First: Review Test Validity HD FS 503 Survey Methods Construct Validity (Handbook, p. 7) • (Face Validity) • Content Validity • Convergent • Discriminant • Criterion Validity Susan Hegland & Mary Winter Applications of Dillman & Krathwohl – Concurrent – Predictive February 18, 2002 1 2 Survey Research Contents of questions • a way to collect original data for describing a population too large to observe directly • Attitudes – feelings – most sensitive to wording • Beliefs – whether you think something is true or false • Behavior – always reported behavior • Attributes – characteristics of the respondent – includes household 3 Measuring Change over Time 4 Cross-sectional Study Sampling Advantages and Disadvantages of each? • Cross-sectional Study Sampling • Trend Study Sampling • Cohort Study Sampling • Panel Study Sampling • Cohort-Sequential Design population sample Time 1 5 6 1 Trend study sampling Cohort Study Sampling Population 1 Population 1 Population 1 Sample 1 Sample 2 Sample 1 Sample 2 Time 1 Cohort Cohort Population 2 Time 2 Time 1 Time 2 7 How does attrition affect results in a longitudinal design? Panel Study Sampling (longitudinal study) Population 1 Sample 1 Time 1 8 • Among which strata is attrition most likely to occur? • Where would you look to determine if attrition (mortality) has differentially affected your sample? • How could you statistically correct for such attrition? • How will you convince your sponsors that your results generalize to the whole population? Population 1 Sample 1 Time 2 9 10 Cohort Sequential Design Cohort Sequential Design • Two Cohorts • Each measured longitudinally • Advantages of PanelAND Trend Study Sample 1 8’s, 12’s Sample 1 12’s, 16’s Sample 2 8’s, 12’s Time 1 11 Time 2 (4 years later) Sample 2 12’s, 16’s Time 3 (4 years later) 12 2 Potential sources of error in surveys: Cohort Sequential Design Year: 1980 1985 1995 Cohort 1 18 23 ---- Cohort 2 ---- 18 23 • Coverage error • Sampling error • Measurement error • Nonresponse error Dillman, ISU speech, Fall 2001 Age 13 Coverage error: 14 Sampling error: The result that all units in population doNOT have probability > 0 of being included in sample: • Some units may have no chance of selection • Some units may have multiple chances of selection • Some units may not qualify for the survey • Reduced by selecting appropriate sampling frame • The result of only surveying a portion of the survey population rather than all of the members • Reduced by increasing sample size • Reduced by insuring random selection 15 16 Measurement error*: Nonresponse error: *test reliability and test validity issues The result of inaccurate answers to questions that stem from: • Poor question wording • Poor interviewing • Survey mode effects • Answering behavior of the respondent • Reduced by careful design and piloting • The result of NOT getting some people in the sample to respond to the survey request…. • WHO, had they done so, would have provided a different distribution of answers than did the respondents!! • Reduced by – – – – 17 Careful design, Recruitment (e.g., letter of invitation) Distribution Follow-up 18 3 Reducing measurement error: How to increase coverage error: • A news survey through a call-in 1-800 number • An on-line survey • Distributing surveys at a conference of professionals • A telephone survey of low-income families • An e -mail survey of child care providers 19 How to write questions to reduce measurement error: • Open ended Visual elements of the questionnaire: • Words • Numbers • Graphics Interpretative aspects of questionnaire: • Cultural Expectations • Visual Display – Questions – Answer Recording • Cognitive Influences – Response characteristics – Task orientation 20 Open-ended questions • Respondents like these! • Dillman: always end with one • Be careful about starting with one – how do you feel about? • Close-ended – ordered choices – May work with middle-class audiences • Close ended, no order • Partially close-ended – Other (please specify)_____ 21 Evaluating questions (Dillman) Open-ended: Why? Why not? • Easy to understand? – Are words simple? • Advantages • “Does your child attend to speakers at church, or other meetings?” – Own words – New insights – Are concepts clear? – Avoid abbreviations • Too vague? • Disadvantages – – – – 22 – Complex words may have precise meanings – If respondents know these terms, use them Hard to code Costly and time consuming to code Need elaboration Can’t analyze unless category more than 20% • Too precise? • Biased in wording? – Which political party developed this survey? 