AGENDA ITEM 10-A ACTION ITEM TO: CHAIRMAN MILDE AND THE VRE OPERATIONS BOARD FROM: DALE ZEHNER DATE: JUNE 18, 2010 RE: FY 2012 BUDGET GUIDELINES AND CONSIDERATIONS _____________________________________________________________________ RECOMMENDATION: The VRE Operations Board is being asked to provide direction in the development of the FY 2012 budget options for train operations and capital projects. BACKGROUND: VRE has adopted a financial planning process that provides for early consideration of budget issues and assumptions. Each year, VRE staff meets numerous times with the member jurisdiction’s Chief Administrative Officers (CAO) Budget Taskforce to develop the annual proposed budget. An independent CAO recommendation is provided to the Operations Board and Commissions in conjunction with the final budget submission at the December Operations Board meeting. As part of the budget process, the jurisdictional CAO Budget Task Force met on June 15, 2010 to review various budget issues, including the cost of fuel, insurance, the new operating contract, fleet management plan, ridership projections, fuel tax projections, and subsidy. The goal is to permit the Budget Task Force to focus on material issues early in the budget process. REVISIONS TO FY 2011 BUDGET Each year, revisions to the current year budget are presented to the Operations Board in December, along with the recommendations for the next budget year. The following items are expected to be reflected in the revised FY 2011 Budget: Fare revenue: Fare revenue is budgeted at $28.1M, based on average daily ridership of 16,200. Current ridership is in excess of this amount and fare revenue will be reviewed and revised upward as appropriate. Changes to state revenue: In December 2009, VRE staff estimated the State would fund their portion of the match to the federal capital program at 35%, with the exception of the 100% match provided for CMAQ grants. In May, the State published their draft Six-Year Improvement Program, with FY 2011 average funding of 56%. VRE received state match for federal grants as follows: o 100% of match for $5.8M of CMAQ projects, as budgeted o 80% of match for $14.7M of costs for the purchase of locomotives, including federal earmarks o 53% for $15.3M of other projects, primarily debt service o no funding for $2.1M of costs, including $1M programmed for capital cost of contracts/preventive maintenance At the state’s request, VRE reviewed our FY 2011 funding needs and considerably decreased the amount requested for overlap (the amount funded from prior year funds to reduce the impact of current year funding delays) for track lease payments and state-only debt service payments. This is a one year decrease of state funds for VRE programs that will not impact the available funds for FY 2011. The state provided $7.5M for operating assistance, a decrease of $224,000 from the budgeted amount and 14% less than the original award for FY 2010. The net impact at present is a total increase of available funds for FY 2011 of $1.5M; however, this will decrease to $1.3M if the state does not provide match funds for the revisions described below. Revisions to Capital Program: VRE staff proposes several adjustments to the FY 2011 capital program to allow VRE to order as many of the remaining five locomotives as possible before a mandated locomotive model change occurs for units ordered after December 31, 2010. This will also permit VRE to take advantage of a significant price break for all units added during the current production run. One of the reasons VRE has historically “banked” grant money over multiple years for long-term projects is to ensure flexibility in the use of federal grant funds. However, we believe that in this case, transferring funds from other projects to the purchase of locomotives is the best course of action as it will result in long-lasting financial savings for operations, particularly as the useful life of a locomotive is forty years. Owning two separate models of locomotive has significant inventory and maintenance costs over the lifecycle of the units which VRE is trying to avoid. Projects that will be reduced or for which funding will be shifted to future years are: o Mid-day storage – first year of funding of $1.7M for $40M project; will be restored in FY 2012 o Fare collection upgrade - $400K of multi-year funding; will be restored in FY 2012 o Rail car purchase – first year of funding of $250K; will be restored in future years o Construction oversight and facilities and rolling stock improvements – $450K of funding has been identified from prior year surpluses or future grants. Contingency of $158K reduced because not needed for locomotive project. The net result of these changes is a $2.9M increase to the amount available for the locomotive purchase. Approval for the purchase of four additional