© PLOSI o OPEN 3 ACCESS Freely available online - Extreme Variations of pC 02 and pH in a Macrophyte Meadow of the Baltic Sea in Summer: Evidence of the Effect of Photosynthesis and Local Upwelling Vincent Saderne1'2*, Peer Fietzek3, Peter Maria Jozef Herman2 1 Benthic Ecology group, GEOMAR: Helmholtz Center for Ocean Research in Kiel, Kiel, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany, 2 Spatial Ecology, NIOZ: Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Yerseke, Zeeland, The Netherlands, 3 CONTROS Systems & Solutions GmbH, Kiel, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany Abstract The im pact o f ocean acidification on benthic habitats is a m ajor preoccupation o f the scientific com m unity. However, the natural variability o f pC 02 and pH in those habitats remains understudied, especially in tem perate areas. In this study we investigated tem poral variations o f the carbonate system in nearshore m acrophyte meadows o f the western Baltic Sea. These are key benthic ecosystems, providing spawning and nursery areas as w ell as food to numerous com m ercially im p ortan t species. In situ pC 02, pH (total scale), salinity and PAR irradiance were measured w ith a continuous recording sensor package dropped in a shallow m acrophyte m eadow (Eckernförde bay, western Baltic Sea) during three different weeks in July (pC 02 and PAR only), August and Septem ber 2011.The mean ( ± SD) pC 02 in July was 383±117 patm. The mean ( ± SD) pC 02 and pHtot in August were 2 3 9 ± 2 0 patm and 8.22±0.1, respectively. The mean ( ± SD) pC 02 and pHtot in September were 1082±711 patm and 7.83±0.40, respectively. Daily variations o f pC 02 due to photosynthesis and respiration (difference between daily m axim um and m inim um ) were o f the same order o f m agnitude: 281 ± 8 8 patm, 2 1 9 ± 8 9 patm and 1488±574 patm in July, August and Septem ber respectively. The observed variations o f pC 02 were explained throu gh a statistical model considering w ind direction and speed tog e th e r w ith PAR irradiance. At a tim e scale o f days to weeks, local upw elling o f elevated pC 02 w ater masses w ith offshore winds drives the variation. W ithin days, prim ary production is responsible. The results dem onstrate the high variability o f the carbonate system in nearshore m acrophyte meadows depending on m eteorology and biological activities. We h ig h lig h t the need to incorporate these variations in future pC 02 scenarios and experim ental designs fo r nearshore habitats. C i t a t i o n : Saderne V, Fietzek P, Herman PMJ (2013) Extreme Variations of pC02 and pH in a Macrophyte Meadow of the Baltic Sea in Summer: Evidence of the Effect of Photosynthesis and Local Upwelling. PLoS ONE 8(4): e62689. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0062689 E d i t o r : Wei-Chun Chin, University of California, Merced, United States of America R e c e i v e d October 9, 2012; A c c e p t e d March 25, 2013; P u b l i s h e d April 23, 2013 C o p y r i g h t : © 2013 Saderne et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative CommonsAttribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. F u n d i n g : This work was funded by the European community, Marie Curie ITN CALMARO (PITN-GA-2008-215157). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. C o m p e t i n g I n t e r e s t s : One of the authors is employed by a commercial company (CONTROS SYSTEMS AND SOLOUTIONS GmbH). This does not alter the authors' adherence to all the PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials. * E-mail: vsaderne@geomar.de Introduction C 0 2(aq) in the surface ocean represents less th a n 1% o f the dissolved inorganic c arb o n (DIC) w hile H C 0 3_ represents ~ 9 0 % a n d C 0 3~ ~ 1 0 % . T h e c a rb o n a te system in o p e n oceanic environm ents is well know n a n d m ost o f the d a ta form ing the basis for the predictive m odels (see G L O D A P database, [5,6]) are derived from the open ocean. T hose oceanic actual a n d future p C 0 2/ p H values are the ones referred to w hen designing ocean acidification studies [7]. H ow ever, the biogeochem istry o f nearsh o re ecosystem s features m ore variations a n d differs widely th a n offshore conditions [8,9], Shallow n earsh o re a n d estilarm e areas are the h a b ita t o f nu m ero u s b enthic calcifiers. As highlighted by A ndersson a n d M ackenzie (2012) [10], investigations o n the effects o f ocean acidification o n calcifiers are neglecting this na tu ra l variability. In nearsh o re habitats, the few available investigations w ere cond u cted on: (1) estuaries, salt m arshes, m angroves a n d m udflats w here transfers o f carb o n from la n d are occu rrin g (e.g. [11-13]) a n d (2) reefs form ed by corals or calcifying algae because o f the direct effect o f calcification on the c arb o n a te system (e.g. [14,15]). T h e c arb o n a te chem istry o f nearshore habitats d o m in a ted by m acrophytes (kelp forests a n d seagrass a n d /o r seaw eed m eadows) H u m a n activities since the 19th c entury led to a n increase o f atm ospheric p C 0 2 from 280 to 392 p a tm [1] a n d the tren d is rising. Som e scenarios expect a n elevation o f atm ospheric p C 0 2 up to 1000 p a tm d u rin g the 21th century, peaking a ro u n d 1400 p a tm in the y ear 2300 [2,3]. As oceans equilibrate w ith the atm osphere, dissolution o f C 0 2 in w ater induces a decrease in p H . G lobal change has alread y led to a n average seaw ater “ acidification” o f 0. 