23 24 4 More Dillman concerns: Is the question... How not to gather data... Do you believe that the Social Security program plays a vital and crucial role in our American Society? Yes ____ No _____ Undecided _____ • Objectionable? Intrusive? Establish a context May require more questions Do you believe the Second Amendment of the Constitution totally prohibits any type of control over gun ownership? Yes ____ No _____ Undecided ____ • Technically accurate? • Too demanding? Do you believe that the education of our nation’s children should be a top priority of government? Yes ____ No _____ Undecided _____ Do you support federal legislation and strict law enforcement to protect the patients, doctors, nurses, and employees of women’s health clinics? Yes ____ No _____ Undecided _____ What percentage of your income do you spend on food? • Double -barreled? Watch out for and’s Have you stopped beating your wife? How often you you exchange services? (food, babysitting, etc.) • Double negative? 25 Does the question... • • • • • • • • Is it not right for a couple to limit family size? Yes__ No__ 26 Mutually exclusive choices Offer mutually exclusive choices? Offer exhaustive choices? Assume too much knowledge? Assume too much about behavior? Offer an appropriate time referent? Tap accessible information? Access socially desirable response? Intrude? • Can the respondent put him/herself in only one place? – I grew up in a community that was • urban • rural • suburban 27 28 Exhaustive choices Practice for you • Can the respondent put him/herself someplace? • Indicate your religious preference: Write two demographic questions: • Marital status • Educational level • Are they mutually exclusive? • Are they exhaustive? • Check with a partner • Share with the group – Protestant – Catholic – Jewish 29 30 5 Don’t assume too much about behavior... Don’t assume too much knowledge... • How often do you read books to your children? • Do you believe the Second Amendment of the Constitution totally prohibits any type of control over gun ownership? Yes ____ No _____ Undecided ____ – – – – Daily____ Several times each week_____ Weekly_____ Monthly_____ • How could you reduce social desirability here? • What proportion of your income do you spend on groceries each week? 31 Offer an appropriate time referent – – – – 1% or less More than 1 % but less than 5% More than 10% but less than 15% …. 32 Likert and Likert-type responses • Likert • How to ask about income? – – – – – – weekly income? – monthly income? – yearly income? • Which will yield the most accurate estimates? • From which populations? Strongly agree Agree Undecided Disagree Strongly disagree • AVOID three-choice responses: – Always – Sometimes – Never • Variance is the sine qua non of responses!! 33 Reducing nonresponse error: Organize the questionnaire For Young Children (e.g., Harter) • DO NOT START WITH DEMOGRAPHIC QUESTIONS! • Entice the respondent into answering • Why should I tell you my income/gender/education when I don’t know why you want this information? • Start with easy, but important questions • Pictorial format: prereaders • Two level choices: primary grades Mostly Agree Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree – That the respondent is likely to care about! – That the respondent WANTS to tell you about! Mostly Disagree Somewhat Disagree 34 Strongly Disagree 35 • Start each section with an organizing statement: “Now we’d like to know about… your background” 36 6 Reducing coverage error: Selecting the appropriate survey type Advantages of face-to-face interviews • • • • • • • Face-to-face • Self-administered – Snail-mail – E-mail – Web-based • Telephone Gets the most detailed information Highest response rate Geographic sampling Know who will respond Longest possible interview Fewer no responses 37 Cautions for face-to-face interviews 38 Self-administered interviews Advantages • Least expensive of the three types! • Don A. Dillman • Formerly: Tailored Design Method (TDM) (1979) • Now: Mail and Internet Surveys (2000) • Higher probability for interviewer fraud • Know circumstances of interview-– who else was present? • Respondent can get consultation • EXTREMELY expensive -- $150/interview!! – Identify and shape each aspect of survey process • Likely to affect quality • Likely to affect quantity of response – Organize survey efforts to obtain highest response rate 39 Self-administered interviews Disadvantages • Need a list, which may be a problem • Who completed? • Response selectivity: who returned? who pitched it? • More chances for omitted questions • Least detail, shortest schedule • Lowest response rate • Dillman suggests strategies to improve response rate 40 Telephone interviews Used to be a decent compromise! • Sample: lists or Random Digit Dialing • Callbacks