Assessing the FNS impacts of technological and institutional innovations and future innovation trends . Evita Pangaribowo (ZEF-UBO), Nicolas Gerber (ZEFUBO) and Pascal Tillie (JRC) INTERDISCIPLINARY RESEARCH PROJECT TO EXPLORE THE FUTURE OF GLOBAL FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY FOODSECURE Working paper no. 11 September 2013 Assessing the FNS impacts of technological and institutional innovations and future innovation trends Evita Pangaribowo 1, Nicolas Gerber (ZEF-UBO) and Pascal Tillie (JRC) Reviewed by: S. Mahendra Dev, Alan Matthews, Willis Oluoch-Kosura (May 2013) The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme FP7/2007-2011 under Grant Agreement n° 290693 FOODSECURE. This paper is work in progress; comments are welcome. The authors only are responsible for any omissions or deficiencies. Neither the FOODSECURE project and any of its partner organizations, nor any organization of the European Union or European Commission are accountable for the content of papers in this series. 1 Corresponding author: evita.pangaribowo@uni-bonn.de 1 Acknowledgements The authors are very thankfull for the comments received from the three reviewers. Hopefully our revisions have answered their concerns. We would also like to thank Keith Fuglie, USDA, who kindly shared his data on TFP growth. Any remaining mistakes are the sole responsibility of the authors. 2 Table of Contents Acknowledgements ................................................................................................................................. 2 1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 4 2. Conceptual Framework of Technological and Institutional Innovations and their Impacts on FNS 5 3. 4. 5. 2.1 Frame of Innovations in Fostering FNS ................................................................................... 5 2.2 Innovation and Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in the Agricultural Sector ............................. 9 Types of Innovation Fostering Food and Nutrition Security ......................................................... 11 3.1 Summary of Innovation Database ......................................................................................... 11 3.2 The Main Features of Innovations for FNS ............................................................................ 15 3.2.1 Conventional technologies ............................................................................................ 16 3.2.2 Traditional technologies ................................................................................................ 17 3.2.3 Intermediate technologies ............................................................................................ 19 3.2.4 New platforms technologies ......................................................................................... 19 3.2.5 Institutional innovations................................................................................................ 25 Meta analysis of Innovations’ Impact Assessments ...................................................................... 27 4.1. Methods ................................................................................................................................ 27 4.2 The Impacts of Innovations on the Dimensions of FNS......................................................... 28 4.2.1 Availability ..................................................................................................................... 28 4.2.2 Accessibility ................................................................................................................... 29 4.2.3 Utilization ...................................................................................................................... 29 4.2.4 Results of the Stakeholder Survey ................................................................................. 30 Informing Innovation Scenarios for FNS........................................................................................ 33 5.1 Current Innovation and FNS Situation................................................................................... 33 5.2 Innovation Policy Designs and Priority Actions ..................................................................... 38 5.2.1 Policy designs ................................................................................................................ 38 5.2.2 Conclusions: Priority Actions for FNS ............................................................................ 42 5.2.3 Concluding comments ................................................................................................... 44 Appendix................................................................................................................................................ 46 List Acronyms and Abbreviations .......................................................................................................... 61 References ............................................................................................................................................. 63 3 Assessing the FNS impacts of technological and institutional innovations and future innovation trends 1. Introduction Achieving food and nutrition security (FNS) is a priority in developing countries. Donors and funding agencies also give priority to FNS as one of their main funding activity, including the EU. Under the EU FP7 Program, the Foodsecure project is aiming to contribute to a more resilient global food system by providing tools to analyze and mitigate the risks and uncertainties inherent to the food system. For instance, uncertain and volatile food prices affect both food producers and consumers. For food producers, they increase production risks, are a disincentive to invest toward more production, and thus tend to decrease food availability. For consumers, volatile prices affect food accessibility directly and through the impacts of the aforementioned supply responses on price levels. Indeed, several studies reported that during the episode of high and volatile food price in 2007-08, malnutrition and poverty rate increased (Webb, 2010; von Braun and Tadesse, 2012). One of the key routes to achieve a resilient global food system and improved FNS requires a reorientation of relevant policies, in particular policies associated with the use of technology, knowledge and related institutional adjustments (Juma and Yee-Cheong, 2005). Both developed and developing countries need to recognize the FNS benefits of innovation creation, adoption and adaptation. Access to technology and innovation is a key to counter the complex and evolving challenges of the global food system. In line with this notion, part of Work Package 3 investigates the role of technological and institutional innovation for improving FNS. This paper is one of the products delivered under WP3 is a metaanalysis of impact assessments of both institutional and technological innovations on FNS. Impact assessments have been undertaken by various organizations. It is widely acknowledged that innovations in agriculture and other sectors have a remarkable impact on FNS. While the impact assessments of such innovations mostly focus on a specific type of innovation and FNS outcome, our meta-analysis expands the assessment to several types of innovations and their multiple impacts, including on agricultural production and distribution, environmental aspects and nutrition outcomes. The value added of our overview of different impact assessments is to place the review of impact assessments in the frame of a typology of innovations for FNS and to draw general guidelines about the processes by which different categories (e.g. on which dimensions of FNS) and magnitudes of impacts can be achieved. In addition, while innovations have created immense benefits, some innovations have generated controversy and disagreement in terms of their impacts on the people and the environment. Hence it is necessary to give space and account for the plurality of perceptions about the impacts of technological and institutional innovations. We do this by means of a stakeholder consultation process, in which selected FNS innovation groups are evaluated in terms of their different impacts. Overall, the typology of innovations, the review of their impacts and the stakeholder consultation aim at providing an information base for the adaptation of existing innovation and technological change scenarios by the FoodSecure modeling teams.2 The structure of this paper is as follows. Section 2 outlines the conceptual framework of the impacts of technological and institutional innovations on FNS. A brief summary of the types of innovations 2 See van Dijk, 2012, for a discussion of the main global scenarios for food security analysis. 4 follows in section 3. Section 4 discusses the impacts of innovations on FNS. Science scenarios and a review of priorities for action against food and nutrition insecurity are presented in Section 5. The last section provides recommendations for the modeling of technological change and innovations in FoodSecure and some conclusions. 2. Conceptual Framework of Technological and Institutional Innovations and their Impacts on FNS 2.1 Frame of Innovations in Fostering FNS Innovations play a key role in enhancing human welfare, reducing poverty, and promoting economic growth in developing countries. Many studies have defined innovation in different ways and each of the definitions is relevant for FNS. Spielman (2005) defined innovation as any new knowledge introduced into and utilized in an economic and social process. Further, Spielman (2005) stated that innovation is a process in which knowledge is accumulated and applied by heterogeneous agents through complex interactions conditioned by social and economic institutions. Hall et al. (2002) also defined innovation as a process of generating knowledge and applying it in a productive way. In a similar context, Oyelaran-Oyeyinka (2005) defined innovation as a social process of knowledge creation and exchange formed by the institutional structures of the process. In a slightly different way, Ekboir and Parellada (2002) defined innovation as the ability to create knowledge in a creative manner driven from market opportunities and other social needs. As many studies defined innovation as a process, it is important to focus on the factors that enable the “knowledge flow”3 and “innovative potential” rather than on factors directly linked to specific innovations (IFAD, 2007; IAASTD, 2008). In the agricultural sector, innovation leads to improved engineering and communication, which supports food production, develops biotechnology, and sets new platforms and institutional arrangements for farmers. Moreover, FNS is a cross-cutting concept for society at large as well as agricultural systems. Hence, to identify the impact of innovations on FNS, it is important to set a conceptual framework that lays out the relationship between innovation and FNS. Figure 1 presents such a framework. Generally, an innovation is developed to reduce the barriers in achieving FNS or to improve the current FNS status. The FNS problems in developing countries are classified into two states: short-term and long-term FNS problems. While the latter problems are more likely associated with structural problems, the short-term FNS problems have become the focus of attention recently. The dramatic spike of food prices in 2007-20008 has brought short and long term impacts. The short-term impacts of 2007-2008 were indicated by an important reduction in calorie intake, an increase in poverty rates (Webb, 2010) and a slowed down progress in terms of decreased malnutrition (von Braun and Tadesse, 2012). Further studies have indicated that shortterm shocks can have long-term consequences on human capital (Victora et al., 2008). The conceptual framework illustrated in Figure 1 outlines that in many developing countries, food and nutrition insecurity are driven from four main constraints. They include the lack of access to natural resources, including land and water resources, other productive assets, knowledge and 3 Nonaka (1994) elaborates the dynamic theory of knowledge creation and distinguishes knowledge into two forms: explicit and tacit knowledge. Explicit knowledge refers to the knowledge that can be expressed and transmitted in formal systematic language while tacit knowledge refers to the knowledge that cannot be expressed easily as it is rooted in action, commitment, and involvement in a specific context. 5 information, input and output markets as well as social and political capital (Herbel et al. 2012). Based on the UNICEF, the environmental capital through the availability of safe water, sanitation and hygiene conditions play a significant role to FNS. Improved drinking-water and sanitation facility as well as hygiene behavior have a significant impact on reducing FNS-related diseases such as diarrhea and intestinal helminthes. Using 172 Demographic and Health Surveys, Günther and Fink (2010) reported that water and sanitation infrastructure reduces the odds of children suffering from diarrhea by 7-17 per cent and lowers the mortality risk for children under five years by 5-20 percent. Through the new ideas, techniques, products and processes generated from innovations (Conway and Waage 2010), the barriers to access natural resources and financial as well as social capital will be reduced. Innovation in agricultural sectors can be driven from “push factors” or a response to “pull factors” (Berdegue 2005). Most innovations in agriculture are a response to the negative incentives (the push factors) resulting from unfavorable endowments, such as low soil quality, inability to compete in the global market, drought, lack of labor input due to migration and lack of power. The pull factors of innovation are associated with the new opportunities created by the change of local, national, and international context, such as new infrastructures or the creation of new markets. Nagayets (2005) argued that small-scale farmers will continue to dominate the agricultural sectors in developing countries, warranting policy attention on the emergence of marketled innovations for small-holder farmers, as the latter are often considered as a barrier to (investments in) agricultural knowledge, science and technology (AKST). The World Bank (2012) indeed emphasizes the role of collective action, a form of social capital, to support, sustain and develop the agricultural innovation system (AIS), as most innovations occur not through the isolation of actors but through their interactions. The report by the World Bank (2012) provides several concrete examples of collective action at the root of successful innovations with FNS impacts and describes the requirements for increased collective actions are different levels of the food value chain (World Bank 2012, Module1). The actors of innovation are defined as individuals or organizations who introduce or use knowledge in a serial process of acquiring information from various sources and integrating multiple elements of the information into social and economic practices that change the behaviors and practices of individuals, organizations or society (Spielman et al., 2011). Therefore, innovation involves a multitude of actors. In many countries, the information and knowledge systems supporting FNS innovations are linked with research, extension and educational organizations in development agencies, the private sector, civil society organizations, as well as farmers’ organizations. In addition, governments play an important role in governing and structuring the innovation system through policies. However, FNS innovation in developing countries should focus on small-holder farmers and farm laborers as the main actors (developers and users) of innovation. Most of them are characterized with limited access to external resources and education but equipped with rich traditional and local knowledge. They can participate in innovation through indigenous, technical knowledge relevant to their (and similar) context(s). Importantly, there exists gender disparities in the access to technological resources, natural resources, human resources, and social and political capital (Peterman et al., 2010). Furthermore, Peterman et al. (2010) stressed the issues of gender disparity in terms of access to and use of inorganic fertilizer, improved seed varieties, insecticides, and mechanical power. In Nigeria, Sanginga et al. (2007) found that female farmers are less likely to use improved soy bean seed. On the other hand, empirical studies found that women play a significant role in institutional innovation, for instance through microfinance (Ngo and Wahhaj, 2012; Boehe and Cruz, 2013). Reducing the gender gap is a critical task to address in enhancing women 6 participation in innovation. International development agencies such as the World Bank, CGIAR, ILRI, and FAO are key international actors affecting the development and diffusion of innovations for FNS in the developing world, with their sets of priorities, perspectives and agenda. As innovation is rooted from the flow, exchange and use of knowledge, the interactions among actors is an important consideration in agricultural innovation systems. The multitude of actors involved in agricultural innovation offers opportunities to supporting research and development programs from various sources. On the other hand, the plurality and fragmentation of the (groups of) actors of FNS innovation might lead to coordination deficiencies in the diffusion of innovation, particularly in developing countries that lack synergies across actors and sectors. Specifically, critical future challenges lie in the institutional and organizational arrangements required to involve small-holder farmers in the global agricultural innovation system for FNS (Nagayets, 2005). Farmers are both consumers and producers of knowledge and information as well as agricultural goods and services (Spielman and Birner, 2008). Herbel et al. (2012) suggest that successful institutional innovations should cover three types of actions based on the farmers’ social capital: strengthening collective action among farmers at the grassroots level (intra-group relations), bridging between small-holder farmers and the upper organization (inter-group relations), linking between small-holder farmer, upper institutions and organizations, public and private enterprises, as well as policy-makers (extra-group relations). The intra-group relations may enable small-holder farmers to enhance their skills and exchange knowledge while the inter-group arrangements will collectively increase market power. With the vertical extra-group relationship, small-holder farmers are connected with other types of organization with different interests and perspectives as well as levels of power. This arrangement should enable the small-holder farmers to access resources, knowledge, and technologies which are not provided at the local or even national level. As for economic actors and policy makers, the involvement of small-holder farmers in designing more inclusive rural development plan and national FNS guidance should improve FNS status and outcomes. 7 Figure 1. Conceptual Framework of the Innovation System for FNS Current state Desired state Lack of access to productive land, Lack of access to productive assets and markets, Lack of access to knowledge and information, Socially excluded and lack of voice in decision making, Insufficient intake of dietary energy, Micronutrient deficiencies, … Increased yields, Improved access to inputs (natural resources, land, productive, assets, markets, knowledge and information), Increased social and political capital, Improved human capital, … Outcomes /Push factors Actions Technological innovation: innovation which focuses on product and agricultural yield, i.e. animal and seed breeding Institutional innovation: innovation which focuses on process and improved access to inputs, productive assets, knowledge and information, markets Low agricultural production, Undernutrition. Outcomes / Pull factors Improved agricultural production, distribution (access), and consumption, Improved food and nutrition security. Actors of Innovation NGOs, Governments, Communities, Companies (input suppliers, food processors), Social enterprises, International development agencies, … Source: Authors’ design, adapted from Herbel et al. 2012 and Center for Health Market Innovation. 