Is The Primary Health Care Crisis in America Solvable? David Mechanic, Ph.D. Institute for Health, Health Health Care Policy and Aging Research Rutgers the State University of New Jersey Rutgers, June 28, 2010 Presented at the 2010 Annual Meeting of AcademyHealth, Boston, MA Primary Care is a Set of Functions Performed in Varying Ways in Different Health Systems • Easy accessibility and continuity • First contact medical care • Treatment of acute complaints • Preventive care • Monitoring and patient referral when needed • Coordinating care across needed services • Chronic disease management • Patient education and support __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ F Few PC practices ti iin th the U U.S. S approximate i t the desired models or QOC goals __ Primary Care in the U.S. Provided by a Variety V i t off Clinicians Cli i i and d iin M Multiple lti l S Settings tti # of Clinicians/ Services/Facilities Primary Care Physicians (35% of active MDs) Family Practice/General Practice General Internal Medicine General Pediatrics Data Year 240,416 98,328 92,917 49,171 2008 Nurse Practitioners in Primary Care 92,000 2004 Physician Assistants in Primary Care 22 000 22,000 2004 HRSA Community Health Centers Retail Clinics Emergency Departments Primary care provided by specialty physicians 8,170 (PCPs) 5,137 (NPs, PA, CNMs) 9 807 (Nurses) 9,807 approximately 1,000 clinics 2008 2009 approximately 4,600 434 million encounters 2002-2004 Sources: Robert Graham Center; Health Resources and Services Administration; Science Daily 5/25/09; Valderas et al. Annals of Family Medicine 7(2):104-111, 2009; Kellermann, NEJM, 355(13): 1300-1303, 2006. Challenges g to the Future of Primary y Care • Lack of a strong medical school primary care teaching environment • R Relatively l ti l llow reimbursement i b t– recruitment increasingly difficult • Lack off concordance between practice size and organization and use of cost-effective practice tools • Increasing time pressures making it difficult to meet professional and patient expectations while meeting target incomes • Relatively low prestige among specialties • Need for a more realistic business model Effective Tools for Effective Primary Care Require Scale of Organization Typically Lacking • Electronic ec o c Health ea Records eco ds fully u y functional u c o a • Better use of evidence for decision-making • Organized teamwork and collaboration ((NPs, PAs, etc.)) • Established coordination processes • Improved clinical measures with continuing feedback • Patient registries and disease management • Resources for meaningful patient involvement in their care and patient education Most Primary Care Physicians Continue in Solo Practice, Partnerships and Small Practices 2005-06 % of Office Based Primary C Care Ph Physicians i i Hing and Burt, Vital and Health Statistics, Series 13, No. 166, Table 2 Slow Adoption of Electronic Health Records, Particularly in Smaller Practices Primary P i C Care Other Practice Size # of physicians 1-3 4-5 6 10 6-10 11-50 >50 50 2007 – 2008 Fully Functional Basic System System 6 15 4 11 2 3 6 8 17 Neither 80 86 7 11 17 22 33 Source: DesRoches et al. NEJM, 359(1): 50-60, 2008 91 86 77 71 50 Percentage of Office-Based Physicians Using Electronic Medical Records/Electronic Health Records (EMRs/EHRs): United States, 2001-2008 and preliminary 2009 Any EMR/HER system 50 Basic system 45 Fully f unctional system 41.5 43.9 Percent of Physicians s 40 34.8 35 29.2 30 23.9 25 20 20.8 18 2 18.2 17.3 20.5 17.3 16.7 15 10.5 11.8 10 5 31 3.1 38 3.8 4.4 2006 2007 2008 6.3 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2009 Year Source: National Center for Health Statistics, December 2009 Basic system: patient demographics; patient problem lists; clinical notes; orders for prescriptions; p p ; imaging g g results Fully functional system: basic plus medical history and follow-up; orders for tests; prescription and test orders sent electronically; drug interaction warnings/contraindications; highlighting out-of-range test levels; reminders for guideline based interventions U.S. Primary Care Physicians Slow in Adopting Care Management Tools to Treat Patients with Asthma, Congestive Heart Failure, Diabetes and Depression Across Conditions, 2008 Did not use tools for any of 4 conditions Used for 1-3 1 3 conditions Used for all conditions Tools Written Educational materials t i l 24% Nurse managers to coordinate care 69% 22% 10% Non-physician Non physician educators 50% 35% 15% Group visits 80% 16% 3% 31% 45% Source: Center for Studying Health System Change, December 2009 Characteristics of Patient Visits to Retail Clinics and PC Practices % Retail Visits Visits Proportion among the 10 most common reasons for visits to retail clinics % PCP 90 18 Examples: upper respiratory infections pharyngitis p y g immunizations otitis media or externa 27 21 20 13 14 2 1 3 Primary source of payment – OP 33 10 Reports not having a PCP 61 ------ Source: Mehrotra et al. Health Affairs, 27(5): 1272-1282, 2008 Areas of Needed Adjustment • Revised reimbursement arrangements – paying for performance not q p quantity y of services;; p paying y g fairly y for care management and cognitive services • Reduced pace and more time for direct patient care • Improved use of teams and coordinated care processes • Reimbursement for care management and coordination • Improved teamwork • Rapid adoption of EHRs • Evidence-based focus while protecting physician autonomy • Building improved group cultures and managerial support Proposed solutions (Medical Homes, ACOs), will be difficult to implement widely without fundamental changes in organization, professional culture, lt financial fi i l iincentives ti and d managerial i l lleadership d hi Range of Successful Models • Kaiser Permanente ● GHC of Puget Sound • Geisenger Health System Proven Health Navigator PCMH Model ● Virginia Mason ● Johns Hopkins Guided Care PCMH Model • Intermountain HealthCare Medical Group Care M Management t Plus Pl PCMH Model Likely Future: Slow Progress Progress, Short Short-Term Term Difficult • Mixed models of varying effectiveness and quality • Increased use of nurse practitioners, PAs, new care provider roles, retail clinics, community health centers, Internet assisted self-care __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ Given the diversity of contexts, tough finances and politics, and the need for multiple pragmatic approaches and solutions, it is likely we will slowly muddle through in baby steps but hopefully evolve in more rational, acceptable, and d equitable it bl care patterns tt over th the nextt 20 years Practice Redesign Plausible Redistribution of Functions for Added Value – Most Likely in Integrated System FUNCTION U C O Routine established services (e.g., immunization, common acute complaints)) FROM O PCPs TO O retail clinics; NPs; PAs; medical technicians Continuing management of less complex chronic diseases and comorbidities Subspecialists PCPs; PC teams; NPs Basic primary care provided by subspecialties (estimated several hundred million annual encounters) Subspecialists basic levels of care depending on complexity Emergency room – 1st contact primary care Chronic disease management counseling and instruction Complex chronic care and complex comorbidities ER Subspecialists and PCPs PCPs urgent care clinics; retail clinics; NPs; PCPs properly designed chronic disease management teams subspecialty teams System Coordinated Through EHRs