David A. Charlet and Pat Leary College of Southern Nevada Funding and other support for this work: Nevada Climate Change Infrastructure for Climate Change Research, Education, and Outreach Clark County Ecosystem Indicators Project (Southern Nevada Public Land Management Act) US Geological Survey USDA Natural Resource Conservation Service US Fish and Wildlife Service Bureau of Land Management College of Southern Nevada Wesley E. Niles Herbarium, UNLV Premier location to study climate change Paleoclimate proxy data sets: Biological: fossil, pollen, woodrat midden Geomorphological: pluvial lake shores and basins, sand dunes, glacial and periglacial features Presence of all major temperate life-zones except Humid Transition Understanding our flora requires the context of climate change, isolation of populations, and refugia Hunt 1967 Plant species have specific tolerances for conditions and resource availability (e.g., temperature, nutrients, water) Vary one of the conditions (climate), and the distributions of the plants should change To detect changes in vegetation as it responds to changes in climate, we must first know where the vegetation is now We don’t know very well how species are distributed We must develop the baseline data Charlet Billings (1951) Merriam (1898) Alpine Alpine tundra MZS Arctic-Alpine Subalpine Limber pine-bristlecone pine MZS Hudsonian Montane Yellow pine-White fir MZS Canadian Pygmy Conifer Pinyon-juniper MZS Upper Sonoran Sagebrush Sagebrush-grass Upper Sonoran Blackbrush Creosote-bush Lower Sonoran Creosotebush Creosote-bush Lower Sonoran Saltbush Shadscale Lower Sonoran Alpine Subalpine Not part of Mojave series Montane Pygmy Conifer Sagebrush Saltbush Absolute desert South Aspect North Aspect Nival Alpine Subalpine Pluvial Lake / Montane ? South Aspect North Aspect Alpine Subalpine Montane Pygmy Conifer Sagebrush Saltbush Absolute desert South Aspect North Aspect Alpine Nival Alpine Subalpine Subalpine Alpine Montane Pygmy Conifer Sagebrush Saltbush Pluvial Lake / Montane ? Absolute desert / Pluvial Lake Full Glacial HA2 Present Day HØ Montane Subalpine Pygmy Conifer Sagebrush Saltbush Absolute desert Thermal Max HA1 Alpine Alpine Subalpine Montane Pygmy Conifer Blackbrush Pluvial Lake / Saltbush Full Glacial HA2 Subalpine Alpine Montane Subalpine Montane Pygmy Conifer Blackbrush Creosotebush Saltbush Absolute desert Present Day HØ Pygmy Conifer Blackbrush Creosotebush Saltbush Absolute desert Thermal Max HA1 Precipitation gauge High tensile Radiation sensor strength supports Passive solar design State of the art climate monitoring stations State of the art climate monitoring stations Climate transects BASELINE DATA Four types collected at each site Floristic the plant species Vegetation the arrangement and structure of plant species that dominate the site Physical Location, elevation, aspect, slope, substrate Photographic High resolution, geo-referenced, time-stamped Mojave Transect Climate stations (5) Distribution of samples (n = 2007) Climate monitoring installations (7): Vegetation samples (n = 316) Floristic Data 1699 Achnatherum hymenoides Agave utahensis eborispina Amelanchier utahensis 1700 Achnatherum hymenoides Achnatherum parishii Agave utahensis eborispina 1701 Abies concolor Achnatherum hymenoides Achnatherum parishii 1702 Abies concolor Ageratina herbacea Amelanchier utahensis Arceuthobium divaricatum Artemisia nova Artemisia tridentata vaseyana Asclepias asperula Astragalus calycosus Astragalus purshii Berberis fremontii Bouteloua gracilis Carex rossii Castilleja linearifolia Ceanothus greggii Chaetopappa ericoides Chamaescyce fendlerii Chrysothamnus depressus Cordylanthus parvifolia Coryphantha vivipara