A Strategy for Maintaining Healthy Populations of Western Coniferous Forest Birds Sallie J. Hejl Abstract—Current knowledge of the distribution, habitat relations, and population trends of most birds inhabiting western coniferous forests is rudimentary, and the quality of knowledge varies among species and areas. Cumulatively, individual, correlative, research projects from the Rocky Mountains indicate that: Habitat changes due to recent logging practices are detrimental for most permanent residents and many migrants but are beneficial for other migrants; some species are positively affected by silviculturally induced landscape changes and some are negatively affected; and fire suppression negatively affects birds associated with habitats created by high- and low-intensity fires. Little is known, however, about the impacts of management practices on the demographics of particular species. In addition, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Breeding Bird Surveys (BBS) point out 10 western forest species that have declined in the past 24 years, but cannot indicate the causes of these declines. BBS data also are limited in that substantive information has been obtained for only 50% of western coniferous forest birds, and many of the birds most likely to be negatively affected by logging or fire management are not sampled well by BBS. Until we have more concrete, specific information on the effects of management on all species, I recommend a strategy to help maintain western coniferous forest birds. The strategy is composed of three stages: (1) to maintain, mimic, and restore natural vegetation patterns and processes, (2) to ensure that the specific habitat components required by sensitive species are created and/or maintained, and (3) to monitor the habitats and individual sensitive species in future years. This process is illustrated with an example from managers of the Lolo National Forest. Both logging and prescribed fire are used in this example to recreate natural vegetation patterns across a landscape which had been logged previously in many different ways. The three-stage process would be the same in other forest cover types elsewhere in the West, but the details of the management treatments used would differ depending on the natural vegetation, current condition, and the natural disturbance processes for that particular area. Finally, while all species found in western coniferous forests should be considered in the creation of the North American Bird Conservation Plan, I suggest particular attention be paid to declining species, uncommon species, and those negatively affected by logging and fire suppression. In: Bonney, Rick; Pashley, David N.; Cooper, Robert J.; Niles, Larry, eds. 2000. Strategies for bird conservation: The Partners in Flight planning process; Proceedings of the 3rd Partners in Flight Workshop; 1995 October 1-5; Cape May, NJ. Proceedings RMRS-P-16. Ogden, UT: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. Sallie J. Hejl, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, P.O. Box 8089, Missoula, MT 59807. Current address: Wildlife and Fisheries Sciences, Texas A&M University, 2258 TAMU, College Station, TX 77843-2258. USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-16. 2000 In developing a North American Bird Conservation Plan, many western coniferous forest birds and habitats emerge as high priority species and habitats based on particular review criteria (e.g., population trend information for each bird species; historic losses, current threats, and conservation potential for each habitat) and processes established by each State Working Group of Partners in Flight. To ensure the maintenance of healthy populations of forest birds, managers would need to know: (1) the current distribution of each species, (2) the current distribution of vegetation characteristics important to each species (e.g., age classes of each forest cover type, structural attributes such as snags and downed logs), and (3) the effects of all disturbance regimes—both human-induced and natural—on the distribution and demographics of each bird species within each habitat and in various parts of its geographic range. Managers are not likely ever to have more than a small amount of this information. This paper summarizes the current state of knowledge about coniferous forest birds in western North America and illustrates a management strategy that can help forest managers maintain healthy populations of western coniferous forest birds. Current Knowledge About Western Coniferous Forest Birds __________ Knowledge of current distribution, habitat relations, and population trends of most western coniferous birds is rudimentary, and the quality of knowledge varies among areas (Hejl and others 1995). (I am not considering or reviewing information on the more-studied, known, or suspected threatened and endangered species.) Key information sources are individual research projects and the Biological Resource