Glaciations and Past Climates Learner Objectives: At the end of this lecture you will be able to describe: 1. Suspected causes of natural climate change and how they are not plausible theories for all long term climate change 2. How the Milankovitch cycle is consider the theory which explains long term natural climate change Terms Insolation is a measure of solar radiation energy received on a given surface area in a given time. Albedo is reflectivity of surface What is a Glaciation? • Ice Age-large continental ice sheet (millions of years) • Glaciations-glaciers at max • Pleistocene 20 kya Evidence of Glaciations: Sea Level • Glaciation –low sea level Evidence of Warming W. W. Norton. Adapted from McKenzie, 1998. Shoreline of North America During Ice Age Sea Level Possible Cause of Glaciations • Volcanic Emissions-usually short term impact • Location of continents-explains only a few glaciations • Sun spot variation-only 10 year impact • Milankovitch Cycle (yes!) Tracking the Path of Sulfuric-Acid Mist Source: Image by G.J. Orme, Department of the Army, Ft. Bragg, NC. Pinatubo Effects on Near-Surface Temperatures 1991 Source: Data from National Geophysical Data Center. Location of the Continents • Surface waters move from equator to poles • Affects air currents and climate • Move by temperature and density differences Location of Continents affects currents (doesn’t explain all glaciations Sunspot: Variation over 10 yrs • Need 1000 yrs to initiate major ice age Milankovitch Cycle Fig. 22.41 a W. W. Norton Fig. 22.41 b W. W. Norton Fig. 22.41 c W. W. Norton Fig. 22.41 d W. W. Norton Milankovitch Cycles: Combining eccentricity, tilt, precession Milankovitch Cycle • 100,000 year cycle can decrease average temperatures 4 °C (5.4 °F)…cold but not cold enough • Need other factors that are positive feedback to decrease temperature by 5-7° C (7-13 °F) on coasts and 10-13°C (1822°F) on land Positive Feedback – Changing albedo (increased snow decreases the amount of radiation absorbed) – Short/cold summers (more so than long cold winters) – Shut down of global heat conveyor – Biological processes change-ocean plankton increase and absorb more CO2 The Milankovitch cycle A. B. C. D. Explained the Medieval Warm Period Explains major glaciations Explains the greenhouse effect Is a major factor in ozone production