Cryptantha flavoculata Echinocereus triglochidiatus Elymus elymoides Ephedra viridis Eriogonum microthecum simp Eriogonum umbellatum subarid Frasera albomarginata Gilia inconspicua Glossopetalon spinescens Gutierrezia sarothrae Hedeoma drummondii Hymenoxys cooperi Juniperus osteosperma Opuntia phaecantha Opuntia polyacantha erinacea Opuntia polyacantha hystricina Penstemon eatonii Penstemon palmeri Phoradendron juniperinum Physaria kingii Pinus monophylla Poa fendleriana Purshia stansburiana Sphaeralcea parviflora Symphoriocarpos longiflorus Yucca baccata Amelanchier utahensis Artemisia dracunculus Artemisia ludoviciana Artemisia nova Artemisia tridentata vaseyana Astragalus platytropis Astragalus purshii Berberis fremontii Bouteloua gracilis Brickellia oblongifolia Calylophus lavanduliferus Carex rossii Castilleja lineariifolia Ceanothus greggii Cercocarpus intricatus Cercocarpus ledifolius Chaetopappa ericoides Chamaescyce fendlerii Chenopodium fremontii Cirsium arizonicum Cryptantha flavoculata Dietaria canescens Echinocereus triglochidiatus Elymus elymoides Ephedra viridis Ericameria nauseosa speciosa Eriogonum microthecum simpso Eriogonum umbellatum subaridu Euphorbia brachycera Fallugia paradoxa Galium parishii Glossopetalon spinescens Gutierrezia sarothrae Hedeoma drummondii Hymenopappus filifolius Ipomopsis arizonica Juniperus osteosperma Linanthus nuttallii Linum lewisii Lomatium graveolens alpinum Mirabilis oxybaphoides Oenothera caespitosa marginata Opuntia polyacantha erinacea Opuntia polyacantha hystricina Penstemon eatonii Penstemon linarioides sileri Phlox condensata Physaria chambersii Physaria kingii Pinus monophylla Pinus ponderosa Piptatherum micranthum Prunus fasciculatum Pseudoroegneria spicatum Purshia stansburiana Salvia dorrii clokeyi Symphoriocarpos longiflorus Achnatherum parishii de Agave utahensis eborispina Ageratina herbacea Amelanchier utahensis Antennaria rosea Arceuthobium divaricatum Artemisia dracunculus Artemisia nova Astragalus humistratus Berberis fremontii Bouteloua gracilis Carex rossii Castilleja linearifolia Cercocarpus intricatus Cercocarpus ledifolius Cheilanthes feei Cirsium arizonicum Cryptantha flavoculata Cuniculotinus gramineus Echinocereus triglochidiatus Elymus elymoides Ephedra viridis Ericameria parryi nevadensis Glossopetalon spinescens Hesperostipa comata Hymenopappus filifolius Ipomopsis arizonica Jamesia americana Juniperus osteosperma Juniperus scopulorum Linanthus nuttallii Linum lewisii Lomatium graveolens alpinum Penstemon eatonii Penstemon linarioides sileri Petradoria pumila Philadelphus microphyllus Phlox condensata Physocarpus alternans Pinus longaeva Pinus monophylla Pinus ponderosa Piptatherum micranthum Pseudoroegneria spicata Silene verrucunda Symphoriocarpos longiflorus Tetradymia canescens Tetraneuris acaulis Artemisia dracunculus Artemisia nova Artemisia tridentata vaseyana Boechera perennans Bouteloua gracilis Brickellia grandiflora Bromus anomalus Carex rossii Castilleja linearifolia Cercocarpus ledifolius Chamaescyce fendlerii Chrysothamnus depressus Cirsium arizonicum Cryptantha cinerea abortiva Cryptantha flavoculata Elymus elymoides Ephedra viridis Ericameria parryi nevadensis Eriogonum panamintense Eriogonum umbellatum subardu Euphorbia brachycera Gutierrezia sarothrae Ipomopsis arizonica Juniperus osteosperma Juniperus scopulorum Linanthus nuttallii Oenothera caespitosa marginata Opuntia polyacantha erinacea Opuntia polyacantha hystricina Packera multilobata Pedicularis semibarbata charlest Penstemon eatonii Penstemon linarioides sileri Penstemon rostriflorus Petradoria pumila Phlox condensata Physaria chambersii Physaria kingii Pinus monophylla Pinus ponderosa Poa fendleriana