Health Insurance Coverage and Access to Technologies: The Case of Insurance Mandates for the Treatment of Infertility Increasing utilization of ART in the U.S. 120000 100000 80000 60000 Melinda Henne Laurence Baker M. Kate Bundorf 40000 20000 Trends in rates of multiple births Cycles 00 01 20 99 19 20 97 98 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 19 91 92 19 90 19 Supported by funding from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality and the Iris M. Litt Fund 19 19 89 0 Births 15 States have insurance mandates Arkansas Hawaii 350 Massachusetts California 300 250 Maryland 200 New Jersey Montana Connecticut Illinois Louisiana Texas Rhode Island Ohio West Virginia New York 150 100 50 1980 1985 1987 1989 1991 2001 2002 00 98 96 02 20 20 19 19 92 94 90 88 86 Twins/10,000 deliveries 19 19 19 19 82 84 19 19 19 19 80 0 HOM/100,000 deliveries Effect of insurance coverage on treatment patterns Research question • Jain et al, 2002— 2002—Comprehensive insurance coverage increases utilization, decreases number of embryos transferred, births, percent multiple births • Reynolds et al, 2003— 2003—Comprehensive insurance coverage reduces number of embryos transferred in women <35, maybe reduce multiple birth rates (significant only in MA) How does comprehensive insurance for infertility affect birth outcomes at the population level? – Both studies evaluated one year only (1998) – Jain et al did not address differences in demographic characteristics across states – Reynolds et al matched mandate states to geographically close states with similar size population 1 Data Sources – Birth Certificates Data Sources – Insurance Mandates • National Vital Statistics System from the • RESOLVE and state legislation • Categorized based on likely effectiveness in NCHS 19801980-1997 – Information abstracted from birth certificates – 100% of births for most states for most years – Total number of births, multiple births (twins or higher order), triplets+ (triplets or higher order – Transform births to deliveries for calculation of multiples changing treatment patterns: – Comprehensive (3 states)– states)– requirement that insurance companies (including HMOs) provide coverage for the cost of diagnosis and treatment of infertility, including ART of at least 4 oocyte retrievals. – “Soft” (5 states) – limited coverage – “Offer only” (3 states) – mandates insurance companies to offer coverage, but no mandate to purchase coverage – No Mandate Data Sources - Other Data Analysis – Birth Data yi ,t = α + λ1Ci ,t + λ2 S i ,t + λ3Oi ,t + Giγ + Yt δ + ε i ,t • U.S. Census Bureau • Bureau of Economic Analysis • Bureau of Labor Statistics • Current Population Survey where i indexes states and t indexes years y is a birth outcome including deliveries, multiple deliveries, and triplet+ deliveries per 1,000 women, multiples and triplets+ per 1,000 deliveries C, S, and O are time-varying indicators of mandates Y is a year fixed effect G is a state fixed effect Effect on Deliveries per Capita Effect on Multiple Deliveries per Capita Multiple Deliveries per 1000 Women Deliveries per 1000 Women Age 20-49 20-29 30-34 35-39 3.252 6.782+ 2.139 2.218 [2.535] [3.519] [2.049] [1.830] Soft Mandate -0.309 -0.183 -0.724 -0.172 [1.482] [1.609] [1.613] [1.353] Comprehensive Mandate 2.657* 1.079 4.018* 2.982 [1.066] [2.204] [1.551] [1.783] Constant 57.868** 111.417** 45.098** 11.191** [0.989] [1.099] [1.092] [0.798] Observations 918 918 918 918 R-squared 0.86 0.92 0.94 0.94 Robust standard errors in brackets + significant at 10%; * significant at 5%; ** significant at 1% Offer Mandate Age 40-44 1.055 [0.782] -0.18 [0.446] 0.501 [0.541] 2.126** [0.240] 918 0.91 45-49 0.065 [0.065] -0.019 [0.021] 