Translating Research into Practice Marilyn Moon American Institutes for Research ® Many Challenges to Overcome Lots of competition for attention Requires persistence Keep it simple Cannot simply be an afterthought ® Figure 2.2 Cumulative Growth in Per Enrollee Payments for Comparable Services, Medicare And Private Insurers, 1970-2000* 2500 2000 1500 Medicare 1000 Medicare 500 Year ® Source: Boccuti and Moon, 2003 20 00 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 19 78 19 76 19 74 19 72 0 19 70 Growth (%) Private Insurers Private health insurers Average Annual Growth in Medicare and Private Health Insurance Benefits Per Enrollee: Selected Periods Except for 1993–1997, Medicare has grown slightly more slowly than private health insurance. Medicare 16 Entire Period 14 Percent 8 Selected Calendar Year Periods 12.8 12 10 Private Health Insurance 10.9 10.9 9.5 9.2 7.6 5.9 6 4.3 4 2 0 -0.2 -2 Calendar Years Source: CMS, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group. ® 6.4 Out-of Pocket Spending as a Share of Income Among Elderly Beneficiaries 25.0% 22.6% 20.0% 19.1% 14.3% 15.0% 12.3% 11.0% 11.2% 1970 1978 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 1965 1984 ® Source: American Institutes for Research Calculations Using NHE, CPI, CPS, and Trustees Report, MCBS 1987 2004 Medicare Burden Lowers per Worker GDP over Time but Substantial Growth Would Remain $140,000 Per Worker GDP $130,000 Per Worker GDP minus Medicare Burden $120,000 $110,000 $100,000 $90,000 $80,000 ® 50 20 45 20 40 20 35 20 30 20 25 20 20 20 15 20 20 10 $70,000 C ur re nt 2006 Dollars $150,000 Growth in per Worker Burdens and in per Beneficiary Burdens of Medicare $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 2006 Dollars $7,000 Per Worker Burden Per Beneficiary Burden $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 Curre nt ® 2020 2040 Figure 2. Expected Growth Per Capita 2007 to 2030 120% Percentage 100% 80% 111.1% 60% 88.0% 40% 20% 18.2% 0% Social Security Benefit for Those Retiring at 65 ® Medicare Costs Borne by Taxpayers Medicare Costs Borne by Beneficiaries Source: Author’s calculations from Board of Trustees, 2007a and 2007b. Major Work Needed on Translation Too many researchers assume journal article fills the bill Multiple audiences, multiple products needed To affect policy, don’t just talk to policymakers ♦Consumers ♦Providers ♦Press ®