Tools for Modern Military Operations Research Sixteen 1–hour lectures to be delivered at NPS to the Swedish National Defense and other international military officers as a part of TIO Short Course Series Oct. 28, 2013- Nov. 15, 2013. Instructor: Professor S. S. Sritharan, Director of DRCSI In this short course we will introduce the students to the key underpinning tools of military operations research emphasizing on statistics, optimization and stochastics with particular focus on modern techniques that are frequently encountered in areas such as: (1) Supply chain management; (2) Network systems; (3) Search and detection (USW, Space Operations); (4) Strategic military systems (unmanned systems control and path planning); (5) Surveillance (Mobile Sensor networks and target tracking); (6) Reliability, risk and decisions; (7) Cost analysis, quantitative finance and option pricing. The first two hours will be an overview of strategic defense systems of the future and how modern military operations research underpins different components. The remaining fourteen hours will cover the M2OR tools described in detail below. The lectures will touch the following themes: o Lectures-1 & 2: Strategic Military Systems of the Future: Some Long Term Research Challenges- (This will be a slightly expanded version of the keynote lecture delivered at the10th Annual Security Conference by TDSI-NPS-Lawrence Livermore and the keynote lecture delivered to Indian National Defense Head Quarters, DRDO-HQ, Delhi). o Lectures-3: Quick introduction to statistical inference-I: Practical introduction to Central Limit Theorem in the context of military OR problems. o Lectures -4: Quick introduction to statistical inference-II: Practical introduction to Bayes Theorem and John Craven’s famous search analysis of the sunken submarine Scorpion. o Lectures 5 & 6: Stochastic Models-I: Introduction to queuing systems and queuing networks o Lectures 7 & 8: Stochastic Models-II: Spatially stochastic point processes: modeling sensor networks, classification of distributed targets. o Lectures 9 & 10: Stochastic Models-III: Time variant stochastic processes such as Brownian motions and levy processes and application to financial engineering (tradable and real options). o Lectures 11 & 12: Optimization with constraints-Military OR examples. o Lectures 13 & 14: Mixed integer and stochastic optimization problems in military OR. o Lecture 15 & 16: Dynamic optimization & optimal control-application to unmanned systems. Matlab Simulation Examples (starting from Lecture-3): 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Brownian motion Geometric Brownian motion Poisson process Compound Poisson process Brownian motions on the plane Spatial Poisson point process Spatial inhomogeneous Poisson process Birth & Death process (many queuing examples) Levy processes The proposed course is an extract from various courses in stochastic process, probability and statistics, stochastic control systems and financial engineering I taught over the past number of years at NPS and in University of Wyoming and also based on DoD funded research over past three decades. The subject level will be adjusted to make it accessible to different levels of audience and their analytic background.