Proc. Nati Acad. Sci. USA Vol. 78, No. 7, pp. 4440-4443, July 1981 Evolution Genes, individuals, and kin selection (insect and human societies/cost of selection) PHILIP J. DARLINGTON, JR. Museum of Comparative Zoology, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138 Contributed by Philip J. Darlington, Jr., March 26, 1981 ABSTRACT The altruistic-gene theory of kin selection requires conditions so improbable that its reality is doubtful. The gene-quantity theory, including the theory of inclusive fitness, assumes that selection acts on sums of kins' genes, but no effective mechanism is apparent. Insect and human societies may have evolved by individual selection, in two steps: first something made staying together advantageous to individuals, and then altruistic behaviors evolved in net-gain lotteries, also (statistically) advantageous tindividuals. Kin seleition is not required in these or any other unequivocal cases; the theory should be reexamined and probably abandoned. The probability of kin selection is further reduced by the cost of evolution by selection. Much current evolutionary mathematics and determinist sociobiology, which ignore how the cost of selection limits the precision of adaptations, including adaptive behaviors, may be dangerously unrealistic. form demes consisting only of bearers of a new, rare altruistic gene within a population made up mainly of nonaltruists, and then that nonaltruists dispersing from elsewhere in the population do not enter the demes later and compete with and eliminate the altruists. These conditions are improbable. A better explanation ofspread ofaltruistic genes, which does not depend on kin selection, is that the genes increase rather than decrease the fitness of individuals carrying them, in net-gain lotteries, as described later in the present paper. The gene-quantity theory of kin selection is that kin share identical genes in proportion to kinship; that altruism to kin increases the quantity of genes identical with the altruist's own in the next generation; that this is selectively advantageous if the cost to the altruist in loss of offspring is less than the gain in genes, some or all of the altruist's own offspring being traded off for more-than-equivalent quantities of genes transmitted by kin (this being the essential dogma of the theory); and that for this reason (with no other return to the altruists) genetically determined behaviors by which individuals select kin to be the beneficiaries of altruism have evolved by selection. This theory was proposed by Hamilton (1) and is graphically illustrated by Wilson in Sociobiology (ref. 2, p. 119, figure 5-9). For example-the example parallels Haldane's (4) two-brothers case but is not the same, because he was concerned with single altruistic genes rather than with gene quantities-kinselection theorists calculate that half the genes of brothers are identical, derived by replication of the genes of their common parents; that if one brother saves another from drowning and enables him to reproduce, the one (in effect) transmits half his own genes through his brother and adds them to the quantity of genes he transmits himself; and thatfor this reason--because it increases the quantity of genes identical with the altruist's own in the next generation-selection should have put brothers under strong, genetically determined compulsion to save each other, if the risk (expected cost) is less than half the altruist's own chance of surviving and reproducing. This calculation is usually accepted uncritically, and'has been endlessly repeated and elaborated. But if one brother lets another drown and takes his mate, the one runs no risk and hands on all his own genes instead ofonly half;,selection should therefore have put brothers under even stronger compulsion to let each other drown. The calculation ignores the probability that a brother's offspring will compete with the altruist's own. And it ignores the fact that all members of a Mendelian population share many genes, so that altruism to a brother has only a small genetic advantage over altruism to other individuals in the population. These criticisms suggest that the usual kin-selection arithmetic is oversimplified. However, the theory more than the arithmetic requires criticism. Two questions should be asked about it. First, how can selection act on quantities of genes? The unit ofnatural selection is the individual; I (ref. 6, pp. 87-88 and 140-142) have argued this point informally, and Hull (7) has put it in more formal Many influential biologists, including mathematicians (e.g., ref. 1), sociobiologists (e.g., ref. 2), and determinists (e.g., ref. 3), accept the geneticitheory of kin selection, and some of them try to explain human behavior by it. If this is a mistake, the sooner it is corrected the better.MTheories such as this, that purport to explain us to ourselves, are like maps of dangerous terrain. If they are correct, we need them and should not blame them for the dangers. But if they are wrong, they are dangerous in themselves. My thesis now is that the complex mathematical theory ofkin selection is vulnerable because it is based on mistaken assumptions, and that the assumptions rather than the complexities need reexamination. DEFINITIONS AND DISCUSSION Two theories of kin selection are current, although they are not always clearly distinguished. One theory is concerned with single altruistic genes; the other, with quantities of genes expressed as fractions of genotypes. Both theories are determinist; they assume that individuals' behavior is determined in considerable detail by their genes. The altruistic-gene theory of kin selection is that a single gene may induce individuals to select kin for altruism, decreasing the altruists' own chances of surviving and reproducing-that is, decreasing their fitness-but increasing the chances of related individuals who are likely to carry the same