Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application DOMESTIC RATE REFORM Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 1 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution Original : 2007-08-01 R-3644-2007 Application HQD-12, Document 3 Page 2 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.INTRODUCTION ...............................................................................................5 2. CURRENT STRUCTURE OF DOMESTIC RATES ..........................................8 2.1 Fixed Charge..............................................................................................9 2.1.1 Benchmarking of Fixed Charges for Domestic Rates ...........................9 2.1.2 Current Strategy for the Fixed Charge ................................................11 2.2 Energy Blocks .........................................................................................13 2.2.1 Number of Energy Blocks for Domestic Rates ................................13 2.2.2 Threshold of the first Energy Block .................................................16 2.2.3 Energy Block Rates.........................................................................19 2.2.4 Benchmarking of Energy Blocks for Residential Rates ...................21 2.2.5 Current Strategy for Energy Blocks .................................................22 2.3 Demand Charge.......................................................................................25 2.3.1 Benchmarking of the Capacity Invoice for Domestic Rates.............25 2.3.2 Current Strategy for the Demand Charge........................................26 3. SCENARIOS RELATED TO THE FIXED CHARGE.......................................27 3.1 10% Decrease of the Fixed Charge........................................................27 3.2 50% Decrease of the Fixed Charge........................................................29 3.3 Analysis and Recommendation for a Decrease of the Fixed Charge .31 4. SCENARIOS FOR THE THRESHOLD OF THE FIRST ENERGY BLOCK....32 4.1 Winter Threshold of the First Block at 35 kWh/day..............................32 4.2 Summer Threshold of the First Block at 25 kWh/day...........................35 4.3 Analysis and Recommendations for Threshold of the First Block .....38 5. ENERGY PRICE ADJUSTMENTS .................................................................39 5.1 Total Increase on the Second Block......................................................39 5.2 Analysis and Recommendation for Energy Price Adjustments ..........42 6. INTRODUCTION OF A THIRD BLOCK .........................................................42 6.1 Threshold of the Third Block at 60 kWh/day.........................................44 6.2 Threshold of the Third Block at 100 kWh/day.......................................46 6.3 Threshold of the Third Block at 150 kWh/day.......................................47 6.4 Analysis and Recommendation for a Third Consumption Block........49 7. PROPOSED REFORM OF THE CAPACITY INVOICE FOR RATE D ...........54 8. PROPOSED REFORM TO RATE DM............................................................58 8.1 Closing Rate DM......................................................................................60 8.2 Capacity Invoice for Rate DM .................................................................61 Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 3 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution Original : 2007-08-01 R-3644-2007 Application HQD-12, Document 3 Page 4 of 63 1.INTRODUCTION The Régie de l’énergie ordered the Distributor to carry out a rate reform in light of the fact that the marginal cost of supply is three times higher than the average cost. In itself, the situation is not exceptional. The electricity industry in Quebec has been inescapably faced with increasing electricity prices for a long time. In fact, historically, in the context of an integrated company, which is the context in which the current rate structures were defined, the marginal cost associated with certain uses already largely exceeded the current marginal cost. A major reform of domestic rates already took place by going from a degressive two-block structure in 1978, to a progressive two-block structure. Hydro-Quebec has since been among the first distributors to integrate a signal of increasing marginal costs into its rate structure. Although the regulatory context has changed, the reality of increasing costs is not new and it is echoed in the current structure of Rate D. Today, the Régie asks the Distributor to pursue analyses in which the marginal cost signal becomes the main topic of interest. However, the Distributor notes that the role of the ratemaker is not one-dimensional and it cannot solely rely on the marginal cost signal.1 This exercise must have other underlying principles; a good rate – one that truly fulfills its role of informing the customer of the costs associated with the service rendered – constitutes a whole that must answer to all those principles in the best possible way. To this end, it is essential to come back to the basic texts. Here, the Distributor refers to James Bonbright whose writings constitute an indisputable and fundamental reference in ratemaking.2 According to Bonbright, the following principles are essential when designing a rate: “Revenue-related Attributes: 1 Following this logic, considering that the current marginal cost of supply is uniform across all uses, a Rate D exclusively based on marginal costs should only have one energy block. 2 Bonbright, James C., Albert L. Danielsen and David R. Kamerschen. “Principles of Public Utility Rates”, Public Utilities Reports, 2nd ed., 1988. Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-12, Document 1 Page 5 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 1. Effectiveness in yielding total revenue requirements under the fair return standard without any socially undesirable expansion of the rate base or socially undesirable level of product quality and safety. 2. Revenue stability and predictability, with a minimum of unexpected changes seriously adverse to utility companies. 3. Stability and predictability of the rates themselves, with minimum of unexpected changes seriously adverse to ratepayers and with a sense of historical continuity. (Compare “The best tax is an old tax.”) Cost-related Attributes: 4. Static efficiency of the rate classes and rate blocks in discouraging wasteful use of service while promoting all justified types and amount of use: o in the control of the total amounts of service supplied by the company; o in the control of the relative uses of alternative types of service by ratepayers (on-peak versus off-peak service or higher quality versus lower quality service). 5. Reflection of all of the present and future private and social costs and benefits occasioned by a service’s provision (i.e., all internalities and externalities). 6. Fairness of the specific rates in the apportionment of total costs of service among the different ratepayers so as to avoid arbitrariness and capriciousness and to attain equity in three dimensions: (1) horizontal (i.e., equals treated equally); (2) vertical (i.e., unequals treated unequally); and (3) anonymous (i.e., no ratepayer’s demands can be diverted away uneconomically from an incumbent by a potential entrant). 7. Avoidance of “undue discrimination” in rate relationships so as to be, if possible, compensatory (i.e., subsidy free with no intercustomer burdens). 8. Dynamic efficiency in promoting innovation and responding economically to changing demand and supply patterns. Practical-related Attributes: 9. The related, practical attributes of simplicity, certainty, convenience of payment, economy of collection, understandability, public acceptability, and feasibility of application. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 6 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 10. Freedom from controversies as to proper interpretations.” These principles rely on the present and future reality of costs; they avoid arbitrariness and discrimination; they promote efficiency and effectiveness. The Distributor believes that fragmenting the ratemaker’s beliefs, modifying the components of a rate without an overall vision, carrying out partial analyses that are unduly biased toward one principle while the others are excluded, and giving way to undocumented arbitrariness, could lead to undesirable distortions in the price signal given to customers. Even if these distortions are relatively minimal and selective on the short-term, they could have undesirable long-term consequences. The precautionary principle demands an overall ratemaking vision. According to Bonbright, these 10 principles are not of equal importance. Principles 1, 4, 5, 6 and 7 are the most determinant. The 1st principle is respected from the moment the revenue requirement is approved by the Régie. The 4th and 5th principles, “Static efficiency of the rate classes and rate blocks in discouraging wasteful use of service while promoting all justified types and amount of use” and “Reflection of all of the present and future private and social costs and benefits occasioned by a service’s provision (i.e., all internalities and externalities)”, gain all of their importance in the context of ratemaking reform. Bonbright speaks of the effectiveness of different rate classes and rate blocks in discouraging wasteful use while promoting (electricity) consumption when it is justified. The Distributor insists on two elements of this statement. On the one hand, the efficiency of rate blocks in discouraging wasteful use implies that the blocks that are defined are significant to the customer. The Distributor has already explained to the Régie that it does not assume that all customers understand the structure of Rate D. Conversely, customers know their overall bill and this is what will influence their energy choices. Changes that will be the result of a structural change must be analyzed by taking into account the Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 7 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application significant variations they will lead to on customers’ overall bills, and their capacity to induce efficient behaviour. This implies that a structural change must ensure the application of a sufficiently high price for a significant volume of kWh and for a significant number of customers. This also implies that every customer should be significantly compensated for his energy efficiency efforts. The Distributor will use this principle to justify the existence of two energy blocks for Rates D and DM. On the other hand, Bonbright also states that certain volumes of electricity consumption can be promoted when it is justified. Again, Bonbright excludes arbitrariness: as it will demonstrate, here the Distributor thoroughly scrutinizes the threshold of the first rate block and insists on the importance of justification and demonstration. The 6th and 7th principles of ”Fairness of the specific rates in the apportionment of total costs of service among the different consumers ” and “Avoidance of “undue discrimination” in rate relationships so as to be, if possible, compensatory (i.e., subsidy free with no intercustomer burdens)” in particular, deal with the userpays principle. Customers must pay for the costs that they incur. While it may rely on a principle of social equity, venturing on a different route and requiring certain customers to bear the costs incurred by other customers is not a winning solution in the long-term. Sooner or later economic reason must assert itself.3 The Distributor will turn to this principle in particular when discussing the fixed charge. 2. CURRENT STRUCTURE OF DOMESTIC RATES The Distributor’s domestic rates (D, DM, DT and DH) are made up of a fixed charge, two energy blocks and a demand charge. 3 In the presence of particular conditions, it is often more efficient to resolve a problematic situation via a commercial program than to modify the rate structure for all customers. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 8 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 2.1 Fixed Charge The fixed charge, expressed in ¢/day, is the fixed component of domestic rates. It partially covers the costs incurred by the Distributor to establish a commercial relationship particular to each contract. These costs include customer service charges (meter readings, billing, receipt of payments, bad debt, theft, telephone responses, claims and complaints and customer relations) and metering (acquisition, installation and maintenance of metering equipment). These costs are primarily related to the number of customers served and are independent from energy consumption. At its current level of 40.64¢/day, the fixed charge remains slightly higher than costs for 2008 which amount to 39.09¢/contract/day. However, if we add service loop charges to this, the total cost amounts to 42.72¢/contract/day. Table 1 Revenue Requirement for Customer Service and Metering 2008 Revenue Requirement ($M) (¢/contract/day) Customer Service Metering Total Service loop Total including service loop 422.3 75.2 497.5 46.2 543.7 33.18 5.91 39.09 3.63 41.72 In compliance with Bonbright’s 6th principle, the Distributor believes the fixed charge should inform each customer of the embedded costs he incurs, regardless of his consumption. 