MESH: A community model for EC Alain Pietroniro, Bruce Davison, Brenda Toth, Jessika Toyra, National Water Research Institute and Hydrometerology and Arctic Lab Environment Canada Saskatoon, Saskatchewan Vincent Fortin, Pierre Pellerin, Stephane Belair RPN/CMC Environment Canada Dorval, Quebec Diana Verseghy, Murray Mackay Climate Research Division Environment Canada Dorval, Quebec Eric Soulis, Frank Seglenieks, Nick Kouwen, Bryan Tolson University of Waterloo John Pomeroy, Pablo Dornes University of Saskatchewan Sub-basin contribution to flow naturalized flow in current climate Red Deer River 19.2% Bow River 44.3% 11/24/2006 South Sask at Diefenbaker 100% Page 2 Oldman River 38% Trends in the SSRB • Mann Kendall (Burn) -4.0937 -0.8225 -1.7046 -0.5020 -5.3060 -2.8822 -0.3209 -0.0190 -0.1582 SSRB -0.3150 MK Trend Analysis Decreasing Trend (Slope) 11/24/2006 Page 3 No Trend South Saskatchewan basin North Saskatchewan basin 11/24/2006 Page 4 10 year simulation Oct, 1980 – Dec, 1990 Mistaya River 25 M o n th lyF lo w (C M S ) Glacier at 1975 extents 20 15 10 5 0 8/1/80 12/1/83 M o n th lyF lo w (C M S ) 4/1/87 8/1/90 Time (month) 50 Siffleur River 40 30 20 10 0 8/1/80 12/1/83 M o n th lyF lo w (C M S ) 4/1/87 8/1/90 Time (month) 100 Ram River 80 60 40 20 0 8/1/80 11/24/2006 12/1/83 Page 5 Time 4/1/87 (month) 8/1/90 From Measurements to Models Resolution 1m Tile/HRU Point Prediction Terrestrial Open Water Snow and Ice Parametrization Terrestrial Open Water Snow and Ice Process Terrestrial Open Water Snow and Ice MODELS 11/24/2006 100 m Landscape type Tile/HRU Hillslope 100 m - 2 km Pattern/tile Grid/small basin Sub-basin 2 - 10 km 10 km - Multi-grid/medium basin Multi-grid Basin Mesoscale 10 km Regional; Previous LSS Scaling Methodology IP3 Scaling Methodology MESH CHRM CHRM CHRM CEOP Hydrology Quinton CFCAS Study---------------> MESH MESH MESH CHRM CEOP Hydrology <----------------------------------MAGS Modelling and parameterization hierarchy. Previous LSS scaling methodology refers to projects that parameterized and evaluated predictions of processes at a point and then applied directly to regional scales. IP3 scaling methodology Page 6 involves step-wise transfer of upscaled processes to basinscale parameterizations and then to regional scales Research Basin Havikpak Creek, taiga woodland Trail Valley Creek, arctic tundra Baker Creek, Subarctic shield lakes Wolf Creek, subarctic tundra cordillera Scotty Creek, permafrost wetlands Peyto Creek, glacierized alpine Lake O’Hara, wet alpine 11/24/2006 Marmot Creek, subalpine forest Page 7 MESH: A MEC surface/hydrology configuration designed for regional hydrological modeling • Designed for a regular grid at a 1-15 km resolution • Each grid divided into grouped response units (GRU or tiles) to deal with subgrid hetereogeneity – based on WATFLOOD • 11/24/2006 Scalable ? Sub-grid Hetereogeneity (land cover, soil type, slope, aspect, altitude) B C C C A C B B A A D C B C C D C B B C D D D D B A relatively small number of classes are kept, only the % of coverage for each class is kept Page 8 A B C D Improved Soil Water Balance CLASS 2.7 Model Surface Excess θ1 θ2 MESH (class 3.2) θ1 Surface R unoff θ2 Interflow slope θ3 θ3 Drainage 11/24/2006 Drainage Page 9 MESH: A MEC surface/hydrology configuration designed for regional hydrological modeling • The tile connector (1D, scalable) redistributes mass and energy between tiles in a grid cell Tile connector – e.g. snow drift • The grid connector (2D) is responsible for routing runoff – can still be parallelized by grouping grid cells by subwatershed 11/24/2006 Grid connector Page 10 WATROUTE Channel flow only Low storage & smooth Channel + overbank flow high storage & rough Drainage Area vs. Bankfull Area Bankfull Area in m^2 6 11/24/2006 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 50 100 Page 11 150 Drainage Area in Km^2 200 250 300 Mode = “i” - one channel inflow file Model Output Runoff (yyyymmdd_rff.r2c) bs 11/24/2006 Page 12 cs Mode = “l” runoff file + leakage file (inflows added) ss + uzs Runoff (yyyymmdd_rff.r2c) lzs 11/24/2006 Leakage Page 13 bs (yyyymmdd_lkg.r2c) cs Mode = “r” runoff file + recharge file (sr added to routed recharge) ss + Runoff uzs (yyyymmdd_rff.r2c) Recharge (yyyymmdd_rch.r2c) lzs bs 11/24/2006 Leakage cs Page 14 (computed in WATROUTE) Modeling strategy • Incorporate result of diagnostic modelling (CHRM, others) • Sensitivity of new physics into MESH ? – Major flux boundaries (ET, streamflow) • Test parameterization – Multi-objective ? • Basin segmentation ? – Forcings ? – Physics ? – Parameters ? • Is the GRU scalable ? 11/24/2006 Page 15 Trail Valley 11/24/2006 Page 16 IPY IP3 DRI GLEI 11/24/2006 Page 17 Map created by Jackie Bronson 11/24/2006 Page 18