Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Date: Oct 12, 2012 Prison Wildfire Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Location Information Region: Pacific Southwest, R5 Forest: Lassen NF District: Eagle Lake Unit: Champs Project Area, Harvey DFPZ and Bugle DFPZ (Proposed) Wildfire Information (consistent with 5100-29) Fire Number: CA-LNF-3857 Fire Name: Prison Fire/E-27 Date of Fire Start mm/dd/yr: 08/01/2009 Final Fire Size (acres): 175 Date When Fire Entered Treatment: 08/02/09 Treated Area Burned (acres): 31 Date Fire Contained: 08/25/2009 Project Area Background and Fuel Treatment Information The Prison Fire Area is located in the northern portion of the Eagle Lake Ranger District on the Lassen National Forest. The Harvey Defensible Fuel Profile Zone (DFPZ) and the proposed Bugle DFPZ portion of the Champs project area are both within the Prison Fire area. In relation to the Prison Fire, the Harvey DFPZ is located on the north side of Forest Road 33N06, which bisects the fire, and the proposed Bugle DFPZ is located directly south of the Harvey DFPZ, on the south side of the road (Figures 1 and 2). The Champs project has been through litigation several times, resulting in the cancellation of a contracted timber sale in the Bugle DFPZ; no treatment occurred in this DFPZ. The Harvey DFPZ was thinned via timber sale in 2003 as part of an earlier project covered under a different environmental document. Thirty-one acres of the Harvey DFPZ are located within the fire perimeter, all of which had been thinned prior to the fire. An underburn was planned for the Harvey DFPZ to complete the fuels treatment, which had not yet taken place. A portion of a Northern Goshawk Protected Activity Center (PAC), which is located north of the Harvey DFPZ, was also burned over. Overall, the Prison Fire burned a total of 175 acres, of which 31 acres had been previously thinned. The attached maps of the fire show areas where high severity and high vegetation mortality occurred. The majority of the high severity areas are located within the untreated Bugle Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 1 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness DFPZ, the goshawk PAC, the untreated leave islands within the Harvey DFPZ, and in the untreated stands adjacent to the Harvey DFPZ. Existing vegetative cover within the Prison Fire area is primarily eastside pine and mixed conifer, interspersed with meadow and sagebrush flats. Vegetation in the untreated portion of the fire area is relatively homogenous in respect to species composition and age, but there is a wide range of variability in stocking density and stand structure. Stocking density is moderate to heavy, with average basal areas ranging between 140 to 220 square feet per acre. To maintain within-stand diversity, approximately 10 percent of each silvicultural treatment unit within the DFPZs would be left unthinned in patches (untreated leave islands), generally ranging in size from ¼ to five acres, and generally located in the secondary zone of DFPZs. The Harvey DFPZ residual (post-thinning) basal area was approximately 80 – 100 square feet per acre and also contained the untreated leave islands described above. All the data gathered from the untreated areas surrounding the Harvey DFPZ, which also represents the condition of the untreated leave islands, represents an existing condition basal area of 140 – 220 square feet per acre. Treatment Type and Acres Harvey DFPZ Bugle DFPZ (Proposed) Mechanically Thinned Underburn Acres 1,143 N/A Acres 989 Date Completed 11/2003 Planned for Fall 2009 Date Completed Postponed due to litigation Acres in Prison Fire Perimeter 32 Acres in Prison Fire Perimeter 31 Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest Mechanically Thinned Underburn N/A Postponed due to litigation 2 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Narrative of Fire Interaction with Fuel Treatment On the evening of August 1, 2009, a wide-spread lightning storm passed over the Lassen National Forest, igniting approximately 35 wildfires on the Eagle Lake Ranger District. The largest of these fires grew to 175 acres and was labeled E-27, also known as the Prison Fire. The fire originated at T33N, R9E, section 32, and was called in at 0800 hours on August 2, 2009 by the Antelope Mountain lookout. Due to the storm’s expansiveness and the large number of fires started from all the lightning downstrikes, suppression forces at all three Lassen National Forest ranger districts were stretched thin responding to initial attack orders. Additional resources were ordered through dispatch to assist the forest with its suppression needs. Initial attack resources responding to the Prison Fire on August 2, 2009 were a Type 4 Incident Commander (ICT4) and a Type 3 dozer. The initial size-up of the fire showed it to be approximately one acre in Fuel Model 2 (Ponderosa Pine stands with grass and shrub understory), on the south side of Forest Road 33N06. Because there was little to no wind, generally flat terrain, and easy access for the dozer, the fire was quickly contained