1 p H units in the w orld ocean [4]. A cidification is e n h an cin g the corrosiveness o f seaw ater to calcite a n d aragonite, the two isoform s o f calcium carbonates com posing the shells a n d skeletons o f m arin e organism s. Corrosiveness is expressed by the satu ratio n states f í arat! a n d H caic. A saturation state below 1 indicates a tendency tow ards dissolution o f the crystal. A ragonitic structures (e.g. scleratinian corals, n acre o f bivalve shells) are m o re soluble th a n calcific (e.g. o u ter shell o f oyster) [4-5]. O n c e dissolved, C 0 2 becom es p a rt o f the c arb o n a te system, alm ost entirely com posed o f b ica rb o n ate ( H C 0 3_ ) a n d carb o n ate ions ( C 0 3~ ). U n d e r actual atm ospheric concentratio ns o f C 0 2, PLOS ONE I w w w .plosone.org 1 April 2013 I Volum e 8 | Issue 4 | e62689 C arbonate Chem istry in M acrophyte M eadow s is alm ost unknow n, even th o u g h they rep resen t ~ 5 % o f the p rim a ry p ro d u c tio n in the ocean a n d % o f the vegetal biom ass [16,17]. In these habitats, the c arb o n a te system is driven b y the photosynthetic physiology o f the m acrophytes, taking u p carb o n d u rin g the day a n d releasing it by respiration d u rin g the night [18,19]. Since C 0 2 is a m in o r co m p o n e n t o f D IC a n d its diffusion ra te in seaw ater is 10,000 tim es low er th a n in air [20], m ost m acrophytes are relying on H C 0 3- for photosynthesis [21-24], M acrophyte m eadow s a re highly productive a n d n e t auto tro p h ic (carbon sink) [25,26] e xporting their excess p ro d u c tio n to the n e ighboring ecosystem s u n d e r the form o f litter o r dissolved organic c arb o n [27]. M icrobial d eg rad atio n o f exp o rted organic c arb o n leads to elevated p C 0 2 a n d hypoxia o f d eeper offshore w aters [28]. T his p h e n o m e n o n is particularly im p o rta n t in eu tro p h ied ecosystem s like the Baltic Sea [29]. In the in n er bays o f the w estern Baltic, local upw elling o f h y percapnie w ater masses is regularly observed, increasing the surface p C 0 2 u p to 2500 p atm . T his typically h appens a t the e n d o f sum m er w hen offshore w inds are upw elling deep w aters after long periods o f stratification [30-32]. T h e aim o f this study, cond u cted in the w estern Baltic Sea over th ree weeks o f sum m er 2011, was to m easure (1) the d a y /n ig h t variations o f p C 0 2 due to photosynthesis a n d respiration o f a m acro p h y te bed, (2) the evolution o f the baseline p C 0 2 over sum m er a n d (3) the effect o f local upwellings o n the c arb o n a te system a n d its diel variations. T h e variations o f D IC , m easu red in the m acrophyte m eadow , w ere m odeled w ith a statistical m odel considering w ind direction a n d speed to g eth er w ith photosynthetically active rad iatio n (PAR). m easures the C 0 2 m ole fraction in a h eadspace b e h in d a m em b ran e equ ilib rato r w ith a tw o-w avelength non-dispersive infra-red detector (ND IR). T h e equ ilib rato r is com posed o f a flat silicone com posite m em b ran e, the N D IR u n it a n d additional sensors for pressure, te m p e ra tu re a n d relative hum idity used to c o rrect the N D IR signal a n d calculate the p a rtial pressure. A small internal p u m p insures the continuous circulation o f air in the equilibrator. T o co rrect the drifting o f the in stru m en t w ith tim e, regular zeroings are autom atically p erfo rm ed b y scrubbing the C 0 2 from the internal gas stream . T h e zeroings are acco u n ted d u rin g post processing o f the d a ta . A first description o f the in stru m e n t can b e found in [36] a n d deploym ents o n various platform s are presen ted in [37]. T h e in stru m e n t was calibrated by the m an u fa ctu re r p rio r to every d eploym ent in the ran g e o f 100— 1000 p a tm a t 17°C, 18°C a n d 18°C for the first, second a n d th ird deploym ent respectively. A n overall accuracy o f b e tte r th a n ± 1 % o f the u p p e r range value is assum ed for post processed d ata. In o rd e r to achieve a co n stan t a n d sufficiently short response tim e o f the instrum ent, the H y d ro C ™ is eq u ip p ed w ith a w ater p u m p (Sea-Bird E lectronics, USA) th a t provides a continuous w ater flow o f approx. 