Pseudoroegneria spicata Purshia stansburiana Rhus trilobata Ribes cereum Salvia dorrii clokeyi Symphoriocarpos longiflorus Tetradymia canescens Tetraneuris acaulis Thelesperma subnudum Mojave matrix: 2007 samples x 840 species 20 VEGETATION AND FLORISTIC SAMPLES (N = 316) DISTRIBUTED BY LIFE ZONE AND ELEVATION IN WHITE PINE COUNTY, NEVADA SALTBUSH 18 N U CREOSOTEBUSH BLACKBRUSH 16 M B E R O F SAGEBRUSH 14 Climate monitoring installations (7): 12 PYGMY CONIFER MONTANE SUBALPINE 10 ALPINE S A M P 8 2 per. Mov. Avg. (SALTBUSH) 2 per. Mov. Avg. 6 (SAGEBRUSH) L E 4 S 2 3850 3700 3550 3400 3250 3100 2950 2800 ELEVATION (m) 2650 2500 2350 2200 2050 1900 1750 1600 1450 1300 1150 1000 850 700 550 400 250 100 0 100 VEGETATION AND FLORISTIC SAMPLES (N = 2007) DISTRIBUTED BY LIFE ZONE AND ELEVATION IN CLARK COUNTY, NEVADA 90 N U SALTBUSH 80 CREOSOTEBUSH M B 70 Climate monitoring installations (5): E R O 60 F 50 S 40 A M P BLACKBRUSH SAGEBRUSH PYGMY CONIFER MONTANE SUBALPINE 2 per. Mov. Avg. (SALTBUSH) 30 L E 20 S 10 ELEVATION (m) 3850 3700 3550 3400 3250 3100 2950 2800 2650 2500 2350 2200 2050 1900 1750 1600 1450 1300 1150 1000 850 700 550 400 250 100 0 576 NVCS plots (266 in Great Basin transect, 310 in Mojave transect) Quantitative cover species data Useful for detailed analysis of species distributions in a single landscape feature 1770 “RACE” samples (1700 in Mojave transect, 70 in Great Basin transect) Presence/absence species data Useful for defining life zones in a single landscape feature or across a region Presence/Absence data of groups of trees and shrubs Useful for regional trends Group characteristics Economically important Ecologically important K – selected species Long time to reproductive maturity, longlived, slow to move Distance to “source” has small effect on diversity Size of “island” has large effect on diversity “Montane relief” alone explained 65% of the variation in conifer diversity across the region Distribution pattern is extinction-driven, due largely to changing climate over past 2 million years Examining climate change in our lifetime requires a finer scale PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) Quantitative cover species data Useful for detailed analysis of species distributions in a single landscape feature Irradiance values derived from 10m DEM and the highly complex topography of the Red Rock Canyon National Conservation Area Surficial Geology • Scale 1:150,000 • MMU 10 ha • 47 Mapped Units • Contains Generalized Bedrock Geology and surficial units • Created by Kyle House and UNR Geo-Spatial Lab Soils Maps USDA NRCS mapping efforts in Clark County and White Pine County are complete To date, > 1000 unique vegetation Associations (n = 2340 samples) Encountered 950 of 4400 taxa in the region sampling remains inadequate Relating environmental variables to distribution of species CORNCK_VEG_61_NMS 6_CCD 85_CCD 80_CCD PRGL 104_CCW SV LATR/AMDU 107_CCW 106_CCW 13_SRP 102_CCW 105_CCW 24_SRP 103_CCW LATR/ATCO Axis 2 ATPO 58_CCW 8_CCW 7_CCW 34_CCW 59_CCW 54_CCW % cover 36_CCW %_COVER 29_CCW litter 57_CCW Tree cover Tree_cv litter ATCA 31_CCW 84_CCD 37_CCW S1_ht Shrub_cv Riverine wood Herb_cv 221_Soil 21_SRP 20_SRP 22_SRP 86_CCD Shrub sm_rocks height Upland S3_ht Uhydro Herb cover 87_CCD 33_CCW 221 soil Sand 55_CCW 4_CCD 52_CCW 30_CCW 25_CCD 83_CCD 108_CCW Upland ATCO 3_CCD 28_CCW 101_CCW 23_SRP CH VI sand 10_CCD 2_CCD 82_CCD 16_CCD 19_CCD 11_CCD 35_CCW 17_CCD 9_CCD 26_CCD 14_CCD 12_CCD 1_CCD 15_CCD 81_CCD 53_CCW 32_CCW 27_CCW 18_CCD 5_CCD Axis 1 56_CCW More than 1100 encounters with more than 50 sensitive rare species in 2340 samples Photo by Pat Leary New climate measurements Future surveys can detect responses to change