Runoff Processes and Thermal Modelling in Subarctic Catchments Sean K. Carey, Yinsuo Zhang, Celina Ziegler, Michael Treberg, Jessica Boucher Dept. Geography & Environmental Studies Carleton University, Ottawa IP3 Workshop #2 Overview HRU runoff sources and pathways Evaluate existing numerical descriptions for frozen and organic soils HRU Classification Future Program The Wolf Creek Research Basin Location: 60o31 N, 135o 31’ W Area: Approx. 200 km2 Elevation Range: 800 to 2250 m a.s.l. (3 ecozones) Mean Annual Precipitation: 300 to 400 mm (40% snow) Mean Annual Temperature: -3 oC HRU Runoff Processes (conceptual model) Figure Source: Encyclopedia of Hydrological Sciences, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Granger Basin Intra-basin variability: Vegetation, soils, frozen ground, climate Granger Sub-basins 2.9 km2 1.5 km2 1.1 km2 2.1 km2 Techniques High-frequency Sampling Synoptic Sampling Hydrometric Hydrochemical Data - Streamflow 100 400 80 60 200 40 Stage Dilution SpC A+C 100 0 May 1 June 1 June 16 July 1 July 16 2500 2000 1500 1000 Areas with limited permafrost extent are important sources of baseflow. 0 Aug 1 300 Runoff (accumulated) 2006 Post-Freshet Discharge 5 250 4 Discharge (L/s) Runoff (mm/d) 3000 500 0 May 16 6 3 2 1 0 June 10 20 Specific Conductance (ms cm-1) Discharge (L s-1) 3500 300 Each HRU contributes approximately equal amounts of flow per unit-area. 4000 Major Anion + Cation Flux (mg s-1) 500 GB_01 GB_02 GB_03 GB_04 200 150 100 50 June 20 June 30 July 9 July 19 July 29 0 June 10 June 20 June 30 July 9 July 19 July 29 Data – Simple Hydrochemistry 3000 60 Major Anions + Cations (post-freshet) 2000 1500 1000 40 30 20 10 500 0 June 10 50 SpC (μs cm-1) GB_01 GB_02 GB_03 GB_04 -1 Major Ions (mg s ) 2500 July July July July 8 14 19 25 0 June 20 June 30 July 9 July 19 July 29 GB1 A GB2 B C D GB3 E F GB4 H I Sampling Location Major Anions + Cations normalized for sub-basin area 500 -1 -2 Major Ions (mg s km ) 600 400 300 200 100 0 June 10 June 20 June 30 July 9 July 19 July 29 Each HRU has a (mostly) unique hydrochemistry. Areas underlain with permafrost have dilute supra-permafrost signatures compared with more ionic deep (sub permafrost) groundwater Stable Isotopes -156 Results ongoing. Data from 2006 being supplemented with 2007 and historical data. -158 -160 δ2H(%0) -162 -130 3. -166 1. -168 GB_01 Snowmelt GB_02 GB_03 GB_04 GB_01a -140 -150 δ2H(%0) Early Melt Peak Melt Late Melt -164 -170 -172 2. -174 -176 -178 -23.0 -22.5 -22.0 -21.5 -21.0 δ18O(%0) M -160 W δ18O/ δ2H show unique water signatures. L -170 -180 -190 -26 -24 -22 δ18O(%0) -20 -18 Runoff summary All HRUs contribute water to the stream in approximately equal volume. Much greater deep groundwater flow than previously reported or anticipated. Work ongoing to assess seasonal dominance of HRUs (logistics). Will extended to entire Wolf Creek, although problems in methodology arise. Ground thermal modelling (organic soils) Ground thaw/freeze processes have a large influence on the land surface energy balance and hydrology in permafrost regions. Large diversity exists in current simulation algorithms and parameterisation methods. Objectives: – Evaluate the performance of commonly used simulation algorithms in permafrost regions – Evaluate commonly used soil parameterisation schemes for both mineral and organic soil – Provide guidelines for the implementation of appropriate ground thermal models Ground Thermal Modelling Site name Coordinates Vegetation Organic layer depth Permafrost table Scotty Creek 61o18’N 121o18’W Black Spruce 3m >0.7m Granger Creek 60o32’N 135o18’W Willow Shrub 0.35m >0.4m Wolf Creek NFS 61o31’N 135o31’W BlackSpruce 0.23m >1.4m Wolf Creek SFS 61o31’N 135o31’W Aspen Forest No No Simulation Algorithms Semiempirical Accumulated Temperature Index Algorithm (ATIA) Z = β F 0.5 Two Directional Stefan Algorithm (TDSA) Analytical Hayashi’s Modification to Stefan Algorithm (HMSA) Finite Difference Thermal Conduction Method with DECP (FD_DECP) Numerical Finite Difference Thermal Conduction Method with AHCP (FD_AHCP) Finite Element Thermal Conduction Method with AHCP (FE_TONE) Latent Heat Parameterisation DECP: Decoupled Energy Conservation Parameterisation AHCP: Apparent Heat Capacity Parameterisation Parameter tests Tests of soil thermal conductivity parameterisation --Johansen’formulation --De Vries’s formulation Test of unfrozen water parameterisation --Segmented linear functions --Power function --Water potential-freezing point depression formulation Tests of simulation algorithms (best parameterisation) --Run1: All the available inputs (Ttop, Tbot, θw, θice,Ts,ini) --Run2: Without Tbot, lower boundary conditions and θw, θice,Ts,ini have to be assumed. --Run3: Only Ttop was supplied. Soil water assumed to be saturated at all times. Model Results D epth(m ) 0.0 (a) -0.2 (b) -0.4 -0.6 SC SC -0.8 0.0 0 20 40 60 0 50 100 150 D epth(m ) (c) 200 (d) -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 GC GC D epth(m ) D epth(m ) -0.4 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -1.2 -1.4 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -1.2 -1.4 0 20 40 60 20 40 60 (f) WC_NFS WC_NFS 0 20 40 60 80 0 50 100 150 (g) 20 200 (h) WC_SFS 0 WC_SFS 40 60 80 Days after observed thawing-start Tests of different soil thermal conductivity parameterisation methods, i.e. Complete Johansen’s equations (dark solid lines), Commonly used Johansen’s equations (grey solid lines), and a simplified de Vries’s method (dashed lines). Open circles are observations. 0 (e) 0 50 100 150 200 Days after observed freezing-start Test of unfrozen water parameterisation methods, i.e. segmented linear function (dark solid lines), power function ( grey solid lines) and water potential-freezing point depression Model Results Comparisons of observed (symbols) and simulated (lines) thawing (dark circles for observation) and freezing (grey circles for observation) depths at Scotty Greek with six algorithms and three sets of model runs, i.e., Run1 (dark solid lines), Run2 (dark dashed lines) and Run3 (grey solid lines). Comparisons of observed (symbols) and simulated (lines) thawing (dark circles for observation) and freezing (grey circles for observation) depths at Granger Greek with six algorithms and three sets of model runs, i.e., Run1 (dark solid lines), Run2 (dark dashed lines) and Run3 (grey solid lines). Some Key Findings A simplified de Vries’s formulation generated reasonable GTFD simulations at all the four tested sites, while a commonly used Johansen’s formulation only achieved good results at the three organic covered permafrost sites. The formulations originally designed by Johansen for peat did not work at the organic soils of the tested sites. The analytical algorithms are less sensitive to resolution of soil layers than the numerical models. A six-layer resolution worked well for both HMSA and TDSA, while at least nine soil layers were needed in the 5-m soil column for the three numerical models, in order to simulate the GTFD with acceptable accuracy. The semi-empirical algorithm ATIA worked well at all the four tested sites when site-calibrated coefficients (β) were used. However, due to the large variations of the β values from thawing to freezing, from site to site and from year to year, it is not recommended to apply this method to dynamic analyses of GTFD. All three numerical algorithms (FD_DECP, FD_AHCP and TONE) traced GTFD evolutions more precisely than other algorithms at all sites, particularly when observed and best estimated soil moisture was supplied . Landscape Classification LB SF UB TS3 SS2 SS1 TS2 TS1 SS1 Gauge 500 m Ongoing Work Infiltration into frozen soils – New Field Experiments – New Instrumentation (MFHPP) – New Modelling Modify Hydrus 1-D – Simplify and C++ coding – Incorporate frozen ground parameterizations – Test at a variety of sites Ongoing Work Role of Channel Snow and Ice – What is the role of icing and channel ice? – GPR to establish volume, overlay on DEM – Measure decay through time, geochemical signature, establish contribution to flow Ongoing Work Snowmelt processes – Test SNAP and existing snow melt/percolation routines in CRHM. – Isotopic evolution of snowpack, snowmelt, and its relation to soil water and runoff