SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
January 2016
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Fifth District
Summary
Labor Conditions
Business Conditions
Household Conditions
Real Estate Conditions
District of Columbia
Summary
Labor Conditions
Household Conditions
Real Estate Conditions
Maryland
Summary
Labor Conditions
Household Conditions
Real Estate Conditions
North Carolina
Summary
Labor Conditions
Household Conditions
Real Estate Conditions
Data updated as of December 30, 2015
District
District
District
District
District
D.C.
D.C.
D.C.
D.C.
Maryland
Maryland
Maryland
Maryland
North Carolina
North Carolina
North Carolina
North Carolina
1
2
3
4
4
1
2
4
5
1
2
4
5
1
2
4
5
South Carolina
Summary
Labor Conditions
Household Conditions
Real Estate Conditions
South Carolina
South Carolina
South Carolina
South Carolina
1
2
4
5
Virginia
Summary
Labor Conditions
Household Conditions
Real Estate Conditions
Virginia
Virginia
Virginia
Virginia
1
2
4
5
West Virginia
Summary
Labor Conditions
Household Conditions
Real Estate Conditions
West Virginia
West Virginia
West Virginia
West Virginia
1
2
4
5
Sources & Notes
Data Sources
Notes
Contact Information
Michael Stanley
(804) 697-8437
Michael.Stanley@rich.frb.org
Sources 1
Sources 2
Joseph Mengedoth
(804) 697-2860
Joseph.Mengedoth@rich.frb.org
TABLE OF CONTENTS
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
FIFTH DISTRICT
January Summary
A Closer Look at…Energy Consumption
Recent reports on the Fifth District economy were mostly positive, with strengthening labor
markets, some improvements for area businesses, and generally upbeat housing market
indicators.
The United States Energy Information Administration publishes state level information
on energy production, consumption, prices, and expenditures in the State Energy Data
System (SEDS). The most recent annual data is for 2013. Net end-use energy
consumption does not include energy used to produce electricity or electrical system
energy losses.
Labor Markets: Employers in the Fifth District added 35,600 jobs (0.2 percent) to the economy
in November. Virginia, which expanded 0.4 percent, led the job growth in the month
followed by North Carolina and South Carolina, which each reported 0.3 percent
employment growth. The logging, mining, and construction industry was the only industry in
the District to report job losses in the month. Conversely, the largest job gain in November
came from the trade, transportation, and utilities industry that added 9,800 jobs (0.4 percent).
On a year-over-year basis, payroll employment in the Fifth District grew 1.7 percent, which
lagged the national rate of 1.9 percent despite above national average growth reported in
Maryland, North Carolina, and South Carolina. In the District on whole, every industry
reported an expansion ranging from 0.3 percent in the information industry to 3.2 percent in
the professional and business services industry. The Fifth District unemployment rate
declined 0.1 percentage point to 5.2 percent in November as the number of unemployed
declined 0.9 percent.
• In 2013, the Fifth District's total energy consumption was 8,839 trillion BTUs.
• Total energy expenditures in 2013 were $127,392 million.
• The transportation sector accounted for the largest share of total end-use energy
consumption in in the Fifth District at 28.6 percent, and the largest share of energy
expenditures at 54.0 percent.
• The industrial sector accounted for the smallest share of total end-use energy
consumption in the Fifth District at 21.8 percent, and the smallest share of energy
expenditures at 11.1 percent.
Net End-Use Energy Consumption in the Fifth District by Source
100
Business Conditions: According to our manufacturing survey, the composite diffusion index
rose from -3 in November to 6 in December. The component indexes for new orders and
employment turned positive in the month while the index for shipments rose slightly from -2
to 0. According to the service sector survey, the index for revenues rose from -1 in November
to 7 in December due to an increase in the non-retail revenues index; the retail index fell
further into negative territory. The index for employment in the overall service sector rose to
a value of 20 in November, increasing for both retail and non-retail service firms. Our survey
measure of prices indicated a slight deceleration in non-retail price growth and a moderate
acceleration in retail price growth. Manufacturers reported a marginal acceleration of both
input and finished goods price growth.
90
Housing Markets: Fifth District jurisdictions issued a combined 9,719 new residential permits
in November, which was 18.1 percent fewer than in October but 7.2 percent more than in
November 2014. Housing starts totaled 139,000 in November, which was a 14.9 percent
increase from the prior month and 12.2 percent more than last November. According to
CoreLogic Information Solutions, District home values appreciated 0.5 percent in October
and appreciated 4.1 percent since October 2014.
10
Percent of total, 2013
80
70
60
Renewable*
50
Coal
40
Electricity
30
Natural Gas
20
Petroleum
0
Fifth
DC
MD
NC
SC
VA
WV
District
*Renewable energy includes biomass, geothermal, hydroelectric, and solar
FIFTH DISTRICT 1
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
FIFTH DISTRICT
Labor Market Conditions
Payroll Employment (SA)
Fifth District Payroll Employment Performance
Period
Level (000s)
United States - Total
November
142,900.0
0.15
1.88
Fifth District - Total
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
14,362.7
707.9
1,082.1
2,472.6
235.6
724.8
2,249.2
2,038.3
1,494.2
668.5
2,689.6
0.25
-0.35
0.32
0.40
0.17
0.10
0.39
0.36
0.32
0.30
0.04
1.74
2.21
1.06
1.26
0.34
2.23
3.24
2.55
2.10
1.24
0.45
Logging, Mining, and Construction
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Education and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
MoM % Change
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
YoY % Change
Fifth District - Total
1.7
Logging, Mining, and Construction
2.2
Manufacturing
1.1
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
1.3
Information
0.3
Financial Activities
2.2
Professional and Business Services
3.2
Education and Health Services
2.5
Leisure and Hospitality
2.1
Other Services
1.2
Government
0.4
0
1
2
3
4
Fifth District Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate (SA)
United States
Fifth District
November 15
October 15
November 14
5.0
5.2
5.0
5.3
5.8
5.6
Through November 2015
11
10
9
Civilian Labor Force (SA)
United States
Fifth District
Initial Unemployment Claims (NSA)
United States
Fifth District
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
8
November
November
157,301
15,604
0.17
0.22
0.57
1.72
7
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
4
November
November
1,221,292
74,510
14.88
-0.64
-3.50
1.76
6
5
3
United States
2
Fifth District
1
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
FIFTH DISTRICT 2
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
SNAPSHOT
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
FIFTH DISTRICT
Business Conditions
Composite Manufacturing Index
Manufacturing Survey (SA)
December 15
November 15
December 14
6
-3
6
0
8
12
24
0.67
0.27
-2
-6
0
21
0.61
0.22
4
4
11
38
1.21
0.76
December 15
November 15
December 14
18
7
-36
-32
-3
1.15
1.84
13
1
-12
-25
-21
1.34
1.21
15
3
13
-20
-3
1.58
1.71
100
Period
Level ($mil)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
80
October
October
October
October
3,026.37
751.73
4,523.70
3,964.13
9.5
7.1
11.8
13.9
2.8
11.0
7.3
2.1
Period
Level ($mil)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
October
October
October
October
1,359.43
412.76
2,554.07
2,191.54
10.1
-1.4
-2.8
0.2
-16.7
-5.7
-18.7
-14.5
Shipments
New Orders
Number of Employees
Expected Shipments - Six Months
Raw Materials Prices (SAAR)
Finished Goods Prices (SAAR)
Service Sector Survey (SA)
Service Sector Employment
Services Firms Revenues
Retail Revenues
Big-Ticket Sales
Expected Retail Demand - Six Months
Services Firm Prices
Retail Prices
Baltimore, Maryland
Wilmington, North Carolina
Charleston, South Carolina
Norfolk, Virginia
District Exports
Baltimore, Maryland
Wilmington, North Carolina
Charleston, South Carolina
Norfolk, Virginia
20
10
0
Index Level
Composite Index
District Imports
3-Month Moving Average through December 2015
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Norfolk Port District Exports
Year-over-Year Percent Change through October 2015
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
FIFTH DISTRICT 3
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
FIFTH DISTRICT
Household Conditions
Fifth District Real Personal Income
Real Personal Income (SA)
Period
Level ($mil)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Q3:15
14,079,308
0.97
4.36
Fifth District
Q3:15
1,365,569
0.89
4.44
Non-Business Bankruptcies
Period
Level
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Fifth District
Q3:15
Q3:15
206,568
16,512
-4.90
-1.95
-8.35
-5.42
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
Real Estate Conditions
Total Private Building Permits (NSA)
United States
Fifth District
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
90,073
9,719
-8.29
-18.09
26.42
7.23
United States
Fifth District
-6
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Fifth District Building Permits
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
80
Total Private Housing Starts (SAAR)
United States
Fifth District
House Price Index (2000=100)
United States
Fifth District
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
1,173
139
10.45
14.94
16.48
12.17
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
October
October
185
187
0.97
0.46
6.77
4.13
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
FIFTH DISTRICT 4
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
January Summary
A Closer Look at…Energy Consumption
Economic reports on the District of Columbia were generally upbeat in recent months, with
some improvement in labor markets and household conditions, while housing market
indicators were mostly positive.
