iseca AlgaRisk algal bloom warning system &

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Plymouth Marine
Laboratory
Listen to the ocean
AlgaRisk algal bloom warning system &
Data visualisation on the web
Peter Miller, Andriy Kurekin, Steve Groom and
the AlgaRisk and PML visualisation teams
sbg@pml.ac.uk
2 Mers Seas Zeeën
INTERREG IVA
FRANCE - ENGLAND - VLAANDEREN - NEDERLAND
Invest in our future
iseca
INFORMATION SYSTEM
ON THE EUTROPHICATION
OF OUR COASTAL AREAS
PML I
L a b o ra to ry
AlgaRisk bloom warning system
Monitoring data
Earth observation
Standard products
HAB specific products
Forecast data
SERVICE ACCESS
Indicator
Spreadsheet
Model forecasts
Weather products
Hydrodynamic products
specific
regions
Ecosystem products
Updated daily
AlgaRisk
Web portal
Updated automatically
throughout day
Earth observation (satellites) to give a picture of bloom formation
Numerical models to predict w hat will happen over the next few days
Simple stochastic model to apply this to an individual bathing water
m
PML I
L a b o ra to ry
AlgaRisk bloom warning system
Monitoring data
Earth observation
Standard products
HAB specific products
Forecast data
SERVICE ACCESS
Model forecasts
Weather products
Indicator
Spreadsheet
Hydrodynamic products
specific
regions
Ecosystem products
Updated daily
AlgaRisk
Web portal
Updated automatically
throughout day
Earth observation (satellites) to give a picture of bloom formation
ivtet O ffic e
PML
I
L a b o ra to ry
Operational case 2 chl-a algorithm
Chl-a using standard NASA
OC3 algorithm
Chl-a using Ifremer
OC5 algorithm
mg m
7-day chl-a maps for 12 June 2008, PML RSG
PML
I
L a b o ra to ry
AlgaRisk bloom warning system
Monitoring data
Earth observation
Standard products
HAB specific products
Forecast data
SERVICE ACCESS
Indicator
Spreadsheet
Model forecasts
Weather products
Hydrodynamic products
specific
regions
Ecosystem products
Updated daily
AlgaRisk
Web portal
Updated automatically
throughout day
Numerical models to predict w hat will happen over the next few days
ivtet O ffic e
PML
•
•
esSET"
Medium Resolution Continental Shelf model
UK Met Office M ROS with European Regional Seas Ecosystem Model
Operational real-time shelf-seas forecasting system.
Met Office Model
\ Go to
'Today
Model chlorophyll
Model diatoms
Model flagellates
Model picoplankton
Yesterday
(1st Dec 2008)
00:00 (100% valid pixels)
Yesterday
(1st Dec 2008)
00:00 (100% valid pixels)
Yesterday
(1st Dec 2008)
00:00 (100% valid pixels)
Yesterday
(1st Dec 2008)
00:00 (100% valid pixels)
Parameters:
• SST, salinity
• Stratification
• Currents (speed &
direction)
• PAR, winds, cloud
0U31
M4
I 3
Q2
Units: pg-C hi
Units: pg-C I'
Units: pg-C I
3 3
B
Units: pg-C I'
Model dinoflagellates
Model stratification (dT)
Model nitrates
Model phosphate
Yesterday
(1st Dec 2008)
Yesterday
(1st Dec 2008)
00:00 (100% valid pixels)
Yesterday
(1st Dec 2008)
00:00 (100% valid pixels)
Yesterday
(1st Dec 2008)
00:00 (100% valid pixels)
so 70 80
Units: pg-C I*
Umts: C
Units: pg-N I
Units: pg-P I
• Chi
• Phytoplankton
biomass: flagellates,
diatoms,
dinoflagellates,
picoplankton
• Nutrients, N:P ratio
PML
I
MRCS ecosystem forecast
L a b o ra to ry
«
Back
one
week
Met Office Model
Back
one
Forward
one
da
day
O
Viewing model forecast starting from: 12th Nov 2008
Nowcast
5 day forecast
2 Days Ago
(12th Nov 2008)
14th Nov 2008
1 days in the future
2 days in the future
3 days in the future
15th Nov 2008
16th Nov 2008
17th Nov 2008
Earlier nowcasts
3 days ago
4 days ago
11th Nov 2008
10th Nov 2008
5 days ago
6 days ago
7 days ago
08th Nov 2008
07th Nov 2008
