified types and amounts of use. There is absolutely no indication of whether the cost of production is actually provided. Generally, tariffs that best reflect cost would be judged “statically efficient”. NO 5. Reflection of all of the present and future private and social costs and benefits occasioned by a service's provision. We do not know the costs. NO 6. Fairness of the specific rates in the apportionment of total costs of service among the different ratepayers so as to avoid arbitrariness and capriciousness and to attain equity. Although the apportionment of the basic tariff (that is, Tariff L less transmission costs) to the various types of customer appears to have been conducted in a certain way, we do not know whether the starting point (total costs) is correct. Hence, fairness for different ratepayers is not assured by Hydro Québec’s proposal. NO 7. Avoidance of undue discrimination in rate relationships. In this case, the relationships between the rates derived for the various classes appear reasonable, being based on customers’ load factors and losses incurred by voltage level. YES 8. Dynamic efficiency in promoting innovation and responding economically to changing demand and supply patterns. This is always a difficult item to evaluate. Although it is difficult to imagine a collection of single part energy charges as being dynamically efficient, they are based on a number of inputs which, if changed, will change the tariff. However, it would then have to be assumed that Tariff L is dynamically efficient. One can give Hydro Québec the benefit of the doubt. YES 9. The related attributes of simplicity, certainty, convenience of payment, economy of collection, understandability, public acceptability, and feasibility of application. In the context of a completely unbundled electricity market where consumers 3 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 would pay separately for production, one can say “no” to “simplicity” and “certainty” because there are too many convoluted inputs to the tariff (imagine trying to explain an increase in the production tariff because of an increase in Tariff L), “yes” to “convenience of payment” and “economy of collection” (the resulting tariffs being simple, single part energy charges), “no” to ”understandability”, “no” to “public acceptability” (that is, in a properly regulated environment) and probably “yes” to “feasibility of application”. ½YES; ½NO 10. Freedom from controversies as to proper interpretation. The methodology, although convoluted in its logic, does not appear ambiguous. The resulting rates are straightforward. YES Awarding one point for every occurrence of YES (that is, conforming with Bonbright’s attributes) and one point for every NO (not conforming with Bonbright’s attributes), the total score is: YES 3½, NO 6½. Thus, it can be seen that Bonbright is not likely to give the proposed tariff his approval. Consequences of not beginning with the cost of production Aside from not adhering to the requirements of the Law and not rating high with Bonbright, the consequence of not having an estimate of the cost of production is that there is no benchmark or point of reference that can be used in assessing or in setting the tariff. Because there is no such point of reference, estimates of the extent to which the tariff is above or below the actual cost of service cannot be made. It may be convenient to assume that Tariff L is set precisely the actual cost of providing electric service and, therefore, can be used as a solid basis for deriving the cost of production and, hence, the production tariff, in accordance with the Law. In fact, this is probably not true, given the following: 1. Hydro Québec never says in its proposal that Tariff L reflects the actual cost of providing electric service. 2. If Hydro Québec is like most utilities in the world, then the tariffs of its industrial and commercial sectors subsidize residential customers. In other words, industrial and commercial customers usually pay significantly more than the utility’s cost of providing electrical service, while residential customers usually pay significantly less than this cost. Of course, it cannot be said with absolute 4 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 certainty that this is the case with Hydro Québec without first examining its cost structure. However, if the Tariff L is, indeed, based 100% on cost (and there are serious doubts about this), then this should be clearly supported by a costing analysis of Hydro Québec’s production and transmission functions right up to the point of sale with Tariff L customers. In fact, if Hydro Québec had used this methodology, there would have been no need at all to consider transmission costs in arriving at the cost of production (except for those costs associated with high voltage lines used for carrying power from the generating stations to the main grid). The fact that it would have been more conventional, simple and straightforward to begin the analysis with actual production costs immediately raises the question why Hydro Québec goes through a rather convoluted exercise of attempting to “unbundle” an existing transmission tariff for the purpose of arriving at a production tariff. And, the obvious answer is to hide costs which Hydro Québec views as confidential, but which in most regulatory environments, is open to public scrutiny. This situation only reveals the incompatibility of Hydro Québec’s normal method of operating in a monopolistic unregulated environment with the new regulatory