Rural-Urban Differences in Perceived RuralAccess to Health Services in Older Adults: The Role of Workforce Supply Joshua M. Thorpe, PhD, MPH David A. Mott, PhD Division of Social and Administrative Sciences, University of Wisconsin – Madison School of Pharmacy Sonderegger Research Center, UW-Madison June 27, 27 2009 Funding: Pilot Grant, Wisconsin Longitudinal Study (PI: R. Hauser; National Institute on Aging (AG9775 and AG-21079) Background Considerable healthcare needs: 80% with 1+ chronic conditions; 50% with 2+ conditions Depression prevalence high (5(5-15%); increases with age Managing 22-5 different Rx’s (41% managing 5+) High need for regular prevention/screening services Access range of services critically important Access challenges in rural areas: Disproportionate need for providers Fewer local providers available to meet needs Larger elderly population-population-- aging at a disproportionate rate Mental health providers, specialists, pharmacy services, dentists, etc Evidence suggesting access barriers in rural areas: Fewer specialist and mental health visits Less likely to receive preventive services More likely to be hospitalized for ‘preventable’ conditions Gaps and Research Questions Q1: Do older adults in rural areas actually perceive greater t barriers b i iin access tto h health lth services i compared d tto those in more urban areas? Q2: If differences in perceived access exist, are these Q2: rural--urban differences in differences being mediated by rural workforce kf supply? l ? Q3: More broadly Q3: broadly, what % of the total variation in perceived access is explained by countycounty-level characteristics (rurality, workforce, etc)? Q3b: Of the total county county--level contribution, what is the relative contribution of workforce supply versus other sources? Conceptual Model: A d Andersen Behavioral B h i l Model, M d l 1995 I di id l L l Individual-Level *Predisposing *Enabling Rurality *Need Individual-Level Perceived Health Evaluated Health Community-Enabling Healthcare System *Workforce Supply *Other features External Environment Consumer Satisfaction (access) Methods – Data Three data sources Wisconsin Longitudinal Study (WLS). Random sample of over 10,000 graduates from Wisconsin high schools in 1957. Subset to those completing 2004 wave (n=5,465), Area Resource File who oa also so cu currently e t y live e in Wisconsin sco s ((final final a n=4,898). n=4,898 ,898)). ,898) non--p non pharmacy y workforce Wisconsin Department of Regulation and Licensing County--level pharmacy data County Methods – K Key Independent I d d t Variables V i bl Co nt -level CountyCounty le el R Rurality ralit Rural Urban Continuum Codes (2003 ARF) Metropolitan (3 categories) Non--Metro (6 categories: 3 urban, 3 rural) Non Current study: Metropolitan (reference), Urban, Rural C CountyCounty -level l lW Workforce kf S Supply l Provider--toProvider to-Population Ratios (per 100,000) Primary care physicians (GP (GP, Family Family, General IM) Specialist physicians (Medical + Surgical) Hospitals Psychiatrists Pharmacies Nurse Practitioners + Physician Assistants Methods – D Dependent d t Variables V i bl Perceptions p of Access Group Health Association of America Consumer Satisfaction (Davies & Ware, 1991). “Thinking about your own health care, how would you rate…” rate…” Responses: poor, fair, good, v. good, excellent Parsimony: Exploratory Factor Analysis Results: …your access to mental health care if you needed it? …your access to specialty care if you needed it? …the services available for getting prescriptions filled? …your your access to hospital care if you needed it? …your access to emergency care if you needed it? …the time waiting to get in for a routine medical care appointment? 1-factor solution factor loadings: 0.55 (routine) – 0.87 (hospital care) Cronbach α: 0.86 Sum score = “Perceived Access” (higher=better) Methods – IndividualI di id l-Level Individual L l Control C t l variables i bl Predisposing Age Sex ((male=1)) Marital status Education Enabling Perceived financial adequacy Health insurance Income Need ADLs/IADLs Health Utilityy Index SF12 Physical Component SF12 Mental Component # chronic conditions Methods – A l ti A Analytic Approach h R li Rurality a W kf Workforce S Supply l b Perceptions of Access c (direct effect) Multivariate Path Analysis to test: Mediated effects = product of coefficients (a*b) Total effects (i.e., unadjusted) of rurality on perceived access Mediated ed ated e effect ect o of rurality