are relatively cheap • Response rate: between face-to-face and self-administered – easy to hang up! • Half an hour is maximum – middle in detail between the other two 41 42 7 Internet, e-mail, and interactive voice surveys More on telephone interviews • Low level of “no responses” • Most sensitive to construction issues: • Extensive use for surveying geographically dispersed general populations • E-mail & Web – Screw up pretty fast! • Easiest to avoid distortion and subversion by interviewers • Know exactly who the respondent is; only they can hear you! • Disadvantages: – Current coverage is inadequate for most e-mail and web surveys (October 1998) • 42% US households had computers • 26% e-mail connections (up from 4% in 1994!) – Obtaining large quantities of data CANNOT substitute for good coverage! – high percentage of employed Iowans – Answering machines – Unlisted phone numbers • CD-DIAL no longer conducts telephone surveys • Gallup continues to use • Okay for populations of university professors & students! 43 – Sampling frame is currently impossible (directory of e-mail addresses?) Time and money are issues! Reducing Nonresponse Error Do what you can afford! Test and pretest the instruments • On anyone: are the questions clear? • On someone like the potential respondents • Documenting the actual rate • Distribute with enticing letter – – – – – 44 Dillman: Social Exchange Theory This is an important issue… You are one of a few… Your views are important Include something of value? • Follow up with postcard • Follow up with second mailing 45 Control issues: 46 Sample control Different for • Self-administered surveys • Telephone surveys • Face-to-face interviews • Report a response rate – How many contacted? – How many refused? – How many could not be contacted? • Be specific on how response rate calculated 47 48 8 Self Administered Total sample size = # of completed questionnaires + # questionnaires returned by post office + # questionnaires not completed because respondent ineligible + # unusable questionnaires + # questionnaires not returned 49 Total sample size = Face-to-Face or Telephone? # of contacts + # not contacted • Where are you in the sample? • Has the number of contacts been uniform? Contacts include: # completed interviews + # not eligible contacts + # of refusals + # unable to complete (e.g., sickness, language) 51 52 Caculating response rate Some gray areas in calculating response rates Response rate = # of completed interviews total sample size - # not eligible • Are those who do not speak English not eligible? • only if you defined the population as English speaking! 53 54 9 Additional issues: Quality control • Number of attempts should be uniform across sample • Progress through the sample: • Data only as good as accuracy of persons who collected, coded, and entered it! • Hire them carefully • Train them well – Observe, videotape, calculate percentage agreement • Supervise them closely, especially early on – Verify data--telephone respondents • Do not be afraid to shift or fire persons – Keep a sample control sheet • Remember sampling: draw more than you want • if distributed, follow through! • Have a plan BEFORE you start! 55 Interviewer’s Manual Secondary survey data sets • General considerations, including ethics • Specific techniques – – – – • If they have the variables you want from the population you want-They’re Great! • Large samples • High quality interview techniques • NSHF; PSID; AHEAD; NHES; NSAF • http://lion.icpsr.umich.edu/IAED/nhes.html put your hair up avoid upholstery avoid slogan clothing or jewelry Avoid expensive clothing or jewelry • How to administer the interview • How to record answers • Observe interview technique and recording question by question • Ensure extensive practice prior to data collection 57 58 Next week Practice writing survey questions • • • • • 56 • Ethics in research – Different from ethics in intervention Handbook, p. 12 Introduce survey Demographic background Open-ended questions Likert-type questions • Krathwohl, chapter 10 • Complete ISU web-based training http://www.research.iastate.edu/training/ – You cannot be involved in any human subjects data collection until you have received “certification” – You cannot receive the data set for Assignment 2 until you have completed the human subjects training! • Ethics in authorship discussions • In class exercises: 59 – Research ethics problems, p. 9-10 – Authorship ethics, p. 11-12 60 10 March 4: Exam 1 Breadth: • 10 terms • Krathwohl plus moderating/mediating – briefly explain – give example from HD FS research Depth • Two essay problems: – Apply understanding of research methods to real problems 61 62 11