Poisson Random Measures Throughout, let (S � �� �) denote a sigma-finite measure space with �(S) > 0, and (Ω � �� P) the underlying probability space. A construction of Poisson random measures Definition 1. A Poisson random measure Π with intensity � is a collection of random variables {Π(A)}A∈� with the following properties: (1) Π(A) = Poiss(�(A)) for all A ∈ �; (2) If A1 � � � � � A� ∈ � are disjoint, then Π(A1 )� � � � � Π(A� ) are independent. We sometimes write “PRM(�)” in place of “Poisson random measure with intensity �.” Theorem 2. PRM(�) exists and is a.s. purely atomic. Proof. The proof proceeds in two distinct steps. Step 1. First consider the case that �(S) < ∞. Let N� X1 � X2 � � � � be a collection of independent random variables with N = Poiss(�(S)), and P{X� ∈ A} = �(A)/�(S) for all � ≥ 1 and A ∈ �. Define, N � Π(A) := 1lA (X� ) for all A ∈ �� �=1 21 22 4. Poisson Random Measures Clearly, Π is almost surely a purely-atomic measure with a random number [i.e., N] atoms. Next we compute the finite-dimensional distributions of Π. If we condition first on N, then we find that for every disjoint A1 � � � � � A� ∈ � and ξ1 � � � � � ξ� ∈ R, N � � �� � Ee� �=1 ξ� Π(A� ) = E exp � ξ� 1lA� (X� ) �=1 �=1 N � � = E E exp � ξ� 1lA� (X1 ) � �=1 Because the A� ’s are disjoint, the indicator function of (A1 ∪ · · · ∪ A� )� is � equal to 1 − ��=1 1lA� , and hence � � � � � � exp � ξ� 1lA� (�) = 1lA� (�)e�ξ� + 1 − 1lA� (�) �=1 �=1 =1+ Consequently, and hence, � � �=1 �=1 � � 1lA� (�) e�ξ� − 1 for all � ∈ S� � � � � � �(A� ) � �ξ� E exp � ξ� 1lA� (X1 ) = 1 + e −1 � �(S) E exp � �=1 � � �=1 �=1 N � � � �(A� ) � ξ� Π(A� ) = E 1 + e�ξ� − 1 � �(S) �=1 Now it is easy to check that if � ∈ R, then E(� N ) = exp{−�(S)(1 − �)}. Therefore, � � � � �ξ � − ��=1 �(A� ) 1−e � � (1) E exp � ξ� Π(A� ) = e �=1 This proves the result, in the case that �(S) < ∞, thanks to the uniqueness of Fourier transforms. Step 2. In the general case we can find disjoint sets S1 � S2 � � � � ∈ � such that S = ∪∞ �=1 S� and �(S� ) < ∞ for all � ≥ 1. We can construct independent PRM’s Π1 � Π2 � � � � as in the preceding,�where Π� is defined solely based on subsets of S� . Then, define Π(A) := ∞ �=1 Π� (A ∩ S� ) for all A construction of Poisson random measures 23 A ∈ �. Because a sum of independent Poisson random variables has a Poisson law, it follows that Π = PRM(�). � Theorem 3. Let Π� := PRM(�), and suppose � :� S → R� is measurable and satisfies R� ��(�)� �(d�) < ∞. Then, R� � dΠ is finite a.s., � � E R� � dΠ = � d�, and for every ξ ∈ R� , � �ξ· � dΠ Ee � � � � � �ξ·�(�) = exp − 1−e �(d�) � (2) The preceding �holds also if � is a finite measure, and � is measurable. If, in addition, R� ��(�)�2 �(d�) < ∞, then also ��� � E � � R� � dΠ − � R �2 � � � �−1 � � d�� ≤ 2 � R� ��(�)�2 �(d�)� Proof. By a monotone-class argument it suffices to prove the theorem in � the case that � = ��=1 �� 1lA� , where �1 � � � � � �� ∈ R� and A1 � � � � � A� ∈ � � are �� disjoint with �(A� ) < ∞ for all � = 1� � � � � �. In this case, � dΠ = �=1 �� Π(A� ) is a finite weighted sum of independent Poisson random variables, where the weights are �-dimensional vectors �1 � � � � � �� . The formula � for the characteristic function of � dΠ follows readily from (1). And the � mean of � dΠ is elementary. Finally, if �� denotes the �th coordinate of �, then Var � � � dΠ = � � �=1 ��2 VarΠ(A� ) = � � �=1 ��2 �(A� ) = � |�� (�)|2 �(d�)� (3) The L2 computation follows from adding the preceding over � = 1� � � � � �, using the basic fact that for all random [and also nonrandom] mean-zero variables Z1 � � � � � Z� ∈ L2 (P), |Z1 + · · · + Z� |2 ≤ 2�−1 � � �=1 |Z� |2 � (4) � � Take expectations to find that Var ��=1 Z� ≤ 2�−1 ��=1 Var(Z� ). We can � apply this in (3) with Z� := �� dΠ to finish. � 24 The Poisson process on the line 4. Poisson Random Measures In the context of the present chapter let S := R+ , � := �(R+ ), and consider the intensity �(A) := λ|A| for all A ∈ �(R+ ), where | · · · | denotes the onedimensional Lebesgue measure on (R+ � �(R+ )), and λ > 0 is a fixed finite constant. If Π denotes the corresponding PRM(�), then we can define N� := Π((0 � �]) for all � ≥ 0� That is, N is the cumulative distribution function of the random measure Π. It follows immediately from Theorem 2 that: (1) N0 = 0 a.s., and N has i.i.d. increments; and (2) N�+� − N� = Poiss(λ�) for all �� � ≥ 0. That is, N is a classical Poisson process with intensity parameter λ in the same sense as in Math. 5040. Problems for Lecture 4 Throughout let N denote a Poisson process with intensity λ ∈ (0 � ∞). 1. Check that N is cadlag and prove the following: (1) N� − λ� and (N� − λ�)2 − λ� define mean-zero cadlag martingales; (2) (The strong law of large numbers) lim�→∞ N� /� = λ a.s. 2. Let τ0 := 0 and then define iteratively for all � ≥ 1, Prove that {τ� − τ� := inf {� > τ�−1 : N� > N�− } � τ�−1 }∞ �=1 is an i.i.d. sequence of Exp(λ) random variables. 3. Let τ� be defined as in the previous problem. Prove that Nτ� − Nτ� − = 1 a.s.