1 2 Disaster Response and Civil-Military Cooperation Eric Rasmussen, MD, MDM, FACP CEO, InSTEDD 3 This is the standard guide. 4 Comprehensive reference. 200 pages of detail. Free download. And I have a copy for you. 5 “Stability Operations…shall be given priority comparable to combat operations…” US DoD Directive 3000.05 28 November 2005 “We believe that preventing wars is as important as winning wars.” US National October 2007 Strategy Statement 6 Smart Power in Humanitarian Support • Power projection • Irregular conflicts, reactive transformation – Millennium Challenge 2002 • CIA 2015 Report – Resource Wars • Contextual Intelligence – Afghanistan Ring Road – Tajik Road construction • Chinese, Iranian, Turkish • Disaster Response in Failed States Refugee trauma management Katrina response In my view, collaboration in disaster response is the single most critical unmet need. 8 Cholera outbreak What disaster information flow requires (technically)… Collaboration Directory Federation Social Networking Reliable Messaging Virtual Teaming Social Metadata Decision Support Geospatial Visualization Autonomous Agents Predictive Modeling Distributed Workflow Alerting Report Generation Analysis Data Fusion Anomaly Detection Complex Adaptive Systems Network Analysis Text Mining Spatiotemporal Analysis Sensor Integration Information Flow Forms Design Shared Ontologies Schema Evolution Translation Deep Field Collection Geocoding Mesh Synchronization Storage Abstraction Offline Work Conflict Resolution SMS Integration Security Identity Adapters & 9 Transformers Likely partners in a disaster response: • UN – DPKO (18 current Peacekeeping Operations) – UNDP (166 of 192 countries) – UN-OCHA • UNHCR, WFP, WHO, UNICEF • NGO – 44,000 and counting • ICRC – Prisoners and disrupted families – Afghanistan: 88 intl /1200 national staff • IFRC • World Bank, IMF, DFID, ECHO, USAID, GTZ… 10 Casual, distilled 10 Commandments 20 Recommendations 30 Advisories 11 A subset of recognized Civ-Mil disaster response needs: 1. Language support 2. Independent and sustainable power 3. Tracking of people, processes, and things 4. Visualized information distributed broadly 5. Sustainable transition plans with milestones 6. Communication one-to-one, one-to-many, many-to-one 7. Collaborative processes between agencies and organizations 8. Operational guidelines and organizational charter accessibility 9. Objective indicators (and impact metrics) so we know we’re progressing 10. Information collection, analysis, and dissemination, vertical and horizontal Information flow is almost as vital as water 13 Six-fold communication redundancy has sometimes proved inadequate, yet… “Nothing Navy Theater Surgeon (Forward) Belle Chasse, New Orleans Joint Task Force Katrina worked until you guys arrived” 14 Climate Change September 2008 Perhaps the dominant medium-term national security issue and disaster response preparedness requirement. Now made more acute by the global economic crisis. 15 Population affected by water disasters UNDP, 2007 (millions/year) Disasters by Origin 1970-2005 Origin 1970-79 1980-89 1990-99 2000-2005 Water 776 1498 2034 2135 Geological 124 232 325 233 Biological 64 170 361 420 Total 964 1900 2720 2788 “Data Against Natural Disasters”, UN-OCHA, 2008 Compound Crisis Tajikistan Natural disasters (5) Socio-economic loss (40%) Emerging infections Climate Change Religious extremism Narcotic trafficking Poverty / Brain Drain 19 Post-Soviet disintegration Singapore MINDEF Dave Snowdon’s Cynefin model of System Dynamics Far beyond scenario planning 20 Ghani-Lockhart Reconstruction Standards Fixing Failed States 21 1. Collaboration tools 2. Climate change impact 3. Cynefin and Complexity models 4. Civ-Mil Field Coordinator Handbook Eric Rasmussen, MD, MDM, FACP +1 – 360 – 621 – 3592 Rasmussen @ InSTEDD.org 22