locomotives is presented in a separate Board item. The state has indicated that they may not provide matching funds for this shift of $2.9M as it is too late in their process. In addition, VRE’s share of federal formula funding has been reduced by $769K, which will be accommodated in the revised program. Insurance trust fund: VRE’s plan was to restore the balance in the Insurance Trust Fund to the $10 million level by early 2012. However, in September, VRE staff plans to make a recommendation to complete that process in FY 2011. Subsidy Credit Analysis: As indicated during the FY 2011 budget presentation in September, VRE staff will propose a recommended use for any surplus for FY 2010, including the possibility of a reduction to the subsidy payment due in January 2011. Operating expenses: Operating expenses, including fuel costs, equipment maintenance and the costs of the new Keolis and Amtrak contracts will be reviewed during the early months of FY 2011 for inclusion in the revised budget, as needed. FY 2012 BUDGET GUIDELINES GUIDELINE #1: VRE staff will take all reasonable measures to continue to grow the ridership and improve the overall service to the riders. Measures to be reviewed include service levels, fares, train schedules, service amenities, and contracted services which bear on the ridership experience. GUIDELINE #2: VRE staff will strive to ensure that the total jurisdictional subsidy for FY 2012 will be the same or less than the FY 2011 total subsidy, with consideration given to changes to individual member contributions. The total jurisdictional subsidy has decreased for the last two years, from $17,275,499 in FY 2009 to $16,070,309 in FY 2011. GUIDELINE #3: VRE staff will work to maintain fares at the FY 2011 level or, if unavoidable, limit the fare increase to one per fiscal year. VRE had three fare increases between July 2008 and July 2009 and kept fares level in FY 2011. GUIDELINE #4: The replacement of aging locomotives will be a priority for the use of capital grant funds and additional funding sources will be actively pursued. Fifteen new locomotives have been ordered and will begin arriving in July 2010. The new locomotives will be cost and energy efficient and more reliable than the current fleet. As noted above, VRE staff is pursuing the funding and purchase of as many of the remaining five locomotives as possible during FY 2011. VRE’s options under the purchase contract expire in 2013. Any remaining needed locomotives will be purchased in FY 2012 or FY 2013, as funding permits. GUIDELINE #5: The mechanisms for funding the Capital Improvement Program to insure the efficient use of all funding sources and the most expeditious progress on high priority projects will be reviewed with the assistance of the CAO Task Force and any recommended changes will be incorporated in the FY 2012 through FY 2017 CIP. GUIDELINE #6: Fuel hedging strategies will continue in order to provide greater predictably in budgeting for diesel fuel costs. GUIDELINE #7: Funding will be provided to maintain the insurance trust fund balance at $10 million, the level required by the Virginia Division of Risk Management. GUIDELINE #8: Funding will be provided over a multi-year period to eventually establish VRE’s level of working capital at an amount equal to three months of operating costs. This level, which has been discussed with the Operations Board and is consistent with the reserve goals of other transit agencies, will allow VRE to efficiently meet its obligations during the course of the year as well as make orderly accommodation for significant shortfalls. In addition, a capital reserve will be maintained to provide local match for earmarks, and to fund smaller capital projects and projects for which grant funds are unavailable. Funding for the reserves will be provided by surplus funds at year-end and, for the capital reserve, proceeds of the sale of capital assets. OTHER FY 2012 BUDGET ISSUES AND ASSUMPTIONS State Funding: State funding varies considerably from year to year. As in the past, VRE staff will continue to work closely with DRPT to develop estimates. Our experience with the FY 2011 budget process indicates that, in the future, DRPT will award match funds at differential rates depending on the nature of the project; will not provide match to all of the projects in VRE’s capital program; and may not approve grant amendments required to sync state and federal grants. As a result, our percentage estimate for funding should take these new procedures into consideration. DRPT is also considering changes to the operating assistance formula that could substantially decrease the annual amount available for VRE. VRE staff will follow this process closely over the next six months. Number of Trains. The FY 2011 Six Year Financial Forecast called for no change to service levels in FY 2011 and a gradual increase from 30 daily trains to 34 daily trains over the period ending in FY 2015. A combination of funding and storage issues will prohibit any additional trains in the early years of the current six-year planning cycle. Cost Recovery Ratio. The budget forecast must ensure the cost recovery ratio remains in the 50% to 60% range. 