35 m l sec- to the m em b ran e, leading to a response tim e T 63% o f 3 m in a n d a Tgg% o f a pproxim ately 15 m in. T hese response tim es are sufficiently fast to resolve the observed signal changes w ith o u t the n eed for signal deconvolution. T o co rrect the p C 0 2 series for the in stru m e n t drift, the zerooing signals w ere re g ard e d as nodes a n d linearly interp o lated in tim e to result in a sm ooth signal drift correction th ro u g h o u t the deploym ent tim e. Salinity (psu), voltage (analogue signal from the p H m easure­ m ent) a n d tem p e ra tu re (°C) w ere re co rd e d autom atically every 45 m in w ith a p H -m e te r/c o n d u c tim e te r M ettler-T oledo S G 7 /8 (M ettler T oledo, Sw itzerland). F o r the m ea su re m e n t o f p H on total scale, seaw ater T R IS p H buffers for 15 psu w ere m ade a ccording to the S O P 6a o f D ickson et al. (2007) [38]. A com bined electrode w ith a solid polym er electrolyte reference, e quipped w ith a n N T C (negative tem p e ra tu re coefficient) therm istor was used (Inlab e x p ert p ro , M ettler T oledo, Sw itzerland). T h e calibration o f a new electrode was m ade 24 h before each deploym ent. T o do so, the T R IS buffer was im m ersed in a therm ostatic b a th a n d the voltage o f the p H electrode was m easu red w ith a n accuracy o f ± 0 .1 m V . T h e tem p e ra tu re o f the buffer was varied by 1.5°C a ro u n d seaw ater tem p eratu re. T h e tem p e ra tu re corresponding to every m V change was re co rd e d w ith accuracy b e tte r th a n 0 .0 U C w ith a Fluke 5658 reference th erm o m eter d o ted o f a 5608 p latin u m resistance sensor (Fluke, USA). T his process was re p ea te d b y increasing a n d decreasing the te m p e ra tu re to get an average voltage (mV) versus T (°C) reference curve for the electrode in the buffer. T h e N T C sensor o f the p H sensor, o f resolution 0.1 °C, was calibrated against a reference th erm o m eter a n d the resulting regression was achieved w ith a R 2 > 0 .9 9 . T h e resulting equatio n was used to co rrect the sam pled tem p eratu re. T h e sam pled voltage a n d c o rrected te m p e ra tu re w ere c onverted to p H tot by m aking use o f the initial T R IS buffer calibration o f the electrode a n d by using the equations given in the S O P 6a. In the lab, w ork c o n d u cted o n C ertified R eference M aterial (CRM ) (A ndrew D ickson, Scripps Institution o f O ceanography) together w ith 35 psu buffers d e m o n stra ted a n accuracy o f 0.003 to 0.005 p H units a n d a precision b e tte r th a n 0.001 p H unit. H ow ever, this accuracy was n o t re ac h ed in the field a n d therefore the p H series w ere n o t used to derive the c arb o n a te system b u t instead the alkalinity from discrete sam ples (see 2.3 for m eth o d a n d 4.4 for discussion on the m ethod). Salinity was m easu red w ithin 0.01 psu by a M ettler T oledo Inlab 738 conductivity p ro b e after calibration a t 25°C w ith KC1 0.1 m ol L -1 (Fischer Scientific, USA). T h e P A R irrad ian ce (400 to Materials and M ethods 2.1 Study site Physico-chem ical p a ram ete rs o f seaw ater w ere reco rd ed in a m acro p h y te m eadow (3 m depth) in E ckernförde Bay (western Baltic Sea, G erm any, 5 4°27' N , 9°54' E, see Fig. 1), du rin g 3 weeks o f sum m er 2011: July: 2 9 .0 6 -0 8 .0 7 , August: 2 9 .0 7 -0 5 .0 8 a n d Septem ber: 0 9 .0 9 -1 6 .0 9 . In Ju ly , only p C 0 2 a n d PA R irrad ian ce w ere re co rd e d by two in d ep e n d en t sensors. F or the A ugust a n d S eptem ber deploym ents, a m ultim eter reco rd in g p H , salinity a n d te m p e ra tu re was a d d ed to the C 0 2 a n d P A R sensor. W in d speed (m s ’) a n d direction (rad) w ith a resolution o f 10 m in w ere p rovided b y the m eteorological station o f A schau in E ckernförde Bay (54°27'40 N , 9 °5 5 '3 0 E) belonging to the division o f m arin e technology a n d research o f the G e rm an N avy. T h e nearsh o re h a b ita t o f E ckernförde is a m ixed b o tto m type d o m in a ted b y m acrophyte vegetation. T h e m acrophyte vegetation covers a pproxim ately 75% o f the surface. D o m in an t species are the b ro w n algae Fucus serratus (40-60% o f the m acrophytes), grow ing o n stones a n d rocks a n d the seagrass postera marina (< 1 0 % o f the m acrophytes) grow ing on sandy b ottom s [33]. T h e inner basin reaches a m ax im u m d e p th o f 28 m in gende slope. T h e w ater colum n is stratified in sum m er, w ith a pycnocline a ro u n d 1 5 m d e p th [34]. S eptem ber is the p e rio d o f m axim al stratification a n d hypoxia in the deep w ater. H ence, 0 2 reaches m inim al concentrations o f a b o u t 30 p M , associated w ith peaks o f p C 0 2 up to 2500 p a tm a n d accum ulation o f dissolved m eth a n e [29,35]. N o specific perm its w ere req u ire d for the study, the location is not privately-ow ned o r p ro tec te d in a n y w ay a n d the study did not involve en d an g e red or p ro tec te d species. 