05.04.09v2 Smart Grid Depends on Smart Planning by José Delgado Executive Chairman American Transmission Company T he world of electricity production and transmission is moving to a place where it has not been in recent decades: the public’s imagination. Recent ads by General Electric, including one that ran during the Super Bowl, use the scarecrow character from The Wizard of Oz to suggest a need for the power grid to become “smarter.” The implication that the existing electric system does not have a brain, metaphorically speaking, is not accurate. The U.S. Eastern Interconnection of transmission lines and power plants is the largest single machine in the world, covering more than 100 operating areas. What complicates this system is the fact that electricity is a commodity that is consumed the instant it is created, with very limited storage capabilities. Some pretty sophisticated equipment is needed to monitor this complex system, which is why the transmission grid and major generators have been computer-monitored and controlled since the 1970s. An overview of the communications and control technology used among high-voltage transmission and generation operators yields an impressive array of capabilities that are currently deployed across the country. These technologies, however, are rarely applied at the distribution levels used to supply most end users. Going forward, once these capabilities are expanded to the end-user level, a variety of new challenges must be addressed. Without a crystal ball, a smart and comprehensive planning process will be needed to prepare for a range of possible future scenarios. Smart Technologies in Use at High Level Most utilities, including American Transmission Company (ATC), have a number of highly sophisticated capabilities in place across their transmission systems. Data on the status of generators and transmission lines is refreshed every few seconds by energy management systems (EMS) that perform a wide variety of analyses and control functions. They also provide alarms and other information to generation and transmission operators. Over time, automated energy management systems have enhanced the use of the data. Many transmission operators, and ATC, in particular, have invested in a variety of other smart technologies as well: Extensive use of communication technology establishes two-way flow of data and control signals between the system control computers and all the major elements of the network, as well as between adjacent control areas. 2 World Energy Vol. 12 No. 1 2009 Over 3,000 microprocessor-based relays can be “interrogated” by operators to locate faults and other anomalies across the grid. These relays allow for flexible and dynamic control of the system, based on monitoring and comparing multiple system parameters. The relays go hand in hand with composite ground wire with optical fiber, and make the system better, faster, and more reliable. Superconductor energy storage devices deliver brief injections of energy to maintain voltage stability while automatic relays disconnect damaged elements from the system. These devices provide smoother and more reliable electricity for remote energy users with sophisticated control systems, such as paper mills. As a result, these customers can operate reliably in areas where the existing transmission system does not have a high level of redundancy. Phasor measurement units (PMUs) take advantage of the microprocessors and high-speed communications circuits to sample system characteristics at a frequency rate that is 100 times higher than the usual EMS data acquisition rate. Among other enhancements, the use of PMU data results in a much faster analysis of the status of the network and provides a synchronized snapshot of system conditions that will allow the detection of very subtle shifts in the stability of the grid and the development of alarms to give operators an advanced warning of potential system events. End-use consumers currently interact only based on their consumption, not based on two-way data. The talk of “smart-grid,” then, is not so much a question of making the transmission system smart as it is of expanding the existing capabilities of the bulk power network and making them available to end-use consumers to help them manage their electric energy usage and costs. Accomplishing that will require planning for improvements years before knowing which public policies and consumer technologies will most affect future electric system flows. This will require a very smart planning process. Our strategic flexible planning process is not common in the industry and is predicated on the idea that no single person or company can accurately predict the future. reliability, and so on. One cornerstone of our success is a comprehensive and collaborative planning process. Working closely with all stakeholders allows us to address their needs and concerns through the planning process, and it has resulted in successful system upgrades in all parts of our footprint. As part of this comprehensive and collaborative planning process for particularly large projects, we exercise a strategic flexibility component. Our strategic flexible planning process is not common in the industry and is predicated on the idea that no single person or company can accurately predict the future. To assess and narrow a group of possible solutions, then, we value-test our high-cost projects against a range of plausible futures. In the spirit of collaboration, the various futures are developed with heavy input from all