8 2.2 Innovation and Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in the Agricultural Sector Incomes per capita have increased significantly over the past two centuries reflecting the changes in living standard. Notwithstanding, it is unavoidable that the increase of income is still unequal across time and the globe. Economic growth theory is a tool for understanding this phenomenon and has strongly influenced current policymaking in developing countries. Economic growth theory in particular discusses the role of diminishing returns and its relation to the physical and human capital accumulation, the interaction between income per capita and the rate of population growth, the effects of technological progress through labor specialization and discoveries of new goods and methods of production, and the role of monopoly power to incentivize technological advancement (Baro and Sala-i-Martin, 1999). One important contribution of the modern growth theory is proposed by Solow (1956) and Swan (1956) highlighting the importance of continuing improvements in technology on per capita growth. The recent growth theories (Romer, 1987; 1990; Rivera-Batiz and Romer, 1991) underscore the endogeneity of technical change particularly in explaining the roles of increasing return, R&D activity, human capital, and the technology diffusion. Motivated by the recent growth theories, the global agricultural economy has been widely assessed. It is revealed that the productivity growth of agricultural sectors has been slowing down in the last two decades (Fuglie, 2010). Nevertheless, some emerging countries like Brazil (Avila, 2007; Gasquez et al., 2008) and China (Xu, 2012) have experienced successful productivity growth though the speed is rather slow in China. Productivity growth in the agricultural sector is essential to fostering development and for reducing poverty and hunger (Conway and Waage, 2010; Avila and Evenson, 2010; Spielman and Birner, 2011)4. Irz et al. (2001) argued that agricultural growth is particularly impacting rural poverty through the changes in poverty rates and in poverty depth. Agricultural growth enhances the farm economy through higher farmers’ incomes. As most agricultural growth is driven by inovation (see Figure 2, where the impact of innovation is approximated by the share of total factor productivity growth in the growth of total agricultural output - although one could argue this is underestimated as the impact of some institutional innovations are captured in the impact of irrigation and input intensification), the ability and acceptance of the farmers to participate in innovations and adopt improved technologies is crucial. Agricultural growth will also promote the rural economy in general through more job opportunities in agriculture as well as improvements in the agricultural supply chain. The simplest ways to measure agricultural productivity is through the yield and the average product of labour (Piesse and Thirtle, 2010). The achievement of high yield and labour productivity is positively correlated with the expenditure on R&D, as illustrated by empirical studies in the US (Huffman and Evenson, 1992) and in the UK (Thirtle et al, 1997). Evenson (2001) also found a similar pattern for developing countries and showed that agricultural productivity gains require large and sustained expenditures in R&D. Avila and Evenson (2010) also argued that investment in technological capital require long-term financial commitment and support this as the viable pathway to alleviate poverty. Avila and Evenson (2010) introduce two components to measure technological capital: invention-innovation capital and technology mastery. The invention-innovation capital aims to measure the capacity to invent and innovate, including adaptive inventions as well as the capacity to commercialize an invention through the production of goods embedded in the invention. The 4 In the case of Africa, Hazell (2010) found high poverty reduction elasticities for agricultural productivity growth. In Asia, a 1% increase of crop productivity is associated with 0.48% reduction of poverty (Thirtle et al., 2003). 9 technology mastery measures how a producer has the capacity to become skilled or proficient with the production techniques developed by others. Figure 2: Sources of growth in global agricultural production Source: Fuglie, 2012 A TFP decomposition framework is outlined to suggest a viable future for innovation policy. Following Avila and Evenson (2010), the TFP from a production function is derived as follow: ( )( - - ) (1) where: Y is aggregate production A(t) is a shifter of the production function L is unadjusted labour QL is a labour quality index H is land K is machine and animal capital Transforming the equation into TFP form, the production function yields the following: - ( )- - - (2) where G represents the rate of growth of each variables, CH is the cost share of input H (land) in total cost, CL is the cost share of input L (labour) in total cost, and SK is the cost share of input K (Machine and animal capital). The actual TFP growth is the difference between the rate of change in aggregate output and the rate of change in aggregate input (labour, land, and machine and animal capital). is the ‘unadjusted’ TFP, with labour quality (GQL) and other shifters of the production function (GA) left oput. CK is equal with SK which is the cost share of input K (Machine and animal capital). - - - (3) 10 Taking the difference between the two TFP yields: - (4) Equation 4 verifies that TFP growth can be promoted through the change in the variables representing labour quality and the change in A. Labour quality is represented through the human capital of the workforce. Avila and Evenson (2010) used two measures of labour quality: average schooling of adult males in the workforce and nutritional status of the workforce. In addition to labour quality, Avila and Evenson (2010) pointed out that GA is a measure of the adoption of improved technology. In this case, they took the Green Revolution high yield varieties adoption. The authors conclude that the direction to improve TFP growth should go along the improvement of technologies adoption, increased schooling and improved nutrition. The TFP decomposition outlined by Avila and Evenson (2010) is paralleled in the pilot activities of AgResults5 Innovation in Research and Delivery through increasing yields and improved nutrition. One important component in the areas of increasing yield is via incentivizing the use and adoption of alternative technologies (i.e improved and healthy planting materials, green manure legumes). In terms of improved nutrition, improved varieties of indigenous vegetables and fruits and making the micro-nutrients (i.e iron, zinc) bio-available in the diet of the poorest population are among the essential technological solutions. Empirical studies (Strauss 1986, Hoddinott et al. 2008) found that nutrition enhances labour productivity, which is mirrored by the interconnection between nutrition and TFP growth. This fact motivates our study to put adoption of alternative technologies to improve yields and nutrition amongst our focus areas of innovation. It is important to note that whilst TFP growth measures are widely used as indicators of innovation, few studies such as Avila and Evenson (2010) are effectively analyzing the determinants of TFP growth. Most studies provide TFP growth estimates based on the growth accounting approach and although infrastructure development, institutional reforms, human capital development are among the known underlying causes of TFP growth and aggregate output – only focus on the proximate causes of productivity growth (input use). Changes in the quality of inputs (e.g. land and water) are also difficult to capture in a growth accounting approach of TFP measurement. With these caveats in mind, we will nonetheless further refer to TFP growth estimates based on this method in this paper, as the most widely available data source on agricultural productivity.6 3. Types of Innovation Fostering Food and Nutrition Security 3.1 Summary of Innovation Database As part of Work Package 3, we documented 110 FNS-related innovations in a systematic database, which consists of mixed technological, institutional, and policy innovations in developing countries7. The database was established from several major resources including ILRI database, IFPRI, CGIAR, 5 AgResults is a development initiative focusing on the ‘pull mechanism’ through providing reward for agricultural innovations that benefit the poor. The initiative has been developed by a core group of countries including Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia, and working with the Bill and Melinda Gates foundation, the World bank, and the global development advisory firm Dalberg (further information: http://siteresources.worldbank.org/CFPEXT/Resources/AgResults_concept_note.pdf). 6 On-going work on a Food and Nutrition Security Typology of countries under FoodSecure is also based on growth accounting estimates of TFP growth. This typology work attempts to cover FNS outcomes and their determinants, among them TFP growth and its underlying causes. 7 The innovation database will be extended during project lifetime. 11 FAO, The World Bank, Promoting Local Innovation (PROLINNOVA), Eldis, Joint Learning un and about Innovation Systems in African Agriculture (JOLISAA), Forum for Agricultural Research in Africa (FARA), Rural Networking (Runnetwork), Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and Knowledge for Development. The database only focuses on the innovations which have been implemented (and thus misses the innovations which have been developed but not implemented) and is limited in time. Working from a set of keywords for internet search, so far only the latest ten relevant innovations identified by the keywords were included in the database. Throughout the project time, innovations dating back to the late 1960s, particularly in the aspect of Green Revolution and its accompanying policies, should be progressively added. The historical record of innovation in the agricultural sector has shown a shift from technological innovations to the institutional mechanisms ruling the adoption and adaptation of the technologies (Peres, 2010). This shift depends on the specific circumstances, problems and contexts faced by the actors and localities. In terms of innovation classification, Baregheh et al. (2012) classified innovations based on the degree of innovation (Bessant and Tidd, 2007) and on the basis of the type of innovation. Francis and Bessant (2005) proposed four types of innovation including position, process, product, and paradigm innovation. Our classification is more focusing on the process and product innovations. While the process innovations are more related to the architecture of innovations, the product innovations in our database are focusing on the FNS dimensions addressed by the innovations. In general, the architecture of innovations can be distinguished into five main aspects, including goals and objectives (target of innovation), types of funding, source of innovation, innovation developer, key actors and stakeholders. These aspects are strongly connected with different time frames. Innovations also differ by their target: some specifically target certain dimensions of FNS or specific actors (e.g. smallholder farmers). Our database also records different types of innovation funding. In that sense, the innovation is classified under “opportunity-driven” funding when the funding of innovation is driven by the market (and in which case it typically comes from international development agencies, the private sector, or non-governmental organizations). The innovation is classified as “orchestrated” when the innovation is funded by a governmental intervention. The path to strengthen the national scientific and innovation capacity may involve a dependency on external funding in the first stage, moving to a more balanced funding in the later stage. This means that the orchestrated type of innovation should take over from the opportunity-driven type of innovation when the national innovation system becomes more mature and is well-established8. According to Conway and Waage (2010) and Conway (2012), the source of innovation can be classified into 4 categories, namely conventional, traditional, intermediate and new platform. Another classification of innovation types is based on the developer of innovation. In this respect, developer and funding of innovation is strongly interlinked. Our innovation database listed five major developers of innovation including international research and development agencies, nongovernmental organizations, private sectors, national institutes (both government and research agencies) and grass-root. 8 Taking as example of global partnership where an initial research collaboration is exclusively dependent on partners and funders transformed into an independent local research activity taking more than 10 years of research life (Conway and Waage, 2010). 12 The key actors and stakeholders involved in the innovation system determine the quality of agents’ interactions and the social learning that occurs during the innovation process (Woodhill, 2005). Grass-root innovation partnerships generally bring together famers, scientists and researchers and the private sector. It is recognized that the farmer is the innovator but the innovation process requires an adequate environment to support and promote the active involvement of the farmer itself in developing and sharing the innovation and technologies that they have created. The summary of innovation types derived from the database is outlined in Figure 3. The figure depicts that most of the innovations recorded in our database is purposed to specifically address the availability and accessibility dimensions. At the earlier stage, the definition of FNS was driven from the perspective of food production and agricultural activities. Later on, the structure and process in the economy have been considered as vital elements to ensure FNS. In particular, the food price spike of 2007-2008 and today’s climate change pressure exposed the crucial attention on the production of and access to food. Inevitably, most innovations aim to address the above challenges. Taking the example of the Green Revolution, which is known to have involved some of the great technological innovations in agriculture, the main aim of innovation was to achieve higher yields. In doing do, the scientists developed plants that were more resistant to diseases and more responsive to plant nutrient (IFPRI, 2002).9 However, it should be noted that innovations for FNS are not only dealing with producing and distributing food. Indeed, innovations for FNS should intervene along the entire value chain of nutrition (Hawkes and Ruel, 2012). In addition, the limits of technological innovation became apparent, particularly as related to the limited environmental carrying capacity. There also exist socio-economic problems associated with the take-up and adoption of new technology which underscore the need for institutional and policy innovations. New platforms of technological innovation through biotechnology and other platforms currently explore broader opportunities, which not only focus on the technology aspects but also on the sustainability of such innovation. In addition, a specific section on GM is compiled to exclusively analyze the development of GM and its connection to FNS. Figure 3 reports the funding of innovation and highlights the importance of financial resources and political support for innovation. Governments are important providers of funding for the whole innovation process, including for scientific facilities and for the enhancement of skills necessary to sustain the innovation system. Nevertheless, many developing countries are characterized with limited resources and commitment for science and research development. For instance, in Ethiopia the share of total expenditure (both public and private) on research and development was less than 0.2% of GDP between 2005 and 2007. On the other hand, emerging countries like Brazil and Argentina devoted more than 1% of GDP for research and development over the same period10. Figure 3 indicates that in the specific area of FNS innovation, international agencies seem to be the main funding sources. It is also evident that agricultural innovation often appears in the form of international collaboration between international research organizations and development agencies. Hence, it can be concluded that the FNS innovations are still largely opportunity-driven: innovations are more responsive to the market signals, hence more responsive to new actors. However, Brooks and Loevinsohn (2011) argued that innovation should have an orchestrated degree, particularly 9 The Green Revolution led to the dramatic increase of agricultural production many of Asia, Middle East and Latin America countries. In the case of Indonesia, the Green Revolution doubled the rice yields within ten years and brought the country into rice self-sufficiency in the early 1980s. A more detailed assessment of the Green Revolution is outlined in Section 5.1. 10 http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/GB.XPD.RSDV.GD.ZS?page=1 13 when the systems supporting the innovation are prone to power and information asymmetry as well as conflict of interest among actors. In line with the source of innovation funding, Figure 4 reports that the stakeholder involved in the innovation process is most likely engaged in International Research and Development Agencies such as the FAO, the World Bank, and the international research center of the CGIAR including ILRI, ICRAF, and IFPRI. In addition, international private foundations and regional multilateral organizations such as the Asian Development Bank (ADB) are also important innovation stakeholders. IN this context, a challenge facing innovation systems for FNS is to improve the collaboration among stakeholders, particularly in a way such that developing countries are empowered, recognized as true partners, and have equal stakes in the innovation (Hall et al., 2004). Figure 4 indicates that neither the private sector nor national governments have sufficient resources to invest in the research and development of public goods (Pingali, 2012). Participating in public good R&D is least attractive for the private sector as it lacks the capacity to capture the returns generated by public good R&D. Pant and Odame (2006) provide a structural typology of partnerships in the innovation system: 1. between public and non-profit private sector, 2. between public and for-profit private sector, 3. tripartite partnerships. In the first type, private sector refers to NGOs and other international development agencies. The sector includes local and provincial governments, and the agencies, departments and ministries in the national knowledge systems. The second type of partnership is less applied in developing countries. Our database confirms this notion, where the dominant stakeholder of agricultural innovations in the developing countries is in the form of partnership between international research and development organizations (Figure 5). Yet, as developed countries have followed the pattern of public – (for-profit) private partnerships, Gray et al. (2006) argue that the developing countries might also follow this trajectory. In the case of agricultural research in Africa, Sumberg (2005) argues that achieving equal partnerships is problematic in the sense that some partners needs to be strengthened while others are well advanced. This impacts the role of the ‘advanced’ partner, who should aim to support and strengthen the developing country partners. For instance, the latter should be able to set their own research priorities and innovation agenda. Apart from partnerships, participatory research and innovation which involves local communities and farmers can ensure that technologies are appropriate and hence adopted. Chambers (1992) outlines two mainstreams of participatory approaches in agricultural innovation: the farmer participatory research (FPR) and participatory rural appraisal (PRA)11. In the last decade, participatory innovation development (PID) has received more attention and has been institutionalized in several developing countries12. PID is an approach that takes local innovations as a point of entry to develop more farmer-led and expert-supported innovations (Waters-Bayer et al., 2004; Birke et al., 2010; Birke et al. 2011). 