The CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite Index (PUT)

advertisement
The CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite Index (PUT)
Introduction
Interest in option-based investment strategies continues to grow as portfolio managers
become increasingly sensitive to the excess returns such types of strategies have
generated. The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) has been instrumental in
supporting this investment style by its introduction of the CBOE S&P 500 BuyWrite
Index (BXMSM), the first option-based benchmark. The BXM tracks the performance of a
hypothetical S&P 500 covered call strategy.
The CBOE has now developed a new option-based benchmark for the equally popular
option strategy of selling puts rather than calls. The new index, called the CBOE S&P
500 PutWrite Index (PUT) tracks the performance of a hypothetical investment strategy
(PUT strategy) that overlays short S&P 500 puts over a money market account. The
number of puts is set to collateralize the exposure to S&P 500 downturns. This design
provides higher leverage than the BXM strategy, and it can also capture the potentially
“rich” premia of S&P 500 put options documented in several academic studies. These
studies have found that short option strategies, and especially short put strategies, appear
to generate high risk-adjusted returns. Reasons cited for the excess returns are the
negative risk-premium garnered by volatility, and, in the case of puts, the high demand
for portfolio protection.
For more information on the PUT Index, please visit the website www.cboe.com/put or
send an e-mail to institutional@cboe.com.
Month End Index Values, June 1988 to May 2007
1200
PutWrite
BXM
1000
SPTR
3 Month T-Bill
800
600
400
200
6/1/2006
6/1/2005
6/1/2004
6/1/2003
6/1/2002
6/1/2001
6/1/2000
6/1/1999
6/1/1998
6/1/1997
6/1/1996
6/1/1995
6/1/1994
6/1/1993
6/1/1992
6/1/1991
6/1/1990
6/1/1989
6/1/1988
0
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Overview of PUT Index
The PUT strategy invests cash at one- and three-month Treasury Bill rates and sells a
sequence of one-month at-the-money S&P 500 puts (SPXSM). The short put position is
collateralized in the sense that the Treasury bills can finance the maximum possible loss
from final settlement of the SPX puts.
The PUT portfolio is rebalanced on the third Friday of the month when the puts expire
and a new batch of puts is sold. This procedure is referred to as the “roll”. On every third
roll, the total cash in the PUT portfolio is reinvested at the three-month Treasury bill rate.
The rebalanced portfolio is long three-month Treasury bills and short one-month SPX
puts. On other roll dates, the cash obtained from selling new SPX puts is invested at the
one-month Treasury bill rate, and the cash required to settle expiring in-the-money puts is
financed first by one-month Treasury bills and second by three-month Treasury bills - if
necessary. On such roll dates, the rebalanced portfolio is typically long one and threemonth Treasury bills and short one-month SPX puts.
PUT and BXM Rates of Return at Expiration
PUTand BXM OptionsSold Out-Of-The-Money
PUT and BXM Sold At-The-Money
1+ RPUT (Case 1)
1+ RPUT
1 + RBXM
1 + RBXM
1+ RPUT (Case 2)
1+Rs
1 + Rs
Rs = S&P 500 Index rate of return
RPUT = PUT Index rate of return
RBXM = BXM Index rate of return
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
The PUT strategy trades off an exposure to S&P 500 risk for a premium over the risk-free
rate. If markets were perfectly efficient and prices continuous, the gist of the strategy
would be to offer a more leveraged version of the BXM1 with greater risk and expected
return. In reality, strike price are discrete, and the PUT and BXM options are usually
sold out-of-the-money. As shown in the chart above, the PUT remains more leveraged
than the BXM but the BXM is now variable over a wider range of S&P 500 returns. As a
result, the greater leverage of the PUT does not necessarily translate to greater riskiness
as measured by a greater standard deviation of its return. In addition, markets are fraught
with frictions and pressure points that can affect prices. Several academic studies have
puzzled over the apparent richness of S&P 500 put options. Consistent with this, the
implied volatility of the PUT put option has often be greater than the implied volatility of
the BXM call option. Last, asset managers should find the PUT strategy a convenient
method to utilize disposable cash to enhance returns.