Division Breeding Bird Surveys (BBS). Both sources are valuable but both have limitations. Most research projects have examined the effects of disturbance regimes on bird species through correlative studies based on count data, not through examination of demographics or causality. In contrast, BBS is a monitoring program that indicates population trends and is not habitat- or treatment-specific. Effects of Logging on Western Coniferous Forest Birds Cumulatively, individual research projects indicate that some species are affected positively and some negatively by logging. This information results primarily from correlation analyses between bird presence or abundance on manipulated and non-manipulated habitats, primarily 97 forest stands. For example, reviewing literature on the effects of silvicultural treatments on forest birds in the Rocky Mountains, Hejl and others (1995) found that 26 species were less abundant in treated areas than in unlogged areas, whereas 15 other species were generally more abundant in the treated areas. Not surprisingly, species that were more abundant in unlogged areas were associated with mature and old-growth forests; almost all resident and about half the migrant species are in this category. Most species associated with logged areas are migrants, most of which are known to be associated with open conditions. In addition, in the Rocky Mountains, mature-forest associates generally appear to be less affected by partial logging than by clearcutting. The data to support this conclusion are not very robust, however, because few studies have examined the effects of logging other than clearcutting. Correlational studies in other areas, e.g., Raphael and others (1988) in northwestern Douglas-fir, also suggest that many mature forest species, such as boleforagers, are negatively affected by logging, while openforest species, such as ground/brush foragers, are affected positively. These results are consistent across habitats and geographic areas for some species—for example, Whitebreasted Nuthatch (Sitta carolinensis) and Brown Creeper (Certhia americana)—but not all, e.g., Townsend’s Solitaire (Myadestes townsendi) and Hermit Thrush (Catharus guttatus) (Hejl 1994; Hejl and others 1995). Knowledge of the effects of silviculturally induced landscape changes (e.g., from clearcutting, strip-cutting, and partial logging) on bird populations is even more rudimentary, although some good correlative studies have been conducted (Wetmore and others 1985; Rosenberg and Raphael 1986; Verner and Larson 1989; Lehmkuhl and others 1991; Keller and Anderson 1992; Hejl and Paige 1994; McGarigal and McComb 1995; Schmiegelow and others 1997). These studies show that some species are more abundant in fragmented areas, whereas some are less abundant. For example, in Douglas-fir forests in California, bird species richness increased significantly in more fragmented stands and 20 species were associated with edges; 18 species, however, avoided edges, and some species clearly showed negative responses to fragmentation, e.g., Spotted Owl (Strix occidentalis), Pileated Woodpecker (Dryocopus pileatus), and Winter Wren (Troglodytes troglodytes) (Rosenberg and Raphael 1986). Similarly to stand-based studies (Hejl and others 1995), 35% of the residents were associated with unfragmented forest interiors, whereas only 11% of migrants showed negative responses to fragmentation (Rosenberg and Raphael 1986). In cedar/hemlock forests in northern Idaho, 16 species were more abundant in areas fragmented by clearcutting, and 3 species—Brown Creeper, Winter Wren, and Golden-crowned Kinglet (Regulus satrapa)—were more abundant in continuous areas (Hejl and Paige 1994). In general, Brown Creeper (Keller and Anderson 1992; Hejl and Paige 1994; but see Rosenberg and Raphael 1986) and Winter Wren (Rosenberg and Raphael 1986; Lehmkuhl and others 1991; Hejl and Paige 1994; McGarigal and McComb 1995) are negatively affected by various types of fragmentation caused by logging, while Olive-sided Flycatcher (Contopus borealis) (Rosenberg and Raphael 1986; Hejl and Paige 1994; McGarigal and McComb 1995) and Pine Siskin (Carduelis pinus) (Rosenberg and 98 Raphael 1986; Lehmkuhl and others 1991; Keller and Anderson 1992; Hejl and Paige 1994) are positively affected. These generalizations stem from count data from landscapes modified in many different ways, and provide only an indication of the importance of forest fragmentation to these species. Indeed, in most cases, teasing apart the effects of fragmentation, or changes in landscape pattern, from the effects of logging per se is difficult. In contrast to these correlative studies, Schmiegelow and others (1997) used an experimental approach to understanding changes in bird numbers in response to changes in landscape patterns. Comparing pre- and post-harvest measurements of bird populations in old, boreal mixed-wood forests, these researchers found that fragmentation had a significant negative effect