and put into patrol status. Due to the number of fires on the district which required the attention of all the district’s suppression resources, the fire was put into patrol status. A contract engine that arrived with the initial order for more resources was assigned to patrol the Prison Fire. Later that afternoon around 1430 hours, the winds began switching from WNW to SW, and increased to 20-25 mph. Prior to the increased wind speeds, the patrol resources report having walked the fireline thoroughly several times without seeing any threats to the line. However, once the wind increased and changed directions, a snag (standing dead tree) which had previously been smoldering undetected next to the dozer line fell across the fireline and flared up, igniting the grass and receptive fuels on the north side of the fireline. Using Forest Road 33N06 as a control line, a burnout attempt was made to “get out in front” of the rapidly growing spot, but with the limited number of resources on-scene, gusty winds, and lack of available resources nearby, the resources were unable to safely burnout ahead of the flaming front. The ICT4 then made the decision to order helicopters and other resources, with the knowledge that they may not arrive for some time. The Fuels Officer and the District Fire Management Officer (DFMO) arrived onscene shortly thereafter and informed the ICT4 of the Harvey DFPZ location. The DFMO asked the Fuels Officer to scout the fire, to see if the Harvey DFPZ could be utilized to aid fire suppression activities. The Fuels Officer later remarked that while he did not see the flaming front as he was scouting, he Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 3 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness observed plume activity indicating that the fire was moving quickly northward, pushed by the wind. With the wind gusting at high speeds and pushing the flaming front northward, the untreated areas adjacent to the Harvey DFPZ experienced group torching and high intensity burning in surface fuels (see attached map and photos). Resources ordered at the time of blow-up included four dozers, two Type 2 handcrews, three engines, and two air tankers. At approximately 2300 hours that evening, wind speeds began decreasing, ultimately allowing suppression forces to contain the fire. The Harvey DFPZ could not be utilized to stop the forward spread of the Prison Fire, due to the erratic, wind-driven fire behavior resulting from the thunderstorm activity and the lack of resources available when the fire crossed the original control line. However, the Harvey DFPZ provided suppression resources with an anchor point on the west flank of the fire. Also, post-fire monitoring data demonstrates that the Harvey DFPZ treatment was effective in reducing fire severity and contributed to improving landscape resiliency. In providing information for this report, the ICT4 stated that with the status of the winds, dry conditions, lack of local resource availability, and cured, abundant fuels in the area, the Prison Fire could very easily have grown to become a major wildfire, spanning many more operational periods and increasing suppression costs. The Fuels Officer commented that because the Bugle DFPZ was untreated, a high volume of surface fuel loading and dense pockets of timber were available near the fire’s ignition point, likely aiding the fire’s growth, intensity, and movement into the crowns. He believes that if the Harvey DFPZ had been left untreated, there would probably have been more spotting and crowning as the fire moved north, with greater intensity and spread along its flanks. The Fuels Officer further added that while he was on his scouting mission, the only torching he observed within the Harvey DFPZ was in the untreated leave islands. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 4 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Weather Observations and Trends According to data from the Gordon Remote Automated Weather Station (RAWS), the weather trends during the week prior to the lightning storm (July 24, 2009 at 10:46 through August 2, 2009 at 09:46) indicated daytime temperatures in the upper 80s and lower 90s with overnight low temperatures dipping only into the mid-50s. Relative humidity (RH) routinely dipped into the low teens during the day, with several days showing lows in the single digits. RH recovery overnight was poor throughout the week, staying primarily within the 40 - 60 percentiles. The 10-hr. fuel moisture trends show daily fuel stick lows in the 4-7 range; in fact, there were several days during this time frame where the fuel stick readings never increased beyond single digits. Gusty winds had been recorded every afternoon for the week leading up to the Prison Fire, which likely contributed to drying out the 1-hr. fuels and making them receptive to ignitions from dry lightning during the wide-spread thunderstorms. Conditions When Fire Entered Treatment Date and Source of Observations: 15:46 on 02 Aug 2009, Gordon RAWS (WIMS data obtained from ROMAN website) ERC (value): 51 Windspeed and Direction: 6 mph with gusts to 9 mph, WNW Temperature: 80 degrees F RH: 33% Fuel Moistures 1 hr: N/A 10 hr: 11% Live Fuel Moisture: N/A Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 100 hr: N/A 1000 hr: N/A Measured or Estimated? 