Quantitative Reasoning Instructor Table of Contents Before the Semester Begins: Suggestions for Prep & Syllabus Student Course Pack Pages Overview Practice Assignment Lesson Title and Description Instructor Notes Pages Preview Assignment Lesson Table of Contents p. xv - - p. xxxi - - p. 1 - p. 1 p. 9 - p. 5 p. 19 1.C p. 7 p. 27 1.D p. 11 p. 35 2.A p. 13 p. 43 - p. 15 p. 51 - p. 17 Complex Numerical Summaries; Graphical Displays 1.A - Data for Life Collect data that will be referred to throughout the semester; supplemental spreadsheet provided Our Learning Community 1.B - 1.C 1.C 1.D - 2.A 2.A Student success focus Establish a sense of shared responsibility; provide key information about course content and policies Instant Runoff Voting schemes Borda Count Voting schemes Graphical Displays Analysis and communication; dotplots, histograms, boxplots; mean; median Forming Effective Study Groups 2.B 2.B 2.C - Student success focus Taking responsibility for own learning and supporting learning of others; setting norms Mini-Project: Graphical Displays Write formal, contextual analysis on compared data; research-related data; sample rubric provided The Charles A. Dana Center at The University of Texas at Austin Instructor Table of Contents – page vii Practice Assignment Student Course Pack Pages 3.A p. 19 p. 67 3.B p. 21 p. 73 3.C p. 23 p. 83 4.A p. 27 p. 91 4.B p. 31 p. 101 5.A p. 35 p. 109 5.B p. 37 p. 117 5.C p. 39 p. 125 5.D p. 131 6.A Preview Assignment p. 57 Lesson Lesson Title and Description Instructor Notes Pages Quantitative Reasoning Instructor Table of Contents 3.A 3.A Who Is in the Population? 3.B 3.B How Much Water Do I Drink? 3.C 3.C How Much Water Does Our Class Drink? (Optional) Populations; sampling Analyzing class data; Central Limit Theorem Sample standard deviation 4.A 4.A 4.B 4.B 5.A 5.A 5.B 5.B 5.C 5.C 5.D 5.D 6.A 6.A Theoretical probability of two or more independent events Calculating Risk Conditional probability of two or more dependent events Cost of Living Comparisons Conversion to create equivalent units; supplemental spreadsheet Index Numbers Using indices such as Consumer Price Index; supplemental spreadsheet Polls, Polls, Polls! Weighted averages Average Income Weighted averages and expected value; supplemental spreadsheet How Can We Smooth the Data? (Optional) Simple and weighted moving averages; supplemental spreadsheet Mini-Project: Income Disparities (Optional) 6.B 7.A What Are the Risks? Written analysis of graphical display of weighted moving average 7.A U.S. Budget Priorities Part-part vs. part-whole ratios The Charles A. Dana Center at The University of Texas at Austin Instructor Table of Contents – page viii p. 139 p. 149 p. 43 p. 45 p. 47 7.A p. 49 Practice Assignment Student Course Pack Pages 7.B p. 53 p. 167 7.C p. 175 7.D p. 59 p. 183 7.E p. 61 p. 193 7.F p. 65 p. 203 8.A p. 67 p. 215 8.B p. 71 p. 223 8.C p. 73 p. 235 8.D p. 77 Preview Assignment p. 157 Lesson Lesson Title and Description Instructor Notes Pages Quantitative Reasoning Instructor Table of Contents 7.B 7.B Understanding U.S. Budget Priorities 7.C 7.C Changes to U.S. Budget Priorities 7.D 7.D Percent of Total U.S. Budget Decimals, percentages, and part-whole ratios Absolute and relative change Dotplots used to introduce symmetry and skewness p. 57 What’s My Credit Score? 7.E 7.E 7.F 7.F Application of ratios; Practice assignment can be miniproject. Collect data for Lesson 8, Part D; schedule lab for 8.D and 10.A. U.S. Incarceration Rates Applications of ratios; comparison Mathematical Modeling 8.A 8.A More Water, Please! 8.B 8.B What’s My Car Worth? 8.C 8.C How Money Makes Money 8.D 8.D 8.E 8.E Introduction to mathematical modeling Distinguishing proportionality and linearity Non-linear models Have My Choices Affected My Learning? Regression using student data. Computer lab day, if possible. Mini-Project: Progressive and Flat Income Tax Systems (Optional) p. 245 p. 81 p. 259 p. 87 Informal piecewise linear function 8.F 8.F Mini-Project: Estimating the Number of People in a Crowd (Optional) Using proportionality to estimate 9.A 9.A Depreciation Modeling, interpolation, and extrapolation The Charles A. Dana Center at The University of Texas at Austin Instructor Table of Contents – page ix p. 271 9.A p. 91 Practice Assignment Student Course Pack Pages 9.B p. 97 p. 293 9.C p. 101 p. 305 9.D p. 107 p. 315 10.A p. 111 Preview Assignment p. 283 Lesson Lesson Title and Description Instructor Notes Pages Quantitative Reasoning Instructor Table of Contents 9.B 9.B Appreciating Depreciation 9.C 9.C How Much Should I Be Paid? 9.D 9.D Why Are You Wearing the Same Old Socks? 10.A 10.A 10.B 10.B Linear interpolation via similar triangles Correlation Correlation vs. causation; strength Fibonacci’s Rabbits Exponential growth; limitations. Computer lab day, if possible. Is It Getting Crowded? Exponential growth; limitations p. 323 p. 113 You may wish to consider various configurations with the upcoming modeling lessons. For example, you may wish to consider having different groups complete and present the various logistic lessons or having some groups do logistic models while other groups do the periodic models. You may also choose to omit either logistic or periodic models. 