2.1.1 Benchmarking of Fixed Charges for Domestic Rates The fixed charge applied by the Distributor is comparable to those of other utility companies across North America. To exemplify this, table 2 shows the fixed charges applied to residential customers in some North American cities, in April 2006. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 9 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 2 Fixed Charge for 30 days on April 1, 2006 Residential Customers (1 000 KWH per Month) Cities CAN$/month Percentage of the total monthly bill (%) Canadian cities 12.19 18 Charlottetown, PE Edmonton, AB Halifax, NS Moncton, NB Ottawa, ON Regina, SK St-John’s, NL Toronto, ON Vancouver, BC Winnipeg, MB 21.55 6.18 10.83 17.74 5.98 14.41 15.69 13.64 3.63 6.25 18 6 10 17 6 14 16 12 6 10 Canadian average 11.64 12 Boston, MA Chicago, IL Detroit, MI Houston, TX Miami, FL Nashville, TN New York, NY Portland, OR San Francisco, CA Seattle, WA 7.54 8.36 7.39 6.55 6.06 9.83 12.94 8.20 5.20 3.42 3 9 6* 3 5 10 7 10 2* 4 American average 6.86 5 Average 9.69 9 Montreal, QC American cities * Application of a minimal bill Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 10 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 2 shows that, compared to other distributors, the weight of the fixed charge in the Distributor’s bill is high. This is partially explained by a slightly higher fixed charge and by Hydro-Quebec’s low energy prices. 2.1.2 Current Strategy for the Fixed Charge In the past few years, in the context of deregulation and to minimize risk, some American utilities chose to increase their fixed charge to recover a portion of their supply costs. This practice has been widely criticized4 because it alters the relationship between the price signal and customer behaviour. In fact, from the moment in which a significant portion of the electricity bill is unduly fixed, customers do not have any interest in reducing their consumption or in making the right energy choices. For this reason, and contrary to this practice, the Distributor chose to freeze the fixed charge as of April 1, 2005. Prior to that date, the significance of the fixed charge on customers’ overall bills contributed to rendering the average price of D and DM rates degressive. Therefore, the more a customer’s consumption increased, the more the average price of energy consumed decreased, even if the second consumption block was billed at a higher rate than the first block. Figure 1 shows this relationship. 4 To this effect see Weston, Frederick, "Charging for Distribution Utility Services: Issues in Rate Design", The Regulatory Assistance Project, December 2000. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 11 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Figure 1 Degressivity of the Average Price of Rate D on April 1, 2004 and 2007 In order to make the average price of Rates D and DM less degressive, and thereby send a better price signal with the second energy block, the Distributor proposed to freeze the fixed charge on April 1, 2005. In decision D-2005-34, the Régie approved this proposal because the weight of the fixed charge relative to the total bill was decreased. In doing so, the Régie increased the progressivity of domestic rates and improved the price signal. In decision D-2006-34, again the Régie opted to freeze the fixed charge for domestic rates because this component is not an elastic part of the rate structure and because customer service costs, which are at its core, were very stable in the past and they remained at a similar level for 2006. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 12 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application As shown in figure 1, the fixed charge freeze approved by the Régie three times in a row5 contributed to making Rate D progressive. It should be noted that the freeze of the fixed charge corresponds to a decrease of the latter in constant dollars. 2.2 Energy Blocks To set energy blocks it is necessary to: determine the number of blocks required, define the volumes associated with each block and, at the same time, to set the prices of each of the defined blocks. 2.2.1 Number of Energy Blocks for Domestic Rates If the Distributor wished to ascribe to Bonbright’s 4th principle to the letter, and give customers the long-term marginal price signal, there would be no need to define more than one consumption block because, as the following table shows, all the kWh used by customers present a similar marginal cost of supply and transmission for all uses. 5 D-2005-34, 2006-34 and D-2007-12 Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 13 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 3 Marginal Costs by use for Rate D Customers 6 (In ¢ / kWh) 1 Constant Annuity (10 years) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 10.68 9.86 10.06 10.26 10.46 10.67 10.88 11.09 11.31 11.53 11.76 Water heating Supply and Transmission 9.81 9.06 9.24 9.42 9.60 9.79 9.99 10.18 10.38 10.59 10.80 Transmission-Native load 0.63 0.58 0.59 0.61 0.62 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.68 0.70 Distribution 0.24 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27 11.55 10.65 10.87 11.09 11.31 11.54 11.77 12.00 12.25 12.49 12.74 Space heating Supply and Transmission 9.74 8.98 9.16 9.34 9.53 9.72 9.92 10.12 10.32 10.53 10.74 Transmission-Native load 1.31 1.21 1.23 1.26 1.28 1.31 1.34 1.36 1.39 1.42 1.45 Distribution 0.50 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.55 11.07 10.22 10.42 10.63 10.84 11.05 11.27 11.50 11.72 11.96 12.19 All uses Supply and Transmission 9.79 9.04 9.22 9.40 9.59 9.78 9.97 10.17 10.37 10.58 10.79 Transmission-Native load 0.92 0.85 0.87 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1.00 1.02 Distribution 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.39 1 The nominal discount rate used is 6,46% The Distributor cannot set a consumption block at a price of, say, 9.79¢/kWh since that would generate revenues that exceed the revenue requirement. It is therefore necessary to make an adjustment to what would be a marginal-cost based rate in order to meet the revenue requirement. In this context, the Distributor proposes the following solution, inspired by the rules of RamseyBoiteux:7 setting a higher price for one consumption block for which demand is elastic in order to promote energy efficiency, and adjusting the price of the consumption block for which demand is not elastic. "Whenever incremental costs exceed embedded costs for a utility, overcollection of revenues will occur: whenever embedded costs exceed incremental costs, undercollection of revenues will occur. 6 See HQD-14, document 3. Électricité de France, Tarification de l’électricité en France : principes et construction des barèmes, DEPS Tarification, Cahier 30, Juin 1995 : “these rules, known as Ramsey-Boiteux, show that the search for a “collective optimum” must be translated by variances between the price and marginal costs that are inversely proportional to the elasticity of demand to prices.” 7 Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 14 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Several methods of making rate adjustments exist. Assume an overcollection situation. One adjustment method, widely supported, is the inverse elasticity rule; departure from marginal cost pricing should be inversely proportional to the elasticity of demand. Those customers with elastic demands would be charges marginal cost-based rates; those customers with inelastic demands would be charges rates below marginal costs. In this way, prices below marginal costs "would distort consumption decision as little as possible". Another method is to lower or eliminate the customer charge. A third method is the adopt and inverted rate structure, in which the tailblock rate reflects marginal costs and "the initial block or blocks are set at a low enough level to meet the revenue requirement."8 (HQD underlines) This principle was also reiterated by NERA in its report to Manitoba Hydro. The Distributor also agrees with NERA when the latter highlights the importance of applying a sufficiently high price to a significant volume of kWh and for a significant number of customers. “Inverted block rates can provide efficient price signals because the run-off rate can be set at or close to marginal cost, and the first block set to recover the remaining revenue requirement. The size of the first block determines how many customers are exposed to the efficient run-off rate: if the first block is too large, few customers will face the efficient price. The size of the first block also determines the differential between the first and second block prices. Choosing the block size is thus a critical task in the design of inverted block rate.”9(HQD underlines) However, to reach the objective of promoting energy efficiency, each block must be meaningful to the customer. That is, the customer must be able to associate a price to a specific consumption and he must know that at a given time in his billing period, he passes from one block to another; this is the objective of a price signal. 8 Phillips, Charles F., “The Regulation of Public Utilites – Theory and practice”, Public Utilities Reports, 2nd ed., 1988. 9 NERA Economic Consulting, “Review of time-of-use and inverted electric rate structures for application in Manitoba”, July 28, 2005. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 15 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application The Distributor has therefore identified a first block of annual consumption for which demand is less elastic. By doing so, the marginal kWh consumed and associated with a second block can be attributed to a more elastic demand. Finally, the Distributor notes that a two-block rate structure makes it possible to assign a larger relative share of the bill to the largest consumers and a smaller share to smaller consumers. The redistributive nature of this structure is more a function of the level of consumption than of the specific use made of the first block kWh. 2.2.2 Threshold of the First Energy Block The threshold of 30 kWh per day for the first block of Rate D was set at the end of the 1970’s based on the monthly profile of customers that did not use electricity for heating. This definition was related to the marginal cost structure of that time and it reflected the fact that the arrival of electric heating for domestic use exerted an upward pressure on costs. In the current context of improving the price-signal, it is no longer a question of defining a profile without the heating load, but of defining a consumption block that is significant for the customer and for which demand is less elastic. The Distributor therefore wishes to reiterate that the first 30 kWh/day neither include nor exclude any specific uses. Although the underlying paradigm that defined the first block has changed, the Distributor justifies the threshold of 30 kWh per day on the basis of underlying consumptions. By doing so, faithful to the Bonbright principles, the Distributor ensures that the threshold of 30 kWh/day is not arbitrary, but rather one that relies on concrete data. The Distributor has many ways to justify it. The data from a customer sample measured by the Distributor (Table 4) confirms that, given an average consumption of 28 kWh/day (27 kWh without air conditioning), the threshold of 30 kWh/day remains adequate. Consumption Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 16 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application associated with basic uses is relatively constant throughout the year, making it identifiable and meaningful for the customer. The billing data also shows that for the average residential Rate D customer, average daily consumption for all uses combined is approximately 30 kWh from June to August included. Table 4 Monthly Allocation of Basic Uses Month Average kWh per day (including air conditioning) Average kWh per day (excluding air conditioning) January 31 31 February 30 30 March 30 30 April 28 28 May 27 26 June 25 25 July 25 24 August 25 24 September 24 24 October 24 24 November 27 27 December 33 33 28 27 Year Summer (May to October) Winter (November to April) Original : 2007-08-01 26 31 25 31 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 17 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application On the one hand, the average consumption per use allows the Distributor to determine the daily consumption associated with what were historically referred to as basic uses, namely appliances, lighting and water heating. Table 5 shows the average consumption per use for all households whose average yearly consumption (including space heating) is 17 773 kWh. It shows an average consumption of 29 kWh/day for all uses excluding space heating. This reaffirms the relevance of the threshold of 30 kWh/day. Table 5 Average Consumption per Use for All Households Annual consumption1 (kWh/year) Uses Appliances2 Lighting Air conditioning Other uses Total (without water heating) Water heating Total (with water heating) Space heating All uses 1 2 Daily consumption (kWh/day) 4 714 966 155 1 340 13 3 0 4 7 175 20 3 447 9 10 622 29 7 112 17 733 19 49 Takes into account the penetration rate of households Stove, refrigerator, freezer, dishwasher, washer and dryer On the other hand, the Distributor can classify into uses the basic requirements associated with typical cases used throughout this document. As shown in Table 6, consumption associated with appliances and lighting ranges between 15 and 24 kWh/day. However, this total ranges between 27 and 42 kWh/day if consumption for water heating is added. Although these typical cases do not represent average cases,10 this analysis shows that basic uses, for typical singlefamily homes, are billed in the first energy block. 