TOO CUNNIING TO BE UNDERSTOOD*: LATE HOLOCENE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA CLIMATE RECORDS FROM SAN FRANCISCO BAY MARSH SEDIMENTS Scott W. Starratt USGS, Menlo Park sstarrat@usgs.gov *with apologies to William Shakespeare CONCLUSION Climate records can be obtained from marsh ecosystems using diatoms, BUT ... Detailed knowledge of the modern ecological controls is necessary High diversity requires detailed taxonomic analysis ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS IN SAN FRANCISCO BAY Well understood Salinity Temperature pH Poorly understood Major nutrients (N, P, Si) Minor nutrients (Fe, Cu, Mg, etc.) Turbidity Sediment type Exposure Oxygen levels PRE-HISTORIC CLIMATE RECORDS: LOCAL Pollen Isotopes Oxygen Carbon Strontium Sediment analysis PRE-HISTORIC CLIMATE RECORDS: REGIONAL Tree-ring Conifers Oaks Lake levels Mono Lake, California Owens Lake, California Pyramid Lake, Nevada Walker Lake, Nevada Lake Tahoe, California-Nevada WHY DIATOMS? Live anywhere there is sufficient light and water Not susceptible to solution in the low pH environments typical of marshes High diversity (more than 600 species and varieties in San Francisco Bay) Ecological specificity Problems Transportation Bioturbation High diversity and ecological specificity WHY MARSHES? Stability of environment for long-term studies Less susceptible to physical and biological reworking Accessibility Problems Regional comparability THE STUDY SITES: PRESENT Located between normal marine and freshwater environment Some of the last remaining areas of original tidal marsh 40% of the precipitation that falls in California and 90% of the freshwater entering San Francisco Bay flows through the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta THE STUDY SITES: PAST • Rush Ranch • Benicia State Park CLIMATE CONTROLS CLIMATE CONTROLS CLIMATE CONTROLS WATER FLOW Factor analysis is used to determine diatom distribution ABUNDANCE OF FRESHWATER TAXA Climate-related intervals Strontium Isotope-Derived Salinity Record Pyramid Lake Record CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH Preliminary results indicate that diatoms can be used to study high-resolution climate signals in estuarine environments Salinity is not the only variable that controls the temporal and spatial distribution of diatom species Regional correlations can be made, but only with sufficient understanding of the physical, chemical, and biological parameters controlling the composition of the diatom floras at each site Coming in 2007 to the Geological Society of America Annual Meeting DIATOMS: From Pond Scum to Carbon Sink Paleontological Society Short Course Saturday October 27, 2007 Denver, Colorado