u a ty via aa all workforce o o ce variables a ab es Specific mediated effects of rurality via each workforce type Residual direct effect (adjusted) of rurality on perceived access 95% CI’s calculated using biasbias-corrected bootstrap Models adjusted for personperson-level (Andersen model) differences Analyses were conducted using Mplus v5.0 Results (descriptive) – Selected Respondent Characteristics Range in Sample Mean SD Min Max Rurality (RUCC codes) % Metropolitan 65.5 0 1 % Urban 28.8 0 1 % Rural 58 5.8 0 1 Age (years) 64 63 67 % Male 46 0 1 12 21 0 1 9 Education (years) 13.8 2.4 % Married 79.7 # comorbid conditions 1.9 1.8 0 14 Perceived Access (sum score) 22.6 4.0 7 30 Results (descriptive) – % Perceiv ving Barrie er (fair/p poor vs. go ood/vg/ex xcellent) % Reporting Barriers by Rurality and Type of Service 25% Metro Urban Rural 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Mental Health Specialists p Rx Services Hospitals p Type of Health Service Note: All contrasts between metro/rural statistically significant (p<.05) Routine Care Results (Question 1) – D Does perceived i d access vary by b rurality? li ? Total ((unadjusted) j ) Effects of County-Level y Ruralityy on Perceived Access in older adults Answer to Q1, Yes. Rural vs. Metro -1.2** -0.5** Perceived Access Urban vs. Metro Perceived access was, on average, 1.2 points lower in rural vs. metropolitan counties. Perceived access was, on average, 0.5 points lower in urban vs. metropolitan counties. Results (Question 2) – Rural Are these disparities mediated by rural rural-urban urban differences in workforce supply? Rural vs. Metro P hi t i t Psychiatrists Specialists Pharmacies T t l = -1.2** Total 1 2** Rural vs. Metro Direct = -0.69* ; Total Ind.= -0.51** Perceived Access Hospitals PA+NPs Note: All models adjusted for Person-level differences PC MDs Short Answer to Q2: YES, in a bad direction for rural areas Results (Question 2) – Urban Are these disparities mediated by rural rural-urban urban differences in workforce supply? Urban vs. Metro P hi t i t Psychiatrists Specialists Pharmacies T t l = -0.41** Total 0 41** Urban vs. Metro Direct = -0.32* ; Total Ind.= -0.09 Perceived Access Hospitals PA+NPs Note: All models adjusted for Person-level differences PC MDs Short Answer to Q2: No, not for urban vs. metro areas Results (Question 3) – What is the p proportion p of variation in p perceived access that occurs at the county-level (vs. person)? Multilevel modeling (xtmixed, Stata v10.1) % Total Variance, C County vs. P Person …of the County-level Variance, W kf Workforce vs. O Other h County-Level 5% ; p<.01 Person-Level 95% Workforce 56% ; p<.01 p .01 Other Summary Q1:: Older adults in nonQ1 non-metro counties ((rural & urban)) had lower perceived access to medical care. Q2a (rural vs. metro): Taken together, WF supply variables significantly mediated the disparity Rural lower supply lower perceived access Differences in WF supply, however, does not completely explain disparity Q2 (rural vs. metro): Significant specific pathways: Hospital supply mitigated disparity; Specialty supply exacerbated Q2b (urban vs. metro): WF not significant mediator of disparity Q3:: 5% off ttotal Q3 t l variation i ti iin perceived i d access att countycounty t -level l l Of this 5%, over half (56%) related to WF disparities across counties Limitations WF supply and Rurality measured at countycounty-level May not reflect heterogeneity at lowerlower-levels Pop--provider ratio measures Pop May not fully capture system barriers Validity of “Perceptions Perceptions of access”? access ? Measurement work needed (e.g., cognitive interviews) E.g., Penchansky’s other 4 A’s (accommodation, acceptability, etc) 1-factor solution for 6 different service types? How do respondents conceive “access”? access ? Generalizability. Cohort of Wisconsin high school graduates from 1957 1957. Cohorts from different years? Older adults outside of Wisconsin? Different racial/ethnic compositions? Conclusions Older adults in rural counties -- a group with great potential need for healthcare -- perceive greater challenges in accessing a range of health services. Increasing overall workforce supply (and specialists in particular) may reduce the access disparity between rural and metropolitan counties. Not necessarily for urban/metro disparity In our sample, the “upper“upper-bound” of policies hoping to increase perceived access by altering county county--level characteristics h t i ti was around d 5% 5%. Questions?