10 These typical cases are based on actual cases and they take into account the socio-demographic variables of households. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 18 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 6 Average Consumption per Use for Typical Cases of Single-Family Homes Uses Appliances* Lighting Total (without water heating) Water heating Total (with water heating) * Small home 111 m3 (1 200ft2) 20 494 kWh/year 11 4 Medium home 158 m3 (1 700ft2) 26 484 kWh/year 16 4 Large home 207 m3 (2 230ft2) 32 054 kWh/year 19 5 15 21 24 12 14 18 27 34 42 Stove, refrigerator, washer, dryer and freezer (for the medium and large homes) 2.2.3 Energy Block Rates When the Distributor was able to meet demand growth with the heritage pool contract at 2.79¢/kWh, the variance between both energy blocks was based on the average-cost variance11 between basic uses and other uses. The evidence in the 2005-2006 rate application12 showed, on this basis, that the price variance between the first and the second block of Rates D and DM could range between a minimum of 34% and a maximum of 50%. However, in the post-heritage context, in which the rate structure must be much more representative of marginal costs, this variance is no longer an objective in itself but a consequence of the reflection of marginal costs. Table 3 shows the marginal costs associated with Rate D. To promote energy efficiency and to align the structure of the domestic rate in the long-term, the price of the second block should at least tend toward the marginal supply cost (supply and transmission) for heating. This cost is estimated at 9.74¢/kWh (constant annuity over 10 years). By 2017, the marginal heating cost increases to 11 12 Or revenue requirement. R-3541-2005, HQD-1, Document 2 pages 14 to 17. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 19 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 10.74¢/kWh. These costs are much higher than the current price for the second energy block. Moreover, in order to promote the optimal use of resources, the price can be evaluated as a function of the price of an alternative product. For example, the cost in kWh-equivalent for natural gas heating, for the energy bill alone, was 7.74¢/kWh in the winter 2006-2007.13 By adding the additional acquisition and maintenance costs of natural gas systems compared to those of electric baseboards, the price per kWh-equivalent is 11.43¢/kWh. This price is therefore a part of the upper benchmarks to set the price for the second block. In fact, by coming closer to this value, the Distributor limits the substitution of fuels toward electricity, a substitution that could not take place without exerting upward pressure on supply costs for all customers. Marginal costs and the price of alternative products show that the rate of the second block could be clearly superior to the current rate of 7.03¢/kWh. In addition, the first block rate should also not distance itself too much from marginal price signals since all uses show a similar marginal price. However, in terms of the price signal, for a majority of customers, all energy efficient behaviour will ultimately translate into savings in the second block, whether the reduction of kWh used is attributable to lighting, appliances, water heating or space heating in the winter. Therefore, a customer who consumes an average of 40 kWh in winter will see a decrease in his electricity bill of 7.03¢/kWh for every kWh saved, irrespective of what it is used for, as long as it is billed in the second block. That is the price signal that the Distributor wants to send to residential customers via energy block rates. 13 If we consider a 70% efficiency factor for natural gas heating systems. See HQD-12, document 1, section 5.1.1. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 20 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 2.2.4 Benchmarking of Energy Blocks for Residential Rates The benchmarking carried out by the Distributor among some Canadian and American distributors reveals very clear tendencies in terms of the number of blocks.14 One Block In Canada, domestic rate structures generally have only one block and a transition is under way toward a progressive two-block structure.15 Only Ontario has adopted seasonal billing, however it may eventually be replaced by time-ofuse (TOU) pricing once advanced metering is implemented. Two Blocks In the United States, domestic rates are generally made up of two progressive blocks. This reflects the tendency that started at the beginning of the 1980’s to abandon degressive price structures and to promote consumption management in the context of demand growth and environmental concerns. Several Distributors offer two-block seasonal rates but, among them, the prices that are associated to each can either be degressive and/or progressive depending on the season. In fact, it appears that some utilities continue to apply rates that promote the use of electricity in winter (for example, Commonwealth Edison and Consolidated Edison). Three Blocks Among the utilities examined, four of them offer a basic rate made of three energy blocks. For Pacific Power & Light and Georgia Power, the sum of consumption associated with the first two blocks is equivalent to consumption 14 See HQD-12, document 6. Manitoba Hydro intends to eliminate degressive rates for all customer categories in its next rate application. Energy NB had already announced that it was considering a progressive residential rate by 2010. Therefore, in its evidence submitted on July 3, 2007, as a first step, it suggested a smoothing of the residential block structure. 15 Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 21 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application associated with Rate D. For Avista Utilities, the sum of consumption for the first two blocks totals 1 300kWh/month, which is 44% higher than consumption associated with the first block of Rate D. In actual fact, Duke Energy’s threeblock structure corresponds to a two-block structure because the prices of the last two blocks are identical. Seattle City Light offered a three-block rate but recently eliminated the third block that applied to consumption exceeding 3 000 kWh/day and which had been introduced in the context of an energy crisis that began in the early 2000’s but only affected 2% of customers. PG&E is the only Distributor in the study that offers rates composed of five progressive blocks. However, these blocks refer to a reference consumption that varies by customer location and the presence of electric heating. 2.2.5 Current Strategy for Energy Blocks The Distributor proposes to maintain the existing energy-block structure. As for the evolution of energy prices, the proposed reform consists of increasing the price of the second block twice as much as the first. The price of the second energy block of domestic rates is Distributor’s most important lever to promote efficient behaviour from its domestic customers. This strategy makes it possible to reflect long-term marginal costs in the second block more quickly while improving the price signal of the first block, considering that supply costs have an impact on all consumption. The Distributor considers it prudent to increase the rate of the second block gradually as much because of the context in which marginal costs continue to evolve, as to avoid rate impacts that are too significant for customers. Table 7 shows the medium term evolution of the structure of Rate D using the assumption of a 2% annual increase in 2008, 2009 and 2010.16 This scenario reflects the same orientations approved by the Régie since April 1, 2005: freeze 16 The Distributor uses these hypotheses for rate increases solely as an example in order to show the impacts of different scenarios analysed in the present document. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 22 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application of the fixed charge; increase of the second block that is double that for the first; and annual increase of the demand charge for Rates D and DM of 75¢/kW and 18¢/kW respectively. Table 7 Example of Structure of Rates D and DM Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Increase of the 2nd Energy Block Double that of the 1st - Rates D and DM Fixed charge (¢/day) 1st block block Rate Structure 2nd Ratio 2nd/1st D Demand DM Demand Charge Charge $/kW ¢/kWh April 1, 2007 40.64 5.29 7.03 1.33 5.46 1.35 -Current reform- 40.64 5.37 7.23 1.35 6.21 1.53 13.7% 13.3% 6.96 1.71 12.1% 11.8% 7.71 1.89 10.8% 10.5% April 1, 2008 April 1, 2009 April 1, 2010 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 40.64 5.44 7.44 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 40.64 5.52 7.66 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 1.37 1.39 In order to provide a more precise idea of the impacts of the evolution of domestic rates, a simulation of some typical cases was performed. As shown in the following Table, despite the heterogeneity among cases, the impacts remain acceptable considering the average increase. Given the greater increase of the second block and the freeze of the fixed charge, large consumers will be subject to a more significant increase while smaller consumers will be subject to a smaller increase. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 23 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 8 Rate Impact by Typical Case Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Increase of the 2nd Energy Block Double that of the 1st - Rates D and DM Customer 1st Block Apartment Building 62 840 kWh Large Customer 100 kW 411 700 kWh 10 950 kWh 124 160 kWh $2 968 $4 375 $30 001 $728 $8 507 $51 $73 $114 $976 $8 $172 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 1.2% 2.0% $41 $53 $75 $117 $996 $8 $175 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 1.2% 2.0% $30 $42 $54 $77 $119 $1 016 $9 $179 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 1.1% 2.0% Large Home electricity32 054 kWh Very Large Home 42 818 kWh Imposing Home $1 820 $ 2 211 $28 $40 1.5% 2.0% $12 $29 2.0% 1.5% $25 $12 2.0% 1.5% Average Rate D Customer 14 407 kWh Apartment $1220 $800 $1 406 $24 $12 2.0% $25 April 1, 2007 Small Home 11 590kWh 20 494 kWh Average Home -Heated with 26 484 kWh -Current reformApril 1, 2008 April 1, 2009 April 1, 2010 Using this scenario, Table 8 shows, for each year and using the billing data for 2006-2007, the allocation of bill increases on an annual basis. Rate impacts are very concentrated: nearly 86% of customers are subject to a rate increase ranging between 1 and 3%, while only 14% of customers are only subject to an increase below 1%. Only 0.1% of customers are subject to an increase ranging between 3% and 4%. Table 9 Rate Impact on Rate D Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Increase of the 2nd Energy Block Double that of the 1st Variation of the annual bill (%) Customer allocation (%) Less than 1 From 1 to 2 From 2 to 3 From 3 to 4 From 4 to 5 5 and over 14.1% 50.2% 35.