Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 PLANNING FOR THE TRANSMISSION NETWORK Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 1 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. CONTEXT .....................................................................................................................4 2. PLANNING METHOD OF THE TRANSMISSION NETWORK .................................... 5 2.1 Design and Planning of the Transmission Network ................................................ 5 2.2 Planning Process of the Transmission Network...................................................... 8 3. PROJECTED INVESTMENTS AND NEW DEVELOPMENTS OVER A 10-YEAR PERIOD ............................................................................................................................ 9 3.1 Description of Investment Categories ................................................................... 10 3.2 Projected Investments and New Developments ................................................... 11 4. CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................ 15 Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 2 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Original : 2006-07-06 Application R-3605-2006 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 3 of 15 1 1. CONTEXT 2 The present document deals with the planning of the electricity transmission network 3 over a 10-year period and it is divided into four sections. Section 1 is introductory and 4 outlines the contextual elements. Section 2 describes the design method and the 5 planning process of the transmission network. While taking into account the instructions 6 of the the Régie de l’énergie (the Régie) in decision D-2005-50, Section 3 illustrates the 7 projected investments and new developments over a 10-year period, from 2007 to 2016, 8 as well as historic data for 2005 and a projection for 2006. Section 4 is comprised of the 9 conclusion. 10 As shown in the Transmission Provider’s previous rate applications, all of its 11 transmission assets form an integrated whole and their interaction is necessary to the 12 proper functioning of the transmission network. The guiding principles for the conception 13 and planning of the transmission network are: compliance with design criteria; 14 acceptability on financial and environmental levels, flexibility of operation and adaptation 15 of the territory. Compliance with the design criteria remains the most fundamental of 16 these principles, the implementation of which is necessary in order to ensure an 17 adequate reliability of the transmission service for the Transmission Provider’s entire 18 customer base. 19 Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 4 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 1 2. PLANNING METHOD OF THE TRANSMISSION NETWORK 2 In order to adequately meet, in an economical and reliable manner, the transmission 3 needs of its customers, which constantly fluctuate over the years, seasons and days, the 4 Transmission Provider must manage its existing assets, as well as their development. 5 In Quebec, these needs are more pronounced during the cold winter periods, namely 6 because of space heating. The network must then have access to sufficient transmission 7 equipment to meet maximum power demand. In addition, the planning of the 8 transmission network is established according to the winter peak. The Transmission 9 Provider then carries out the required studies to ensure that the transmission network 10 can achieve the balance between supply and demand year after year, particularly during 11 the winter period when the transmission needs are highest. 12 Over time, the Transmission Provider has therefore acquired a structured and integrated 13 approach for asset management so as to meet the needs of the native load and of its 14 other customers all the while ensuring the long-term operability of the equipment. This 15 approach ensures the reliability and performance of the transmission network. 16 The Transmission Provider’s method provides an overall vision of the evolution of the 17 network over the long-term all the while ensuring the coherence of all the activities 18 necessary to carrying out its basic mission. 19 2.1 Design and Planning of the Transmission Network 20 The planning of the transmission network which namely leads to adding equipment, 21 takes into account the application of guiding principles. These guiding principles are: 22 compliance with design criteria, acceptability on the financial and environmental levels, Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 5 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 1 flexibility of operation, and adaptation to the territory. Compliance with design criteria is 2 still the most fundamental of these guiding principles. 3 In order to ensure an adequate level of reliability for its network, the Transmission 4 Provider complies with design criteria, which is at the root of its planning research. In 5 fact, these criteria ensure that the transmission network has a sufficient amount of 6 flexibility and robustness of design to securely be able to meet requirements despite the 7 variability of operation conditions and in spite of the possibilities for failure and 8 unavailability of equipment. 9 The network’s design criteria are used as the basis to the judgment the Transmission 10 Provider must make on the network expansion and reinforcement needs and on the 11 solutions it proposes to meet those requirements. 12 In particular, the network design criteria illustrate the electrical parameters that the 13 Transmission Provider must analyze in order to correct problems that may arise on the 14 network, considering the evolution of requirements or any other change that can occur 15 on the network. They deal with the performance of equipment as well as the behaviour 16 of the network, in established or transitional conditions. The aspects that they deal with 17 refer as much to the stability of the network as to the capacity of equipment, the 18 continuity of supply (made possible, for instance, by the redundancy of some equipment 19 or by transmission loop projects), the capacity to operate, the maintenance of 20 installations that are in good condition, wave quality, as well as the selection of 21 equipment. 