Supply chain trends The top global trade trends businesses are focusing on in 2013. As we move into a new year, many businesses are looking for an edge to help them get a jump on 2013. With that in mind, we reached out to Liz Lorincz, Livingston International’s director of trade consulting for Canada’s eastern region, and Bob Perkins, Livingston’s vice president, U.S. strategy, to get their take on the trends they expect to see this coming year. Compliance, compliance and more compliance “The Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA) is focused on complete and accurate reporting,” said Lorincz, who sees that correlating to an increase in audits. “Customs is making it clear that they want to know that businesses are dealing with trusted traders and that they know and understand their supply chains.” As a result, there will be a renewed focus on compliance in 2013 – both on the part of businesses, which will be assessing their operations to ensure that they are complying with customs regulations, and on the part of customs agencies, particularly CBSA and the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), which will be enforcing compliance and assessing penalties on non-compliant businesses. Find out where Livingston’s trade experts see businesses like yours placing their focus in 2013. Renewed interest in trusted trader programs “The Beyond the Border initiative really aims at creating a North American perimeter within which goods would flow easily,” said Perkins. This means that companies must attain a certain status that identifies them as low-risk, trusted companies. They achieve this through participation in Canada’s Partners in Protection (PIP) program, the U.S.’ Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism (C-TPAT) and/or Customs Self-Assessment (CSA). Lorincz concurs and adds that she expects to see an increase in the number of companies looking to achieve trusted trader status, especially within Canada as CBSA works to enhance the benefits to businesses under the PIP program. “Mutual recognition between PIP and C-TPAT really resulted in more benefits being attached to PIP,” said Lorincz. It’s also more likely companies will invest in making their supply chain secure enough to meet PIP standards when there are significant benefits. Added to that, Perkins believes that there is strong political will and business interest in seeing the Beyond the Border concept become a reality. That means that importers and exporters who wish to benefit from shared regulatory initiatives will be making the investments necessary to achieve trusted trader status in 2013 and beyond. Tighter internal controls “Companies are looking to identify the gaps that create risks, and they are looking for help to do this,” said Lorincz. Because of the increase in CBSA audits, Lorincz has seen an upsurge in businesses asking for complete reviews from procurement to payment, looking at every internal Trends to look for in 2013: department and analyzing the customs environment. Where before companies made decisions primarily based on reducing costs, they are now taking a closer look at the costs of non-compliance and attaching a number to risk. • Focus on compliance “Clients are reacting to the fact that non-compliance and risk will cost them money,” said Lorincz, who expects that the trend toward tighter compliance controls will continue, leading many companies to consider another emerging trend: sourcing locally. • Sourcing locally • Interest in trusted trader programs • Tighter internal controls • Growth in U.S. exports Sourcing locally There are a number of factors at play that are leading businesses to reconsider their sourcing strategies. In the U.S., according to Perkins, “The dollar has decreased against other countries to the point where it becomes cost effective to consider manufacturing back in the U.S.” Other considerations include the political and economic instability in some foreign jurisdictions, catastrophic weather events that disrupt the supply chain and labor unrest in the U.S. that has made transportation through the ports somewhat difficult. In Canada, Lorincz also sees a trend among companies looking to mitigate their risk by sourcing closer to home. This is particularly evident in the food industry, where changes under Bill S-11, the Safe Food for Canadians Act, will come into play in 2013 and will place the onus for food safety securely on the shoulders of the importer. This has resulted in importers “seriously analyzing the risk of importing food versus the costs of sourcing at home, which also offers benefits such as reduced transportation costs and reduced compliance and safety risk,” said Lorincz. She adds that she expects to see importers in general looking at the whole sourcing question holistically, analyzing their relationship with government agencies and trying to determine what’s safer – sourcing at home or abroad. Growth in U.S. exports Perkins says that another trend he expects to see expand in 2013 is the growth of U.S. exports. “Twenty years ago, as a U.S. broker-forwarder, most of our business focused on imports,” said Perkins. “Now it is close to 50-50.” According to Perkins, exports have grown for two reasons: the high quality of U.S. goods and the devaluation of the U.S. dollar. This has been a boon to exporters. 2 Supply chain trends: The top trends businesses are focusing on in 2013. Lorincz also believes that U.S. exports to Canada will remain strong in 2013, partly due to the whole risk question and the benefits of enhanced regulatory cooperation as a result of the Beyond the Border initiative. “It may be safer to source within North America,” she said. The past few years have seen a definite focus on establishing the proper controls to ensure the safety of the supply chain, while also developing synergies and coordination among agencies to enhance the flow of trade. Given the continued integration of the global economy, these trends are likely to continue through 2013 and beyond. Don’t forget to read our 2012 Year in Review! Contact your Livingston account executive e-mail us at solutions@livingstonintl.com or give us a call at 1-800-837-1063 Visit www.livingstonintl.com