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% Total 100.0% Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 24 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 2.3 Demand Charge The application of a demand charge for Rate D customers whose power demand exceeds 50 kW in winter17 makes it possible for customers who have the capacity to manage their winter peak to be subject to a price signal for power. These power demands in winter are generally associated with heating loads. As Table 3 shows, the marginal costs of transmission and distribution associated with space heating (1.81 ¢/kWh) differ from the marginal costs of transmission and distribution for all uses (1.27¢/kWh). The demand charge plays a role that is equivalent to the role of a third consumption block. In other words, it makes it possible to apply a higher price for consumption that is marginal to the second block.18 In doing so, for these customers, there is a clear link between their energy choices –between the management of their power demand in winter- and their bills, whereas a third energy block could not be associated with any specific consumption. 2.3.1 Benchmarking of the Capacity Invoice19 for Domestic Rates Among the utilities examined, only the Distributor applies a demand charge to domestic rates. However, the eligibility criteria for domestic rates imposed by other distributors are stricter than those of the Distributor because they tend to strictly limit the domestic rate to residential customers, to small farms or to mixed uses with a limit of only a few kW for power, and they even exclude the common areas of apartment buildings. Large customers billed by the Distributor at Rate D would therefore fall into the rate classes of other distributors that generally 17 This demand charge is associated with an electrical entrance that is superior to 200 amps and an annual consumption of 130 000 kWh. 18 An alternative would be to create a third energy block (see section 5). 19 In the present document the translator employs the term “capacity invoice” to refer to the demand charge billed by the Distributor for power (kW). Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 25 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application include a capacity invoice. The capacity invoice for Rate D thereby takes into consideration more lenient admissibility criteria. 2.3.2 Current Strategy for the Demand Charge Because the demand charge is a component upon which the customer can take action, since 2005, the Distributor has chosen to emphasize the use of a demand charge as a third block in order to give a price signal that reflects the avoided cost of power for heating. Consequently, in addition to the price of the second block, customers whose consumption exceeds 130 000 kWh would also have to pay the equivalent of the marginal cost of transmission and distribution for their additional consumption. The adjustments to the capacity invoice that began in 2005 have made it possible to increase the demand charge gradually to a level that more closely reflects the variance between the price of the second block and the price signal for heating. As shown in Table 7, under the current reform,20 the demand charge in 2010 is $7.71/kW, which translates into an additional 0.76 ¢/kWh for customers whose demand exceeds 50 kW in winter.21 For that same year, the second block rate is 7.66¢/kWh. For a customer who pays a demand charge, the rate for kWh marginal to those in the second block is therefore 8.42¢/kWh22 whereas the avoided cost for space heating in 2010 is estimated at 11.09¢/kWh (see Table 3). The proposed adjustments tend toward a better price signal. 20 The current reform corresponds to a freeze of the fixed charge, an increase of the second block that is twice that of the first block, and an annual increase of the demand charge of 75¢/kW. 21 Using a 47% load factor applicable to consumption exceeding 50 kW. 22 That is 7.66¢/kWh + 0.76¢/kWh Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 26 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 3. SCENARIOS RELATED TO THE FIXED CHARGE In its energy strategy, the Government asked Hydro-Quebec to submit a new rate structure to the Régie de l’énergie, including a more significant price variance than is currently the case but without modifying the Distributor’s overall revenue. One way to achieve this consists of reducing the fixed charge and making the increase on the second consumption block more significant, thus accentuating the price signal. The Distributor presents two scenarios involving a decrease of the fixed charge, one of 10% and another of 50%. 3.1 10% Decrease of the Fixed Charge A 10% decrease of the fixed charge has an impact on all domestic customers. In order to clearly demonstrate the impact of this modification, in Table 10 the Distributor shows the structure of Rates D and DM, using a hypothesis of constant revenues, in which a 10% decrease of the fixed charge is applied. Table 10 Example of Structure of Rates D and DM Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - 10% Decrease of Fixed Charge - Rates D and DM Fixed charge (¢/day) 1st block block Rate Structure 2nd Ratio 2nd/1st D Demand DM Demand Charge Charge $/kW ¢/kWh April 1, 2007 40.64 5.29 7.03 1.33 5.46 1.35 10% decrease of fixed charge & equivalent increase of 2nd block 36.58 5.29 7.20 1.36 5.46 1.35 -10.0% 0.0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 27 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application When a 10% reduction is applied, the fixed charge is 36.58¢/day, which no longer allows for metering and customer service costs to be covered. Table 11 shows the impacts of a 10% reduction of the fixed charge and an equivalent increase of the price of the second block on typical cases, using the assumption of constant revenues. The result is that only small consumers see a decrease in their bills while all other consumers would see an increase because the decrease in the fixed charge is not sufficient to compensate for the increase in price for the second block of energy. Table 11 Rate Impact by Typical Case Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - 10% Decrease of Fixed Charge for Rates D and DM - Rates D and DM April 1, 2007 Average Rate D Customer 14 407 kWh Apartment Small Home 11 590kWh 20 494 kWh Average Home -Heated with 26 484 kWh Customer 1st Block Apartment Building 62 840 kWh Large Customer 100 kW 411 700 kWh 10 950 kWh 124 160 kWh Large Home electricity32 054 kWh Very Large Home 42 818 kWh Imposing Home $1220 $800 $1 406 $1 820 $ 2 211 $2 968 $4 375 $30 001 $728 $8 507 Weight of fixed charge 12% 19% 11% 8% 7% 5% 3% 0% 20% 10% 10% decrease of fixed charge and equivalent increase of 2nd block $0 -$11 $2 $12 $22 $40 $75 $675 -$15 $15 0.0% -1.4% 0.2% 0,7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% -2.0% 0.2% 11% 17% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 0% 19% 9% Weight of fixed charge Table 12 shows that, for each year and using billing data for the years 20062007, nearly 62% of Rate D customers are subject to a very slight decrease. This decrease is explained by the fact that those customers benefit from a decrease of the fixed charge without however being affected by the rate increase of the second block. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 28 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 12 Rate Impact on Rate D Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - 10% Decrease of Fixed Charge Variation of the annual bill (%) Customer allocation (%) Less than -2 From –2 to -1 From –1 to 0 From 0 to 1 From 1 to 2 2 and over 26.6% 15.0% 19.9% 30.5% 7.7% 0.2% Total 100.0% 3.2 50% Decrease of the Fixed Charge A 50% decrease of the fixed charge reduces its weight relative to the average among other distributors. In Table 13, the Distributor shows the structure of Rates D and DM, using a hypothesis of constant revenues, in which a 50% decrease of the fixed charge is applied. Table 13 Example of Structure of Rates D and DM Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - 50% Decrease of Fixed Charge - Rates D and DM Fixed charge (¢/day) 1st block block Rate Structure 2nd Ratio 2nd/1st D Demand DM Demand Charge Charge $/kW ¢/kWh April 1, 2007 40.64 10% decrease of fixed charge & equivalent increase of 2nd block 20.32 -50.0% Original : 2007-08-01 5.29 7.03 1.33 5.29 7.89 1.49 0.0% 12.3% 5.46 1.35 5.46 1.35 0.0% 0.0% HQD-12, Document 3 Page 29 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application A 50% decrease of the fixed charge leads to a significant increase of the second block rate. However, a fixed charge thus reduced to 20.32¢/day, only covers approximately half of metering and customer service costs. Table 14 shows the impact of this scenario on typical cases. The result is that although a 50% decrease of the fixed charge increases the progressivity of domestic rates, it also generates a widespread dispersion of rate impacts. Table 14 Rate Impact by Typical Case Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - 50% Decrease of Fixed Charge for Rates D and DM - Rates D and DM April 1, 2007 Weight of fixed charge 10% decrease of fixed charge and equivalent increase of 2nd block Weight of fixed charge Average Rate D Customer 14 407 kWh Apartment Small Home $1220 $800 $1 406 12% 19% 11% 11 590kWh 20 494 kWh Customer 1st Block Apartment Building 62 840 kWh Large Customer 100 kW 411 700 kWh 10 950 kWh 124 160 kWh $2 968 $4 375 $30 001 $728 $8 507 5% 3% 0% 20% 10% Large Home electricity32 054 kWh Very Large Home 42 818 kWh Imposing Home $1 820 $ 2 211 8% 7% Average Home -Heated with 26 484 kWh $0 -$55 $12 $60 $108 $200 $373 $3 380 -$74 $75 0.0% -6.9% 0.9% 3.3% 4.9% 6.8% 8.5% 11.3% -10.2% 0.9% 6% 10% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 0% 11% 5% Table 15 also shows that, for each year and using billing data for 2006-2007, bill decreases and increases are spread over a large interval, ranging between less than –4% to 4% and more. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 30 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 15 Rate Impact on Rate D Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - 50% Decrease of Fixed Charge Variation of the annual bill (%) Customer allocation (%) Less than -4 From – 4 to -2 From –2 to 0 From 0 to 2 From 2 to 4 4 and over 45.2% 7.6% 8.8% 11.4% 13.4% 13.5% Total 100.0% 3.3 Analysis and Recommendation for a Decrease of the Fixed Charge Bonbright’s 6th principle suggests that a customer must pay the Distributor for his actual cost of service and the price signal of rates must give customers an incentive to optimize their energy choices. When setting the price of an electricity rate, the ratemaker must seek to achieve these two objectives in order to ensure an optimal impact for society. The Distributor believes that the scenarios examined in the present section do not allow for this optimal impact to be achieved. On the one hand, a 10% decrease of the fixed charge does not allow for a significant increase of the price signal of the second block. On the other hand, the 50% decrease goes against cost-causality. The shifting of costs means that the addition of new residential customers leads to expenses that exceed the revenues generated by the fixed charge. In turn, this translates into a need to increase the rates of all customers. Every new customer would generate further rate increases notwithstanding his consumption. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 31 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application However, if the objective is to increase the progressivity of Rate D, then decreasing the fixed charge is a better alternative than a rate decrease because it amounts to a decrease based on the least elastic component and it does not deteriorate the price signal for any domestic customer. It is relevant to reiterate that the current level of the fixed charge reflects the fixed costs attributable to metering and customer service. A decrease of the fixed charge would no longer make it possible to reflect these fixed costs and it would be unduly favourable to customers whose consumption is not regular throughout the year. This is the case of customers that have a cottage or that spend part of the winter outside of Quebec. It would also be favourable to customers who use a different energy source for space heating since they rarely consume electricity in the second block. For these reasons, the Distributor proposes to the Régie, to renew the freeze of the fixed charge for the coming years as long as the metering and customer service costs continue to be covered. 4. SCENARIOS FOR THE THRESHOLD OF THE FIRST ENERGY BLOCK In the following sections, the Distributor presents two scenarios of seasonal ratemaking based on the seasonal rate adopted in Ontario. 