22 In this way, these criteria seek to counter two potential disruptions on the network: 23 normal events and exceptional events. The respect for reliability standards is an integral Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 6 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 1 part of the design criteria applied in the planning process for the transmission network. 2 These standards provide a framework for the performance the network must have during 3 such events or operating conditions. They are applied according to a deterministic 4 method, which intrinsically provides for a basic reserve in terms of equipment. 5 Normal events are those which the network is expected to face regularly and that it must 6 deal with, when they occur, without incurring any loss of load. The criteria that concern 7 these normal events determine the degree of robustness of the network that is 8 necessary to securely meet transmission requirements, in accordance with the expected 9 level of service quality. They lead to the addition of equipment associated with the very 10 structure of the network. 11 Exceptional events, more severe and less probable than normal events, could not be 12 covered at all times without incurring considerable expenses in order to significantly 13 increase the robustness of the network. Thus, when such events take place, the 14 Transmission Provider resorts to automatisms such as rejecting generation and load 15 shedding to limit damage to the network. 16 The Transmission Provider notes that, in addition to applying its own internal standards 17 on the subject, the standards of the North American Reliability Council (NERC) and of 18 the Northeast Power Coordinating Council (NPCC), which are organizations that are 19 recognized as authorities on the subject of reliability of electricity transmission, have 20 been applied for several years. Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 7 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 1 In fact, in decision D-2003-65,1 the Régie repeatedly mentions that the standards are 2 generally satisfactory, necessary, that they allow the Transmission Provider to efficiently 3 manage its network, and that they are already applied. 4 In regards to the reliability standards applicable to electricity transmission networks, it is 5 worth noting that the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) adopted the 6 Energy Policy Act in 2005. This act deals with several subjects and includes several 7 dispositions to facilitate capacity reinforcement and the reliability of electricity 8 transmission. Moreover, this act specifies the establishment of mandatory reliability 9 standards, including financial penalties in case of non-conformity. A new group called 10 the Electric Reliability Organization (ERO) will be responsible for the creation of 11 standards and of their application by all North American networks. This organization will 12 have to acquire its certification in the United States, and also be recognized in Canada 13 and in Mexico. 14 In regards to reliability, the design criteria can evolve as a function of the evolution of 15 regulatory changes. 16 2.2 Planning Process of the Transmission Network 17 The process used by the Transmission Provider for the planning of the transmission 18 network covers a 10 year period and allows the Transmission Provider to have an 19 overall vision of the issues problems and requirements that underlie actions that must be 20 implemented in order to meet native load requirements, as well as to meets the 21 requirements of the Transmission Provider‘s other customers. 1 R-3598-2002, Application for the standards relative to operations, technical requirements and HydroQuebec’s transmission network reliability, november 2002. Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 8 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 1 Furthermore, this process provides an overall view of the projects to be carried out to 2 keep the transmission network in good condition, to ensure its reliability and, thus, to 3 continue to offer quality service. 4 The Transmission Provider seeks to establish the most accurate portrait as possible of 5 the required investments over the next 10 years. Consequently, we have evaluated 6 Hydro-Quebec’s requirements, in its electricity distribution activities (the Distributor), for 7 native load supply, power generator requirements, long-term operability requirements, 8 technological innovation requirements, as well as system control requirements.. These 9 requirements are based on available and foreseeable information which have strong 10 chances of occurring, or on methods and analyses, as is notably the case with the 11 establishment of long-term operability requirements. 12 The projects that must be implemented translate into investment requirements that are 13 defined from an efficiency perspective. These investment requirements are established 14 as parametric costs, namely because a certain degree of uncertainty is related, for 15 example, to carrying out certain growth projects. Maintenance or long-term operability 16 projects can also be carried out early or postponed because the Transmission Provider 17 will profit from growth projects to optimize the solution to a problem in a given area or for 18 a particular equipment. 19 3. PROJECTED INVESTMENTS AND NEW DEVELOPMENTS OVER A 10-YEAR 20 PERIOD 21 This section deals with the projected transmission investments and new developments 22 (mises en exploitation) over a 10-year period, over the 2007-2016 period. This exercise 23 takes into account the instructions set out by the Régie in decision D-2005-50, in which it Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 9 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 1 ordered that the table be presented in two formats, according to two categories: the 2 projects that do not generate additional revenue and those that generate additional 3 revenue, including, on the one hand, the underlying sub-categories, which are 4 Maintenance of fixed assets, Respect of obligations and Improvement of service quality, 5 and, on the other hand, projects for Growth of customer requirements. 