11 PRA is defined as ‘an approach that enables rural people to share, enhance, and analyze their knowledge of life and conditions, to plan and to act (Chambers, 1992). FPR is an approach that engages farmers in understanding their subjective goals and constraints, and their objective indigenous technical knowledge so that they can learn and adopt new technologies and later on transfer the technologies to other farmers (Farrington and Martin, 1988). PID refers to the creative interactions between farmers, extension/service providers and researchers to find new alternative technologies, ways of collaboration, organization of labour, land tenure, and other farming related activities that work maintaining capacity building and sustainable use of natural resources (van Veldhuizen, 2004). 12 The institutionalization of PID has been promoted widely in developing countries by PROLINOVA (Promoting Local Innovation). PROLINOVA is an NGO based on a multi-stakeholder program aiming to promote local innovation considering the importance of agriculture and natural resource management (www.prolinnova.net). PID has been established in 18 country platforms, among of them Ethiopia and Cambodia. 14 Our innovation database also captures the geographic scale of innovations. Figure 6 shows that most innovations are large and open innovations with a national coverage. The features of national scale innovations are generally focusing on rural policies and commodity competitiveness, particularly those which are important for the poor. In addition, a national scale innovation generally is a result from the scaling-up of the original and more local innovation. The database shows that 55% of the national scale innovations are also implemented in other countries. Figure 3. FNS Dimensions Addressed by Innovation Figure 4. Funding of Innovation Figure 5. Stakeholder of Innovation Figure 6. Geographic Scale of Innovation Source: author’s compilation based on the FoodSecure innovation database – April 2013 version (www.foodsecure.eu ) 3.2 The Main Features of Innovations for FNS This section discusses the main features of innovations in FNS-related areas. First, we focus on the sources of technology. Following Conway and Waage (2010), the sources of technology are categorized as conventional, traditional, intermediate and new platforms for technology. Selected technological innovations are discussed based on each of these sources of technology in Sections 15 3.2.1 to 3.2.4. The last section (3.2.5) discusses the features of institutional innovation in FNS-related areas. 3.2.1 Conventional technologies “Conventional technologies” are produced by industrialized countries through the application of modern knowhow in physics, chemistry, and biology. They are available in regional or global markets as a packaged form. The conventional technologies were normally developed in the form of agricultural inputs, such as fertilizer, high yielding varieties and irrigation tools, globally known as the tools of the Green Revolution. The original aim of conventional technological innovations is to diffuse knowledge to farmers to increase agricultural production through the transfer of knowledge embedded in the products (Dockes et al. 2011). The Green Revolution has significantly contributed to boost agricultural production in Asia between 1970 and 1995 (IFPRI, 2002; Pingali, 2012)13. Nevertheless, there exist some problems with the Green Revolution particularly those related to the social impacts and environmental degradation. In Thailand, the green revolution through the expansion of cassava cultivation was associated with forest clearance (Trebuil, 1995). In India, the green revolution is also linked with environmental degradation, for instance with respect to soil, vegetation and water resources (Singh, 2000). Unintended impacts do not reflect the failure of the technology adoption, but rather that of the related policies used to promote the intensification of agriculture. Examples include the tendency of the Green Revolution to lead to income inequality and inequitable asset distribution within countries (IFPRI, 2002; Otsuka and Yamano, 2005; Rosenzweig and Munshi, 2009). Another example is the loose regulation of input and output markets. As a specific consequence, although some developing countries locally produce fertilizers such as urea, phosphate and potash which can meet the domestic needs, other fertilizer requirements are entirely fulfilled through imports. This means that the domestic supporting policies in terms of agricultural input industries contribute to the adoption and success of Green Revolution package. Therefore, policy innovation plays a significant role in new technologies adoption and has been acknowledged as one of the pioneers in agricultural institutional innovations. The need for further progress in this area was evidenced during the 2007-08 food and fuel price crisis, which put pressure on agricultural input prices including fertilizers (Hill and Cogil, 2010): fertilizer prices steeply increased during this period and further limited access for the poor small-holder farmers. Related to the issue of application, the Green Revolution promoted the use of inputs such as pesticides and fertilizers and showed how judicious input application can reduce production costs. At the same time, guidelines on fertilizer application help to preserve the environment, for instance by increasing cultivated soil carbon reserves. Pingali (2012) argued that there is a need for a second generation Green Revolution, also promoted by Conway and Waage (20120) and Conway (2012). This new green revolution should focus on a sustainable agriculture, where high and stable agricultural productivity does not affect the environmental resilience of the system or promote income inequality. Another example of conventional technology is food fortification. The need for food fortification, particularly in developing countries, is driven by the less conclusive impact of the Green Revolution on micronutrient intake (Shetty 2002). Theoretically, the Green Revolution led to an increase of 13 A more detailed assessment of the Green Revolution’s impact is presented in the section 4.2. 16 incomes and hence to positive impacts on the nutritional outcomes: saving on staple food expenditures, households improve their access to nutrient-rich (non-staple) food (Torlesse et al., 2003). However, in India it is found that the green revolution has increased protein and fat intake, but that the increase of micro-nutrient intake remains uneven. The same evidence is also found in Indonesia where the decrease of staple food expenditure is associated with increased consumption of meat and dairy products, but not of vegetables and fruits (Pangaribowo and Tsegai, 2011). This evidence calls for the need to extend the conventional technology of food fortification to developing countries. Ensuring food availability is necessary but not sufficient. The returns on food fortification have been endorsed by the Copenhagen Consensus and recognized as one of the four priorities in development intervention along with controlling of HIV/AIDS, trade liberalization, and combating malaria (World Bank, 2006; Copenhagen Consensus, 2008). As of 1996, 18 countries had a food fortification program. Now, this number has doubled and a wider variety of commodities have been fortified (Bishai and Nalubola, 2002; Samaniego-Vaesken et al. 2012). It should be noted that the institutional settings in the form of legislation and regulations are important components of food fortification (Nathan, 1999) and the establishing the necessary institution should be one of the first steps of a food fortification program. In addition, Nathan (1999) emphasized the importance of advocacy, both at the industrial and household level. Advocacy programs aim to educate and to create awareness among industry and the consumers. Advocacy is paralleled with the acceptance of food fortification and inducing demand of the consumers. The enabling legislation and advocacy levels vary across countries, several countries such as Brazil, India, and China being known as the global leader in this arena (Moench-Pfanner and van Ameringen, 2012).The detailed assessment of the impacts of food fortification on FNS is discussed in Section 4. 3.2.2 Traditional technologies Traditional technologies are defined as technologies which have been developed by the local communities to meet their local needs. This type of innovation is derived from the traditional practices, generally shaped over a period of time by communities in developing countries and proven to be effective as complements to conventional technologies. Several traditional technologies, particularly agricultural systems, have been promoted and recognized globally. As a traditional technology is invented and adopted by local people, this technology is also referred to as indigenous technical knowledge (Conway and Waage, 2010). In the farming system, a traditional technology is characterized with low use of inputs, reflecting the (lack of) opportunities available to small-holder farmers (Meyer, 2010). A (controversial) example of farming practice rooted in age-old agricultural practices is the system of rice intensification (SRI). SRI has been widely adopted globally in the last decade beyond its country of origin, Madagascar (Uphoff and Kassam, 2008). Another example of traditional technology application globally applied is home gardens. Home gardens represent a traditional agricultural practice that has been applied mostly in rural areas, acting as food buffer stock for small-holders. Apart from that, home gardens provide more benefits including wealth generation, bargaining power in labor markets, post-harvest storage, nonagricultural income generating activities, and access to credit (Hanstad et al., 2002). Recently, home gardening has been used as a sustainable strategy that can address multiple micronutrient deficiencies through dietary diversification (Cabalda et al., 2011). At the same time, home gardens also serve as an integrated agro-ecosystem (Soemarwoto et al., 1985; Kahlenbeck et al., 2010; 17 Galuzzi et al., 2010). In Java14, home gardens (pekarangan) are well developed and characterized with great diversity relative to their size15 (Soemarwoto et al., 1975; 1985; White, 2010). The structure of home gardens in Java varies from place to place, ranging from 80 to 179 plant species (Soemarwoto et al., 1985). More importantly, Javanese home gardens contribute primarily to vitamin A and C provision, 12.4% and 23.6% respectively of the recommended dietary allowance (Arifin et al., 2012), and to 20% of household income (Stoler, 1978). In Cambodia and Nepal, respectively 31 to 65% respectively of household income is derived from revenue of poultry sale raised in the home garden (Mitchell and Hanstad, 2004). In the Philippines, a study on home gardening found that having a home garden is positively associated with children’s diet diversity and with frequency of vegetable consumption (Cabalda et al., 2011). Figure 7. Benefits of Home gardens Income, access to land/credit Family status, wealth assets Household activities, dietary needs Home gardens Source: authors’ classification adapted from Mitchell and Hanstad (2004) and Arifin et al. (2012) Another type of traditional knowledge which has been internationally acknowledged is that related to animal health and veterinary knowledge. Existing, traditional veterinary knowledge has made significant contributions and has been elaborated into a participatory epidemiology to control livestock diseases. This knowledge is increasingly important in the era of declining public sector veterinary services in developing countries (Catley and Admassu, 2003)16. As it is derived from local knowledge, this type of disease control is found to be effective and acceptable for the various stakeholders. The Global Rinderpest Eradication Program in Africa adopted a participatory disease surveillance (PDS) approach to control rare and common diseases (Jost et al., 2007). In Pakistan, this method was also applied to detect the severity of the rinderpest status of the urban buffalo population. PDS has been adopted in the urban settings of Indonesia in controlling the H5N1 virus. 14 Java is one of the principal islands and the most densely populated in Indonesia. 2 The size of pekarangan normally takes at least 120m (Arifin et al., 2012) or covers 10-15% of the cultivable area (Mitchell et al., 2002). 16 In the case of Indonesia, the veterinary service was “an easy target” for cutting of government expenditures in the time of the Asian financial crisis (Normille, 2007). 15 18 3.2.3 Intermediate technologies Intermediate technologies are a mix between conventional and traditional technologies (Conway and Waage 2010). The application of such technologies is supported by an institutional change so that they can provide a full range of benefits to small farmers. As examples, Polak et al. (2003) listed three types of affordable small-plot irrigation systems which developed from the mix of conventional and traditional technologies, including treadle pump, low cost drip irrigation, and low cost sprinkler system. These low-cost irrigation technologies enable poor farmers to have access to water and at the same time to reduce production costs. The treadle pump is one of the successful intermediate technologies, developed in Bangladesh during the 1980s (Namara et al., 2010). Before the development of the treadle pump, the extraction of ground water in Bangladesh mainly relied on motorized pumps. In the mid-1970s, the government of Bangladesh introduced the use of hand tube wells for irrigation systems but it was relatively expensive for small-holder farmers. Amid a growing awareness of the need for accessible irrigation for small-holder and marginal farmers, the treadle pump was initiated by an NGO in Bangladesh in 1979 (Orr et al., 1991). The objective of the treadle pump development was threefold: a high and sustainable of agricultural output, low cost, technology and simplicity of production, installation and use. In support, a variety of mass marketing actions were implemented in the 1980s by an international non-profit organization, International Development Enterprises (IDE) (Hierli and Polak, 2000; Namara et al., 2010). Currently, the treadle pump has been adopted across Africa and Asia (Kay and Brabben, 2000). Another example of micro-irrigation technology is the development of the drip system, mainly used to irrigate the off-season growing of vegetable crops on hill-terraces which lack water access (Polak et al. 2003). This system provides benefits to small-holder farmers including a reliable water source, higher yields and lower water use, leading to a sustainable intensification of agriculture and more profitable crops. The dissemination and marketing of this system have also led to an increase annual average income for the farmers. Both examples provide evidence that new and affordable intermediate technologies enable smallholder farmers to access the village water system, have a better access to drinking water, and enjoy the benefits of the income generated thanks to the system. 3.2.4 New platforms technologies The new platform technologies applied in fostering FNS include information and communication technologies (ICT) for the agricultural sector, biotechnology, and nanotechnology. ICTs have been widely applied for enhancing better market access as well as empowering local farmer organizations. In the application of biotechnology, food fortification is among the most cost-effective way to improving nutritional outcomes. This section discusses selective new platform technologies, mainly ICT, biotechnology of food fortification, biofortification, and GM crops. This section will also outline the role of extension services through farmer field school (FFS) in accelerating the adoption of the new platform technologies in the agricultural sector. The section also presents how the new platform technologies impact FNS. 3.2.4.1 ICT for agriculture ICTs cover technologies used to handle information and communication, including internet, radio, television, video, digital cameras and other hardware and software. In the former era, ICT in 19 developing countries mainly served as an entertaining gizmo and a means of communication. The modern application of ICTs has provided more services, through most areas of development including agriculture, education and health. The mushrooming of ICT applications in many developing countries provides an opportunity to transfer knowledge through the private and public information systems (Aker, 2011). One of the ICT applications is the widespread and varied use of mobile phones. Over the past decade, mobile phone subscriptions have increased considerably in developing countries (ITU, 2011 as represented in Figure 8). The greatest benefits of mobile phones are the significantly reduced communication and information costs, geographic coverage and the convenient use of the technology (Aker and Mbiti, 2010). As more and more people, particularly the poor one, have enjoyed the benefits of mobile phones, a number of innovators in developing countries have taken the opportunity to use it in various aspects of local life (Conway and Waage, 2010). Since early 2007, there have been a number of applications through mobile phones for farming, health, banking, and advocacy. Figure 8. Mobile-cellular Suscriptions per 100 habitants, 2001-2011 Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database, (ITU, 2011) For farming activities, the expanding use of mobile phones support farmers’ access to information access on agricultural extension services, market, financial services and livelihood support (Donner 2009), Translating in better access extension services, better market links and distribution networks, and better access to finance (World Bank, 2011). Ultimately, the mobile phone applications for farmers will improve farmers’ income, lower transaction and distribution costs for input supplier, improve traceability and quality standard for buyers, and create new opportunities for financial institutions. In more detail, Aker (2011) highlights the significance of mobile phones on agricultural services adoption and extension in developing countries through improved access to private information, farmer’s management of input and output supply chains, facilitation of the delivery of 20 other services, increased accountability of extension services, and increased communication linkages with research systems. The perspective of the private sector (Vodafone Group and Accenture, 2011) also emphasizes the potential solution offered by mobile applications in improving data visibility for supply chain efficiency (Table 2). Based on the review of 92 mobile applications, Baumüller (2012) found that the major service provided by the application is information provision. It is also found that only a few of the applications are already sustainable, while 33% of them are at the concept proof stage and 55% are at the scaling-up phase. ICTs are also a typical example of a new vector for collective action through increased connectedness and interactions, a crucial element for an improved agricultural innovation system (World Bank, 2012). Table 2. Mobile phones for Food and Agriculture Platform Features Impact Improving access to financial services Mobile payment system Micro-insurance system Micro-lending platform Increasing access and affordability of financial services for agricultural purposes Provision of agricultural information Mobile information platform Farmer helpline Delivering information relevant to farmers, such as agricultural techniques, prices, and weather forecast Improving data visibility for supply chain efficiency Smart logistic Traceability and tracking system Mobile management of supplier networks Mobile management of distribution networks Optimizing supply chain management across sectors Enhancing access to markets Agricultural trading platform Agricultural tendering platform Agricultural bartering platform Enhancing connection between