4.1 Winter Threshold of the First Block at 35 kWh/day As explained later in the document, in the Quebec context, a higher threshold in winter would dilute the price signal. This would be counter to one of the objectives set by the Régie in decision D-2006-34 and by the Government in its energy strategy. In fact, increasing the first block to 35 kWh/day for the winter period (equivalent to about 1000 kWh/month) would lead to billing an additional 5 kWh/day at the rate of the first block (5.29¢/kWh). However, this consumption should be billed at the rate of the second block (7.03¢/kWh) since it is generally related to winter uses that contribute to the system’s peak and create an upward pressure on the Distributor’s supply costs. In addition, fewer customers would be Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 32 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application billed at the rate of the second block. Consequently, these customers would be deprived of its price signal. Although it is unacceptable from the perspective of price signals, the Distributor shows the rate structure and impacts of this scenario in Tables 16 to 18. Table 16 Example of Structure of Rates D and DM Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - Energy Threshold in Winter at 35 kWh/Day Fixed charge (¢/day) Rates D and DM 1st block block Rate Structure 2nd Ratio 2nd/1st D Demand DM Demand Charge Charge $/kW ¢/kWh April 1, 2007 40.64 5.29 7.03 1.33 1.31 5.46 1.35 st Threshold of the 1 block in winter at 35 kWh and equivalent increase of price of 1st block Threshold of the 1st block in winter at 35 kWh and equivalent increase of price of 2nd block 40.64 5.37 7.03 0.0% 1.6% 0.0% 40.64 5.29 7.12 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1.35 5.46 1.35 0.0% 0.0% 5.46 1.35 0.0% 0.0% Increasing the threshold to 35 kWh/day in the winter period leads to billing 5% more kWh in the first block than using the annual threshold of 30 kWh/day. As a result, the number of customers that are only billed in the first block increases by 10%. Therefore, fewer customers are subject to the price signal of the second block. Conversely, large customers are subject to a more significant increase of their bills only because an increase in the consumption admissible in the first block is not high enough to compensate for the increase in the price of the second block. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 33 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 17 Rate Impact by Typical Case Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - Energy Threshold in Winter at 35 kWh/Day for Rates D and DM Customer 1st Block Apartment Building 62 840 kWh Large Customer 100 kW 411 700 kWh 10 950 kWh 124 160 kWh $2 968 $4 375 $30 001 $728 $8 507 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 $9 -$7 -0,1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% -0.1% -$2 $4 $9 $19 $38 $366 $0 -$10 -0.1% 0,2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 0.0% -0.1% Large Home electricity32 054 kWh Very Large Home 42 818 kWh Imposing Home $1 820 $ 2 211 -$1 -$1 -0.3% -0.1% $0 -$9 0.0% -1.1% Average Rate D Customer 14 407 kWh Apartment April 1, 2007 $1220 $800 $1 406 Threshold of the 1st block in winter at 35 kWh and equivalent increase of price of 1st block $0 -$2 0.0% Rates D and DM Small Home 11 590kWh 20 494 kWh Average Home -Heated with 26 484 kWh st Threshold of the 1 block in winter at 35 kWh and equivalent increase of price of 2nd block Table 18 shows the deterioration of the price signal resulting from an energy threshold of 35 kWh/day in the winter period. In fact, for a large majority of customers, an increase in either of the energy rates does not compensate for the effect of billing more kWh in the first block. Table 18 Rate Impact on Rate D Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - Energy Threshold in Winter at 35 kWh/Day – Allocation of customers (%) Variation of the annual bill (%) Rate increase of the 1st block Rate increase of the 2nd block Less than -2 From –2 to -1 From –1 to 0 From 0 to 1 From 1 to 2 2 and over 0.0 0.0 71.1 20.4 8.5 0.0 0.0 9.8 46.4 43.5 0.3 0.0 Total 100.0 100.0 Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 34 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application The Distributor believes that no economic justification exists to bill more kWh in the first block only to then increase energy prices, the price of the second block in particular. A good price signal is one that is geared towards the highest volume of consumption so that a greater number of customers may have access to a higher credit, which promotes energy efficiency. It would be more justified to decrease the threshold of the first block in the winter period so as to amplify the price signal. However, because this measure affects basic uses, it could have significant impacts on the entire customer base, more so since almost 70% of the population uses electricity for heating purposes. 4.2 Summer Threshold of the First Block at 25 kWh/day If we rely on the monthly allocation of basic requirements shown in Table 4, it could appear justified to decrease the threshold of the first block in the summer period, which goes from April 1st to November 30th as specified in the Distributor’s Distribution Tariff. In Table 19, the Distributor shows the structure of Rates D and DM, using constant revenues, in which the threshold of the first energy block is decreased to 25 kWh/day in the summer period. Table 4 shows that basic uses during the months of April, May and November exceed 25 kWh/day. Consequently, an energy threshold set at 25 kWh/day in summer leads to the risk of billing basic uses that are not elastic in the second block. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 35 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 19 Example of Structure of Rates D and DM Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - Energy Threshold in Summer at 25 kWh/Day - Rates D and DM Fixed charge (¢/day) 1st block block Rate Structure 2nd Ratio 2nd/1st D Demand DM Demand Charge Charge $/kW ¢/kWh April 1, 2007 40.64 5.29 7.03 Threshold of the 1st block in summer at 25 kWh and equivalent decrease of price of 1st block 40.64 5.15 7.03 0.0% -2.6% 0.0% Threshold of the 1st block in summer at 25 kWh and equivalent decrease of price of 2nd block 40.64 5.29 691 0.0% 0.0% -1.7% Threshold of the 1st block in summer at 25 kWh and equivalent decrease of the fixed charge 37.57 5.29 7.03 -7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 1.33 1.36 1.31 1.33 5.46 1.35 5.46 1.35 0.0% 0.0% 5.46 1.35 0.0% 0.0% 5.46 1.35 0.0% 0.0% A decrease in the threshold of the first energy block during the summer period must be compensated by a decrease of one of the rates or of the fixed charge. Table 20 shows the rate impacts of these structures on typical cases. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 36 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 20 Rate Impact by Typical Case Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - Energy Threshold in Summer at 25 kWh/Day for Rates D and DM Customer 1st Block Apartment Building 62 840 kWh Large Customer 100 kW 411 700 kWh 10 950 kWh 124 160 kWh $2 968 $4 375 $30 001 $728 $8 507 $8 $8 $8 $8 $8 $17 0,4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 1.1% 0.2% $2 $0 -$6 -$19 -$43 -$466 $20 $17 0.6% 0.1% 0,0% -0.3% -0.6% -1.0% -1.6% 2.7% 0.2% $0 -$3 $4 $9 $10 $10 $10 $10 $10 $29 0.0% -0.4% 0.3% 0,5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 1.4% 0.3% Large Home electricity32 054 kWh Very Large Home 42 818 kWh Imposing Home $1 820 $ 2 211 $2 $7 -0.3% 0.1% $0 $5 0.0% Average Rate D Customer 14 407 kWh Apartment April 1, 2007 $1220 $800 $1 406 Threshold of the 1st block in summer at 25 kWh and equivalent decrease of price of 1st block $0 -$4 0.0% Rates D and DM Small Home 11 590kWh 20 494 kWh Average Home -Heated with 26 484 kWh st Threshold of the 1 block in summer at 25 kWh and equivalent decrease of price of 2nd block st Threshold of the 1 block in summer at 25 kWh and equivalent decrease of the fixed charge A decrease in the price of the first block deteriorates the price signal for the 15% of customers that only consume energy in the first block or for 47% of kWh used in Rate D. Decreasing the price of the second block cancels out the effect of billing more kWh in the second block and it is unduly advantageous to large customers. A decrease in the fixed charge is the least prejudiced alternative in terms of the price signal since it does not directly affect energy prices. However, as explained earlier, a decrease in the fixed charge does not adhere to the causality of average costs and it is favourable to customers that do not consume energy throughout the year. Table 21 shows that a decrease in the price of the first block or the fixed charge lowers the price of the annual energy bill for over 50% of customers. Despite the fact that fewer customers would be subject to a decrease of their energy bills, the fact remains that 85% of customers that consume energy in the second block would be subject to a deterioration of the price signal, given the decrease in the Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 37 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application price of the second block. This would be counter to the main objective of the ratemaking reform. Table 21 Rate Impact on Rate D Using Hypothesis of Constant Revenues - Energy Threshold in Summer at 25 kWh/Day – Allocation of customers (%) Variation of the annual bill (%) Price decrease of the 1st block Price decrease of the 2nd block Decrease of the fixed charge Less than -2 From –2 to -1 From –1 to 0 From 0 to 1 From 1 to 2 2 and over 0.0 23.8 31.2 44.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 35.9 54.9 7.8 0.7 17.8 10.2 24.7 45.6 1.6 0.0 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 4.3 Analysis and Recommendations for Threshold of the First Block The capacity of residential customers to modify their consumption for uses excluding space heating is very low because the demand to which it is associated is not very elastic. In fact, in its report for Manitoba Hydro, NERA notes: "Customers with electric space heat capability are typically more elastic than those without, which implies that it is more important for them to face a marginal-cost based price signal in the heating season. This suggests that the first block size in an inverted block rate structure should be set low enough to put most customers with electric heat into the more efficient, marginal cost-based second block.”23 23 NERA Economic Consulting, “Review of time-of-use and inverted electric rate structures for application in Manitoba”, July 28, 2005. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 38 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application With the aim of improving the price signal, the Distributor deems it preferable to modify the price of the second block than to modify the threshold of the first block. On the one hand, modifying the threshold of the first block does not improve the marginal cost signal. On the other hand, it is difficult to clearly target customers affected by a significant modification to the rate structure itself. Given the risk of billing heating in the first block if the threshold is increased in the winter period, or the risk of billing basic requirements in the second block if the threshold of the first block in the summer period is decreased, the Distributor prefers to maintain the first block threshold at 30 kWh per day for both the winter and summer periods. Achieving a better price signal does not require the introduction of seasonal thresholds that make the rate more complex. The Distributor reiterates that it is preferable to accentuate the price signal by increasing energy prices without modifying the rate structure itself. Enhancing the price signal by increasing energy prices gives customers a direct incentive to adopt energy efficiency measures to minimize their bill increases. By doing so, the Distributor respects Bonbright’s 9th principle, which advocates rate simplicity, public acceptability and understanding. 5. ENERGY PRICE ADJUSTMENTS 5.1 Total Increase on the Second Block A rate increase made entirely on the second rate block constitutes an alternative to the current strategy of increasing the price of the second block twice as much as that of the first block. Table 22 shows the evolution of Rate D on the medium term by applying annual rate increases of 2% to this scenario.24 24 This scenario also assumes a freeze of the fixed charge and annual increases of the demand charges of 75¢/kW and 18¢/kW for Rates D and DM respectively. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 39 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 22 Example of Structure of Rates D and DM Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Total Increase on the Rate of the 2nd Energy Block Rates D and DM Rate Structure Fixed charge (¢/day) st 1 block block 2 nd Ratio 2nd/1st D Demand DM Demand Charge Charge $/kW ¢/kWh April 1, 2007 40.64 5.29 7.03 1.33 5.46 1.35 Scenarios- 40.64 5.29 7.31 1.38 6.21 1.53 April 1 2008 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 13.7% 13.3% April 1 2009 April 1 2010 40.64 5.29 7.60 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% 40.64 5.29 7.89 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% 1.44 1.49 6.96 1.71 12.1% 11.8% 7.71 1.89 10.8% 10.5% Although an increase made entirely on the price of the second block improves the price signal more rapidly, this scenario assumes a freeze of the price of the first block. Consequently, the price signal for 51% of Rate D customers would show no improvement at all. Moreover, the 463 368 customers (18% of customers) that only consume energy in the first block are not subject to any increase of electricity rates given a freeze of the fixed charge and the price of the first block. It should also be noted that 71% of customers are only billed at the rate of the first block at least once a year. In a context in which all kWh consumed cost about 10¢/kWh, it is inefficient to freeze the price signal for such a large number of customers. Table 23 shows the impacts of a rate increase that is made entirely on the price of the second block. A freeze of the price of the first block almost completely mitigates the price signal for small customers; coupled with the significant price increase of the second block, this scenario generates a greater dispersion of rate impacts. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 40 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 23 Rate Impact by Typical Case Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Total Increase on the price of the 2nd Energy Block - Rates D and DM Average Rate D Customer 14 407 kWh Apartment $1220 $800 April 1, 2007 Small Home 11 590kWh 20 494 kWh $1 406 Average Home -Heated with 26 484 kWh Customer 1st Block Apartment Building 62 840 kWh Large Customer 100 kW 411 700 kWh 10 950 kWh 124 160 kWh $4 375 $30 001 $728 $8 507 Large Home electricity32 054 kWh Very Large Home 42 818 kWh Imposing Home $ 2 211 $2 968 $1 820 -ScenariosApril 1, 2008 April 1, 2009 April 1, 2010 $24 $6 $28 $44 $60 $90 $146 $1 282 $0 $170 2.0% 0.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% 4.3% 0.0% 2.0% $25 $6 $29 $45 $61 $92 $149 $1 304 $0 $174 2.0% 0.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 0.0% 2.0% 25$ $7 $29 $46 $62 $94 $152 $1 328 $0 $177 2.0% 0.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% 4.1% 0.0% 2.0% Using billing data for 2006-2007, Table 24 shows the allocation of bill increases on an annual basis: 39% of customers are subject to an increase below 1% of which 18% are subject to a freeze of their bill. This confirms that the price signal is significantly mitigated. Table 24 Rate Impact for Rate D Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Total Increase on the Price of the 2nd Energy Block Variation of the annual bill (%) Customer allocation (%) Less than 1 From 1 to 2 From 2 to 3 From 3 to 4 From 4 to 5 5 and over 39.2 26.2 31.9 2.7 0.1 0.0 Total 100.0 Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 41 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 5.2 Analysis and Recommendation for Energy Price Adjustments Taking into account the requests made by the Government, fuel prices, and marginal price signals in particular, the Distributor considers it preferable to continue increasing the price of the second block twice as much as the first in order to improve the price signal while limiting rate impacts on customers. The Distributor’s proposal has the additional advantage of improving the price signal for the first block, which is not insignificant given that the increase of supply costs affects all customers. The Distributor believes it is possible to emphasize the price signal of the last kWh consumed by adding an additional reform of the capacity invoice (see section 7) to the current energy-price reform. 6. INTRODUCTION OF A THIRD BLOCK Introducing a third consumption block is one of the options considered by the government in its energy strategy as a way to increase the price variance between the two blocks of Rate D. This would assign a larger relative portion of the Distributor’s revenue requirement to the largest electricity consumers, thereby reducing the share of smaller consumers. As mentioned earlier, the two current blocks of consumption of Rate D were historically associated with different uses. The first block covered basic uses while the second mainly covered heating. No other use or level of consumption would naturally define a third block. To this effect, Figure 2 demonstrates that the distribution of annual consumptions of residential customers is smooth and devoid significant ruptures; this distribution of annual consumption does not make it possible to isolate a distinct and easily identifiable group of large customers who would be targeted by a third consumption block. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 42 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Figure 2 Distribution of Rate D Customers by Annual Consumption block The only way to define an additional consumption block is to arbitrarily subdivide the second consumption block. The sections that follow examine three thresholds for the third block: 60, 100 or 150 kWh/day. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 43 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 6.1 Threshold of the Third Block at 60 kWh/day Setting a third consumption block as of 60 kWh/day makes it possible to divide in half the total consumption billed in the second block. Since, under the current structure of Rate D, total consumption is about equally divided in each of the two blocks, that means that with a third block starting at 60 kWh/day, 51% of consumption for Rate D would be billed in the first block, 25% in the second block and, finally, 24% in the third block. In theory, on an annual basis, a third block set at 60 kWh/day would affect 774 000 customers (30% of customers in the sample) whose annual consumption exceeds 21 900 kWh. However, given the seasonal nature of individual consumption profiles, nearly 1 487 000 customers or 57% of Rate D customers, would be billed in the third block. Among them, 570 000 customers consume less than 20 000 kWh per year. Consequently, although the introduction of a third block seeks to increase the price signal for the largest consumers, some small customers would also be affected. In Table 25, the Distributor shows the impacts on rate components that would result from the introduction, in 2009, of a third consumption block at 60 kWh/day coupled with a 2% annual increase, over the specified period. To avoid freezing the price signal of the first energy block, the price of the first block was increased at the same pace as under the current reform.25 25 In compliance with the current reform the Distributor continues a freeze of the fixed charge and the annual increase of the demand charges for Rates D and DM of 75¢/kW and 18¢/kW respectively. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 44 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 25 Example of Structure of Rates D and DM Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009 at 60 kWh/day 1st block block Fixed charge (¢/day) Rates D and DM 2nd block Rate Structure 3rd Ratio 2nd/1st Ratio 3rd/2nd D Demand DM Demand Charge Charge $/kW ¢/kWh 40.64 5.29 7.03 7.03 1.33 1.00 5.46 1.35 40.64 5.37 7.23 7.23 1.35 1.00 6.21 1.53 April 1, 2008 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 2.9% 13.7% 13.3% April 1, 2009 40.64 5.44 7.37 7.51 6.96 1.71 0.0% 1.4% 1.9% 3.9% 12.1% 11.8% April 1, 2007 -Scenarios- April 1, 2010 40.64 5.52 7.52 7.80 0.0% 1.4% 1.9% 3.8% 1.35 1.36 1.02 1.04 7.71 1.89 10.8% 10.5% Table 26 shows the impacts of this scenario on typical cases. For almost all of the cases examined the price signal decreases given the lower price increase of the second block. Only customers who consume as many kWh in the third block as they do in the second block would be truly affected by the introduction of a third energy block. Table 26 Rate Impact by Typical Case Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009 at 60 kWh/day - Rates D and DM April 1, 2007 Customer 1st Block Apartment Building 62 840 kWh Large Customer 100 kW 411 700 kWh 10 950 kWh 124 160 kWh $2 968 $4 375 $30 001 $728 $8 507 $51 $73 $114 $976 $8 $172 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 1.2% 2.0% $30 $38 $59 $105 $1 221 $9 $134 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 3.9% 1.2% 1.5% $22 $31 $38 $60 $107 $1 250 $9 $136 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 3.9% 1.2% 1.5% Large Home electricity32 054 kWh Very Large Home 42 818 kWh Imposing Home $1 820 $ 2 211 $28 $40 1.5% 2.0% $10 $22 2.0% 1.3% 25$ $11 2.0% 1.3% Average Rate D Customer 14 407 kWh Apartment Small Home Average Home -Heated with 11 590kWh 20 494 kWh 26 484 kWh $1220 $800 $1 406 $24 $12 2.0% $25 -ScenariosApril 1, 2008 April 1, 2009 April 1, 2010 Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 45 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 6.2 Threshold of the Third Block at 100 kWh/day A third consumption block that would begin at 100 kWh/day would make it possible to target 10% of kWh consumed in Rate D. In theory, it affects customers whose consumption exceeds 36 500 kWh (approximately 124 000 or 5% of customers in the sample). However, given the seasonal nature of individual consumption profiles, over 818 000 or 31% of customers, would be billed in the third block including about 54 500 who consume less than 20 000 kWh per year. In Table 27, the Distributor shows the impacts on rate components that would result from the introduction, in 2009, of a third consumption block at 100 kWh/day coupled with a 2% annual increase, over the specified period.26 Table 27 Example of Structure of Rates D and DM Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009 at 100 kWh/day Rates D and DM Fixed charge (¢/day) April 1, 2007 40.64 -ScenariosApril 1, 2008 April 1, 2009 April 1, 2010 Rate Structure Ratio 1st block 2nd block 3rdblock 2nd/1st ¢/kWh 5.29 7.03 Ratio 3rd/2nd 7.03 1.33 1.00 1.35 1.00 40.64 5.37 7.23 7.23 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 2.9% 40.64 5.44 7.41 7.58 0.0% 1.4% 2.4% 4.8% 40.64 5.52 7.58 7.94 0.0% 1.4% 2.4% 4.8% 1.36 1.37 1.02 1.05 D Demand DM Demand Charge Charge $/kW 5.46 6.21 1.53 13.7% 13.3% 6.96 1.71 12.1% 11.8% 7.71 1.89 10.8% 10.5% 26 As with the threshold for the third block examined previously, the Distributor doubles the price of the third block compared with the price of the second block without reducing the increase of the first block, in compliance with the current reform. The Distributor continues to freeze the fixed charge and the annual increase of the demand charges for Rates D and DM of 75¢/kW and 18¢/kW respectively. Original : 2007-08-01 1.35 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 46 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 28 shows that a third energy block set at 100 kWh/day leads to a deterioration of the price signal in most cases. Only customers who consume as many kWh in the third block as they do in the second block would be subject to a greater rate impact than under the current reform. Table 28 Rate Impact by Typical Case Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009 at 100 kWh/day - Rates D and DM April 1, 2007 Average Rate D Customer 14 407 kWh Apartment $1220 $800 Small Home Average Home -Heated with 11 590kWh 20 494 kWh 26 484 kWh $1 406 $1 820 Customer 1st Block Apartment Building 62 840 kWh Large Customer 100 kW 411 700 kWh 10 950 kWh 124 160 kWh $4 375 $30 001 $728 $8 507 Large Home electricity32 054 kWh Very Large Home 42 818 kWh Imposing Home $ 2 211 $2 968 -ScenariosApril 1, 2008 April 1, 2009 April 1, 2010 $24 $12 $28 $40 $51 $73 $114 $976 $8 $172 2.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 1.2% 2.0% $25 $11 $26 $36 $45 $71 $129 $1 479 $9 $155 2.0% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 4.8% 1.2% 1.8% 25$ $11 $26 $36 $46 $73 $132 $1 528 $9 $157 2.0% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 4.7% 1.2% 1.8% 6.3 Threshold of the Third Block at 150 kWh/day A third consumption block starting at 150 kWh/day would allow to target 4% of kWh consumed in Rate D. In theory, the consumption of customers affected by this block exceeds 54 750 kWh/year, representing approximately 26 000 or 1% of customers in the sample. Again, given the seasonal nature of individual consumption profiles, 234 000 or almost 9% of customers, would in fact be billed in the third block. However, the threshold of the third block would be sufficiently high to exclude the very large majority of small customers. Nonetheless, it affects almost 1 600 customers who consume less than 20 000 kWh per year. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 47 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application In Table 29, the Distributor shows the impacts on rate components that would result from the introduction, in 2009, of a third consumption block at 150 kWh/day coupled with a 2% annual increase, over the specified period.27 As with the thresholds for the third block examined previously, the Distributor increases the price of the third block twice as much as the price of the second block without reducing the increase of the first block, in compliance with the current reform. Table 29 Example of Structure of Rates D and DM Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009 at 150 kWh/day - Rates D and DM Fixed charge (¢/day) 1st block block 2nd block Rate Structure 3rd Ratio 2nd/1st Ratio 3rd/2nd D Demand DM Demand Charge Charge $/kW ¢/kWh April 1, 2007 -ScenariosApril 1, 2008 April 1, 2009 April 1, 2010 40.64 5.29 7.03 7.03 1.33 1.00 5.46 1.35 40.64 5.37 7.23 7.23 1.35 1.00 6.21 1.53 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 2.9% 13.7% 13.3% 40.64 5.44 7.43 7.62 6.96 1.71 0.0% 1.4% 2.7% 5.3% 12.1% 11.8% 40.64 5.52 7.62 8.02 7.71 1.89 0.0% 1.4% 2.6% 5.3% 10.8% 10.5% 1.36 1.38 1.03 1.05 Contrary to the thresholds of 60 kWh and 100 kWh/day, a third block set at 150 kWh/day increases the price signal of the largest customers without decreasing too significantly the price signal of smaller customers since the price of the second block is only slightly lower than the price under the current reform. 27 The Distributor continues to freeze the fixed charge and the annual increase of the demand charges for Rates D and DM of 75¢/kW and 18¢/kW respectively. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 48 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 30 Rate Impact by Typical Case Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009 at 150 kWh/day - Rates D and DM April 1, 2007 Customer 1st Block Apartment Building 62 840 kWh Large Customer 100 kW 411 700 kWh 10 950 kWh 124 160 kWh $2 968 $4 375 $30 001 $728 $8 507 $51 $73 $114 $976 $8 $172 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 1.2% 2.0% $38 $49 $78 $142 $1 620 $9 $166 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 5.2% 1.2% 1.9% $28 $39 $50 $80 $146 $1 683 $9 $169 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 5.2% 1.2% 1.9% Large Home electricity32 054 kWh Very Large Home 42 818 kWh Imposing Home $1 820 $ 2 211 $28 $40 1.5% 2.0% $12 $27 2.0% 1.4% 25$ $12 2.0% 1.4% Average Rate D Customer 14 407 kWh Apartment Small Home Average Home -Heated with 11 590kWh 20 494 kWh 26 484 kWh $1220 $800 $1 406 $24 $12 2.0% $25 -ScenariosApril 1, 2008 April 1, 2009 April 1, 2010 6.4 Analysis and Recommendation for a Third Consumption Block Adding a third consumption block to the current rate structure dilutes the price signal and leads to a more significant dispersion of impacts than the base scenario. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 49 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 31 Summary of Energy Price Increases - Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009 - Rates D and DM Price of energy 3rd 1st block 2nd block block ¢/kWh Energy price increase 3rd 1st block 2nd block block Variance relative to 2008 price -Scenarios for April 1, 20092nd block at 30 kWh/day 5.44 7.44 3rd block at 60 kWh/day 5.44 7.37 3rd block at 100 kWh/day 5.44 3rd block at 150 kWh/day 5.44 1.4% 2.9% 7.51 1.4% 1.9% 3.9% 7.41 7.58 1.4% 2.4% 4.8% 7.43 7.62 1.4% 2.7% 5.3% In fact, a rate structure that includes a third block implies an increase in the price of the second block that is inferior to the increase applied to the current two-block structure. The slow progression in the price of the second block leads to a deterioration of the price signal for customers who only consume energy in the first and second blocks: 43%, 69% or 91% of customers if the thresholds are set at 60, 100 or 150 kWh/day respectively. Moreover, a third energy block at a higher price does not guarantee an improvement of the price signal for larger consumers because the price signal is not significant for them. In fact, several among them do not consume a sufficient volume of kWh in the third block to compensate for the deterioration of the price signal that stems from the lower price of the second block. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 50 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 32 Summary of Rate Impact by Typical Case - Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009Customer 1st Block Apartment Building 62 840 kWh 10 950 kWh 124 160 kWh 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 3.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 4.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 5.2% 1.2% 1.9% Very Large Home 42 818 kWh Imposing Home 2.2% 2.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 1.9% Apartment 2nd block at 30kWh/day 2.0% 1.5% 2.0% 3rd block at 60 kWh/day 2.0% 1.3% 3rd block kWh/day 2.0% 2.0% Rates D and DM Large Customer 100 kW 411 700 kWh Large Home electricity32 054 kWh Average Rate D Customer 14 407 kWh Small Home Average Home -Heated with 11 590kWh 20 494 kWh 26 484 kWh -Scenarios April 1, 2009 at 3rd block at 150 kWh/day 100 Table 33 shows the allocation of rate impacts using the 2006-2007 sample. A larger proportion of customers are subject to bill increases that are lower than the average increase, confirming a deterioration of the price signal for several customers. Moreover, none of the three-block structures examined has the effect of significantly increasing the price signal when compared with the existing twoblock structure in which the price of the second block increases twice as quickly as the first. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 51 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 33 Summary of Rate Impacts Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009 Allocation of customers (%) Variation of the annual bill (%) 2nd block at 30 kWh/day 3rd block at 60 kWh/day 3rd block at 100 kWh/day 3rd block at 150 kWh/day Less than 1 From 1 to 2 From 2 to 3 From 3 to 4 From 4 to 5 5 and over 14.1 50.2 35.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.2 57.2 27.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 14.0 64.2 20.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 13.9 60.3 24.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Table 34 shows that a very large proportion of customers are subject to a decrease of their bill when a third block is introduced (between 62.5% and 75.9% of customers depending on the threshold used) while less than one third of customers are subject to an increase of their bill. However, as shown in previous sections, the third block does not spare small customers. Table 34 Summary of Rate Impacts Using Constant Revenues - Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009- Impact relative to the two-block structure 3rd block at 60 kWh/day 3rd block at 100 kWh/day Allocation of Customers (%) Average Impacts % Allocation of Customers (%) Bill Decrease Bill Freeze Bill Increase 62.5 4.6 32.9 -0.15 0.00 0.09 70.6 4.8 24.6 -0.14 0.00 0.11 75.9 5.1 19.0 -0.08 0.00 0.07 Total 100.0 -0.07 100.0 -0.07 100.0 -0.05 Original : 2007-08-01 Average Impacts (%) 3rd block at 150 kWh/day Allocation of Customers (%) Average Impacts (%) HQD-12, Document 3 Page 52 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Moreover, the slower progression of the price of the second block could promote consumption for some uses. This is notably the case, among others, of air conditioning for which consumption levels often range between 30 and 100 kWh/day in summer. The Distributor wishes to reiterate that a structural change must ensure the application of a sufficiently high price for a significant volume of kWh and for a significant number of customers. Table 35 demonstrates introducing a third block neither has an impact on a significant volume of kWh nor does it affect a significant number of customers. Table 35 Summary of Allocation of Consumption and Customers in the 3rd Block -Introduction of a 3rd Energy Block in 2009Allocation of consumption (%) 1 block 2nd block 3rd block Customers in 3rd block (%) 2nd block at 30kWh/day 51 49 - - 3rd block at 60 kWh/day 51 25 24 57 3 block at 100 kWh/day 51 40 10 31 3rd block at 150 kWh/day 51 45 4 9 Rates D and DM st -Scenarios April 1, 2009- rd The Distributor believes that a third block leads to more inconveniences than it has advantages. Since the main objective is to intensify the price signal, it can only be achieved via a third block with a sufficiently high threshold to affect a small percentage of kWh in Rate D, without affecting the price signal for small customers. Yet, the higher the threshold, the fewer the customers that will be affected. Moreover, a third block adds complexity to the rate structure of all customers. In addition, the benchmarking that was carried out shows that few distributors offer rates with more than two blocks and, in terms of consumption, the three-block rate structures surveyed are generally equivalent to the two-block structure of Rate D. The Distributor wishes to restate that the demand charge Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 53 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application applied to Rate D already plays the role of a third block in a more effective manner. The reform that led to an increase in the price of the second block that is twice that of the first block has significantly improved the price signal to large consumers over the past three years. 7. PROPOSED REFORM OF THE CAPACITY INVOICE FOR RATE D The capacity invoice billed in winter at Rate D reflects the fact that the Distributor’s main grid was conceived to meet the winter peak. However, it has two main gaps. First, the present capacity invoice for Rate D does not give customers any incentive to manage their power demand in the summer period. This absence of an incentive is particularly problematic in a context in which there is only a very small variance between long-term marginal costs in summer and in winter. In addition, the current structure of Rate D involves billing real power demand expressed in kW while Rates G and M bill the higher of: real power demand expressed in kW and 90% of apparent power demand expressed in kVA.28 Domestic customers do not have any incentive to install capacitors to improve their power factor. Because a bad power factor increases losses on the system and leads to voltage fluctuations on electricity lines, the Distributor must then install additional equipment to maintain the characteristics of voltage quality within its defined targets. It is all of the Distributor’s customers that must bear those costs. The absence of billing for apparent power in Rate D therefore creates an injustice that must be corrected. 28 For Rate L, the billing of kVA applies to customers whose load factor is below 95%. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 54 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application To compensate for these gaps, the Distributor recommends a new reform of the capacity invoice. This reform deals with several facets of the capacity invoice. With the aim of expanding the price signal for power to improve the management of power demands, the Distributor proposes to bill power exceeding 50 kW on an annual basis. This modification will allow the demand charge to fulfill a role that is similar to a third block throughout the year. To limit rate impacts, it is expected that a demand charge that is applicable in the summer period will be introduced as of April 1, 2009. The Distributor will increase this demand charge by 63¢/kW29 per year until it reaches the level of the winter demand charge. The Distributor does not exclude the possibility of accelerating this reform in accordance with customers’ consumption management efforts. In order for the summer demand charge to reach the level of the winter demand charge, the Distributor chooses to freeze the winter demand charge at its price on April 1, 2008. However, this freeze does not mean that the Distributor renounces to improving the price signal of the demand charge in winter. Rather, the Distributor prefers that this objective be achieved via the introduction of an automatic mechanism to set a minimum billing demand, equal to 65% of the maximum power demand that falls wholly in the winter period. 29 10% of the winter demand charge applicable on March 31, 2009 under the condition that the result is divisible by 30. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 55 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 36 Example of Structure of Rate D Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase - Billing Reform of the Capacity Invoice in 2009 - Rate D Fixed charge (¢/day) 1st block block Rate Structure 2nd Ratio 2nd/1st Winter Demand Charge D $/kW ¢/kWh April 1, 2007 -ScenariosApril 1, 2008 April 1, 2009 April 1, 2010 40.64 5.29 7.03 1.33 5.46 40.64 5.37 7.23 1.35 6.21 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 40.64 5.44 7.44 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 40.64 5.52 7.65 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 13.7% 1.37 - 6.21 0.0% 1.39 Summer Demand Charge D $/kW 6.21 0.0% 0.63 1.26 When the summer demand charge reaches the level of the winter demand charge, it will be $6.21/kW throughout the year, which is equivalent to 1.84¢/kWh.30 Billing for power on an annul basis allows to improve the price signal of customers whose consumption exceeds 50 kW more quickly. For example, a demand charge applicable only in the winter period must reach $18.73/kW to reach a similar price signal. However, even at that level the demand charge does not provide any incentive to customers to manage their summer consumption. With the aim of eliminating the injustice created by the fact that only real power demand expressed in kW is billed in Rate D, the Distributor recommends the 30 Using a 47% load factor applicable to consumption beyond 50kW. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 56 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application introduction, as of April 1, 2009, of billing apparent power demand expressed in kVA for customers whose power factor is below 90%.31 Table 37 shows an actual example of a customer affected by the reform of the capacity invoice. All things being equal, this customer is affected as much by the introduction of the automatic mechanism to set minimum billing demand as by the annual application of the capacity invoice. Table 37 Example of Rate Impact for Rate D Using Hypothesis of 2% Rate Increase in 2009 - Billing Reform of the Capacity invoice25-04 to 08-08 2006-2007 Billing periods Days Winter days 09-08 to 23-08 24-08 to 21-09 22-09 to 23-10 24-10 to 21-11 22-11 to 19-12 20-12 to 18-01 19-01 to 21-02 22-02 to 22-03 23-03 to 23-04 24-04 to 23-05 Total 77 0 15 0 29 0 32 0 29 0 28 19 30 30 34 34 29 29 32 9 30 0 14 520 2 310 12 210 4 320 450 3 870 3 960 870 3 090 15 300 960 14 340 63 540 870 62 670 21 060 840 20 220 10 800 900 9 900 9 720 1 020 8 700 8 280 870 7 410 5 940 960 4 980 5 940 900 5 040 51 53 42 53 24 53 174 53 210 53 194 53 82 53 56 53 71 53 34 53 31 53 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 124 0 160 144 144 32 32 6 6 21 21 0 3 0 3 203 504 15% 29% 24% 11% 43% 16% 18% 21% 17% 23% 27% 9% before reform after reform 1 038 1 071 310 320 282 291 1 101 1 215 4 590 4 819 2 085 2 155 975 996 740 759 720 736 425 443 425 438 12 690 13 244 Rate Impact 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 10.4% 5.0% 3.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.2% 4.4% 3.1% 4.4% CONSUMPTION (KWH) 1ST block 2nd block Maximum Power Demand (KW) Minimum Billing Demand (KW) – 65% 365 121 163 380 10 950 152 430 Capacity Invoice (KW) Before reform After reform Load Factor Bill To April 1, 2008 To April 1, 2009 Table 38 shows the allocation of bill increases on an annual basis, for each year and using 2006-2007 billing data. Rate impacts remain very concentrated: fewer than 0.1% of customers are subject to a bill increase that is superior to 3%. The number of customers that have a capacity invoice goes from 2 538 to 2 777. 31 The maximum power demand would then correspond to the higher of: real power demand expressed in kW and 90% of apparent power demand expressed in kVA. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 57 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 38 Rate Impacts for Rate D Using Hypothesis of 2% Rate Increase in 2009 -Billing Reform of the Capacity InvoiceVariation blocks of the annual bill (%) Allocation of customers (%) Current reform Reform of billing for power charge Less than 1 From 1 to 2 From 2 to 3 From 3 to 4 From 4 to 5 5 and over 14.1 50.2 35.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.6 51.1 34.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total 100.0 100.0 The Distributor estimates that, in practice, the impact of changes to the capacity invoice can be minimized. To do so, customers affected by the change must adopt more appropriate behaviour by optimizing their power demand or by installing capacitors if necessary. Moreover, such customers will have access to technical support from the Distributor. 8. PROPOSED REFORM TO RATE DM Rate DM is a rate that is similar to Rate D but adapted to bulk metering. It applies to a contract for electricity delivered to an apartment building or community residence with dwellings for which bulk metering was selected. The singularity of Rate DM resides in the multiplier applied to the number of dwellings, in the calculation of the fixed charge, and in the threshold of the first block. Rate DM was introduced to ensure that bulk metered customers were subject to similar rates as individually metered customers that are subject to Rate D. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 58 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Since its introduction in 1975, Rate DM has followed the evolution of Rate D. In fact, the fixed charge and energy prices are identical. Only the demand charge is different. The demand charge for Rate DM is lower than the demand charge for Rate D. Due to bulk metering, the demand charge for Rate DM applies to all the charges of the building. However, in the case of buildings with individual metering subject to Rate D, the power demand applicable only to common areas and collective services are subject to a capacity invoice since the power demand of dwellings is not significant enough to be billed. Therefore, the application of a lower demand charge for Rate DM, on average, seeks to bill the power demand of common areas and collective services of apartment buildings subject to Rate DM in the same way that power demand is billed for a building subject to rate D. Benchmarking of Rates Applicable to Apartment Buildings Rates that are applicable to apartment buildings depend, above all, on the type of metering that is installed: individual or bulk. For apartment buildings with units that are metered separately, the dwellings are eligible to the same domestic rate as single-family homes. Among several North American distributors, only individual metering is permitted, bulk metering is closed to new apartment buildings. In fact, some American distributors have forbidden bulk metering to new customers since 1976, but it is mostly following the adoption of the 1978 Public Utilities Regulation Policy Act that many other states did the same because bulk metering for new apartment buildings was an obstacle to the efficient us of electricity. In Canada, EPCOR, FortisAlberta, and Newfoundland Power forbid bulk metering to new customers. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 59 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Apartment buildings that do have bulk metering can be eligible to domestic rates but their eligibility is generally limited to a maximum number of dwellings. 32 As for collective uses (or common areas), they are usually billed at the general rate. This is the case irrespective of metering. When they are eligible to the domestic rate, there is often a limitation to small apartment buildings or in terms of the power level. 8.1 Closing Rate DM Contrary to individually metered customers who modify their energy behaviour when they are subject to a bill increase, the occupants of a collectively metered dwelling do not have any direct monetary incentive to reduce their electricity consumption33 and there are few ways to compensate for the absence of an adequate price signal. In a context in which improving the price signal is of particular importance, it is necessary to avoid that new apartment buildings choose bulk metering. It is for this reason that the Distributor proposes to close Rate DM for new contracts. In this way, the Distributor reserves access to Rate DM for the 200 000 residential customers that currently have access to it. If an entrepreneur opted for bulk metering after April 1, 2008, the new apartment buildings would henceforth be eligible to Rate D. In reality, this measure will affect few customers since in Quebec, customers tend to choose individual metering over bulk metering.34 32 The maximum number of dwellings that are eligible ranges between 4 and 9. Ontario Hydro estimated that bulk metering for apartment buildings increases electricity consumption by 40% and more (Energy Probe, May 25, 1998). 34 In Quebec, approximately 94% of customers are individually metered while in Ontario this rate is only 15%. 33 Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 60 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application 8.2 Capacity Invoice for Rate DM As mentioned earlier, Rate DM was introduced to ensure that bulk metered customers were subject to similar rates as individually metered customers subject to Rate D. For example, the dwelling of an average customer subject to Rate DM includes 9 dwellings and consumes approximately 110 000 kWh on an annual basis. In this scenario, the unit price paid is 6.68¢/kWh and it is equivalent to the unit price of 6.65¢/kWh that a customer would have paid if the building was individually metered and included 10 contracts subject to Rate D (one contract for each of the 9 dwellings and another one for common areas). It is important that the energy prices subject to Rate DM be equivalent to those of Rate D since, on the one hand, the current energy price structure ensures an equivalent treatment between bulk-and individually metered customers. On the other hand, the application of an identical price structure for Rate D and Rate DM facilitates customers’ understanding of rates. Consequently, the Distributor does not intend to disassociate the evolution of energy prices for Rate DM to the evolution of energy prices for Rate D. The capacity invoice for Rate DM should also be equivalent to the capacity invoice for Rate D. Therefore, the Distributor proposes to increase the demand charge for Rate DM on April 1, 2009 to the level of Rate D and proposes to apply the elements of the power reform proposed for Rate D.35 In addition to harmonizing the capacity invoice for Rate D and Rate DM, the proposed reform also allows to improve the price signal for power to incite apartment buildings to better manage their power. To limit the rate impacts resulting from an increase of the demand charge and to ensure rate neutrality, the Distributor introduced a new threshold for the capacity invoice per dwelling. The capacity invoice for Rate DM therefore applies to the 35 Annual capacity invoice, automatic mechanism to set minimum billing demand and billing apparent power demand. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 61 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application portion exceeding the higher of: 50 kW, and the product of the threshold per dwelling and the multiplier. The Distributor sets this threshold at 4 kW per dwelling so as to ensure the neutrality of revenues for power. In fact, the current demand charge for Rate DM applied to the part exceeding 50 kW, generates the same revenues for power as an equivalent demand charge for Rate D applied on the portion exceeding the higher of: 50 KW and 4 kW and the product of the number of dwellings. This reform of the capacity invoice for Rate DM mainly affects buildings with 12 dwellings or less that have a very significant power demand.36 Table 39 shows the structure of Rate DM, as modified by this reform of the capacity invoice, as well as the impacts on typical cases. Table 39 Evolution of DM Rate Structure and Rate Impacts Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase in 2009 Rate Structure Rate DM Fixed charge (¢/day) 1st block block 2nd Ratio nd 2 /1 ¢/kWh Winter DM Demand Charge st Summer DM Demand Charge $/kW Average DM customer Apartment Building 12 004 kWh 112 513kWh 124 160 kWh April 1, 2007 40.64 5.29 7.03 1.33 1.35 - $7 959 $8 507 -Scenarios- 40.64 5.37 7.23 1.35 1.53 - April 1 2008 April 1 2009 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% $137 1.7% $172 2.0% 40.64 5.44 7.44 1.37 6.21 0.63 $87 $174 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 1.1% 2.0% 40.64 5.52 7.65 132 $178 0.0% 1.4% 2.9% 1.6% 2.0% April 1 2010 1.39 6.21 1.26 Table 40 shows, for each year and using billing data for 2006-2007, the allocation of bill increases on an annual basis. Rate impacts remain very concentrated: 2.5% of customers are subject to an increase that exceeds 3%. However, as discussed earlier, these impacts can be lessened by optimizing power management. 36 The capacity invoice for a building with 12 dwellings remains 50 kW while the demand charge is higher. Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 62 of 63 Hydro- Québec Distribution R-3644-2007 Application Table 40 Rate Impact on Rate DM Using Hypothesis of 2% Annual Increase in 2009 - Billing Reform of the Capacity InvoiceVariation of the annual bill (%) Customer allocation (%) Less than 1 From 1 to 2 From 2 to 3 From 3 to 4 From 4 to 5 5 and over 23.4 64.1 10.0 1.1 0.6 0.8 Total 100.0 Original : 2007-08-01 HQD-12, Document 3 Page 63 of 63