_________ Select product:_________
I Chlorophyll
Current product: Chlorophyll
Units: pg-Chl I 1
Go to
Today
PML
I
L a b o ra to ry
AlgaRisk bloom warning system
Monitoring data
Earth observation
Standard products
HAB specific products
Forecast data
SERVICE ACCESS
Indicator
Spreadsheet
Model forecasts
Weather products
Hydrodynamic products
specific
regions
Ecosystem products
Updated daily
AlgaRisk
Web portal
Updated automatically
throughout day
Simple stochastic model to apply this to an individual bathing water
/V iet O ffic e
PML
I
L a b o ra to ry
Indicators - Data
• Data extracted automatically from each of 10 regions daily,
from model/EO (e.g. median, 90th percentile), and sent to
Env. Agency
• Simple parametric model is used to indicate if a bloom is
likely within the next few days based on weighting of:
o
o
o
o
o
o
sunlight,
wind,
pressure,
SST
stratification
EO Chl-a
North
Bide ford
Bay
North
Cornwall
North West
Cornwall , /
Weymouth
Eddystone
Mounts
Bay
Eddystone
West
PML
I
L a b o ra to ry
ROC evaluation of Forecasts 2008
■EO (90% ile) at North Cornwall
■Forecast/with EO/Clouds/wind
speed/stratification/M arine Model
ROC performance of parametric model forcast
0 3 -May-08
03-Jun-08
m
Forecasts had
some skill in
“certain regions”
r
0
-♦—
North Cornw all
Chance
0.2
0.4
0.6
False alarm rate
0.8
PML
I
L a b o ra to ry
AlgaRisk
• AlgaRisk as a service is no longer in operation but could be
re-established easily
• However, PML provides EO Based services funded through
industry for Scotland
PML
Laboratory
Detection of Karenia mikimotoi HAB in western Scottish waters
Karenia mikimotoi bloom in summer 2012:
■
Initiated in early summer (May-June)
■
Series of blooms detected around Irish coastline
■
Mid July. Offshore bloom drifts northwards.
■
Reports on wild fish and invertebrate mortalities
Enhanced ocean colour image
18Jul-24Jul 2012
Chlorophyll-a map
HAB risk map
18Jul-24Jul 2012
[ ] HAB risk Q harmless ^ n o bloom
I
PML
Multivariate HAB discrimination method
L a b o ra to ry
Ocean colour scenes
Manual training
9 V
¿J»
20 .UL 2 0 02 1¿02 Gfcff inkn osn w n o
Ft.1L Remote Sensing 'jrcH ip ƒ
/
^
Training samples
3 V
g
g
W
. No
Bloom
HAB
SYSTAT
-
-
32
.
-
9.0
9.0
-
-
3.2
2.6
Classifier
Lwn(À)
aß)
bbß)
8.4
Multivariate analysis
Ocean properties
PML
I
Laboratory
AlgaRisk bloom warning system
Monitoring data
Earth observation
Standard products
HAB specific products
Forecast data
SERVICE ACCESS
Indicator
Spreadsheet
Model forecasts
Weather products
Hydrodynamic products
specific
regions
Ecosystem products
Updated daily
AlgaRisk
Web portal
Updated automatically
throughout day
/V iet O ffic e
PML I
Model vs EO comparison tool
L a b o ra to ry
«
Back
one
week
Back
one
day
M odel vs EO Data
>
08 Jun. 2008
Forward V V F o rw ard
Go to
Z
/ /
week
V ^ J Today
EO MODIS Aqua Chlorophyll (OC3 8th Jun 2008
W 2nd Jun 2008 through to 8th Jun 2008
0.01
CuM
ts l
0J31
ÛÜ4
ÛJÛ4
0 .2
7
9 11 13 1i
0 .2
Units: pg-Chl f 1
Units: °C
Units: mg m"
Units: mg m’
M R C S D ia t o m s
2nd Jun 2008 through to 8th Jun 2008
ÛJ31
□
8th Jun 2008
U
l MRCS Flagellates
8th Jun 2008
8th Jun 2008
00:00
MRCS Dinoflagellates
EO Therm al Front Map Weak
8th Jun 2008
00:00 (100% valid pixels)
2nd Jun 2008 through to 8th Jun 2008
KE » »H
Model scalebarforfront_step2_sstp
Units: pg-C I"1
Units: pg-C I' 1
Units: pg-C I"1
I
PML
ISECA Web-GIS
L a b o ra to ry
• Uses Open Geospatial Consortium web standards (like WAS)
• Different data (model/ EO /in situ) from different sources
AlgaRisk Demonstration Portal
Start Date:
|2009-(
2009-01-13
End Date:
12009-01-13
2009-Í
<M<W
<DD>
Start Time:
00 ▼
End Time:
23 ▼
3
3
w >
m
day 2009-01-13 00 UTC
>
Wind field
UKMO
Select All Day
Show Toolbar
Show Scalebar
R e fe r e n c e D a ta
3 P j O C oa s tlin e s . B a thym etry...
IZ1rsg :W o rld _ M a ritim e _ B o u n d a rie s
- 0 r s g :b a th in g _ w a te rs _ s w
0 rs g :b a th y _ 2 O O m
Q r s g : c o a s t h ig h
I n s it u D a ta
t i j L i J rsg:w fs _ in s itu _ ra m e m e t
^ 0
rs g :w fs _ in s itu _ m e td a ta
i ^ ] 0 rs g :w fs _ in s itu jD o lfe rry
U l0
rsg :wf s_i n situ_ po l met
Ferry box data
(NOC L’pool)
Weather
station (PML)
R a s te r D a ta
d j
D m o d is n a s a
0
zg _ M Y O _chlor_acom p_tim e
: a 0 D
M et.No M odel D a ta
! a 0
UK M o M odel D a ta
0 h ir la m . w in d
0
J |0
EC O VARSALL/chl
Satellite data
(MODIS)
PML I
Current PML Web Visualisation
L a b o ra to ry
• Systems allow web-based visualisation and data analysis
0 4 -0 6 - 2 0 0 2
Choose a Region
mass concentration o f chlorophyfl a m sea *
Maximum Value:
[~67
Recalculate Scale I
1 ^ Logarithmic Scale
Reset Scale
Auto Scale
Minimum Value:
* 0 .0 9 0 4 7
ii Ecology
Marine Ecosystem Fora ast'ng
• Data from the ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative project
PML
I
Current PML Web Visualisation
L a b o ra to ry
• Systems allow web-based visualisation and data analysis
Choose a Region
|]n| Data Analysts
-Data Selection Tools--------
( * jj mass concentration of chlorophytf a m sea water
Graphing
mass concentration o f chlorophyll a In sea «tater
Area and Tím e o f In te re s t
Maximum Value:
1 ^ Logarithmic Scale
Minimum value:
Operational Ecology'«
Marine Ecosystem Fôœcastmg
• Data from the ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative project
PML I
L a b o ra to ry
Current PML Web Visualisation
• Systems allow web-based visualisation and data analysis
Choose a Region
[]n| Data Analysts
-Data Selection Tools--------
( * jj mass concentration of chlorophyll a m sea water
Graphing
Tlmeserles O f Mass Concentration O f Chlorophyll A In Soa W a te r
mass concentration o f chlorophyll a In sea *a te r
Area and Tím e o f In te re s t
0 m in
median
O mean
■
m edian
Operational Ecology'«
Marine Ecosystem Fôœcastmg
• Data from the ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative project
PML I
L a b o ra to r*
Current PML Web Visualisation
. Systems allow web-based visualisation and data analysis
O
$
Data Layers
0 4 -0 6 -2 0 0 2
Choose a Region
[]n| Data Analysis
Data Selecbon Tools
mass concentration or chlorophyll a in sea water
Data Export
▼ Graphing
G allery:
HovmollerLat O f H a s t Concentration O f Chlorophyll A In Soa W a te r
cur-L-Lt layer
Mako
at :n of Chlorophyll
.
-*■ G raph S e ttin g s
Amount of Value _abes
Arca a n d 11me o f In te re s t
Tnr.e Range
seed
Range
■an: :
L-:n= ute
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
d.:-
2012
Time
Operational Ecology".
