2 juli 2015 Human versus natural mud fluxes in the Scheldt estuary Are they significant and if so, how can they best be optimised? Thijs van Kessel (Deltares) Joris Vanlede (Flanders Hydraulics) Gijsbert van Holland (IMDC) IAHR conference, 29 June, 2015 Mud balance Some ballpark numbers: • Cmud = 50-100 mg/l, Vtide = 109 m3, Atidal = 45 Mm 2 • Gross import = 50 MT/year, net import = 0.5 MT/year • Smarsh = 1 cm/year (0.5 MT), Sharb = 1 cm/day (1 + 1 = 2 MT) • K = Sharb/Smarsh = 4 > 1 (human impact on mud balance expected) Source: Arcadis (2013) 29 jJune, 2015 1 2 juli 2015 Process-based numerical model Wal D. van der, T. van Kessel, M.A. Eleveld, J. Vanlede (2010). Spatial heterogeneity in estuarine mud dynamics. . Ocean Dynamics doi:10.1007/s10236-0100271-9. Kessel, T. van, J. Vanlede, J.M. de Kok (2011). Development of a mud transport model for the Scheldt estuary. Continental Shelf Research 31 S165–S181 DOI: 10.1016/j.csr.2010.12.006. 29 jJune, 2015 Process-based numerical model 29 jJune, 2015 2 2 juli 2015 Effect of Sloe harbour (1) 29 jJune, 2015 Effect of Sloe harbour (2) 29 jJune, 2015 3 2 juli 2015 Mud origins near Vlissingen 29 jJune, 2015 Mud origins near Antwerp 29 jJune, 2015 4 2 juli 2015 Explanation of issues at Antwerp • • • • • • Narrower estuary ETM formation, location dependent on freshwater discharge Construction of DGD Deepening Possibly increasing trend SPM High maintenance volumes and cost 29 jJune, 2015 Shift of release location 29 jJune, 2015 5 2 juli 2015 Conclusions • ‘Human’ fluxes small compared to gross natural mud fluxes • But significant compared to net fluxes • Siltation in harbours and access channels >> accretion tidal flats and saltmarshes • A large part of the mud in the Scheldt is ‘second hand’ • This percentage increases from the mouth to Antwerp • Both concentration in water column and siltation rate can be influenced significantly by adapting the maintenance strategy • A down-estuary shift of release locations reduces both mud concentration and siltation 29 jJune, 2015 6