10 hr. fuels were measured by the Gordon RAWS at 15:46. No on-site data for the other fuel moisture classes is available. 5 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Fuel Treatment and Fire Area Maps Figure 1. Shows areas of high severity over the burn area and the Champs project treatment locations. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 6 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Figure 2. Shows areas of high vegetation mortality and the completed Harvey DFPZ treatment locations, as well as the untreated proposed Bugle DFPZ portion of the Champs project. The drop points and controlled area points are irrelevant in this report. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 7 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Post-burn Monitoring Data (2011) In September of 2011, two years after the Prison Fire, the Eagle Lake District ecology crew returned to the area to gather information. Their objectives were to quantify fire severity attributes in a treated DFPZ and adjacent untreated forest stands that were burned during the wildfire. They sampled vegetation data from the four distinct forest management areas that were burned within or adjacent to the Prison Fire. The comprehensive vegetation monitoring document, Prison Fire Monitoring, contains detailed results from the monitoring and is referenced at the end of this report. Selected tables, graphs and photos were pulled from this document to show the effects of the Prison Fire in four different stand types (Figure 3). Figure 3. Approximate monitoring transect locations for each treatment area. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 8 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Fire severity attributes were evaluated in four treatment areas: Prison Fire: Burn, an area within the fire perimeter that was burned over but was not thinned; Prison Fire: Control (No Treatment), an area the fire did not enter and was not thinned; Prison Fire: Harvey DFPZ, an area within the fire perimeter that was burned over and was mechanically thinned prior to the wildfire; and Prison Fire: Leave Island (No Treatment), an area located within the Harvey DFPZ which was burned over but was excluded from thinning . Figure 3 shows the approximate locations where vegetation monitoring transect data and photos were collected. The following photo series displays the differences in burn severity in the four treatment areas. Prison Fire: Burn. Wildfire in untreated area outside the Harvey DFPZ. High fire severity and char height, low rate of tree survival. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 9 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Prison Fire: Control. No Treatment and outside of wildfire perimeter. High stand and shrub density, high volume of basal area per acre. Prison Fire: Harvey DFPZ. Mechanically thinnied prior to the wildfire. Low fire severity and char height. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 10 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Prison Fire: Leave Island. Untreated area retained within the Harvey DFPZ. High fire severity and char height, almost no tree survival. Most surviving trees surveyed were infested with red turpentine beetle. Stand Attributes Live as well as dead trees were included in the following stand attributes to describe the existing condition of forest stands prior to the Prison Fire. Mean density (trees per acre, (TPA)) was calculated for each of the four treatments. Results show that the DFPZ had the lowest density (106 TPA) and the unburned Control had the highest density (255 TPA) (Table 1, Figure 4). The Leave Island (burned in wildfire in untreated area inside of the Harvey DFPZ) and Burn (burned in wildfire in untreated area outside of the Harvey DFPZ) treatments had similar tree densities in the middle of the density distributions among the four treatments. Table 1 and Figure 5 reports the mean basal area (BA) for the 4 treatment types. Basal area per acre is used by foresters to determine the amount of timber in a specific location. The calculation represents an estimate of all trees because it takes small samples from around the forest to determine the amount of trees, and here, is represented in square feet of stump per acre. DFPZ and the Leave Island treatment had the lowest basal area measurements with 93 and 107 sq.ft./ac respectively; while the Burn and Control treatments had the highest BA with 128 and 133 sq.ft./ac respectively. When basal area values are significantly lower compared to density values, it indicates that the Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 11 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness basal area is contained in many small trees. This pattern can be seen for the Burn, Leave Island and Control treatments (Figures 4 and 5). Mean tree diameter at breast height (DBH) results were calculated for all 4 treatment types. Results show that the DFPZ had the highest mean DBH of 13.7” with the Leave Islands having the lowest mean DBH of 9.0 (Table 1). Density was calculated for five DBH size classes: 1) 0-5”, 2) 5.1-10”, 3) 10.115”, 4) 15.1-20”, 5) >20.1”. The majority of trees in all treatments were < 20” dbh (87-96%). The DFPZ had only 4% of the trees in the >0-5” dbh size class while the remaining treatments had between 13-18% of the trees in this size class (Table 1). Figure 4. Mean tree density by treatment. Figure 5. Mean basal area by treatment. Densit y TPA Burn 214 DFPZ 106 Control 255 Leave Island 196 Mean BA 128 (60‐180) 93 (20‐130) 133 (70‐250) 107 (70‐140) Mean DBH 0‐5” % of TPA Total 5.1‐10” % of TPA Total 10.1‐15” % of TPA Total 15.1‐20” % of TPA Total >20.1” % of TPA Total 11.7 28 13% 73 34% 51 24% 43 20% 21 10% 13.7 4 4% 25 22% 36 32% 31 29% 14 13% 10.8 46 18% 64 25% 87 34% 51 20% 10 4% 10 33 17% 82 42% 65 33% 0 0% 17 8% Table 1. Summary of stand structure attributes. Density (TPA), Basal Area (BA) and Diameter at Breast Height (DBH), and density of trees by tree size class for each treatment. Basal area ranges indicated in parentheses. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 12 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Severity Measures The burn severity attributes measured were percent tree mortality, bug presence, live tree crown, and char. A comparison of severity measures among the treatments shows that the Burn treatment had the highest percent mortality, the highest proportion of trees with beetles, the least amount of live crown, and the lowest proportion of trees with light char. In contrast, for the treatments that burned, the DFPZ had the lowest burn severity measurements; with the exception of percent bug presence which was higher than the Leave Island. The Leave Island had similar percent mortality as the burn and had the highest number of trees in the high char category (Figures 6 and 7). Prison Fire: Burn. Wildfire in untreated area outside the Harvey DFPZ. High fire severity and char height, low rate of tree survival. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 13 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Prison Fire: Harvey DFPZ. Low fire severity and char height, high rate of tree survival and understory species recovery. Burn Severity 100 Burn percent 90 80 DFPZ 70 Leave Island 60 Control 50 40 30 20 10 0 mortality bug attribute measured live crown Figure 6. Mean percent value for mortality, bug presence, and live crown for each treatment. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 14 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness 100 Char Severity percent 90 80 Burn 70 DFPZ 60 Leave Island 50 40 30 20 10 0 light moderate char categories high Figure 7. Mean percent of trees in each char class by treatment. Mortality/Survival Mean percent mortality was calculated for all four treatments. Mortality ranged from 74% in the Burn to 0% in the Control (Figure 8). Therefore, snag density in the Burn and Leave Island were 158 and 131 snags/ac respectively. The DFPZ had the lowest number of snags in treatments that burned (41 snags/ac) and the Control had zero snags. No trees were affected by the fire in the Control so it was excluded from the following calculations. A negative relationship was observed for tree mortality and dbh. The majority of tree mortality occurred in trees <10” dbh with 100% mortality in size class >1-5”dbh in all burn treatments. The lowest mortality occurred for trees > 15” dbh in the DFPZ treatment (Figure 8). Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 15 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Percent Mortality Burn DFPZ Leave Island 100% 90% 80% percent 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% >1-5 5.1-10 10.1-15 dbh (in) 15.1-20 >20.1 Figure 8. Percent of dead trees by size class for each burned treatment. (Note‐ the 100% mortality for trees > 20” dbh for the leave island treatment was calculated from a random sample resulting in a small sample size of one tree.) Char The percent of trees (dead and alive) in each char category was calculated for each treatment except the Control, which had no char (Figure 9). Moderate char was the most common category with 83.8% of trees in the Burn, 56.3% in the DFPZ and 33.3% in the Leave Island. Light char was observed most frequently in the DFPZ at 39.4%, followed by Leave Island with 33% and the Burn having 11.3%. The Leave Island had the highest proportion of high charred trees with 33.3% and the Burn and DFPZ had similar levels of 5.0% and 4.2% respectively. Char intensity influences the probability of tree survival. Across all burn treatments light charred trees had the highest percent survival. The DFPZ had the highest percent survival in all char categories compared to the other treatment with the exception of 100% survival for the light char category in the Leave Island treatment. This may be due to a small sample size of 4 trees in the Leave Island with light char (Figure 9). Additionally, tree size is associated with char intensity. Figures 10a and 10b show that high char occurs primarily on trees that are < 15 inch dbh. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 16 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Percent Survival 100% Burn 90% DFPZ 80% Leave island percent 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% light moderate high Char Figure 9. Percent tree survival rate by char category for treatments that burned. Prison Fire: Leave Island (No Treatment) Prison Fire: Harvey DFPZ Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 17 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Distribution of char categories by tree size in the burn 100% 90% low 80% mod percent 70% high 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 20-25 dbh size class (in.) Figure 10a. Percent of trees in each char category by dbh size class, burned area with no previous treatment. Distribution of char categories by tree size in the DFPZ 100% 90% low percent 80% 70% mod 60% high 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 dbh size class (in.) 20-25 Figure 10b. Percent of trees in each char category by dbh size class, DFPZ treatment Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 18 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Understory Vegetation Cover The least amount of understory cover occurred in the Leave Island treatment, while the DFPZ had the highest, followed by the Burn and then the Control. Annual forb cover was higher in all treatments that burned compared to the Control. With the exception of annual forbs, all functional group cover was lower in the Leave Island compared to the other treatments. This may be due to the intensity of the fire within the Leave Island. The proportion of all functional group cover was similar for the Burn and DFPZ treatments with both having the highest cover for perennial graminoids and perennial forbs. The highest shrub cover occurred in the Control, but the DFPZ had the highest amount of shrub cover compared to the treatments that burned (Figure 11). The intensity of the wildland fire was lower in the DFPZ and may have not killed all the shrubs that were present in this treatment prior to the burn. Prison Fire: Burn. Little to no understory vegetation response. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 19 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Prison Fire: Control (No Treatment). Low diversity of understory vegetation species. Prison Fire: Harvey DFPZ. Higher diversity and understory vegetation response, little to no duff present. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 20 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Prison Fire: Leave Island (No Treatment). Little to no understory vegetation response. Functional Group Cover by Treatment 45% 40% 35% percent 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Burn Shrub DFPZ Leave Island Control treatment Perennial Forb Annual Forb Perennial Graminoid Figure 11. Average percent cover of each functional group collectively showing total cover for each treatment. Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest 21 Fuel Treatment Effectiveness Summary Our data indicates that the probability of trees surviving a wildland fire depends on both the forest management treatments and tree size. We observed high mortality for trees <10” dbh regardless of burn treatment and high char occurred more frequently on trees <15”dbh. However, char intensity, mortality, and bug presence were lower and percent live crown was higher in the DFPZ compared to the adjacent untreated burned area, demonstrating that the DFPZ type of management treatment is effective in reducing fire severity and contributing to landscape resiliency. Additionally, functional group and total understory plant cover was higher in the DPFZ compared to the other treatments showing that ecosystem services, such as those provided by understory plant communities, are able to recover quickly following a wildland fire within DFPZ management areas. Leave islands located within the DFPZ had higher mortality and char intensity and less percent live crown compared to the surrounding DFPZ. Although we did not have a planned study design to evaluate the effect of leave islands within a DFPZ, the location of the leave islands may have contributed to the spread of the Prison Fire due to spotting ahead of the fire, thereby decreasing the effectiveness of the DFPZ treatment (Figure 3). Additional Documentation Recommend Additional Documentation? Yes__X___ No_____ 1) Jones, B., Hubert, S., Smith, C. Prison Fire Monitoring. June 5, 2012. Name and Title of Person Completing the Report Wendy McCartney Fuels Technician Eagle Lake Ranger District Lassen National Forest Bobette Jones District Ecologist Eagle Lake Ranger District Lassen National Forest Chuck Lewis District Fuels Officer Eagle Lake Ranger District Lassen National Forest E-mail: wendymccartney@fs.fed.us bobettejones@fs.fed.us calewis@fs.fed.us Prison Fire, Region 5, Lassen National Forest Telephone: (530) 252-5833 (McCartney) (530) 252-5816 (Jones) (530) 252-5832 (Lewis) 22