commodity exchanges, traders, buyers and sellers of agricultural commodities Source: Vodafone Group and Accenture (2011) 3.2.4.2 Biotechnology and biofortification In the area of FNS, biotechnology plays a supportive role through the tissue culture for more effective and beneficial traits and genetic engineering technology. Genetic engineering has been used widely but mostly concentrated on increasing resistance to environmental stresses, pests, and diseases. However, recent developments in biotechnology have moved to another direction: high yield crops and more nutritious crops and animal products. In order to bring some of these benefits to the poor, who typically lack access to nutritious foods, such as fruits, vegetables, animal source foods (such as fish, meat, eggs, and dairy products), and rely heavily on staple foods, there is a need for staples-related biotechnology. One of the new platform technologies in this area is biofortification, a process of introducing nutrients into staple foods. Biofortification can be conducted through conventional plant breeding, agronomic practices such as the application of fertilizers to increase zinc and selenium content, or transgenetic techniques (Bouis et al., 2011). The small-holder farmers cultivate a large variety of food 21 crops developed by national agricultural research centers with the support of the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR). One of the global initiatives of biofortification is known as HarvestPlus17. Biofortification provides a large outreach as it reaches the rural malnourished population which less exposed to the fortified food in the markets and supplementation programs. By design, biofortification initially targets the more remote population in the country and is expanded later to urban populations. To be successfully implemented, biofortification should meet several challenges: successful breeding in terms of high yields and profitability, nutrients of the biofortified staple foods should be preserved during the processing and cooking, the degree of adoption and acceptance by farmers and consumers and the coverage rate (the proportion of biofortified staples in production and consumption) (Nestel et al., 2006; Meenakshi et al., 2010; Bouis et al., 2011). The development of biofortification is outlined in Table 3. In the case of food processing, Menakshi et al. (2010) estimated that the greatest processing losses are in the case of cassava in Africa, where the loss of vitamin A during the cooking process is between 70% and 90%. For other staple crops such as sweet potato and rice, the processing loss can be anticipated as both staple foods are consumed in boiled form. Table 3. HarvestPlus Pathway to Impact Stage Discovery Activity Identifying target populations and staple food consumption profiles Setting nutrient target levels Screening and applied biotechnology Development Delivery Crop improvement Gene by environment (GxE) interactions on nutrient density Nutrient retention and bioavailability Nutritional efficacy studies in human subjects Release biofortified crops Facilitate dissemination, marketing, and consumer acceptance Improved nutritional status of target populations Source: Bouis et al., 2011. Biofortification has been implemented in several counties of Asia and Africa (Table 4). A number of crops are biofortified including rice, wheat, maize, cassava, pearl millet, beans, and sweet potato, depending on the country context. Biofortification is found to be cost-effective in terms of the moderate breeding costs which take up approximately 0.2% of the global vitamin A supplementation (Beyer, 2010) while the benefit is far higher than the cost18. Comparing with other types of interventions such as supplementation and food fortification, biofortification seems more costeffective19. Nevertheless, biofortification is also without limitations as it might not be viable to be 17 HarvestPlus is a part of the CGIAR research program on Agriculture for Nutrition and Health under the coordination of the International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) and the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). 18 See the detail example in Bouis et al. (2011). 19 HarvestPlus takes an example how much US$75 million is worth for supplementation, fortification and biofortification. That amount of money can buy vitamin A supplementation for one year to 37.5 million pre-school children in South Asian countries: Bangladesh, India and Pakistan; while the same amount can be used for iron fortification for one year for 365 million persons which account for 30% of population in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. On the contrary, the same amount 22 applied in all plants. In the breeding perspectives, the breeding system of some plants is very difficult (Beyer, 2010). In Uganda, banana is a staple food and the per capita consumption per year is nearly 200 kg. The content of vitamins and mineral in banana is very low. Nevertheless, the conventional breeding of banana is less viable and takes more process. Another limitation of biofortification is that the potential benefits of biofortified staple food is uneven across all groups as the need for micronutrients varies along the lifecycle (Bouis et al., 2011). It should be recognized that the available, new varieties of biofortified food might not be effective due to the low of willingness to adopt such technology. As local farmers have limited information and knowledge, they are more likely to make inappropriate decision. Therefore, accompanied intervention through community participation to ensure that ethical principles of the right to informed choice plays an important role in promoting the adoption of biofortified staple (Johns and Eyzaguirre, 2006). Table 4. Target Crops, Nutrients, Countries, and Release Dates Crop Nutrient Country Bean Cassava Maize Pearl millet Rice Sweet potato Wheat Iron Vitamin A Vitamin A Iron Zinc Vitamin A Zinc DR Congo, Rwanda DR Congo, Nigeria Nigeria, Zambia India Bangladesh, India Mozambique, Uganda India, Pakistan Year of release 2012 2011 2012 2012 2013 2007 2013 Source: http://www.harvestplus.org/content/crops 3.2.4.3 GM crops Since their introduction in 1996, Genetically Modified (GM) crops have been extensively adopted by farmers, both in developing and developed countries. Worldwide, more than 160 million hectares are cultivated with GM crops, an area that represents more than 10% of the world cropped area (James, 2012). For crops that are genetically modified, adoption levels have reached high levels, even considering that they are still large parts of the world where their cultivation is not authorized. Sixteen years after the first GM crop was introduced, GM maize covered more than one-third of the world maize area, GM soybean 81% and GM canola 30% of the corresponding total cropped area (James, 2012). In 2012, GM crops were cultivated in 28 countries, with a rather even distribution between developed and developing countries (James, 2012). In sum, the adoption of biotechnology in farming might have been one of the fastest adoption processes of a technical innovation in recent agricultural history. For instance, it only took two years for GM Herbicide Tolerant sugar beet to reach an adoption level of 95% in the US, which represents an impressive rate of diffusion for an agricultural innovation (Dillen et al., 2013). However, the diversity of GM crops in terms of available traits for farmers is still very low compared to the promises. Four crops and two traits represent practically the whole biotech offer up to now. The two traits are herbicide tolerance (HT) and insect resistance (IR), and the four crops are soybean, maize, cotton and canola, by order of area. The herbicide tolerance trait is intended to simplify the of fund can finance the cost of developing and disseminating iron and zinc fortified rice and wheat for South Asia which would be last longer year after year. 23 weed control by transforming the plant in order to make it tolerant to a large-scale herbicide (glyphosate or glufosinate for instance) while the insect resistant trait’s purpose is to provide the plant with the capacity of producing a toxin that is active against some insect pests. Thus both traits are agronomic traits and are mainly aiming at improving the growing conditions of the crop. From a FNS point of view, the impact of those GM crops currently under cultivation goes through the channels of improved availability and/or accessibility: GM crops that would deliver higher yield would mean an increased production, compared to conventional counterfactuals, and higher production or reduced costs of production would translate into a reduced price for consumers. However, there has been some controversy about the actual effect GM crops have had on yields and prices. It is usually admitted that HT crops such as HT soybean, that represents half of the world’s GM area, are associated with small and generally insignificant yield effects. There are however additional profits for the farmers, but they are also largely dependent on the Property Right schemes that determine the technology fees and that vary across countries. The high adoption of HT crops in countries where they are available is rather better explained by the increased ease of use, flexibility and efficiency that the HT trait confers for weed control. However, a recent meta-analysis of field studies has shown that overall, GM crops have a higher yield than non-GM crops, this positive effect being clearer for Bt crops (IR) than for HT crops, and in developing countries than in developed countries (Areal et al., 2013). One the other hand, the same review shows that the cost of production for GM crops is higher than for the conventional crops, when all traits and countries are taken into consideration. In developing countries though, the production costs associated with the HT production are lower than those for growing conventional crops. Overall, impacts of GM crops on either economic or agronomic variables tend to be more marked in developing countries, which means that the impact of GM crops on FNS is higher in countries where the needs are located. But this impact is still rather limited with the first generation of GM crops that are available on the market, and might increase in the future when crops dedicated to the specific needs of developing country farmers are available. In terms of trend, growth in global area planted with biotech/GM crops is mostly driven by developing. Since about 2004, they have been closing the gap with industrialized countries in planted area, overtaking them for the first time in 2012 (Figure 9). Nonetheless, there are some striking differences in the type of biotech/GM crops grown, also among developing countries, and thus the channels of potential impacts on FNS would vary greatly. According to James (2012), the four main producers of biotech crops in developing countries in 2012 are Brazil (36.6m ha), Argentina (23.9m ha), India (10.8m ha) and China (4m ha). Brazil and Argentina grow biotech soybean, maize and cotton. India and China grow almost exclusively Bt cotton (James, 2012). With Bt cotton, the main impact on FNS is through increased farmers’ income (hence impact on accessibility), possibly through more efficient cotton production and thus less input competition with other (food) crops (debatable impact on availability). The debate about biotech food crops is also very intense in India, where a moratorium on Bt eggplants, with consequences for biotech research funding and development in the country (Bagla and Stone, 2013). 20 20 Finally, we must highlight the importance of the legal and policy frameworks which enabled Brazil, Argentina, India and China to become leaders in biotech crops. In particular, which mechanisms were set up to address public concern regarding these new technologies and the ethical issues which they raise? This is treated in this review but will be researched specifically under further FoodSecure activities (D3.5 and D3.6). 24 Figure 9. Global area of biotech crops million hectares Source: James, 2012 Table A1 (Appendix) provides a list of published surveys of the impacts of GM crops on yields and/or economic margins, as represented in the FoodSecure database on innovations for and impacts on FNS. For specific impact figures (yields, economic margin), information is available in the FoodSecure innovation database (www.foodsecure.eu ). 3.2.5 Institutional innovations Institutional innovations involve social and political processes in which the actors of innovation contribute to a larger action by combining inherited practices, technologies and institutions to address their interest (Hargrave and van De Ven, 2006). Institutions are defined as the rules of society or organizations that support the people or members by helping them form and deal with their expectations about each other so that they achieve common objectives (Ruttan and Hayami, 1984; World Bank, 2002). As mentioned earlier, innovation is a process involving various institutional arrangements and inter-agent coordination. In the FNS related areas, more specifically in the agricultural sector, institutional innovations have emerged in the form of the coordination of actions and interests of farmers, markets, and policy makers. As mentioned above, the downsides of the Green Revolution are mainly due to the related social policies, not to the technologies themselves. Therefore, institutional innovation plays a substantial role to accompany technological innovation make it beneficial for the people. One of the innovative institutions related to FNS are the farmer field schools (FFS) (Braun et al., 2006). Originated in Indonesia, FFS have long been recognized as an initiative to address the challenge of pest management and the heterogeneous ecological aspects of farming activities. Nevertheless, FFS has also been implemented in other fields, such as resource management (Nepal), 25 adoption of agricultural technologies (Kenya), and diffusion of knowledge (Mexico)21. Despite the small amount of budget to sustain the FFS, a great number of international and national NGOs have been involved thoroughly in FFS since the early 1990s. A good practice in FFS is the involvement of FFS alumni in Indonesia and the Philippines as full-time FFS facilitators. Apart from pest management and farming practices, the FFS alumni were also trained with new skills, such as computer and entrepreneurial development (Braun et al., 2006; Braun and Duveskog, 2008). IFAD (2010) outlines the importance of institutional innovations to facilitate access to natural resources and local governance, access to productive assets and markets, access to information and knowledge, and increasing political capital. The World Development Report 2008 on Agriculture for Development (World Bank, 2008) documents several focus areas of institutional innovations including new mechanisms to increase land tenure security for small-holders farmers, financial and services access, risk mitigation and management, as well as efficient input markets. In Andhra Padesh - India, an initiative for sustainable agriculture based on group of women is developed to improve the livelihood and nutrition of the poor. The innovative element of this program is the bottom-up planning process where the households and communities identify their needs and find the workable solutions (World Bank, 2012). There are several benefits enjoyed by the farmers, including the increase of savings and income, stable yields and increased diversification, increased investment in productive assets and sustainable land and water management, new livelihood opportunities, improved food security, and human and environmental health benefits. Our innovation database has collected a number of institutional innovations covering those focus areas (Table 5). These institutional innovations, by increasing access to financial resources and microcredit, or providing a legal framework to ensure access to resources and land as well as intellectual property rights, are important routes for enhancing livelihoods. Finally, the reorganization of different institutional frameworks, or rather the necessity for crossdepartmental cooperation and strategies, has been identified as a key to development necessary to address food and nutrition insecurity. Arising from the multi-dimensional nature of FNS issues, the need for “policy convergence” on FNS was identified early as a pillar in the terms of references of the Committee for World Food Security (CFS) and was re-emphasized after its reform. CFS (2012) identifies the promotion of policy convergence as one of its main roles and highlights avenues for policy convergence in the specific case of FNS crisis (linking FNS action with social protection - item 36), in general policy on responsible agricultural investment (item 41), biofuel policy (item 45), food reserves – including the management of emergency humanitarian food reserves (item 46), gender issues (item 49), sustainable agricultural growth (item 54), nutrition policy and social protection (item 57), countries in protracted crisis (item 68). Concretely, in this context policy convergence points to increased cooperation and consultation between government sectors in order to harmonize their goals and understand their interdependencies with respect to FNS. The CFS supports the use of voluntary guidelines, in particular on nutritional indicators, as a step in this direction. Indeed, several food and nutrition security indicators reviewed in Pangaribowo et al. (2013) make reference to such guidelines, national plans or strategies. One could add the need for policy convergence with education policy and capacity strengthening programs at all levels of the food value chain (World Bank, 2012). Investments in capacity building for agricultural innovation, as a typical example of the 21 Table A2 in the Appendix presents the list of countries that implement FFS approach. 26 convergence of different sectors, may require investing more broadly in (economic) development programs, and (World Bank, 2012). Table 5. Selected Institutional Innovation No Innovation Financial and services access 1 Innovative financing for agriculture Risk management 2 Market-based risk management schemes Access to social capital and partnership 3 Awareness building about local innovations 4 Promoting innovations at grassroots level through innovation portal 5 Building learning alliances 6 Institutional building 7 Transforming the institutional system for fostering innovations 8 Innovative triangular partnership 9 Innovation system governance and policies 10 Assessment of innovation competitiveness 11 Community mobilisation projects 12 Institutions for food security 13 Enabling policies for reducing poverty and improving food security 14 Inclusion of smallholders in agricultural research 15 Multiple-stakeholder approaches to agricultural innovation 16 Innovation and smallholder partnership Access to information and knowledge 17 Database of Eldis (IDS, UK) 18 Agricultural research and innovation 19 Mechanism to Share Innovations Access to assets and market 20 Integrating farmers into dynamic supply chains 21 Indigenous food plants 22 Food aid to support local production 23 Enhancing value chains to benefit farmers 24 Food security observatory 25 Farm aid rather than food aid Developer ADB WB and DFID NIF Techpedia CIAT ForestAction, Nepal USAID JICA, WB IFPRI WB MercyCrops FAO, IFAD, WFP ILRI INSARD FARA GCARD IFPRI IPS NGO Catholic Relief Services African Innovation Institute Inter-American Institute USAID Source: FoodSecure Database – Version April 2013 (www.foodsecure.eu ) 4. Meta analysis of Innovations’ Impact Assessments 4.1. Methods In conducting the meta-analysis of technological and institutional innovation impact assessments, a systematic literature review is performed. The literature review is based on published and unpublished studies after 2000 identified from several databases including PubMed, Eldis, and the World Bank depending on the type of innovations. We identify the innovation impacts on FNS based on the type of technology as described in Section 3.2., for instance the search key words include ICT, biofortification, FNS, and impact. We also use the manual search of literatures related to the topic. In addition to the definition of innovation discussed in the earlier section, this paper stresses that the definition of an innovation not only covers new technologies or institutions, but also how existing technologies and institutions are used or applied in a new context with an impact on FNS. For instance, the impact of ICT on FNS is not the ICT per se, but how ICT has played a vital role in providing agricultural information and improving information along the agricultural supply chain. 