The United States Energy Information Administration publishes state level information
on energy production, consumption, prices, and expenditures in the State Energy Data
System (SEDS). The most recent annual data is for 2013. Net end-use energy
consumption does not include energy used to produce electricity or electrical system
energy losses.
Labor Markets: Total employment in D.C. expanded 0.1 percent in November as employers
added 700 jobs to the economy. The leisure and hospitality industry added the most jobs in
the month (700 jobs), followed by the trade, transportation, and utilities industry, which
added 600 jobs. Additionally, the government and information industries reported smaller
gains. The professional and business services industry, on the other hand, cut 600 jobs in
November while the education and health services and financial services industries made
smaller cuts. On a year-over-year basis, total payroll employment in D.C. expanded 1.1 percent
led by strong growth in the professional and business services industry that grew 3.7 percent.
The only two industries to cut jobs since November 2014 were government and leisure and
hospitality, which cut 600 jobs and 200 jobs, respectively. In the greater Washington, D.C.
MSA, employment contracted 0.1 percent in November but expanded 2.0 percent since
November 2014.
Household Conditions: The unemployment rate in D.C. was unchanged at 6.6 percent in
November as both the number of unemployed and the labor force ticked up slightly. In the
third quarter of 2015, real personal income in D.C. rose 1.0 percent and increased 4.6 percent
since the third quarter of 2014. Also in the third quarter, the share of mortgages with
payments 90 or more days past due declined 0.2 percentage point to 1.2 percent. The prime
delinquency rate fell from 0.9 percent to 0.8 percent in the quarter while the subprime rate
declined from 6.3 percent to 6.0 percent.
Housing Markets: D.C. issued 781 new residential permits in November, up from 656 permits
in October and up from 51 permits issued in November 2014. In the greater Washington, D.C.
MSA, 2,072 permits were issued in November, down 23.7 percent from the prior month but
up 73.5 percent from November 2014. Housing starts in D.C. totaled 11,200 in November, up
from 6,700 in October and up from 700 housing starts in November of last year. According to
CoreLogic Information Solutions, home values in D.C. appreciated 0.9 percent in October and
4.4 percent on a year-over-year basis. Home values in the Washington, D.C. metro area
appreciated 0.9 percent in the month and 3.4 percent since last November.
• In 2013, the District of Columbia's total energy consumption was 171 trillion BTUs.
Per capita total energy consumption was 263 million BTUs, which ranked 36th in the
United States.
• Total energy expenditures in 2013 were $2,193 million. Per capita expenditures were
$3,378, which ranked 49th in the United States.
• The commercial sector accounted for the largest share of total end-use energy
consumption at 64.9 percent, followed by the residential sector at 21.6 percent.
Net End-Use Energy Consumption in the District of Columbia
160
140
120
100
Trillions of BTUs by Source
Renewable*
Coal
Electricity
Natural Gas
Petroleum
80
60
40
20
0
1963
1973
1983
1993
2003
2013
*Renewable energy includes biomass, geothermal, hydroelectric, and solar
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA 1
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
Labor Market Conditions
Payroll Employment (SA)
District of Columbia Payroll Employment Performance
Period
Level (000s)
United States - Total
November
142,900.0
0.15
1.88
Fifth District - Total
District of Columbia - Total
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
14,362.7
770.6
14.6
1.0
32.7
17.2
31.1
166.5
130.1
69.8
72.1
235.5
0.25
0.09
0.00
0.00
1.87
0.58
-0.32
-0.36
-0.23
1.01
0.00
0.13
1.74
1.09
0.69
0.00
1.87
1.18
1.97
3.67
0.15
-0.29
2.12
-0.25
November
3,220.6
0.33
1.96
Logging, Mining, and Construction
Manufacturing (NSA)
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Education and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Washington, D.C. MSA
MoM % Change
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
YoY % Change
District of Columbia - Total
1.1
Logging, Mining, and Construction
0.7
Manufacturing (NSA)
0.0
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
1.9
Information
1.2
Financial Activities
2.0
Professional and Business Services
3.7
Education and Health Services
0.2
Leisure and Hospitality
-0.3
Other Services
2.1
Government
-0.3
-1
0
1
2
3
4
District of Columbia Total Employment Performance
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
United States
1.9
Fifth District
1.7
District of Columbia
1.1
Washington, D.C. MSA
2.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA 2
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
Labor Market Conditions
District of Columbia Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate (SA)
November 15
October 15
Through November 2015
November 14
United States
5.0
5.0
5.8
12
Fifth District
District of Columbia
Washington, D.C. MSA
5.2
6.6
4.3
5.3
6.6
4.4
5.6
7.7
4.8
11
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
8
November
November
November
November
157,301
15,604
389
3,303
0.17
0.22
0.30
0.46
0.57
1.72
1.39
0.81
7
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
November
1,221,292
14.88
-3.50
Fifth District
District of Columbia
November
November
74,510
1,429
-0.64
-16.87
1.76
-3.38
Civilian Labor Force (SA)
United States
Fifth District
District of Columbia
Washington, D.C. MSA
Initial Unemployment Claims (NSA)
10
9
United States
District of Columbia
6
5
4
3
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
District of Columbia Labor Force
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
7
United States
6
District of Columbia
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA 3
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
Household Conditions
Real Personal Income (SA)
District of Columbia Real Personal Income
Period
Level ($mil)
QoQ % Change
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
YoY % Change
United States
Q3:15
14,079,308
0.97
4.36
10
Fifth District
District of Columbia
Q3:15
Q3:15
1,365,569
44,155
0.89
0.98
4.44
4.55
8
Median Family Income
Period
Level (000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
4
Washington, D.C. MSA
2015
108.2
---
2.95
2
Non-Business Bankruptcies
Period
Level
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
0
United States
Fifth District
District of Columbia
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
206,568
16,512
154
-4.90
-1.95
-4.94
-8.35
-5.42
-20.21
-2
Mortgage Delinquencies (% 90+ Days Delinquent)
United States
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
District of Columbia
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
Q3:15
Q2:15
Q3:14
1.69
0.97
6.42
1.86
1.05
6.61
2.26
1.22
8.48
1.24
0.75
5.99
1.44
0.86
6.34
2.23
1.32
10.14
United States
District of Columbia
6
-4
-6
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
District of Columbia Mortgage Delinquencies
Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q3:15
6
United States
5
District of Columbia
4
3
2
1
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA 4
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
Real Estate Conditions
Total Private Building Permits (NSA)
Washington, D.C. MSA Building Permits
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
November
90,073
-8.29
26.42
Fifth District
District of Columbia
Washington, D.C. MSA
November
November
November
9,719
781
2,072
-18.09
19.05
-23.74
7.23
1,431.37
73.53
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
1,173
139
11.2
10.45
14.94
66.77
16.48
12.17
1,498.57
Total Private Housing Starts (SAAR)
United States
Fifth District
District of Columbia
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
250
200
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
District of Columbia Housing Starts
Thousands of Units (SAAR) November 2015
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA 5
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
Real Estate Conditions
House Price Index (2000=100)
District of Columbia House Price Index (CoreLogic)
Period
Level
MoM % Change
Year-over-Year Percent Change through October 2015
YoY % Change
United States
October
185
0.97
6.77
20
Fifth District
District of Columbia
Washington, D.C. MSA
October
October
October
187
305
229
0.46
0.91
0.86
4.13
4.38
3.42
15
Median Home Sales Price - NAR (NSA)
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Washington, D.C. MSA
Q3:15
389
-3.76
-0.13
Median Home Sales Price - NAHB
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Washington, D.C. MSA
Q3:15
381
0.26
1.60
Q3:15
Q2:15
Q3:14
65.8
67.0
63.8
Q2:15
Q1:15
Q2:14
10
5
Housing Opportunity Index (%)
Washington, D.C. MSA
Commercial Vacancy Rates (%)
Office Vacancies
Washington, D.C. MSA
Industrial Vacancies
0
-5
-10
United States
District of Columbia
-15
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
Washington, D.C. MSA Office Vacancy Rate
17
Through Q2:15
16
16.0
16.3
15.7
Washington, D.C. MSA
Retail Vacancies
12.3
12.9
13.5
Washington, D.C. MSA
5.9
5.8
5.6
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA 6
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
MARYLAND
January Summary
A Closer Look at…Energy Consumption
Recent reports on Maryland’s economy were generally upbeat, with continued employment
growth, although indicators for area households and housing markets were more mixed.
The United States Energy Information Administration publishes state level information
on energy production, consumption, prices, and expenditures in the State Energy Data
System (SEDS). The most recent annual data is for 2013. Net end-use energy
consumption does not include energy used to produce electricity or electrical system
energy losses.
Labor Markets: Employers in Maryland added 3,600 jobs (0.1 percent) to payrolls in November.
The majority of industries expanded in the month, with only the information, financial
services, and leisure and hospitality industries reporting job cuts. The largest job gain
occurred in the trade, transportation, and utilities industry (1,900 jobs) followed by the
manufacturing industry, which added 1,200 jobs. The government sector added 500 jobs on
net as the 1,400 net new federal government jobs were partially offset by the loss of 500 state
government jobs and 400 local government positions. Since November 2014, total
employment in Maryland expanded 2.0 percent as jobs were added to every industry except
information and “other” services. The logging, mining, and construction industry reported the
largest year-over-year percentage growth of 4.7 percent while the largest absolute job gain
occurred in the education and health services industry, which added 10,900 jobs. In the
state’s metro areas, employment expanded on a year-over-year basis in every MSA except
Cumberland and Hagerstown.