on seven species in isolated fragments (isolated by clearcutting on all four sides) and six species in connected fragments (isolated on three sides by clearcutting with the fourth side connected to a riparian buffer strip). In contrast, fragmentation has a positive effect on three species in isolated and two species in connected fragments. Many species were temporarily crowded into isolated fragments for one year after the treatment. Considering this, some of the species that seem positively affected by fragmentation in many of the correlative studies mentioned above may also be exhibiting this initial crowding effect, and may actually be negatively affected by fragmentation in the long-term (also suggested by Rosenberg and Raphael 1986). We are just beginning to understand the relationships between western forest birds and silviculturally induced changes in landscape patterns from these few correlative studies and one experimental study. As McGarigal and McComb (1995) and Schmiegelow and others (1997) acknowledged, all of these results must be interpreted within the scope and limitations of each study. For example, in the study of Schmiegelow and others, the fragmentation experiments were embedded in a landscape where large areas of old, mixed forest are still available, potentially dampening any local-scale impacts. Landscape studies conducted at different landscape scales and embedded in different matrices are even harder to generalize from than stand-level studies. These generalizations about the effects of logging on birds result from pooling data across coniferous forests and are based on a relatively small number of correlative studies measuring bird presence and abundance in various habitats (e.g., 19 stand-level studies about logging in the Rocky Mountains). Little is known about the specific relationships between birds and logging. At best, correlative studies provide an indication of how bird densities would be affected by habitat manipulation, but such studies cannot reveal the actual processes involved in any noted changes. Indeed, if a species is consistently absent from manipulated areas that it occupied prior to the manipulation, for example, when many studies are compared as in Hejl and others 1995, then that species probably has been negatively affected by that manipulation. But, on any one particular study, an absent species also could have been affected by another manipulation in the landscape, or affected cumulatively by several manipulations of which this manipulation was just one, or simply could be exhibiting natural population fluctuations (Hejl and others 1988). We are USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-16. 2000 even less certain if change in density reflects changes in its demographics (via nesting success, overwinter survival, and so forth; see Tobalske 1992; Hitchcox 1996; Hejl and Holmes, this proceedings). It is clear, however, that a substantial change in the distribution or habitat use of a species in response to a treatment is just as important as its demographics. We need all three sets of information (distribution, habitat use, and demographics) to know how to maintain species, and we have little information on distribution and habitat use, and almost none on demographics, for most western forest birds. Effects of Fire on Western Coniferous Forest Birds Forest fires are the primary agent of natural disturbance in the West; birds, therefore, evolved with forest fires. Understanding the effects of fire on birds is difficult, because fires vary in intensity, duration, frequency, location, shape, and extent, and few studies have been conducted in burned habitats (Hejl and others 1995). High-intensity fires often create habitat for primary and secondary cavity nesters. In the Rocky Mountains, woodpeckers (migrants and residents), flycatchers (migrants), and seed-eaters (migrants) all benefit from the habitat created by high-intensity fires one to two years after the fire (Hutto 1995). Moderate- and low-intensity fires show less dramatic immediate effects (Hejl 1994). Low-intensity fires may be most important in maintenance of park-like forests, resulting in habitat for birds that prefer open forest, e.g., Purple Martin (Progne subis). Because overall acreage burned has declined—for example, the acreage burned by low-intensity fires has declined by at least an order of magnitude in many forest systems (McKelvey and others 1996)—it is reasonable to assume that bird species associated either directly with fires, or with fire-maintained forest structures, have been negatively affected by fire suppression. Salvage logging of burned forests can further increase or decrease the quality of burns for individual bird species. American Kestrel (Falco sparverius) and Lewis’ Woodpecker (Melanerpes lewis) may benefit from partial logging (Saab 1997), and Tree Swallow (Tachycineta bicolor) may benefit from clearcutting when a few snags are left behind (Caton 1996). Many cavity