regime currently being implemented in the province. Price signals A final deficiency of Hydro Québec’s proposed production tariff is in the provision of economically efficient price signals to its customers. The current proposed tariff is in the form of a single part energy charge which does not provide any signal to customers on the actual production cost of electricity, which is dependent on the amount of energy being consumed, the rate at which it is being consumed, and, finally, the time of day and year it is being consumed. In open power “spot” markets, where electricity is bought and sold on the basis of capacity “blocks” over time and the price is, by necessity, usually expressed as a single part energy charge, sending the correct price signal to consumers is not an issue. This is because the blocks are generally sold and purchased over short periods of time (e.g., hours). In this context, the market dictates the price paid for the power at any point in time and, as a result, economic efficiency arises from supply and demand in the marketplace. This is different from the situation found in a vertically integrated electric utility where there is a long term commitment by the utility to sell electricity to customers. In this case, it is not considered economically efficient to set a uniform price for all electricity sold over the course of, say, a year. It is normal practice that proper price signals are 5 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 built into the tariffs which reflect the fact that the price of electricity varies based on customers’ usage patterns. These price signals include a demand charge as well as an energy charge, either of which can be different over time (although the specific charges by time period would be predetermined, as opposed to being set by market forces). Hydro Québec’s proposed single part energy charge for each category of service considers such usage patterns in their calculation. However, the charges lose their effectiveness in providing the appropriate price signals to consumers when they are averaged over time and over a large number of kWh. Possible methods for deriving the production tariff It should first be emphasized that costing and tariff setting are two distinct processes. Tariff setting is based largely on costing, but the reverse is not true. However, many other factors generally influence tariff design, especially at the retail level. These include political and socio-economic considerations, metering constraints, price elasticity of demand, economic effectiveness, providing intended price signals not necessarily based on cost, effectiveness in yielding total revenue requirements, revenue/ tariff predictability and stability and, finally, many of the previously mentioned “practical” aspects identified by Bonbright. Whatever the factors are that finally influence a tariff, costs are generally the major determinant. The purpose of this section is to describe various accepted methods that could have been used by Hydro Québec in its proposal, beginning from costing principles. Cost of service Cost of service is the primary basis used for any study or analysis of electricity tariffs, as any utility must, over the long run, recover through its tariffs the costs associated with providing electrical service. The “revenue requirement”, or “total cost of service” of an electric utility (or portion of an electric utility, such as the production function) comprises the financial components of operating and maintenance expenses, depreciation, income taxes, interest expense and return on equity. The total of the these costs can be viewed as a "pie", as illustrated in Exhibit 2. As pointed out in the evaluation of Hydro Québec’s proposed tariff in the previous section with respect to Bonbright’s first attribute of effectiveness in yielding total revenue requirements, there is no such revenue requirement defined in 6 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 the development of Hydro Québec’s proposed tariff. The cost allocation process involves partitioning this revenue requirement (or total cost) into revenue (or cost) segments to be collected from the various customer categories, as can be seen on the bottom circle in Exhibit 2. As will be seen, there is wide latitude among the possible methods that can be adopted in determining the revenue requirement by category of customer. Each method has its proponents and critics. First, there is a choice between using accounting costs and marginal costs. Then, within these two broad categories of costing methodology, various other methods have been used and debated within practically all the regulatory jurisdictions in North America. For example, an often recurring debate with respect to accounting costs (as well as marginal costs, to a certain extent) is the “correct” way of allocating demand related costs. With respect to marginal costs, many marginal costing methodologies have been proposed since the concept first surfaced in the 1970's, but the most general debate appears to have centred on the merits of using the “peaker” methodology versus an “expansion plan” or “incremental revenue requirements” approach. It is not within the scope of this critique to suggest a costing methodology. This is a matter that can be settled once Hydro Québec is able to produce a tariff proposal in which the full details of a supporting cost study are also presented. In most regulatory jurisdictions, the costing methodology behind a tariff proposal such as Hydro Québec’s would be subject to