Roll Date Implied Volatilities
45%
PUT put
40%
35%
BXM Call
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
6/1/2006
6/1/2004
6/1/2002
6/1/2000
6/1/1998
6/1/1996
6/1/1994
6/1/1992
6/1/1990
6/1/1988
0%
1
See Appendix A for a formal analysis of the PUT return between roll dates and a comparison of the PUT
and BXM.
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Historical Performance of the CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite Index, June 1988 – May
2007
From June 1988 to May 2007, the PUT had an annualized monthly return of 12.65%
compared to 12.30% for the S&P 500 Total Return Index (SPTR), 11.86% for the BXM
and 4.67% for three-month Treasury bills. The PUT had a smaller standard deviation than
the BXM and SPTR.
70.00%
PutWrite
60.00%
BXM
50.00%
SPTR
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
15%
10%
7.50%
5%
2.50%
0%
-2.50%
-5%
-7.50%
-10%
-15.00%
0.00%
Based on commonly used measures of risk and return, the risk-adjusted performance of
the PUT also compares favorably with the performance of SPTR and BXM. Its Sharpe
and modified Sharpe ratios are greater. The PUT also does well by the Stutzer2 Index, an
alternative measure of risk-adjusted returns that take into account leptokurtic returns.
2
The Stutzer index is an alternative to the Sharpe ratio that takes into account the asymmetry of option
returns. The Stutzer measure equal to the square root of twice the Stutzer index is on the same scale as the
Sharpe ratio. When returns are normally distributed, the Stutzer measure is equal to the Sharpe ratio.
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Statistics to 5/31/07
Arithmetic Mean Monthly Return
Annualized Monthly Std. Dev.
Annualized Geometric Mean Monthly Return
Monthly Skew
Excess Kurtosis
Sharpe Ratio :(ER - Tbill) / Std.Dev.
Modified Sharpe: (ER - TBill) / Semi Dev.
Stutzer Measure
3M TPutWrite
BXM
SPXTR Bill
1.03%
0.97%
1.05% 0.38%
8.27%
9.16% 13.75%
12.65%
11.86% 12.30% 4.67%
-1.97
-1.27
-0.46
5.91
1.59
-2.10
0.28
0.24
0.18
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.20
0.19
0.17
Mean Monthly PUT and BXM Returns for Different SPTR Returns
June 1988 to May 2007
15%
10%
PUT
BXM
SPTR
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
Btw 10%
and 12.5%
Btw 7.5%
and 10%
Btw 5% and
7.5%
Btw 2.5%
and 5%
Btw 0 and
2.5%
Btw -2.5%
and 0
Btw -5%
and -2.5%
Btw-7.5%
and -5%
Btw -10%
and -7.5%
Btw -12.5%
and -10%
Below 12.5%
-20%
SPTR Monthly Return
As expected, PUT monthly returns tend to (a) increase with the return on the S&P 500,
(b) be greater than the returns of the BXM and SPTR when SPTR returns are negative or
small, and (c) be smaller when SPTR returns are larger. More specifically, the PUT tends
to perform better when the monthly return of SPTR is at or below 2.5%. The solid
relative performance of the PUT is explained by the fact that this occurred 67% of the
time between June 1988 and May 2007.
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Construction of PUT Portfolio
The PUT tracks the value of an initial investment of $100 in a portfolio that passively
follows the PUT strategy. The portfolio is managed and calculated as follows:
•
On June 1, 1988, the inception date, $100 is invested at the three-month Treasury bill
rate3. This investment is carried until June 17, 1988 which is the first date when SPX
at-the-money puts are sold. We call this the first roll date. The cash proceeds from
the sale are invested at the one-month Treasury bill rate.
•
If the puts expire in the money at the second roll date, July 15, 1988, the final
settlement loss is financed by the Treasury bills, and a new batch of puts is sold. The
revenue from the sale of the puts is invested again at the one-month Treasury bill rate.
•
On the third roll date, August 19, 1988, both the one-and three-month Treasury
investments are liquidated and the cash is used to finance possible losses from the
expiring puts. New puts are sold and the total net cash balance is now reinvested at
the three-month Treasury bill rate.