2% Motor Fuels Tax: VRE staff is aware of jurisdictional concerns related to fuels tax revenue projections and the ability to continue to support current VRE and PRTC expenses. Prince William County, in particular, has indicated that in the future all VRE and PRTC contributions must come from their 2% motor fuels tax receipts. Spotsylvania County: Spotsylvania County will be providing one-half of their FY 2012 subsidy payment during FY 2012. NEXT STEPS: Continue discussing FY 2012 budgeting scenarios with the CAO Budget Task Force. Present preliminary budget forecasts to the Operations Board in August 2010. Begin review of all FY 2012 revenue and cost assumptions in September 2010 with CAO Budget Task Force. FISCAL IMPACT: There is no fiscal impact related to the development of the FY 2012 budget. TO: FROM: DATE: RE: CHAIRMAN MILDE AND THE VRE OPERATIONS BOARD DALE ZEHNER JUNE 18, 2010 FY 2012 BUDGET GUIDELINES AND CONSIDERATIONS RESOLUTION 10A-06-2010 OF THE VIRGINIA RAILWAY EXPRESS OPERATIONS BOARD WHEREAS, effective financial planning for the Virginia Railway Express is based on budget development with guidelines approved by the VRE Operations Board; and, WHEREAS, the VRE Operations Board has directed that the development of each annual budget involve consultation and cooperation with the Chief Administrative Officers of VRE’s participating and contributing jurisdictions; and, NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED THAT, the VRE Operations Board directs staff to develop budget options for the FY 2012 operating and capital budget in accordance with the following guidelines: GUIDELINE #1: VRE staff will take all reasonable measures to continue to grow the ridership and improve the overall service to the riders. Measures to be reviewed include service levels, fares, train schedules, service amenities, and contracted services which bear on the ridership experience. GUIDELINE #2: VRE staff will strive to ensure that the total jurisdictional subsidy for FY 2012 will be the same or less than the FY 2011 total subsidy, with consideration given to changes to individual member contributions. The total jurisdictional subsidy has decreased for the last two years, from $17,275,499 in FY 2009 to $16,070,309 in FY 2011. GUIDELINE #3: VRE staff will work to maintain fares at the FY 2011 level or, if unavoidable, limit the fare increase to one per fiscal year. VRE had three fare increases between July 2008 and July 2009 and kept fares level in FY 2011. GUIDELINE #4: The replacement of aging locomotives will be a priority for the use of capital grant funds and additional funding sources will be actively pursued. Fifteen new locomotives have been ordered and will begin arriving in July 2010. The new locomotives will be cost and energy efficient and more reliable than the current fleet. As noted above, VRE staff is pursuing the funding and purchase of as many of the remaining five locomotives as possible during FY 2011. VRE’s options under the purchase contract expire in 2013. Any remaining needed locomotives will be purchased in FY 2012 or FY 2013, as funding permits. GUIDELINE #5: The mechanisms for funding the Capital Improvement Program to insure the efficient use of all funding sources and the most expeditious progress on high priority projects will be reviewed with the assistance of the CAO Task Force and any recommended changes will be incorporated in the FY 2012 through FY 2017 CIP. GUIDELINE #6: Fuel hedging strategies will continue in order to provide greater predictably in budgeting for diesel fuel costs. GUIDELINE #7: Funding will be provided to maintain the insurance trust fund balance at $10 million, the level required by the Virginia Division of Risk Management. GUIDELINE #8: Funding will be provided over a multi-year period to eventually establish VRE’s level of working capital at an amount equal to three months of operating costs. This level, which has been discussed with the Operations Board and is consistent with the reserve goals of other transit agencies, will allow VRE to efficiently meet its obligations during the course of the year as well as make orderly accommodation for significant shortfalls. In addition, a capital reserve will be maintained to provide local match for earmarks, and to fund smaller capital projects and projects for which grant funds are unavailable. Funding for the reserves will be provided by surplus funds at year-end and, for the capital reserve, proceeds of the sale of capital assets.