2.2 The autonom ous measuring system T h e p C 0 2 was m easured w ith a H y d ro C ™ u n d erw ater sensor (C O N T R O S Systems & Solutions, G erm any). T h e in stru m en t PLOS ONE I w w w .plosone.org 2 April 2013 I Volum e 8 | Issue 4 | e62689 C arbonate Chem istry in M acrophyte M eadow s E9°50‘ 52' 54' 56' N54° 29' 28' leteo station Aschau E c k e rn fö rd e Sampling site 27' Baltic ^ »_S e a % Schnellm ark wood Figure 1. Stu dy site. M ap of th e inner Eckernförde Bay indicating th e locations of th e survey site an d th e m eteorological station, urban area (brown) an d fo rests area (green). doi:10.1371/jo u rn al.pone.0062689.g001 700 nm ) was re co rd e d every 5 m in using a L I-192 q u a n tu m sensor con n ected to a L I- 1400 d a ta logger (Li-Cor Biosciences, LTSA). All series w ere exten d ed to one m inute interval series by linear interpolation. w ind speed w eighted b y w ind direction (WWt). W W j = w ind sp e e d \m s ~ 1] •eos ( w in d direction [rod] + W up ), W ith W up bein g a p a ra m e te r b etw een 0 a n d 2tt, corresponding to the w ind direction for w hich w ind-induced upw elling is m axim al. As exam ples, if W up = 0 o r 2tt, m axim al weights are given to n o rth e rn winds, if W up = Jt m axim al weights are given to S o u th ern w inds. A “ left-sided” ru n n in g integration was p erform ed o n the w eighted w ind tim e series over a p e rio d kw: 2.3 Calculation o f the carbonate system Sam ples for alkalinity w ere taken a t the beginning, m iddle a n d e n d o f the m easu rem en t periods o f A ugust (the 29.07, 02.08 a n d 05.08, no replication) a n d S eptem ber (the 09.09, 13.03 a n d 16.09, one replicate). Alkalinity was m easured w ith a n accuracy o f ± 5 pinoi kg 1 using a n open cell poten tio m etric titra to r as described in the S O P 3b o f [38] (T itrando 888, M eth ro m , Sw itzerland). A regression was calculated b etw een the total alkalinity a n d salinity o f the sam ples from A ugust a n d S eptem ber pooled together. T h e regression was highly significant (F-statistic: pC O .001, R 2 = 0 .8 3 , n = 9): Alkalinity = 9 0 5 .1 7 * Salinity +59. 83, w ith b o th slope a n d intercept significant at pCO.OOl a n d p < 0 .0 1 (t-test, n = 9). T herefore, the alkalinity for the entire p erio d was estim ated from the salinity series. T h e D IC , f í arat! a n d fecale w ere derived from calculated alkalinity a n d the m easured pC O o acco rd in g to the equations described in [39] w ith the R package Seacarb [40] using first a n d second c arb o n a te system dissociation constants for estilarm e systems from [41] a n d the dissociations constants o f H F a n d H S 0 4 - o f [42,43]. Cmy = /i,,, + ctw Jrr= W h ere C w t is the 24 h running-average series o f D IC a t tim e t, W W , is the w eighted w ind speed a t tim e t, p w a n d are regression p a ram ete rs a n d kw is d e term in ed as the integration p e rio d yielding the best fit. P aram eters in the regression w ere chosen to m inim ize residual variance. In the regression betw een tim e series, form al hypothesis tests, F-statistics a n d regression coefficients w ere n o t considered as th ey w ould be biased due to auto-correlation. T h e w ithin-day variations o f D IC , Cid w ere m odeled by exponentially w eighted ru n n in g integration o f the P A R series over a p erio d o f 12 hours w ith a n exponential decay rate X (m in- 1 ): 2.4 Statistical m odeling T h e calculated D IC series o f A ugust a n d S eptem ber was explained th ro u g h a statistical m odel. It considered th a t (1) the weekly tren d o f the D IC series is caused b y the upw elling o f DICIrich b o tto m w ater, (2) the diel variatio n o f the D IC series is caused by p rim a ry p ro d u c tio n a n d respiration o f the m eadow . T h e weekly trends o f D IC (Cw) w ere separated from the diel oscillations (Cid) by a central ru n n in g average w ith a tim e fram e o f 24 h. LTpwelling was assum ed to be driven b y w ind. C w was fit by a function o f PLOS ONE I w w w .plosone.org hv W W {x)dx, fX = t Cd, = fid + ad P A R { x )-e ( - X(,- l))dx x = t-1 2 h 3 April 2013 | Volum e 8 | Issue 4 | e62689 C arbonate Chem istry in M acrophyte M eadow s T h e night peaks (m ean ± SD) o f p C 0 2 w ere 2 3 9 7 ± 4 2 5 patm , w ith drops o f p H to (m ean ± SD) 7 .2 6 ± 0 .0 7 . D u rin g daytim e, m in im u m p C 0 2 levels w ere still m u ch h igher th a n atm ospheric concentrations w ith m in im a o f (m eans ± SD) 681 ± 211 p a tm a n d corresponding m ax im a o f p H o f 7.77 ± 0 .1 8 . In a final step, the irrad ian ce a n d w ind sub-m odels w ere sum m ed to o b tain the final m odel. T h e sta n d ard deviation o f the residuals betw een m odel a n d D IC observation w ere considered for the p a ram ete riz atio n o f W up, kw a n d X. Results 3.2 Carbonate system 3.1 Measures In August, m eans ± SD o f the w eek a n d d a y /n ig h t variations o f D IC w ere 1609± 37 pm ol kg-1 a n d 131 ± 4 5 pm ol k g -1 respectively (Fig. 4 central left panel). T h e seaw ater was always sup ersatu rated w ith respect to b o th a ragonite a n d calcite w ith diel m eans ± SD o f 2 .2 ± 0.2 a n d 3 .7 ± 0 .3 a n d m eans ± SD d a y /n ig h t variations o f 1 .4 ± 0 .6 a n d 2 .4 ± 0 .9 respectively (see Fig. 4, top left panels). In S eptem ber the daily m ea n ± SD D IC concentrations preced in g a n d du rin g the upw elling event w ere 1 8 2 9 ± 4 5 a n d 2 1 5 8 ± 27 pm ol kg *, respectively (Fig. 4 central right