nesters, however, may be negatively affected by logging, as demonstrated in the following studies: Eight species nested in partially logged but not in clearcut post-fire forests (Caton 1996); few Black-backed Woodpeckers (Picoides arcticus) and Three-toed Woodpeckers (P. tridactylus) nested in the partially logged portions of burned forests, whereas many did in unlogged portions (Hitchcox 1996; Saab 1997; Hejl, unpublished data); and nesting success for Northern Flickers (Colaptes auratus) was lower in logged than in unlogged burns (Hitchcox 1996). Population Trends of Western Coniferous Forest Birds In contrast to habitat-relationship studies, population trend data derived through BBS point out 10 forest species that likely have declined in the past 24 years (e.g., Band-tailed USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-16. 2000 Pigeon, Columba fasciata, and Olive- sided Flycatcher), but do not indicate how or why these birds have declined (Hejl 1994). BBS data are limited also in that substantive information has been obtained for only 50% (57 of 113) of western coniferous forest birds. Many of the species that are most dramatically and negatively affected by many forms of logging and/or the absence of fire, for example Black-backed Woodpecker (Hutto 1995), Pileated Woodpecker (Bull 1987; Raphael and others 1988), Purple Martin (Brawn and Balda 1988), and Brown Creeper (Keller and Anderson 1992) are inadequately sampled by BBS and therefore not monitored by this program. Unfortunately, simply adding more BBS routes does not solve this problem for most of these species, 51 of which are found in such low densities, or have such low detectabilities, that population trends cannot be derived from BBS data (Hejl 1994). Current BBS statisticians recommend analyzing only those species whose average detections are greater than or equal to 1.00 detection/route (John Sauer, personal communication), and these 51 species currently average less than this level. Sampling optimal habitat for these species may help us to determine trends for some of them, but that approach is unlikely to determine this information for all. While the continued existence of oldgrowth forests, snags, burns (especially unlogged burns), and interior forests probably is very important for the maintenance of many species (Hejl 1994), our current monitoring programs often do not adequately sample these habitats or the species about which we should be most concerned. A Strategy for Maintaining Healthy Populations of Western Coniferous Forest Birds ____________________ This strategy is a three-stage management process for maintaining western coniferous forest bird populations: (1) Maintain, mimic, and restore natural vegetation patterns and processes, (2) ensure that the specific habitat components required by sensitive species are created and/or maintained, and (3) monitor the habitats and individual sensitive species in future years. The process is based on the idea that we do not know every habitat requirement for every species, but we can assume that species present today evolved under natural processes in natural habitats, and that by preserving these processes and habitats, we should be able to maintain healthy populations of the species that are associated with them. The first stage includes three steps: (a) Maintain all habitats, for example forest cover types and successional stages, and all habitat components, for example snags, (b) strive to mimic presettlement (“natural”) proportions and distributions of forest types, successional stages, and habitat components, either by retaining or restoring them within their range of variation, and (c) allow or reintroduce natural disturbance patterns, for example, let fires burn or use prescribed fire, leaving many burned areas unlogged (Hejl and others 1995). Sweden has recently begun using a similar strategy in boreal forests (Fries and others 1997). The second stage entails comparing the proposed future vegetation to the needs of each sensitive species (as determined by an examination of the literature) that would potentially use 99 habitats in the area, and ensuring that an adequate amount and kind of vegetation remains or is created. The third stage is to use standardized methods to monitor the habitats and sensitive species in an area, preferably before and at severalyear intervals after the treatments are applied. A Case Study ___________________ The following description of the strategy in operation on the Lolo National Forest (LNF) is an example for a forest in which I have worked, and for which I know the ecosystems well. Application of the strategy, however, should be the same on any area. If the natural patterns in a given area differ from my example, then the patterns in the target area should be mimicked. The strategy does not imply that one type of habitat is superior to another, for example, that old growth is more important than early successional habitat. Rather, the strategy strives