This cycle is repeated from thereon.
Final Settlement Price of Expiring Put Options
At expiration, the put options are settled to a Special Opening Quotation (SOQ, ticker
“SET”) of the S&P 5004. The SOQ is a special calculation of the S&P 500 Index
compiled from the opening prices of S&P 500 stocks. The SOQ is calculated when all
S&P 500 stocks have opened for trading; this typically happens before 11:00 a.m. ET5.
The aggregate settlement value of the expiring puts is equal to the number of puts times
the maximum of 0 and the difference between the strike price of the puts and the SOQ
(N*max[0,K-S OQ)]).
Selection of the “At-the-Money” Strike Price
3
The intra-day cash from selling puts at the open is deemed to be invested at the close of the roll date.
Similarly, settlement losses are deemed to be financed at the close.
4
If the third Friday is an exchange holiday, the put option will be settled against the SOQ on the previous
business day and the new put option will be selected on that day as well.
5
If one or more stocks in the S&P 500 Index do not open on the day the SOQ is calculated, the final
settlement price for SPX options is determined in accordance with the Rules and By-Laws of the Options
Clearing Corporation.
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
The strike price of the new options is the strike price of the listed CBOE SPX put option
that is closest to but not greater than the last value of the S&P 500 Index reported before
11:00 a.m. ET. For example, if the last S&P 500 Index value reported before 11:00 a.m.
ET is 1433.10 and the closest listed SPX put option strike price below 1433.10 is 1430
then 1430 strike SPX put options are sold.
Sale Price of Put Options6
The new put options are deemed sold at a price equal to the volume-weighted average of
the traded prices (“VWAP”) of put options with that strike during the half-hour period
beginning at 11:30 a.m. ET. CBOE calculates the VWAP in a two-step process: first,
CBOE excludes trades between 11:30 a.m. and 12:00 p.m. ET that are identified as
having been executed as part of a “spread”, and then CBOE calculates the weighted
average of all remaining transaction prices at that strike between 11:30 a.m. and 12:00
p.m. ET, with weights equal to the fraction of total non-spread volume transacted at each
price during this period. The source of the transaction prices used in the calculation of the
VWAP is CBOE’s Market Data Retrieval (“MDR”) System7. If no transactions occur at
the new put strike between 11:30 a.m. and 12:00 p.m. ET, the new put options are
deemed sold at the last bid price reported before 12:00 p.m. ET.
Number of Puts Sold Unlike an investor in the BXM strategy who sells a single call at
every roll, the PUT investor sells a different number of puts at every roll. The number of
puts is chosen to ensure that the maximum final settlement loss can be financed by
Treasury bills. Hence in the worst case scenario, when the S&P 500 falls to zero, the
value of the PUT portfolio is zero. The number of puts sold increases with Treasury bill
rates and the price of the put. It decreases with the strike price.
Index Calculation
CBOE calculates the PUT once per day at the close of trading. On any given date, the
index represents the mark-to-market value of the initial $100 invested in the PUT
strategy.
At the close of every business date, the value of the PUT is equal to the value of the
Treasury bill account less the mark-to-market value of the puts:
6 A slightly different roll procedure is used to calculate the historical series of the CBOE S&P 500
PutWrite Index. This is to take into account the changes in the timing of the expiration of S&P 500 options,
and to mimic the changes made in the calculation of the BXM series over time. Up to November 20, 1992,
the roll is deemed to take place at the close of the 3rd Friday, the strike price of the new put is determined
at 4:00 p.m. EST. and the new puts are deemed sold at the last bid price before 4:00 p.m. EST. After this
date, the index is rolled at 11:00 a.m. ET instead. And starting on March 17, 2006, the new puts were sold
at the VWAP.
7 Time & Sales information from CBOE’s MDR System is disseminated through the Options Price
Reporting Authority (OPRA) and is publicly available through most price quote vendors.
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
PUTt = M t − N last Pt
where Mt is the Treasury bill balance at the close of date t, Nlast is the number of put
options sold at the last roll date, and Pt is the arithmetic average of the last bid and ask
prices of the put option reported before 4:00 p.m. ET on date t.