gene. The gene is disadvantageous at first, but becomes advantageous if it spreads to all members of a population, all of whom then receive more benefit from each other than their altruism costs. Ingenious mathematical models, suggested by Haldane (ref. 4, p. 44) and recently reviewed by Boorman and Levitt (5), have been devised to show how such a gene might spread through a population by genetic drift and small-deme selection. However, the models require first that kin altruism and random genetic drift The publication costs ofthis article were defrayed in part by page charge payment. This article must therefore be hereby marked "advertisement" in accordance with 18 U. S. C. §1734 solely to indicate this fact. 4440 Evolution: Darlington terms, concluding (p. 313) that"... only individuals can be selected," although individuals are not always easy to recognize. Genes may be selected if they benefit single individuals that carry them, or if they induce reciprocal altruism that benefits two or more interacting individuals, or if they command support for key individuals in groups, as in the ant colony described hereafter. But, except in special cases such as these, no mechanism is apparent by which selection can favor either single genes or gene quantities in the way kin-selection theory requires. Selection does increase the quantities of advantageous genes in a population, but this does not mean that individuals act to "maximize representation of their genes in the next generation." They act to maximize successful offspring-individuals-in continuing, adaptable lineages. Increase of gene quantities is the result of this process; it is not selectively advantageous in itself. This is conventional Darwinian theory, and if it is correct (as I think it is), the gene-quantity theory of kin selection is unrealistic. It follows that the current theory ofinclusive fitness (1), which is that the fitness of an individual is determined by the sum of genes carried by itself and its kin, is unrealistic too-mathematically elegant but with no basis in reality-although I do not like to think what might happen to a Ph. D. candidate who tried to tell his genetics professor so! The second question is, does selection favor transmitting identical genes? This is a question that kin-selection theorists usually do not ask, much less answer. It was asked me by a group of nonprofessional naturalists, who asked why, ifselection favors gene identity in offspring, most plants and animals outcross, so that the genes of their offspring are not identical but diversified? This is a deadly question for the genetic theory of kin selection. The conventional Darwinian answer is that gene diversity is selectively advantageous because it promotes individual variability and population adaptability. Do individual plants and animals expend energy and take risks to increase gene diversity in their offspring, by outcrossing, and at the same time expend energy and take risks to reduce gene diversity, by altruism to kin? And why should selection favor genes simply because they are identical? Identical genes may not be selectively advantageous; the genes of an average individual in a population are presumably neither better nor worse than those of another average individual; and if an individual's genes are superior, what is the selective advantage to the individual of presence of its superior genes in offsprings' probable competitors? A distinction is sometimes made between genes "identical by common descent" and other identical genes, but what is the difference to the individuals carrying them, if the selective effect of the genes is the same? My conclusion is that the theories of gene-quantity kin selection and inclusive fitness are based on erroneous assumptions and should be abandoned. What, then, are alternative explanations of the evolutions of insect and human societies? Insect Societies. We see something that looks like genetic kin selection in aculeate (stinging) Hymenoptera. Sex determination in Hymenoptera is haploid/diploid, haploid (unfertilized) eggs producing males, diploid (fertilized) eggs producing females; all the sperms that a female receives from one male are genetically identical, and her daughters are then half-identical-twin sisters; and societies based on sister altruism have evolved about a dozen times in these insects-separately in ants, wasps, and bees, and repeatedly in some of these groups (8). This is usually supposed to be cause and effect, the exceptionally close genetic relatedness of sisters predisposing them to evolve altruistic-social behaviors by kin selection. But some entomologists, including Evans (9), who have studied social Hymenoptera think that factors other than kinship may explain Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 78 (1981) 4441 the insects' predisposition to sociality, and I can suggest one: ability to sting. The situation is comparable to that in Mullerian mimicry, in which distasteful species evolve similarities so that a taste of any one protects all against a predator. Among solitary aculeates, each individual must sting for itself and risk its life in doing so. (The risk lies in the predator's attack; the act of stinging is itself fatal only to some bees.) But if individuals stay together, any one can sting for all. This gives a strong selective advantage to staying together, and anything that keeps individuals together may favor evolution of reciprocal altruistic behaviors. Possession of the sting is only part of the advantage. Aculeate Hymenoptera have narrow-waisted, flexible bodies that allow them to aim the sting effectively; their mandibulate mouths allow them to manipulate objects (ref. 8, p. 328); and the power offlight ofprimitive social aculeates probably allowed them to use the resources of extended areas while living together. Note that stinging is not primarily altruistic; the stinger protects itself as well