Testing the Cost Effectiveness of Manual Removal Strategies for the Containment of Invasive Lionfish Stocks in a Caribbean Reef Diego Valderrama and KathrynAnn Fields Food and Resource Economics Department, University of Florida North American Association of Fisheries Economists 8th Biennial Forum, Ketchikan, Alaska The Lionfish Invasion • Initially introduced to Florida’s waters in the 1980s, invasive Indo-Pacific lionfishes Pterois volitans and P. miles have since then spread throughout the western Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico. The Ecological Threat • Lionfish negatively impact coral reefs through competition with and predation of native reef species. − One study done by the University of Oregon found that, within the five-week duration of their experiment, lionfish caused a 79% decrease in the recruitment of native reef fish species (Albins 2008). • Lionfish have a variety of traits that make them especially resilient in the Caribbean. − They have high rates of growth and reproduction as well as cryptic morphology and venomous spines. − Lionfish have very few predators: parrotfish and groupers. However, groupers are targeted by the fishing industry, making them unlikely to serve as an effective form of biocontrol on lionfish populations. • Many of the fish consumed by lionfish are herbivorous. − A significant reduction in the numbers of herbivorous fish increases the likelihood of a transition in coral reefs from a coral-dominated to a macroalgae-dominated community. − https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=16&v=DNdjKqh_h28 The Lionfish Derbies • A number of countries have created removal programs aimed at controlling lionfish abundance by spear and net removal of individual fish; however, little information is available on the effectiveness of such programs. How Can One Assess the Effectiveness of These Derbies? • Two modeling approaches: − Age-structured population models: used by fishery biologists to estimate region-wide mortality targets leading to lionfish overfishing (Thomas Frazer et al.). − Ecological models comparing lionfish consumption rates to prey biomass production rates (Stephanie Green et al.) in order to compute target densities. Testing the Ecological Models • Data were collected on lionfish and prey fish densities during derbies organized by the UK-based environmental organization Blue Ventures in the Bacalar Chico Marine Reserve in Belize in September-October 2014. − A leading ecological model (Green et al. 2014) was adapted to estimate target densities for lionfish in the reserve. The same model was used to estimate consumption rates by lionfish. − A Holling predation model is currently in the works to describe the relationship between lionfish densities and CPUE in fishing derbies. Bacalar Chico Marine Reserve Bacalar Chico National Park and Marine Reserve (BCNPMR) is a protected area and UNESCO World Heritage Site on the northern part of Ambergris Caye in Belize. Estimating Target Densities in BCMR • Estimating Target Densities in BCMR • Estimating Target Densities in BCMR Estimating Target Densities in BCMR Estimating Target Densities in BCMR • Therefore, the coral reef ecosystem in BCMR is able to handle current lionfish densities. However, an increase in lionfish numbers will most probably lead to a decline of native fish stocks. • These results are consistent with Hackerott (2014), who found no effect of invasive lionfish stocks on communities of reef fish in Belize. • However, lionfish density is low in Belize, what about other places in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico (>200 lionfish/ha)? Culling of lionfish stocks is imperative. Bioeconomic Modeling of Fishing Derbies Holling Predation Model Ha (Number of lionfish captured per 45-min dive by a two diver team) • We are in the process of collecting data from fishing derbies to derive a complete Hollings curve but a preliminary curve has been derived using data from Frazer et al. (2012) and our data from Belize. 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 - 100 200 300 400 H (Density of lionfish per ha) 500 Preliminary Cost Estimation of a Lionfish Removal Program in Belize • Assuming an initial density of 500 lionfish/ha and a target density of 36 lionfish/ha, a removal program (11 days) would cost approximately: • • Equipment costs: $1,764.54 Variable costs per ha (boat rental, fuel, crew): $5,500 ($550/day). • These removal programs would have to be implemented regularly in order to keep lionfish numbers in check. • Develop markets for lionfish?