panel). T h e diel variations o f D IC w ere h igher before th a n d u rin g the upw elling, w ith m ea n ± SD o f 2 5 9 ± 10 pm ol kg 1 against 2 0 5 ± 9 1 pm ol kg *, respectively. Before the upw elling, the seaw ater was alm ost always supersat­ u ra te d for aragonite a n d calcite (see Fig. 4 top right panel, 09.09 to 13.09). H ow ever a t the hours o f m axim al p C 0 2 (6:00), aragonite saturation d ro p p e d below 1: m ea n ß arat!: 0 .8 ± 0 .3 (± SD). O ppositely, seaw ater reach ed m axim a for ß arat! a n d ß caic a ro u n d 18:00. T h e resulting diel oscillations w ere o f 4 .3 ± 0 .3 a n d 2 .6 ± 0 .2 for calcite a n d aragonite, respectively. D u rin g the upw elling event the seaw ater was constantly u n d e rsatu ra te d w ith m ea n ± SD ß caic a n d ß araa o f 1 ± 0 .5 a n d 0 .6 ± 0 .3 , exception m ade o f the hours a ro u n d 18 h, w ere m odest m ax im a (m ean ± SD) o f 1 .9 ± 0 .6 a n d 1.1 ± 0 .4 w ere reach ed (see Fig. 4 top right panel, 13.09 to 16.09). T h e th ree weeks revealed im p o rta n t d a y /n ig h t oscillations o f p H a n d p C 0 2. T h e p C 0 2 increased d u rin g the night a n d decreased d u rin g the day re ac h in g m in im a a n d m ax im a at 18:00 a n d 6:00 respectively. T h e p H inversely m irro re d these p C 0 2 variations. In Ju ly , only p C 0 2 a n d light was recorded. T h e m ea n p C 0 2 o f the w eek was 390 p a tm (m ean ± SD), corresponding to the atm ospheric C 0 2. H ow ever, diel oscillations o f 281 ± 8 8 p a tm (m ean ± SD) w ere recorded, w ith a phase shift o f ~ 6 h betw een light a n d p C 0 2 cycles. T his shift, co m m o n to all three m easu rem en t periods is illustrated for Ju ly in Fig. 2. In August, seaw ater was u n d e rsatu ra te d for C 0 2 c o m p a red to the atm osphere w ith a w eek m ea n o f 239 p a tm only. H ow ever, the diel variations rem a in e d com p arab le to those o f Ju ly w ith a m ean o f 2 1 9 ± 2 4 p a tm (± SD) (Fig. 3, top left panel). T h e m ean ± SD daily m axim al a n d m inim al p C 0 2 values w ere 3 7 4 ± 6 7 a n d 155 ± 3 2 , respectively. T h e m axim al am plitude was 416 patm . T h e p H variations m irro re d fluctuations in p C 0 2 w ith a weekly m ean o f 8.21, m ea n diel am plitude o f 0 .3 4 ± 0 .1 5 (± SD) a n d m ea n daily m in im u m a n d m ax im u m o f 8 .0 3 ± 0 .0 7 a n d 8 .3 7 ± 0 .0 8 (± SD). T h e average salinity a n d tem p e ra tu re d u rin g the w eek w ere 1 4 .5 ± 0 .3 psu a n d 1 9 .1 ± 0 .7 °C , respectively (Fig. 3, low er left panel). T h e recordings o f S eptem ber exhibit a strong difference betw een the b eginning (09.09 to 13.09) a n d the e n d o f the w eek (13.09 to 16.09). T h e m ea n ± SD salinity a n d tem p e ra tu re du rin g the first th ree days w ere 17.8± 0.6 psu a n d 1 5 .9 ± 0 .6 "C while d u rin g the three last days they increased a n d decreased to 2 0 .7 ± 0 .5 psu a n d 1 2 .4 ± 0 .4 "C respectively (Fig. 3, low er right panel). T his sudden decrease in seaw ater density is revealing an upw elling occu rrin g in the m iddle o f the week. C onsequently, we observed a large discrepancy o f the p C 0 2/ p H b etw een those two periods w ith m eans o f 426 p a tm /8 .1 4 a n d 1593 p a tm /7 .4 6 respectively (Fig. 2, top right panel). In th a t second p a rt o f the week, oscillations o f p C 0 2 becam e extrem e. T h e m axim al daily am plitudes reco rd ed w ere 2184 p a tm p C 0 2 a n d 1.15 p H units. 3.3 Model T h e D IC calculated from p C 0 2 a n d alkalinity a n d the D IC p red icted b y the statistical m odel for A ugust a n d S eptem ber are presen ted in Fig. 4 central panels. T h e differences b etw een b o th are p re sen te d in Fig. 4. low er panels (residuals). In A ugust, the m odel pred icted a diel D IC m ean (± SD) o f 1610 ± 16 pinoi k g -1 a n d diel am plitudes o f D IC o f 8 6 ± 1 4 pinoi kg 1 (m ean ± SD). T h e differences b etw een m odeled a n d calculated D IC is 1 pinoi k g -1 for the diel average a n d 44 pinoi k g -1 for the diel am plitude. In Septem ber, the m odel p red icted a diel D IC m ea n (± SD) o f 1852 ± 83 pm ol k g -1 before the upw elling a n d 2143 ± 4 7 pinoi kg 1 d u rin g the upw elling. T h e differences w ith the calculated D IC are 23 pinoi kg 1 a n d 15 pinoi kg *, respectively. Before a n d du rin g upw elling, the diel am plitudes o f D IC p red icted by the m o d e la re 141 ± 6 1 pinoi kg 1 a n d 15 0 ± 107 pinoi kg 1 (m ean ± SD), respectively. T h e difference from the calculated D IC is 117 pinoi kg 1 a n d 55 pinoi kg ’. T h e set o f p a ram ete rs p ro d u c in g the best fitting m odels are W up = 3 tt/2 , corresp o n d in g to w esterly w ind, a p e rio d o f integration kw o f 55 h a n d X o f 0.0025 m in _1a n d 0.001 m in -1 for A ugust a n d S eptem ber respectively. T h e sta n d ard deviation o f the residuals betw een m odeled a n d calculated D IC are 25 pm ol kg 1 a n d 49 pm ol k g - 1 , corresp o n d in g to percentages o f unexplained variatio n o f 1.6% a n d 2.5% for A ugust a n d S eptem ber respectively (Fig. 3 low er panels). Fig. 5 presents, for S