Plymouth Marine Laboratory Listen to the ocean AlgaRisk algal bloom warning system & Data visualisation on the web Peter Miller, Andriy Kurekin, Steve Groom and the AlgaRisk and PML visualisation teams sbg@pml.ac.uk 2 Mers Seas Zeeën INTERREG IVA FRANCE - ENGLAND - VLAANDEREN - NEDERLAND Invest in our future iseca INFORMATION SYSTEM ON THE EUTROPHICATION OF OUR COASTAL AREAS PML I L a b o ra to ry AlgaRisk bloom warning system Monitoring data Earth observation Standard products HAB specific products Forecast data SERVICE ACCESS Indicator Spreadsheet Model forecasts Weather products Hydrodynamic products specific regions Ecosystem products Updated daily AlgaRisk Web portal Updated automatically throughout day Earth observation (satellites) to give a picture of bloom formation Numerical models to predict w hat will happen over the next few days Simple stochastic model to apply this to an individual bathing water m PML I L a b o ra to ry AlgaRisk bloom warning system Monitoring data Earth observation Standard products HAB specific products Forecast data SERVICE ACCESS Model forecasts Weather products Indicator Spreadsheet Hydrodynamic products specific regions Ecosystem products Updated daily AlgaRisk Web portal Updated automatically throughout day Earth observation (satellites) to give a picture of bloom formation ivtet O ffic e PML I L a b o ra to ry Operational case 2 chl-a algorithm Chl-a using standard NASA OC3 algorithm Chl-a using Ifremer OC5 algorithm mg m 7-day chl-a maps for 12 June 2008, PML RSG PML I L a b o ra to ry AlgaRisk bloom warning system Monitoring data Earth observation Standard products HAB specific products Forecast data SERVICE ACCESS Indicator Spreadsheet Model forecasts Weather products Hydrodynamic products specific regions Ecosystem products Updated daily AlgaRisk Web portal Updated automatically throughout day Numerical models to predict w hat will happen over the next few days ivtet O ffic e PML • • esSET" Medium Resolution Continental Shelf model UK Met Office M ROS with European Regional Seas Ecosystem Model Operational real-time shelf-seas forecasting system. Met Office Model \ Go to 'Today Model chlorophyll Model diatoms Model flagellates Model picoplankton Yesterday (1st Dec 2008) 00:00 (100% valid pixels) Yesterday (1st Dec 2008) 00:00 (100% valid pixels) Yesterday (1st Dec 2008) 00:00 (100% valid pixels) Yesterday (1st Dec 2008) 00:00 (100% valid pixels) Parameters: • SST, salinity • Stratification • Currents (speed & direction) • PAR, winds, cloud 0U31 M4 I 3 Q2 Units: pg-C hi Units: pg-C I' Units: pg-C I 3 3 B Units: pg-C I' Model dinoflagellates Model stratification (dT) Model nitrates Model phosphate Yesterday (1st Dec 2008) Yesterday (1st Dec 2008) 00:00 (100% valid pixels) Yesterday (1st Dec 2008) 00:00 (100% valid pixels) Yesterday (1st Dec 2008) 00:00 (100% valid pixels) so 70 80 Units: pg-C I* Umts: C Units: pg-N I Units: pg-P I • Chi • Phytoplankton biomass: flagellates, diatoms, dinoflagellates, picoplankton • Nutrients, N:P ratio PML I MRCS ecosystem forecast L a b o ra to ry « Back one week Met Office Model Back one Forward one da day O Viewing model forecast starting from: 12th Nov 2008 Nowcast 5 day forecast 2 Days Ago (12th Nov 2008) 14th Nov 2008 1 days in the future 2 days in the future 3 days in the future 15th Nov 2008 16th Nov 2008 17th