Changing Skill Mix Is it the answer? Professor Bonnie Sibbald National Primary Care Research & Development Centre University of Manchester, England Challenges • • • • Rising demand Rising cost Variable quality Medical workforce shortages Expectations Changing skill mix can• Reduce demand for high cost personnel • Reduce cost of care. • Maintain (or increase) the quality of care Does it Work? Substitution Systematic review of nurse-doctor substitution in primary care • First contact for urgent problems ( 5 studies) • First contact and ongoing care (7 studies) • Management of chronic condition (4 studies) Laurant et al. Substitution of doctors by nurses in primary care. In Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. April, 2005. . Patient Outcomes 35 No. Outcomes 30 25 20 Doctor Nurse Same 15 10 5 0 Physical health Satisfaction Process of care & Productivity 14 No. Outcomes 12 10 8 Doctor Nurse Same 6 4 2 0 Quality Consult length Consult number Resource Utilisation 30 No. Outcomes 25 20 Doctor Nurse Same 15 10 5 0 Tests Scripts Services Cost Chambers 1977 No difference Lattimer 1988 Nurse cheaper Lewis 1967 No difference Spitzer 1973 No difference Venning 2000 No difference Conclusions Patient outcomes • No difference in physical health • Patient satisfaction higher for nurses Process of care • No difference in quality of care • Nurses tend to give more advice Resource utilisation • Productivity lower for nurses • Costs the same System-level Impact Larger teams with increased role differentiation among members Associated with … Economies of scale and scope Higher technical quality of care Increased speed of access System-level Impact But has unintended effects on Continuity of care Coordination of care And high capital costs associated with Education & training Change management Licensing & regulation Policy Implications Changing skill mix is a plausible strategy for increasing workforce capacity. But beware High capital costs Reduced personal continuity of care Difficulties with care coordination