Household Conditions: The unemployment rate in Maryland ticked up slightly to 5.2 percent
in November as both the number of unemployed and the labor force rose in the month. In
the third quarter of 2015, real personal income rose 0.8 percent and increased 4.1 percent
since the third quarter of 2014. Also in the third quarter, the share of mortgages with
payments 90 or more days overdue declined from 2.4 percent to 2.2 percent. The prime
delinquency rate fell 0.1 percentage point to 1.3 percent in the quarter while the subprime
rate increased from 7.3 percent to 7.9 percent.
Housing Markets: Maryland issued 1,103 new residential permits in November, down 13.4
percent from October and down 28.7 percent from November 2014. Permitting activity at the
metro level varied in the month while both the Cumberland and Salisbury MSAs issued more
permits on a year-over-year basis. Housing starts in Maryland totaled 15,800 in November, up
21.9 percent in the month but down 25.4 percent on a year-over-year basis. According to
CoreLogic Information Solutions, home values in Maryland appreciated 0.6 percent in
October and 3.0 percent on a year-over-year basis. In the state’s metro areas, home values
appreciated in every MSA in October and on a year-over-year basis.
• In 2013, Maryland's total energy consumption was 1,404 trillion BTUs. Per capita total
energy consumption was 236 million BTUs, which ranked 40th in the United States.
• Total energy expenditures in 2013 were $22,972 million. Per capita expenditures
were $3,868, which ranked 38th in the United States.
• The residential sector accounted for the largest share of total end-use energy
consumption at 30.8 percent, followed by the transportation sector at 30.7 percent.
Net End-Use Energy Consumption in Maryland
1,100
1,000
900
800
700
Trillions of BTUs by source
Renewable*
Coal
Electricity
Natural Gas
Petroleum
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1963
1973
1983
1993
2003
*Renewable energy includes biomass, geothermal, hydroelectric, and solar
2013
MARYLAND 1
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
MARYLAND
Labor Market Conditions
Payroll Employment (SA)
Maryland Payroll Employment Performance
Period
Level (000s)
United States - Total
November
142,900.0
0.15
1.88
Fifth District - Total
Maryland - Total
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
14,362.7
2,689.5
159.9
104.2
464.0
36.7
146.9
438.2
443.5
270.2
111.9
514.0
0.25
0.13
0.19
1.17
0.41
-2.13
-0.20
0.21
0.07
-0.30
0.36
0.10
1.74
2.02
4.72
1.56
1.60
-0.81
1.87
2.53
2.52
2.54
-0.71
1.40
Logging, Mining, and Construction
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Education and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
Maryland - Total
2.0
Logging, Mining, and Construction
4.7
Manufacturing
1.6
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
1.6
Information
-0.8
Financial Activities
1.9
Professional and Business Services
2.5
Education and Health Services
2.5
Leisure and Hospitality
2.5
Other Services
-0.7
Government
1.4
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
Maryland Total Employment Performance
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
Metro Payroll Employment (NSA)
Period
Level (000s)
YoY % Change
Baltimore-Towson MSA - Total
California-Lexington Park MSA - Total
Cumberland MSA - Total
Hagerstown MSA - Total
Salisbury MSA - Total
Silver Spring-Frederick Metro Div. - Total
November
November
November
November
November
November
1,396.5
45.6
40.3
103.4
150.7
597.6
2.32
2.47
-0.25
-0.58
4.07
3.19
United States (SA)
1.9
Fifth District (SA)
1.7
Maryland (SA)
2.0
Baltimore-Towson MSA
2.3
California-Lexington Park MSA
2.5
Cumberland MSA
-0.2
Hagerstown MSA -0.6
Salisbury MSA
4.1
Silver Spring-Frederick Metro Div.
3.2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
MARYLAND 2
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
MARYLAND
Labor Market Conditions
Maryland Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate (SA)
November 15
October 15
Through November 2015
November 14
United States
5.0
5.0
5.8
11
Fifth District
Maryland
Baltimore-Towson MSA
California-Lexington Park MSA
Cumberland MSA
Hagerstown MSA
Salisbury MSA
Silver Spring-Frederick Metro Div.
5.2
5.2
5.5
5.1
6.7
5.2
6.4
4.2
5.3
5.1
5.5
5.1
6.7
5.2
6.3
4.2
5.6
5.5
5.9
5.2
6.9
5.8
7.0
4.4
10
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Fifth District
November
November
157,301
15,604
0.17
0.22
0.57
1.72
Maryland
Baltimore-Towson MSA
California-Lexington Park MSA
Cumberland MSA
Hagerstown MSA
Salisbury MSA
Silver Spring-Frederick Metro Div.
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
3,167
1,486
55
45
127
186
683
0.30
0.18
0.36
0.45
-0.55
0.22
0.51
2.03
2.05
2.42
0.90
1.19
3.98
4.20
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
1,221,292
74,510
18,571
14.88
-0.64
9.80
-3.50
1.76
7.02
Civilian Labor Force (SA)
Initial Unemployment Claims (NSA)
United States
Fifth District
Maryland
United States
9
Maryland
8
7
6
5
4
3
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
Maryland Labor Force
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
2.5
United States
Maryland
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
MARYLAND 3
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
MARYLAND
Household Conditions
Maryland Real Personal Income
Real Personal Income (SA)
Period
Level ($mil)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Q3:15
14,079,308
0.97
4.36
6
Fifth District
Maryland
Q3:15
Q3:15
1,365,569
309,908
0.89
0.78
4.44
4.08
4
Median Family Income
Period
Level (000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Baltimore-Towson MSA
Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div.
Cumberland MSA
Hagerstown MSA
Salisbury MSA
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
89.6
114.6
51.6
65.3
60.7
-----------
7.31
2.96
-4.62
-3.40
13.46
Non-Business Bankruptcies
Period
Level
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Q3:15
206,568
-4.90
-8.35
Fifth District
Maryland
Q3:15
Q3:15
16,512
4,375
-1.95
-3.93
-5.42
-9.19
Q3:15
Q2:15
Q3:14
1.69
0.97
6.42
1.86
1.05
6.61
2.26
1.22
8.48
2.15
1.25
7.87
2.40
1.41
7.27
3.09
1.62
11.81
Mortgage Delinquencies (% 90+ Days Delinquent)
United States
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
Maryland
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
2
0
-2
-4
-6
2005
United States
Maryland
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
Maryland Mortgage Delinquencies
Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q3:15
6
United States
5
Maryland
4
3
2
1
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
MARYLAND 4
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
MARYLAND
Real Estate Conditions
Total Private Building Permits (NSA)
Maryland Building Permits
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
November
90,073
-8.29
26.42
Fifth District
Maryland
Baltimore-Towson MSA
Cumberland MSA
Hagerstown MSA
Salisbury MSA
November
November
November
November
November
November
9,719
1,103
369
4
46
200
-18.09
-13.01
-21.82
300.00
-46.51
-13.42
7.23
-28.70
-20.30
300.00
-73.10
14.94
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
1,173
139
15.8
10.45
14.94
21.90
16.48
12.17
-25.42
Total Private Housing Starts (SAAR)
United States
Fifth District
Maryland
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
200
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
Maryland Housing Starts
Thousands of Units (SAAR) November 2015
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
MARYLAND 5
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
MARYLAND
Real Estate Conditions
House Price Index (2000=100)
Maryland House Price Index (CoreLogic)
Year-over-Year Percent Change through October 2015
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
October
185
0.97
6.77
25
Fifth District
Maryland
Baltimore-Towson MSA
Cumberland MSA
Hagerstown MSA
Salisbury MSA
October
October
October
October
October
October
187
194
187
198
154
199
0.46
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.58
4.13
2.96
0.67
2.96
1.38
0.76
20
Median Home Sales Price - NAR (NSA)
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Baltimore-Towson MSA
Cumberland MSA
Hagerstown MSA
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
252
82
159
-0.86
0.00
2.31
-1.37
-11.59
1.59
Median Home Sales Price - NAHB
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Baltimore-Towson MSA
Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div.
Cumberland MSA
Hagerstown MSA
Salisbury MSA
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
200
414
102
163
135
-9.50
18.29
27.50
7.24
-4.93
-20.63
11.29
14.61
1.88
0.00
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
United States
Maryland
-15
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Baltimore-Towson MSA Median Home Sales Price (NAR)
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
MARYLAND 6
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
MARYLAND
Real Estate Conditions
Housing Opportunity Index (%)
Baltimore-Towson MSA Office Vacancy Rate
Q3:15
Q2:15
Baltimore-Towson MSA
85.2
81.3
69.9
Bethesda-Frederick Metro Div.