Nov 2008 Earlier nowcasts 3 days ago 4 days ago 11th Nov 2008 10th Nov 2008 5 days ago 6 days ago 7 days ago 08th Nov 2008 07th Nov 2008 _________ Select product:_________ I Chlorophyll Current product: Chlorophyll Units: pg-Chl I 1 Go to Today PML I L a b o ra to ry AlgaRisk bloom warning system Monitoring data Earth observation Standard products HAB specific products Forecast data SERVICE ACCESS Indicator Spreadsheet Model forecasts Weather products Hydrodynamic products specific regions Ecosystem products Updated daily AlgaRisk Web portal Updated automatically throughout day Simple stochastic model to apply this to an individual bathing water /V iet O ffic e PML I L a b o ra to ry Indicators - Data • Data extracted automatically from each of 10 regions daily, from model/EO (e.g. median, 90th percentile), and sent to Env. Agency • Simple parametric model is used to indicate if a bloom is likely within the next few days based on weighting of: o o o o o o sunlight, wind, pressure, SST stratification EO Chl-a North Bide ford Bay North Cornwall North West Cornwall , / Weymouth Eddystone Mounts Bay Eddystone West PML I L a b o ra to ry ROC evaluation of Forecasts 2008 ■EO (90% ile) at North Cornwall ■Forecast/with EO/Clouds/wind speed/stratification/M arine Model ROC performance of parametric model forcast 0 3 -May-08 03-Jun-08 m Forecasts had some skill in “certain regions” r 0 -♦— North Cornw all Chance 0.2 0.4 0.6 False alarm rate 0.8 PML I L a b o ra to ry AlgaRisk • AlgaRisk as a service is no longer in operation but could be re-established easily • However, PML provides EO Based services funded through industry for Scotland PML Laboratory Detection of Karenia mikimotoi HAB in western Scottish waters Karenia mikimotoi bloom in summer 2012: ■ Initiated in early summer (May-June) ■ Series of blooms detected around Irish coastline ■ Mid July. Offshore bloom drifts northwards. ■ Reports on wild fish and invertebrate mortalities Enhanced ocean colour image 18Jul-24Jul 2012 Chlorophyll-a map HAB risk map 18Jul-24Jul 2012 [ ] HAB risk Q harmless ^ n o bloom I PML Multivariate HAB discrimination method L a b o ra to ry Ocean colour scenes Manual training 9 V ¿J» 20 .UL 2 0 02 1¿02 Gfcff inkn osn w n o Ft.1L Remote Sensing 'jrcH ip ƒ / ^ Training samples 3 V g g W . No Bloom HAB SYSTAT - - 32 . - 9.0 9.0 - - 3.2 2.6 Classifier Lwn(À) aß) bbß) 8.4 Multivariate analysis Ocean properties PML I Laboratory AlgaRisk bloom warning system Monitoring data Earth observation Standard products HAB specific products Forecast data SERVICE ACCESS Indicator Spreadsheet Model forecasts Weather products Hydrodynamic products specific regions Ecosystem products Updated daily AlgaRisk Web portal Updated automatically throughout day /V iet O ffic e PML I Model vs EO comparison tool L a b o ra to ry « Back one week Back one day M odel vs EO Data > 08 Jun. 2008 Forward V V F o rw ard Go to Z / / week V ^ J Today EO MODIS Aqua Chlorophyll (OC3 8th Jun 2008 W 2nd Jun 2008 through to 8th Jun 2008 0.01 CuM ts l 0J31 ÛÜ4 ÛJÛ4 0 .2 7 9 11 13 1i 0 .2 Units: pg-Chl f 1 Units: °C Units: mg m" Units: mg m’ M R C S D ia t o m s 2nd Jun 2008 through to 8th Jun 2008 ÛJ31 □ 8th Jun 2008 U l MRCS Flagellates 8th Jun 2008 8th Jun 2008 00:00 MRCS Dinoflagellates EO Therm al Front Map Weak 8th Jun 2008 00:00 (100% valid pixels) 2nd Jun 2008 