Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
1. What was the origin of the previously projected $44.5M deficit?
2. What is the present actual deficits and the future projected deficits?
3. How and why was the $44.5M projected deficit adjusted to reflect the actual and future projected deficits?
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
2013-14 annual financial report: usask.ca/reporting
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
What was the origin of the previously projected $44.5M deficit?
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
600
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
Question 1: What was the origin of the previously projected $44.5M deficit?
Original multi-year operating budget framework 2012-2016
(early March 2012)
Built upon decades of sound financial management
($ millions)
Actual
Expenses
Revenue
Forecast
Projected deficit
$10M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Question 1: What was the origin of the previously projected $44.5M deficit?
600
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
The original $10M projected deficit could be managed
($ millions)
700
Expenses
Revenue
600
500
400
157
129
164
186 208
Actual
216
215
Forecast
211 201 190
200
100
0
Revenue
Provincial base operating grant
Other government (WCVM)
Expense s
Surplus /
(Deficit)
2012-
13
5.8%
5.8%
2013-
14
4.5%
4.5%
2014-
15
4.0%
4.0%
2015-
16
4.0%
4.0%
Annual rate of increase of provincial grant
YEAR % change in provincial operating grant (net)
0
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
Average
(1,175)
(4,003
)
8.7
7.3
5.2
5.4
6.7
(9,461
)
(10,523
)
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
And then one of our biggest assumptions changed…
Revenu
2012-
13
2.1%
2.1%
2013-
14
2.0%
2.0%
2014-
15
2.0%
2.0%
2015-
16
2.0%
2.0%
Other government (WCVM)
Expenses
Reduction in annual rate of increase of provincial grant
Surplus /
(Deficit )
0
(15,481
)
(23,487
)
(35,957)
(44,438
)
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Question 1: What was the origin of the previously projected $44.5M deficit?
Revised multi-year operating budget framework 2012-2016 (May
2012)
600 700
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
157
129
164
Expenses 4.6%
600
$44.5
500
186
Revenue 3.2%
400
Reserves and savings
300
208 216 204
180
143 200
98
100
Forecast
0
10
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
What is the present actual deficits and the future projected deficits?
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Question 2: What is the present actual deficits and the future projected deficits?
Actions taken from 2012-2014: $32M narrowing of the gap
Distance to target
50.0
45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
12.5
9.8
7.6
6.6
8.0
University Council meeting (June 19, 2014): usask.ca/secretariat
University finances blog (June 20, 2014):
Workforce planning
Net faculty incentive plan for retirement
(gross savings of $12.4M in 15/16)
Changes in investment strategy
Changes in institutional practice (nonsalary, 2 up 1 down, other)
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Question 2: What is the present actual deficits and the future projected deficits?
Additional impact of actions taken $37M narrowing of the gap
40.0
Additional effects (pension, LTD, travel, supplies, etc.)
35.0
5.0
Workforce planning
30.0
9.8
25.0
20.0
15.0
7.6
Net faculty incentive plan for retirement
(gross savings of $12.4M in 15/16)
Changes in investment strategy
10.0
6.6
5.0
8.0
Changes in institutional practice (nonsalary, 2 up 1 down, other)
0.0
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Question 2: What is the present actual deficits and the future projected deficits?
Actual central operating budget with year end adjustments
(in $ millions)
500.0
484
$7M
456
474
450.0
429
453
400
426
400.0
377
400
336 373
350.0
305
316
332
Forecast
315
300.0
06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16
Actual total op budget revenue in $M
Actual total op budget expenses - after y/e allocations
Projected revenue
Projected expenses
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
How and why was the $44.5M projected deficit adjusted to reflect the actual and future projected deficits?
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Question 3: How and why was the $44.5M projected deficit adjusted to reflect the actual and future projected deficits?
