Question and Concepts Model details Indicator Conclusion An Indicator for Ecosystem Externalities in Fishing Lars J. Ravn-Jonsen∗ , Ken Haste Andersen† & Niels Vestergaard∗ ∗ Department of Environmental and Business Economics, University of Southern Denmark, Esbjerg † National Institute of Aquatic Resources, Technical University of Denmark, Charlottenlund NAAF, Ketchikan, May 19–22, 2015 Question and Concepts Model details Indicator Question What is the ecosystem externalities of fishing on forage fish? What is the ecosystem externalities of fishing on piscivorous fish (large fish)? Conclusion Ecosystem Large Fish Fleet Forage Fish Fleet Large Fish Fleet Harvest Forage Fish Fleet Harvest Ecosystem Large Fish Fleet Forage Fish Fleet Large Fish Fleet Rent Forage Fish Fleet Rent Ecosystem Large Fish Fleet Forage Fish Fleet Large Fish Fleet Rent Forage Fish Fleet Rent Ecosystem Change Large Fish Fleet Forage Fish Fleet Large Fish Fleet Rent Forage Fish Fleet Rent Ecosystem Change Large Fish Fleet Forage Fish Fleet Large Fish Fleet Rent Forage Fish Fleet Rent Internal change Ecosystem Change Large Fish Fleet Forage Fish Fleet Large Fish Fleet Rent Forage Fish Fleet Rent Internal change Ecosystem Continue as usual Large Fish Fleet Change Forage Fish Fleet Large Fish Fleet Rent Forage Fish Fleet Rent External change Internal change Ecosystem Continue as usual Large Fish Fleet Change Forage Fish Fleet Large Fish Fleet Rent Forage Fish Fleet Rent External change Internal change Ecosystem Continue as usual Large Fish Fleet State Change Forage Fish Fleet Large Fish Fleet Harvest Forage Fish Fleet Harvest Ecosystem Large Fish Fleet Forage Fish Fleet Large Fish Fleet Rent Forage Fish Fleet Rent Internal change External change Ecosystem Change Large Fish Fleet Continue as usual Forage Fish Fleet Question and Concepts Model details Indicator Ecological Model Trait based community size spectrum model Two dimensions: Size (mass) of individual fish 0.001 g—100 kg Asymptotic size 4 g—100 kg Explicit links mortality—consumption—somatic growth Conclusion Question and Concepts Model details Indicator Ecological Model Trait based community size spectrum model Two dimensions: Size (mass) of individual fish 0.001 g—100 kg Asymptotic size 4 g—100 kg Explicit links mortality—consumption—somatic growth Conclusion Question and Concepts Model details Indicator Ecological Model Trait based community size spectrum model Two dimensions: Size (mass) of individual fish 0.001 g—100 kg Asymptotic size 4 g—100 kg Explicit links mortality—consumption—somatic growth Conclusion Question and Concepts Model details Economic Model Two fleets, knife edge wrt. species Price Increasing price wrt size for Large fish Flat price for Forage fish Indicator Conclusion Question and Concepts Model details Economic Model Two fleets, knife edge wrt. species Price Increasing price wrt size for Large fish Flat price for Forage fish Indicator Conclusion Method A marginal change of forage fleet’s fishery: -10 -5 e year-1 0 Change Rent 0.0 0.1 ton year-1 Change Harvest 0.2 Change in forage fish’s fishing mortality 0 5 Year 10 15 0.1 0.0 ton year-1 Change Harvest 0.2 Change in forage fish’s fishing mortality 0 -5 ∆Vl = −255.70 e -10 e year-1 Change Rent ∆Vf = 16.10 e 0 5 10 Year 15 0.1 ∆Yf = 3.569 ton 0.0 ton year-1 Change Harvest 0.2 Change in forage fish’s fishing mortality 0 -5 ∆Vl = −255.70 e -10 e year-1 Change Rent ∆Vf = 16.10 e 0 