to maintain each type of habitat in a proportion similar to its historical existence. The LNF is using this strategy for a timber sale in the Moccasin Ecosystem Management area (J. M. Hillis, personal communication, Lolo National Forest, Building 24, Fort Missoula, Missoula, MT 59801). The area is composed of three coniferous cover types. Much of the lower elevation is covered with ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa)/Douglasfir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) forests. These pine/fir forests last underburned in 1919, and most of the largest trees were cut in 1960. The existing forest is fairly young. The middle elevation is covered by Douglas-fir/western larch (Larix occidentalis) forests. These were underburned in some areas and had stand-replacing fires in others, with the last fires in 1910 and 1919. Big trees were selectively logged out over the years. Patches of young Douglas-fir and young western larch remain, with some large larches spread in pockets throughout the area. The upper elevations are mainly lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta), in which many fires occurred in the 1800s and 1900s, until 1919. Much of the area was clearcut in 40acre patches in 1970. Based on the literature and current and old (1937) aerial photos, managers on the LNF compared the vegetation patterns that exist today with patterns they believed to occur historically. They determined that forest composition and structure in all three areas likely varies from presettlement times, and from what would exist today had these areas been governed solely by natural processes. Based upon presettlement patterns, the lower elevations were covered primarily with large stands (hundreds to thousands of acres) of old-growth ponderosa pine, which underburned every 5 to 25 years (Arno 1976; Arno 1980; Gruell and others 1982; Gruell 1983; Arno 1988; Hejl 1992; Losensky 1993; Arno and others 1995a). The middle elevations consisted of a mixture of even-aged and uneven-aged Douglas-fir and western larch, with scattered stands of large larch throughout. Fire frequency varied from 15 to 80 years, and from low to high intensity, with patch sizes varying from fairly small to fairly large depending upon local topography (Arno 1980; Barrett and others 1991; Hejl 1992; Losensky 1993; Barrett 1994). The upper elevations were composed of a mosaic of primarily young lodgepole pine stands of varying sizes and shapes. High-intensity fires most likely occurred every 20 to 200 years and ranged from 100 to 1,000 acres 100 (Arno 1980; Barrett and others 1991; Losensky 1993; Barrett 1994). All of the areas would have more standing dead trees (snags) and large downed logs than they do now had natural processes been allowed to continue. For the first stage of the strategy, the suggested treatments were: (1) Lower elevations: Remove much of the Douglas-fir, but leave some large Douglas-fir; leave any large- or medium-sized ponderosa pine; and underburn periodically to encourage the recreation of parklike oldgrowth ponderosa pine stands. (2) Middle elevations: Remove some pole-sized Douglas-fir and thin the pole-sized larch to encourage some patches of parklike old-growth larch stands. (3) Upper elevations: Burn the entire area as it stands without logging it. For both economic and political reasons, a compromise approach actually was employed for the upper elevations: Log large lodgepole pine from the leave strips of highly fragmented areas; leave the medium and small trees; and then burn the entire landscape to recreate a large, early seral community with much standing dead and downed woody debris. Restoring or recreating “old-growth” ponderosa pine in the lower elevations requires manipulation (Arno and others 1995b; Arno and others 1995a)—both logging of understory trees and conducting periodic prescribed burns. Decades of fire suppression have changed the natural disturbance patterns and have allowed the build-up of duff and understory Douglas-fir. In general, historically and currently, old-growth and younger ponderosa pine forests require frequent, periodic underburns to favor ponderosa pine over Douglas-fir. Not all old-growth or young forests would require this level of manipulation to recreate presettlement patterns. Other old-growth forests, for example western redcedar (Thuja plicata)/western hemlock (Tsuga heterophylla), and some northern Pacific Northwest Douglas-fir do not require the same frequency of underburns to retain their character (Arno 1980; Hemstrom and Franklin 1982; Agee 1991) and are not likely to require logging of any sort. Also, as much or more early successional habitat exists now than did historically, so the concern on the LNF was to increase old growth, not early seral communities. That scenario may not always occur. If early successional forests are less common than historically, then this strategy calls for increasing those habitats. Variation in treatment is an important concept