through to 8th Jun 2008 KE » »H Model scalebarforfront_step2_sstp Units: pg-C I"1 Units: pg-C I' 1 Units: pg-C I"1 I PML ISECA Web-GIS L a b o ra to ry • Uses Open Geospatial Consortium web standards (like WAS) • Different data (model/ EO /in situ) from different sources AlgaRisk Demonstration Portal Start Date: |2009-( 2009-01-13 End Date: 12009-01-13 2009-Í <M<W <DD> Start Time: 00 ▼ End Time: 23 ▼ 3 3 w > m day 2009-01-13 00 UTC > Wind field UKMO Select All Day Show Toolbar Show Scalebar R e fe r e n c e D a ta 3 P j O C oa s tlin e s . B a thym etry... IZ1rsg :W o rld _ M a ritim e _ B o u n d a rie s - 0 r s g :b a th in g _ w a te rs _ s w 0 rs g :b a th y _ 2 O O m Q r s g : c o a s t h ig h I n s it u D a ta t i j L i J rsg:w fs _ in s itu _ ra m e m e t ^ 0 rs g :w fs _ in s itu _ m e td a ta i ^ ] 0 rs g :w fs _ in s itu jD o lfe rry U l0 rsg :wf s_i n situ_ po l met Ferry box data (NOC L’pool) Weather station (PML) R a s te r D a ta d j D m o d is n a s a 0 zg _ M Y O _chlor_acom p_tim e : a 0 D M et.No M odel D a ta ! a 0 UK M o M odel D a ta 0 h ir la m . w in d 0 J |0 EC O VARSALL/chl Satellite data (MODIS) PML I Current PML Web Visualisation L a b o ra to ry • Systems allow web-based visualisation and data analysis 0 4 -0 6 - 2 0 0 2 Choose a Region mass concentration o f chlorophyfl a m sea * Maximum Value: [~67 Recalculate Scale I 1 ^ Logarithmic Scale Reset Scale Auto Scale Minimum Value: * 0 .0 9 0 4 7 ii Ecology Marine Ecosystem Fora ast'ng • Data from the ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative project PML I Current PML Web Visualisation L a b o ra to ry • Systems allow web-based visualisation and data analysis Choose a Region |]n| Data Analysts -Data Selection Tools-------- ( * jj mass concentration of chlorophytf a m sea water Graphing mass concentration o f chlorophyll a In sea «tater Area and Tím e o f In te re s t Maximum Value: 1 ^ Logarithmic Scale Minimum value: Operational Ecology'« Marine Ecosystem Fôœcastmg • Data from the ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative project PML I L a b o ra to ry Current PML Web Visualisation • Systems allow web-based visualisation and data analysis Choose a Region []n| Data Analysts -Data Selection Tools-------- ( * jj mass concentration of chlorophyll a m sea water Graphing Tlmeserles O f Mass Concentration O f Chlorophyll A In Soa W a te r mass concentration o f chlorophyll a In sea *a te r Area and Tím e o f In te re s t 0 m in median O mean ■ m edian Operational Ecology'« Marine Ecosystem Fôœcastmg • Data from the ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative project PML I L a b o ra to r* Current PML Web Visualisation . Systems allow web-based visualisation and data analysis O $ Data Layers 0 4 -0 6 -2 0 0 2 Choose a Region []n| Data Analysis Data Selecbon Tools mass concentration or chlorophyll a in sea water Data Export ▼ Graphing G allery: HovmollerLat O f H a s t Concentration O f Chlorophyll A In Soa W a te r cur-L-Lt layer Mako at :n of Chlorophyll . -*■ G raph S e ttin g s Amount of Value _abes Arca a n d 11me o f In te re s t Tnr.e Range seed Range ■an: : L-:n= ute 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 d.:- 2012 Time Operational Ecology". Marine Ecosystem Köracasting . Data from the ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative project PML I