Is micro-data report the future for interest rates statistics? Patrícia Antunes, Inês Correia, Rita Lameira Porto, 20|22 June 2013 The Monetary Financial Statistics information The new micro-data on interest rates The potentialities of micro-data – some examples Concluding remarks Is micro-data reporting the future for interest rate statistics? Porto, 20|22 June 2013 2 1 The Monetary Financial Statistics information Banco de Portugal is in charge of the compilation of Monetary and Financial Statistics: - Balance sheets of Banco de Portugal and Other monetary financial institutions (OMFI) - Monetary financial institutions interest rates NFC Euro HH Euro-area Loans and deposits Resident banks Interest rate statistics NFC: Nonfinancial corporations; HH: Households Is micro-data reporting the future for interest rate statistics? Porto, 20|22 June 2013 3 The Monetary Financial Statistics information Why are interest rate statistics so important? Assessing the transmission mechanism of monetary policy Appraising the convergence of euroarea markets Providing insights on financing conditions and deposits remunerations Evaluating the financial margin of the banking sector Analysing the debt service effort of the non-financial sector Is micro-data reporting the future for interest rate statistics? Porto, 20|22 June 2013 4 2 The Monetary Financial Statistics information ECB /2001/18 Harmonised MIR Statistics ECB /2009/7 Additional Requirements 2012 • Instruction 19/2002 • Sample of around 16 resident OMFI • Information on new business and outstanding amounts and the corresponding interest rates by institutional sector, instrument, initial period of rate fixation and purpose of the loans • Instruction 12/2010 • Universe of the resident OMFI (around 70 institutions) • New business further broken down by initial period of rate fixation and loan volume; Information on fully collateralized loans reported separately • Instruction 20/2012 • Mandatory for OMFI that reach the threshold of 50 million euro per month of new loans to NFC in the aggregated report • New loans, including overdrafts, granted by OMFI to NFC on a loan-by-loan basis Is micro-data reporting the future for interest rate statistics? Porto, 20|22 June 2013 5 The new micro-data on interest rates firm contractual maturity collateral MIR Database residency private vs. state-owned size •Annualized agreed rate •Amount •Date of the operation •Nature of the loan initial period of rate fixation Is micro-data reporting the future for interest rate statistics? Other Statistical Databases sector of activity (NACE) exporting vs. nonexporting Porto, 20|22 June 2013 6 3 The potentialities of micro-data – the new data set Monthly (on average): 12 institutions Around 140 000 records Constant sample: 10 institutions (85% of the total monthly new business volume) • 44 000 new loans with a monthly volume of 3.5 bn Euros • 85 000 overdrafts with a monthly volume of 10 bn Euros Is micro-data reporting the future for interest rate statistics? Porto, 20|22 June 2013 7 The potentialities of micro-data – Loans by NFC residency 95% of the loans to NFC, excluding overdrafts, are granted to residents in Portugal, despite the higher interest rates. Is micro-data reporting the future for interest rate statistics? Porto, 20|22 June 2013 8 4 The potentialities of micro-data – Loans by maturity 80% of the new loans are short term (up to one year). The differential between long term and short term interest rates is negative. Is micro-data reporting the future for interest rate statistics? Porto, 20|22 June 2013 9 The potentialities of micro-data – Loans by firm size Conditions are on average tighter for private SME than for private large enterprises. Interest rates on new loans granted to stateowned enterprises do not present a regular behaviour. Is micro-data reporting the future for interest rate statistics? Interest rates charged on overdrafts to private large enterprises are on average higher than the ones applied for SME. The state-owned enterprises usually pay higher interest rates on overdrafts. Porto, 20|22 June 2013 10 5 Concluding remarks The availability and integrated management of micro-databases presents several advantages: allows the reduction of the reporting burden and simultaneously improves the quality of the data; enables further economic analysis and increases flexibility; and enhances the capacity to respond to ad hoc information requests. In order to improve international comparison it should be encouraged in other countries as well as in other statistical fields, as for example the deposit operations. Is micro-data reporting the future for interest rate statistics? Porto, 20|22 June 2013 11 Rita Lameira Monetary and Financial Statistics Division rlameira@bportugal.pt 6