as its associates. The individuals that sting are determined by chance, by which happen to meet predators or competitors, which is to say by a lottery. And the advantage is reciprocal, not dependent on kinship, although close kin are often involved. Not all social Hymenoptera sting now; some have evolved other means of defense; but the primitive ones evidently did and still do. And not all can fly now; flightless worker ants have evolved other means of utilizing resources in smaller areas but perhaps more efficiently. The stinging hypothesis is only one possible alternative to kin selection in evolution of sociality in Hymenoptera. There may be others. Haploid/diploid sex determination may have played a part too, not by kin selection, but in ways suggested by Snell (10) almost half a century ago. It allows deleterious recessive alleles to be eliminated promptly and cheaply. (Why does it not occur more widely in other animals?) And it favors mutual recognition and cooperation of colony mates, because a mutant gene may be immediately shared by all the workers in a colony. In termites, which do not sting, and in which sex determination is not haploid/diploid, what kept individuals together and initiated their social evolution is thought to have been their dependence on symbiotic cellulose-digesting microorganisms transmitted by "anal feeding" (ref. 11, p. 18). Individuals had to stay together to obtain symbionts from each other after molting, and offspring had to stay with their parents to obtain symbionts, and social behaviors then evolved. But symbiont transmission was not primarily altruistic; all individuals gained by the presence of other individuals; the advantage was reciprocal. The Ant Colony. Closer analysis of a simple ant colony is instructive. The colony may consist of one fertilized queen, who does all the reproducing, and (say) 99 sterile female workers irrevocably committed to caring for the queen, who is their mother, and for her offspring, who are their sisters and brothers. This is all that most observers see, and it looks like a clear case of one-way kin altruism, the workers neither receiving nor expecting any return for their self-sacrifice. But we know now (and might have predicted) that whether a female becomes a queen or a worker is not determined by her genes but by a lottery, by what food and care she happens to get as a larva (11). In the simple ant colony just described, each individual female begins with one chance in a hundred to become a reproducing queen rather than a worker. Of course this is oversimplified. New queens do not reproduce in their natal colonies but later, in colonies they found themselves, and many queens fail to found colonies. But these complications do not change the fact that, as an egg, each female has a chance to be a queen rather than a worker, and that the outcome is determined by a lottery that each female has a chance to win. The workers' altruism therefore contributes to the reproductive success of queens who might ,.2 Evolution: Darlington have been themselves. The queen carries genes that, although not expressed in herself, determine the supporting behaviors of her daughter workers. This system is like that in a multicellular organism, in which the fertilized germ cell carries genes that, although not expressed in the germ itself, determine the supporting behaviors of the somatic daughter cells. In these systems, individual queen ants and individual germ cells are selected according to the support their genes can command, by ordinary Darwinian selection, with no need of the devious and improbable mechanism of "kin selection." Human Societies. We see kin altruism in humans too, both from parents to offspring and among collateral kin. These two cases differ in an essential way, and Dawkins (3, 12) was mistaken not to distinguish them. The difference is that some degree of parental altruism-at least the expenditure of energy required for reproduction-is essential to continuity of lineages and must be maintained by ordinary Darwinian selection, whereas this is not true of altruism among collateral kin. Kinselection theorists interpret altruism among human sibs and more distant kin as due to genetic kin selection. But anthropologists (e.g., ref. 13) find that the relationship between altruism and kinship is not precise in primitive societies, and we see that altruism among people is not metered out in proportion to kinship, but excludes incompatible kin (history provides many examples) and includes unrelated friends and sometimes strangers. What we see does not fit the predictions of kin-selection theory, but looks more like reciprocal-responsive altruism (ref. 6, pp. 149-150) in which offers of altruism are made good only if responded to, and which form net-gain lotteries in which all compatible individuals gain or (unconsciously) expect to gain more than their altruism costs. Kin are often included in the lotteries but are not uniquely favored. This pattern of behavior may reflect social rather than genetic pressures. If it is genetic, the altruist may say (in effect), not "I help you because you have my genes," but "Our genes make us respond to each other and help each other for our own and our offsprings' sakes. " This is genetically determined altruism, but not genetic kin selection. In it, altruism is reciprocally advantageous; fitness is measured by number of successful offspring, as it should be; the unrealistic concept of inclusive fitness is dispensed with; and altruistic behaviors evolve by ordinary Darwinian selection because they are selectively advantageous to individuals, all of whom are statistically more likely to gain than lose by the altruistic transactions. Our prehuman ancestors, incidentally, may first have been kept together by the advantages of living in groups-selectively advantageous to all individuals in finding food and in defenseand later by the additional advantages