FIGURES 2.1. Attacking Fixed Targets: Improved Accuracy Has Yielded Major Increases in Effectiveness .......... 2.2. Comparative Lethality of Air-Delivered Weapons Against Moving Armored Columns .............. 2.3. Comparison of Average Loss Rates of USAF Aircraft ................................... 4.1. Theater Conflict Scenarios Examined............. 4.2. Preferred Force Mix Options: Currently Planned JASSM Buy ................................ 4.3. Preferred Force Mix Options: 9,600 JASSM Buy...... 4.4. Fighter Versus Bomber Trades in Stressing Scenarios: China Versus Korea, Current JASSM Buy...................................... 4.5. Fighter Versus Bomber Trades in Stressing Scenarios: China Versus Korea, 9,600 JASSMs ....... 4.6. Fighter Force Mix Preferences: No Developmental Weapons.................................. 4.7. Fighter Force Mix Preferences: With Developmental Weapons ..................... 4.8. Force Mix Recommendations .................. 4.9. Impact of Cost Growth on Preferences for F-22X or -E ..................................... 4.10. Impact of JSF Cost Growth on JSF Versus F-22 Decision .................................. 4.11. Impact of JSF Cost Growth on JSF Versus F-16C Block-60 Decision ........................... 4.12. Long-Term USAF Deployment Operations ......... 4.13. Basra Breakout Scenario ...................... xiii 36 38 40 97 107 108 111 112 114 116 118 121 122 123 125 126 xiv Strategic Appraisal: United States Air and Space Power in the 21st Century 4.14. The Basra Breakout: Results as a Function of Defending Force Size ........................ 4.15. Map of No-Fly Zone ......................... 4.16. No-Fly Zone Force Requirements ............... 4.17. Exclusion Zone Force Requirements ............. 4.18. Force Structure Implications of Simultaneous SSCs ..................................... 6.1. Adversary Asymmetric Options and Potential U.S. CONOPs .................................. 7.1. Why the United States Might Want Nuclear Weapons in the Contemporary World ............ 8.1. Joint-Service TMD Architecture Programs for Dealing with the TMD Problem ................. 8.2. A Broad Range of Potential Air Force TMD CONOPs .................................. 8.3. Notional ABL Effectiveness Against Saturation Attack .................................... 8.4. Sensitivity of Combined Prelaunch and Postlaunch Attack to C4ISR Parameters .................... 8.5. Sensitivity of Postlaunch Attack Operations to Moving Vehicle Clutter ....................... 8.6. The Significant Synergistic Potential of Air Force TMD CONOPs.............................. 8.7. The Effects of Small Improvements in Counterforce Capabilities................................ 8.8. The Strong Effect of Moving Vehicle Clutter on Overall TMD Effectiveness .................... 8.9. The Sensitivity of ABL Performance Salvo Handling and Lethality............................... 8.10. Air Force Capabilities for Shaping the Potential TMD Trajectory ............................ 9.1. Notional Missile Threat Rings .................. 9.2. Coverage Available from Five FSLs ............... 9.3. Impact of Adding Aircrew and Tankers on Sorties and Fuel Use............................... 10.1. General Decision Trade Space by Location......... 10.2. Employment-Driven Analytical Framework ........ 10.3. CONUS to SWA Resupply Times and Support Breakpoint Solutions......................... 10.4. Potential Global ACS Network .................. 128 132 134 135 138 200 243 311 312 315 319 320 321 322 323 325 326 357 368 370 380 382 386 390 Figures 11.1. Players Relevant to an Integrated Air Force Supply Chain That Includes Contractors ................ 11.2. Process Steps for Choosing Competitive Sourcing Candidates, Running Competitions, and Managing Relationships with the Winners ................. 12.1. Unit-Level Readiness Related Taskings and Outputs .................................. xv 402 413 447