public review. In many cases, the regulatory board would have already developed its own opinion on the methodology that should be used (sometimes in great detail) and ordered the utility to follow it. It is entirely possible that this order would have been based on a public hearing specifically held to debate costing methodologies. In the USA, where the electric utility sector is changing rapidly because of deregulation and the eventual creation of open markets even in the residential retail sales area, the issue of production cost being heard in an open public forum is becoming less of an occurrence simply because the regulation of production costs is irrelevant in an open market. So far, this is not the case in Québec, where, for the foreseeable future at least, Hydro Québec is expected to retain a monopolistic position from the production of power down to the retail sales level. Therefore, for the sake of price efficiency in the Québec power sector, the Régie has no choice but to regulate costs. One of the best references on costing for tariff setting purposes is the “Electric Utility Cost Allocation Manual”, published by the National Association of Regulatory Utility 7 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 Commissioners (NARUC) in Washington, DC2 This manual covers nearly all aspects of electric utility costing from a regulatory perspective. As described in the NARUC manual, there are two basic types of costing methodology in use, namely, I) accounting (or embedded) costs and ii) marginal costs. Accounting versus marginal costs A utility’s revenue requirement (or that of a utility’s production function) is based on accounting costs which are, essentially, "backward-looking" because financial reporting requirements reflect what has happened during a past period. On the other hand, economic theory dictates that the best way to assure efficient use of resources in the production of electricity is to price at the additional (or marginal) cost of providing for a particular additional use, considering the particular quantity and the particular time and place of use. If electricity tariffs were based on marginal costs, each consumer presumably could judge better whether and when to use electricity in various ways. This requires a "forward-looking" approach in order to anticipate the cost of the next kW or kWh. Since the 1970's (at about the time it was realized that energy is a relatively scarce resource), greater emphasis has been placed on economic efficiency and therefore, on marginal cost concepts in electric utility tariff design. These concepts are useful for the purpose of incorporating appropriate price signals within the tariff structure. However, most electric utilities tend to regard marginal cost pricing as a useful tool or an aid in tariff design, not a complete solution. Actual marginal costs are rarely used as prices and a minority of North American electric utilities use marginal costs for purposes of cost allocation. The reason for this is that marginal costs are different from financial costs (or accounting costs) which are the governing costs in the measurement of performance. If marginal costs are above financial costs, the utility would be seen as "over-earning" if it priced electricity at marginal cost. If marginal costs are below financial costs, then the utility would not earn enough to be a financially viable entity. Therefore, marginal costs are generally used as a guide for tariff design and are also used for cost allocation purposes. Usually, it is accounting costs in total that predominate, but with marginal cost concepts built into the costing or tariff structure. 2 National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners, 1992. Electric Utility Cost Allocation Manual, Washington, DC 8 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 Cost of service procedure based on accounting costs There are, in general, six basic steps to allocating accounting costs. These steps are illustrated on Exhibit 3. Below is a more detailed description of these steps, together with a very simplified example (it should be noted that the costing exercise is much more complex than might be suggested by the example which is meant only to very generally illustrate the basic concepts): Step 1. Assemble "basic data", which, for the purpose of developing a production tariff, would include the following information: consumptions demands detailed statement of fixed assets related to production detailed income statement for the production function production statistics, including energy and peak production energy and peak load losses by voltage level It should be noted that the above is not comprehensive in terms of total data requirements for a cost of service analysis, but forms the major part of the data requirement. Many other inputs regarding certain physical characteristics of the power system are often required for the purpose of allocating costs (eg., how much of the utility's transportation equipment is production related? transmission related? distribution related?). To illustrate “basic data” for the purpose of showing a very simple illustrative example, assume a system having a peak load production of 30,000 MW from hydro sources and annual energy production of 160,000 GWh. There are two customer categories served by the system: i) Residential, having an consumption of 80,000 GWh (including sales and an allocation of system losses) and a corresponding peak load contribution of 20,000 MW ii) Industrial/ Commercial, having a similar consumption