Marine Ecosystem Köracasting
. Data from the ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative project
PML I
Current PML Web Visualisation
L a b o ra to ry
With multiple layers
O
Layers
V
D a ta L a yers
Reference
! Options
Herring juvenile 0 1
Flagellates C, daily m ean colum n to ta l
Choose th e v a ria b le s yo u w a nt displayed on th e m a p fro m th e co n te n ts of th e box on th e right
Use th e filte r bo x on th e left to lim it th e c o n te n ts e ith e r by m a tch in g on th e variable n a m e o r lim iting
th e se lection to specific p red efin e d ta g a ssociated w ith a v a ria b le such as its ty p e being C hlorophyll
Click on th e v a ria ble to add o r re m o v e it, click on th e arrow to see m o re details a b o u t th e variable.
A d u lt C o d
* ■ A d u lt h e r r in g
►■ J u v e n ile c o d
Filter by va ria ble nam e
J u v e n ile h e r r in g
[ ffltê
Filter by ta g
M e a n d a ily d ia t o m
b io m a s s
S c a le b a r - F la g e lla t e s C, D a ily
Show Selected
► ecosystem _elem en
M e a n d a ily f la g e lla t e s
b io m a s s
M e a n d a ily
M ic r o p h y t o p la n k t o n
b io m a s s
M e a n d a ily
p i c o p h y t o p la n k t o n
b io m a s s
P h y t o p la n k t o n b io m a s s
?
M axim um V alue:
[245.61201
I
► msfd
» in te r v a l
P la ic e
►■ S a n d e e ls
R ecalculate Scale
►■ S e a b ir d s
► ■ Z o o p la n k t o n
D
L o g a rith m ic Scale
Reset Scale
Auto Scale
region
M inim um V alue:
[35.41545
N. A tlantic
Baltic
S c a le b a r - H e r r in g J u v e n ile 0 1
Black Sea
M axim um V alue;
Med
0.162
confidence
► provider
I R ecalculate Scale |
□
L og a rithm ic Scale
Reset Scale
I A uto Scale ¡
M in im um Valu
p o rta l. m a rin e o p e c .e u /v 3 /s ta tic /in d e x . h tm l#
• From the EC FP7 OpEc project
Operational Ecology
Marine Ecosystem Forecasting
PML I
Current PML Web Visualisation
L a b o ra to ry
With multiple layers
o
lini D a ta A n a ly s is
Analysis
-D a ta S e le c tio n T o o ls -------------------------------------------------1
T im e s e r ie s O f F la g e lla t e s C, D a ily M e a n C o lu m n T o ta l
T im e
Show
□
STD
□ m ax
□ mm
0 m edian
CU m e a n
A n a ly s is
□
▼ G r a p h in g
G a lle ry :
M a k e s u r e t o s e le c t t h e c o r r e c t la y e r:
H errin g ju ve nile 0 1
^ ||
' A r e a a n d T im e o f I n t e r e s t
median
T im e R a n g e :
T im e Range 1
[ New Range ] | Hide Range | | Rename Range
f
p |y | ^
I Plymouth Marine
L. i f 1' -,
D elete Range
D a te :_________
E x p o r t D a ta
[2 00 6-12 -2 4
T im e s e r ie s O f H e r r in g J u v e n ile 0 1
B box:
I t o [2009-01-08
0.84 60 3 ,5 3 .3 3 4 9 6 ,8 .3 6 0 6 8 ]
h me
I G e nerate G raph
D m ax
A u to S c a le
D m in
M in im u m V a lu e :
0 m e dian
[3 5 ,4 1 5 4 5
D m ean
S c a le b a r - H e r r in g J u v e n ile 0 1
M a x im u m V a lu e ;
0 .1 6 2
I R e c a lc u la te S c a le
□
|
L o g a r it h m ic S c a le
media
R e s e t S ca le
I A u to S c a le
E x p o r t D a ta
M in im u m V a lu
From the EC FP7 OpEc project
Operational Ecology
Marine Ecosystem Forecasting
PML I
L a b o ra to ry
Conclusions
• Web visualisation and analysis systems extend data usage to
non-specialists
• PML system is being developed in
• EC FP7 OpEc;
• EC FP7 EartH20bserve (global water cycle integrator)
• ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative
• EC FP7 EarthServer
• By using common standards systems are interoperable ie
they can talk data to each other
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