A swift response to the projected deficit was required
No deficit was realized
Communication
Opportunities to submit ideas, comments and questions
Public town hall meetings
Meetings with stakeholders
Communication via blogs, websites, newspaper articles
Labelling the projected deficit
Both intended and unintended consequences
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Question 3: How and why was the $44.5M projected deficit adjusted to reflect the actual and future projected deficits?
500.0
450.0
400.0
350.0
300.0
A swift response - actual central operating budget
484
Operating budget ($millions)
456
If the actions had not been taken expenses would have continued to rise at the same rate 429
453
474
Revenue
377
400
426
400
Expenses
… and the revenue growth rate would have fallen
336 373
316 Forecast
305 332
315
06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16
Actual total op budget revenue in $M
Projected revenue
Projected expenses
17
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Question 3: How and why was the $44.5M projected deficit adjusted to reflect the actual and future projected deficits?
Regular updates provided
What do projections tell us about the future?
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Question 3: How and why was the $44.5M projected deficit adjusted to reflect the actual and future projected deficits?
Intended and unintended consequences: communicating $44.5M target to eliminate the projected
Intended deficit
Unintended
Consistency of message
Measurable common goal
IP3 strategic focus subsumed by focus on reducing expenditures
Ease of reference
Institutional uncertainty
Facilitate understanding importance of change
Confusion between actual and projected
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
$44.5 projected deficit
Based on IP3 multi-year operating budget forecast
Estimated the impact of 2% growth in provincial grant (changed nothing else)
Actions and actuals closed gap by $37 million
No deficit realized to date
Expenses growing faster than revenues
Intended and unintended consequences
Let’s continue the discussion and dig a bit deeper…
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Does the U of S currently have both a surplus and a deficit?
We don’t! Let’s explore this further as there may be confusion…
$331M grant
$331M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
($494M)
$331M grant
$331M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
$331M grant
$331M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Central Operating Budget Revenue 14/15 ($494M)
Provincial grant
$331M
Tuition
$117M
Investment income
$18M
All other
$28M
$331M grant
$331M
Academic units
$322M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
$331M grant
$331M
Academic units
$322M
Support units
$93M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
$331M grant
$331M
Academic units
$322M
Support units
$93M
Central academic
$49M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
$331M grant
$331M
Academic units
$322M
Support units
$93M
Central academic
$49M
Utilities
$18M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
$331M grant
$331M
Academic units
$322M
Support units
$93M
Central academic
$49M
Utilities
$18M
Student aid
$10M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
$331M grant
$331M
Academic units
$322M
Support units
$93M
Central academic
$49M
Utilities
$18M
Student aid
$10M
Gener al
$5M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
2014/15 projected deficit
$3M
Central Operating Budget Revenue 14/15 ($494M)
Provincial grant
$331M
Tuition
$117M
Investment income
$18M
All other
$28M
Total allocations
($497M)
Academic units
$322M
Support units
$93M
Central academic
$49M
Utilities
$18M
Student aid
$10M
Gener al
$5M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
2014/15 projected deficit
$3M
Central Operating Budget Revenue 14/15 ($494M)
Provincial grant
$331M
Tuition
$117M
Investment income
$18M
All other
$28M
Total allocations
($497M)
Academic units
$322M
Support units
$93M
Central academic
$49M
Utilities
$18M
Student aid
$10M
Gener al
$5M
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Central Operating Budget Revenue 14/15 ($494M)
Provincial grant
$331M
Tuition
$117M
Investment income
$18M
All other
$28M
2014/15 projected deficit
$3M
Total allocations
($497M)
Combine d surplus
$18M
2014/15 projected surplus
$21M
Academic units
$322M
Support units
$93M
Central academic
$49M
Utilities
$18M
Student aid
$10M
Distributed net expenditures ($476M)
Gener al
$5M
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Fund balances – U15 median
U15 accumulated fund balances 2013/14 as a % of total expenditures
(deficit balances have been excluded)
Unrestricted Funds as % of total expenditures median
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Why did the reserves and savings grow?