27 Similarly, in the area of food fortification in developing countries, it is not food fortification the innovation per se, but the innovation is related with how food fortification requires institutional innovation such as supportive legislation and private sector collaboration. To complement the innovation database, this study also collects empirical studies which evaluate selected innovation listed in the database. In searching the literature, we initially combined the key words search of “impact evaluation”, “innovation”, and “food nutrition security” on PubMed, Googles Scholar, Eldis, IFPRI, as well as proceedings of international conferences. The next selection of the studies is based on the methodological characteristics. We prioritize studies which use a longitudinal data or large scale and randomized control trials. We also include studies which utilize cross-sectional data as long as they include matching analysis of the treatment and control groups. For the institutional innovation, this study focuses on the analysis of the impact of farmer field schools (FFS) as it has been widely studied and assessed (Braun et al., 2006; Braun and Duveskog, 2008). The final selection of the studies is presented in Table A2 in the Appendix. In assessing the impact of innovations on FNS, this paper follows the FAO FNS dimensions: availability, accessibility, utilization, and stability. Food availability refers to the physical availability of food. The level of food production, stock levels and net trade are the fundamental determinants of the supply side of FNS. Accessibility refers to the economic and physical access to food. Utilization measures whether a household or individual is able to derive sufficient nutrition during a given period of time. Stability refers to the stability of the first three dimensions of food security, at all times and without risks. In this study, we focus on the first three dimensions of FNS as the stability dimension is embedded in the other dimensions22. Several innovations might address multiple dimensions at the same time and exhibit dimensional overlaps. For instance, biofortification (discussed in this section) aims to address the availability and utilization dimensions. However, as the original intention of biofortification is to enhance micronutrient intake and improve nutrition outcomes for the poor, the impact assessment will be mostly discussed in reference with utilization. Other types of innovative traditional technologies like home-gardens and ICT for agriculture might give overlapping assessments as they address availability, accessibility, and utilization at different levels. In terms of institutional innovation, we highlight a specific innovation, FFS as it addresses the multiple dimensions of FNS. FFS has been recognized as an innovative, participatory and interactive model in enhancing farmers’ knowledge and skills which has been widely applied in Asia, Africa, Latin America, Middle East and recently in North Africa as well as Eastern and Central Europe (Braun et al., 2006). In addition to the meta-analysis, a stakeholder survey was conducted to collect a plurality of views on the impacts (FNS, socio-economic and environmental) of innovations for FNS. The results of the survey are presented in Section 4.2.4. 4.2 4.2.1 The Impacts of Innovations on the Dimensions of FNS Availability The initial technological breakthroughs were in the breeding of improved varieties- particularly rice and wheat, accompanied by the use of fertilizers and other chemical inputs, and irrigation (IFPRI, 2000) which boosted agricultural production. As mentioned above, early innovations were aimed to address the possibility of feeding growing populations. The adoption of innovations during the Green 22 Pangaribowo et al. (2013) stated that the stability dimension covers cross-cutting issues. Safety net programs and micronutrient interventions, particularly for the most vulnerable groups, remain the most important buffer for stability. 28 Revolution occurred very quickly all over the world, thanks to the role of innovative institutions at the local level which made the smooth technological transfer possible. Several studies (Foster and Rosenzweig, 1995; Romani, 2003; Feder et al., 2004; Alenea and Manyong, 2006; Conley and Udry, 2010) reported a positive impact of institutional innovation through FFS on agricultural productivity. Those studies prove that appropriate soft-infrastructures such as local institutions and social capital make technological investments and transfers successful in fostering food production. Furthermore, those studies showed that institutional innovations like FFS enhancing farmer knowledge can increase productivity and profitability. In addition, farmer participation in FFS has also benefitted the environment. Through the IPM program introduced in the FFS, farmers have been able to wisely apply pesticides and other chemical inputs without compromising the production area and in many cases improving yield productivity (Braun et al., 2006). Nevertheless, the application of conventional technologies through high yield varieties (HYV) of the Green Revolution has led to a gap in research and technology. In particular, there is a differential lag in R&D across commodities (IAASTD, 2008; Pingali, 2012). A very limited effort was devoted for the breeding of the orphan crops such as cassava, millet, sorghum and potatoes, whereas these commodities represent a great share of staple food in many African countries23. This fact raised the notion that the green revolution technologies were inappropriate in African countries. In spite of lagging behind during the green revolution, Binswanger-Mkhize and McCalla (2010) reported that the rate of improved-varieties adoption in Sub-Sahara Africa has since then been significant. 4.2.2 Accessibility The spikes in food and energy prices in 2007-2008 have triggered the increase of input costs which negatively affected the supply responses from the producer side. The introduction of the new platform technologies in the agricultural sector through ICT plays a significant role for both producers and consumers. In developing countries, most of small-holder farmers act as producers and consumers at the same time and ICT offers a unique opportunity for rural farmers to access market information, weather, and extension services. Several empirical studies (Table A2) reveal that ICT has a significant impact both on producer and consumer welfare (Jensen, 2007). Arguably, there are several potential channels for ICT to affect accessibility: by increasing farmer’s profitability thus income, ICT can enable a farmer to improve consumption, whilst at the same time enabling them to save and accumulate resources. Labonne and Chase (2010) assessed the positive impact of ICT on per capita consumption. Our institutional innovation database (Table 5) provides evidence that innovative institutions help to improve access to social capital and partnership, information and knowledge, as well as assets and markets. 4.2.3 Utilization The dimension of utilization in FNS is closely related with a measure of an individual’s ability to derive sufficient nutrition during a given period. Among studies listed in Table A2 (Appendix), the innovations in agriculture improving the utilization dimension are related with the conventional technologies through food fortification and the new platform technologies through biofortification. 23 They are called orphan crops (i.e., crops other than rice, wheat, and maize) as the breeding of these crops was not included in the breeding research during the green revolution, but introduced later in the post green revolution period (Renkow and Byerlee, 2010). 29 Successful food fortification is supported by institutional innovations through the strong political will to collaborate with the private sector, as food fortification can be implemented and diffused by the food industry. Legal action is also needed towards universal achievement in micro-nutrient supply (e.g. salt). As reported by The Progress of Nations 1995, in 1995 there were 19 countries known to have iodine deficiency problems and no legislation on salt iodization (UNICEF, 1995), whilst several of the world’s poorest countries such as Bhutan, Bolivia, Cameroon, Kenya and Nigeria have been successful in iodizing the majority of salt consumed. In the case of Indonesia, the first Ministry of Health’s decree on wheat flour fortification for all flour produced in Indonesia was enacted in 1998. Table A2 in the appendix reports that food fortification and biofortification indeed have a positive impact on micro-nutrient intake. In the case of Indonesia, micronutrient-fortified milk and noodles were associated with the decrease of stunting probability among Indonesian children (Samba et al., 2012). In addition, staple food fortification in Vietnam has been a potential vehicle to support the intake of micronutrient (Laillou et al., 2012). It should be noted that the traditional technology of home garden is also considered as a viable and effective way to improve micro-nutrient consumption. It is evident that children from households with a home garden are more likely to consume more vitamin A (vegetables) and have a more diverse diet (Kidala et al., 2000; Bushamuka et al., 2005; Jones et al., 2005; Laurie et al., 2008; Cabalda et al., 2011). Following the UNICEF framework of malnutrition, an unhealthy environment is an immediate cause of malnutrition. Diarrheal diseases are among the nutrition-health problems which are mostly associated with water and sanitation conditions. Humphrey (2009) pointed out that undernutrition in developing countries is closely related with tropical enteropathy which is associated with poor water, sanitation, and hygiene conditions. Therefore, interventions aiming at water and sanitation improvements, in line with the changes in hygiene behavior and public health programs, might have significant effects on a population and their health (von Braun et al. 1992, Smith and Haddad 2000; Save the Children, 2012). 4.2.4 Results of the Stakeholder Survey The stakeholder survey aims to collect a range of opinions, stakeholder attitudes and understandings of the impacts of innovations on FNS, as well as of the trade-offs of innovations in terms of FNS, socio-economic or environmental impacts. The results provide general directions that can be used in building scenarios for FNS innovations and their impacts in the future, based on the inferred likelihood of innovation creation and development as well as adoption. The questionnaire is designed as a simple, non-technical survey in order to appeal to respondents with various educational and professional backgrounds.24 The number of respondents is 42, the survey was constructed to approach a limited number of stakeholders with a key interest in FNS, agriculture and natural resources. The professional background of the respondents is fairly diverse: almost 40% of the respondents are working with NGOs, 25% are from the public sector and academia, 17.1% are from 24 The online survey was addressed to two distinct groups of stakeholders: 1. participants in the conference “Scientific Support for Food Security and Global Governance”, EC JRC, Brussels, 28 September 2011; 2. Members of the Farming First coalition, a coalition of multi-stakeholder organizations aiming to promote actions for sustainable agricultural development worldwide. The first group yielded a response rate of about 25%, the second group yielded about 10 responses. The response rate in the second group is thought to be very low, although the survey team did not have access to the mailing list. This could be explained by the fact that the invitation to the survey was sent to the representatives of the member organizations, not directly to their members (farmers, etc.). 30 international agencies (i.e. FAO), 7.3% are from the private sector, 7.3% are farmers and the rest are from general/public opinion. The survey was conducted online in February 2013. 4.2.4.1 General FNS Awareness The first part of the survey assesses the general awareness of the respondents to FNS issues. The respondents are asked whether they have heard the term of food and nutrition security (FNS) before, what FNS means, and to list five priorities (multiple choice) to improve FNS. The majority of the respondents (almost 95%) knew about the expression “FNS”. This high percentage is not surprising as almost a quarter of the respondents report FNS as their field of expertise. However, it is interesting to see how the respondents define FNS. The survey provided a closed question with six definitions, namely: ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· everyone has enough food, stable food supply in the future, all food is safe to eat, well-functioning food distribution, consumption of high quality of food, and ensuring consumption of healthy food through hygienic cooking preparation. Ninety percent of the respondents chose ‘everyone has enough food’ and ‘stable food supply in the future’. Around 78% of the respondents indicate that FNS should encompass the consumption of quality food (i.e. micronutrients, calorific content). The stakeholders’ perception on FNS is paralleled by The United Nations High Level Task Force on Global Food Security (HLTF) through their Comprehensive Framework for Action (CFA). The framework defines food and nutrition security as a condition when all people, at all times, have physical, social and economic access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food which meets their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life. To understand the future priorities of FNS innovation, respondents were prompted with a list of innovations and asked to choose five out of them. The results are as follows (% of respondents): ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· promoting a sustainable and diversified agricultural sector (71.8%), improving farmer’s skill (69.2%), empowering farmers through collective action (53.8%), income generating programs (51.3%), and increasing agricultural crop production (46.2%). This result suggests that although technological innovation is important to increase agricultural production, institutional factors through farmer’s collective action should be put forward in directing future science policy for agriculture and FNS. We also asked respondents to rank the relevance of FNS dimensions: availability, accessibility, utilization and stability in the context of developing countries and how these dimensions change with time. Around 80% of the respondents agreed that accessibility in the present and in the future is highly relevant for developing countries. Almost 70% of the respondents reported that utilization both in the present and in the future is highly relevant for developing countries. It is interesting that the availability dimension was seen as less relevant. In comparison, about 58% of the respondents stated that availability in the present and in the future is highly relevant for developing countries. Thus stakeholders consider that the future FNS innovation should go beyond the availability 31 dimension as FNS problems in developing countries are more complex. Many developing countries are entrenched with dual burden of malnutrition where undernutrition and overnutrition (overweight and obesity) coexist in the same population or household (Hawkes et al., 2005; FAO, 2006). The latter problem is mainly a result of a change in information and culture, a change of lifestyles and physical activity patterns, as well as of the globalization of trade and finance (Hawkes et al., 2005; Popkin et al., 2012). 4.2.4.2 Agricultural Innovations and FNS We prompt respondents with a list of agricultural innovations (generic or specific)25. First, the respondents are asked about their familiarity with the type of innovation provided in the survey. Among the innovations, FFS is the most familiar innovation for the respondents (75%), followed by local farmer organization empowerment (67%), and farmer extension services (52%). The respondents assessed GM crops as the least relevant technological innovation for FNS in developing countries. The results are affected by and indeed are consistent with the stated future priorities for innovations (Figure A1, Appendix). Our survey also asked respondents to rank the innovations according to their environmental friendliness. FFS was seen as the most likely to be environmentally friendly (80%), followed by new/integrated water management (77%), empowering local farmer organizations and farmer extension services (both at 46%). Around 40% of the respondents reported that adapted inputs for small scale farming and GM crops might have a negative impact on the environment (Figure A2, Appendix). Perceptions of the economic sustainability of innovations was also queried. While around 71% respondents saw that FFS is economically sustainable, the respondents were more likely to state that empowering local farmer organization is the most economically sustainable innovation for FNS. Similarly, this type of innovation is seen by the respondents (almost 70%) as the most widely applicable beyond the original/experimental setting26 (Figure A3, Appendix). The issue of trade-offs between the FNS, environmental, social, and/or economic impacts of innovations was also examined. The respondents rated institutional innovations such as FFS and local farmer organizations (55% and 50%, respectively) as the most likely to have trade-offs. On the other hand, ICT, supply chain management, and food fortification (30% both, 20% respectively) were seen as the least likely to have trade-offs between environmental, social, and/or economic aspects (Figure A4, Appendix). Finally, respondents were asked (closed question) about the two main barriers to the adoption of innovation. For all types of innovations, respondents stated that limited farmer’s access, lack of education and training are the two main barriers to adoption (Figure A5, Appendix). The respondents’ view on the future direction of innovation and FNS is in line with other global FNS scenarios. For example, the IAASTD scenario emphasizes the need for high agricultural knowledge, science and technology (AKST) through high agricultural R&D, the Comprehensive Assessment of Water Management in Agriculture (CAWMA) emphasizes the water supply and demand scenario 25 The list of innovation includes ICT, farmer extension services, FFS, empowering local farmer organization, rural microfinance schemes, supply chain management, animal breeding programs, new/modern seed varieties, adapted inputs for small scale farming, food fortification programs, new/integrated water management, and GM crops. 26 Please see Table A2 in the Appendix on the application of FFS all over the world. 32 through improving irrigation performance and expansion of irrigate areas (van Dijk, 2012). The findings of stakeholder survey, as well as the discussion in the following section, provide interesting information which should help refine and reshape the scenarios presented in van Dijk (2012). 