11.A 11.A Oh, Deer! (Optional) 11.B 11.B Population Growth (Optional) 11.C 11.C 11.D 11.D Hares and Lynxes (Optional) 11.E 11.E Reindeer and Lichens (Optional) 12.A 12.A How Long Is the Longest Day? (Optional) 12.B 12.B What’s My Sine? (Optional) Logistic models Time series model of logistic growth Can You Hear Me Now? (Optional) Logistic models. Spreadsheet demonstration or computer lab day, if possible. Predator-prey Effects of parameter choices on model predictions Cyclical data Periodic functions The Charles A. Dana Center at The University of Texas at Austin Instructor Table of Contents – page x The Charles A. Dana Center at p. 331 11.A p. 115 p. 341 11.B p. 119 p. 351 11.C p. 121 p. 359 11.D p. 125 p. 369 11.E p. 129 p. 377 12.A p. 131 p. 389 12.B p. 135 12.C SIR Disease (Optional) Effect of parameters on a model (epidemics) SIR (Continued) (Optional) 12.D Create a time-series model using a spreadsheet; Practice assignment could be a mini-project. Student Course Pack Pages 12.C Practice Assignment Preview Assignment Lesson Title and Description Instructor Notes Pages Lesson Quantitative Reasoning Instructor Table of Contents p. 397 12.C p. 139 p. 407 p. 143 Statistical Studies Mind the Gap in Income Inequality 13.A 13.A 13.B 13.B 13.C 13.C A Lesson Worth Weighting For 13.D 13.D Weight . . . There’s More! 14.A 14.A Blood Pressure and Bias 14.B 14.B Taking Aim at Bias 14.C 14.C Conclusions in Observational Studies 15.A 15.A The Video Game Diet 15.B 15.B All Things in Moderation 15.C 15.C The Power of the Pill 15.D 15.D Designing an Experiment Introductory vocabulary for statistical studies When in Rome . . . Observational and experimental studies and their conclusions Sampling processes Evaluate and design sampling processes Sampling and non-sampling error Types of bias Minimizing bias; appropriate conclusions Designing experimental studies; cause and effect Confounding variables Blinding; placebo effect; placebos Double blinding; blocking The Charles A. Dana Center at The University of Texas at Austin Instructor Table of Contents – page xi p. 415 13.A p. 145 p. 427 13.B p. 149 p. 437 13.C p. 151 p. 451 13.D p. 155 p. 463 14.A p. 159 p. 471 14.B p. 163 p. 479 14.C p. 167 p. 489 15.A p. 169 p. 497 15.B p. 171 p. 507 15.C p. 175 p. 515 15.D p. 179 Quantitative Reasoning Instructor Table of Contents 15.E 15.E In Conclusion Culminating lesson on conclusions from statistical studies p. 527 15.E p. 183 Complex Quantitative Information and Graphical Displays You may wish to consider various configurations with the upcoming lessons on analyzing and writing about graphical displays. For example, you may wish to consider having different groups complete Lesson 16, Parts B, D, E, and F, and present to the class. 16.A 16.A Education Pays 16.B 16.B Looking for Links 16.C 16.C It’s About Time! 16.D 16.D Connecting the Dots 16.E 16.E Big Data (GIS) 16.F 16.F Big Brother – They’re Watching 17.A 17.A 17.B 17.B The Write Approach to Data 17.C 17.C Numbers Never Lie 17.D 17.D Can You Feel the Heat? Analyzing stacked column graphs Analyzing comparative stacked columns graphs Building stacked columns graphs from class data Analyzing motion bubble charts Analysis problems associated with large, volatile data Conclusions from heat maps Decisions, Decisions Decision making based on multiple pieces of quantitative information 16.A 16.B 16.C 16.D 16.E 16.F 17.A Improving written analyses of graphical displays Misleading and erroneous graphical displays Using data to understand complex issues 17.C 17.D Mini-Project: Tornado Climatology 18.A Choosing appropriate ways to represent data 18.B 18.B What’s Your Top Ten? 18.C 18.C What a Wonderful World Various ways to present mathematical models Using multiple representations to choose a model The Charles A. Dana Center at The University of Texas at Austin Instructor Table of Contents – page xii 18.B 18.C Quantitative Reasoning Instructor Table of Contents 18.D 18.D Mathematical Models Limitations of models 18.D More from Probability and Statistics 19.A 19.A How Does Amazon Know What You Want? 19.B 19.B Applications of Probability 19.C 19.C Heads I Win, Tails You Lose 19.D 19.D A Little Math is a Dangerous Thing 20.A 20.A Six Sigma (Optional) 20.B 20.B 20.C 20.C More Normal 20.D 20.D Technology and the Normal Curve (Optional) 21.A 21.A Poincare’s Bread 21.B 21.B Loads of Loaves 21.C 21.C Expressing Confidence 21.D 21.D Adjusting Confidences 21.E 21.E Paths to Victory Probability and the area under a curve Probability and histograms Random variables Probability distribution functions Using statistics for quality control That’s Normal How changes in mean or standard deviation affect the normal curve The Empirical Rule Using technology to find probabilities of events that are normally distributed Using a sample mean to estimate a population mean Applying the Central Limit Theorem Introduction to confidence intervals Margin of error Poll results and levels of confidence The Charles A. Dana Center at The University of Texas at Austin Instructor Table of Contents – page xiii 19.A 19.B 19.C 19.D 20.A 20.B 20.C 20.D 21.A 21.B 21.C 21.D 21.E Quantitative Reasoning Instructor Table of Contents The Charles A. Dana Center at The University of Texas at Austin Instructor Table of Contents – page xiv