eptem ber only, the evolution o f the m odel residuals as function o f the w ind direction (Wup) a n d the integration p erio d (kw). E asterly w inds as m axim al w eights pro d u ce the w orst fitting m odels while westerly w inds the best fitting ones, southerly a n d no rth erly w inds are in term ediate. T h e p a ra m e te r X h a d less influence o n the outcom e o f the m odel (Fig. 6), increasing its accuracy b y a m axim um o f 2 to 800 n 600 - * 400 ■ 0 U 200- 1500 ID 1 0 0 0 3. % % D a te (U T C ) Figure 2. C om parison b e tw e en Light and p C 0 2 series in July. Dark bands: period of darkness. Dashed lines: estim ated cen ter o f th e daylight distribution. doi:10.1371/jo u rn al.pone.0062689.g002 PLOS ONE I w w w .plosone.org 4 April 2013 I Volum e 8 | Issue 4 | e62689 C arbonate Chem istry in M acrophyte M eadow s 9.0 -, 5 3000 'E' 2500 8.5 ■ % 2000 3 1500 8.0 « 7.5 O* 1000 £ I 500- 0J o- 7.0 J 0 u 20 i ^ 231 - g -3 -i -£ E 18 3 16 E ai 14 1 S 12 - 21 19 17 15 ™ 13 10-1 - 11 J T i m e (U TC) Figure 3. In situ m easu rem en ts for A u gu st and S ep tem b er. p C 0 2 (cyan), pH (red) Salinity (black) and tem p e ra tu re (dark blue) recorded in A ugust (left) an d S ep tem b er (right). The recording frequency w as o n e m inute for p C 0 2 an d 45 m inutes for th e 3 o th er p aram eters. Sym bols in th e p lots m ark th e recording events; linkage b etw e e n th e m easu rem en ts every 45 min w as achieved by linear interpolation. Secondary vertical gridlines unit: 6 h. doi:10.1371/jo u rn al.pone.0062689.g003 4 pm ol kg- 1. D espite its p o o r effect on the m odel, the presence o f this p a ra m e te r is justified by the consideration o f the decrease o f the day length b etw een A ugust a n d S eptem ber (the p e rio d o f integration o f the irrad ian ce is fixed to 12 h in both). 4.1 Inter-weekly dynamics T h e p C 0 2 o f o u r m easu rem en t site exhibited very different weekly trends over the sum m er. In A ugust, w e observed an im p o rta n t a n d stable p C 0 2 u n d ersatu ratio n . T his reflects the conditions o f the w hole Baltic a t this period, g e n era te d b y the succession o f bloom s o f phytop lan k to n a n d c yanobacteria [44,45]. In S eptem ber this stable condition is in te rru p ted by the strengthening o f the westerly w inds, leading to the upw elling o f the w ater masses isolated until th en below the pycnocline. T h e chem istry o f the deep w aters o f E ckernförde b a y are m o n ito red since 1957 a n d p C 0 2 o f ab o u t 2500 p atm , linked to h eterotrophic processes, are yearly observed in sum m er (Boknis Eck tim e series: Discussion In o u r study, w e show ed the im p o rtan ce o f the diel variations o f p C 0 2 a n d p H due to photosynthesis a n d the im p o rtan ce o f the variations o f the c arb o n a te chem istry baseline over sum m er. W e d e m o n stra ted the interactive effects o f upw elling a n d algal m etabolism o n the c arb o n a te chem istry w ith a sim ple statistical m odel. 7 6 3 5 4 3 2 - 1 0 J 2400 -, b 2150 - Ö 1900 - X 3 1650 1400 - Ijl 0 g -1 0 0 - ® -200 - A A A A A A A A Figure 4. C alculated and m o d e led c arb on ate chem istry. Top panels: S aturation sta te s for calcite (light brown) and aragonite (dark brow n) for A ugust (left) and S ep tem b er (right). Dashed line: S aturation threshold. Central panels: O bserved (cyan) an d m odeled (red) DIC for A ugust (left) and S ep tem b er (right). The residuals b etw een m odel and observations are p resen ted in b o tto m left and right for A ugust and S ep tem b er respectively. S econdary vertical gridlines unit: 6 h. doi:10.1371/jo u rn al.pone.0062689.g004 PLOS ONE I w w w .plosone.org 5 April 2013 I Volum e 8 | Issue 4 | e62689 C arbonate Chem istry in M acrophyte M eadow s 80 70 60 O) 50 0 0.002 0.004 0.006 0.008 0.01 A (m irr1) South North West Figure 6. S en sitivity o f th e m od el to 4. Evolution of th e stan d ard deviation o f th e residuals b etw e e n m odel and observation in pm ol k g -1 DIC in A ugust (red) and S ep tem b er (black) as a function o f X (m in-1 ), th e in stan tan e o u s rate o f increase used for th e exponentially w eig h ted running integration of th e irradiance series. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0062689.g006 North 2t t W up (R a d ia n ) stronger d u rin g the upw elling th a n before b u t we observe the opposite for D IC (m ean ± SD D IC : 258.6 ± 10.5 pm ol k g -1 against 205.1 ± 9 0 .7 pm ol kg '), possibly revealing a reduction o f photosynthesis d u rin g the upw elling. T his could b e explained by an osm otic stress en g en d ered by a ra p id increase o f salinity [51,52] ra th e r th a n b y the elevated p C 0 2. Indeed, a n y increase in D IC a n d p C 0 2 is p re su m ed to be beneficial to m arin e m acrophytes [53], even if this have never b e en form ally p ro v e n [54], Figure 5. Sen sitivity o f th e m od el to th e integration period le, and w ind direction Wup. C ontour plot o f th e sta n d ard deviation of th e residuals b etw een m odel an d observation in pm ol