5. Informing Innovation Scenarios for FNS Based on the theoretical framework and on observations from the innovation database, the survey of stakeholders, and selected empirical studies on innovations from FNS, we attempt toward the future. The purpose is to understand what type of science systems and innovations should and are likely to be promoted and will support FNS, and where. Understanding the current macro context of innovations and their supporting system allows us to identify the problems and opportunity in designing future innovations for FNS. The information base for future trends in innovation presented in this study will discuss the technology policy designs from a policy perspective. As technology is not a global public good, overcoming technological gaps is not easy. Further, as we have illustrated earlier, in combating hunger and malnutrition, both technological and institutional “catch-ups” are required. The information discussed in this section is not a collection of formulae and blueprints of what countries should do, but a collection of ideas and a discussion about approaches for FNS through innovation. Hopefully, this section can help guiding efforts to endogenize innovation and change in the technical modeling for FNS 5.1 Current Innovation and FNS Situation The World Bank has developed the Knowledge for Development initiative (K4D) to support the capacity building of the member countries in accessing and using knowledge for promoting growth and enhancing human welfare. This study links the country’s knowledge and innovation capacity with the FNS status in order to understand the potential ‘to catch-up’ that can be exploited. There are several pillars that reflect the knowledge economy of a country, namely the economic and institutional regime, education and skills, the information and communication infrastructure, and the innovation system. These four pillars measure a country’s preparedness for development, or rather how the country’s investments in these pillars contribute to the level of development. We present a graphical analysis of a basic knowledge economy to analyze the potential, similarities, differences and weaknesses across countries. Based on the 43 pre-selected developing countries under the Foodsecure project (Foodsecure, 2011), it is found that Brazil and China are the most advanced in terms of innovation production, ICT, economic incentive regimes and education (Figures A6-A8). Basically, the countries are mapped according to the scorecard of four pillars of the knowledge economy developed by the World Bank27, relative to the mean index value for each pillar. These pillars are (2012 KEI indices are based on “most recent data” for the various indicators): ï‚· ï‚· 27 An index of innovation (general innovation, not only linked to the agricultural sector), based on indicators of: Royalty payments and receipts, US$ per person; Technical journal articles per million people; Patents granted to nationals by the U.S.; Patent and Trademark Office per million people. An education index, based on: Adult literacy rate; Gross secondary enrollment rate; Gross tertiary enrollment rate. Available at http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTUNIKAM/Resources/KAMbooklet.pdf 33 ï‚· An ICT index, based on: Telephones per 1,000 people; Computers per 1,000 people; Internet users per 1,000 people. ï‚· An index of economic and institutional regime, based on: Tariff and non-tariff barriers; Regulatory quality; Rule of law. Figure A6 reveals potential catch-up countries including Zimbabwe, Senegal, Kenya, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Bolivia, Indonesia and Vietnam. Those countries are characterized by relatively good infrastructure, good educational as well as knowledge and research support. Some African countries like Ethiopia, Madagascar, Ghana, Zambia, and Burkina Faso are lagging behind. A similar figure is also found in the relationship between education-innovation and economic incentive regimeinnovation. In this aspect, Eritrea, Sudan, Ethiopia, Burkina Faso, and Myanmar remain the worst performers as the infrastructure, educational and institutional endowment. Taking a close look at the comparison of China – the best knowledge economy performer and Ethiopia – one of the slowest knowledge economy performers28 (Figure 10), we deduct that Ethiopia is lagging in all four pillars of the knowledge economy, as exemplified by low economic incentive regimes and low access to ICT. Ethiopia is relatively better positioned in the innovation pillar, as reflected by patents granted per capita. However, this achievement is far below the performance of China. China is relatively strong in the innovation pillar through the number of patents granted and royalty payments received. As outlined in the earlier section, education is a key explanatory variable of labour quality for enhancing TFP. On the other hand, it is also indicated that a country like Ethiopia, which suffers from a weak knowledge economy, is also weak in terms of the FNS status as represented by the percentage of stunted children aged under five years (see Table 6). Taking an example from a more advance economy, Indonesia has a relatively higher cereal import dependency ratio, but does not experience a strong impact on its FNS status, particularly of the availability dimension, as long as the fundamental institutional support (i.e. food subsidies and other social transfers) is been wellfunctioning. In terms of tariff and nontariff barriers, Indonesia is in the same class with China while in fact, the average tariff of Indonesia was even lower than that of several countries in Asia, particularly the East Asians (Basri and Patunru, 2012). 28 The Knowledge Economy Scorecard is developed by the World Bank and ranks the knowledge economy performance of a country. Ethiopia and China are chosen for illustration, both are among the FoodSecure project partners and interestingly they show have vastly different scorecards. 34 Figure 10. Knowledge Economy Scorecard for Ethiopia and China Source: KAM, 2012 Table 6. Selected FNS Status in China, Ethiopia, and Indonesia Cereal import dependency ratio 2002-04 2003-05 China 7.7 7.7 Ethiopia 10.6 9.8 Indonesia 13.7 12.1 2004-06 7.1 5.9 12.2 2005-07 6.3 6.0 12.6 2006-08 5.5 7.3 12.2 2007-09 5.2 10.1 10.8 Percentage of children under 5 years of age who are stunted 2000 2004 China 17.8 11.7 Ethiopia 57.4 50.7 Indonesia 42.8 28.6 Source: SOFI, 2012 Based on the macro context of a country indicated in the pillars of knowledge economy, it can be seen that innovations are associated with infrastructure. Access to information and communication help bridging to the rest of the world, particularly in terms of the technology transfer process. As mentioned earlier, education plays a vital role in explaining TFP growth. Countries with better educational endowments are more advanced and ready to encounter new challenges and master new technologies. A sound economic and institutional regime is a key to attract foreign direct 35 investment (FDI). Economic openness also matters and in developing countries is often impaired by high tariffs. Further, many developing countries are characterized by inappropriate legal frameworks, inefficient bureaucracy and poor law-enforcement, hindering the flow of knowledge and technology to the countries. This situation is worsened by the very low national R&D expenditures. Based on the ASTI data29, cross-country comparisons of public R&D expenditures show that countries with sustainable R&D expenditure (like China and Brazil) have increased their agricultural productivity (through innovation) above the rest of the world (Figure A9, Appendix). Figure A10 (Appendix) reports the trend of public R&D expenditures in selected countries. It is evident that countries with an increasing trend of R&D expenditure like Brazil, Kenya, India and China, are more likely progressive innovation countries30. China’s public expenditures on research have doubled during 2000-2008 and it is estimated to further double in 2009-2010 (Beintema et al., 2012). On the contrary, the limited public and private sector’s commitment on funding for agricultural innovation is clearly evident in SSA. This is one of the key explanations for the slow agricultural productivity in the continent. Beintema et al. (2012) also note that R&D expenditures (and R&D expenditure shares of GDP) for small developing economies are more volatile than those of larger ones, which they attribute for a large part to their stronger reliance on donor programs. Notwithstanding, many developing countries including those of SSA have made progress in the access and the use of ICT, which is an opportunity to offering better market and information access. Hence, strategies need to address the basic pillars of the knowledge economy: qualified human capital through education as well as sound infrastructure and economic incentives. Table 7 presents a crude typology of developing countries based on the variables of Figures A6 to A8 (KEI indicators, most recent observation post 2000), the somewhat more sketchy ASTI data on public agricultural R&D expenditures (most recent observation after 2000), an FNS score based on the factor scores for each country (following a principle component analysis on an initial set of 12 FNS indicators, reduced to four – see FoodSecure MS4: Guide to Case study selection; the final indicators are: Prevalence of underweight among children below the age of five, Prevalence of stunting among children below the age of five, Prevalence of overweight male and female adults (15 years of age and older), the most recent observation post 2000 for each indicator), and the total factor productivity growth in agriculture between 2000 and 2009 (Fuglie 2010)31, used as an approximation technological change and innovation in agriculture. 29 nd Available at http://www.asti.cgiar.org/data/, accessed on May 2 2013. It is reported that the R&D expenditure in Kenya has increased by 2.1% during 2000 to 2008, a substantial increase compared to the stagnant R&D expenditure in the previous decade (Beintema et al., 2012). 30 31 The data used in Fuglie (2010) was kindly shared with us by the author. 36 Table 7. Country Typology based on FNS outcomes and innovation profile Group Country FNS Average Annual TFP Growth, 2000-09 Innovation Education Economic Incentive Regime ICT R&D Spending per capita 1 1 Eritrea Burkina Faso 1 1 Cote d’Ivoire Guinea 1 1 Madagascar Mozambique 1 1 Rwanda Sierra Leone 1 1 Tanzania Uganda 1 Sudan 2 Malawi 2 2 Pakistan Sri Lanka 2 2 Bangladesh Cambodia NA 2 2 Ethiopia Laos NA 2 2 Mali Nepal 2 2 Yemen Zambia 2 Niger NA 3 3 Cameroon India NA 3 3 Indonesia Kenya 3 3 Senegal Vietnam 4 4 Ghana Haiti 4 4 Bolivia Nigeria * 4 4 Zimbabwe Tajikistan * 5 5 Benin Brazil 5 5 China Guatemala NA * * NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Legend: low high *=negative average of annual TFP growth Note: “High” and “Low” are determined by the countries’ performance in the specific indicators, relative to the sample mean. Source: Authors’ compilation based on Fuglie (2010) for the TFG growth rates, the World Bank Knowledge Economy Index (Innovation, Education, Economic Incentives and ICT, and the ASTI database for the R&D expenditures. 37 As variables depicting the innovation system are presented only for one period (unlike Figure A10), and there are known lags in the relationships between several of these variables (most notably between R&D investment and products), a solid typology would need to pay due attention to time series for all indicators, as far as data allows. Nonetheless, Table 7 offers some food for thoughts already. Countries in Group 1 score below average in FNS outcomes, agricultural TFP growth and Innovation, as well as several of its determinants (supply-side of innovations). Countries in Group 2 score below average in FNS outcomes, have mixed performances in terms of innovation (either one of the other negative sub-average score for agricultural or general innovation) and their determinants. For groups 1 and 2, increased support for agricultural R&D could potentially pay large dividends in terms of food and nutrition security. Group 3 showcases countries with a below average performance in FNS, despite over-average performance in agricultural and general innovation. These countries require further analysis on the sources and possible factors which hinder the performance of the innovation and agricultural innovation systems seems to translate in FNS pay-offs. Countries in Groups 4 and 5 have an above average FNS index, the former with mixed performances in terms of innovations and the latter with good performances of the general innovation systems and of the AIS. The next section turns to the determinants such performances. 5.2 5.2.1 Innovation Policy Designs and Priority Actions Policy designs Peres (2010) argued that technical change and innovation is not random, rather it depends on a certain path and on the dynamic interconnections among innovations. Further, a successful innovation should pursue several phases, each of them addressing FNS challenges. Adapted from Gradl and Knobloch (2009), a scenario of innovation can be mapped into three phases: development, implementation and growth (Figure 11). The phases are not strictly ordered but can be undertaken in parallel, reflecting the dynamic concept of FNS. Each phase consists of several steps that should be considered (Table 8). Referring to our conceptual framework (Figure 2), the development phase is related with the left and right panel focusing on the identification of current and expected state. The implementation and growth phase is related with the innovation itself, including the funding and stakeholders and later on how the innovation will be applied widely. The most critical steps are the identification of the financial sources and of the innovation partnership. These are necessary factors for the success of the implementation phase, which is arguably the most crucial to the application and diffusion of the innovation. The funding of innovation depends on the type of innovation and whether it is orchestrated or opportunity-driven. Yet the three major potential sources of capital include government funding, private sectors and international agencies. The last phase of innovation is the growth phase, which refers to the scaling-up and wider applicability of certain innovations. This process depends largely on the successful completion of the implementation phase. 38 Figure 11. Phases of Innovation Development Table 8. Steps of Innovation Phases Development: Identify problems and opportunities Analyze the environment or supporting systems Find solutions Develop products Implementation: Secure funding Engage partner Leverage local capabilities Test the innovation Growth: Understand the impact Adapt the model/innovation Scale-up locally Transfer to other country Source: Adapted from Gradl and Knobloch (2009) The phases of innovation above will not happen in the absence of appropriate domestic innovation policy designs. Each step of the phases requires relevant supporting policies in terms of funding and partnership/collaboration. Following Steinmueller (2010), there are four primary policy designs: supply-side designs, designs for the supply of complementary factors, demand side designs, and institutional change designs. We discuss them below. 5.2.1.1 Supply-side designs To accelerate the supply-side policies, it should be recognized that finance-related technology policies and infrastructure are the keystones. Ample infrastructure is a prerequisite to enhance the creation and implementation of science and innovation as intermediary good in the production process. For example, sound infrastructure in a given country might attract foreign direct investment (Blonigen and Piger, 2011; Asiedu and Lien, 2011), which later on supports the technological process and learning through international networks. Steinmueller (2010) highlights that the role of supply-side designs is to stimulate the market-led processes of innovation commercialization. There are five strategies that can be applied depending on the context of the country, namely: horizontal measures, thematic funding, signaling strategies, protectionist measures, and financial measures. Horizontal measures are designed to provide subsidy in promoting productivity-improving technological change. This policy design is offered as a solution from underinvestment problems. Notwithstanding, similar to other types of subsidy, the horizontal designs are expensive, subject to leakage, and prone to low accountability issues. Thematic funding is aimed to provide funding to a specific sectorial, regional, and technology. This design is suitable for technology to promote social welfare, particularly technologies that are well adapted to the local context and benefit the poor. Possible leakages also exist in this design. Similarly to thematic funding, signaling strategies aim to promote a competitive environment, for instance via announcements that attract potential inventors or innovators to develop, adopt and diffuse new alternative technologies. 39 Protectionist measures are more applicable to the industry side, for instance for protecting infant industries or providing incentives for import substitution. Apart from infant industries, such protection is also applicable for vulnerable sectors, of which agriculture for FNS is an example. Parallel to this protectionist notion, a certain mechanism that increases the security of property rights, particularly facilitating land access for small-holder farmers, is needed. In the private sector side, protection of intellectual property rights might stimulate private sector investment in agrobiotechnology which can contribute to future FNS even in the context of developing countries (Serageldin, 1999). The last design of supply-side policies is the financial measures. It is inevitable that promoting technology policies involve financial, particularly for the technology policies related to social welfare and characterized with underdeveloped institutions and typically underappreciated by the private sector. 5.2.1.2 Designs for supply of complementary factors As outlined in the conceptual framework, labor quality is a key to promoting agricultural TFP growth. Steimueller (2010) argues that the complementary factors of the supply side have two important elements: labor supply and the technology acquisition policy, the two being interlinked. The labor supply required to support the capacity to innovate refers not only to the size of the labor force, but also to its quality. Size is represented by the number of scientists, engineers, and higher education enrollments per 1000 population. The quality of the workforce which might help delivering innovation refers to the actual knowhow embedded in the educated labor force (i.e. specialization matching the needs of the sector, …)32. For many developing countries, the aspect of the technology acquisition policy is still underdeveloped (Steinmueller, 2010). So far, technology is often acquired informally via foreign direct investment (FDI). FDI, particularly through multinational enterprises is an instrument to disseminate knowledge and technologies from multinational enterprises to the host country. The connection to actual benefits of knowledge and technologies in the host countries is by far not systematic. For instance, one can think of many agricultural inputs such as seeds, fertilizer and machinery which are produced by national and international companies, benefitting the agricultural sector through the transfer of the technology, without benefitting the local innovation system. 5.2.1.3 Demand side designs The demand side designs are also important as the adoption and diffusion often take long delays, resistance and skepticism. The adoption and diffusion depends on the innate characteristics, such as cognitive skills (Heckman, 2007; Foster and Rosenzweig, 2010) of the potential adopters, determining the timing of the adoption decision. Further, Foster and Rosenzweig (2010) pointed that technology choices depend on the financial and nonfinancial returns to adoption, the individual’s and social learning, technological externalities, economies of scale, schooling, credit constraint, risk, and insurance availability. Steinmueller (2010) proposed two schemes that can support more rapid adoption and diffusion: adoption subsidies and sensibilization and other information diffusion 32 The German Bioeconomy Council developed recommendations on the matching of the labor force and the demands of the bioeconomy (Bio-economy Council, 2010), a sector intensive in skilled research and innovation workers with strong connections to the FNS innovation system, in particular for conventional and new platform technologies. 