Cumberland MSA
Hagerstown MSA
Salisbury MSA
61.8
88.4
85.7
88.2
72.9
93.0
86.2
80.8
66.6
94.8
85.6
89.3
Q2:15
Q1:15
Q2:14
13.1
13.2
13.4
Commercial Vacancy Rates (%)
Office Vacancies
Baltimore-Towson MSA
Retail Vacancies
Baltimore-Towson MSA
Industrial Vacancies
Through Q2:15
Q3:14
17
16
15
14
13
12
6.7
6.6
6.7
Baltimore-Towson MSA
14.7
14.0
14.5
Suburban Maryland (Washington, D.C. MSA)
13.9
14.7
15.4
11
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Baltimore-Towson MSA Industrial Vacancy Rate
Through Q2:15
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
MARYLAND 7
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
NORTH CAROLINA
January Summary
A Closer Look at…Energy Consumption
Economic conditions in North Carolina continued to improve in recent months, as labor
markets strengthened and household conditions mostly improved; however, housing market
indicators were more mixed.
The United States Energy Information Administration publishes state level information
on energy production, consumption, prices, and expenditures in the State Energy Data
System (SEDS). The most recent annual data is for 2013. Net end-use energy
consumption does not include energy used to produce electricity or electrical system
energy losses.
Labor Markets: Payroll employment in North Carolina expanded 0.3 percent in November as
firms added 11,400 jobs in the month. Three industries accounted for the majority of jobs
added in November: education and health services (4,700 jobs), trade, transportation, and
utilities (4,200 jobs), and professional and business services (4,000 jobs). On the downside, the
construction industry cut 4,200 jobs in November and smaller losses were reported in the
government and “other” services industries. Since November 2014, total employment
expanded 2.2 percent as jobs were added in every industry except logging and mining on a
year-over-year basis. The largest percentage gain came from the financial services industry,
which grew 5.0 percent since last November while the largest absolute job gain occurred in
the professional and business services industry that added 20,400 jobs (3.5 percent). At the
metro level, every MSA except Fayetteville reported year-over-year job growth, led by the
Charlotte MSA, which expanded 3.3 percent since November 2014.
Household Conditions: The unemployment rate in North Carolina was unchanged at 5.7
percent in November; the number of unemployed declined 0.7 percent while the labor force
rose 0.3 percent in the month. In the third quarter of 2015, real personal income in North
Carolina rose 1.1 percent and was 5.0 percent higher than in the third quarter of 2014. Also in
the third quarter, the share of mortgages with payments 90 or more days past due declined
0.2 percentage point to 1.7 percent. The prime delinquency rate edged down 0.1 percentage
point to 0.8 percent in the quarter while the subprime rate declined from 7.6 percent to 7.2
percent.
Housing Markets: North Carolina issued 3,518 new residential permits in November, down 24.6
percent from the prior month and down 7.6 percent from November 2014. Metro area
permitting activity varied in the month and on a year-over-year basis with only the Greensboro
and Jacksonville MSAs issuing more permits in both periods. North Carolina housing starts
totaled 50,400 in November, up 5.6 percent from October but down 3.3 percent on a
year-over-year basis. According to CoreLogic Information Solutions, home values in North
Carolina appreciated 0.4 percent in October and 5.2 percent on a year-over-year basis. Every
MSA except Fayetteville reported year-over-year home price growth.
• In 2013, North Carolina's total energy consumption was 2,524 trillion BTUs. Per capita
total energy consumption was 256 million BTUs, which ranked 38th in the United
States.
• Total energy expenditures in 2013 were $37,332 million. Per capita expenditures
were $3,790, which ranked 42nd in the United States.
• The transportation sector accounted for the largest share of total end-use energy
consumption at 28.6 percent, followed by the residential sector at 27.4 percent.
Net End-Use Energy Consumption in North Carolina
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
Trillions of BTUs by source
Renewable*
Coal
Electricity
Natural Gas
Petroleum
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
1963
1973
1983
1993
2003
*Renewable energy includes biomass, geothermal, hydroelectric, and solar
2013
NORTH CAROLINA 1
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
NORTH CAROLINA
Labor Market Conditions
Payroll Employment (SA)
North Carolina Payroll Employment Performance
Period
Level (000s)
United States - Total
November
142,900.0
0.15
1.88
Fifth District - Total
North Carolina - Total
Other Services
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
14,362.7
4,279.0
5.5
188.5
462.9
799.3
75.5
223.4
605.1
588.6
456.1
157.2
0.25
0.27
0.00
-2.18
0.11
0.53
0.94
0.72
0.67
0.80
0.04
-0.06
1.74
2.18
-1.79
3.46
1.74
1.69
2.86
4.98
3.49
2.88
1.56
2.95
Government
November
716.9
-0.03
0.38
Logging and Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Education and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Metro Payroll Employment (NSA)
Asheville MSA - Total
Charlotte MSA - Total
Durham MSA - Total
Fayetteville MSA - Total
Greensboro-High Point MSA - Total
Raleigh-Cary MSA - Total
Wilmington MSA - Total
Winston-Salem MSA - Total
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
North Carolina - Total
2.2
Logging and Mining
-1.8
Construction
3.5
Manufacturing
1.7
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
1.7
Information
2.9
Financial Activities
5.0
Professional and Business Services
3.5
Education and Health Services
2.9
Leisure and Hospitality
1.6
Other Services
2.9
Government
0.4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
Level (000s)
YoY % Change
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
184.5
1,125.4
301.9
128.6
365.9
583.0
118.4
262.0
1.32
3.26
2.58
-0.16
3.01
1.44
0.08
2.14
3
4
5
6
North Carolina Total Employment Performance
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
United States (SA)
Period
2
1.9
Fifth District (SA)
1.7
North Carolina (SA)
2.2
Asheville MSA
1.3
Charlotte MSA
3.3
Durham MSA
2.6
Fayetteville MSA
-0.2
Greensboro-High Point MSA
3.0
Raleigh-Cary MSA
1.4
Wilmington MSA
0.1
Winston-Salem MSA
2.1
-1
0
1
2
3
4
NORTH CAROLINA 2
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
NORTH CAROLINA
Labor Market Conditions
North Carolina Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate (SA)
Through November 2015
November 15
October 15
November 14
United States
5.0
5.0
5.8
12
Fifth District
North Carolina
Asheville MSA
Charlotte MSA
Durham MSA
Fayetteville MSA
Greensboro-High Point MSA
Raleigh-Cary MSA
Wilmington MSA
Winston-Salem MSA
5.2
5.7
4.6
5.3
4.9
7.4
5.8
4.8
5.6
5.4
5.3
5.7
4.7
5.4
4.9
7.4
5.9
4.8
5.6
5.4
5.6
5.5
4.4
5.5
4.7
7.0
5.8
4.5
5.3
5.3
11
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
November
157,301
0.17
0.57
Fifth District
North Carolina
Asheville MSA
Charlotte MSA
Durham MSA
Fayetteville MSA
Greensboro-High Point MSA
Raleigh-Cary MSA
Wilmington MSA
Winston-Salem MSA
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
15,604
4,775
219
1,243
284
146
372
654
137
321
0.22
0.28
0.50
0.36
0.25
0.27
0.51
0.35
-0.07
0.16
1.72
3.23
2.52
4.13
4.25
1.46
4.24
3.12
2.31
3.64
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Fifth District
November
November
1,221,292
74,510
14.88
-0.64
-3.50
1.76
North Carolina
November
18,251
9.16
-8.80
Civilian Labor Force (SA)
Initial Unemployment Claims (NSA)
10
United States
9
North Carolina
8
7
6
5
4
3
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
North Carolina Labor Force
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
4
United States
North Carolina
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
NORTH CAROLINA 3
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
NORTH CAROLINA
Household Conditions
Real Personal Income (SA)
North Carolina Real Personal Income
Period
Level ($mil)
QoQ % Change
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
YoY % Change
United States
Q3:15
14,079,308
0.97
4.36
8
Fifth District
North Carolina
Q3:15
Q3:15
1,365,569
376,600
0.89
1.14
4.44
5.04
6
4
Median Family Income
Period