Reserves and savings
4,800 funds across university
Managed by individuals, departments, college/support units, institutional and central committees
Reserves
Risk reserves (20%)
Academic priority (12%)
Savings
APEFs & DSAEs (3%)
Specific projects (65%)
University fund balances
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Why did the reserves and savings grow?
Institutional uncertainty
Filling vacancies
Launching new projects and programs
Discretionary spending
Debt avoidance
Special project i
Reserves: $98M
Risk reserves (20%)
Academic priority funds
(12%)
Savings: $211M
APEFs and DSAEs (3%)
Specific projects (65%)
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Who manages the reserves and savings?
The owners of each of the 4,800+ funds!
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Who manages the reserves and savings?
Fund allocation process is generally one way
Surpluses go into reserves and savings
Funds have been returned to central:
Transition funding – $20M in 2012
Fund balance policy / guideline under development
Future allocations may consider college and unit fund balance levels
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
How do we balance the budget going forward?
There are lots of options to explore…
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Leveraging research
Centre / institute
(2014-15 in millions)
Canadian Light Source/
Synchrotron
VIDO-InterVac
Sylvia Fedoruk Centre
Global Institute for Food Security
Global Institute for Water Security
Total
U of S funding
Other funding
Total
$1.1
$33.7
$34.8
$1.6
$20.3
$21.9
$ $9.8
$9.8
$ $2.4
$1.7 $4.5
$2.4
$6.2
$4.4
$70.7
$75.1
Fact: U of S contribution represents about 1% of the university operating budget
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Leveraging research
Examples of benefits:
Synchrotron
$33M in economic impact for SK
VIDO-InterVac
Two world first vaccines
Hundreds of patents
600 U of S faculty and students
Opportunities for research and vaccine production
500 high school students
Medical isotope production
$140M inflow of capital investment
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Efficiency gains
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
67%
Admin staff have grown at the same rate as academic staff
Staffing costs overall have grown as a percentage of total budget
Percent of Total Staff
(# FTE in Budget)
Percent of Total Staff Cost
($ in Budget)
70%
69%
66% 66% 66% 66% 65% 65%
60%
51%
52%
50%
52% 52% 52%
51%
50%
50%
40%
49%
48% 48% 48% 48%
49%
52%
48%
33%
31%
34% 34% 34% 34% 35% 35%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Academic Administrative Academic Administrative
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Efficiency gains
Workforce planning reduced administrative complement by 150 (net) FTE in 2012-13,
10 FTE since
Administrative and support position posting review process implemented
Emphasis on retention and reassignment
Continue to optimize staff structure and complement
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Current state
Proactive financial management = no actual deficit
We are financially sound
Able to fund one-time enhancements and projects (e.g. College of
Medicine)
Better able to diversify revenue streams
Economic shocks (oil price impact on provincial grant)
Lack of diversity in funding sources
Expenses projected to grow faster than revenue
but no longer a solvency threat in the near term
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Actions
Transition to a budget model where college and unit leaders have more authority over resource management
A policy that better helps us manage our savings and reserves
Strengthen our financial management and allocation
Continue to optimize staff structure and complement
Enhanced communication on financials
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
($ millions) .
General fund balance
(p. 24 of the 13/14 annual financial report)
$268.6
Add back a) b) c)
Ancillary internal loans (residences)
Risk management liabilities (swaps)
Future employee benefits (Actuarial adjustment)
$26.6
$3.6
$25.6
Less
($15.3) a)
Subsidiaries
Unadjusted general fund balance $309.1
2013-14 annual financial report: usask.ca/reporting
Financial Presentation to Senate April 25, 2015
Employee location (college, school or administrative unit) by employee type
(2013/14)
100%
80% 40.3%
60%
94.9%
83.2% 84.0%
100.0%
73.7%
99.2%
89.6%
40%
20%
59.7%
26.3%
0%
5.1%
16.8% 16.0%
0.8%
10.4%
41.7%
58.3%
Admin unit College