Current PML Web Visualisation L a b o ra to ry With multiple layers O Layers V D a ta L a yers Reference ! Options Herring juvenile 0 1 Flagellates C, daily m ean colum n to ta l Choose th e v a ria b le s yo u w a nt displayed on th e m a p fro m th e co n te n ts of th e box on th e right Use th e filte r bo x on th e left to lim it th e c o n te n ts e ith e r by m a tch in g on th e variable n a m e o r lim iting th e se lection to specific p red efin e d ta g a ssociated w ith a v a ria b le such as its ty p e being C hlorophyll Click on th e v a ria ble to add o r re m o v e it, click on th e arrow to see m o re details a b o u t th e variable. A d u lt C o d * ■ A d u lt h e r r in g ►■ J u v e n ile c o d Filter by va ria ble nam e J u v e n ile h e r r in g [ ffltê Filter by ta g M e a n d a ily d ia t o m b io m a s s S c a le b a r - F la g e lla t e s C, D a ily Show Selected ► ecosystem _elem en M e a n d a ily f la g e lla t e s b io m a s s M e a n d a ily M ic r o p h y t o p la n k t o n b io m a s s M e a n d a ily p i c o p h y t o p la n k t o n b io m a s s P h y t o p la n k t o n b io m a s s ? M axim um V alue: [245.61201 I ► msfd » in te r v a l P la ic e ►■ S a n d e e ls R ecalculate Scale ►■ S e a b ir d s ► ■ Z o o p la n k t o n D L o g a rith m ic Scale Reset Scale Auto Scale region M inim um V alue: [35.41545 N. A tlantic Baltic S c a le b a r - H e r r in g J u v e n ile 0 1 Black Sea M axim um V alue; Med 0.162 confidence ► provider I R ecalculate Scale | □ L og a rithm ic Scale Reset Scale I A uto Scale ¡ M in im um Valu p o rta l. m a rin e o p e c .e u /v 3 /s ta tic /in d e x . h tm l# • From the EC FP7 OpEc project Operational Ecology Marine Ecosystem Forecasting PML I Current PML Web Visualisation L a b o ra to ry With multiple layers o lini D a ta A n a ly s is Analysis -D a ta S e le c tio n T o o ls -------------------------------------------------1 T im e s e r ie s O f F la g e lla t e s C, D a ily M e a n C o lu m n T o ta l T im e Show □ STD □ m ax □ mm 0 m edian CU m e a n A n a ly s is □ ▼ G r a p h in g G a lle ry : M a k e s u r e t o s e le c t t h e c o r r e c t la y e r: H errin g ju ve nile 0 1 ^ || ' A r e a a n d T im e o f I n t e r e s t median T im e R a n g e : T im e Range 1 [ New Range ] | Hide Range | | Rename Range f p |y | ^ I Plymouth Marine L. i f 1' -, D elete Range D a te :_________ E x p o r t D a ta [2 00 6-12 -2 4 T im e s e r ie s O f H e r r in g J u v e n ile 0 1 B box: I t o [2009-01-08 0.84 60 3 ,5 3 .3 3 4 9 6 ,8 .3 6 0 6 8 ] h me I G e nerate G raph D m ax A u to S c a le D m in M in im u m V a lu e : 0 m e dian [3 5 ,4 1 5 4 5 D m ean S c a le b a r - H e r r in g J u v e n ile 0 1 M a x im u m V a lu e ; 0 .1 6 2 I R e c a lc u la te S c a le □ | L o g a r it h m ic S c a le media R e s e t S ca le I A u to S c a le E x p o r t D a ta M in im u m V a lu From the EC FP7 OpEc project Operational Ecology Marine Ecosystem Forecasting PML I L a b o ra to ry Conclusions • Web visualisation and analysis systems extend data usage to non-specialists • PML system is being developed in • EC FP7 OpEc; • EC FP7 EartH20bserve (global water cycle integrator) • ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative • EC FP7 EarthServer • By using common standards systems are interoperable ie they can talk data to each other