Level (000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Asheville MSA
Charlotte MSA
Durham MSA
Fayetteville MSA
Greensboro-High Point MSA
Raleigh-Cary MSA
Winston-Salem MSA
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2015
55.9
67.2
67.4
54.3
54.0
78.8
56.1
---------------
-0.18
4.67
2.59
2.84
-2.00
3.96
0.18
Non-Business Bankruptcies
Period
Level
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Fifth District
North Carolina
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
206,568
16,512
3,809
-4.90
-1.95
-3.30
-8.35
-5.42
-7.44
Q3:15
Q2:15
Q3:14
1.69
0.97
6.42
1.86
1.05
6.61
2.26
1.22
8.48
1.70
0.84
7.18
1.86
0.92
7.57
2.24
1.08
9.71
Mortgage Delinquencies (% 90+ Days Delinquent)
United States
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
North Carolina
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
2
0
-2
United States
-4
North Carolina
-6
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
North Carolina Mortgage Delinquencies
Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q3:15
6
United States
5
North Carolina
4
3
2
1
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
NORTH CAROLINA 4
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
NORTH CAROLINA
Real Estate Conditions
Total Private Building Permits (NSA)
North Carolina Building Permits
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
November
90,073
-8.29
26.42
120
Fifth District
North Carolina
Asheville MSA
Charlotte MSA
Durham MSA
Fayetteville MSA
Greensboro-High Point MSA
Greenville MSA
Hickory MSA
Jacksonville MSA
Raleigh-Cary MSA
Wilmington MSA
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
9,719
3,518
129
1,082
207
58
213
65
1
60
1,018
87
-18.09
-24.62
-25.00
-50.84
-10.39
-7.94
17.03
712.50
0.00
27.66
34.66
-44.94
7.23
-7.59
32.99
0.93
-39.83
1.75
23.12
-47.58
-97.06
20.00
-6.61
-45.28
100
Winston-Salem MSA
November
71
-16.47
-7.79
Total Private Housing Starts (SAAR)
United States
Fifth District
North Carolina
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
1,173
139
50.4
10.45
14.94
5.63
16.48
12.17
-3.32
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
North Carolina Housing Starts
Thousands of Units (SAAR) November 2015
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
NORTH CAROLINA 5
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
NORTH CAROLINA
Real Estate Conditions
House Price Index (2000=100)
North Carolina House Price Index (CoreLogic)
Period
Level
MoM % Change
Year-over-Year Percent Change through October 2015
YoY % Change
United States
October
185
0.97
6.77
20
Fifth District
North Carolina
Asheville MSA
Charlotte MSA
Durham MSA
Fayetteville MSA
Greensboro-High Point MSA
Greenville MSA
Hickory MSA
Jacksonville MSA
Raleigh-Cary MSA
Wilmington MSA
Winston-Salem MSA
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
187
144
181
148
143
119
117
129
124
153
140
150
134
0.46
0.40
0.69
0.99
-0.20
0.50
-0.48
2.41
0.59
-1.64
-0.11
1.35
-0.79
4.13
5.19
5.08
7.57
4.11
-0.62
3.59
2.78
0.71
3.03
5.06
2.54
2.83
15
Median Home Sales Price - NAR (NSA)
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Charlotte MSA
Durham MSA
Greensboro-High Point MSA
Raleigh-Cary MSA
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
203
223
155
242
-3.93
-4.66
-3.13
-2.50
9.78
9.97
8.63
13.74
Median Home Sales Price - NAHB
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Asheville MSA
Charlotte MSA
Durham MSA
Fayetteville MSA
Greensboro-High Point MSA
Raleigh-Cary MSA
Winston-Salem MSA
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
215
198
205
127
144
247
141
0.00
-7.48
-5.96
0.00
-3.36
-1.20
-0.70
10.26
4.76
9.04
2.42
-0.69
4.66
6.82
10
5
0
-5
-10
United States
North Carolina
-15
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Greensboro MSA Median Home Sales Price (NAR)
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
NORTH CAROLINA 6
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
NORTH CAROLINA
Real Estate Conditions
Housing Opportunity Index (%)
Charlotte MSA Office Vacancy Rate
Q3:15
Q2:15
Through Q2:15
Q3:14
Asheville MSA
62.9
61.9
65.2
18
Charlotte MSA
Durham MSA
Fayetteville MSA
Greensboro-High Point MSA
Raleigh-Cary MSA
Winston-Salem MSA
69.5
70.2
80.5
74.1
72.5
80.8
66.7
68.3
81.1
75.3
71.5
79.5
67.2
71.2
78.8
75.3
69.9
80.6
17
Q2:15
Q1:15
Q2:14
12
9.3
11.5
10.0
12.3
10.7
12.9
5.7
8.1
6.1
8.1
6.7
8.2
11.7
9.6
12.0
9.4
13.1
9.4
Commercial Vacancy Rates (%)
Office Vacancies
Raleigh/Durham
Charlotte
Retail Vacancies
Raleigh/Durham
Charlotte
Industrial Vacancies
Raleigh/Durham
Charlotte
16
15
14
13
11
10
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
Raleigh/Durham CSA Industrial Vacancy Rate
Through Q2:15
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
NORTH CAROLINA 7
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
SOUTH CAROLINA
January Summary
A Closer Look at…Energy Consumption
South Carolina’s economy continued to expand, according to the most recent data, with
strong employment gains, improving household conditions, and mostly positive housing
market indicators.
The United States Energy Information Administration publishes state level information
on energy production, consumption, prices, and expenditures in the State Energy Data
System (SEDS). The most recent annual data is for 2013. Net end-use energy
consumption does not include energy used to produce electricity or electrical system
energy losses.
Labor Markets: Total employment in South Carolina expanded 0.3 percent in November as
employers added 5,600 jobs to payrolls. The largest absolute job gain occurred in the
professional and business services industry, which added 1,800 jobs (0.7 percent) while the
largest percentage gain occurred in the construction industry (1.2 percent or 1,100 jobs).
Only three industries contracted in November: trade, transportation, and utilities; information;
and “other” services. On a year-over-year basis, payroll employment in South Carolina grew
2.6 percent, considerably outpacing the national rate of 1.9 percent. The construction industry
posted the largest year-over-year growth of 8.2 percent while the most absolute jobs were
added in the professional and business services industry (15,400 jobs). Despite the substantial
job growth overall, four industries (logging and mining, manufacturing, information, and
financial services) reported a contraction since November 2014. In the state’s metro areas, the
Columbia MSA reported 3.1 percent job growth since last November, closely followed by the
Charleston and Spartanburg MSAs, which each reported 3.0 percent growth.
Household Conditions: South Carolina’s unemployment rate declined 0.1 percentage point
to 5.5 percent in November as the number of unemployed dropped 2.2 percent. In the third
quarter of 2015, real personal income rose 0.9 percent and increased 4.8 percent since the
third quarter of 2014. Also in the third quarter, the share of mortgages with payments 90 or
more days overdue declined 0.1 percentage point to 1.7 percent. The prime delinquency rate
was unchanged at 1.0 percent in the quarter while the subprime rate declined 0.3
percentage point to 6.0 percent.
Housing Markets: South Carolina issued 1,880 new residential permits in November, down
17.0 percent from October but up 15.1 percent from November 2014. Permitting activity
declined in every MSA in November but picked up in every MSA except Greenville and Myrtle
Beach on a year-over-year basis. Housing starts totaled 27,000 in November, up 16.4 percent
in the month and 20.4 percent since November 2014. Home values in South Carolina,
according to CoreLogic Information Solutions, appreciated 1.4 percent in October and 9.0
percent on a year-over-year basis. Home values appreciated in October in every MSA except
Sumter and in every MSA since October 2014.
• In 2013, South Carolina's total energy consumption was 1,591 trillion BTUs. Per capita
total energy consumption was 333 million BTUs, which ranked 19th in the United
States.
• Total energy expenditures in 2013 were $21,726 million. Per capita expenditures
were $4,553, which ranked 23rd in the United States.
• The industrial sector accounted for the largest share of total end-use energy
consumption at 33.1 percent, followed by the transportation and residential sectors
at 28.5 and 22.1 percent respectively.