in the mimicking of natural disturbance patterns and processes. While the maintenance of variation needs to be included in the treatment of each of these habitats, the maintenance of variation in stand age, stand structure, and patch size probably is particularly important in the middle-elevation larch/fir habitat in this case study. For the second stage in this case study, the needs of three sensitive species were considered. Flammulated Owls (Otus flammeolus) require large ponderosa pine trees, large snags, pockets of Douglas-fir, and a fairly open stand (McCallum 1994a,b). Recreating old-growth ponderosa pine stands should meet these needs. Pileated Woodpeckers need large snags (especially ponderosa pine and larch in this area) (McClelland 1977; Bull 1987). Some snags exist but more are needed in the future at lower and middle elevations. Recruiting older stands of ponderosa pine and larch will meet this need in the long-term. Black-backed Woodpeckers may be USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-16. 2000 dependent on stand-replacing fires in the Rocky Mountains (Hutto 1995). Appropriate habitat will be created in the upper elevations by the large, landscape level fires, which will recruit fire-killed dead stands, as long as enough medium and large trees (for snag recruitment) or medium and large snags in suitable densities and patch sizes are left for nesting and foraging in the area. For the final stage of the strategy, all habitats and the three sensitive bird species will be monitored in future years. Optimally, these animals would be sampled for presence/absence and abundance before the treatment, then, using the same methods, every few years after the treatment. The vegetation also should be monitored to see if the management methods used can successfully recreate presettlement patterns of forest types, successional stages, and habitat components. In this example, based on information available at the time this management plan was created, mimicking natural vegetation patterns and processes appears to meet the known needs of the sensitive species in this area, some in the short-term, others in the long-term. In other cases, such mimicking may not meet the needs for specific sensitive species. Then, compromise prescriptions may be needed, in which natural disturbance patterns are modified to ensure that the specific requirements of sensitive species are provided. These modifications may be required if humans have recently created new habitats or microhabitats that are solely or preferentially used by some sensitive species, and which would not exist if the landscape were managed only to mimic presettlement patterns. Another issue would be if habitats are so greatly changed that natural conditions or proportions cannot be restored quickly or at all. The proposed strategy is most applicable in relatively natural areas (where land use has not changed the land base to alternative uses, e.g., housing and agricultural land) and where adjoining landowners agree with the principles discussed above. It may be most applicable to western forests because they are extensive and publicly owned. In areas of alternative uses or where landowners do not agree with these suggestions, one alternate strategy is to learn the needs of each species and to try to maintain appropriate habitat for each. A second alternate strategy is to modify my suggestions and use just a portion of them (e.g., learn the needs of known sensitive species and maintain appropriate habitat for these species, or maintain a certain number of natural structures per unit area), resulting in less certain effects (e.g., potentially missing the needs of those species that are sensitive, but which we do not recognize yet, or maintaining the appropriate distribution of a structure for one species, but not for others). The principles of the strategy can be used on any land base. They are easiest to use at a large landscape scale, for example the basin level, depending on the natural scale of the patterns and processes involved. Plans could be made at the basin level, with individual projects being treated so they fit into the “big picture” of the desired landscape. Public and private landowners could form partnerships and work together using this strategy. Landowners could work together to decide how each could help to create the optimal landscape. In this process, each landowner could help provide a certain portion of each successional stage for each habitat, depending on what USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-16. 