40 policies. While the first option is associated with the scheme to promote early adoption, the second option provides information for potential adopters that increases awareness about the potential benefits of technological adoption. Further, providing information and marketing options are important aspects which can influence learning behavior. It should be noted that the information and the learning process depend on the type of technology. Some technologies are simple to learn and adopt, while some others are more complex. For instance, at the earlier stage of the green revolution, the HYV seeds were more sensitive to the water and soil conditions compared to the traditional seed. Currently, many studies attempt to examine seed adoption behavior, not only based on the new technology and the traditional seeds, but also in reference with the strategies followed to introduce the new seeds. 5.2.1.4 Institutional change designs EUSCAR (2010) stated (pp 87-88) that once the technological breakthrough no longer provides profitable opportunities and leads to negative externalities, the institutional innovation will take over. Failures of the previous stages are corrected and the institutional framework (rules, …) adapts in order to make the new technologies more appropriate. Fagerbeg et al. (2010) present a list of factors as a measure of institutional and social capabilities (Table 9). Therefore, the direction of institutional changes should reflect the improvement of capabilities. Table 9. Measuring Social and Institutional Capabilities Dimension Measure Science, research, and innovation Scientific publications, patents, R&D (total/business), innovation counts Trade openness, FDI, research collaboration, technology licensing, immigration ISO standard, total quality management (TQM), just-in-time, food safety Access to bank, credit, stock-market Primary, secondary, and tertiary education, managerial, and technical skills Corruption, law and order, property rights, business friendly regulation Civic activities, trust, tolerance, learning culture, attitude towards science and technology Openness Production quality/standard Finance Skills Quality of governance Social values Source: adapted from Fagerbeg et al. (2010) As we have stated earlier, the ultimate aim of FNS related research and action is to improve the welfare of the neediest group, the poor and small-holder farmers. Unfortunately, the institutional framework to support small-holder farmers in the agricultural sector is still deficient (WDR, 2008). For instance, the institutional setting affecting most the policies for secure rights and the reallocation of resources, financial services for the small-holder farmers, risk management, efficient markets, and small-holder farmer organizations along the value chain to ensure production standards, are the critical institutional innovations to be developed. 41 5.2.2 Conclusions: Priority Actions for FNS Peres (2010) divides the technological revolution into five waves and we are currently at the fifth wave or the age of information and telecommunications33. In this era, Peres (2010) outlines several innovation principles or so called techno-economic paradigms including: ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· ï‚· information-intensity, a concept related with increasing quantity of information and how it can be handled, processed, and accessed, network structures, which refer to the multiple agents that interact together in the innovation system and how they can interact, knowledge as capital, meaning that knowledge as manifested in innovation, research and development is one of the sources of growth and welfare, market segmentation, as a result from heterogeneity, diversity, and adaptability of knowledge production, scale and specialization, which refers to the characteristics of production in a complex range of mass customization, globalization, and the interaction between the global and local, in terms of comparative advantages for production and innovation and adaptability of global products to local markets, inward and outward cooperation, i.e. cooperation within and across financial and production capital, and lastly, the importance of global communication, which refers to the contacts and actions in the context of global and local interactions. Based on these notions, FNS innovations acting as facilitators for better production, distribution and utilization frameworks (e.g. new platform technologies, such as ICT) should be given an increasing role. ICT is important for innovation to take place. The increasingly affordable ICT for instance, mobile phone, radio frequency and inexpensive wireless devices are important for farmers to prevent the damage due to climate variability, to improve the farming system, to enhance livestock management, to monitor animal health, and to track the animal and agricultural products along the supply chain (World Bank, 2012). The development of food prices in the last decade, particularly the recent food price volatility in 2007-2008, should (and there are signs that it has) act as the wake-up call leading to new (types of) investments. Therefore institutional innovations for FNS which provide an enabling environment for production, but also for access and utilization, should be supported (for instance through the required research to develop such innovations), as suggested by various stakeholders (Herbel et al., 2012, see Figures A3-A5). Further, innovations for FNS should address the various challenges posed to FNS, particularly climate change and environmental issues, energy supply and water availability. Based on the results of the stakeholder survey, new/integrated water management and support of integrated pest management through FFS are recognized by several stakeholder groups as one of the most viable FNS innovation. 33 Peres (2010) classified the technological revolution into five stages, namely the first stage or the industrial revolution, the second stage or the age of steam and railways, the third stage or the age of steel, electricity, and heavy engineering, the fourth stage or the age of oil, automobile and mass production and lastly, the fifth stage or the age of information and telecommunication. Peres (2002) stated that the technological-economic cycles take about 50-60 years to complete. 42 The theoretical framework presented earlier has emphasized the role that education and nutrition can play in agricultural TFP growth. The better the nutrition status of the labor force, the higher the quality of labor will be. Therefore, innovations which enhance the nutritional status, particularly those of the small-holder farmer as the bottom of the agricultural pyramid should be prioritized. As education is also one of the fundamental pillars on the supply side of innovations, strengthening the education outcomes and education systems are among the important challenges for developing countries. For examples, the SSA countries have a limited agricultural researchers and scientists and only a quarter of African scientists hold Ph.D. degrees compared with all scientists in India (Binswanger-Mkhize and McCalla, 2010). At a different level, cross-cutting between innovation supply and demand sides, enhancing farmer’s knowledge and experimentation through FFS and agricultural service is also part of the needed and well-perceived change in (informal) education and should be prioritized as leading institutional innovations (in terms of impact and cost/benefit ratio for instance). In a situation where the agricultural sector encounters new challenges and uncertainties, it is critical to refine the farming systems to increase the resource use efficiency. Therefore, the new technologies for agricultural production should focus on the precision farming, new crops varieties that have better nutritional quality, and diversified traditional crop systems for high-value horticulture. The later notion should incorporate small-holder farmers into the value chain and maintain their competitiveness. As earlier mentioned, Herbel et al. (2012) describe the three types of arrangements of successful institutional innovations for small-holder farmers: intra-group relations, inter-group relations, and extra-group relations. Synthesizing from our discussion, the following priority actions (Table 10) are proposed as a potential scenario that boosts agricultural productivity and address FNS. Importantly, the scenarios should emphasize the accessibility dimension, including access to natural resources, input and output markets, information and knowledge, and decision as well as policy making; through innovative institutions. The country typology which will be delivered later in 2013 (D2.2) will cover further specifics of the innovation system at country level and could be used to refine national baseline scenarios, while the stakeholder survey and the results presented in Table 10 could provide some direction for alternative scenarios, in an interactive process between the modeling teams oand the teams devising the typology and the present paper. The priority actions outlined below encourage the contribution on institutional innovation which might provide wider impacts. Taking the example of the Green Revolution, institutional innovation through the change of the national research and innovation system as well as institutional mechanisms for improved agricultural input markets play an important role in sustaining the positive impact of the Green Revolution (Evenson and Gollin, 2003; Pingali, 2012). Following Pangaribowo et al. (2013) on the classification of FNS Indicators, this study organizes priorities for action into three groups: short, medium, and long term. The periodicity of priority actions are modified from several global scenarios, including IAASTD and Joint Programming Initiative on Agriculture, Food Security and Climate Change (FACCE – JPI). Innovation in the ICT related areas and risk mitigation aims to buffer the short-term drivers of FNS. Innovations in the educational related areas and asset entitlement are related with the chronic FNS, with medium to long term impacts. The long term impacts are related with actions against the structural FNS problems which are frequently rooted in the lack of access to natural resources and land. Innovative farming systems and integrated water management is needed to create a sound global environment for long term food security in the face of climate change, as 43 well as land and water scarcity. The application of priority actions should account for different context and localities. For instance, enhancing small-holder farmer’s skill should be promoted in all regions, while new/integrated water management and weather insurance are more relevant to semiarid areas, SSA, and South Asia. Table 10. Priority Actions Impact Related technology and institution Short term ï‚· ICT used for efficient market in the present of recent food and fuel volatility ï‚· Insurance to manage risk through microfinance and weather-indexed insurance, quality of governance in agricultural insurance ï‚· Enhancement of formal education ï‚· Enhancement of small-holder farmer’s skill and experimentation (i.e. farming systems and input used) through informal education including social network, FFS and extension services ï‚· Precision farming system ï‚· New/integrated water management ï‚· Property rights for small-holder farmers ï‚· Collaborative funding (public private partnership) for agricultural innovation Medium term Long term Source: Authors’ compilation 5.2.3 Concluding comments This study aims to conduct meta-assessment of innovations and their impacts on FNS. The metaanalysis is akin to a literature review, where we have classified innovations features in terms of the systems they come from and in terms of their impacts. The latter are described mostly according to the dimensions of FNS which they affect. Evidence is also provided from sources compiled in the FoodSecure innovation database. The discussion is further framed by the results of a stakeholder survey on stakeholders’ perceptions of the impacts of innovations for FNS. Agricultural innovations have contributed to counter the challenges to FNS from the drivers of hunger and poverty such as rising population, environmental pressures and price fluctuations. In many developing countries, where the small-holder farmers are the main target group many factors hindering the achievement of FNS are related to the increasing demand for and lack of access to food. It is often outlined that the first effort in achieving FNS is through promoting agricultural productivity, as exemplified by the Green Revolution when agricultural productivity increased in several parts of the globe. Nonetheless, Sub Saharan Africa was largely by-passed by the green revolution, arguably due to missing enabling circumstances, or institutions. Hence, the first generation of the Green Revolution raised concerns about the importance of accompanying (social) policies: the failure was not that of the technologies, but highlighted the need for new and innovative institutions to support technology adoption. Our innovation database further reveals the imbalance in stakeholder categories in the innovation system. This affects the type of innovation collaboration between developing countries and developed countries and points to more inclusion of developing country stakeholder in the innovation process as partners, rather than in the agricultural system, where they are often only 44 innovation recipients. The stakeholders’ survey also raised concerns on the role of institutional innovation that would enable developing countries in achieving FNS with lower environmental impacts. Innovations for FNS should not only emphasize the supply side or the accessibility of food, but also focus on alleviating “hidden hunger”. Our database and literature review clearly show that a mix of conventional, traditional and new-platform technologies as well as of innovative institutions can be directed at improvements in nutrition outcomes for the population and for the poorest in particular. Finally, we suggest a categorization of innovation types according to their lead time between implementation and impacts, in order to frame the endogenization of innovation in FoodSecure modeling. This categorization is based on the literature review and on the perception survey, thus combines scientific progress as well as the likelihood the realization of the potential impacts of this progress (innovation adoption). 45 Appendix Table A1: Published surveys with data on impacts of biotechnological innovation on yield and/or economic margin. Reference (Bennett et al., 2004a) (Crost et al., 2007) (Gandhi and Namboodiri, 2006) (Kambhampati et al., 2006) (Pemsl et al., 2004) (Qaim, 2003) (Qaim et al., 2006) (Qayum and Sakkhari, 2006) (Ramasundaram et al., 2007) (Rao and Dev, 2009) (Sadashivappa and Qaim, 2009) (Subramanian and Qaim, 2009) (Huang et al., 2002a) (Huang et al., 2002b) (Pray et al., 2001) (Pray et al., 2002) (Xu et al., 2004) (Bennett et al., 2004b) (Bennett et al., 2006) (Fok et al., 2008) (Gouse et al., 2004) (Hofs et al., 2006) (Ismael et al., 2002) (Morse et al., 2006) (Shankar et al., 2008) (Thirtle et al., 2003) (Qaim and de Janvry, 2003) (Traxler and Godoy-Avila, 2004) (Falck Zepeda et al., 2000b) (Wossink and Denaux, 2006) (Qaim and Traxler, 2005) (Brookes, 2005) (Falck Zepeda et al., 2000a) (Fernandez-Cornejo and McBride, 2000) (Hategekimana and Trant, 2002) (Yorobe and Quicoy, 2006) (Gouse et al., 2010) (Gouse et al., 2005) (Diaz Osorio et al., 2004) (Hategekimana and Trant, 2002) (Gómez Barbero et al., 2008) (Gouse et al., 2010) (Diaz Osorio et al., 2004) Year 2002 2002, 2003 2004 2002-2003 2002 2002 2003 2003-2005 2003, 2004 2004 2003, 2005, 2007 2003, 2005 1999 1999 1999 2000-2002 2003 1999-2001 2004 2003 2002 2003-2004 1999-2000 1999-2001 2000 1999-2000 2000-2001 1997-1998 1997 2000 2001 2003 1997 1997 2000-2001 2003-2004 2007 2002 2003 2000-2001 2002-2004 2007 2003 Source: Authors’ compilation 46 Country India India India India India India India India India India India India China China China China China South Africa South Africa South Africa South Africa South Africa South Africa South Africa South Africa South Africa Argentina Mexico USA USA Argentina Romania USA USA Canada Philippines South Africa South Africa Chili Canada Spain South Africa Chili GM crop Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton Bt cotton HT soybean HT soybean HT soybean HT soybean HT soybean Bt maize Bt maize Bt maize Bt maize Bt maize Bt maize HT maize HT maize Table A2. Characteristics of Selected Empirical Studies included in the Review for Impact Assessment FNS Dimensions Type of technology and innovation Study, country Innovation Method of study Impact Availability Traditional Kidala et al. (2000), Tanzania Bushamuka et al. (2005), Bangladesh Home garden RCT at cluster level Cross-sectional study and matching method between control and treatment village Cross-sectional study between control and treatment village Jones et al. (2005) Positive impact on consumption of vitamin A rich food through the channel of more availability of higheconomic-value of vitamin A plants from home production. Institutional Evenson and Mwabu (2001), Kenya Extension services Quantile regression Cerdan-Infates et al. (2008), Argentina Extension services Owens et al. (2003), Zimbabwe Extension services Fixed effects and matching technique using the data from National Institute of Vitiniviculture Fixed effect approach 47 Farm yields are positively correlated with the number of extension staff per farm. Agricultural extension has positive effects on farm production through the human capital acquired via education or via extension advice. The extension services have positive impact on yield productivity and yield quality. Controlling for innate productivity characteristics and farmers’ ability using household fixed effects estimation, access to agricultural extension services measured by receiving one or two visits per agricultural year, raises Gautam (2000), Kenya Extension services Cross-sectional analysis Feder et al. (2004), Indonesia Godtland et al. (2004), Peru Farmer field school Difference in difference Propensity Score Matching Bandiera and Rasul (2006), Mozambique Social network Baseline regression and discrete choice of adoption Conley and Udry (2010), Ghana Mancini et al. (2007) Social network Alene and Manyong (2006), Nigeria Farmer field school Regression based model Sustainable livelihood analysis and parametric and non-parametric analysis Stochastic frontier Romani (2003), Côte d'Ivoire Social proximity and technology adoption Farmer field school Farmer field school Panel data analysis 48 the value of crop production by about 15%. Farmers with above-average ability produce 40% to 50% higher output. Agricultural extension is found to have limited institutional development, ineffective and inefficient in delivering the services to farmers, and limited focus to empowering farmer. Less conclusive impact in yield and on pesticide use. Farmers who participated in the FFS program have more knowledge about IPM practices and the nonparticipant control group. Controlling for observed characteristics, the study found that improved knowledge on IPM practice is positively associated with productivity. FFS has the potential to increase productivity by 32%. An inverse U shape of adoption and diffusion of new crops as the marginal effect of having one more adopter among the social network (family and networks) is positive when there are few other adopters in the network but turn to be negative when there are many. Social learning and input use innovation IPM FFS has been able to enhance individual and community well-being in terms of financial and physical assets through reduced cost of cultivation. Seed diffusion and yield variations due to differential adoption of the package technology not to the sources of technology. The follower farmers are found to be less efficient as they mostly adopted part of the package option. Farmers from ethnic minorities are less likely to access and receive less benefit from extension services. Farmers from autochthonous ethnic group are more likely to join extension services and receive more benefits in terms of higher yield in food crops through information exchange among members. Adoption and capital accumulation especially in terms of changes of agronomic practices, input use (fertilizer, pesticides, and physical labor), and yield level. The survey showed that pesticide toxicity and exposure time were positively correlated with symptoms of acute pesticide poisoning. Educating farmers about the hazard of pesticides use has inconclusive results. The adoption of cold-tolerant rice varieties developed from Participatory Plant Breeding (PPB) is determined by altitude and