of 80,000 GWh and a corresponding peak load contribution of 10,000 MW. Assume a total revenue requirement of $3.0 billion, based on depreciation on production assets of $1.6 billion, operating and maintenance expenses of $0.8 billion and a profit of $0.6 billion. Step 2. Derive allocation factors for each category based on energy, demand and customer related statistics. The general principle behind the development of the cost allocation factors is that a customer category will be allocated a proportionate amount of the costs for which it is 9 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 responsible. In the simple example, because the Residential category accounts for 50% of energy generated, it will have 50% of all energy related costs allocated to it (and, likewise for Industrial/ Commercial). Also, because the Residential category accounts for 67% of peak demand, it will have 67% of all demand related costs allocated to it and, in a similar fashion, the Industrial/ Commercial category will have 33% of all demand related costs allocated to it3. Because customer related costs are incurred only in connection with the distribution and commercial functions, there are no customer related costs at the production level. Step 3. Functionalize costs. In a fully integrated cost of service analysis, costs shown on the detailed statements of income and fixed assets need to be "functionalized" into summary accounts that will facilitate their definition into energy related, demand related and customer related components. This is done at least by main function (ie., production, transmission, distribution). In the example, there is only one function but production and it is assumed that all costs attributable to production are included. It is important to note that other than the direct costs of production, this cost should also include its fair share of the utility’s indirect costs such as admin and general. Also, if there are significant transmission facilities required to bring the power to the main grid, then the cost of these transmission facilities should be included as part of the production function. Step 4. Allocate costs to major cost components. Functionalized costs are then classified as energy related, demand related and customer related. Generally, a detailed examination of the functionalized costs in each of the main revenue components (operating and maintenance, depreciation, profit) would result in different splits between energy related, demand related and customer related. This, in itself, can be a complex exercise. In the simplified example, however, let it be assumed that the utility has found all of its production costs to be 67% energy related and 33% demand related. Therefore, the utility’s total revenue requirement of $3.0 billion in this case would be $2.0 billion energy related and $1.0 billion demand related. Step 5. Allocate cost components to customer categories using allocation factors. 3 This corresponds to only one method of allocating demand related costs. The question of the most appropriate method for allocating demand related costs has always been controversial. 10 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 In this step, allocation factors from Step 2 are applied to costs classified in Step 4 to arrive at total costs allocated to each customer category. For each of the categories in the example, total costs would then be calculated as follows: Residential: Energy cost = 0.5 x $2.0 billion = $ 1.00 billion Demand cost = 0.67 x $1.0 billion = $ 0.67 billion Total = $ 1.67 billion Industrial/ Commercial: Energy cost = 0.5 x $2.0 billion = $ 1.00 billion Demand cost = 0.33 x $1.0 billion = $ 0.33 billion Total = $ 1.33 billion Thus, the total revenue requirement of $3.0 billion has been completely allocated. Step 6. Summarize results. The actual allocation exercise has been performed in the previous steps. Depending on how the allocated costs will be used, they can be appropriately summarized. The above results can be expressed on a per kWh basis. For example, if total Residential sales are equal to 74,000 GWh, then the average Residential production cost would be equal to about $0.0225 per kWh. Based on sales of 77,000 GWh, the corresponding Industrial/ Commercial tariff would be $0.0173 per kWh. Another method that would provide better information for tariff setting purposes would be to express only the energy cost on a per kWh basis and then, the demand cost on a per kW delivered basis for the Industrial/ Commercial customers and on a per customer basis for Residential. Cost of service based on marginal costs Marginal cost, as it relates to the supply of electric power, may be defined as the incremental cost of optimum adjustments in the system expansion plan and system operation attributable to an increment of demand which is sustained into the future. Thus, marginal cost attempts to quantify the cost of the additional kWh or kW demanded. The rationale for using marginal costs as the basis for electricity pricing is to direct the consumer, through the price charged for electricity, towards the most efficient use of resources available. Theoretically, if price is equal to the marginal cost of supply, an 11 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 optimal allocation of resources, or economic efficiency, will result. This is because the customer is provided a signal of the cost of his incremental demand for energy and capacity. He then decides whether or not to consume more. Through this process, tariffs based on marginal