Net End-Use Energy Consumption in South Carolina
1,100
1,000
900
800
700
Trillions of BTUs by source
Renewable*
Coal
Electricity
Natural Gas
Petroleum
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1963
1973
1983
1993
2003
*Renewable energy includes biomass, geothermal, hydroelectric, and solar
2013
SOUTH CAROLINA 1
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
SOUTH CAROLINA
Labor Market Conditions
Payroll Employment (SA)
United States - Total
Fifth District - Total
South Carolina - Total
Logging and Mining (NSA)
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Education and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
South Carolina Payroll Employment Performance
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
142,900.0
14,362.7
2,024.9
0.15
0.25
0.28
1.88
1.74
2.64
3.7
89.8
230.9
387.0
26.4
94.4
276.1
238.8
242.5
72.5
0.00
1.24
0.35
-0.08
-1.49
0.53
0.66
0.42
0.37
-0.41
-5.13
8.19
-0.65
2.44
-2.94
-2.58
5.91
4.97
4.30
1.12
362.8
0.14
1.00
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
South Carolina - Total
2.6
Logging and Mining (NSA) -5.1
Construction
8.2
Manufacturing
-0.6
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
2.4
Information
-2.9
Financial Activities
-2.6
Professional and Business Services
5.9
Education and Health Services
5.0
Leisure and Hospitality
4.3
Other Services
1.1
1.0
Government
-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
South Carolina Total Employment Performance
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
United States (SA)
Metro Payroll Employment (NSA)
Charleston MSA - Total
Columbia MSA - Total
Florence MSA - Total
Greenville-Anderson MSA - Total
Hilton Head Island MSA - Total
Myrtle Beach MSA - Total
Spartanburg MSA - Total
Sumter MSA - Total
Period
Level (000s)
YoY % Change
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
336.1
390.9
86.2
405.4
72.5
154.4
145.4
38.8
3.03
3.09
0.23
2.37
-0.14
1.38
3.05
0.00
1.9
Fifth District (SA)
1.7
South Carolina (SA)
2.6
Charleston MSA
3.0
Columbia MSA
3.1
Florence MSA
0.2
Greenville-Anderson MSA
Hilton Head Island MSA
2.4
-0.1
Myrtle Beach MSA
1.4
Spartanburg MSA
3.0
Sumter MSA
0.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
SOUTH CAROLINA 2
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
SOUTH CAROLINA
Labor Market Conditions
South Carolina Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate (SA)
November 15
October 15
Through November 2015
November 14
United States
5.0
5.0
5.8
13
Fifth District
South Carolina
Charleston MSA
Columbia MSA
Florence MSA
Greenville-Anderson MSA
Hilton Head Island MSA
Myrtle Beach MSA
Spartanburg MSA
Sumter MSA
5.2
5.5
4.7
5.2
6.6
4.9
4.9
6.6
5.5
6.6
5.3
5.6
5.0
5.5
6.8
5.0
5.2
6.9
5.7
6.9
5.6
6.6
5.7
6.0
7.6
5.9
5.8
7.2
6.6
7.3
12
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
November
157,301
0.17
0.57
Fifth District
South Carolina
Charleston MSA
Columbia MSA
Florence MSA
Greenville-Anderson MSA
Hilton Head Island MSA
Myrtle Beach MSA
Spartanburg MSA
Sumter MSA
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
15,604
2,261
361
396
94
413
81
186
151
44
0.22
0.28
0.67
0.36
0.21
-0.19
-0.12
0.32
0.27
-0.23
1.72
2.19
2.41
3.07
0.21
1.67
0.00
1.70
2.37
-0.23
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Fifth District
November
November
1,221,292
74,510
14.88
-0.64
-3.50
1.76
South Carolina
November
14,459
-22.77
14.35
Civilian Labor Force (SA)
Initial Unemployment Claims (NSA)
11
United States
10
South Carolina
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
South Carolina Labor Force
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
5
United States
South Carolina
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
SOUTH CAROLINA 3
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
SOUTH CAROLINA
Household Conditions
Real Personal Income (SA)
South Carolina Real Personal Income
Period
Level ($mil)
QoQ % Change
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
YoY % Change
United States
Q3:15
14,079,308
0.97
4.36
8
Fifth District
South Carolina
Q3:15
Q3:15
1,365,569
170,912
0.89
0.93
4.44
4.82
6
4
Median Family Income
Period
Level (000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Charleston MSA
Columbia MSA
Greenville MSA
2015
2015
2015
62.9
-----
-------
1.62
-----
Non-Business Bankruptcies
Period
Level
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Fifth District
South Carolina
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
206,568
16,512
1,746
-4.90
-1.95
5.43
-8.35
-5.42
-0.34
Q3:15
Q2:15
Q3:14
1.69
0.97
6.42
1.86
1.05
6.61
2.26
1.22
8.48
1.66
0.96
5.98
1.82
1.03
6.30
2.13
1.19
7.80
Mortgage Delinquencies (% 90+ Days Delinquent)
United States
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
South Carolina
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
2
0
-2
United States
-4
-6
2005
South Carolina
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
South Carolina Mortgage Delinquencies
Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q3:15
6
United States
5
South Carolina
4
3
2
1
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
SOUTH CAROLINA 4
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
SOUTH CAROLINA
Real Estate Conditions
Total Private Building Permits (NSA)
South Carolina Building Permits
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
November
90,073
-8.29
26.42
100
Fifth District
South Carolina
Charleston MSA
Columbia MSA
Florence MSA
Greenville MSA
Myrtle Beach MSA
Spartanburg MSA
Sumter MSA
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
9,719
1,880
441
278
18
309
364
94
13
-18.09
-16.96
-8.32
-19.65
-21.74
-17.60
-15.55
-1.05
-7.14
7.23
15.06
65.79
12.55
5.88
-3.74
-3.70
17.50
-67.50
80
Total Private Housing Starts (SAAR)
United States
Fifth District
South Carolina
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
1,173
139
27.0
10.45
14.94
16.36
16.48
12.17
20.37
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
South Carolina Housing Starts
Thousands of Units (SAAR) November 2015
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
SOUTH CAROLINA 5
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
SOUTH CAROLINA
Real Estate Conditions
House Price Index (2000=100)
South Carolina House Price Index (CoreLogic)
Period
Level
MoM % Change
Year-over-Year Percent Change through October 2015
YoY % Change
United States
October
185
0.97
6.77
20
Fifth District
South Carolina
Charleston MSA
Columbia MSA
Florence MSA
Greenville MSA
Myrtle Beach MSA
Spartanburg MSA
Sumter MSA
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
187
159
198
129
151
158
169
126
116
0.46
1.41
0.52
0.18
1.41
2.81
1.41
1.42
-2.59
4.13
8.98
10.06
3.57
4.93
11.85
7.11
4.53
5.77
15
Median Home Sales Price - NAR (NSA)
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Charleston MSA
Q3:15
243
-0.65
3.98
Columbia MSA
Greenville MSA
Spartanburg MSA
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
157
177
142
-0.19
-1.39
2.08
2.75
4.24
4.55
Median Home Sales Price - NAHB
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
9
Charleston MSA
Columbia MSA
Greenville MSA
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
212
-----
-9.79
-----
0.95
-----
6
10
5
0
-5
-10
United States
South Carolina
-15
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Charleston MSA Median Home Sales Price (NAR)
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
15
12
3
0
-3
-6
-9
-12
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
SOUTH CAROLINA 6
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
SOUTH CAROLINA
Real Estate Conditions
Housing Opportunity Index (%)
Charleston MSA Office Vacancy Rate
Q3:15
Q2:15
Through Q1:15
Q3:14
Charleston MSA
66.9
61.5
61.3
18
Columbia MSA
Greenville MSA
-----
--80.0
--80.4
16
Q1:15
Q4:14
Q1:14
8.8
9.7
12.1
10.9
10.9
11.8
Commercial Vacancy Rates (%)
Office Vacancies
Charleston
Industrial Vacancies
Charleston
14
12
10
8
6
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Charleston MSA Industrial Vacancy Rate
Through Q1:15
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
SOUTH CAROLINA 7
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
VIRGINIA
January Summary
A Closer Look at…Energy Consumption
Recent economic reports on Virginia were mostly upbeat, as payrolls expanded considerably
and household conditions mostly improved; however, reports on housing conditions were
more mixed.
The United States Energy Information Administration publishes state level information
on energy production, consumption, prices, and expenditures in the State Energy
Data System (SEDS). The most recent annual data is for 2013. Net end-use energy
consumption does not include energy used to produce electricity or electrical system
energy losses.
Labor Markets: Payroll employment in Virginia expanded 0.4 percent in November, as firms
added 14,400 jobs to the economy. The leisure and hospitality industry added the most jobs
(4,400 jobs) in the month, followed by the trade, transportation, and utilities and professional
and business services industries, which each added 2,700 jobs. The only industries to cut jobs
in the month were financial services and logging and mining, which cut 700 jobs and 200 jobs,
respectively. Since November 2014, total employment in Virginia expanded 1.4 percent,
lagging the national rate of 1.9 percent. The construction industry reported the largest
year-over-year percentage gain of 3.2 percent while the most absolute jobs were added in the
professional and business services industry (17,900 jobs). Only two industries—logging and
mining and information—contracted since November 2014. In the state’s metro areas, every
MSA except Roanoke reported year-over-year job growth, led by the Winchester MSA, which
expanded 2.1 percent.
Household Conditions: Virginia’s unemployment was unchanged at 4.2 percent in November
as the number of unemployed fell 1.0 percent while the labor force ticked up slightly. In the
third quarter of 2015, real personal income in Virginia rose 0.8 percent and increased 4.4
percent since the third quarter of 2014. Also in the third quarter, the share of mortgages with
payments 90 or more days past due declined 0.2 percentage point to 1.4 percent. The prime
delinquency rate fell 0.1 percentage point to 0.7 percent while the subprime rate declined
from 7.2 percent to 7.0 percent.
Housing Markets: Virginia issued 2,280 new residential permits in November, down 16.7
percent from the prior month but up 24.5 percent from November 2014. On a year-over-year
basis, permitting activity picked up in every MSA except Harrisonburg and Virginia Beach.
Housing starts in Virginia totaled 32,700 in November, up 16.7 percent from October and up
30.3 percent since last November. According to CoreLogic Information Solutions, home values
depreciated 0.1 percent in October but appreciated 1.5 percent since October 2014. In the
state’s metro areas, home prices declined in October in every MSA except Lynchburg and
Richmond while on a year-over-year basis, prices rose in every MSA except Blacksburg,
Danville, and Roanoke.
• In 2013, Virginia's total energy consumption was 2,411 trillion BTUs. Per capita total
energy consumption was 291 million BTUs, which ranked 31st in the United States.
• Total energy expenditures in 2013 were $34,283 million. Per capita expenditures
were $4,145, which ranked 35th in the United States.
• The transportation sector accounted for the largest share of total end-use energy
consumption at 30.4 percent, followed by the residential sector at 26.0 percent.
