Global Observation Research Initiative in the Alpine Glacier National Park GLORIA project: an evaluation of changes in alpine plant species composition and distribution. Lindsey E. Bengtson ‐ USGS Daniel B. Fagre, Ph.D. – USGS Jen Asebrook – NPS Jennifer Hintz‐NPS Relationships Between Temperature Trends in Western Montana and the Northern Hemisphere 1900‐2006 • + 1.33°C rise in annual average temperatures in western Montana • ~ 1.8 times > +0.74°C rise in Global temperatures Pederson, et al 2010 Pederson et al. (2010) Air Temperature Trends – Western Montana Loss of ~ month of extremely cold days (< ‐18oC; 0oF) 3‐fold increase in extremely hot days (>32oC; 90oF) Pederson et al. (2010) High Elevations Pederson, 2011 Grinnell Glacier Hileman photo GNP Archives 1938 Key photo, USGS 1981 Fagre photo, USGS 1998 Bengtson photo, USGS 2009 Upward migration of Tree line Eriogonum androsaeceum, endemic Photo courtesy of Paul Ollig GLobal Observation Research Initiative in Alpine Environments GLORIA Seward 8914 ft Alpine Species Pitamakan 8179 Alpine/subalpine species Bison 7831 ft Grassland/alpine species Dancing Lady 7365 ft Grassland/alpine species Plot Layout GLORIA Research Questions • Has species richness and composition changed? • Is there evidence of immigration of species from lower to higher altitudes? • Has species frequency changed? • Are the endemic species of the study area more affected than species with a broad distribution range? • How sensitive are the species Dancing Lady Mtn July, 2009 Photo Documentation Conditions at mountain summits in Glacier National Park can be harsh! What is the temperature gradient in the alpine? Summit # of Species Making Income Not doing So Hot m eolatu c n a l Sedum f stonecrop ea Spearl Festuca idahoensis Idaho fescue T ar a x a tion, Institu ian ithson h Collection m S p f sy o hotogra Courte . Howard P A Richard KN ing at P d a e r p D, s to SW New cum ce r a to Da n d e l p h o r u m io n GL and D Courtesy of Glacier National Park Courtesy of Rob New t o DGL, s preadin g at P Phacelia sericea Silky phacelia New to PKN, spreading at SWD and DGL ert J. Bie lesch Grassland Species Lost at DGL, decreasing at BSN KN and SWD Saxifraga caespitosa Tufted saxifrage Decreasing at SWD, PKN, and BSN Papaver pygmaeum Courtesy of Melissa Hornbein New to SWD What is the cause of change? Natural Variability? Competitive Balance? Inter‐annual variability? Climate Change? What’s happening at other GLORIA sites around the world? • 10th annual GLORIA conference in Perth, 2010, showed similar results at this latitude. • Several Studies have revealed alterations of species richness in high alpine mtns, with shifts in distribution evident in Euro mtns. • + 1.5 species/m^2 in 10 years in Central Austrian Alps (Pauli, et al. 2007) Elevational shift of 24 new species above 2600 m Now What? • Time will tell – Need more years of data – Gain better understanding of natural variability • Expand protocol – Examine functional traits – Collaborate with GNP botanists to expand life history information, distribution ranges, etc. of specific species – Identify and monitor biological indicator species – Conduct surveys farther down slope – Establish a West side site DGL East New Species (11m) CARALB MEROBL PENALB PHALYA POAALP POANEMI RHOINTI SEDROS SELDEN SMECAL Plant Functional Traits Vegetative Traits Regenerative Traits Leaf Traits •Growth form •Dispersal mode, shape •Specific leaf and size area (SLA) •Life form •Seed mass •Leaf size •Plant height •Flowering phenology •Leaf dry matter content •Leaf phenology Monitoring the effect of climate change on snow‐bed related plants Conclusions ‐Climate is warming is our region and affecting the alpine ‐Increase in alpine plant species number and abundance over five years. ‐Greatest community structure changes occurring on north and east aspects. ‐Further investigation needed to understand species sensitivity and response to inter‐annual fluctuation. ‐Intra‐annual assessment will improve understanding of scope of change. ‐Identifying functional traits will help local and regional analysis ‐GLORIA has served as an anchor point that has piqued interest in other types of studies. Thank you 2009/2010/2011 GLORIA research team: Jen Asebrook Jennifer Hintz Kendra Hinxman Melissa Hornbein Pete Delzotto Lindsey Bengtson Paul Ollig and Lisa McKeon Kevin Jacks and Erich Peitzsch Martha Apple and James www.gloria.ac.at/ www.fs.fed.us/psw/cirmount/wkgrps/gloria/