varieties entry time in the village. Institutional context, bio-social environment, the goals set-up, and the form of participation differentiate the PPB approaches. The trained farmers used less pesticides, spent less money on pest control, made higher net returns, and suffered less exposure of the poisoning pesticides. Mancini et al. (2008) Farmer field school Difference in difference Mancini et al. (2005) Farmer field school Joshi and Witcombe (2003) Participatory plant breeding Sperling et al. (2001) Participatory plant breeding Linear trend analysis based on survey data collected in 2003. Descriptive analysis from village surveys data Framework and case study analysis Hrushka and Corriols (2002) Farmer field school - IPM Descriptive statistics based on survey data Pampolino et al. (2012), Indonesia and the Philippines Nutrient Expert for Hybrid Maize (NEHM) Software Fields trials conducted in farmers’ field in Indonesia and the Philippines NEHM increased yield and economic benefits of farmers in Indonesia and the Philippines through the provision of information on nutrient application rate. Fafchamps and Minten (2012), India Reuters Market Light (RML) and agricultural information dissemination Randomized experiment Small effect of RML on crop grading and no significant impact on price received by farmers. There is also no significant difference on crop losses resulting from rainstorms. Small number of subscribers and slow takeup rate might play as the underlying the factor. New platform Accessibility New platform 49 Aker (2010), Niger Mobile phones and agricultural markets Goyal (2010), India e-Choupal program (Internet kiosks and warehouses) Mobile phones Muto and Yamono (2009), Uganda Difference-indifference and matching techniques Panel data estimation The introduction of mobile phone service between 2001 and 2006 explains a 10 to 16 percent reduction in grain price dispersion. Increase of price by 1-3%. Price dispersion decreased after the set up of kiosks in the village. Panel data estimation Positive impact on banana sales by 20%. Mobile phone network increase the probability of banana sales in remote areas. Positive impact on growth of per capita consumption from 11 to 17%. Farmers have better price deals and better options to sell their products. Mobile phones reduced price dispersion and waste, thus increased fishermen’s profit and welfare. Labonne and Chase (2010), the Philippines Mobile phones Household panel data analysis Jensen (2007), India Mobile phones Difference in difference Samba et al. (2012), Indonesia Micronutrient-fortified milk and noodles Adu-Afarwuah et al. (2011), Ghana Home fortification of complementary foods with micronutrient supplements and positive effects on infant iron status in Ghana Sazawal et al. (2010) Micronutrient Fortified The study subjects consisted of families who participated in the Nutritional Surveillance System (NSS) in Indonesia from 1999 to 2003. Community-based randomized trial involving 3 intervention groups and one Nonintervention (NI) group (n=96) (total 4 groups) RCT Utilization Conventional 50 The consumption of fortified milk and noodles was found to be associated with decreased odds of stunting among Indonesian children. In addition, in both rural and urban families the odds of stunting were lower when a child who consumed fortified milk also consumed fortified noodles, or vice versa The findings suggest that all 3 options for home fortification of complementary foods are effective for reducing the prevalence of iron deficiency in such populations. All supplements were well accepted, and the mean percentage of days that supplements were consumed (87%) did not differ between groups. Findings suggest that in comparison to control group, Milk Improves Iron Status, Anaemia and Growth among Children 1–4 Semba et al. (2010), Indonesia Iron-fortified milk and noodle consumption is associated with lower risk of anaemia among children aged 6–59 mo in Indonesia Laillou et al. (2012), Vietnam An Assessment of the Impact of Fortification of Staples and Condiments on Micronutrient Intake in Young Vietnamese Children Fiedler and Afidra (2010), Uganda Vitamin A fortification in Uganda: Comparing the feasibility, coverage, costs, and cost- 51 The study subjects consisted of families who participated in the Nutritional Surveillance System (NSS) in Indonesia from 1999 to 2003. Sample of 430 children aged 6–60 months was drawn from households selected by a stratified 2-stage cluster sampling procedure. The paper used the 2005/6 Uganda Household Budget Survey to analyze children consuming MN milk showed significant improvement in weight gain and height gain. In addition, they had 88% lower risk of iron deficiency anaemia The study concludes that the delivery of critical micronutrients especially zinc and iron via milk is a feasible option and produces impact on growth, anaemia and iron status. The study reported that the proportions of children who received fortified milk and noodles, respectively were: 30.1% and 22.6% in rural families, and 40.1% and 48.9%, in urban families. Based on the findings, the study concluded that Iron-fortified milk and noodles may be a strategy that could be applied more widely as an intervention to decrease child anaemia. The study shows that: -Potential fortification vehicles, such as rice, fish/soy sauces and vegetable oil were consumed daily in significant amounts by over 40% of the children Other food vehicles, such as wheat flour, were consumed by 16% of children -Fortified rice could support the intakes of all the other micronutrients (14%–61% for iron, 4%–11% for zinc and 33%–49% of folate requirements). Finally, the study concludes that: -fortification of vegetable oil, rice and sauces would be an effective strategy to address micronutrient gaps and deficiencies in young children. -fortification of other vehicles, such as wheat flour, however would have less impact on improving the micronutrient status of vulnerable populations The study finds that vitamin A fortification of vegetable oil is 4.6 times more cost-effective than vitamin A fortification of sugar. But if sugar were to be fortified, the study suggests that it would increase the coverage of effectiveness of fortifying vegetable oil and sugar households’ apparent consumption levels of sugar and vegetable oil and to model the additional intake of vitamin A. Analytical review Lutter (2008) Iron Deficiency (ID) in Young Children in LowIncome Countries and New Approaches for Its Prevention Rivera et al. (2011), Mexico Effectiveness of a largescale iron-fortified milk distribution program on anaemia and iron deficiency in low-income young children in Mexico RCT Kidala et al. (2000), Tanzania Bushamuka et al. (2005), Bangladesh Home garden RCT at cluster level vitamin A–fortified foods by 31% and reduce the percentage of Ugandans without any coverage to 25%. Despite lack of information on the vitamin A deficiency status of consumers of oil and sugar to making definitive conclusions, the study argues that the increased coverage and cost per DALY averted due to sugar fortification makes pursuing sugar fortification worthwhile. The paper argues that prevention of ID requires strong delivery systems that enhance consumer demand and promote compliance. These include: overarching policy and programmatic guidance that inform decision makers about what to do and when to do it and also address appropriate delivery models or how to do it. This requires addressing the multiple opportunities available for prevention: pregnancy, at birth, the immediate postnatal period, and during the first 24 months of life. Findings from the randomized effectiveness trial suggest that estimated prevalence of anaemia from baseline to 6 and 12 months decreased in both groups. The study concludes that a large-scale iron-fortified subsidized-milk program was effective at reducing the rates of anaemia and iron deficiency in Mexican children during 12 months of implementation. Traditional Cross-sectional study and matching method between control and treatment village Cross-sectional study between Jones et al. (2005) 52 Positive impact on consumption of vitamin A rich food through the channel of more availability of higheconomic-value of vitamin A plants from home production. control and treatment village Cross-sectional comparison of matched households from treatment and control villages Cross-sectional study and multiple linear regression Laurie et al. (2008) South Africa Cabalda et al. (2011), the Philippine Positive impact on consumption of β-carotene rich vegetables. Children from households with gardens were significantly more likely to consume more frequent vegetables. Child’s diet diversity and vegetable consumption is positively correlated with the present of home garden in the household. New platform Low et al. (2007), Mozambique Ensuring the supply of and creating demand for a biofortified crop with a visible trait: Lessons learned from the introduction of orangefleshed sweet potato in drought-prone areas of Mozambique Quasi-experimental techniques Gunaratna et al. (2010), Ghana, Ethiopia, India, Mexico, and Nicaragua Bouis et al. (2011), Global Quality protein maize (QPM) and nutrition impact Biofortification: A new tool to reduce Meta-analysis Cost benefit analysis of 53 The findings suggest that an integrated OFSP-based approach had a positive impact on the vitamin A intake of young children. For example, intervention children were more likely (p < .001) than control children to have consumed: - OFSP (54% vs. 4%) - dark-green leaves (60% vs. 46%) - ripe papaya (65% vs. 42%) Diet diversification was limited by difficult agroecological conditions and low purchasing power. However, -vitamin A intakes of intervention children were nearly eight times higher (p < .001) than those of control children -dietary diversity was higher (p < .001) among intervention than control children QPM has positive effects in the rate of growth of weight and height in infant and young children. Biofortified crops offer a rural-based intervention that, by design, initially reaches these more remote micronutrient malnutrition biofortification in increasing density of minerals and vitamins in food staples eaten widely by the poor Source: Authors’ compilation 54 populations, which comprise a majority of the undernourished in many countries, and then penetrates to urban populations as production surpluses are marketed. In this way, biofortification complements fortification and supplementation programs, which work best in centralized urban areas and then reach into rural areas with good infrastructure. Figure A1. How familiar are you with the following agricultural types of innovation? 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% A B C D never heard E F G heard but not familiar H familiar I J K L very familiar Source: Authors’ compilation based on survey Figure A2. In your opinion, are the following types of innovation likely to be environmentally friendly? 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% A B C I do not know A. B. C. D. E. F. D E F G negative impact ICT for Agriculture Farmer extension FFS Empowering local farmer organization Rural micro-finance scheme Supply chain management H no impact I J K positive impact G. Animal breeding programs H. New/modern seed varieties I. Adapted inputs for small scale farming J. Food fortification K. New/integrated water management L. GM Crops Source: Authors’ compilation based on survey 55 L Figure A3. In your opinion, are the following types of innovation economically sustainable (i.e. under market conditions, without the help of donor/public money) over the longer term, beyond the first implementation program? 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% A B C D E I do not know F G H not sustainable I J K L sustainable Figure A4. Do you foresee trade-offs between environmental, social, and/or economic impacts in the following types of innovation? Source: Authors’ compilation based on survey 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% A B C D I do not know A. B. C. D. E. F. ICT for Agriculture Farmer extension FFS Empowering local farmer organization Rural micro-finance scheme Supply chain management E F G unlikely likely H I J K very likely G. Animal breeding programs H. New/modern seed varieties I. Adapted inputs for small scale farming J. Food fortification K. New/integrated water management L. GM Crops 56 L Figure A5. Please state in your opinion up to two of the main barriers to fostering innovation in each of the following areas. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% A B C D E F G H I J K Limited farmer’s access Disinformation by interest groups Cultural norms and practices Legal framework Farmer’s training and education Low suitability or transferability of innovation No barriers A. B. C. J. K. L. L ICT for Agriculture Farmer extension FFS Empowering local farmer organization Rural micro-finance scheme Supply chain management G. Animal breeding programs H. New/modern seed varieties I. Adapted inputs for small scale farming J. Food fortification K. New/integrated water management L. GM Crops Source: Authors’ compilation based on survey 57 Figure A6. Innovation and ICT in selected Foodsecure countries based Knowledge Economy Index 2012 6 Brazil 5 China 4 Zimbabwe Kenya Guatemala 3 Bolivia Indonesia Sri Lanka Pakistan Senegal Benin MalawiCameroon Nigeria Uganda Madagascar Ghana Nepal Tajikistan Burkina Faso Cambodia Zambia Tanzania Yemen, Rep. Eritrea Ethiopia Mali Lesotho Mozambique Rwanda Bangladesh LaoCote PDR Haiti Sierra Leone d'Ivoire Sudan Myanmar Guinea Vietnam 1 2 Innovation India 0 2 4 6 ICT Low Innovation - Low ICT High Innovation - High ICT Low Innovation - High ICT High Innovation - Low ICT Source: Authors’ compilation based on World Bank KEI 2012 Figure A7. Innovation and Education in selected Foodsecure countries based Knowledge Economy Index 2012 6 Brazil 5 China 4 Zimbabwe Kenya Guatemala Bolivia Indonesia 3 Sri Lanka 2 Pakistan Senegal Benin Vietnam Malawi Uganda Cameroon Nigeria Madagascar Ghana Nepal Burkina Faso Cambodia Tanzania Yemen,Zambia Rep. Eritrea Ethiopia Mali Lesotho Mozambique Rwanda Lao PDR Sierra Leone Cote d'Ivoire Bangladesh Sudan Guinea Myanmar Tajikistan 1 Innovation India 0 2 4 Education Low Innovation - Low Education High Innovation - High Education Low Innovation - High Education High Innovation - Low Education Source: Authors’ compilation based on World Bank KEI 2012 58 6 Figure A8. Innovation and Economic Incentive Regime in selected Foodsecure countries based Knowledge Economy Index 2012 6 Brazil 5 China 4 Zimbabwe Kenya Bolivia Guatemala Indonesia Sri Lanka Senegal Uganda Ghana Burkina Faso Zambia Mozambique Rwanda 3 Innovation India 2 Cameroon Nigeria Nepal Eritrea Ethiopia Lao Bangladesh PDR Haiti Sierra Leone Cote d'Ivoire Vietnam Malawi Madagascar Tajikistan Cambodia Tanzania Yemen, Rep. Lesotho Mali 1 Sudan Guinea Myanmar Pakistan Benin 0 1 2 3 EconIncentiveRegime Low Innovation - Low Incentive High Innovation - High Incentive 4 5 Low Innovation - High Incentive High Innovation - Low Incentive Source: Authors’ compilation based on World Bank KEI 2012 Figure A9. Innovation and Public Agricultural R&D spending per capita (2006) 6 Brazil 5 China 4 Kenya 2 3 Sri Lanka PakistanSenegalBenin Nigeria Uganda Madagascar Ghana Nepal Burkina Faso ZambiaTanzania Eritrea Ethiopia Mali Mozambique Rwanda Bangladesh Sierra Leone Cote d'Ivoire Sudan Guinea 1 Innovation India 0 2 4 RDpercapita Low Innovation - Low RDpercapita High Innovation - High RDpercapita 6 8 Low Innovation - High RDpercapita High Innovation - Low RDpercapita Source: Authors’ compilation based on World Bank KEI 2012 and ASTI Data 59 Figure A10. Public Agricultural R&D spending per capita Laos Zambia Niger Burkina Faso Uganda Kenya China Brazil Togo Sierra Leone Nigeria Guinea Ghana Sri Lanka 2006 Pakistan 2005 Nepal 2004 Bangladesh 2003 India 2002 Ethiopia 0 2 4 6 8 Source: Authors’ compilation based on ASTI Data 60 List Acronyms and Abbreviations ADB Asian Development bank AIS Agricultural Innovation System AKST Agricultural Knowledge, Science and Technology ASTI Agricultural Science and Technology Indicators Bt Bacillus thuringiensis CAWMA Comprehensive Assessment for Water Management in Agriculture CGIAR Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research CIAT Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical – International Center for Tropical Agriculture DFID Department for International Development EU FP 7 European Union Framework Program 7 EUSCAR European Union Standing Committee on Agricultural Research FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations FARA Forum for Agricultural Research in Africa FDI Foreign Direct Investment FFS Farmer Field School FNS Food and Nutrition Security FPR Farmer Participatory Research GCARD Global Conference on Agricultural Research and Development GDP Gross Domestic Products GM Genetically Modified H5N1 Combination of fifth of Hemagglutinin and first of Neuraminidase proteins (Influenza A virus) HIV/AIDS Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome HYV High Yield Varieties HT Herbicide Tolerant IAASTD International Assessment of Agricultural Knowledge, Science, and Technology for Development ICRAF International Center for Research in Agroforestry ICT Information and Communication Technology IDE International Development Enterprises IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development 61 IFPRI International Food Policy Research Institute ILRI International Livestock Research Institute INSARD Including Smallholders in Agricultural Research for Development IPM Integrated Pest Management IPS Inter Press Service IR Insect Resistant ISO International Organization for Standardization ITU International Telecommunication Union JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency K4D Knowledge for Development KAM Knowledge Assessment Methodology KEI Knowledge Economy Index NGO Non-governmental Organization NIF National Innovation Foundation PDS Participatory Diseases Surveillance PID Participatory Innovation Development PRA Participatory Rural Appraisal QPM Quality Protein Maize R&D Research and Development RCT Randomized Control Trial SOFI State of Food Insecurity in the World SRI System of Rice Intensification SSA Sub-Saharan Africa TFP Total factor Productivity TQM Total Quality Management UNICEF United Nations International Children’s Emergency Fund USAID United States Agency for International Development WB World Bank WDR World Development Report WFP World Food Program 62 References Adu-Afarwuah, S., Lartey, A., Brown, K. 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The Philippine Agricultural Scientist 89, 258-267. 73 The FOODSECURE project in a nutshell Title FOODSECURE – Exploring the future of global food and nutrition security Funding scheme 7th framework program, theme Socioeconomic sciences and the humanities Type of project Large-scale collaborative research project Project Coordinator Hans van Meijl (LEI Wageningen UR) Scientific Coordinator Joachim von Braun (ZEF, Center for Development Research, University of Bonn) Duration 2012 - 2017 (60 months) Short description In the future, excessively high food prices may frequently reoccur, with severe impact on the poor and vulnerable. Given the long lead time of the social and technological solutions for a more stable food system, a long-term policy framework on global food and nutrition security is urgently needed. The general objective of the FOODSECURE project is to design effective and sustainable strategies for assessing and addressing the challenges of food and nutrition security. FOODSECURE provides a set of analytical instruments to experiment, analyse, and coordinate the effects of short and long term policies related to achieving food security. FOODSECURE impact lies in the knowledge base to support EU policy makers and other stakeholders in the design of consistent, coherent, long-term policy strategies for improving food and nutrition security. EU Contribution € 8 million Research team 19 partners from 13 countries FOODSECURE project office LEI Wageningen UR (University & Research centre) Alexanderveld 5 The Hague, Netherlands This project is funded by the European Union under the 7th Research Framework Programme (theme SSH) Grant agreement no. 290693 T F E I +31 (0) 70 3358370 +31 (0) 70 3358196 foodsecure@wur.nl www.foodscecure.eu