Net End-Use Energy Consumption in Virginia
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
Trillions of BTUs by source
Renewable*
Coal
Electricity
Natural Gas
Petroleum
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
1963
1973
1983
1993
2003
*Renewable energy includes biomass, geothermal, hydroelectric, and solar
2013
VIRGINIA 1
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
VIRGINIA
Labor Market Conditions
Payroll Employment (SA)
United States - Total
Fifth District - Total
Virginia - Total
Logging and Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Education and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Metro Payroll Employment (NSA)
Blacksburg MSA - Total
Charlottesville MSA - Total
Lynchburg MSA - Total
Northern Virginia - Total
Richmond MSA - Total
Roanoke MSA - Total
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA - Total
Winchester MSA - Total
Virginia Payroll Employment Performance
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
142,900.0
14,362.7
3,848.0
0.15
0.25
0.38
1.88
1.74
1.37
8.1
185.6
235.4
654.4
70.5
198.6
695.3
507.6
385.1
199.2
708.2
-2.41
0.71
0.47
0.41
0.86
-0.35
0.39
0.20
1.16
0.76
0.00
-12.90
3.17
1.47
0.06
-0.14
2.64
2.64
1.81
2.39
1.07
0.11
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
Virginia - Total
1.4
Logging and Mining-12.9
Construction
3.2
Manufacturing
1.5
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
0.1
Information
-0.1
Financial Activities
2.6
Professional and Business Services
2.6
Education and Health Services
1.8
Leisure and Hospitality
2.4
Other Services
1.1
Government
0.1
-14-13-12-11-10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Virginia Total Employment Performance
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
United States (SA)
Period
Level (000s)
YoY % Change
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
79.8
115.1
104.5
1,420.4
643.8
161.6
764.9
62.4
2.05
0.52
0.10
1.67
0.05
-0.49
0.72
2.13
1.9
Fifth District (SA)
1.7
Virginia (SA)
1.4
Blacksburg MSA
2.0
Charlottesville MSA
0.5
Lynchburg MSA
0.1
Northern Virginia
1.7
Richmond MSA
0.0
Roanoke MSA
-0.5
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
0.7
Winchester MSA
2.1
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
VIRGINIA 2
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
VIRGINIA
Labor Market Conditions
Virginia Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate (SA)
November 15
October 15
Through November 2015
November 14
United States
5.0
5.0
5.8
11
Fifth District
Virginia
Blacksburg MSA
Charlottesville MSA
Lynchburg MSA
Northern Virginia (NSA)
Richmond MSA
Roanoke MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
Winchester MSA
5.2
4.2
4.4
3.8
4.7
3.2
4.5
4.2
4.8
4.0
5.3
4.2
4.6
3.8
4.8
3.4
4.6
4.4
4.8
4.0
5.6
4.8
5.0
4.3
5.2
3.8
5.1
4.8
5.3
4.6
10
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
November
157,301
0.17
0.57
Fifth District
Virginia
Blacksburg MSA
Charlottesville MSA
Lynchburg MSA
Northern Virginia (NSA)
Richmond MSA
Roanoke MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
Winchester MSA
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
15,604
4,223
92
116
122
1,547
648
157
834
69
0.22
0.10
0.11
0.09
-0.08
0.25
0.40
0.25
0.32
0.00
1.72
-0.27
0.22
-0.86
-1.69
0.02
-1.16
-2.30
-0.69
0.87
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Fifth District
November
November
1,221,292
74,510
14.88
-0.64
-3.50
1.76
Virginia
November
15,229
6.39
-4.54
Civilian Labor Force (SA)
Initial Unemployment Claims (NSA)
9
United States
8
Virginia
7
6
5
4
3
2
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Virginia Labor Force
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
4
United States
Virginia
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
VIRGINIA 3
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
VIRGINIA
Household Conditions
Virginia Real Personal Income
Real Personal Income (SA)
Period
Level ($mil)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Q3:15
14,079,308
0.97
4.36
6
Fifth District
Virginia
Q3:15
Q3:15
1,365,569
401,349
0.89
0.80
4.44
4.37
4
Median Family Income
Period
Level (000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Richmond MSA
Roanoke MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
2015
2015
2015
74.2
62.0
70.9
-------
1.78
--0.42
-2
Non-Business Bankruptcies
Period
Level
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
-4
United States
Fifth District
Virginia
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
206,568
16,512
5,648
-4.90
-1.95
-1.45
-8.35
-5.42
-2.65
Q3:15
Q2:15
Q3:14
1.69
0.97
6.42
1.86
1.05
6.61
2.26
1.22
8.48
1.41
0.70
7.04
1.55
0.76
7.18
1.81
0.85
9.07
Mortgage Delinquencies (% 90+ Days Delinquent)
United States
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
Virginia
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
2
0
-6
2005
United States
Virginia
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
Virginia Mortgage Delinquencies
Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q3:15
6
United States
5
Virginia
4
3
2
1
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
VIRGINIA 4
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
VIRGINIA
Real Estate Conditions
Total Private Building Permits (NSA)
Virginia Building Permits
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
November
90,073
-8.29
26.42
100
Fifth District
Virginia
Charlottesville MSA
Harrisonburg MSA
Lynchburg MSA
Richmond MSA
Roanoke MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
Winchester MSA
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
9,719
2,280
46
24
60
316
--519
54
-18.09
-16.73
-11.54
-50.00
57.89
-21.00
--63.21
-16.92
7.23
24.52
17.95
-11.11
66.67
33.33
---9.90
116.00
80
Total Private Housing Starts (SAAR)
United States
Fifth District
Virginia
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
1,173
139
32.7
10.45
14.94
16.67
16.48
12.17
30.25
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
Virginia Housing Starts
Thousands of Units (SAAR) November 2015
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
VIRGINIA 5
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
VIRGINIA
Real Estate Conditions
House Price Index (2000=100)
Virginia House Price Index (CoreLogic)
Year-over-Year Percent Change through October 2015
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
October
185
0.97
6.77
25
Fifth District
Virginia
Blacksburg MSA
Charlottesville MSA
Danville MSA
Harrisonburg MSA
Lynchburg MSA
Richmond MSA
Roanoke MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
Winchester MSA
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
187
208
131
194
238
184
130
166
137
191
189
0.46
-0.05
-1.65
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
0.46
0.18
-0.49
-0.24
-0.05
4.13
1.47
-2.36
4.44
-3.06
0.10
1.03
3.43
-2.91
1.29
2.26
20
Median Home Sales Price - NAR (NSA)
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Richmond MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
Q3:15
Q3:15
--218
--2.11
--4.57
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
United States
Virginia
-15
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA Median Home Sales Price (NAR)
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
20
15
Median Home Sales Price - NAHB
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
Richmond MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
Q3:15
Q3:15
216
213
2.37
2.40
3.85
9.23
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
VIRGINIA 6
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
VIRGINIA
Real Estate Conditions
Housing Opportunity Index (%)
Richmond MSA Office Vacancy Rate
Q3:15
Q2:15
Through Q2:15
Q3:14
Richmond MSA
74.4
78.3
75.2
20
Roanoke MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk MSA
84.2
74.7
88.2
76.9
84.5
76.3
18
Q2:15
Q1:15
Q2:14
13.4
11.7
13.0
12.8
12.4
14.4
12.2
---
12.9
12.7
14.2
12.4
Commercial Vacancy Rates (%)
Office Vacancies
Norfolk
Richmond
Industrial Vacancies
Northern Virginia
Richmond
16
14
12
10
8
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Richmond MSA Industrial Vacancy Rate
Through Q1:15
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
VIRGINIA 7
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
WEST VIRGINIA
January Summary
A Closer Look at…Energy Consumption
Economic reports on West Virginia continued to be mixed in recent months, with largely
unchanged labor market activity and some slowdown in housing activity; however,
household conditions showed some signs of improvement.
The United States Energy Information Administration publishes state level information
on energy production, consumption, prices, and expenditures in the State Energy Data
System (SEDS). The most recent annual data is for 2013. Net end-use energy
consumption does not include energy used to produce electricity or electrical system
energy losses.
Labor Markets: Total employment in West Virginia was virtually unchanged in November as
employers trimmed 100 jobs (0.0 percent) in the month. The most jobs were added in the
trade, transportation, and utilities industry (700 jobs), which was one of only four industries to
report expansion in November; education and health services, “other” services, and
information also added jobs. Conversely, the largest job loss was reported in the leisure and
hospitality industry, which cut 700 jobs (1.0 percent) while the largest percentage decline
occurred in the construction industry that contracted 2.2 percent. Since November 2014,
payroll employment in West Virginia declined 1.4 percent. Substantial declines in the mining
and logging and construction industries contributed to the net decline. Only three industries
(professional and business services, education and health services, and “other” services)
added jobs on a year-over-year basis. Every MSA in the state reported a year-over-year decline
in employment with the Morgantown MSA reporting the largest contraction of 1.0 percent.
Household Conditions: The unemployment rate in West Virginia declined 0.4 percentage
point to 6.5 percent in November as the number of unemployed dropped 5.8 percent. In the
third quarter of 2015, real personal income in West Virginia rose 0.4 percent and increased 2.1
percent since the third quarter of 2014. Also in the third quarter, the share of mortgages with
payments 90 or more days past due edged 0.1 percentage point lower to 1.7 percent. The
prime delinquency rate declined marginally to 1.0 percent in the quarter while the subprime
delinquency rate rose slightly from 7.2 percent to 7.4 percent.
Housing Markets: West Virginia issued 157 new residential permits in November, down from
272 in October and down from 194 permits issued in November 2014. Metro area permitting
declined in every MSA except Morgantown in the month but increased in every MSA on a
year-over-year basis. Housing starts totaled 2,300 in November, down 19.1 percent from
October and down 15.4 percent from November 2014. According to CoreLogic Information
Solutions, home values in West Virginia appreciated 0.6 percent in October and 2.6 percent
on a year-over-year basis. In the state’s metro areas, home prices rose in every MSA except
Parkersburg in October and in every MSA except Charleston over the year.
• In 2013, West Virginia's total energy consumption was 738 trillion BTUs. Per capita
total energy consumption was 398 million BTUs, which ranked 14th in the United
States.