0.004 [0.037] 0.120** [0.020] 918 0.77 20-49 20-29 30-34 0.017 0.003 -0.016 [0.042] [0.041] [0.051] Soft Mandate 0 0.027 -0.019 [0.026] [0.018] [0.046] Comprehensive Mandate 0.071* -0.004 0.193** [0.027] [0.032] [0.046] Constant 0.613** 1.168** 0.558** [0.014] [0.013] [0.023] Observations 918 918 918 R-squared 0.74 0.81 0.86 Robust standard errors in brackets + significant at 10%; * significant at 5%; ** significant at 1% Offer Mandate 35-39 0.024 [0.047] -0.009 [0.043] 0.124+ [0.071] 0.112** [0.021] 918 0.85 40-44 0.032 [0.019] -0.001 [0.009] 0.032 [0.025] 0.023** [0.006] 918 0.73 45-49 0.011 [0.007] -0.002 [0.002] 0.002 [0.004] -0.004** [0.001] 918 0.59 2 Effect on Multiples per 1000 Deliveries Effect on Triplet+ Deliveries per Capita Triplet Deliveries per 1000 Women Multiples per Delivery Age Age 20-49 20-29 30-34 Offer Mandate -0.619* -0.643** -0.668* [0.267] [0.114] [0.301] Soft Mandate 0.17 0.279 0.061 [0.281] [0.200] [0.288] Comprehensive Mandate 0.743+ -0.043 1.174** [0.428] [0.101] [0.267] Constant 10.760** 10.504** 13.080** [0.116] [0.089] [0.178] Observations 918 918 918 R-squared 0.86 0.77 0.75 Robust standard errors in brackets + significant at 10%; * significant at 5%; ** significant at 1% 35-39 -0.926* [0.450] 0.112 [0.809] 1.19 [1.089] 12.951** [0.347] 918 0.68 40-44 1.18 [1.142] 1.770* [0.676] 3.6 [2.477] 13.074** [0.888] 918 0.38 45-49 11.528 [8.104] 6.159+ [3.120] 7.248 [8.209] -9.279** [3.013] 918 0.48 Effect on Triplets+ per 1000 Deliveries 35-39 0.002 [0.003] 0.004 [0.003] 0.013** [0.003] -0.005** [0.002] 918 0.65 40-44 0.001 [0.001] -0.001 [0.001] 0.001 [0.002] -0.001** [0.000] 918 0.41 45-49 0.001* [0.001] 0 [0.000] 0 [0.000] 0 [0.000] 918 0.31 Summary of Results • In states with comprehensive insurance Triplets per Delivery Age 20-49 20-29 30-34 -0.077* -0.059** -0.147* [0.030] [0.016] [0.055] Soft Mandate 0.025 0.008 0.022 [0.039] [0.014] [0.082] Comprehensive Mandate 0.155** 0.028* 0.284** [0.025] [0.011] [0.024] Constant 0.114** 0.143** 0.169** [0.010] [0.007] [0.022] Observations 918 918 918 R-squared 0.78 0.53 0.68 Robust standard errors in brackets + significant at 10%; * significant at 5%; ** significant at 1% Offer Mandate 35-39 -0.019 [0.071] 0.173 [0.104] 0.245** [0.045] 0 [0.047] 918 0.53 40-44 -0.029 [0.051] -0.05 [0.159] 0.07 [0.238] 0.01 [0.058] 918 0.28 45-49 1.238+ [0.647] 1.216 [1.566] -0.571 [0.678] 2.502** [0.350] 918 0.22 Conclusions • Generous insurance coverage of ART induces • 20-49 20-29 30-34 -0.002 -0.005** -0.010* [0.002] [0.002] [0.005] Soft Mandate 0.001 0.001 0.001 [0.002] [0.001] [0.006] Comprehensive Mandate 0.009** 0.002 0.031** [0.001] [0.003] [0.003] Constant 0.006** 0.016** 0.002 [0.001] [0.001] [0.002] Observations 918 918 918 R-squared 0.75 0.51 0.72 Robust standard errors in brackets + significant at 10%; * significant at 5%; ** significant at 1% Offer Mandate those for whom the expected benefits of therapy are lower to pursue treatment. The result is that many women undergoing ART when insurance coverage is generous are those for whom the therapy did not increase the probability of a baby but did increase the probability of multiples. mandates… – At the population level, delivery rates are higher, although the effect is concentrated among 3030-34 year olds. – At the population level, the proportion of multiple deliveries, particularly triplets or higher order, is higher for women 2020-29, 3030-34, 3535-39. • Effects are restricted to mandates providing comprehensive coverage. Implications Broad insurance coverage for the treatment of infertility should have mechanisms to distinguish between those for whom the benefits of treatment are high and those for whom the benefits are lower. 3 Questions? 4