cost principles should persuade customers to make efficient choices when considering the use of energy resources in any of its forms, thus leading to a more efficient allocation of all energy resources. However, the revenue requirement, or total cost of service of an electric utility, normally comprises a number of financial components, which may include operating, fuel and maintenance expenses, depreciation, income taxes, interest expense and return on equity. In other words, the total revenue that is required from tariffs is usually not based on marginal costs, but on the financial costs incurred. Therefore, for tariff development, marginal costs must be adjusted so that the revenue collected is equal to the financial requirement. Despite this incompatibility, marginal cost of service can be a powerful tool in the design of tariffs in a number of ways. First, marginal costs can be used as the basis to partition the utility’s total revenue requirement into segments to be collected from the various customer categories, as illustrated in Exhibit 2. Second, certain unit marginal costs can be used as tariff components to send the correct price signals to consumers so that electricity is consumed in an economically efficient manner. Many marginal costing methodologies have been proposed and used throughout the world. Although similar in their goals of attempting to quantify the marginal cost of electricity supply, many of these methodologies are very different in their application. Because this can be the topic of an entirely separate debate (which has been argued extensively in many public hearings throughout North America over the years), there is no point in describing different marginal costing methodologies in this writeup. Again, this is an item that can be addressed once Hydro Québec is able to produce a tariff proposal in which the full details of a supporting cost study are presented. However, a very simple example of how marginal costs might be applied under one such method, the “proxy plant” approach, is described below, in the context of the previous example used for the costing of power on the basis of accounting costs. It should be noted that the “proxy plant” approach has been chosen in this example only because of its simplicity and there may arguably be better marginal costing methodologies that can be applied. Suppose the same utility has sufficient load growth to justify constructing a hydro plant over the next few years having a firm peaking capacity of 2,000 MW and a total cost of $6 billion, which includes the present worth of all future investment and operating costs. Also, the utility has determined that 60% of this cost is energy related and 40% is 12 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 demand related. Therefore, the present worth of marginal energy related costs is $3.6 billion and the corresponding demand related cost is $2.4 billion. Assuming a 50 year life for the plant and an annual cost of capital of 10%, this amounts to just over $360 million and $240 million, respectively, on an annualized basis. Given that the plant will produce 13,000 GWh annually, the marginal energy cost is then equal to $0.0277 per kWh (that is, $360 million divided by 13,000 GWh). Also, assuming that the 2,000 MW installed capacity is required to serve an incremental load of 1,740 MW (in other words, the utility has a reserve margin criterion of 15%4), the marginal demand related cost per kW is then equal to $138 per kW per year (that is, $240 million divided by 1,740 MW), or about $11.50 per kW per month (that is 138 divided by 12). The total marginal cost of the plant, including both energy and demand components and expressed on a per kWh basis, is about $0.046 per kWh (that is, $(360 + 240) million divided by 13,000 GWh). It is more expensive to produce power during peak periods than at other times and this would be reflected in a more detailed marginal costing analysis. In the above example, the $0.046 per kWh total marginal cost can be broken down into components including a cost for peak energy, a cost for offpeak energy, a cost for peak demand and cost for offpeak demand. If judged necessary, another period, often called the “shoulder” or “partial peak” period (which is somewhere between the peak and offpeak periods) can be defined. There are various ways that marginal costs can be time differentated, but again, a dissertation on these methods is beyond the scope of this writeup. The above unit costs are expressed in terms of output from the plant (or, if there are significant transmission facilities required to bring the power to the main grid, then the costs would be expressed in terms of the output from these transmission facilities). Adjustments to these costs would then be made to reflect the cost of electricity delivered to customer premises. If the above unit marginal costs are compared with the unit accounting costs derived in the previous section, it can be seen that the marginal costs are substantially higher. This illustrates a typical situation where, if the utility charged for electricity at full marginal cost, there would be an “over” collection from a financial perspective. Therefore, adjustments to the unit marginal costs are necessary. The task of adjusting unit marginal costs is made easier by the fact that marginal costs 4 For the purpose of having a suitable reliability level in being able to meet the load, electric utilities typically install capacity over and above the forecast demand. This contingency between forecast demand and installed capacity is referred to as the “reserve margin”. An often used simple “rule of thumb” for estimating the required reserve margin is to take 15% of forecast demand. 