On all but roll dates, the Treasury bill balance is obtained by compounding the one and
three-month Treasury balances at the previous business close at their respective daily
rates.
M ti = (1 + rti−1 ) M ti−1
where i = 1 and 3 for one and three-month Treasury bills, and rit-1 is the corresponding
Treasury bill rate from the previous to the current close. The Treasury bill rates between
two roll dates are obtained by compounding the daily rates.
On every third roll date, the Treasury bills are deemed to mature, the cash is used to pay
for final settlement of the puts if they expire in-the-money, and new puts are sold. The net
cash balance available for reinvestment is:
M t = ∑ (1 + rti−1 ) M ti−1 − N last Max[0, K old − SOQt ] + N new Pvwap
i
where Kold is the strike price of the put options sold at the previous roll date, SOQt is the
final settlement price on roll date t, Nnew is the number of new puts sold and Pvwap is the
volume-weighted average price at which the new options are sold. This balance is
reinvested at the three-month Treasury bill rate. Hence in the month following a third
roll date, the one-month Treasury balance is zero.
The number of new puts sold on any roll date t is set such that the Treasury balance at the
next roll date covers the maximum put settlement loss:
N new = M t /( K new /(1 + R3 ) − Pvwap ) Third roll dates
N new = [ M 1 (1 + R 1 ) + M 3 (1 + R3 )] / K − Pvwap /(1 + R1 )] Other roll dates
where Knew is the strike price at which the new puts are sold, and R1 and R3 are the oneand three-month Treasury bill rates to the next roll date,
Example:
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Number Strike
Settlement
Treasury balances of puts price SOQ Loss
Put bid
1 Month 3 Months
22.0826 647.6421 0.6440
1040
11/20/03
Pre11/21/03 settlement
22.0832 647.6589
Post
settlement
20.8854 647.6589
1038
0.6612
Effective
Threemonth
Tbill rate
to next
roll
1.1978
1030
18.2 1.000717
November 21, 2003 was a third roll date. Daily compounding of the one-month and three
months Treasury balances outstanding at the close of November 20, 2003 (daily
compounding rates 1.000024 and 1.00003 respectively) yielded one-and three-month
settlement balances of $22.08 and $647.66. Since the SOQ was 1038, the 1040 put
expired in the money with a settlement loss of $1.1978 = .644* (1040-1038). The
number of new puts sold was N = M / [K/(1+R) –P ] = 668.5442/ (1030/1.000717 –
18.2) = .6612. Equivalently, N*K = (M+ N*P )* (1+R) = .6612*1030.
Suppose that the S&P 500 had decreased to 0 at the next roll date (December 19, 2003.)
The settlement loss on the puts would have been N*K= .6612 * 1030. By construction,
this would have been exactly covered by the Treasury investment. The calculation on
other roll dates is similar to that on third roll dates but the cash from sale of the puts is
invested at the one-month Treasury bill rate.
Bibliography
Bakshi, Gurdip and Nikunj Kapadia (2003) Delta-hedged gains and the negative market
volatility risk premium, Review of Financial Studies 16, 527-566.
Bollen, Nicholas and Robert Whaley, (2004) Does Net Buying Pressure Affect the Shape
of Implied Volatility Functions?" Journal of Finance April 2004, Vol.59 No.2
Bondarenko, Oleg (2003) Why are put options so expensive? Working paper.
Carr, Peter and Liuren Wu (2006) A Tale of two indices, Journal of Derivatives, Spring
2006
Broadie, Mark, Mikhail Cherno and Michael Johannes (2007) Understanding Index
Option Returns, draft
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Feldman, Barry E. Roy, Dhruv Roy (2005), Passive Options-Based Investment
Strategies: The Case of the CBOE S&P 500 BuyWrite Index. The Journal of Investing.
(Summer 2005).
Santa-Clara, Pedro and Alessio Saretto (2004), Option Strategies: Good Deals and
Margin Calls, Working paper.
Robert Whaley and Schneeweis, Thomas, and Richard Spurgin. (2001) "The Benefits of
Index Option-Based Strategies for Institutional Portfolios" The Journal of Alternative
Investments, Spring 2001, pp. 44 - 52.