5 10 Year 15 0.1 ∆Yf = 3.569 ton Bf/f = 4.51 e ton-1 ∆Vl = −255.70 e Bl/f = −71.63 e ton-1 -5 0 ∆Vf = 16.10 e -10 e year-1 Change Rent 0.0 ton year-1 Change Harvest 0.2 Change in forage fish’s fishing mortality 0 5 10 Year 15 0.1 ∆Yl = 3.544 ton 0.0 ton year-1 Change Harvest 0.2 Change in large fish’s fishing mortality 0 -50 Bl/l = −1 093.01 e ton-1 ∆Vl = −3 873.64 euro -100 e year-1 Change Rent Bf/l = −3.31 e ton-1 ∆Vf = −11.73 euro 0 5 10 Year 15 Question and Concepts Model details Indicator Net Benefit Indicator Present value of rent ∞ Z Vj ≡ πj (t) e−ρt dt 0 Present value of harvest Z Yi ≡ ∞ yi (t) e−ρt dt 0 Net Benefit Indicator Bj/i ≡ ∂Vj ∂Yi Conclusion Question and Concepts Model details Indicator Net Benefit Indicator Present use of the North Sea With respect to Forage fish fleet Internal Benefit External Benefit Total Benefit 4.5 e ton-1 -71.6 e ton-1 -67.1 e ton-1 Large fish fleet -1 093 e ton-1 -3 e ton-1 -1 096 e ton-1 Conclusion 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Large Fish Harvest 106 ton year-1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 Forage Fish Harvest 106 ton year-1 1.4 Forage Fish Fishery Internal Benefit 1.4 -30 -20 1.2 0 1.0 10 0.6 0.8 20 0.2 0.4 20 30 40 40 0.0 Forage Fish Harvest 106 ton year-1 -10 -10 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Large Fish Harvest 106 ton year-1 Forage Fish Fishery Internal Benefit 1.4 1.4 -30 -20 A 0 A 1.2 1.2 -150 1.0 1.0 10 -100 0.8 0.8 20 0.6 0.6 50 0 0.4 0.4 20 10 0 -50 30 40 0.4 0.6 0.2 0 0.2 0.0 0 40 0.0 50 0.2 0 0 0.0 Forage Fish Harvest 106 ton year-1 -10 -10 External Benefit 0.8 1.0 0.0 Large Fish Harvest 0.2 106 0.4 0.6 ton year-1 0.8 1.0 1.2 Large Fish Fishery External Benefit Internal Benefit 1.4 8 1.2 -2 00 0 10 0.8 1.0 00 -1 2 4 -8 50 0 -10 2 1.0 -10 0.8 6 4 1.2 A -12 0.6 0.6 -6 0.4 8 0.4 -4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 Large Fish Harvest 0.2 106 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 -500 0 6 0.2 -2 0.0 Forage Fish Harvest 106 ton year-1 500 1000 1500 1.4 -14 A 0.6 ton year-1 0.8 1.0 1.2 Marginal Net Benefit A 0.8 0 50 -50 0 0.8 -100 -1 -2 50 00 0 0 -10 1.0 00 -150 0 B B 0.4 150 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.6 10 0 150 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 Large Fish Harvest 0.2 106 0.4 0.0 0 0 -500 0 0.0 0 20 0.0 1.0 1.2 500 1.2 1.4 -200 A 1000 Forage Fish Harvest 106 ton year-1 Wrt. Large Fish 1500 1.4 Wrt. Forage Fish 0.6 ton year-1 0.8 1.0 1.2 Question and Concepts Model details Indicator Conclusion Conclusion Forage fish fishery have a notable economic impact on large fish fishery. Not the other way around. Present management of the North See not far from the right balance; but present explotion is to high. Question and Concepts Model details Indicator Conclusion Conclusion Forage fish fishery have a notable economic impact on large fish fishery. Not the other way around. Present management of the North See not far from the right balance; but present explotion is to high. Community size spectrum model zoo pla nk ton etc . foo d N growth size 0 Pristine system 10 -1 10 -2 10 -3 Biomass density 10 -4 10 -5 10 -6 10 -7 10 -8 10 -9 10 10 -10 0.1 g 10 g 1 kg Weight 100 kg Andersen & Pedersen (2010) 0 10 Example: fishing large fish -1 10 -2 10 -3 Biomass density 10 -4 10 Fishing -5 10 -6 10 -7 10 -8 10 -9 10 10 -10 0.1 g 10 g Weight 1 kg 100 kg Andersen & Pedersen, Proc. Roy.Soc. B (2010)