13 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 are most often time differentiated and broken down into energy related and demand related components. Since the most important concept behind the notion of marginal cost pricing is to send a correct cost signal to consumers at the proper time, some components of the unit marginal cost can be adjusted more than others. For example, a correct cost signal at 3:00 am is less important than a cost signal during the peak period at, say, 6:00 pm. Also, there are sound theoretical bases for suggesting that the energy price signal is more important than the demand price signal in eliciting consumer responses. Therefore, once unit marginal costs have been established in terms of energy related and demand related costs incurred during the peak period, the offpeak period and, possibly, a “shoulder” period, some of these various cost components can be adjusted downward more than others so that the total financial requirement is met. The tariff setting process Only once the costs are known can tariffs be developed. As previously discussed, there are a number of factors other than cost which can eventually affect the development of a tariff. However, attention to cost must always be a primary consideration. Political and socio-economic factors, for example, dictate that the price paid for electricity in remote load centers isolated from the main Hydro Québec grid is the same as that in the rest of the province, even though the cost of producing this electricity is much greater. This policy also results in urban consumers paying the same rates as rural consumers, even though the cost of providing electricity in an urban environment is generally much lower than in rural areas. As previously mentioned, residential customers are likely to be subsidized by commercial and industrial customers. Metering constraints dictate that not all components of cost can be adequately charged to customers. The best example of this problem is that meters capable of measuring maximum demand as well as energy are relatively expensive and therefore, are not generally used on small consumers such as residential. Therefore, the residential tariff cannot have a demand charge. This cost might then be recovered either through a monthly customer charge or added to the energy charges. However, there can be no demand charge which is theoretically the best price signal. Price elasticity of demand, or the extent that consumers will react to changes in prices is another factor which might influence tariffs. Some customer categories might be more sensitive to price changes than others and will change their consumptions accordingly. Other customer categories will not. Therefore, with the goal of maximizing sales revenues, electric utilities might have a tendency to price power to 14 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 less sensitive customers at a higher level and price power to sensitive customer groups at a lower level. Providing intended price signals not necessarily based on cost has been a tool used by some electric utilities for the purpose of promoting the sale of electric hot water heaters, for example. Thus, it can be seen that there are factors other than cost which can influence the development of a tariff. The factors cited above are by no means exhaustive. Regulatory bodies often consider many of these factors in their judgements and provide appropriate rationalizations for doing so. Once costs and all other tariff setting criteria are known, then tariffs are developed. The level of tariff for each customer category is normally determined based on a forecast revenue target for that category. Based on the discussion in the preceding paragraphs, the revenue target for each category will be equal to the forecast cost of providing electric service less (plus) the net total of all other considerations. The total forecast revenue collected from all categories must be equal to the revenue requirement of the electric utility (or, in the case of Hydro Québec’s proposal, equal to the revenue requirement of the production function). The importance of transparency As a result the many influencing factors discussed above, there will be cross subsidization within a tariff structure. Also, costing exercises cannot possibly be conducted to a level of detail such that everyone is allocated a cost in proportion to his own specific usage of system resources. Costs must be averaged among groups of customers, even though the cost of service to individual customers within each group will vary. Therefore, within any tariff structure, there will always be subsidies even if there is an honest attempt to price at cost. In any case, if subsidies in the tariff structure are significant, one should be able to quantify them for the sake of transparency. The cost of providing electric service is an essential point of reference in being able to calculate the size of a subsidy. Otherwise, nobody would know the extent of the subsidy or that it even exists. There is no indication of the relationship of Hydro Québec’s proposed production tariff to the underlying costs of production. Therefore, there can be no rationale provided for any deviation from cost. As a result, nobody can possibly assess the adequacy of the tariff. 15 Arvid E. Kruze April 10,1998 Respectfully submitted on April 10, 1998 Arvid Kruze 16