2000 currently exists in their land base, what historically existed, and the economic needs of that landowner. Because neither vegetative complexes nor the requirements of species are static (Hejl 1992), I suggest revising this strategy after habitats have been restored to more natural conditions. Managing for presettlement patterns provides for a short-term restoration of “natural” conditions, but it does not allow for the evolution of these habitats or species. Managing for process would allow for perpetuating patterns, but we cannot restore natural patterns via natural processes in many cases. Because we are constrained in our use of natural process, we need steps two and three to help us provide for the species most likely to be sensitive to our human-induced disturbances, and to make sure that this strategy is working. The concern of creating a static situation will have to be addressed in the future, once habitats are restored. Finally, I advise moderation in following these recommendations. My suggestions are based on discussions with (and therefore often the intuition of) many naturalists, managers, and scientists, but they are not substantiated by data from designed experiments. I suggest manipulating only a portion of a habitat at a time, and then monitoring to see if desired outcomes are actually achieved (adaptive management). If the desired outcomes are not achieved, future management activities in these habitats should be designed differently. Final Thoughts _________________ Lubchenco (1995) suggested ingredients for useful communication of scientific information for constructing good policy to maintain biodiversity: What is known; the certainty with which it is known; what is not known; what is suspected; the limits of the science; probable outcomes of different policy options; key areas where new information is needed; and recommended mechanisms for obtaining high-priority information, for example, research or adaptive management. In the body of this paper, I have generally described what we currently know about the relationships between western coniferous forest birds and logging, fire, and fire suppression, and the limits of what we know. Additionally, I have suggested a management strategy, for implementation at the project level, that can be used until we find out more specifics on the effects of each management and natural process on each species, especially potentially sensitive species. I have not yet described the probable outcomes of different policy options; key areas where new information is needed; and recommended mechanisms for obtaining high-priority information, for example, research or adaptive management. Too many different policy options exist to enumerate all of the probable outcomes. Key areas where new information is needed include more information on the distribution, habitat use, and demographics of any species suspected to be sensitive to a particular logging practice or fire suppression, including knowledge at the landscape scale. We also need comparisons between the effects of land management practices (including the treatments used to mimic presettlement patterns) and natural disturbance patterns and processes 101 on forest birds. Information could be obtained either through research or adaptive management. Well-designed monitoring of management practices (adaptive management) can give us useful information; carefully constructed experimental studies (research), however, will be required to address many questions. Besides the potentially declining species indicated by BBS (Hejl 1994), all of the knowledge described herein points to particular concern for two groups of western coniferous forest birds: Uncommon species, and species most likely to be negatively affected by logging and fire suppression (most resident species and many migrants). Both sets of species should be emphasized in the North American Bird Conservation Plan. Uncommon species are a concern because neither BBS nor individual research projects have good data on whether these species are declining and/or are affected by particular land management processes. Resident species as a group are of special concern because in general, they are negatively affected by many types of past logging and by fire suppression—the two most common practices by which humans have affected western coniferous forests. Resident 102 species also may use these habitats year-round, and therefore may be more affected by our management treatments in the winter (potential population “crunch” time) than during summer. Therefore, I suggest that the plan carefully consider guidelines for uncommon and potentially sensitive species, especially residents. Further, while the monitoring of sensitive species on the project level was suggested in the three-step management strategy for individual projects, I also highly recommend large-scale, Westwide monitoring for all species, especially uncommon and potentially sensitive species, which would necessitate new emphases for rare, nocturnal, or otherwise poorly monitored species or habitats—50% of all forest birds—being included in the plan. Acknowledgments ______________ J. M. Hillis, J. A. Holmes, K. McKelvey, and D. Pashley reviewed the manuscript. I appreciate their comments and those of the participants at the Cape May Partners in Flight workshop. USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-16. 2000