Charge Questions 3: Assessing Intra- and Inter- Generational Benefits and Costs

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Charge Questions 3:
Assessing Intra- and InterGenerational Benefits and Costs
within a Rulemaking
Assessing Intra- and Inter-Generational
Benefits and Costs within a Rulemaking
• Concern that use of different rules for intra- and inter-generational
discounting will lead to inconsistency in decision making:
• Suppose that we discount costs and benefits at 2.5% for fuel economy
standards (because they reduce GHGs)
– Part of these benefits are improved ecosystem services
• For a rule that will clean up water pollution in the Chesapeake Bay–which
will improve ecosystem services over the next 25 years—we use the 3%
and 7% rates specified by OMB
• PDV of ecosystem service improvements differ due to difference in
discounting [“Benefits Inconsistency”]
• A second problem arises in how we would aggregate the GHG and nonGHG benefits of the fuel economy standard:
– Typically the non-GHG benefits would be discounted using 3% and 7%. Can these values
be added to the PDV of GHG reductions?
Assessing Intra- and Inter-Generational
Benefits and Costs within a Rulemaking
• Question 3: Are the approaches to discounting over long horizons
suggested above consistent with current approaches to intra-generational
discounting?
• Question 3a: If some costs and benefits associated with a regulation apply
intra-generationally and are evaluated as specified by Circular A-4, can
they be added to the present value of inter-generational costs and/or
benefits that apply different discount rates?
Declining rates in France and UK
4.5%
4.0%
4.0%
3.5%
3.5%
3.0%
3.0%
2.5%
2.5%
2.0%
2.0%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.5%
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
100
200
300
400
500
Declining rates in France and UK
4.5%
4.0%
4.0%
3.5%
3.5%
3.0%
3.0%
2.5%
2.5%
2.0%
2.0%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.5%
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
100
200
300
400
500
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