kg-1 DIC (color palette) for th e S ep tem b er series as a function of Wup, th e azim uth of reference used as maximal w eight, and th e kw, th e period o f th e running in teg ratio n of th e w eighted wind series. doi:10.1371/jo u rn al.pone.0062689.g005 [46]). O u r study shows th a t the nearshore b io ta in shallow w ater is exposed to these high concentrations d u rin g upw elling events. T h e deep-w ater p C 0 2 is p re su m ed to increase in the future by the co njunction o f h igh er atm ospheric p C 0 2 a n d red u ced salinity a n d alkalinity o f the Baltic Sea [32]. M elzner et al. (2012) [29] are expecting this deep w ater body to reach p C 0 2 o f 4000 to 5000 p a tm a n d the h ypercapnie events o f S eptem ber to increase in m agnitude. Besides, the frequency a n d d u ra tio n o f those upw elling events could also increase as a reinforcem ent o f the w esterly w inds in th e Baltic region is expected w ith global w a rm ing 4.3 Model W e w ere able to explain the D IC variations o f A ugust a n d S eptem ber to a n accuracy o f± 5 0 pm ol kgw ith a simple statistical m odel (three p a ram ete rs only), based o n w ind a n d PA R . T h e w eighing p ro c ed u re o f the w ind speed, although sim ple in its geom etric a p p ro ach , a p p ea red to w ork very well as a n explanation o f the m ulti-day trends. O u r m odel designates w esterly w inds as responsible for upw elling. T his result is slightly different from previous observa­ tions a n d sim ulations in o th er regions o f the Baltic Sea identifying southw esterly w inds as bein g the m ost effective [30], T his small discrepancy is certainly due to the east-west orien tatio n o f E ckernförde bay c o m p a red to the general n o rth -east/so u th -w est o rien tatio n o f the Baltic Sea. T h e use o f exponentially w eighted integration o f irrad ian ce as a proxy for p rim a ry p ro d u c tio n was less effective th a n the sim ilar a p p ro ac h used for the upwelling. Indeed, w hile the daily D IC m eans are quite accurately p red icted (< 2 0 pinoi kg '), the diel am plitude is system atically underesti­ m ate d b y 40 to 70 pinoi kg- 1 D IC . T his variation, u nexplained by the m odel, could b e due to h e terotrophic respiration, air-sea exchange o f C 0 2 [17] or diel v a riation o f alkalinity as discussed in 4.1. H ow ever, despite the simplistic n a tu re o f o u r m odel, it is a first step in the u n d erstan d in g a n d prediction, in a context o f global change, o f the c arb o n a te system dynam ics in the Baltic n earshore areas. [47]. 4.2 Daily oscillations D iel oscillations, related to photosynthesis a n d respiration, are superim posed to the w eek scale dynam ics. In no rm al sum m er conditions (without upwelling), the m ea n (± SD) am plitudes o f the diel variations w ere 2 4 3 ± 9 5 p a tm C 0 2 (July, August) a n d 0 .3 4 ± 0 .1 5 p H units (August only). Such diel variations have already b e en observed in m acro p h y te stands w orldw ide: in seagrass beds o f A ustralia [16], M e d ite rran e a n [48] a n d Z an zib ar [19], in tidal rocky-shores o f the n o rth ea stern Pacific [49] a n d in algal m eadow s o f the D an ish islands [18], A m ong nearshore ecosystem s, the highest diel variations are o ccurring in m acrophyte d o m in a ted ecosystem s, upw elling areas a n d estuaries [50], O u r study site cum ulates those three characteristics: brackish, weakly buffered a n d eu tro p h ied ecosystem d o m in a ted b y m acrophytes a n d subm itted to upw elling. W e re co rd e d diel oscillations o f 1 6 0 4 .9 ± 7 9 5 .7 p a tm (m ean ± SD) d u rin g the upw elling event o f S eptem ber. T o o u r know ledge only near-shore m angroves exhibit w ider diel variations w ith 3500 p atm reco rd ed in the B erm uda 4.4 Measurement reliability T h e accuracy o f the post-processed p C 0 2 d a ta is expected to be < ± 1 0 p a tm for values w ithin the calib rated m easuring range o f 1 0 0-1000 p atm . A n ad ditional e rro r can be expected w h en the p C 0 2 exceeds the m easuring range as in this case the calibration polynom ial o f the instrum ent is extrapolated. W e expect this e rro r to b e ± 1 5 0 p a tm a t m ax im u m for the highest p C 0 2 reco rd ed in S eptem ber at a ro u n d 2600 patm . [ 10]. H ow ever, the im p o rtan ce o f these variations is relative, as the fraction o f D IC presen t as C 0 2(aq) in high p C 0 2/lo w p H seaw ater is h igher th a n in low p C 0 2/h ig h p H seaw ater (see B jerrum plot in e.g. [39]). T hus, in Septem ber, the diel variations o f C 0 2 are PLOS ONE I w w w .plosone.org 6 April 2013 I Volum e 8 | Issue 4 | e62689 C arbonate Chem istry in M acrophyte M eadow s D espite o u r efforts, w e did n o t achieve in the field the p H accuracy necessary to use it as in p u t p a ra m e te r for the derivation o f the c arb o n a te system, as we a re able to in laboratory. W e estim ate the e rro r in p H o f the o rd e r o f 0.01 due to u n correctable drift du rin g the m ea su re m e n t periods. In the conditions o f te m p e ra tu re a n d