customers and stakeholders and are refined each year. The identified futures are used to bound the range of plausible outcomes, rather than to identify the most likely future scenario. The testing process ensures robust performance and value from our transmission line proposals in that we select only those that are successful in most of the future scenarios. Strategic, Flexible Planning Provides Value and Options ATC’s service area, bordered on two sides by Lake Superior and Lake Michigan, was home to the nation’s second most constrained transmission interface at the time of our formation in 2001. Since then we have built or upgraded more than 1,700 miles of transmission line in a heavily regulated environment, thus relieving much of the congestion, opening our service area to a much wider regional market, reducing energy losses, improving World Energy Vol. 12 No. 1 2009 3 In more concrete terms, our current analysis looks at the potential for slow, medium or high growth in demand, generation retirements, carbon caps, renewable standards and energy conservation, along with how these variables affect transmission needs. By selecting high-performing proposals, we can help ensure that these major facilities will be more likely to meet multiple needs and offer greater value for the dollars invested. While the industry has much experience in the application of “smarts” at the transmission level, “smarting up” the distribution system will use all of that experience and a lot more imagination. While the parameters we evaluate include economic, fuel and conservation scenarios, conceptually this approach can be expanded to include a variety of demand-side scenarios, aggregating consumer demand resources and changing the patterns of usage on an hour-by-hour basis. These are the changes that will result from the expansion of the smart grid to end users. Depending on how the future smart grid is designed and implemented, it could have a significant impact on generation dispatch, infrastructure needs, fuel choice and power flow management. Technical Challenges of Future Smart Grid At a technical level, extrapolating from transmissionlevel applications to the end-user level is a little daunting. To begin with, distribution-system elements are far more numerous. And the “drivers” motivating the actions of end users are more complex and harder to predict. Having taken that into account, a few key challenges can be identified from the successful experience of “smart” transmission. The industry also must ensure that system reliability is maintained while programs to address the following challenges are being developed, tested and implemented. 1. Interoperability. Standards allowing end-use customers to participate interactively have yet to be developed but will progress together with the advancement of pre-programmed energy strategies for household appliances. End users will interact with the system in new ways. In the past, consumer usage patterns were based heavily on the time of day and the weather, but with millions of new “demand operators,” usage patterns may be based 4 World Energy Vol. 12 No. 1 2009 on price, green-power availability or some other indicator. The utility plans must anticipate the range of these patterns. 2. Cyber-security concerns. This is a major concern to the electric industry and it is a corollary to the interoperability initiative: If consumers can access data and capability to change usage patterns, how can the industry prevent malicious actions? Smartgrid advancements must be designed with a strong security component. 3. Interaction with new resource sets. The old paradigm of generation dispatch was based on cost within a local operating area, and it assumed that generation was located reasonably close to demand centers. The movement toward low-carbon resources may cause more generation to be located farther away from population centers while older sources of generation, closer to the loads, are shut down. Transmission planners and operators will deal with longer and more complex transmission paths and variable or intermittent generation characteristics in addition to changes in load behavior as distribution customers gain new capabilities. In conclusion, the changes envisioned by the application of smart-grid capabilities to end-use customers present subtle yet daunting challenges to a system of remarkable complexity. While the industry has much experience in the application of “smarts” at the transmission level, “smarting up” the distribution system will use all of that experience and a lot more imagination. n José Delgado is executive chairman of American Transmission Company (ATC). ATC owns, operates, builds and maintains the high-voltage electric transmission system serving portions of Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota and Illinois. Formed in 2001 as the nation’s first multistate transmission-only utility, ATC has invested $2 billion to improve the adequacy and reliability of its infrastructure. ATC now is a $2.5 billion company with 9,350 miles of transmission lines and 510 substations. The company is a member of the Midwest ISO regional transmission organization, and it provides nondiscriminatory service to all customers, supporting effective competition in energy markets without favoring any market participant. Mr. Delgado is also chairman of the Transmission Owners and Operators Forum of North American Electric Reliability Corp. In addition, he is cochair of Edison Electric Institute’s CEO Task Force on Electric System Reliability.