6 3.1 Description of Investment Categories 7 As specified earlier, the investments are divided into two big categories, which are: 8 investments not generating additional revenue as well as investments that generate 9 additional revenue. Hereafter, the Transmission Provider provides a brief description of 10 the investment categories: 11 Investments that do not generate additional revenue 12 Maintenance of fixed assets: Investments in this category are 13 required to maintain the service capacity offered by the Transmission 14 Provider to its customers all the while profiting from the most recent 15 available and useful technical advances. 16 Improvement of service quality: investments under this category are 17 geared toward customer satisfaction and toward the maintenance or 18 improvement of the service quality rendered by the Transmission 19 Provider for existing demand. Essentially, these investment projects 20 represent the optimal solutions selected to answer to questions of 21 performance, which deal namely with: the behaviour of the 22 transmission network, continuity of service, the reliability of 23 equipment or wave quality. Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 10 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 1 Respect of obligations: investments in this category seek to comply 2 with the acts and regulations that are in effect, the contractual 3 obligations that the Transmission Provider must respect, and to the 4 internal frameworks and standards. 5 Investments that generate additional revenue 6 Growth of customer requirements: The investments in this category 7 stem from the requirements and requests made by the Transmission 8 Provider’s customers. The investments classified in the Growth of 9 customer requirements category seek, on the one hand, to meet the 10 growing needs of native load while increasing the transmission 11 network capacity through the addition of equipment by following the 12 parameters established together with the Distributor. On the other 13 hand, connection work, network extensions or modifications allow for 14 the integration of power produced by a new generating station and 15 ensure the transit of additional power generated by the addition of 16 new generation groups or the modification of generation groups in an 17 existing generating station. 18 3.2 Projected Investments and New Developments 19 Table 1 hereafter shows the investments to 2016, in accordance with the previously 20 described categories and follows the orders set out by the Régie in decision D-2005-50. 21 The first column of this table contains the investments for the 2005 historic year. The 22 investments for the 2006 base year follow as well as those for the 2007 projected test 23 year. Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 11 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 1 Finally, the investments for 2008 to 2016 allow to complete the presentation over 2 a 10-year period. 3 4 Table 1- Investments by Category to 2016 ($M) 5 Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 12 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie 1 2 Application R-3605-2006 Table 2 below shows the summary of planned investments by category and table 3 then shows 3 Table 2- Summary of Investments by Category to 2016 ($M) Actual Budget 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 340.5 477.6 523.9 491.7 657.0 479.7 445.1 335.7 308.2 355.8 275.0 312.6 276.3 306.2 335.0 342.2 357.2 357.6 378.2 392.7 404.2 415.4 425 425 71.6 74.5 61.9 46.0 40.9 22.5 30.0 30.1 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 29.1 120.0 38.1 51.8 79.1 108.8 101.1 42.9 52.6 76.0 50.0 0 34.2 67.8 31.4 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 Subtotal not generating additional requirements 411.2 568.5 466.4 471.0 508.2 519.9 540.3 496.7 517.8 552.4 536 488 Total 751.7 1046.1 990.3 962.7 1165.2 999.6 985.4 832.4 826.0 908.2 811.0 798.6 Category Generating additional revenue Growth of requirements Generating additional revenue Maintenance of fixed assets Improvement of quality Excluding ice storm Ice storm Respect of requirements 4 Table 3- Summary of New Developments to 2016 ($ M) Category Actual Estimated Budgeted 2005 2006 2007 MAINTENANCE, IMPROVEMENT, RESPECT 403.0 GROWTH OF REQUIREMENTS 268.7 SECURITY OF THE NETWORKS Total 5 Planned 414 5.6 677.3 Planned 2008 21.8 828.7 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 414.9 409.4 439.8 465.0 477.4 509.8 590.0 590.0 726.8 452.8 436.9 374.3 231.4 181.7 220.5 220.5 35.0 130.9 115.8 40 53 106.4 30.0 30.0 1176.7 993.1 992.5 879.3 761.8 797.9 840.5 840.5 474.8 468.5 392.9 2009 542.9 186.6 1198.0 362.8 30.0 867.6 The hypotheses used for the inflation rate are detailed in Table 4 hereafter. Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 13 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 1 Table 4 Inflation Rate 2 3 The projected investments and previously mentioned new developments are based on 4 the projected needs of the transmission service customers shown in table 5. 5 Table 5 - Projected Requirements of the Transmission Provider’s Customers (MW) Projected requirements of the Transmission Provider’s customers (in MW) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Native load 34974 35371 35862 36215 36507 36722 36832 36880 36946 37002 37067 37129 Long-term point-to-point 405 479 479 1317 1420 1420 1420 2268 2268 2848 2848 2848 Total 35379 35850 36341 37532 37927 38142 38252 39148 39214 39850 39915 39977 6 7 Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 14 of 15 Hydro- Québec TransÉnergie Application R-3605-2006 1 4. CONCLUSION 2 In this document, the Transmission Provider describes the planning process of the 3 transmission network as well as projections for investments and new developments to 4 2016. 5 In the coming years, the Transmission Provider intends to continue to improve 6 transmission service quality and to respond efficiently to customers’ requirements. 7 Responsible for managing the reliability and security of the electricity transmission 8 network in Quebec, the Transmission Provider also intends to maintain the performance 9 of its transmission network in compliance with the standards that it has adopted, as well 10 as those of North American regulation organizations in the industry, and to ensure the 11 improvement of security of supply. Original : 2006-07-06 HQT-9, Document 1 Page 15 of 15