of social transmission of primitive technologies (transmitted by imitation) and information and ideas (transmitted by language). An important principle emerges from comparison of these cases. Evolution of societies seems usually to have involved two steps. First, something made staying together advantageousfor individuals, so that genes that kept individuals together were established by individual selection. And then reciprocally advantageous behaviors evolved, also by individual selection, in which altruism was not a one-way sacrifice but part of net-gain lotteries in which all individuals gained or expected (were statistically likely) to gain more than their altruism cost. The (hypothetical) factors that first made staying together advantageous were different in different cases: in social Hymenoptera, defensive-aggressive behavior; in termites, transmission of cellulose-digesting symbionts; and in prehumans, transmission of technologies, information, and ideas by imitation and language, although the reciprocal advantages of defensive-aggressive behavior may have helped keep prehumans together too. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 78 (1981) A secondary factor reduces the probability of kin selection: the cost of selection (ref. 6, pp. 113-117 and pages indexed). Natural selection can operate only by elimination. One allele substitution may cost the elimination of many times the number of individuals in one generation of a population (14). One adaptation may require many allele substitutions. And in real populations thousands of structures, functions, and behaviors are under selection; each selective process is costly, and they affect each other in ways that increase costs, partly by the Red Queen effect (ref. 15, pp. 17 and following and note 32); the populations themselves and their environments continually change in ways that change selective forces; and populations cannot pay the cumulative costs. So, most organisms most of the time are probably far from perfectly adapted to their environments, but are just a little better than their competitors, for the time being. Specifically, cost would be expected to limit the evolution of complex, genetically determined kin-recognition and kin-preference behaviors in situations in which many selective processes are going on together in populations and environments that have changed as complexly and as rapidly as they have in human populations in the last few thousand or few hundred generations. For example, reciprocal-responsive altruism is simpler than kin selection, but its precision too would be expected to be limited by the cost of its evolution by selection. Much human behavior does seem to conform to a general pattern ofaltruism and response, but both the offers of altruism and the responses are far from consistent or precise. CONCLUSIONS The altruistic-gene theory of kin selection is improbable, and the gene-quantity theory, and also the theory of inclusive fitness, are based on erroneous assumptions. Supposed examples are better explained as results ofindividual selection. Until and unless kin-selection theorists can produce unequivocal cases and can answer criticisms satisfactorily, students ofbehavior and especially of human behavior are wise to discount the theory. More broadly, we should discount the theories of any evolutionists who do not define selection, or who define it as differential reproduction or change of gene ratios, without recognizing that natural selection acts by elimination, and that its cost limits what evolution can do. Theoretical-mathematical models of evolution that assume "maximization" or precision of adaptations are likely to be wrong because they ignore the cost of selection, and this is especially true of sociobiology models that assume that selection has determined details of human behavior. Much current evolutionary mathematics and determinist sociobiology may be not just a little wrong, but dangerously unrelated to reality. Postscript. Dawkins (12) lists "twelve misunderstandings of kin selection." Some are inconsequential, but others seem to me to be valid criticisms which Dawkins does not answer satisfactorily, and which I repeat in my present paper. Finally, I should ask more bluntly a question, implied in preceding pages, which proponents of theories of kin selection and inclusive fitness should be required to answer. What good-what selective advantage-is it to an individual to have its genes represented in other individuals which, in any ordinary population, will be competitors? I thank Edward 0. Wilson and Howard E. Evans for reading my manuscript and for useful criticism, but they are not responsible for my conclusions. 1. Hamilton, W. D. (1964)1. Theor. Biol. 7, 1-52. 2. Wilson, E. 0. (1975) Sociobiology (Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA). Evolution: Darlington 3. Dawkins, R. (1976) The Selfish Gene (Oxford, New York). 4. Haldane, J. B. S. (1955) New Biology 18, 34-51. 5. Boorman, S. A. & Levitt, P. R. (1980) The Genetics of Altruism (Academic, New York). 6. Darlington, P. J., Jr. (1980) Evolutionfor Naturalists, The Simple Principles and Complex Reality (Wiley, New York). 7. Hull, D. R. (1980) Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 11, 311-332. 8. Wilson, E. 0. (1971) The Insect Societies (Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA). Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 78 (1981) 4443 9. Evans, H. E. (1977) BioScience 27, 613-617. 10. Snell, G. D. (1932) Am. Nat. 66, 381-384. 11. Oster, G. F. & Wilson, E. 0. (1978) Caste and Ecology in the Social Insects (Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ). 12. Dawkins, R. (1979) Z. Tierpsychol. 51, 184-200. 13. Sahlins, M. (1976) The Use and Abuse of Biology (Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI). 14. Haldane, J. B. S. (1957)J. Genet. 55, 511-524. 15. Van Valen, L. (1973) Evol. Theory 1, 1-30.