salinity o f the w estern Baltic, such inaccuracy in p H produces anom alies in derived alkalinity o f the o rd e r o f 10— 100 pm ol kg 1 a t p H / p C 0 2 inferior to 7 .8 /8 0 0 p a tm a n d up to 1000 a t h igher p H /lo w e r p C 0 2. F or future field studies, D urafets sensors [55] o r spectrophotom etric sensors [56] rep resen t p ro m ­ ising alternatives to glass electrodes, b o th capable o f reach in g accuracies o f 0.001 to 0.0001 p H units. W e h a d to perform alkalinity titrations a n d rely o n a salinity to alkalinity relationship to achieve the calculations. T h is m eth o d is relevant [57,58] a n d we estim ate the e rro r on the derived D IC to b e < 1 5 pm ol k g -1 D IC . H ow ever, it ignores a n y changes o f alkalinity a t co n stan t salinity. T his p h e n o m e n o n is very im p o rta n t in coral a n d shellfish reefs due to the uptake or release o f C a 2+ b y calcification o r dissolution [59,60]. H ow ever, in m acrophyte ecosystem s, we expect very m arginal diel variations o f alkalinity due to photosynthesis a n d respiration [61]. m ain tain ed a t sim ilar p C 0 2 are re d u ce d by 56% a n d 41% respectively [63]. Besides, the grow th o f the Baltic brackish b arn ac le Amphibalanus improvisus, com petitor o f Mytilus for space, rem ains unaffected a t b o th larval a n d a d u lt stage a t p C 0 2 > 3 0 0 0 p a tm [64], M acro p h y te m eadow s are also tran sien t habitats, sheltering early life stages o f nu m ero u s anim al species. T hose m ight exhibit m ore tolerance to ocean acidification as well. As exam ple, the spawns o f Baltic herrings Clupea harengus, deposited o n m acrophyte beds [65], are n o t affected in their em bryonic developm ent by high p C 0 2/lo w p H [66]. T h e volatility o f the c arb o n a te system a n d the extrem e acidic events we observed could have ex erted a selective pressure o n Baltic populations, explaining the resistance o f the local fauna to acidification stress in laboratory. N evertheless, all the studies qu o ted previously w ere cond u cted u n d e r stable elevated p C 0 2. N o n e coupled elevated p C 0 2 baseline a n d the diel variations we observed. Conclusion O u r study represents one o f the first attem pts o f high resolution continuous m ea su re m e n t o f the c arb o n a te system in the highly variable e n v iro n m en t th a t is the Baltic S ea’s n earshore. T h e three weeks show ed quite different results related to the dynam ics o f the w hole Baltic c arb o n a te system, to the m eteorological condition a n d to very local processes o f photosynthesis a n d respiration. T his study highlights the im p o rtan ce o f the n a tu ra l variations o f p C 0 2 a n d p H a n d em phasizes the consideration o f these in ocean acidification studies o n nearsh o re organism s. 4.5 Effect on fauna T h e daily oscillations o f p C 0 2 gen erated by photosynthesis could be o f prim e im p o rtan ce for calcifiers, creating a t daytim e periods o f high saturation states favourable to C a C 0 3 precip ita­ tion. Such coupling b etw een photosynthesis a n d calcification has already b e en observed in a H aw aiian coral re e f by D ru p p et al. (2011) [59] a n d S h am b erg er et al. (2011) [60] w here calcification is m axim al a t m idday w hen the p C 0 2 is m inim al due to planktonic photosynthesis. In th a t reef, the intensity o f the photosynthesis is m o d u lated b y w ind driven inputs o f n utrients from the flum e o f a n e ighboring estuary. In general, studies cond u cted o n w estern Baltic populations o f anim als, calcifying or not, ten d to dem onstrate th eir tolerance to acidic conditions [62]. Also, the Baltic pop u latio n o f the mussels Mytilus edulis experiences red u ced grow th a n d dissolution o f the shell only w h en Í2arag < 0 .1 5 corresponding to a p C 0 2 o f ~ 4000 p a tm [31]. D espite this w eakening o f th eir shells, the p re d atio n by sea stars Asterias rubens a n d crabs Carcinus maenas Acknowledgm ents W e thank M . Fischer, C. H iebenthal, C. Howe, B. H uan g X uan, C. Lieberum , K. Maczassek and C. Pansch, Y. Sawall an d the crew o f the F. B. Polarfuchs for their field assistance. Author Contributions M anuscript im provem ent: PF PMJFi. Conceived an d designed the experiments: VS. Perform ed the experiments: VS. Analyzed the data: VS PF PM JH . C ontributed reagents/m aterials/analysis tools: VS PF PM JH . W rote the paper: VS. References 11. 1. N O A A — E S R L (2011) A vailable: h ttp ://w w w .e s r l.n o a a .g o v /g m d /c c g g /tr e n d s . 2. S o lo m o n S, Q in D , M a n n in g M , C h en Z, M arquis M , e t al. (2007) IP C C , 2007: C lim ate C h a n g e 2007: T h e Physical S cien ce Basis. C on trib u tion o f W orking G rou p I to the Fourth A ssessm ent R e p o r t o f the Intergovernm ental P anel o n 3. 12. C lim ate C h a n g e, Cam bridge: C am b rid ge U n iversity Press. 9 9 6 p. R id gw ell A , Z on d erv a n I, H argreaves J , Bijm a J , L en to n T (2007) A ssessing the 13. 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