Whaley, Robert. (2002) "Risk and Return of the CBOE BuyWrite Monthly Index" The
Journal of Derivatives (Winter 2002) pp. 35 - 42.
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
APPENDIX A
Rates of Return of the PUT and BXM between Roll Dates
The effect of put premia on the rate of return of the PUT is more transparent if we
examine its rate of return between roll dates. For convenience of exposition, assume it is
a third roll date. The PUT portfolio is therefore long three-month Treasury bills and short
SPX puts. Define the richness of the put as π = P / K and its moneyness as m where K =
(1-m) S, and S is the value of the S&P 500 at the time the puts are sold. The expression
(m+Rs)- is equal to zero if the put expires out-of-the-money and to m+Rs if it expires in
the money.
At the next roll date, the rate of return of the PUT is equal to
1 + R PUT =
−
1 + (m+ Rs )
1 −π ( 1 −π )(1−m)
1+ R
1+ R
Selling puts leverages the Treasury bill rate by a factor that increases with the richness of
the put. The tradeoff is a leveraged exposure to movements of the S&P 500 below the
strike price. This leverage increases with the richness of the put as does the volatility of
the rate of return.
To clarify the difference between the PUT and the BXM, assume first that both the call
and put are sold exactly at-the-money, and that put-call parity holds. Define Rs- =0 if Rs
> 0 and Rs- = Rs if Rs < = 0. Then:
1 + R PUT =
−
R−
1
1 + Rs
1 + R BXM =
and
+ s
1 − π
1 −π ( 1 −π )
1+d −π
1+ R 1+d 1+ R
1+ R
1+ R
The exposure of the PUT to negative S&P 500 rates of return is more leveraged than the
exposure of the BXM, and when the S&P 500 rate of return is positive, the PUT has a
greater rate of return than the BXM.
When the call and put are sold out-of-the money, the rate of return of the PUT is as
shown above and that of the BXM is
1 + RBXM
1 + d + m' ( Rs − m' ) −
=
+
1−π '
1−π '
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
where d is the dividend yield of the S&P 500 Index, and m’ and π’ represent the
moneyness and richness of the BXM call, defined analogously to those of the PUT put.
The PUT remains more leveraged than the BXM but its standard deviation can be smaller
or greater depending on the levels of moneyness of the two indexes.
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
The CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite Index (PUTSM) is designed to represent a proposed
hypothetical short put strategy. Like many passive indexes, the PUT Index does not take
into account significant factors such as transaction costs and taxes and, because of
factors such as these, many or most investors should be expected to underperform
passive indexes. In the construction of the hypothetical PUT index, the SPX puts are
assumed to be written at a certain price on the third Friday of the month. However, there
is no guarantee that all investors will be able to sell at this price, and investors attempting
to replicate the PUT Index should discuss with their brokers possible timing and liquidity
issues. Transaction costs for a put writing strategy such as the PUT could be significantly higher
than transaction costs for a passive strategy of investing in Treasury bills. Past
performance does not guarantee future results. Standard & Poor's®, S&P®, and S&P
500® are registered trademarks of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and are licensed for
use by the Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated (CBOE). CBOE, not S&P,
calculates and disseminates the PUT Index. CBOE® and Chicago Board Options
Exchange® are registered trademarks of the CBOE, and SPXSM, BXMSM and PUTSM are
servicemarks of the CBOE. The methodology of the CBOE S&P 500 PutWrite Index is
owned by CBOE and may be covered by one or more patents or pending patent
applications.
Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an
option, a person must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized
Options (ODD). Copies of the ODD are available from your broker, by calling 1-888OPTIONS, or from The Options Clearing Corporation, One North Wacker Drive, Suite
500, Chicago, Illinois 60606. Supporting documentation for claims, comparisons,
recommendations, statistics or other technical data is available by calling 1-888OPTIONS, sending an e-mail to help@cboe.com, or by visiting www.cboe.com/put.
www.cboe.com/put
CBOE Proprietary Information
Copyright (c) 2007, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Download