• Total energy expenditures in 2013 were $8,886 million. Per capita expenditures were
$4,794, which ranked 19th in the United States.
• The industrial sector accounted for the largest share of total end-use energy
consumption at 38.1 percent, followed by the residential sector at 23.6 percent.
Net End-Use Energy Consumption in West Virginia
800
700
600
Trillions of BTUs by source
Renewable*
Coal
Electricity
Natural Gas
Petroleum
500
400
300
200
100
0
1963
1973
1983
1993
2003
*Renewable energy includes biomass, geothermal, hydroelectric, and solar
2013
WEST VIRGINIA 1
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
WEST VIRGINIA
Labor Market Conditions
Payroll Employment (SA)
United States - Total
Fifth District - Total
West Virginia - Total
Logging and Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Information (NSA)
Financial Activities
Professional and Business Services
Education and Health Services
Leisure and Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Metro Payroll Employment (NSA)
Beckley MSA - Total
Charleston MSA - Total
Huntington MSA - Total
Morgantown MSA - Total
Parkersburg MSA - Total
West Virginia Payroll Employment Performance
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
142,900.0
14,362.7
750.7
0.15
0.25
-0.01
1.88
1.74
-1.42
25.1
27.1
47.7
135.2
9.3
30.4
68.0
129.7
70.5
55.6
-0.79
-2.17
-0.42
0.52
2.20
-0.98
0.00
0.46
-0.98
0.91
-15.77
-14.51
0.00
0.00
-3.12
-2.25
0.29
2.13
-2.49
0.18
152.2
0.00
-1.04
Period
Level (000s)
YoY % Change
November
November
November
November
November
47.3
123.5
142.8
70.7
43.4
-0.21
-0.56
-0.07
-0.98
-0.46
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
West Virginia - Total
-1.4
Logging and Mining -15.8
Construction
-14.5
Manufacturing
0.0
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
0.0
Information (NSA)
-3.1
Financial Activities
-2.3
Professional and Business Services
0.3
Education and Health Services
2.1
Leisure and Hospitality
-2.5
Other Services
0.2
Government
-1.0
-18 -16 -14 -12 -10 -8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
West Virginia Total Employment Performance
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
United States (SA)
1.9
Fifth District (SA)
1.7
West Virginia (SA)
-1.4
Beckley MSA
-0.2
Charleston MSA
-0.6
Huntington MSA
-0.1
Morgantown MSA
-1.0
Parkersburg MSA
-0.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
WEST VIRGINIA 2
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
WEST VIRGINIA
Labor Market Conditions
West Virginia Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate (SA)
November 15
October 15
Through November 2015
November 14
United States
5.0
5.0
5.8
11
Fifth District
West Virginia
Beckley MSA
Charleston MSA
Huntington MSA
Morgantown MSA
Parkersburg MSA
5.2
6.5
7.3
6.0
5.9
5.0
6.2
5.3
6.9
7.4
6.1
5.8
5.0
6.3
5.6
6.0
7.3
5.9
6.0
4.3
5.8
10
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
4
United States
Fifth District
West Virginia
November
November
November
157,301
15,604
788
0.17
0.22
-0.01
0.57
1.72
1.21
3
Beckley MSA
Charleston MSA
Huntington MSA
Morgantown MSA
Parkersburg MSA
November
November
November
November
November
47
99
148
65
40
-0.21
0.30
-0.07
0.31
0.00
0.85
0.51
-0.47
0.78
1.26
Civilian Labor Force (SA)
9
United States
8
West Virginia
7
6
5
2
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
West Virginia Labor Force
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
3
United States
West Virginia
2
1
Initial Unemployment Claims (NSA)
United States
Fifth District
West Virginia
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
1,221,292
74,510
6,571
14.88
-0.64
-0.44
-3.50
1.76
13.63
0
-1
-2
-3
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
WEST VIRGINIA 3
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
WEST VIRGINIA
Household Conditions
West Virginia Real Personal Income
Real Personal Income (SA)
Period
Level ($mil)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Q3:15
14,079,308
0.97
4.36
8
Fifth District
West Virginia
Q3:15
Q3:15
1,365,569
62,645
0.89
0.35
4.44
2.07
6
Year-over-Year Percent Change through Q3:15
4
Non-Business Bankruptcies
Period
Level
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
United States
Fifth District
West Virginia
Q3:15
Q3:15
Q3:15
206,568
16,512
780
-4.90
-1.95
-2.26
-8.35
-5.42
0.26
Q3:15
Q2:15
Q3:14
1.69
0.97
6.42
1.86
1.05
6.61
2.26
1.22
8.48
Mortgage Delinquencies (% 90+ Days Delinquent)
United States
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
West Virginia
All Mortgages
Prime
Subprime
1.68
1.04
7.41
1.78
1.06
7.22
2.09
1.31
8.77
2
0
-2
United States
-4
-6
2005
West Virginia
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2014
2015
West Virginia Mortgage Delinquencies
Percent 90+ Days Delinquent through Q3:15
6
United States
5
West Virginia
4
3
2
1
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
WEST VIRGINIA 4
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
WEST VIRGINIA
Real Estate Conditions
Total Private Building Permits (NSA)
West Virginia Building Permits
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
United States
November
90,073
-8.29
26.42
Fifth District
West Virginia
Charleston MSA
Huntington MSA
Morgantown MSA
Parkersburg MSA
November
November
November
November
November
November
9,719
157
16
13
6
6
-18.09
-42.28
-51.52
-7.14
---14.29
7.23
-19.07
1,500.00
116.67
--100.00
Period
Level (000s)
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
November
November
November
1,173
139
2.3
10.45
14.94
-19.06
16.48
12.17
-15.41
Period
Level
MoM % Change
YoY % Change
Total Private Housing Starts (SAAR)
United States
Fifth District
West Virginia
House Price Index (2000=100)
Year-over-Year Percent Change through November 2015
200
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
2005
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
West Virginia House Price Index (CoreLogic)
October
October
October
October
October
October
October
185
187
155
123
134
169
145
0.97
0.46
0.58
0.57
0.58
0.58
-0.60
6.77
4.13
2.55
-3.52
1.28
4.59
3.54
20
Median Home Sales Price - NAR (NSA)
Period
Level ($000s)
QoQ % Change
YoY % Change
-10
Charleston MSA
Q3:15
140
0.29
0.79
United States
Fifth District
West Virginia
Charleston MSA
Huntington MSA
Morgantown MSA
Parkersburg MSA
2006
Year-over-Year Percent Change through October 2015
15
10
5
0
-5
United States
West Virginia
-15
-20
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
WEST VIRGINIA 5
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
SOURCES
Payroll Employment / Unemployment
Median Family Income
Commercial Vacancy Rates
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Haver Analytics
http://www.bls.gov
National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo
CB Richard Ellis
Haver Analytics
Civilian Labor Force
Bankruptcy Filings
Median Home Sales Price - NAR
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Haver Analytics
http://www.bls.gov
Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts
Haver Analytics
http://www.uscourts.gov/library.html
National Association of Realtors
Haver Analytics
http://www.realtor.org
Unemployment Insurance Claims
Mortgage Delinquencies
Median Home Sales Price - NAHB
U.S. Department of Labor
Haver Analytics
National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo
http://www.dol.gov
Mortgage Bankers Association of America
Haver Analytics
http://www.mortgagebankers.org
District Imports / Exports
Private Building Permits
Housing Opportunity Index
U.S. Census Bureau
Haver Analytics
http://www.census.gov
U.S. Census Bureau
Haver Analytics
http://www.census.gov
National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo
Personal Income
Private Housing Starts
House Price Index
Bureau of Economic Analysis
Haver Analytics
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi
CoreLogic Information Solutions
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
http://www.bea.gov
Haver Analytics
http://www.nahb.org
Haver Analytics
http://www.bk.mufg.jp/english/index.html
http://www.cbre.com
Haver Analytics
http://www.nahb.org
Haver Analytics
http://www.nahb.org
SOURCES 1
SNAPSHOT
A MONTHLY UPDATE OF THE FIFTH DISTRICT ECONOMY
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND
January 2016
NOTES
1 Manufacturing & Service Sector Surveys
6 House Price Index
Each index equals the percentage of responding firms reporting increase
minus the percentage reporting decrease. All firms surveyed are located
within the Fifth Federal Reserve District.
Repeat sales index, measuring the average price changes in repeat sales
on the same single family properties.
7 Median Home Sales Price - NAR
2 Manufacturing Composite Index
Single family homes.
The weighted average of the shipments (33 percent), new orders (40
percent) and employment (27 percent) indexes.
8 Median Home Sales Price - NAHB
Total Home Sales.
3 Mortgage Delinquency Rate
The number of mortgages 90 days past due as a percentage of the total
number of mortgages at the end of the period. The delinquency rate
does not include loans in the process of foreclosure.
9 Energy Consumption
Energy Information Administration
https://www.eia.gov/state/
4 Building Permits & Housing Starts
Data on District of Columbia building permits and housing starts are often
volatile, leading to disproportionately large percentage changes.
5 Housing Opportunity Index
Share of homes sold considered to be affordable to a family earning the
area's median income.
SA - Seasonally Adjusted
NSA - Not Seasonally Adjusted
SAAR - Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate
SOURCES 2